Does American Foreign Policy Resemble the Game of Risk? Bertjan Verbeek
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Does American Foreign Policy Resemble the Game of Risk?
Bertjan Verbeek
American Foreign Policy
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Today’s programProgram
1. Play Risk2. Does Risk resemble the foreign policy of states, esp the United
States3. How does Risk resemble the ‘world views’ presented to you by
professor Bonham last Monday
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Does Risk resemble (US) foreign policy?1. What are the motivations in the game? What are the objectives?
- Power?- World domination?- Preventing the other from
securing objectives?- Survival?
1. Debate on motives of American foreign policy:
Hamiltonian?Jeffersonian?Jacksonian?Wilsonian?
Risk is definitely not Wilsonian or Jeffersonian; clearly it is Hamiltonian, and a bit Jacksonian
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Does Risk resemble (US) foreign policy?Views are held by different (groups of) policymakers in American foreign policy – what matters is which (coalition) dominates
Example: Involvement in Lybia
- Wilsonian elements?- Hamiltonian elements?- Jeffersonian elements?- Jacksonian elements?
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Another contemporary Risk/Hamiltonian view
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Risk problem: from Russia’s perspective
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Does Risk resemble (US) foreign policy?2. Power seems the dominating element combined with chance
- Armies- Geographical locations- Dice
2. Does it resemble power and chance in the real world?
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MachtsevenwichtSources of power
‘
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Hard versus Soft Power
Hard Power: the role of technology
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Hard power
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Hard power
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Is this hard power?
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Soft Power
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Soft power
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The Vatican – the world’s weakest state? Or...
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Contemporary soft power: Celebrities?
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Does Risk resemble (US) foreign policy?3. Did you form alliances during the game?
- Did they last?- Did you trust one another?- Did you invent new rules during
the game?
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Does Risk resemble (US) foreign policy?3. How about alliances in the real world?
- Do they last?- Does one trust one’s ally?- Does international politics need
certain rules?
- Diplomacy- International Law- Intergovernmental Organizations?- Supranationalism?
USA:1798: formal alliance with France1917: WW I1941: WW II1949: NATO
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Does Risk resemble (US) foreign policy?4. Who is playing in Risk?
- 1 state- Which assumptions about its
behavior?
‘Unitary’ actor Rational behaviorOnly responding to what other states doThe state thinks the other states are the same
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Does Risk resemble (US) foreign policy?4 What does the state look like in reality?
PresidentCongressDepartmentsInterest groupsPublic opinion
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2011/05/04/us/20110504-the-presidents-approval-rating-after-bin-laden.html
What motivates them?What are the consequences for foreign policy?
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How does Risk relate to the world views
Realism?
Liberalism?
Constructivism?
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Assignment1a From a Risk perspective, how should the USA prepare for the coming 10 years?1b From a Risk perspective, how should America’s allies (e.g. Europe, Japan, Saudi Arabia Israel) prepare for the coming 10 years?
2a From a non-Risk perspective, how should the USA prepare for the coming 10 years?2b From a non-Risk perspective, how should America’s allies (e.g. Europe, Japan, Saudi Arabia Israel) prepare for the coming 10 years?