Dworshak Integrated Rule Curves/M&E Project 198740700 2002 Status Review David P. Statler – Nez...

25
Dworshak Integrated Dworshak Integrated Rule Curves/M&E Rule Curves/M&E Project 198740700 Project 198740700 2002 Status Review 2002 Status Review David P. Statler – Nez David P. Statler – Nez Perce Tribe Perce Tribe Project Leader Project Leader

Transcript of Dworshak Integrated Rule Curves/M&E Project 198740700 2002 Status Review David P. Statler – Nez...

Page 1: Dworshak Integrated Rule Curves/M&E Project 198740700 2002 Status Review David P. Statler – Nez Perce Tribe Project Leader.

Dworshak Integrated Rule Dworshak Integrated Rule Curves/M&E Curves/M&E

Project 198740700Project 198740700 2002 Status Review2002 Status Review

David P. Statler – Nez Perce TribeDavid P. Statler – Nez Perce TribeProject LeaderProject Leader

Page 2: Dworshak Integrated Rule Curves/M&E Project 198740700 2002 Status Review David P. Statler – Nez Perce Tribe Project Leader.

Purpose of DiscussionPurpose of Discussion

Illustrate results associated with Illustrate results associated with the 2002 objectives that RFC the 2002 objectives that RFC

recommended for funding.recommended for funding.

Page 3: Dworshak Integrated Rule Curves/M&E Project 198740700 2002 Status Review David P. Statler – Nez Perce Tribe Project Leader.

Discussion TopicsDiscussion Topics

• Compare CBFWA RFC recommended objectives and funding recommendations for FY 2002-06 with actual objectives and funding.

• Provide summary of results pertaining to objectives actually funded.

• Project retrospective.

Page 4: Dworshak Integrated Rule Curves/M&E Project 198740700 2002 Status Review David P. Statler – Nez Perce Tribe Project Leader.

CBWA RFC RecommendedCBWA RFC Recommended2002 Objectives2002 Objectives

• Refine the Dworshak Rule Curve Evaluation Model (DRCEM) based on recommendations from Barber and Juul (2001).

• Identify and update appropriate integrated Dworshak operations (Integrated Rule Curve).

Page 5: Dworshak Integrated Rule Curves/M&E Project 198740700 2002 Status Review David P. Statler – Nez Perce Tribe Project Leader.

CBWA RFC Recommended CBWA RFC Recommended Objectives (cont.)Objectives (cont.)

• Institute appropriate integrated operations.

• Develop a comprehensive long-term monitoring and evaluation plan for Dworshak Reservoir.

Page 6: Dworshak Integrated Rule Curves/M&E Project 198740700 2002 Status Review David P. Statler – Nez Perce Tribe Project Leader.

Actual Funded 2002 ObjectivesActual Funded 2002 Objectives

• Refine Dworshak Rule Curve Evaluation Model.

• Formulate Integrated Rule Curve.

• Institute Rule Curve Recommendations.

Page 7: Dworshak Integrated Rule Curves/M&E Project 198740700 2002 Status Review David P. Statler – Nez Perce Tribe Project Leader.

RFC Recommended versus RFC Recommended versus Actual FundingActual Funding

FY

2002

FY

2003

FY

2004

FY

2005

FY

2006

RFC 201,291 170,000 170,000 170,000 170,000

Actual 98,230 -0- -0- -0- -0-

Page 8: Dworshak Integrated Rule Curves/M&E Project 198740700 2002 Status Review David P. Statler – Nez Perce Tribe Project Leader.

Background for Differences in Background for Differences in Recommended Objectives and Recommended Objectives and

FundingFunding• ISRP – Do not fund

– It will not be useful to undertake the proposed efforts to adjust a process (BIOP implementation) that is already burdened by too many conflicting influences.

• NWPCC – Fund– Provide $95,000 in Fiscal Year 2002 to

complete the rule curves and final report. Close out project.

Page 9: Dworshak Integrated Rule Curves/M&E Project 198740700 2002 Status Review David P. Statler – Nez Perce Tribe Project Leader.

Summary of Results Pertaining to Summary of Results Pertaining to Objectives Actually Funded.Objectives Actually Funded.

• Completed initial Dworshak Rule Curve Evaluation Model.

• Collaboratively developed integrated operational criteria for Dworshak.

• Institutionalized the integrated operational criteria for Dworshak in several regional guidance documents and forums.

Page 10: Dworshak Integrated Rule Curves/M&E Project 198740700 2002 Status Review David P. Statler – Nez Perce Tribe Project Leader.

Dworshak Dam and Reservoir are located in the Clearwater Subbasin of the Mountain Snake Ecological Province,

about 35 miles east of Lewiston, Idaho.

Page 11: Dworshak Integrated Rule Curves/M&E Project 198740700 2002 Status Review David P. Statler – Nez Perce Tribe Project Leader.

Dworshak Dam Statistics

Located RM 1.9 on NF Clearwater R.717 feet high.Highest straight-axis concrete dam in the W. Hemisphere.Third highest dam in the US.

Page 12: Dworshak Integrated Rule Curves/M&E Project 198740700 2002 Status Review David P. Statler – Nez Perce Tribe Project Leader.

Formulated Initial Integrated Rule Formulated Initial Integrated Rule Curve Evaluation Model (DRCEM)Curve Evaluation Model (DRCEM)

• DRCEM is a user-friendly Visual Basic modification of the Fortran based Hungry Horse (HRMOD) and Libby (LRMOD) models developed by MDFWP.

• More than 75 Fortran subroutines and associated support files have been converted to 45 Visual basic Forms and 1 methodology Module.

Page 13: Dworshak Integrated Rule Curves/M&E Project 198740700 2002 Status Review David P. Statler – Nez Perce Tribe Project Leader.

Formulate Integrated Rule Curve Formulate Integrated Rule Curve Evaluation ModelEvaluation Model

• Three major computational elements:– hydrologic (water balance).– thermal (outflow temperatures, temperature

profiles).– biological (primary productivity, zooplankton

growth and washout, benthic diptera production, surface insect density, fish growth).

Page 14: Dworshak Integrated Rule Curves/M&E Project 198740700 2002 Status Review David P. Statler – Nez Perce Tribe Project Leader.

Formulate Integrated Rule Curve Formulate Integrated Rule Curve Evaluation ModelEvaluation Model

• Challenges to model development have included:– Obtaining site-specific regression equations.– Inconsistent units in the source models.– Inadequate documentation in the source

models.

Page 15: Dworshak Integrated Rule Curves/M&E Project 198740700 2002 Status Review David P. Statler – Nez Perce Tribe Project Leader.

Formulate Integrated Rule Curve Formulate Integrated Rule Curve Evaluation ModelEvaluation Model

• Refinement of the initial DRCEM would require:– Debugging the thermal routine.– Further development of site-specific

regression equations.– Determining valid estimates for incomplete or

missing data.– Further customizing routines for Dworshak

Reservoir.

Page 16: Dworshak Integrated Rule Curves/M&E Project 198740700 2002 Status Review David P. Statler – Nez Perce Tribe Project Leader.

Develop Integrated Operational Develop Integrated Operational CriteriaCriteria

• Attain full pool (1600 ft msl) June 30 or before.• Maintain full pool through July 31.• Summer drawdown to no lower than elevation

1537 ft msl by August 31 for BIOP operations to cool Snake River.

• Drawdown to no lower than 1520 ft msl by September 30 for late summer cooling.

• Draft/refill to upper flood control curve or higher through June 30.

Page 17: Dworshak Integrated Rule Curves/M&E Project 198740700 2002 Status Review David P. Statler – Nez Perce Tribe Project Leader.

Develop Integrated Operational Develop Integrated Operational CriteriaCriteria

• Minimum discharge of 1.5 kcfs.

• Maximum discharge without TDG water quality exemption from NPT and Idaho:– 14.0 kcfs from October 1 through June 30.– 13.0 kcfs from July 1 through September 30.

• Exceptions with cause (drought, repairs, flood management requirements, specific fish passage needs).

Page 18: Dworshak Integrated Rule Curves/M&E Project 198740700 2002 Status Review David P. Statler – Nez Perce Tribe Project Leader.

1440

1460

1480

1500

1520

1540

1560

1580

1600

1620Ft

(msl

)

FloodcontrolRecreation

Navigation

Res Fish

Power

NMFSBIOPIntegrated

Develop Integrated Operational Criteria

Page 19: Dworshak Integrated Rule Curves/M&E Project 198740700 2002 Status Review David P. Statler – Nez Perce Tribe Project Leader.

Institute Rule Curve Institute Rule Curve RecommendationsRecommendations

• Collaboratively developed integrated criteria have been institutionalized in:– Dworshak Operation Plan (Idaho Water

Resource Board 2000).– River Operations Plan (CRITFC 2001, 2002,

2003).– Columbia River Basin Fish and Wildlife

Program 2003 Mainstem Amendments (NWPCC 2003).

Page 20: Dworshak Integrated Rule Curves/M&E Project 198740700 2002 Status Review David P. Statler – Nez Perce Tribe Project Leader.

Summary of Results Pertaining to Summary of Results Pertaining to Objectives Actually FundedObjectives Actually Funded

• Completed initial Dworshak Rule Curve Evaluation Model.

• Collaboratively developed integrated operational criteria for Dworshak.

• Institutionalized the integrated operational criteria for Dworshak in several regional guidance documents and forums.

Page 21: Dworshak Integrated Rule Curves/M&E Project 198740700 2002 Status Review David P. Statler – Nez Perce Tribe Project Leader.

RetrospectiveRetrospectiveDRCEMDRCEM

• An initial working model is in place.

• Model limitations and follow-up issues have been identified.

• Due to project close-out, we will likely not be able to pursue model refinements.

Page 22: Dworshak Integrated Rule Curves/M&E Project 198740700 2002 Status Review David P. Statler – Nez Perce Tribe Project Leader.

RetrospectiveRetrospectiveIntegrated Operational CriteriaIntegrated Operational Criteria

• The developed integrated operational criteria (IRC) are driven primarily by flood control and BIOP flow/temperature criteria.

• The “value added” features of the integrated criteria include:– Priority for early refill during spring operations.– Temperature management for fall chinook salmon

rearing in the Lower Clearwater River.– Extends water cooling through late summer.– Water quality criteria (TDG).

Page 23: Dworshak Integrated Rule Curves/M&E Project 198740700 2002 Status Review David P. Statler – Nez Perce Tribe Project Leader.

RetrospectiveRetrospectiveInstituting Integrated CriteriaInstituting Integrated Criteria

• Institutionalization of the integrated criteria is markedly advanced by inclusion in IWRB Dworshak Operation Plan, CRITFC River Operations Plan, and the NWPCC Mainstem Amendments.

• HOWEVER, real time application of the criteria requires weekly and sometimes daily participation in the Regional Forum (FPAC, TMT, IT).

Page 24: Dworshak Integrated Rule Curves/M&E Project 198740700 2002 Status Review David P. Statler – Nez Perce Tribe Project Leader.

RetrospectiveRetrospectiveInstituting Integrated CriteriaInstituting Integrated Criteria

• The lack of funding for intensive involvement in the Regional Forum limits the effective application of the Dworshak integrated operational criteria.

Page 25: Dworshak Integrated Rule Curves/M&E Project 198740700 2002 Status Review David P. Statler – Nez Perce Tribe Project Leader.

1400

1450

1500

1550

1600

Average Low High

No flood storage space needed July 1 - September 1.

1586 on Oct 1

1579 on Nov 15.

1558 on Dec 15.

Max drawdown on April 1 based on run-off forecasts after Jan 1.

DWR Flood Control Rule CurveDWR Flood Control Rule CurveFamily of CurvesFamily of Curves