Dr. Timothy Spangler The COMET Program
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Transcript of Dr. Timothy Spangler The COMET Program
Dr. Timothy SpanglerThe COMET Program
COMET Executive Board2-3 June 2010
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FY10 Cluster Accomplishments andModule Demonstrations
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•Jennifer Frazer•Maria Frostic•Vickie Johnson•David Russi•Andrea Smith (.5 FTE)
•NEEF and environmental education
•NWS International Activities Office
•International Projects•Australian Bureau of
Meteorology •WMO•NOAA Tsunami•Translations•Special Projects
Pat Parrish’s Cluster C
FY10 Accomplishments
• The Amazon Rainforest and Climate Change (NEEF – English and Portuguese)
• Flash Flood Early Warning Systems Reference Guide (NWS IAO)
• Virtual Basic Hydrologic Sciences Courses (NWS IAO – VCP)
• Basic Hydrologic Sciences Distance Learning Course - International adaptation and 1 new module (NWS IAO VCP)
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Cluster C
FY10 Accomplishments• WMO critical eLearning Programs (NWS IAO VCP)
• Module compilation and adaptation: Fog: Its Processes and Impacts to Aviation and Aviation Forecasting
• Group on Earth Observations (GEO) Water Cycle Capacity Building Workshop meeting support (NWS IAO VCP)
• Hurricane Strike! – module update (NWS IAO – VCP)
• Community Hurricane Preparedness module update (NWS)
• Radar Signatures for Severe Weather (BoM)
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Cluster C
FY10 Accomplishments
• Role of the Skywarn Spotter (NWS)• Skywarn Spotter Convective Basics (NWS)• Tsunami Science (NWS)• Tsunami Warning System (NWS)• HYSPLIT Applications for Emergency Decision
Support (NWS)• Recognition and Impact of Vorticity
Maxima and Minima (EUMETSAT)• ASMET Phase 2
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Cluster C
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Total: 7,649 sessions
Climate Change Usage 1 May 2009 – 30 April 2010
2010 Spanish Translations
Redacción de pronósticos de aeródromo para tiempo
convectivo (Writing TAFs for Convective
Weather)
Principios de convección II: uso de la hodógrafa
(Principles of Convection II: Using Hodographs)
Impacto de la física del modelo en los pronósticos numéricos,
versión 2 (Influence of Model Physics on
NWP Forecasts version 2)
Uso inteligente de los productos derivados de los modelos,
versión 2 (Intelligent Use of Model Derived
Products version 2)
Fundamentos de los modelos: versión 2
(Model Fundamentals version 2)
Impacto de la estructura y dinámica de los modelos:
versión 2 (Impact of Model Structure and
Dynamics version 2)
¿Cómo producen los modelos la precipitación y las nubes?
versión 2 (How Models Produce
Precipitation and Clouds version 2)
Introducción a la meteorología tropical, capítulo 10: Ciclones tropicales
(Introduction to Tropical Meteorology, Chapter 10: Tropical
Cyclones)
S290 Unidad 7: Sistemas de vientos
(S290 Unit 7: Wind Systems)
Definición de mesoescala (Definition of the Mesoscale)
Comprensión de los sistemas de asimilación: cómo los modelos crean
sus propias condiciones iniciales, versión 2
(Understanding Assimilation Systems: How Models Create Their Initial
Conditions – version 2)
¿Veremos una sonda atmosférica avanzada en el GOES?
(Toward an Advanced Sounder on GOES?)
Recursos sobre alertas de tsunami
(Tsunami Warning Guide)
JASON-2: Uso de la altimetría satelital
en observaciones oceánicas(JASON-2: Using Satellite
Altimetry to Monitor the Ocean)
Huracanes: Preparación de la comunidad
(Community Hurricane Preparedness)
Máximos de vorticidad y estructuras en coma
(Vorticity Maxima and Comma Patterns)
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Cluster C
2010 French Translation
Plan
JASON-2: Using Satellite Altimetry to Monitor the Ocean Deformation Zone
Distribution
Dynamic Feature Identification: The
Satellite Palette
The "Ten" Commandments of the Satellite Palette
Hurricanes Canadian Style: Extratropical
Transition
Gap Winds
Heavy Banded Snow
Frontogenetical Circulations and
Stability
Satellite Feature Identification:
Blocking Patterns
Satellite Feature Identification:
Ring of Fire
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Note: Completion of these French translations is now likely to occur in FY11. It is dependent on work to be accomplished by
MSC and final EUMETSAT contract
Cluster C
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•Patrick Dills•Lon Goldstein•Matt Kelsch•Dolores Kiessling (.6 FTE)•Arlene Laing •Amy Stevermer•Marianne Weingroff
•Satellite Meteorology•NPOESS•NESDIS/GOES-R•EUMETSAT
•Hydrology•Air Force Weather•Tropical Textbook•Climate
Wendy’s Cluster A
FY10 Accomplishments•Climate Variability and Change Virtual Course •Climate Services and Outreach•WAS*IS August 2010 Workshop recordings (pending)•Flash Flood/QPE Residence Course•QPF for Hydrologic Modeling Virtual Course•Precipitation Estimates, Part 2: Analysis•QPF Verification: Challenges and Tools•Distributed Hydrologic Models for Flow Forecasts: Part 2
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Cluster A
FY10 Accomplishments (cont.)•River Ice Process Short Version•Techniques in Hydrologic Forecast Verification•Environmental Satellite Resource Center, V 2.0•2010 Satellite Community Training Meeting•Toward an Advanced Sounder on GOES?•GOES Channel Selection – Version 2•Forecasting Dust Storms (DoD Update and International Adaptation)•Multispectral Satellite Applications: RGB Products Explained
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Cluster A
FY10 Accomplishments (cont.)• Introduction to Tropical Meteorology, Chapter 11: Observations, An
alysis, and Prediction of Tropical Weather• Snowpack and Its Assessment• Avalanche Weather Forecasting
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Cluster A
Precipitation
Estimates, Part 2: Analysis
QPF Verificatio
n 1, Challenge
s and Tools
QPF Virtual Course:
S-290 Unit 7: Wind
SystemsEffective Use of High-
resolution Models
QPF for Flow
ForecastsCOMAP
10Understan
ding Assimilation Systems:
How Models Create Their Initial
Conditions, Version 2
Satellite Feature
Identification: Short
Waves and
Cyclogenesis
Avalanche
Weather Forecastin
g
A Forecaste
r’s Overview
of the Northwest PacificIntroducti
on to Hydrogra
phy
Tsunami Warning System
MSC Winter
Weather Writing TAFs for Ceilings
and Visibility
Community
Hurricane Prepared
ness (Module update)
Introduction to
Tropical Meteorolo
gy, Chapter
11: Observatio
ns, Analysis,
and Prediction of Tropical Weather
Snowpack and Its
AssessmentFlash
Flood/QPE
Residence Course
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Modules containing LEO or GEO dataCluster A
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Alan BolBill Bua
Bryan GuarenteStephen Jascourt
Cody Kirkpatrick (post-doc)Dave Linder
Liz PageWarren Rodie
Tsvetomir Ross-Lazarov
Fire WeatherMSC Focused Topics
NWPMesoscale MeteorologyOceanography & Other NMOC Focused Topics
Aviation
Greg’s Cluster B
• Distance Learning Aviation Course-2 (DLAC-2): Terminal Forecasting, Writing TAFs for Ceilings and Visibility
• S-290: Introduction• S-290: Unit 6: Atmospheric Stability• S-290: Unit 7: Wind Systems• S-290: Unit 10: Fuel Moisture• S-290: Unit 11: Extreme Wildland Fire
Behavior• S-290: Unit 12: Gauging Fire Behavior and Gu
iding Fireline Decisions
FY10 Accomplishm
ents
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Cluster B
• Boundary Layer Processes Virtual Course• COMAP 10• NWP Course Unit 1: Overview and Orientatio
n• NWP Course Unit 2• NWP Course Unit 3• Ongoing NWP Matrix Maintenance• Introduction to Hydrography• Introduction to Ocean Acoustics• Arctic Ecosystems• Radar Signatures for Winter Weather
FY10 Accomplishm
ents
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Cluster B
• Forecaster’s Overview of the Northwest Pacific
• Mountain Weather Virtual Course Development
• Dynamic Feature Identification: Short Waves and Cyclogenesis
• Alberta Clipper Case and Supporting Material
FY10 Accomplishm
ents
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Cluster B
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FY10 Review and Summary
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Director’s OfficeTim Spangler – Director
Elizabeth Lessard – Business ManagerLorrie Alberta
Michelle HarrisonHildy Kane
Elllen Martinez
Deputy DirectorJoe Lamos
Operations Manager
Cluster AWendy Abshire
Patrick DillsLon GoldsteinMatt KelschDolores KiesslingArlene LaingAmy StevermerMarianne Weingroff
Cluster BGreg Byrd
Alan BolBill BuaBryan GuarenteStephen JascourtCody KirkpatrickDave LinderTsvetomir Ross-LazarovElizabeth PageWarren Rodie
Cluster CPat Parrish
Jennifer FrazerMaria FrosticVickie JohnsonDavid RussiAndrea Smith
ITTim Alberta
Robert BubonJames HammKen KimMark MulhollandMalte Winkler
Chris Weber (student)Victor Taberski (student)
Media Development Group
Bruce Muller
Steve DeyoSeth LamosBrannan McGillDan RiterCarl Whitehurst
Project Management Operations
COMET Organization
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Training is about getting people ready to execute and put their training to the test when the organization needs it
the most.
Lesson from Flight 1549
COMET Executive
Board
COMET Advisory
Panel
COMET Program
BPS
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Executive Board Role
Review status of Program and
provide recommendation
s
Assist UCAR in resolving major
budgetary issues regarding the
relative role of sponsors
Advise UCAR on the selection of
the COMET Director
Hold at least one meeting per year
Create subcommittees
as needed• i.e. Budget
and Priority Subcommitte
e
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E x e c u t i v e B o a r d M e m b e r s
Dr. Rick Anthes Chair, President, UCAR -
Mr. Gary Davis Director, OSD/NESDIS Alternate: Mr. Jim Gurka
Dr. Jack Fellows Director, UCAR Community Programs -
Mr. David Grimes Assistant Deputy Minister, MSC Alternative: Mr. Jaymie Gadal
Dr. Jack Hayes Assistant Administrator, NOAA/NWS Alternate: Mr. David CaldwellAlternate: Mr. LeRoy Spayd
Mr. Carl Hoffman Integrated Program Office, NPOESS Alternate: Mr. John Furgerson
Dr. Fred Lewis (General, Retired) Director, AFW Alternate: Lieutenant Colonel Jeffery Cox
Dr. Alexander MacDonald Deputy Administrator, OAR; Director, ESRL, NOAA Alternate: Dr. Steve Koch
Mr. Greg Mandt GOES-R System Program Director, NOAA Alternate: Mr. James Gurka
Ms. Deborah Sliter Vice President for Programs, NEEF -
Dr. Roger Wakimoto Director, NCAR Alternate: Dr. Maura Hagan
Rear Admiral Jonathan White Commander, NMOC Alternate: Commander John Daziens
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2004 Louis J. Battan Authors Award, K-12 Category for Hurricane Strike!™
For Polar Lows Ungava Bay 01 December 2000
Bronze Medal for Boundary Detection & Convection Initiation
2005 Honorable Mention in the non-interactive media category of the Science & Engineering Visualization Challenge
American Geophysical Union Excellence in Geophysical Education Award 2006
2000 Hurricane Conference Outstanding Achievement Award for Community Hurricane Preparedness
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2009 National Weather Association Public Education Award
2008 NSF and the Journal ScienceInternational Science & Engineering Visualization Challenge: Semi-Finalist
Award Winning Program
Finalist Recognition International Science & Engineering Visualization Challenge 2009
Review and recommend a program plan to the Executive Board
Coordinate funding with all sponsors of the program and recommend annual budgets to the Executive Board
Relieve the COMET Director from negotiating funding levels Membership:
Designated sponsor representatives
Budget Priority Subcommittee (BPS) Role
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Promote maintenance of high scientific and professional standards
Review and advise on the policies, instructional programs, and priorities of
the COMET Program
Prepare an annual evaluation of the COMET Program and provide
recommendations
Recommend candidates for members-at-large
Review the COMET Program Plan
The Panel meets at least once a year
Advisory Panel Role
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A d v i s o r y P a n e l M e m b e r sMr. Stephen Augustyn AFWA Representative
Mr. Kenneth Carey Private Sector RepresentativeDr. Vilma Castro At-Large Representative
Mr. Jaymie Gadal MSC RepresentativeDr. Andrew Gibbons Education Representative
Mr. James Gurka NESDIS RepresentativeDr. John Gyakum University Representative
LCDR Matthew Henigan NMOC RepresentativeDr. John Horel University Representative
Mr. Rodney Jacques NMOC RepresentativeMr. Ryan Knutsvig NWS RepresentativeMr. Bill Mahoney NCAR Representative
Mr. Gary McWilliams NPOESS RepresentativeDr. Mohan Ramamurthy UOP Representative
Maj. Wendy Seaman AFWA Representative Dr. Sepidah Yalda, Chair University Representative
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Director’s Report
FY10 Accomplishments
Note: All projected
accomplishments are estimates
based on project status as of
1 June.
Publication of new content - 56 hours
Update of existing content - 26 hours (satellite, hurricane, NWP)
Adaptation of existing content - 8 hours (hydro, aviation)
Spanish translations - 35 hours
French translation - 1.5 (modules in process are pending MSC input)
ESRC Version 2.0
Maintain NPOESS Userport (begin evaluation to convert/update Userport and exiting modules to JPSS)
Infuse satellite data into new modules
Flash Flood Reference Guide (~208 page printed guide – available by print, PDF and CD)
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FY10 Accomplishments
3 week COMAP course
2 week Winter Weather course
3 day Flash Flood/QPE course
International Basic Hydrology virtual course
Boundary Layer Processes virtual course
Climate Variability and Change virtual course
QPF for Hydrologic Modeling virtual course
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Metrics
Registrant
• Someone who has registered in the website
User
• Someone who has actually been in a module
Session
• A visit to a module by a User that is greater than 1 minute
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Metrics Terminology
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MetEd DashboardWorldwide Meted Users (example)
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MetEd DashboardMonthly Totals of New Meted Users
http://inside.comet.ucar.edu/dashboard/index.php
MetEd Statistics as of
1 June 2010Total Registration140,000
Total International Users 47,000
Total Countries200
Total US Universities 1,075
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Topic Modules Approximate Content Hours
Aviation Weather 41 117
Climate 20 26
Coastal Weather 25 39
Convective Weather 31 91
Emergency Management 18 38
Environment & Society 16 31
Fire Weather 34 43
Fog & Low Stratus 25 55
Hydrology/Flooding 47 60
Marine Meteorology/Oceans 41 64
Mesoscale Meteorology 34 78
Mountain Meteorology 16 25
NWP (Modeling) 68 129
Other 24 60
QPF (Precipitation) 19 26
Radar Meteorology 5 14
Satellite Meteorology 72 112
Space Weather 4 9
Tropical/Hurricane 33 72
Winter Weather 42 9038
COMET Modules By Topic as of May 2010
Modules can be double counted
because they appear in multiple
categories
March ‘10 2nd Quarter FY10 Grand Total through March
New Registrants / Total Registered Users: 6,020 15,863 129,885
New Countries / Total Countries Represented: 6 8 237
New Universities / Total Universities Represented: 24 68 1052
New/Total International Registrants: 2,194 5509 43,258
Unique MetEd Users This Month: 8,742
Unique MetEd Users (> 1 minute)/Total Unique: 6,534 13,698 84,172
Module Sessions (> 1 minute): 23,142 61,915 557,313
Avg Time Spent in Module (minutes): 52 53 51
Hours of Online Education: 20,403 55,516 487,731
Modules Downloaded: 2,592 7,810 56833
Print Versions Accessed: 6,847 15,960 92,608
Quizzes Started: 4,112 11,177 115,160
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Format of Monthly Report Distributed to Sponsors
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Module Content Hours by Year
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Total Registrants by Affiliation 29 January 2007 – 30 April 2010
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Total Registrants by Affiliation (without Education )29 January 2007 – 30 April 2010
1 May 2009 – 30 April 2010
1 May 2008 – 30 April 2009
Average Time in Module in minutes 53 53
Number of Print Versions 49,202 31,061Number of Downloads 24,824 20,230Number of Quizzes Completed 37,049 30,724
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Module Access Statistics
as of April 2010as of 30 April
2009
English 275 241
Spanish 73 60
French 19 17
Portuguese 2 1
Russian 2 2
Indonesian 1 -
Total 372 321
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Module Available on MetEd by Language
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User Sessions 1 May 2009 – 30 April 2010
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Modules Sessions
1 Skew-T Mastery 10,131
2 Anticipating Hazardous Weather and Community Risk 9,862
3 Hurricane Strike! 9,642
4 Climate Change: Fitting the Pieces Together 7,649
5 Community Hurricane Preparedness 6,509
6Operational Models Matrix: Characteristics of Operational NWP Models
2,648
7 Antarctica: Challenging Forecasts for a Challenging Environment 2,472
8 A Convective Storm Matrix: Buoyancy/Shear Dependencies 2,291
9 Introduction to Tropical Meteorology, Chapter 10: Tropical Cyclones 2,289
10 Principles of Convection I: Buoyancy and CAPE 2,259
Modules SessionsAnticipating Hazardous Weather and Community Risk 14,020
Skew-T Mastery 13,684
Hurricane Strike! 11,052
Community Hurricane Preparedness 9,882
Introduction to Tropical Meteorology, Chapter 10: Tropical Cyclones 3,900
Operational Models Matrix: Characteristics of Operational NWP Models
3,748
Introduction to Climatology 3,535
Introduction to Tropical Meteorology, Chapter 5: Tropical Variability 3,507
Impact of Model Structure & Dynamics 3,438
A Convective Storm Matrix: Buoyancy/Shear Dependencies 3,079
1 May 2009 – 30 April 2010 1 May 2008 – 30 April 2009
46
Top 10 Modules
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Total Registrants by Education Sub-Affiliationas of 30 April 2010
Sub-Affiliation1 May 2009 – 30 April 2010
1 May 2008 – 30 April 2009
College/University/Faculty 1,988 1,679College/University/Student 8,940 7,079International/Faculty 342 270International/Student 875 692K-12 Educator 1,202 1,310K-12 Student 2,284 2,211Other 1,203 1,023Total 16,834 14,264
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New Education Users by Sub-Affiliation
49
Sessions by Education Users1 May 2009 – 30 April 2010
50
Sessions by Canadian Users1 May 2009 – 30 April 2010
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Sub-Affiliation1 May 2009 – 30 April 2010
1 May 2008 – 30 April 2009
National Environmental Satellite Data and Information Service 96 79
National Marine Fisheries Service 37 11
National Ocean Service 124 54National Weather Service 693 561
Office of Education 18 16Office of Marine and Aviation
Operations 14 5Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research 72 69
Other 69 46Programming Planning and
Integration 2 5Total 1,125 846
New NOAA Registrants by Sub-Affiliations
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Total Registrants by NOAA Sub-Affiliation 1 January 2007 – 1 January 2010
National Environmental Satellite Data and Information Service 227
National Marine Fisheries Service 47
National Ocean Service 161
National Weather Service 3,368
Office of Education 33
Office of Marine and Aviation Operations 30
Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research 168
Other 313
Programming Planning and Integration 12
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Sessions by NOAA Users1 May 2009 – 30 April 2010
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Total Registrants by DoD Sub-Affiliations29 January 2007 – 30 April 2010
Sub-Affiliation1 May 2009 – 30 April 2010
1 May 2008 – 30 April 2009
Air Force 624 742Army 281 280Navy 547 507Other 123 100USMC 90 138Total 1,665 1,767
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New Registrants by Sub-Affiliation DoD
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Sessions by DoD/Air Force/Navy Users1 May 2009 – 30 April 2010
On MetEd Website
1 May 2009 - 30 April
2010
1 May 2008 –
30 April 2009
Navy 3,124 user sessions
5,326 user sessions
Air Force 4,085 user sessions
5,387 user sessions
NOAA 24,485 user sessions
30,382 user sessions
On Service Website
1 May 2009 – 30 April 2010
1 May 2008 – 30 April 2009
Navy ~4,000 course completions ~4,000 course completions
Air Force 766 user sessions 511 user sessions
Does not include download and archive usage 57
Agency Totals
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AFW user
Principal of Convection I: Buoyancy and CAPEQuestion 6:
What did you like least about this module or webcast? How could it be improved?
“It was amazing. I love it in every way.”
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Total Registrants by US State or Local Gov’t Sub-Affiliations29 January 2007 - 30 April 2010
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Sessions by US State or Local Government1 May 2009 – 30 April 2010
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Total Registrants by Private Sector Sub-Affiliations29 January 2007 – 30 April 2010
Sub-Affiliation1 May 2009 – 30 April 2010
1 May 2008 – 30 April 2009
Agriculture 52 60 Aviation 350 314 Broadcasting 313 404 Ground Transportation 75 83
Other 1,463 1,654 Utilities 135 144 Total 2,388 2,659
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New Users by Sub-Affiliation Private Sector
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Sessions by Private Sector Users1 May 2009 - 30 April 2010
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Sessions by International Users1 May 2009 – 30 April 2010
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1 May 2009 – 30 April 2010
Country Sessions
Spain 2,792
Mexico 2,525
Colombia 1,424Argentina 1,323
Perú 1,036Chile 888
United States 523Venezuela 377Ecuador 346Portugal 262
1 May 2008 – 30 April 2009
Country Sessions
Spain 2,940
México 2,771
Colombia 1,316Chile 1,009Perú 997
Argentina 909Venezuela 660
United States 553Bolivia 357
El Salvador 262
Top 10 Spanish Module Usage by Country
1 May 2009 – 30 April 2010 Sessions 1 May 2008 – 30 April 2009 Sessions
Dominio del diagrama oblicuo T-log p 1,453Introducción a la meteorología tropical, Capítulo 6: Distribución de humedad y
precipitación1,165
Procesos de escorrentía 599 Dominio del diagrama oblicuo T-log p 1,031
Cambio climático: Cómo encajan las piezas 540Matriz de modelos operativos:
características de los modelos de PNT operativos
482
Tránsito de avenidas 471 Tipos de olas y sus características 464
Comprensión del ciclo hidrológico 458 Introducción a las corrientes oceánicas 446
Matriz de modelos operativos: características de los modelos de PNT operativos 458 Ondas de montaña y vientos de ladera
descendentes 389
Tipos de olas y sus características 438 Comprensión del ciclo hidrológico 380
Introducción a la meteorología tropical, Capítulo 6: Distribución de humedad y
precipitación431 Consideraciones de meteorología sinóptica:
pronósticos de nieblas y estratos bajos 373
Introducción a la meteorología tropical, Capítulo 3: Aplicaciones de percepción remota
en los trópicos422 Procesos de escorrentía 354
Ondas de montaña y vientos de ladera descendentes 414 Teoría del hidrograma unitario 302
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Top 10 Modules in Spanish
Pre-test Sample Size
Pre-test Average
Score
Post-test Sample
Size
Post-test Average
ScoreDistributed Hydrologic Models for Flow
Forecasts - Part 1 145 61 61 91
DLAC 2 Unit 1 - Basic Terminal Forecast Strategies 1153 65 543 74
Ensemble Forecasting Explained 1,086 52 487 77
Fire Behavior 388 59 385 75
Flash Flood Processes 933 65 1,171 89
Flood Frequency Analysis 589 59 553 84
Introduction to Distributed Hydrologic Modeling 20 59 51 82
Introduction to Ocean Models 377 63 269 77
Introduction to Verification of Hydrologic Forecasts 190 45 60 80
Precipitation Estimates, Part 1: Measurement 415 54 357 82
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Pre/Post Tests as of May 2010
Pre-test Sample Size
Pre-test Average
Score
Post-test Sample
Size
Post-test Average
ScorePrecipitation Estimates, Part 2:
Analysis 84 42 50 73
Rip Currents Forecasting 202 50 175 79
Runoff Processes 1041 67 848 84S-290 Unit 12: Gauging Fire
Behavior and Guiding Fireline Decisions
42 57 45 77
Snowmelt Processes 415 59 387 80
Using the WRF Mesoscale Model 24 58 75 73
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Pre/Post Tests as of May 2010
Pre Avg Post Avg CountDistributed Hydrologic Models for Flow
Forecasts - Part 1 66 90 37
DLAC 2 Unit 1 - Basic Terminal Forecast Strategies 65 78 279
Ensemble Forecasting Explained 58 79 256Fire Behavior 62 78 167
Flash Flood Processes 63 89 522Flood Frequency Analysis 60 86 270
Introduction to Distributed Hydrologic Modeling 66 81 14
Introduction to Ocean Models 66 80 123Introduction to Verification of Hydrologic
Forecasts 47 78 41
Precipitation Estimates, Part 1: Measurement 54 86 166
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Pre/Post Assessment Scores for those who have completed both as of April 2010
Pre Avg Post Avg Count
Precipitation Estimates, Part 2: Analysis 46 78 15
QPF Verification: Challenges and Tools 0 0 1
Rip Currents Forecasting 51 81 69
Runoff Processes 68 88 473
S-290 Unit 12: Gauging Fire Behavior and Guiding Fireline Decisions 57 80 32
Snowmelt Processes 59 81 171
Using the WRF Mesoscale Model 56 76 18
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Pre/Post Assessment Scores for those who have
completed both as of April 2010 (continued)
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Top Ten Modules by Affiliation1 May 2009 – 30 April 2010
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Budget
Staffing History
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FY10 and FY11 Funding
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FY10 Actual Grand Total FY11 Projected Funding Grand TotalNOAA NOAA
NWS Aviation 300,000$ NWS Aviation 300,000$ NOAA Tsunami 300,205$ NOAA Tsunami 190,000$ NWS Hydrology 402,000$ NWS Hydrology (Amount tentative) 125,000$ NWS Outreach 450,000$ NWS Outreach (Office of Science and Technology) 450,000$ NWS NWP 324,500$ NWS NWP 335,000$ NWS IAO 398,549$ NWS Module O&M 125,000$ NWS Core Funding 1,671,000$ NWS Core Funding 1,946,000$ NWS Courses 94,000$ NWS IAO 328,000$ NWS International (PNS IA01) 25,000$ NWS Climate TBDVirtual Classroom Setup 68,000$ NWS IMET (Fire Weather) 175,000$ SOO Focal Point Workstation 12,000$ NESDIS 350,000$ NWS FY10 Projects Funded in FY09 947,000$ JPSS 265,000$ NESDIS (includes international projects funded in FY09) 364,000$ Non-NOAANWS IMET (Fire Weather) 400,000$ Air Force TBDNPOESS 265,000$ Navy 315,000$ NOS Disaster Risk Reduction (FY10 portion of $25K project) 10,000$ Meteorological Service of Canada 345,000$
Non-NOAA EUMETSAT ASMET Phase 2 Module 2 36,000$ Air Force Weather Agency 291,263$ WMO 18,000$ Meteorological Service of Canada 335,000$ Subtotal 5,303,000$ NMOC 300,000$ Anticipated FY10 Carryforward Projects into FY11 385,000$ EUMETSAT 50,977$ FY11 Anticipated Funding with Carryforward 5,688,000$ NEEF Brazil Climate 31,514$ Univ. of WI (SARP Sea Grant) 100,000$ BoM Australia 35,000$ WMO Virtual Hydro Course 8,595$ NFS Fire Behavior Field Guide 11,799$ NYU - Arctic Ecosystems 39,376$
FY10 Funding 7,234,778$ Anticipated F&10 Carryforward Projects into FY11 (385,000)$
Available FY10 Funding 6,849,778$
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FY10 Funding Breakdown
Salaries and Benefits 4,412,754$ Materials and Supplies 131,410$ Purchased Services 442,830$ Travel 167,671$ Participant Support Cost Travel 14,000$ Equipment 33,651$ UCAR Overhead 1,580,975$
Total Expenses 6,783,291$
FY11 Spending Plan
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FY10Starting Reserve $ 0
Starting Carry-Forward $ 2,849,000 Income $ 4,400,000
Committed Carry-Forward $ (345,000)
Available after Committed Carry-Forward
$ 6,912,000 Expenses $ (6,750,000)
Reserve Applied $ 0New Anticipated Reserve $ 162,000
Budget Status
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Budget Retreat Conclusions
NWS pays full base costs
NWS Programs pay the MDG and Cluster costs
NOAA Programs pay
MDG and cluster costs and 10% for
base (retained for
reserve)
Non-NOAA Program pay
MDG and cluster costs + 20% for base
One Time Grants pay
incremental costs (may
have minimal base recovery
if it can be supported
under proposal)
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Business Management
Program Management/Development
Budget/Agreements Management
NSTEP Process
Program Plan
Office Services
International Representation
IT Infrastructure
MetEd Website
AWIPS Support
Case Studies
Field Support
FDTB Support
Base Services
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Funding Agreement Status
Navy• IPAs end June 2011
AFW• Contract worked in FY10• FY11 - Pending
MSC• 5 year Contribution Agreement
pending
BoM Australia• Contracts working• Exploring more flexible blanket
agreement
NMOC Funding in FY11 and beyond
IPAs
• Increase IPAs to full-time through May
• Extend Rodie IPA through Sept 2011
• New funding mechanism would begin Oct 2011
• 3 of 4 IPAs cannot be extended past May 2011
Contract
(begin either June or
Oct 2011)
• Requires careful planning and flexibility
• Decreases flexibility and requires SME commitment to timelines
Grant or Cooperative Agreement
(begin either June or
Oct 2011)
• Would require different “color of money”
• Provides the most flexibility
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Status of the CI vs. CA – Fellows/Spayd/Contorno
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Agency Presentations
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FY11 Plans
FY11 Expected Accomplishments
65+ hours of new module
content anticipated
10+ hours of updates to
existing materials
2 International
Hydrologic Science Virtual courses
Advanced Hydrologic
Science blended course
Boundary Layer
Processes virtual course
Winter Weather course
Flash Flood/QPE
course
Virtual QPF and Flash
Flood Forecasting
courseClimate Variability and
Change Course
(possible advanced course as
well)
85
FY11 Expected Accomplishments continued
PDS developmen
t support
Meeting and conference
support
New community
pages
Tropical Meteorology
course developmen
tFire Weather
training curriculum
development
EM Academy
JPSS integration
and updates to existing materials
86
87
Project Title FY Project Initiated Length Expected
DeliveryPrimary Agency Comments
Volcanic Ash (Subject area) FY10 or FY11 3-4 hrs FY11 NOAA Pending
DLAC-3: Improving Aviation Weather Services: Managing an Effective Aviation Program
FY11 or FY12 2 hrs FY12 or FY13 NOAA Delayed by volcanic ash
module
Aviation Meteorology
88
Project Title FY Project Initiated Length Expected
DeliveryPrimary Agency Comments
Coastal Climate Change FY10 2-2.5 hrs FY11 NOAASARP Module Title TBD
Climate Variability and Change Virtual Course FY11 3 days FY11 NOAA Two offerings may be
fundedAdvanced Climate Variability and Change Course FY11 TBD FY11 NOAA Pending Final Approval
Climate and Climatology
89
Project Title FY Project Initiated Length Expected
DeliveryPrimary Agency Comments
HYSPLIT Applications for Nuclear Incident Response FY11 1-1.5 hrs FY11 NOAA Pending
Dispersion
90
Project Title FY Project Initiated Length Expected
DeliveryPrimary Agency Comments
Integrating Social Science into Forecast Operations FY10 ~4 hrs FY11-12 NOAA Pending
Environment and Society
91
Project Title FY Project Initiated Length Expected
DeliveryPrimary Agency Comments
IMET PDS Development FY11 N/A FY11 NOAATopics TBD based on
outcome of PDS requirements
Develop Wildland Fire Community Page on MetEd FY11 N/A FY11 NOAA
Develop EM Academy – Interagency Fire Weather Resource Use
FY11 N/A FY11 NOAAPartner with other
agencies to coordinate access to training
resourcesFire Weather Training Curriculum Development FY11 N/A FY11 NOAA Based on Fire Weather
PDS
Fire Weather
NWS Required Participants (170) $ 460,000
NWS Desirable Participants (900) $2,400,000
Total $2,860,000
Advanced Fire Weather Course
NWS Required Participants (1,160) $ 1,160,000
Government-wide Required Participants (20,000) $20,000,000
Total $21,160,000
S290
92
Fire Weather Savings Five-year period
93
Project Title FY Project Initiated Length Expected
DeliveryPrimary Agency Comments
QPF Verification II: Working with Discontinuous Fields FY11 1-1.25
hrs FY11 NOAA Postponed
Virtual QPF and Flash Flood Forecasting Course FY11 3 days FY11 NOAA
Advanced Hydrologic Science Blended Course FY11 2 weeks FY11 NOAA
Flash Flood/QPE Residence Course FY10 1 wk FY10 NOAADepends on
prioritization by NSTEP Process
Hydrometeorolog
y
94
Project Title FY Project Initiated Length Expected
DeliveryPrimary Agency Comments
Translation of COMET MetEd Distance Learning Modules Ongoing N/A Ongoing NWS IAO
VCPTypically 15-20 hrs of
material
Cooperation with WMO to Develop Critical eLearning Programs (Aviation Focus)
FY11 N/A FY11 NWS IAO VCP
2nd year of a three year project
International Hydrologic Sciences Virtual Courses FY11 two 4 wk
courses FY11NWS IAO
VCPWMO
2 courses funded (WMO will provide additional support)
Support for RA-IV Online Degree Programs: Tropical Meteorology Course
FY11 N/A FY12 NWS IAO VCP
Partner: University of West Indies
WMO Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR) Meeting Support FY11 N/A FY11 NWS IAO
VCP
International Activities
WMO EC Panel of Experts Education and Training and various expert teams
(Dr. Spangler, US Representative)
WMO Training Symposium (every 4 years)
Regional WMO Education and Training Workshops (as requested)
SCHOTI Coordinating Committee (COCOM)
CALMet Conference(Dr. Pat Parrish, Committee Chair)
Associate member of Eumetcal (European Program for Computer-aided Learning in Meteorology and Hydrology)
95
International Activities Continued
96
Project Title FY Project Initiated Length Expected
DeliveryPrimary Agency Comments
Boundary Layer Processes Virtual Course FY11 3 days FY11 NOAA
Second course pending NSTEP
presentation
Mesoscale Meteorology
97
Project Title FY Project Initiated Length Expected
DeliveryPrimary Agency Comments
Optimizing the Use of Model Data Products FY10 1 – 1.25 hrs FY11 NOAA
Recognizing Where and When the Human can Add Value to NWP FY10 1 – 1.25 hrs FY11 NOAA
NWP Unit 4: NWP Use in Gridded Forecast Generation & NWPUnit 5: Special Forecast Problems
FY11 8-12 hrs FY12 NOAA
Numerical Weather Prediction
98
Project Title FY Project Initiated Length Expected
DeliveryPrimary Agency Comments
Ensemble Forecasting of Winds and Seas FY10 1.25 – 1.5
hrs FY11 NMOC
Sea Ice FY10 1 hr FY11 NMOC
Marine Module update FY11 Module Updates FY11 NOAA
Module Topics TBD NMOC Topics for FY11 are pending
Marine PDS update FY11 N/A FY11 NOAA Depends on prioritization by NSTEP Process
Oceanography/Marine
99
Project Title FY Project Initiated Length Expected
DeliveryPrimary Agency Comments
Radar Signatures for Winter Weather FY10 1-2 hrs FY11 MSC
Radar Meteorology
100
Project Title FY Project Initiated Length Expected
DeliveryPrimary Agency
Arctic Meteorology and Oceanography FY10 .75 – 1hr FY11 NMOC
Western Pacific meteorology and oceanography series Ongoing TBD Ongoing NMOC
Potential topic areas,
specific topics will be determined
in consultation with NMOC
Arctic Meteorology and Oceanography FY10 .75 – 1hr FY11 NMOC
Regional Phenomena
101
Project Title FY Project Initiated Length Expected
DeliveryPrimary Agency Comments
Include and Highlight GOES and POES Satellite data into all relevant COMET projects
FY11 N/A FY11 NESDIS GOES Ongoing Effort
ESRC support, updates marketing, submission QA
FY11 N/A FY11 NESDIS GOESNPOESS Ongoing Effort
Climate Monitoring from Satellites FY09 1 hr FY11 EUMETSAT
NPOESSSignificant delays caused by lack of
SME resources
Dynamic Feature Identification: Conveyor Belts FY10 1 hr FY11 MSC Module may be split
into two parts
Dynamic Feature Identification: Jet Streaks FY11 .75 hrs FY11 MSC
Dynamic Feature Identification: Topics TBD FY11 TBD FY11 MSC Topics TBD
Satellite Meteorology
102
Project Title FY Project Initiated Length Expected
DeliveryPrimary Agency Comments
2011 Satellite Curriculum Development Workshop FY11 4 days FY11 NESDIS GOES
JPSS
GOES-R JPSS module FY11 TBD FY11 NESDIS GOES-RBenefits of satellite to transportation
industry?
JPSS Topics TBD (Possible revival of NPP: On the Road to JPSS)
FY11 TBD FY11 JPSSTopic TBD in
consultation with new JPSS Program
office
JPSS Userport Maintenance FY11 N/A FY11 JPSS TBD
EUMETSAT Webcast FY11 TBD FY11 EUMETSAT Topic and Funding TBD
ASMET Support FY11 2-3 hrs FY11 EUMETSAT
Satellite Meteorology
Should COMET meet regarding DWSS training with NWS, Air Force and Navy?
103
Project TitleFY
Project Initiated
Length Expected Delivery
Primary Agency Comments
Additional Skywarn Spotter Training Modules (winter weather, hurricanes, marine, etc.)
FY11 or FY12 1.5 hrs FY11 or
FY12 NOAA Pending
Spotter Training
104
Project Title FY Project Initiated Length Expected
DeliveryPrimary Agency Comments
Introduction to Tropical Meteorology, Chapter 1: Introduction FY10 TBD FY11 UCAR Funded through PDA*
Introduction to Tropical Meteorology, Chapter 4: Global Circulation FY10 TBD FY11 UCAR Funded through PDA*
Introduction to Tropical Meteorology, Chapter 9: Tropical Weather Systems FY10 TBD FY11 UCAR Funded through PDA*
Introduction to Tropical Meteorology, Chapter 7: Vertical Transport of Energy and Moisture
FY11 TBD FY11 UCAR Funded through PDA*
Launch of Version 2.0 of Tropical Textbook Coding Update for Textbook
Support for RA-IV Online Degree Programs: Tropical Meteorology Course FY11 N/A FY12 NWS IAO
VCP
Partner: University of West Indies (also
mentioned in International section)
*COMET Program Development Account
Tropical Meteorology
105
Project TitleFY Project Initiated
LengthExpected Delivery
Primary Agency
Comments
Tsunami Strike! (title tentative) FY10 2-3 hrs FY11 NOAA
Community Tsunami Preparedness FY10 1 hr FY11 NOAA Includes Spanish
translation
Tsunami Strike! Caribbean Version (Title tentative) FY11 2-3 hrs FY11 NOAA Includes Spanish
translation
Tsunami
Tsunami animation
106
Project Title FY Project Initiated Length Expected
DeliveryPrimary Agency Comments
MSC Winter Weather Course FY10 2 Week FY11 MSC
Mountain Weather Workshop Presentations FY10 or FY11 12-16 hrs FY11 MSC Pending
AFW Projects TBDPlaceholder for
AFW projects TBD in this or another
topic area
Winter Weather
Navy: 3 modules beginning in FY10 will publish in FY 11 Still Needed: Guidance for new module topics to total ~2 hours of instruction. MSC Satellite Feature ID: Conveyor belts will publish in FY 11 FY 11 Plans:
• Satellite Feature ID: Jet Streaks • 2-week Winter Weather Course• Radar Feature ID module for Winter Weather• Depending on the final scope known modules an additional 1-2 hours of capacity may be available. • Need priorities
• Feature ID modules• New topic
AFW No guidance on new topics or funding levelNEEF Proposal and other projects pending
Unresolved Sponsor Plans
107
108
Outreach Program
109
Established to bridge gap between research and operations
University researchers team with weather service offices
•Ability to quickly fund applied research projects•Scientific support for forecast offices•Students often become NWS employees•Better appreciation of operational constraints by university researchers•Improved forecasting
Benefits
Outreach Program
110
Cooperative Projects: • Broad multi-year interactions
between university meteorology program and local weather service office
• Focuses on single large research effort or on several smaller, regional forecasting problems
• Average funding ~ $35,000 per year
Partners Projects:• One year collaboration between a
single university professor or laboratory researcher and an operational forecaster
• Focuses on:• Topic of mutual interest• Sponsor regional workshops
• Research conducted generally focuses on case studies rather than the broader research goals of the typical Cooperative Project
• Average funding ~ $12,000
Outreach Program Projects
111
FY10 Outreach Program
112
FY10 Outreach Program
113
• Receive help understanding particular problem
• Increased interest in science among staffWFO
• Gain understanding of constraints forecasters work underUniversities
Main Comments about Outreach Program Benefits
114
FY10 Cooperative Projects University
NWS Flash Flood Forecasting in Two Hydrologically Distinct Regions Using an Improved Distributed Hydrologic Model
University of Arizona, Penn State
Improving Clear air Turbulence Forecasts at the AWC University of Georgia -Athens
Evaluation of High-Resolution WRF Simulations for use in Operational Forecasting Oklahoma State University
A Storm Tide Observation, Analysis and Forecast System for NWLON Water Level Stations in Coastal Oceans and Estuaries
Virginia Institute of Marine Science
Development of a High-resolution Ensemble Kalman Filter for Operational Analysis and Short-term Forecasting at the National Weather Service University of Washington
FY10 Outreach Program Five Cooperative Projects
115
FY10 Partners Projects UniversityMeteorological Conditions Influencing Sea Breeze Convergence and Resulting Rainfall Patterns and Hazards in Pinellas County, FL University of South Florida
Warning System Considering Social Characteristics Regarding Population at Risk University of South Florida
Improved Integration of Slosh Model Simulations and Local Landmark Data in a Hurricane Surge Visualization Model College of Charleston
Development of a Heat/Health Watch-Warning System for Glasgow, MT University of Miami
A Composite Analysis of Major Ice Storm Events in the County Warning Area of Springfield, MO Saint Louis University
Identifying and Understanding Displacement Biases in Numerical Forecasts of Elevated Convective Systems Texas A&M
Development of the WN09 Dry Thunderstorm Forecast Procedure Desert Research Institute
Vertically Pointing Radar Reflectivity and Rainfall Measurements at Different Heights and Comparison with a Tipping Bucket Rain Gauge and WSR-88D Level II Reflectivity
University of Texas at San Antonio
FY10 Outreach Program Eight New Partners Projects
116
Funding will likely remain levelExpect 10-12 new Partners Projects
FY11 Outreach Program
117
Significant Issues
118
We’re Moving!
119
Support for Large and New Communities
Wildland Fire Community: ~100,000
Spotter training: ~300,000
Disaster Risk Reduction: ~1,000,000
120
New Strategies for NWS:Smart Readiness and Learning Objects
Need operational definitionChallenge to decompose modules into learning objectsEvaluation methods
Improved Support for University Instruction
Introductory Course
Curriculum Integration
Paul Quelet, Community College
Instructor
Identifying on line materials
supporting elements of course
outline
Primarily COMET, but some from other sources
Will complete this summer
Identifying Learning Objects
to Support Dynamics Courses
John Cahir, Penn State
Identified learning objects from
COMET modules, including: thermal
wind, transport phenomena,
general circulation
PDA Activities
On line tropical
textbook developme
nt
Developing learning
objects to support
dynamics courses
New Website Features
Media search: 11660+ images and animations
now accessible via MetEd Search
New module template:
bookmarking for all pages in a module, fully
accessible content via enhanced print
version
121
122
Module Obsolescence
NWS funds $125K for FY11FY11 priority: Marine
123
Succession Planning
No one has volunteered to leave!
124
Project Management
Improved internal trackingNew project progress milestones
125
Online Degrees
Dynamics learning objectsTropical course with UWIWMO consortiumMSU and ASU
126
International Growth
Funding more consistent nowNWS and UCAR provide line itemsRequests to attend meetings exceeds resources
127
MetEd Redesign
Educational Strategies, Design Strategies, and University Support
Recommendation 2: COMET should continue to study the comparative values of incorporating new Web technologies and services especially those that facilitate social interaction of developers,
instructors, students, and experts in instructional conversations.
Recommendation 3: COMET should explore the idea of producing materials for specific user groups in such a way that they can be tailored and exported for blended learning solutions.
Recommendation 9: COMET should provide catalogs of educational resources, and their key features. This catalog should cross-reference educational resources closely related in subject matter (ontology
service).
MetEd Redesign: Why?
Advisory Panel Recommendations from 2009
128
MetEd Redesign: Why?
129
MetEd Redesign: How?
130
Rebuild of databases: tighter integration with our project management databases, more extensible schema.
New look and feel: better access to module information, better usability, easier integration for new and future functionality.
Updated programming approach to reduce maintenance and allow for easier updating.
Addition of social networking and productivity tools: user ratings and comments, module bookmarking and notes, sharing of custom distance learning courses.
To address the recommendations and concerns, the MetEd redesign
includes the following:
http://dev-meted2.comet.ucar.edu
MetEd Improvements 2010
Clean up of thousands of records: 11,660+ images and animations searchable
Eases search and reuse of media both internally and externally
Provides the foundation for creating automated media galleries for all modules (part of MetEd redesign)
Media integrated into MetEd search
131
MetEd Improvements 2010
Provides bookmarking of all module pages
Automates creation of module download file
More conservative use of Flash without sacrificing interactivity
Easier process for updating modules
Provides for easier reuse of content
New module template in full use
132
133
Budget
FY10 and FY11 Funding
134
FY10 Actual Grand Total FY11 Projected Funding Grand TotalNOAA NOAA
NWS Aviation 300,000$ NWS Aviation 300,000$ NOAA Tsunami 300,205$ NOAA Tsunami 190,000$ NWS Hydrology 402,000$ NWS Hydrology (Amount tentative) 125,000$ NWS Outreach 450,000$ NWS Outreach (Office of Science and Technology) 450,000$ NWS NWP 324,500$ NWS NWP 335,000$ NWS IAO 398,549$ NWS Module O&M 125,000$ NWS Core Funding 1,671,000$ NWS Core Funding 1,946,000$ NWS Courses 94,000$ NWS IAO 328,000$ NWS International (PNS IA01) 25,000$ NWS Climate TBDVirtual Classroom Setup 68,000$ NWS IMET (Fire Weather) 175,000$ SOO Focal Point Workstation 12,000$ NESDIS 350,000$ NWS FY10 Projects Funded in FY09 947,000$ JPSS 265,000$ NESDIS (includes international projects funded in FY09) 364,000$ Non-NOAANWS IMET (Fire Weather) 400,000$ Air Force TBDNPOESS 265,000$ Navy 315,000$ NOS Disaster Risk Reduction (FY10 portion of $25K project) 10,000$ Meteorological Service of Canada 345,000$
Non-NOAA EUMETSAT ASMET Phase 2 Module 2 36,000$ Air Force Weather Agency 291,263$ WMO 18,000$ Meteorological Service of Canada 335,000$ Subtotal 5,303,000$ NMOC 300,000$ Anticipated FY10 Carryforward Projects into FY11 385,000$ EUMETSAT 50,977$ FY11 Anticipated Funding with Carryforward 5,688,000$ NEEF Brazil Climate 31,514$ Univ. of WI (SARP Sea Grant) 100,000$ BoM Australia 35,000$ WMO Virtual Hydro Course 8,595$ NFS Fire Behavior Field Guide 11,799$ NYU - Arctic Ecosystems 39,376$
FY10 Funding 7,234,778$ Anticipated F&10 Carryforward Projects into FY11 (385,000)$
Available FY10 Funding 6,849,778$
135
Current Outstanding Proposals
Pending Proposals
• NOAA Climate - $500K (pending)• NWS Social Sciences (WAS*IS) ~
$320K (pending)• NWS Saudi WRF support $160K
(pending)• NEEF NOAA Education - $151K
(pending)
136
Climate International
Education Support Disaster Risk Reduction
137
Business Development Priorities 2011
138
Discussion
139
Executive Session
140
141
142
143