Dr.-Ing. Michael Bose 23/06/2011 Comprehensive Strategies for Urban Traffic and Urban Transport...

Dr.-Ing. Michael Bose 23/06/2011

Comprehensive Strategies for Urban Traffic and Urban TransportHCMUARC

Centre for International Migration and Development – FR Germany

Comprehensive Strategies for Urban Traffic and Urban Transport

and integrative Implementation –

Requirements for a sustainable urban development in Vietnam

1. Urban traffic and socio-economic development

2. Some facts about urban traffic in Hanoi and HCMC

3. Observations of traffic behavior and of safety awareness

4. Negative impacts of the current traffic situation

5. Requirements for a comprehensive urban traffic strategy

and integrative implementation




The Socio-Economic Development Strategy 2011-2020 formulates a vision for the next decade to facilitate the country’s development into an industrialized nation. But the economic development has to change to a sustainable growth.

In 2010 MoC made the conclusion: “Vietnam’s urban development may have been fast during the past 15 years, but it is far from sustainable … the development of roads, power and water reticulation, drainage systems, solid waste treatment and provision of green spaces and social services had been neglected”. (VN News 31/12/2010)

“Rapid and sustained growth is the guiding philosophy. If this strategy will be implemented effectively the country can enter in a new era of sustainable development.” (PM Dung, in: VN News 3/8/2010)

It will be a big challenge to implement “Sustainability“ as traffic guideline under an ongoing rapid economic growth and under the big demand to upgrade traffic infrastructure, because of many existing problems and negative impacts of urban traffic. But facing the threat through climate change for Vietnam sustainable urban traffic has to be realized despite a fast growing economy and an ongoing industrialization.

1. Urban traffic and socio-economic development




2. Some facts about urban traffic in Hanoi and HCMC

1. Vietnam has the highest per capita motorbike ownership in the world. Vietnam is for motorbike producers the fourth largest market worldwide. In the last five years 2.5 to 3 million motorbikes were sold every year.

3.7 million motorbikes were registered in the expanded territory of Hanoi in 2009 and about 3 million in HCMC. (Tramoc, 2010)

2. The pressure on transport rises in Vietnam. After rapid replacement of bicycles by motorbikes in the last decade now prosperous people move to cars especially in big cities. This leads to more urban traffic jam.

3. In Hanoi in peak hours inner-city-traffic speed of cars and buses is much slower (15 km/h) than of motorbikes (18-20 km/h). (Hai, 2010)

4. A Do-nothing-scenario for Hanoi forecasts that the daily average travel speed will decrease further dramatically. The speed will decrease from 26 km/h in 2005 to 9.4 km/h in the year 2020. (Iwata, 2010)




My hypothesis:

For the next decade we have to deal with the fact that the Vietnamese society will be still dependent on motorbike. = This in mind we have to find solutions for sustainable urban traffic even with bikes!

The modal split e.g. of a strategic point in Hanoi’s inner-city traffic shows that the number of cars increased between 2002 and 2010 from 5% to 8 %.In the same time the motorbikes increased from 72% to 78%. Bicycles decreased from 9% to 2% and were replaced by Motorbikes.

(Musil, Molt: 2010)

Modal Split 2002 and 2010 in Kim Ma Street, Hanoi




Red light will be ignored oftenDriving in the wrong direction is very common(Fotos Bartscher, Bose: 2007)

3. Traffic behavior and lack of awareness in road safety

In many streets is no space for pedestrians on the sidewalk because it’s full of parking cars and motorbikes

All goods - even dangerous ones –

will be transported by motorbike




In rush hours it is very common that cars are using the lanes for motorbikes and motorbikes evade and drive over the sidewalks.

From the view of an European expert traffic behavior of Vietnamese people seems to be not very disciplined. There is a very common principle of “try and let go”: I go in my direction. I take the space I need – before someone else will do so.

From my point of view this behavior comes to a limit in a traffic system that becomes more and more fast and automatically controlled.

(Bose: 2010)




Road traffic accidents in Vietnam 1997- 2008

Despite of many programs peoples awareness in traffic safety is very limited. Traffic injuries and fatalities of poor people are 10times higher than of others. (Le Minh Chau, 2006)

In the first half of the year 2010 three hundred fatal accidents happened at railway crossings all over Vietnam. Beside only 15% of level crossings nationwide are manned or have alarm systems the main reason for accidents are reportedly impromptu crossings and reckless crossing of rail track by many vehicle drivers. (VN News 2/8/2010)

There is a significant decrease of serious injury since 2002 and a further decrease since implementation of obligatory helmet use in 2007. But there are still a high number of traffic fatality. Vietnam has still the third highest rate of road fatality per capita in South East Asia.




Ministry of Environment and Natural Resources and Ministry of Transport declare that air pollution is an urgent issue and the mechanisms for monitoring and controlling is limited and “transport activities are the leading cause of air pollution in urban areas of Vietnam, accounting for 70% of the total”. (VN News 13/9/2010+11/6/2011 )

A survey in 2007of Ministry of Environment and Natural Resources which measured vehicle emissions after starting without moving showed that more than half of the checked motorbikes in Hanoi and HCMC failed the inspection. (VN News 13/9/2010)

The Government has ordered 60,000 unsafe old buses off the road. But 21,000 of them are still carrying passengers throughout the whole country mostly in remote areas. (VN News 27/7/2010)

80% of the recently offered motorbike helmets did not meet national standards. Despite this is obviously the administration says that they cannot do anything to prevent the production und the sale of these helmets. (VN News 2/8/2010+ 5/2011).

4. Negative impacts of the current traffic situation through lack of implementation and monitoring




Negative impacts through lack of implementation in public transport

Since many years there are plans for new public transport systems. But adaption of the systems on the local needs and realization are insufficient. There is a big gap between plans and implementation.

Planning for Metro Lines in HCMC since 10 years (HCMC Planning Exhibition 2005) Proposal for future UMRT Network in HCMC

(UPI-HCMC, Nikken Sekkei, Study of the HCMC Master Plan up to 2025, presentation 15/1/2007)




Negative impacts of an increasing motorisation in many Asian Cities in:

• Accessiblity and traffic quality• Economic efficiency• Air quality• Noise and vibration• Accidents• Loss of living space• Natural habitats• Global climate change

Jakarta (Swiss contact foto competition 2002)

Old Quarter Hanoi

16 of the most polluted cities worldwide are Chinese cities (GTZ 2005)

Since many years the transportation sector is the fastest growing sector in terms of greenhouse gas emissions in developing countries. (GTZ 2005)




The current situation of urban traffic and transportation in Hanoi be described by experts

If Hanoi doesn’t develop quality, high-volume public transportation systems the city will slowly grind to a standstill over the next decade.

(A transport specialist of ADB, in ThanhNien 1-7/4/2011)

:

In Hanoi, the risk of soon becoming a city completely paralyzed by traffic congestion is high. … Hanoi is still a motorcycle depended city. The roads are close to the limits of capacity. The very heavy traffic is only possible because the high percentage of motorcycles.

(Two foreign transport planner who have worked in Hanoi for many years, 2011).

What’s to do in this situation?What kind of strategies and measures could prevent the inner city

traffic collaps and promote sustainable urban traffic?




BRT Jakarta

BRT Tehran

BRT started in South American cities: in Curitiba, Quito and Bogota.

BRT also runs in many Asian cities successfully.

5. Requirement of an sustainable urban traffic strategyUpgrading public transport - the example BRT

Critical points remain:

• the safety at crossings with individual traffic (because insufficient safety awareness)• the travel speed and• the technical solutions for access of passengers




‘Sky train’

Bangkok

TRAM in Strasbourg (France) and in Dublin (Ireland)

Upgrading public transport - the example Tram /Sky Train / MonorailThere is a revival of tram-systems in Europe. These systems could be better integrated in the

existing urban environment than LRT systems like the Sky Train. The critical point of tram-systems remains the crossings with MoT. The widely spread lack of safety awareness in the Vietnamese society will be a problem for all high automatically running systems.




LRT Tokyo

Metro System Moscow

Example Metro and LRT

Metro Systems and LRT Systems are efficient but also very expensive. One line alone will not solve the traffic problem. You need a well connected system of all kind of public transport

LRT and Regional Rail Hamburg




(Musil, Molt: 2010)

Rapid Transit Network in Hanoi until 2020 (based on the decision No 90/2008)

Important for implementation and acceptance of a Rapid Transit System is: (beside many other aspects)

•Quick realization of some RT lines and co-ordination and technical integration of the different RT-systems

•short transfer walking distances for passengers at intersections with other RT lines and with buses

•Well coordinated schedules to reduce waiting time at transfer points

• one ticket and one price system

•Affordable prices

A quick door to door journey is important for acceptence




Congestion charging London

Electronic Road Pricing Singapore

Regulations and Restrictions Beside all improvements and new transport systems there will be a need for regulations and restrictions for motorized traffic in Vietnamese city centers.

Some of the Road Toll Systems failed other are successful.

Wheel clamp in Dublin




Electro-bikes would reduce noise and air pollution in the Vietnamese cities. They will reduce traffic speed, road accidences and greenhouse gas emission as well.

In the inner city of Kunming and in other big Chinese inner cities only Electro-Scooters or Electro-Bikes are allowed.

Proposal: Electro-bikes as replacement for motor-bikes in inner cities

Vietnam is one of the world’s most important markets for motorbikes. So changing the drive units is possible by a long time announcement in advance by the government.

City center of Kunming (Bose 2010)




Express Boat Service Bangkok –

a possible additional public transport system for many Vietnamese cities

New environment friendly traffic elements and new public transport systems could improve Vietnamese City Centers

Pedestrian Street Nanjing Road Shanghai

(Bose: 2009)




Map of the 36 specialized Craftsman and Traders Alleys (German Embassy and Goethe Institute, Hanoi)

Walking Area –plan for Hanoi’s Old Quarter

The decision of the Hanoi’s People Committee in June 2011 to ban all vehicles around the Old Quarter and Hoan Kiem Lake in order to turn streets in this area into walking streets is an important step to protect and develop the historical urban structure of the heart of Hanoi with its 36 craftsman and traders alleys, which are unique all over Asia.

I hope this plan can be realized successfully in this large area. There will be different needs, desires and interests of tradesman and residents. I think it is necessary to involve them in the process of realization. Often a problem will be solved through some adjustments. A big chance would be wasted if the pilot project fails.

From my point of view somehow accessebilty for residents and traders should be provided – maybe part-time or/and only by electro bikesand electro cars.




Everyday the old quarter of Hoi An disallows motorized vehicle including motorbikes at three times a day for 3 hours each. Electro bikes are allowed at that time. So light electro bikes are very common in the old quarter. At the moment Hoi An has the highest electro bike rate per capita of all Vietnamese cities. This example shows: restrictions for motorized vehicles promote electro bikes.

From my point of view Vietnam could allow only environment friendly Electro- Bikes in the inner cities of big towns in a few years, in case continuous power supply is given.

The Experience of Hoi An: Walking Streets promote electro-bikes

Electro Bike Hoi An (2010) Electro Bikes Hoi An (2010)




The ongoing replacement of motorbikes through cars has a great impact on land use, on urban structure and on traffic volume. The historic compact urban structure of Vietnamese cities starts to disappear. Car use enforces suburbanization and disperse settlement structures.

The recent discussions in Hanoi and in HCMC argue in different directions:In HCMC the proposal was made to limit the number of businesses in the city center to ease

traffic congestion. From my point of view this proposal could not solve the problem. Traffic will be not reduced. Traffic will only be shifted.

In Hanoi there have been strong opponents against the decentralization of the administrative center out of the inner city to Ba Vi District. From my point of view there is a need of relief strategies if the Capital want to grow and want to preserve its unique culture heritage it. E.g. Malaysia built sucsessfully its new administrative center Putrajaya 20km outside of Kuala Lumpur on the way to KLIA airport well connected with both by LRT.

Some general remarks:- Compact cities have the shortest distances that means less traffic. - Compared with other South-Asian Cities the density in Vietnamese cities is not very high.- Decentralization could be a relief strategy. But first an environmental friendly mass rapid transit system has to be build which is affordable for the people, otherwise traffic becomes worse.

Integration of urban traffic and transport and land use




Urban traffic and urban transport are key issues for the future economic, social development and for environmental and climate protection in Vietnamese cities.

There is a need of comprehensive/cross-sector strategies and integrative well co-ordinated measures for all traffic modes considering economic, social and environ-mental aspects. The implementation of large cross-sector projects requires new kinds of co-operative institutional forms between the involved administrative units e.g. : Time-limited cross-sector work groups consist of members of all involved administrative units with only one task to realize the project in a comprehensive and integrative manor.

Not one stand-alone high-tech system is the solution. One measure cannot solve the traffic congestion in Vietnamese cities. Only well co-ordinated strategies and an integrated mixture of measures can upgrade the situation.

I want to stress on four points

1.New priorities of traffic guidelines: first avoid or reduce traffic, second shift the mode and third make the remaining traffic well-tolerated.

2.Building up an environment-friendly urban transport system with effective integration of other modes.

3.Restriction measures for cars and motorbikes and improvement for non-motorized traffic.

4.Reduce the gap between plans and regulations and promote the change the traffic behavior and awareness of traffic safety of Vietnamese people.

Conclusions




THANK YOU – CAM ON

E

Rapid and sustained economic growth needs rapid development of public transport and

restrictions for motorized traffic in the inner cities. In historic growthed cities with limited

space not every traffic demand can be satisfied.

The public space - streets and places have to fulfill many different functions for a lively city.




Time-limited interdisciplinary project team.

Members will be put together of all relevant departments.The team works under supervision and under decision of the mayor.

Mayor/City Council

Departments

Divisions

Sub- Divisions

One of various forms to organize a comprehensive and integrated urban planning project with many cross-sector aspects in municipal administrations in Germany

Dr.-Ing. Michael Bose 23/06/2011 Comprehensive Strategies for Urban Traffic and Urban Transport...

Documents

Transcript of Dr.-Ing. Michael Bose 23/06/2011 Comprehensive Strategies for Urban Traffic and Urban Transport...