Donnelly analyst pitch 2-15-06 FINAL WEBCAST › pdf › investors › events › 036 ›...

31
GE Aviation Scott C. Donnelly February 15, 2006

Transcript of Donnelly analyst pitch 2-15-06 FINAL WEBCAST › pdf › investors › events › 036 ›...

Page 1: Donnelly analyst pitch 2-15-06 FINAL WEBCAST › pdf › investors › events › 036 › ge...February 15, 2006. 1 / Donnelly "This document contains "forward-looking statements"

GEAviation Scott C. DonnellyFebruary 15, 2006

Page 2: Donnelly analyst pitch 2-15-06 FINAL WEBCAST › pdf › investors › events › 036 › ge...February 15, 2006. 1 / Donnelly "This document contains "forward-looking statements"

1 / Donnelly

"This document contains "forward-looking statements" – that is, statements related to future, not past, events. In this context, forward-looking statements often address our expected future business and financial performance, and often contain words such as "expects," "anticipates," "intends," "plans," "believes," "seeks," or "will." Forward-looking statements by their nature address matters that are, to different degrees, uncertain. For us, particular uncertainties arise from the behavior of financial markets, including fluctuations in interest rates and commodity prices; from future integration of acquired businesses; from future financial performance of major industries which we serve including, without limitation, the air and rail transportation, energy generation and healthcare industries; from unanticipated loss development in our insurance businesses; and from numerous other matters of national, regional and global scale, including those of a political, economic, business, competitive or regulatory nature. These uncertainties may cause our actual future results to be materially different than those expressed in our forward-looking statements. We do not undertake to update our forward-looking statements."

This presentation includes certain non-GAAP measures as defined by SEC rules. As required by SEC rules, we have provided a reconciliation of those measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures, which is available in our Supplemental Information file on our investor relations website at www.ge.com/investor.

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'01 - '04 '05

Aircraft Orders Annual Pax (Bn)

00000000000000000000

'01 - '04 '05Average

800

2000+

1.82.0

Average

Yield Growth (%)*

(4.0)%

Average

0.4%

’01 – ‘04 ‘05

* Inflation & USD adjusted

Cargo Growth

05050505050

'01 - '04 '05

155

184

Aviation industry is back

Average

Revenue Ton Kilometers (Bn)

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2005 Annual Revenue Passenger Mileage Growth

O – 10%10 - 20%20 - 25%

China16%

Asia - 6% (w/o India & China)

Europe - 6%

Americas - 7%Middle East

11%

India24%

Passenger growth … worldwide

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U.S.6,650

1,125

Middle-class & above population:

300MM

400 MM

150 MM

250 MM

Europe

4,750

China1,125

Num

ber

of A

ircr

aft i

n co

untr

y

India200

Under-equipped by Western standards

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• Differentiate w/ technology Installed base

• Everywhere in the world Global footprint

• Win lifecycle service CSA / upgrades /Inspections & repairs

GE Aviation … business model

R&D, NPI• Position for future platforms

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Projected 2006 revenue … ~$12.8B

Military Engines &Services

$3.7B Commercial EngineServices

$5.7B

Commercial Engines$3.4B

Commercial Engine Services sales include GE’s 50% share of its CFMI JV with Snecma

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Commercial aviation … ~$9.1B revenue

Military Engines &Services

$3.7B Commercial EngineServices

$5.7B

Commercial Engines$3.4B

Commercial Engine Services sales include GE’s 50% share of its CFMI JV with Snecma

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GE & CFM: Leading the industry over the last 10 years …

Twin Aisle (GE) Jumbo Twin Aisle (GE)

No Application

No Application

Single Aisle (CFM)

*

Embraer

Bombardier

Regionals (GE)

(CFM)

*A340-500/-600

No Application

A340-200/-300

CFM International is a 50/50 JV with SnecmaEA is a 50/50 JV between GE and Pratt & Whitney 8 / Donnelly

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New technology … next family additionsTotal

Engines R&D spend $M

*GP7200 developed by GE/P&W Engine Alliance**HF118 developed jointly by 50/50 JV between GE & Honda

800

400

0’01 ’02 ’03 ’04 ’05 ’06E

1,200•9/11•SARs•Fuel

Service ‘05

EMBRAER 190 CF34-10

ARJ21 CF34-10

Service ‘07

Boeing 777-300ER GE90-115B

Service ‘05 Service ‘08

Boeing 787 GEnx

GE/Honda** HF118

Service ‘06

Airbus A380 GP7000*

Service ‘04

747-8 GEnx

Service ’09

GEnxAirbus A350

Service ’10

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GE, CFM & EA: Well positioned for the next 10 years

Regionals (GE)

ARJ21

Embraer

Bombardier

Single Aisle (CFM)

Airbus A320

Boeing 737

Jumbo Twin Aisle (GE)

(EA)

(CFM)

A340-500/-600

No Application

A340-200/-300

Service ‘04

747-8 GEnx

Boeing 777

Twin Aisle (GE)

Boeing 787

Airbus A350

Boeing 767

Airbus A330

CFM International is a 50/50 JV with SnecmaEA is a 50/50 JV between GE and Pratt & Whitney

10 / Donnelly

A380

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Aircraft Orders

30 26

97

11

‘04 ‘05

777–300ER/200LRA340–500/600

Air Canada Cathay Pacific

Air India

Avion

Jet Airways TAAG Angola

Best operating economics

• 22% more fuel efficient per seat, 16% lower seat mile cost

• GE 777 installed base growing since Extended Range launch

GE90 value … ask the airlines that fly it

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Korean AirInternational Lease Finance

• Leading with 312 firm orders

• Significant hub to hub advantage … cost & capacity

• Certified December 2005 … A380 flight test 2Q06

• First Emirates engine cores shipped in December

GP7000 certified … taking flight

*GP7200 developed by GE/P&W Engine Alliance

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Embraer 190

Bombardier CRJ705

CF34 … now a 70 & 90 pax playing field

• Built from highly successful CFM56 technology

• CF34-10E departure reliability exceeds 99%

• 500+ engines to be delivered to Embraer over next 3 years • EMB190: jetBlue, Copa, Air

Canada

• CRJ700: -8C5 upgrade gaining traction

• CRJ900: more variants coming

• Focusing on -8C5 upgrades & -10 Block II SFC package

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2006 focus:• Support … 15,400 engines around the world

• Grow services … in China and India

• –5B/-7B Tech Insertion … FAR33 certification

• LEAP56 … define the engine and technologies

CFM International is a 50/50 joint venture with SnecmaLEAP56TM is a registered trade mark of CFM

• 1,602 new orders in 2005

• Launched 737-900ER

• Kicked-off LEAP56 … technology for the next generation

CFM56 … record year for single-aisle aircraft

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Next generation 737/A320 … LEAP56

• Fuel burn … 10% better

– Lightweight / composite structures

– Component technology

• Maintenance cost … 25% lower

– Lower parts count

– Longer Life-Limited-Parts

• Emissions … 50% lower

Harnessing GEnx technologies to set new standards for performance

TAPS II Technology

LEAP56TM is a registered trade mark of CFM

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• Strong order book for 747-400 bridge to 747-8

• CF6-80E fuel burn advantage doubled by Airbus

• Services backlog increased by $1B+

• Expand OnPoint Solutions

• CF6 technology upgrades underway

• Customers recognizing value & reliability

CF6 … upgrades & 747 resurgence

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0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

A350

GEn

x En

gine

Ord

ers

2004 2005

787

January ‘06

Air Canada Continental Korean Air Qatar

234

Royal Air MarocAviation Lease &Finance Company

Japan Airlines TAM Brazilian Airlines US AirwaysAir India

GEnx … what a difference a year makes

747-8

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Engine Deliveries

Engine Installed Base

’95 ’10F’05’00 ’15F0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000Fleet in ServiceGE GE+CFM+EA

Fleet growing despite cyclical market

CFM International is a 50/50 JV with SnecmaEA is a 50/50 JV between GE and Pratt & Whitney

(GE+CFM+EA)

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Invest in technology … grow installed base

1990 20052015

Forecast

20,000

15,000

10,000

5,000

0CFM PW RR IAEGE CFM PW RR IAEGE CFM PW RREA IAEGE

CFM International is a 50/50 JV with Snecma EA is a 50/50 JV between GE and Pratt & Whitney

Chart based on publicly available information & internal studies

Engines

Page 21: Donnelly analyst pitch 2-15-06 FINAL WEBCAST › pdf › investors › events › 036 › ge...February 15, 2006. 1 / Donnelly "This document contains "forward-looking statements"

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Engine lifecycle revenue

Grow services opportunities

40+ Yrs

Parts and Services

7X

JT8

Design and test

New engines

0

GE90CF6

CF34CFM*

GEnx

GP7000**

*CFM International is 50/50 joint venture with Snecma** GE/P&W Engine Alliance is a 50-50 JV between GE and Pratt & Whitney

Average age 8 yrs.

Page 22: Donnelly analyst pitch 2-15-06 FINAL WEBCAST › pdf › investors › events › 036 › ge...February 15, 2006. 1 / Donnelly "This document contains "forward-looking statements"

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Strong Commercial outlook

Revenues’03-’06

~10% AAGR

Services

Engines $2.2

$4.2

$3.1

$5.1

~$9.1B

‘03 ’06E’05

$8.1B

$6.4B$3.4

$5.7

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Military Systems … ~$3.7B revenue

Military Engines &Services

$3.7B Commercial EngineServices

$5.7B

Commercial Engines$3.4B

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Largest portfolio of modern military engines

Rotorcraft Combat Tanker/Transport Marine

Iraq, Afghanistan … 75% of US Military frontline platforms are powered by GE

S-92

F/A-18C/D/E/F

B-2

KC-767

KC/RC-135R

C-40

Amphibious AssaultWasp Class

Aegis Destroyer

Perry Class Frigate

AH-64

AH1Y/Z

C-5

A330

FREMM

Sea-Lift NASSCO

Ticonderoga CruiserF-16C/D

H-60

23 / Donnelly

T-50

B-1BUS101

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Sustaining development investment … new product introduction every 5 months

H-60M

F-16E/F

C-5M

F110/ SLEP

JSF LCA

LHD-8

US-101

Military R&DSpend $M

600

400

200

0’01 ’02 ’03 ’04 ’05 ’06E ’07F

T-50

UH

-1Y/

ZU

H-6

0MLH

D-8

F-16

E/F

C5M

F-16

SLE

PLM

S100

IN20

NH

90/-

8EM

H-6

0MLM

2500

++U

S101

PRV

J-U

CA

SC

-XD

eepw

ater

LCS

Mak

oJS

FFR

EMM

MMA

F-15K

Korea PKX

UCAV X-45C

Page 26: Donnelly analyst pitch 2-15-06 FINAL WEBCAST › pdf › investors › events › 036 › ge...February 15, 2006. 1 / Donnelly "This document contains "forward-looking statements"

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F101 B-1B

CFM56-5B/-7 A320/B737NG• 3-D Aero Technology• Maintainability

Service Life Extension• 3-D Aero compressor• Cooling optimized combustor• N5 HPT Nozzles & Blades• Improved HPT shrouds• Redesigned augmenter

CFM56-2/3 B737• Durability• Operability• Fuel efficiency

850 USAF Engine Upgrades Funded

CFM56-5A/C A320/A340• FADEC

Commercial

War

fight

er R

eadi

ness

Military

Military utilizing commercial technology …F110 Service Life Extension Program (SLEP)

Worldwide Opportunity … $1.3B

F110 F-16/F-15

F110 SLEP F-16

Page 27: Donnelly analyst pitch 2-15-06 FINAL WEBCAST › pdf › investors › events › 036 › ge...February 15, 2006. 1 / Donnelly "This document contains "forward-looking statements"

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Technology upgrades … customer value and GE installed base revenue

• T700 engine upgrade for Apache & Blackhawk- $2B opportunity

- 5700 engines planned

• Funding plan defined

• Improves fleet commonality, durability and power- 5% power increase

- 2X component life improvement

UH-60M Blackhawk

US Army engine transition plan

’05 ’10F ’15F

Flee

t Eng

ines

T700-GE-700

6000

4000

2000

T700-GE-701

T700-GE-701C

T700-GE-701D

Page 28: Donnelly analyst pitch 2-15-06 FINAL WEBCAST › pdf › investors › events › 036 › ge...February 15, 2006. 1 / Donnelly "This document contains "forward-looking statements"

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Services growth … expanding PBLs

Backlog ($B)

• New model for DoD

– Jacksonville, Corpus Christi

• Pay for performance

• Improved fleet readiness

• Asset efficiency focus

0.6

0.1

‘02 ’03 ’04 ’05 ’06E

0.5

0.7

2.5

4X+ since ‘04

Page 29: Donnelly analyst pitch 2-15-06 FINAL WEBCAST › pdf › investors › events › 036 › ge...February 15, 2006. 1 / Donnelly "This document contains "forward-looking statements"

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Significant international opportunity

• Singapore– T700 for Seahawks– F110-129, option for additional 20

• Korea– CT7-8 Presidential Helicopter– T700 Korean Helicopter Program– LM500, option for additional 62

• India– F404 for Light Combat Aircraft (LCA)

• Turkey– T700 for Seahawks

SeahawkF-15

US101LCA

Page 30: Donnelly analyst pitch 2-15-06 FINAL WEBCAST › pdf › investors › events › 036 › ge...February 15, 2006. 1 / Donnelly "This document contains "forward-looking statements"

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Continue military installed base growth and create new service offerings

Revenues’03-’06

~6% AAGR

Services

Engines & Development

$1.6

$1.5

$1.9

$1.6

$3.5B$3.1B

‘03 ’06E’05

$3.7B

$2.0

$1.7

Page 31: Donnelly analyst pitch 2-15-06 FINAL WEBCAST › pdf › investors › events › 036 › ge...February 15, 2006. 1 / Donnelly "This document contains "forward-looking statements"

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• Invest in technology

• Grow installed base … focus on departures

• Win in China, India, Middle East

• Expand services footprint

• Deliver customer productivity

($ in billions)

'04 '06E

Revenue

OP

$2.2

$11.1

$11.9

Aviation on track to deliver 2006 plan

GE Aviation

'05

$2.6

~$12.8

~$2.9

~10%

~15%