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Transcript of Directing Intelligence in banking
www.directingintelligence.com– [email protected]
D i r e c t i n g Intelligence in Finances
www.directingintelligence.com– [email protected]
1. International Bank. The Challenge. ............................................................................... 3
1.1. Toward a customer-centric bank ....................................................................................... 3
2. The Solution. Directing Intelligence in Business ............................................................ 4
2.1. Align Knowledge Strategy to Business Objectives ............................................................... 4
3. DATACTIF Finances©. Integrated Applications .............................................................. 7
3.1. DATACTIF. Knowledge Generator ..................................................................................... 7
3.2. DATACTIF FINANCES©. Credit Card Owners Clustering...................................................... 7
3.3. Conclusion ....................................................................................................................... 9
3.4. DATACTIF FINANCES©. Prediction ................................................................................. 10
3.4.1 Prediction of future clients with DATACTIF SVM Classification System ........................... 10
3.4.2 Prediction of future clients with DATACTIF Fuzzy System. ........................................... 10
3.5. Conclusion ..................................................................................................................... 11
www.directingintelligence.com– [email protected]
1. INTERNATIONAL BANK. THE CHALLENGE.
A worldwide leader financial institution, faced a
crucial challenge for its private banking business
and especially for a specific category of investment
products and personal loans:
How to increase sales, reduce any risk and reinforce
brand image by communicating the quality of its
private banking department.
1.1. Toward a customer-centric bank
Most banks have never created a close relationship
with their retail customers and understand little of
their actual needs. Tailored products and services
are rare. Instead, complaints about inadequate
advice, disproportionately high interest rates for
overdrafts or call center issues surface in the news
with depressing regularity.
Customer resentment was already running high
before the financial crisis. Since then, trust in banks
has plummeted even further. At the same time
customers have found a new, loud mouthpiece in
online forums and consumer portals.
News about negative experiences can spread
through these media like wildfire. Initiatives like the
“Occupy Wall Street” movement have attracted
media coverage as never before.
The road towards a customer-centric bank
Examples from other industries suggest that
marketing strategy and selective improvements at
individual customer interaction points will not
suffice. Banks need to radically change their
perspective, aligning their entire business model
towards the nexus of their success: the customer.
That means translating deep customer insights into
tailor-made products and services.
Transformation towards a customer-centric
company needs to address 4 areas :
Vision and positioning
Customer engagement model
Development of short and long term strategy
Organization, capabilities, and insights
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2. THE SOLUTION. DIRECTING INTELLIGENCE IN BUSINESS
2.1. Align Knowledge Strategy to Business Objectives
After analysis of processes, available data and
information systems, we created a knowledge
strategy in accordance with business objectives,
macroeconomic trends, social environment, banks'
human resources and previous experiences in
marketing activities for the same categories of
products or similar ones.
A strategy based on a progressive transition
(customers loyalty-acquisition and information
consolidation) from the most profitable and loyal
clients, who in parallel offer complete and high
quality information, to prospects. Strategy that is
represented by the following diagram.
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In order to implement our strategy we had to define
the notion-axe “time”. Having this axe we can
identify a history, understand its evolution and
predict the future behavior.
We defined the Personal-Family Economy on 3
axes. Income, Savings (positive or negative [loans])
and Consumption; But consumption (using a credit
card) includes time factor.
So we had to understand credit card usage
(consumption) per group of clients (clusters) and
relate those findings with holistic relation between
the clients and the bank.
Consumption of an individual is strongly associated
with his socio-economic profile. As a result of this
association, the groups deriving by the clustering
procedure can also be considered as groups of
people with a similar socio-economic profile.
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The next step was to discover the correlation
between these groups with the bank's products
(investments and loans). The conclusion was that
Credit Card owners buying behaviors', allow us to
monitor the banking attitude.
In order to transform the above methodology into
data mining applications, we adapted and
implemented DATACTIF platform, especially for
the needs of The Bank.
DATACTIF embodies a number of different
algorithms from the neural networks and
computational intelligence domain, some designed
from our team and some from the state of the art of
scientific research in data mining and knowledge
discovery areas.
Contrary to the high level of complexity of
DATACTIFs' algorithms, the friendly user interface
allowed its use by decision makers without prior
knowledge or experience of computer science and
statistics.
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3. DATACTIF FINANCES©. INTEGRATED APPLICATIONS
3.1. DATACTIF. Knowledge Generator
DATACTIF®, is a Business Intelligence Platform
that generates concept-applications tailor made
for each enterprise needs, enriching in same time
each specific case, with a 15 year experience of
learning processes and accumulating knowledge.
DATACTIF® uses machine learning methodology
and algorithms such as neural network, fuzzy
systems, genetic algorithms, Support Vector
Machines, etc… and contains visualization methods
that allows a global view on the domain that is
under analysis, and an analytical view to all details
offered by the existing data.
3.2. DATACTIF FINANCES©. Credit Card Owners Clustering
DATA. Analytical transactions of credit cards
owners for a 3 years period.
CLUSTERING. Clusters are groups of clients or
other business objects that exhibit a certain degree
of similarity in respect to a number of features that
describe these objects (e.g. transactions of a client).
The discovery and analysis of such clusters leads to
a better understanding of the clients base and offers
an add-on tool for use by the business executives.
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The following pictures show the result of Credit
Card Owners clustering and their consuming
behaviors. We used unsupervised learning through
neural networks and Self Organized Map
visualization. The grey dots on the map are the
created groups of people (clusters). The size of the
grey dots is indicative of a cluster’s population. The
numbers on the dots are the cluster index (Cluster
ID). The red color on the surface indicates similarity
between neighboring clusters and the blue the
opposite.
Credit card owners of cluster 14. How this cluster was formed
Cluster 14. Socio demographics Cluster 14. Financial Profile
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3.3. Conclusion
Results : 625 clusters with a detailed approach
allowing an in depth analysis and 12 Hyper Clusters
(Figure 5) with common characteristics, a number
that allows the creation of efficient marketing
strategy, taking into consideration particularities at
the same time.
(Figure 5 : 12 Hyper Clusters were discovered)
By associating Hyper Clusters with financial
products (investment products, loan, mortgage,
deposits, etc...) we had a global, direct and
immediate evaluation of the existing clients. As we
see in the example below (Figure 6) the association
result between credit card owners and mortgage,
defines one major target group and two secondary
for further analysis and marketing actions.
(Figure 6: Association Result)
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3.4. DATACTIF FINANCES©. Prediction
We used DATACTIF's supervised learning modules
(SVM and Fuzzy System in this case) as they give
the possibility to incorporate expert knowledge in a
form of rules or in a form of examples.
3.4.1 Prediction of future clients with
DATACTIF SVM Classification System
DATACTIF Multi SVM System was applied to
prospects database and trained to predict new clients
for Credit Cards in a first step and then new clients
for banking products following the below strategy :
As a result we had a Prediction Accuracy : 71%
3.4.2 Prediction of future clients with
DATACTIF Fuzzy System.
Using Credit Card Owners buying behavior we
predicted new clients for Investment Products but
also other products such as Personal Loans (PIL)
following the below strategy :
As a result we had a Prediction Accuracy : 88%.
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3.5. Conclusion
SVM and Fuzzy Prediction modules produced lists
of clients for further marketing activities in order to
increase sales of all banks' products (investment
products, personal loans, mortgage, etc..).
List of clients extracted following some selection
criteria (i.e. profession) with individual scoring
for each type of product
By associating Prediction results with clustering
results, we had credit card holder clusters and Hyper
Clusters with a degree of certainty for buying a
particular product, as we see in the picture below.
The usage of clusters and Hyper Clusters
offers a macroscopic point of view on clients'
evolution regarding products categories, a point of
view that allows decision makers to create long
term business and marketing strategy.
Prediction results projection on SOM concerning
Investment Products