DUP975_Deloitte2014AnnualHolidaySurvey (1)

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Deloitte’s 2014 annual holiday survey Making a list, clicking it twice

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Deloitte’s 2014annual holiday surveyMaking a list, clicking it twice

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Te authors wish to thank Robert Falcey , Venkata Sangadi, Ryan Alvanos, Emily Koteff-

Moreano, and Matthew Lennert or their contributions to this report.

 Alison Kenney PaulAlison Kenney Paul is vice chairman and Deloitte’s US Retail and Distribution practice leader. Paul

is responsible or overseeing one o the organization’s largest industry practices, whose almost 1,400

proessionals provide audit, tax, financial advisory, and consulting services to retail, wholesale, and

distribution companies. Paul heads the strategic direction, operational execution, and overall lead-

ership o the industry practice. She is also a preeminent spokesperson and author on retail trends

and actively serves as a senior advisor to many o Deloitte’s largest Fortune 500 retail clients.

Rod Sides

Rod Sides is the US Consulting leader or the Retail and Distribution sector practice. He has more

than 25 years o experience assisting retailers in improving the efficiency o their operations andincreasing overall profitability. His experience spans the entire enterprise, including store opera-

tions, supply chain, procurement, back-office operations, and inormation technology. Sides also

has deep expertise in cost optimization, helping his clients achieve significant, sustainable improve-

ments in profitability.

Susan K. Hogan

Susan K. Hogan is the research team lead or Deloitte’s Retail and Distribution sector. Prior to join-

ing Deloitte, Hogan was a member o the aculty at Emory’s Goizueta Business School, where she

taught consumer behavior and nonprofit consulting at both the graduate and undergraduate levels.

Her recent work includes Te tail wagging the dog: How retail is changing consumer expectations of

the health care patient-provider relationship.

Acknowledgements

About the authors

Deloitte is a leading presence in the retail and distribution industry, providing audit, consulting,

risk management, financial advisory, and tax services to more than 75 percent of the Fortune 500

retailers. With more than 2,400 professionals, Deloitte’s retail and distribution practice provides

insights, services, and solutions assisting retailers across all major subsectors including apparel,

grocery, food and drug, wholesale and distribution, and online. For more information about

Deloitte’s retail and distribution sector, please visit www.deloitte.com/us/retail-distribution.

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Contents

Carpe customers  | 3

Consumer spending and sentiment  | 5

The shopping process  | 10

Tech-savvy, social bargain-hunters  | 17

Shopping risks and data security  | 23

Timing is everything  | 25

Standing out from the crowd  | 27

Methodology  | 28

Endnotes  | 28

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Carpe customers

THE bets are in, and the consensus or

this year’s holiday season is that US

holiday spending will be up rom last year.

Deloitte’s annual holiday orecast suggests

sales will increase 4–4.5 percent, and the

29th annual Deloitte holiday shopping sur-

 vey confirms this optimistic outlook.1 

Tis potential sales increase could be the

boon that retailers have been waiting or,

or it could turn into a missed opportunity.

Consumers continue to change their shop-

ping habits as well as their expectations o

retailers. Shifing spending plans, shopping

processes, and expectations are largely

the result o improving perceptions o the

economy, an onslaught o digital technology

influencing consumers, more choices rom

a growing pool o online competitors, and

ears o security breaches.

Retailers are well aware that their tra-

ditional selling techniques won’t necessar-

ily work, given these changes in consumer

behavior. o help savvy retailers capitalize on

this possible sales uptick, this report shares

our holiday survey findings and highlights

five key insights or retailers to keep in mind.

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Consumer spendingand sentiment

Holiday spending is expected

to increase overall.

More than two-thirds (69 percent) o con-

sumers are planning on spending the same

as or more than they did last year (figure 1),

although they are not likely to splurge like

they did in the pre-recession years. While

only 15 percent plan to spend more than they

did last year, this is a considerable increase

This year, spending on both gift and non-gift itemsis anticipated to rise, and more than half of consumerswill shop without the shackles of a budget.

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rom the low seen in our 2009 survey, where

only 8 percent intended to increase their

spending over that o the previous year.

Most consumers believe that the

economy is “slowly recovering.”

Consistent with our 2013 holiday survey,

slightly over hal (53 percent) o respondents

believe that the US economy is slowly recov-

ering rom a recession. While the proportion

o consumers believing that the economy is

recovering rom a recession has stabilized,

it is encouraging to note that the propor-

tion o consumers who believe the economy

is healthy increased twoold since last year

(figure 2).

Only 42 percent of surveyed

consumers will adhere to a

budget this holiday season.Just 39 percent o the men and 45 percent

o the women in our survey said that they

had set a specific budget (or an approximate

budget range) or this year’s holiday shop-

ping (figure 3). Te act that many consum-

ers are shopping without budgetary shackles

this holiday season could be good news or

retailers hoping to up-sell or cross-sell. For

retailers, the challenge and opportunity isto provide in-demand products as well as

product complements and premium options.

Additionally, retailers should equip their

sales associates to suggest and point custom-

ers toward these complementary and pre-

mium offerings, particularly i they are only

available in other store locations or through

its online channel.

Graphic: Deloitte University Press | DUPress.com

Males Females

39%

Source: Deloitte holiday survey 2014.

45%

Figure 3. Percentage of consumers with a

specific or approximate holiday budget

 

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Graphic: Deloitte University Press | DUPress.com

2012 2013 2014

Still in recession; therehas been no recovery

Heading backinto recession

Slowly recoveringfrom recessionHealthy

8%

53%11%

29%

4%

54%10%

32%

3%

49%

11%

37%

Figure 2. Consumer belief regarding US economic health

Source: Deloitte holiday survey 2014.

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Graphic: Deloitte University Press | DUPress.co

Gifts  $458

$421

$310

$270Socializing away from home

$194

$159Entertainment at home

$144

$136Non-gift clothing for self or family

$100

$87

Any other holiday-related spendingnot covered above

$93

$81Home/holiday furnishings

9%

6%

15%

15%

15%

22%

2013

2014

Figure 4. Spending will likely increase across all holiday-related categories

Source: Deloitte holiday survey 2014.

Spending on both gift and

non-gift items is anticipatedto increase.

Consumers expect to increase their

spending by 13 percent ($1,299 in 2014, up

rom $1,154 in 2013) across all categories

this holiday season. While gifs continue to

attract the most customer dollars, spending

on home entertaining will increase by 22

percent year over year—more than in any

other category (figure 4). Also increasing is

spending on holiday urnishings and social-

izing away rom home. While these catego-

ries are not as significant as gifs in dollar

terms, this increase in anticipated spending

is a notable change rom a ew years ago,

when consumers considered these same cat-

egories “nice to have but not necessary.” Te

upward trend in these non-critical holiday

categories is perhaps an indicator that peoplemay be eeling better about the economy and

their personal situations, and they are once

again more comortable spending on non-

necessary holiday items.

People plan to give clothing

and gift cards, but they prefer

to receive gift cards and cash.

Tis holiday season, clothing and gif

cards will remain the most gifed items.

However, our survey suggests there is a

mismatch between the gifs people give and

would like to receive (figure 5). While gif

the upward trend innon-critical holiday categories 

IS PERHAPS AN INDICATOR

THAT PEOPLE MAY BE FEELING BETTER

ABOUT THE ECONOMY.

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cards remain popular, they are less popular

than they once were: 43 percent o this year’s

respondents said that they plan to give gifcards or certificates, down rom a high o 69

percent in 2007. Te average amount respon-

dents are planning to spend in total on gif

cards is $159.

Graphic: Deloitte University Press | DUPress.com

Clothing32%

45%

Gift cards or gift certificates

37%

43%

Books26%

31%

Games, toys, dolls, etc.

6%

29%

Food/liquor21%

28%

Money (cash or check)35%

27%

CDs, DVDs, or Blu-rays for movies or music

16%

21%

Jewelry15%

20%

Cosmetics/fragrances/ 

health and beauty aids 14%

19%

Shoes15%

15%

Games—computer/video only

10%

15%

Source: Deloitte holiday survey 2014.

Responses under 15% are not shown for items respondents plan to give.Responses under 10% are not shown for items respondents want to receive.

GIFT CARDS (37%)

and CASH (35%)

rank No. 1 and 2 as the gifts

respondents would

LIKE TO RECEIVE

Figure 5. Top items consumers plan to give and want to receive

Want to receive

Plan to give

 

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The shopping process

Shoppers plan to spend more

than half of their holiday budget

in-store.

Te Internet and discount/value depart-

ment stores continue to remain consumers’

top holiday shopping venues (figure 6). Te

Internet dethroned discount/value depart-ment stores rom the top slot or the first

time last year, and continues to deend its top

ranking. However, while many Americans

plan to shop online, our results suggest they

plan on doing 52 percent o their spending  in

Consumers prefer in-store shopping, but they wantconvenience, shorter lines, and knowledgeablesales associates.

Graphic: Deloitte University Press | DUPress.com

Internet (including auction sites)   45%Discount/value department stores   44%

Traditional department stores 30%

Toy stores   22%

Warehouse membership clubs   22%

Off-price stores 22%

Outlet stores/centers   21%

Electronics/office supply/computer stores   21%

Restaurants/fast food establishments   17%

Home improvement stores   16%

Sporting goods stores   15%

Specialty clothing stores   15%

Drug stores 15%

Low-price dollar stores14%

Supermarkets   14%

Figure 6. Top holiday shopping venues

Source: Deloitte holiday survey 2014.

 Survey question: At which of the following retail sources will you likely shop for holiday gifts? Responses under 14% are not shown.

 

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stores and only 40 percent on the Internet.

Also, our surveyed consumers indicated

that they planned to shop at an average o

4.6 venues this holiday season—showing

that the Internet, while important, is onlyone o many channels through which to

reach consumers.

While consumers do shop

online, most prefer the in-

store shopping experience.

Although 45 percent o our surveyed

consumers say they plan to shop on theInternet this holiday season, this does not

necessarily mean that they preer the online

shopping experience to the in-store one. In

act, when we presented consumers with

17 retail venue categories and asked them

whether they preerred the online or in-store

shopping experience in each category, the in-

store shopping experience came out ahead

o the online

experience in all

17 categories.

Supermarkets,

restaurants,

drug stores, and

home improve-

ment stores were

the venues or

which the high-

est proportiono respondents

indicated a preerence or in-store shopping

(figure 7). Te upshot: Te brick-and-mortar

store remains vital to the holiday shopping

experience, and retailers should provide

consumers with an engaging in-store experi-

ence that compels consumers to come visit

these stores.

Webrooming trumps

showrooming: Nearly three-

fourths of consumers will

conduct online research beforemaking an in-store purchase.

While shopping in-store and then search-

ing or the best price and making the pur-

chase online (“showrooming”) still presents

a potential risk or traditional retailers, it is

worth noting that consumers are more likely

to do just the opposite this holiday season.

Specifically, while 49 percent o shoppersindicate they are either very likely or some-

what likely to showroom, another 68 percent

o shoppings indicate they are either very

likely or somewhat likely to “webroom”—

look at items online but go to a store to

purchase them (figure 8).

While a greater proportion o webroom-

ing to showrooming behavior is good news

or traditional retailers, an online presence

is highly impor-tant or leading

consumers to the

storeront. Having

an appealing online

presence—across all

digital screens—is a

critical component

o the shopping

 journey. Retailers

that provide an

efficient and engaging online and in-store

experience—with consistent assortments

and coordinated promotional offerings—

could stand to gain this holiday season.

Furthermore, retailers that can capture and

integrate data across both the digital and in-

store channels to build “a single view o the

consumer” have the opportunity to use that

data to design a more personalized shoppingexperience or each customer.

Customer arINCREASINGLY

KNOWLEDGEABLE

about the products they intend to buy,

an the hav hig pectationof sales associates.

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Graphic: Deloitte University Press | DUPress.com

No preference

Prefer online

Prefer in-store

Figure 7. Preference for in-store and online shopping venue by store category

76%

Supermarkets   4%

20%

64%Restaurants/fastfood establishments

  7%

29%

64%

Drug stores   5%

30%

61%

Home improvement stores   7%

32%

59%

Low-price dollar stores   5%

36%

57%Warehouse membership clubs   6%

37%

55%

Outlet stores/centers   8%

37%

54%

Off-price stores   6%

39%

54%Discount/valuedepartment stores

  12%

34%

52%

Jewelry stores   8%

40%

52%Furniture orhome furnishing stores

  9%

38%

50%

Traditional department stores   12%

38%

44%

Sporting goods stores   9%

47%

44%

Specialty clothing stores   11%

45%

38%

42%Electronics/office supply/ computer

  20%

40%

Fast fashion apparel retailers   9%

50%

38%

Toy stores   14%

47%

Source: Deloitte holiday survey 2014.

 

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Long lines are the biggest

inhibitors of in-store shopping.Retailers may do themselves a disser-

 vice i they don’t manage and mitigate the

top issues that discourage customers rom

shopping and purchasing in stores. While

our survey suggests that more consumers

preer in-store shopping to online shopping

than the reverse, long lines, traffic, and the

absence o merchandise they want could still

keep them away rom stores this holiday sea-son (figure 9). While a number o inhibiting

actors are outside retailers’ control, these

findings suggest that some o the biggest

shopping inhibitors are, to some extent,within their control. With proper planning,

staffing, merchandise tracking, and salesper-

son training, some o these inhibitors—or at

least the impact o these inhibitors—could

potentially be avoided or minimized.

So that this holiday season is not a missed

opportunity, retailers should consider taking

some or all o the ollowing actions: increase

holiday hours (or shoppers that want to

avoid crowds); provide ample coverage

Long lines

Too much traffic

Doesn’t carry merchandise I want

Slow checkout

Too far away

Lack of parking

Items/sizes often out of stock

Gas prices

Store hours inconvenient

Limited number of sales associates

Store associates’ knowledge/ability to assist

40%

26%

25%

24%

19%

16%

16%

13%

10%

6%

5%

Figure 9. The biggest in-store shopping inhibitors

Source: Deloitte holiday survey 2014. Graphic: Deloitte University Press | DUPress.com

Graphic: Deloitte University Press | DUPress.comSource: Deloitte holiday survey 2014.

webrooming

Not at all likelySomewhat likely Not very likelyVery likely

showrooming27%

41%

18%

14%15%

34%

30%

22%

Going online to research a productand then purchasing the product

at a physical store

Going to a store to look at anitem and then purchasing the

 product online

Figure 8. Showrooming vs. webrooming

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at checkout lanes and multiple checkout

options; manage merchandise inventory

to avoid obsolescence and stock-outs; and

train store associates to help customers find

merchandise, select alternatives, and take

advantage o efficient checkout options.

A knowledgeable sales associate

can help increase the likelihoodof in-store purchases.

Customers are increasingly knowledge-

able about the products they intend to buy,

and they have high expectations o sales

associates. Nearly hal (48 percent) o our

respondents indicated that a knowledgeable

sales associate increases their likelihood o

making an in-store purchase (figure 10). Oursurvey indicates that consumers expect sales

associates to be knowledgeable about prod-

ucts (61 percent), help the customer check

out quickly (61 percent), let them know

about discounts (54 percent), and greet them

promptly with a welcoming attitude (42 per-

cent). However, 58 percent o respondents

eel they are more knowledgeable than the

sales associates they encounter. In terms o

in-store technologies, it is also worth noting

that 33 percent o consumers believe that

store associates can provide a better shop-

ping experience when equipped with the

latest mobile technologies.

Consumers shop locally to

support their community and

to buy one-of-a-kind gifts.While consumers don’t like crowds, they

care about their community, and they are

drawn to local stores as a way to support

their community.2 wo-thirds (68 percent) o

consumers indicated they will shop at local

retail stores this holiday season, and they

plan to spend 35 percent o their holiday

budget at these shops. Reasons cited or this

behavior include supporting their local econ-omy, finding unique gifs, and convenience

(figure 11). o capitalize on this local shop-

ping preerence, regional and community-

based stores should stress their local nature

and one-o-a-kind gifs. Other retailers may

wish to highlight ways they support their

respective communities, aspects that make

each o their locations important to the spe-

cific community where they reside, and any

one-o-a-kind (customized) gifs they offer.

Graphic: Deloitte University Press | DUPress.com

Knowledgeable store associates

Self-service/mobile checkout

Barcode scanners to confirm productprices and features

Personalized coupons/offers througha smartphone

Wi-Fi access for comparison shopping

48%

24%

23%

21%

17%

17%

Personalized coupons/offers throughsocial networking sites

Figure 10. In-store features that may increase the likelihood of a purchase

Source: Deloitte holiday survey 2014.

 

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Graphic: Deloitte University Press | DUPress.com

To support the local economy

To find one-of-a-kind gifts

It is more convenient

Greater loyalty to the localretail store

It is critical to the overall health ofthe US economy

62%

53%

43%

Excellent customer service

Free services(i.e., gift wrapping)

Special deals or offers from theselocal retailers

Personal relationship withstore owner

38%

30%

30%

18%

18%

25%

Figure 11. Reasons consumers plan to shop at local retailers

Source: Deloitte holiday survey 2014.

The percentages in figure 11 are calculated only among the 68% of respondents who plan to shop at local retail stores.

MALL PATRONAGE PATTERNS

Fifty-five percent of consumers plan to shop at malls thisyear. However, 28 percent plan to shop at malls less this

year compared with last season (figure 12).

Price perceptions and traffic are other reasonsconsumers are planning on doing less shopping atmalls this year (figure 13).

7%28%65%More

LessSame

Percentages do not add to 100% due to rounding.

 Figure 12. Mall shopping relative to last year

Graphic: Deloitte University Press | DUPress.com

They are too crowded

I can find better prices elsewhere

Don’t have to deal with traffic

Malls usually don’t have whatI’m looking for

Too far away

They feel old-fashioned or outdated

Lack of parking/hard to park

49%

42%

36%

26%

23%

17%

17%

6%

It’s faster to purchase elsewhere

Figure 13. Crowds keep shoppers away from malls

Source: Deloitte holiday survey 2014.

The percentages in figure 13 are calculated among the 28 percent of respondents who plan to shop at malls less this year.

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Tech-savvy, socialbargain-hunters

Mobile devices and social media are gaining inimportance with holiday shoppers, making itimportant for retailers to consider ways to use

technology to engage customers and drive sales.

Consumers will increasingly

utilize technology to find

good deals.

Shoppers will continue to look or

discounts this year. Specifically, two-thirds

o consumers plan to buy items “on sale,”and 47 percent plan to use store coupons.

It is worth noting that consumers plan to

increase their use o technology as part o

their bargain-hunting process as well as their

overall holiday-shopping process (figure 14).

Retailers should view this increased utiliza-

tion o technology not as a threat but as an

opportunity; our survey ound that 50 per-

cent o in-store retail sales, or $345 billion,

will be influenced by digital interactions this

holiday season.

Customers will turn to social

media in search of gift ideas,

deals, and reviews.

All told, 72 percent o respondents use

social media sites (e.g., blogs, discussion

groups, or social networks). Among these

respondents, 45 percent plan to use these

social media sites during their holiday shop-

ping process in a variety o ways (figure 15).

Consumers are using

smartphones for directions,

tablets for online shopping,

and both for price checking.wo-thirds (67 percent) o respondents

own a smartphone (up rom 50 percent in

2012), and 50 percent o respondents indi-

cated they own a tablet (up rom 38 percent

in 2013). Seventy-two percent o smartphone

owners and 69 percent o tablet owners plan

to use their gadgets to assist with holiday

shopping. Te most common way consum-

ers use their smartphones to assist with holi-day shopping is to get store locations. ablet

our survey found that50% OF IN-STORE RETAILSALES, OR $345 BILLION,

 will be influenced by

digital interactions 

this holiday season.

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Graphic: Deloitte University Press | DUPress.com

Get gift ideas

Find discounts, coupons, sale information

Read reviews, “likes,” or recommendationsfor products/stores

Browse products

Check with family/friends on gifts they want

Post comments or share links aboutstores, sales, products

Go to a retailer’s fan page

To watch a retail/product video

To post or view virtual image boards

45%

47%

Coordinate shopping with family/friends

Share what I purchased

Share my own wish list or productsI’m interested in

Show myself wearing or using what I purchased

41%

40%

32%

21%

18%

16%

14%

14%

11%

11%

9%

Source: Deloitte holiday survey 2014.

Figure 15. Reasons to use social media when holiday shopping

The percentages in figure 15 are calculated only among the 45% of respondents planning to use social media to assist with holiday shopping.

 

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owners plan to use their tablets primarily to

shop online. O those planning to use their

devices or holiday shopping, just over hal

o smartphone and tablet owners plan to use

their devices to compare prices (figure 16).More than one-third (34 percent) o tab-

let owners plan to use their tablets to assist

with “in-store” holiday shopping, while 56

percent o smartphone users plan to use their

smartphone to assist with in-store holiday

shopping. Price checking will be the most

common reason or in-store smartphone use.

In addition to price checking, in-store tablet

use will also ocus on reading reviews, online

shopping, and seeking product inormation.

Price checking and self-

checkout are popular in-store

self-help technologies.

Given the interest in price checking and

the aversion to long lines, it makes sense

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that the in-store sel-help technologies that

consumers plan to use the most are those

pertaining to price checking and sel-check-

out (figure 17).

Considering the uptick in gadget usage

to help with customers’ decision-making

processes, in-store experience, and purchase

decisions, retailers should ocus on providing

easy-to-use, high-quality mobile applica-

tions to encourage consumers to be on their

mobile site during their in-store experience.

Tey should also consider building a clear

“buy now” option into their mobile apps to

increase the likelihood that any purchases

made online while in a store are rom that

store—not rom a competitor.

Graphic: Deloitte University Press | DUPress.com

Price checker

Self-checkout payment lanes

Retailer’s mobile app

Mobile payment(e.g., paying via a phone, tablet, or laptop)

Handheld product scanner

Video screens demonstrating products

Electronic shelf labeling

Digital signage

59%

56%

20%

16%

16%

11%

11%

11%

11%

Information kiosks(e.g., access to the retailer’s website)

Source: Deloitte holiday survey 2014.

Figure 17. Planned use of in-store self-help technologies

The percentages in figure 17 are calculated only among the 63% of respondents planning to use in-store self-help technologies.

 

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STOCK-OUTS AND RETAILER STICKINESS

When a product of interest isn’t available at a store, 51 percent of consumers will remain store loyal by trying tofind the product at another location of that same retailer (figure 18). The other location can be another one of itsphysical store locations or that same store’s online site. Once again, a store associate equipped and trained on theappropriate in-store technology could help keep this transaction within the same store family.

Online stock-outs, on the other hand, face a greater rate of customer abandonment. Seventy-four percent ofonline consumers indicate they will go elsewhere if they can’t find the product they’re looking for (figure 19).

Graphic: Deloitte University Press | DUPress.com

Go to another location of the samestore or ask a store associate if

another location has the item

Go online to the same store's website

Go to another store in-person(different chain/name)

Go online to the same store's website(search engines, price comparison sites)

Would not shop online

29%

22%

20%

16%

4%

6%

Would not continue shopping for the product

Go online to another store’s website

 

4%

Source: Deloitte holiday survey 2014.

         m51%

store

loyalty

         m42%

no store

loyalty

Figure 18. How in-store consumers respond to stock-outs

Graphic: Deloitte University Press | DUPress.com

Go online to another store’s website

Go online to another website(search engines, price comparison sites)

Go to the same store in-person(same chain/name)

Go to another store in-person(different chain/name)

Would not shop online

34%

29%

14%

11%

6%

5%Would not continue shopping for the product

         m74%

will go

elsewhere

Figure 19. How online shoppers respond to product stock-outs

Source: Deloitte holiday survey 2014.

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Shoppers are more concerned about online than in-store personal data security; education can helpincrease purchase likelihood.

Shopping risks anddata security

Data security is perceived as

more risky online than in-store.

Data breaches at retailers are clearly top

o mind or consumers: 74 percent indicated

that they are concerned about retailers that

have experienced a data breach. Moreover,

consumers seem to be more apprehensive

about data security when shopping online

(55 percent) than when shopping in-store(42 percent) (figure 20).

While 20 percent o customers say they

will not shop at retailers that have a history

o data breaches, 36 percent o consumers

indicate they are more likely to shop at a

retailer that provides education pertain-

ing to the security o their personal data.

Consequently, retailers should educate cus-

tomers about how they’re using and securing

personally identifiable inormation.

Despite the risk, shoppers are

still using debit and credit cards.

Despite their stated concerns about data

security, 56 percent o consumers will still

shop at retailers that have experienced a data

breach. Also, debit and credit cards remain

popular payment methods (figure 21).

Figure 20. Concerns about data protection

I am concerned about the protectionof my personal data when shoppingonline.

55%

I am more concerned about theprotection of my personal data whenshopping online than one year ago.

51%

I am concerned about the protection ofmy personal data when shopping in the

physical store.

42%

I am concerned about my privacy as aresult of retailers accessing informationabout me through my smartphone.

41%

I will use a different form of paymentwhen shopping as a result of a databreach.

27%

 Source: Deloitte 2014 holiday survey.

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Shoppers will shop and ship late in the season, andthe expectation of late-season price cuts is drivingthis behavior.

Timing is everything

Shoppers are doing themajority of their shopping

in December, hoping to

take advantage of sales.

Despite the shipping delays that occurred

last holiday season,3 and the act that this

year’s holiday shopping season length is

essentially the same as last year—only 27

shopping days exist between Tanksgiving

Day and Christmas Day, compared with 26

shopping days in 2013—shoppers still plan

on shopping late in the season.

While hal o consumers (53 percent)

plan to begin shopping early in the season

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(beore Tanksgiving), shopping momen-

tum is likely to pick up in the latter part o

the season, with 43 percent o respondents

expecting to do the majority  o their shop-

ping in December or later (figure 22). A key

driver o this behavior may be that consum-

ers believe that time is on their side finan-

cially: 41 percent o our survey respondents

agreed with the statement, “I know thingsare going to eventually go on sale, so I’ll only

buy sale items when holiday shopping.”

Free shipping is a

popular offering.

Despite the tendency toward last-minute

shopping, many consumers still plan on tak-

ing advantage o ree shipping (figure 23).

Retailers should make sure they are ully

staffed and stocked up late in the season.

Also, retailers should use caution when

promoting and making shipping commit-

ments. Tey also potentially stand to gain

(long term) by offering their best price

deals and longer return policies early in the

season—and perhaps promising to price

match through Christmas Day. Retailers who

find ways to entice customers relatively early

may potentially benefit, as competition and

discounting might increase through the endo the season.

Graphic: Deloitte University Press | DUPress.com

Free shipping

Free returns

Price matching

Extended holiday hours

Order online/pick up in-store

68%

52%

45%

35%

34%

16%16%

13%

Free layaway

Source: Deloitte holiday survey 2014.

Figure 23. Shoppers planning to take advantage of various retail service offerings

despite the tendencytoward last-minute shopping, 

MANY SHOPPERS STILL PLAN ON

TAKING ADVANTAGE OF

FREE SHIPPING.

 

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Standing out from the crowd

THE anticipated rise in holiday spending

this year is, o course, welcome news

or retailers. But which retailers could be

poised to reap a greater share o the expected

consumer spend? Standing out rom the

crowd may depend on coordinating mul-

tiple actors to give consumers a compelling

reason to shop at one’s own store rather than

elsewhere. A strong online presence coupled

with a satisying in-store experience—which

includes knowledgeable store associates and

the right in-store technologies—as well as

the ability to drive purchases through mobile

both remotely and in-store are all elements

that can enable a retailer to distinguish

themselves rom the competition. Creating

the right mix, as always, is the retailer’s

perennial challenge. And though the details

may differ rom year to year, the bottom line

remains the same: Te retailers that poten-

tially come out ahead will be those that are

most effective at meeting consumer needs.

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Methodology

THIS 29th annual survey was commissioned by Deloitte and conducted online by an independent

research company during September 13–24, 2014. It polled a national sample o 5,033 consumers and

has a margin o error or the entire sample o +/-1 percentage point.

Endnotes

1. Deloitte, “Deloitte orecast: Retail holidaysales to increase 4–4.5 percent,” press release,September 24, 2014, http://www.deloitte.com/

 view/en_US/us/press/Press-Releases/eb17ad-d2e88410VgnVCM200000335670aRCRD.htm .

2. Local retail stores are defined as small busi-nesses, independent retailers, or boutiqueshops that are not part o national chains.

3. Shelly Banjo, “Shipping overload leavesmany Christmas gifless,” MarketWatch,December 25, 2013, http://www.marketwatch.com/story/shipping-overload-leaves-many-christmas-gifless-2013-12-25.

 

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Contacts

 Alison Kenney Paul

Vice chairman and US Retail and Distribution

leader

PrincipalDeloitte LLP

+1 312 486 4457

[email protected]

Rod Sides

US Consulting leader, Retail and Distribution

principal

Deloitte Consulting LLP

+1 704 887 1505

[email protected]

Bob Falcey

US marketing leader, Retail and Distribution

Deloitte Services LP

+1 215 246 [email protected] 

Susan K. Hogan

US research leader, Retail and Distribution

Deloitte Services LP

+1 404 220 1994

[email protected]

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