Dragon vs Tiger- Emergence as a Global Leader- NAGA

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    Dragon vs Tiger- Emergence as a

    global leaderPresented by

    Naganathan.R

    MBA

    SAVEETHA

    MANAGEMEN

    T SCHOOL

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    Contents

    China and India- Economies at a glance China and India: emerging global economic

    players

    Sino-Indian relationship Military might of India and China

    Strengths and Lessons of India and China

    CHINDIAS Pre-conditions for a peacefulglobal power transition.

    Conclusion

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    Sino-Indian relationship

    Relations between China and India date back to

    ancient times. China and India are two of the worlds

    oldest civilizations and have coexisted in peace for

    millennia. Trade relations via the Silk Road acted aseconomic contact between the two regions.

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    Sino-Indian relationship- Some

    milestones In April 1954, India and the PRC signed an eight-year agreement on Tibet

    that set forth the basis of their relationship in the form of the Five

    Principles of Peaceful Coexistence (or Panch Shila).

    October 20- 21 November 1962, War intensifies between PRC and INDIA.

    India and the PRC renewed efforts to improve relations after the SovietUnion invaded Afghanistan in December 1979.

    In 1984, squads of Indian soldiers began actively patrolling the Sumdorong

    Chu Valley in Arunachal Pradesh.

    in July 1994, the two sides agreed that border problems should be

    resolved peacefully through "mutual understanding and concessions." InOctober 2009, Asian Development Bank formally

    acknowledging Arunachal Pradesh as part of India, approved a loan to

    India for a development project there.

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    Military might of India and China

    Capabilities CHINA INDIA

    Total Population 1,330,044,544 1,147,995,904

    Military ManpowerAvailable

    729,323,673 584,141,225

    Reaching Military Age

    Yearly20,470,412 22,229,373

    Active MilitaryPersonnel

    2,255,000 1,325,000

    Active MilitaryReserves

    800,000 1,155,000

    Active Paramilitary 3,969,000 1,293,300Total Air-Based

    Weapons1,900 1,007

    Total Land-BasedWeapons

    31,300 10,340

    Total Naval Units 760 143

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    Capabilities CHINA INDIA

    Towed Artillery Systems 14,000 4,175

    Merchant MarineStrength

    1,822 501

    Major Ports and

    Terminals

    8 9

    Aircraft Carriers 1 1

    Destroyers 21 8

    Frigates 42 16

    Submarines 68 18

    Patrol Coastal Craft 368 43

    Mine Warfare Craft 39 12

    Amphibious OperationsCraft

    121 7

    Defense Budget /

    Expenditure$59,000,000,000 $32,350,000,000

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    Very high economic growth, large internal market Very high savings and investment rate

    Excellent at tapping into global knowledge throughdirect foreign investment and Chinese Diaspora

    Becoming worlds manufacturing base Very large supply of excess labor will continue to give

    it low wage advantage

    But moving rapidly up value chain from laborintensive to more technology intensive exports

    Efficient export trade logistics Critical mass in R&D is beginning to be deployed to

    increase competitiveness

    Strong investments in education and training

    Government with strong sense of national purposecjd

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    Jumped from traditional rate of 2-3% growth inpast decades to 6-8% last decade

    Strong science and engineering capabilitiescentered in chemical and software areas

    Is becoming worlds service center for softwaredevelopment and back office offshoreoutsourcing

    Is also becoming center for contract innovationwork for multinational companies

    Has large critical mass of educated, skilled, andEnglish speaking knowledge workers and canincrease this stock

    Has network of successful Indians in US andEurope providing links to markets, technology,and finance

    Relatively deep financial markets Is strengthening export orientation, and seeking

    strategic alliances, but strength is limited moreto intangible trade rather than tangibles tradebecause of high infrastructure and regulatorycosts

    cjd

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    Importance of nation state in

    developing long term strategy for country, providing stable macroeconomic framework,

    pragmatism in transition to market economy

    developing an institutional means for development to take place

    focusing for several decades on the importance of education and

    science and technology Importance of integration to world economy and of trade in goods as

    engine of growth Very effective use of direct foreign investment to move up technology

    ladder

    Strong investments in human capital as fundamental step to make thetransition

    Effective use of Chinese Diaspora in high tech parks and to bring intechnology and access to markets

    cjd

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    Importance of investments in high level technical,scientific, and managerial capital through network ofIndian Institutes of Technology and Indian ManagementInstitutes

    Importance of turning brain drain to brain gain by

    harnessing Indian Diaspora in global high tech industry Importance of moving from self-reliance to greater

    international integration to accelerate and sustain growth

    Importance of improving the whole legal and regulatoryenvironment to stimulate greater innovation and get more

    out of growing critical mass of resources allocated toR&D

    Importance of tackling necessary reforms in regulatoryregime and improving infrastructure and education to

    really emerge as major export powercjd

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    PRE-CONDITIONS FOR APEACEFUL

    GLOBALPOWER TRANSITION

    Much of China s dazzling newinfrastructure was built in the

    late 1990s , and India is gearingup to the repeat thatperformance in the latter part ofthis decade .

    Foreign inflows into Chinajumped substantially in the early1990s ,and those into India have,as was to be expected, jumpedin the mid-2000s.

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    Good education and healthfacilities are necessary for

    inclusive development they arestate subjects in India ,in chinaalso , local government has alarge share of the responsibilityfor their provision.

    The Chinese culture is morehomogenous , while India hasgreater diversity.

    India's greater expertise withmarket also shows in thefinancial sector, which is moredeeper and more robust then

    Chinese counterpart .

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    The two countries can develop similarposition on international negotiations to

    counter pressure from lobbies that wouldmake developing countries bear much of thecost of moderating the climate changecreated by current develop nations.

    At the same time , promoting technologyand renewable energy based solutions willmitigate the need for intense futurecompetition over China

    The moment we realize the tusker nature ofINDIA, we would have a better prospective

    over the mythical dragon.

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