DIFFERENT INVESTMENT OF BANK KIND · 2016-12-27 · YieldCo universe. With falling share prices,...
Transcript of DIFFERENT INVESTMENT OF BANK KIND · 2016-12-27 · YieldCo universe. With falling share prices,...
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“ Change is the law of life. And those who look only to the past or present are certain to miss the future.” —JOHN F. KENNEDY
3GCA 2015 ANNUAL REPORT
02 Letter from the Managing Partner
05 Sectors of Focus
06 Feature Stories
A View from North America
A View from Europe
A View from China
Trends in Advanced Transportation
Infrastructure Rising – An Asset Class Takes Shape
17 GCA Investment Management
20 An Investor’s Perspective
22 Case Studies
Al-Bahar
Allegion
Conservation Services Group
Infigen Energy
RBI Solar
Solairedirect
UpWind Solutions
29 Recent Transactions
30 Our Senior People
32 Advisory Council
33 Investor Focus in 2016
M&A Volume and Trends
Private Placement Activity
IPO Activity
Public Markets
36 Social and Environmental Responsibility
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It’s a question of when, not if, society’s demand for Resource Responsibility dramatically transforms our energy, water, food and waste infrastructure systems. Looking back a decade from now, 2015 will have been the year in which it became blindingly obvious that resource innovation and productivity were set to become the great value creators of the 21st century.
A LETTER FROM THE MANAGING PARTNERJEFF MCDERMOTT
In 2005, the aggregate equity
market capitalization of companies
in the global coal industry was $165
billion, and the aggregate market
cap of companies engaged in the
wind and solar value chain was
$200 billion. 10 years later, at the
end of 2015, coal was largely the
same (buoyed by Chinese coal
company IPOs), but wind and solar
was $500 billion, up 2.5x. Just to
frame the situation in America, the
wind and solar industries today
employ 250,000 Americans and
the number of jobs in the U.S. solar
industry has grown over 15%
annually since 2010. In comparison,
coal mining employs approximately
80,000 Americans. What a
difference a decade makes.
Resource Responsibility provides
a framework that everyone under-
stands. The plummeting costs of
various technologies – renewable
energy, hardware and big data
analytics, water asset management,
waste heat recovery, energy
efficiency products and battery
storage systems, to name a few –
have created a dynamic in which
it is irresponsible for management
teams, boards and regulators
to ignore resource innovation
and productivity. It can be done
today – economically and with
proven, scalable technology.
Furthermore, it is happening on
an accelerated basis. Global
renewable energy installations
(excluding hydro) increased by 28%
in 2015 and more than 50% of the
$2.75 trillion to be invested in
power generation capacity from
2015-2020 is expected to be in
renewable energy. The LED lighting
market is projected to grow from
$13 billion in 2014 to over $60
billion by 2020 as costs continue
to steeply decline. The water
and wastewater industries are
undergoing a transformation with
the installation of smart water
meters and the use of real time
data analytics. Global smart grid
investment grew by more than $2
billion to reach $20 billion in 2015
due to an increase in distribution
automation projects in China and
smart meter installations in Europe.
The important point is that
Resource Responsibility is becoming
cheaper and easier every year, and
the list of excuses why companies
and individuals adhere to 20th
century polluting technologies and
wasteful business practices grows
increasingly less credible.
02
5GCA 2015 ANNUAL REPORT
When we think about Sustainable
Infrastructure, we are acknowledg-
ing that the existing energy, water,
food and waste infrastructure
has been built over a century
or more in OECD (Organization
for Economic Cooperation and
Development) countries. There
are long-standing, large and highly
capable incumbents delivering
products and services across the
value chain of our infrastructure
systems. The most successful new
technologies, business models and
companies fit within these existing
infrastructure systems to enable
them to fulfill our needs with greater
efficiency and less environmental
damage to our climate, air, water
and food.
However, there are regulators
whom the large incumbents have
worked hard to effectively manage
over many decades. Sadly, we see
many incumbents, led by late
career executives who, whether
through fear or inertia, have
decided to ignore society’s demand
for Resource Responsibility.
These leaders instead fund
misleading PR campaigns and
lobby actively against Resource
Responsibility. Arguments we have
heard are: “distributed solar is a tax
on poor people” (from a Director
at a large utility), “regulating shale
fracking water disposal would cost
too much” (from a CEO at a shale
oil and gas producer), building
codes that require using vastly
more energy efficient LEDs are
“un-American” (from a U.S.
congressman) and “our margins
are too low” to reduce packaging
waste and carbon intensity
(from an agribusiness executive).
The fight at the municipal, state
and federal level to influence the
regulatory bodies of our infrastruc-
ture systems and the argument to
keep the 20th century status quo is
not only irresponsible but also bad
for business. The truth is that we
can adapt and incorporate 21st
century technologies and business
practices into our infrastructure
systems and use our resources
• Record breaking clean energy investment (beating 2015’s record of $329 billion) from strength in utility scale solar and onshore wind in China, rooftop PV in Japan and the U.S.
• Continued growth in PV and wind installations with technological innovations within solar modules, as well as operational improvements in the wind industry
• Electric vehicles break the half million mark globally driven by increased EV charging stations, strong policy support and growing consumer acceptance
• New asset buyers enter the market Broad investor and consumer movement away from fossil fuels is attracting an increasing amount of interest into renewables. Interest from pension funds, insurance companies, sovereign wealth funds and superannuation funds is expected to continue to lower the industry’s cost of capital
• Grid storage additions double as momentum gathers in small-scale storage markets such as Japan, Germany and Australia; and a number of utility-scale projects announced in countries such as Canada, the U.S., Japan, Italy and Germany reach commissioning
• Corporations and cities buy clean energy Capacity procured by corporate offtakers has doubled every year since 2012 and accounted for ~40% of all PPAs signed in 2015 with demand starting to diversify away from the traditional data center sector into various other sectors, including food retailers, consumer goods, government and health care
• Smart home market takes off New, well designed networked products – connected cameras, video doorbells, smart lighting and locks – double penetration of U.S. homes to 30 million
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03GCA 2015 ANNUAL REPORT
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more responsibly. Our resources
will last longer, our environment
will be cleaner, and we can lead
the developing world towards a
low carbon development path and
mitigate the climate change impact
of greenhouse gases. In doing
so, we will build companies which
can create more Sustainable
Infrastruc ture systems for our
children and our children’s children,
and these companies will outper-
form their peers and create value.
As Victor Hugo said, “An invasion
of armies can be resisted, but not
an idea whose time has come.”
Resource Responsibility is one such
idea. Those that embrace change
today will become the leaders of
tomorrow.
In closing, we’d like to thank our
clients. We closed 14 transactions
in 2015, bringing our total to over
52 closed transactions over our
7 year history. In 2015, we had
the best sector and geographic
diversity of assignments in our
history. Since inception, 40% of our
transactions have been cross-border,
validating the importance of our
global team and relationship
network. The Partners at GCA,
who have been with the firm for
an average of 5 years, remain
deeply committed to providing
best-in-class advice for companies
seeking to build the future. Thanks
to all the management teams and
boards who put their faith in us in
2015. We are truly honored to
work for you.
“ A pessimist sees the difficulty in every opportunity; an optimist sees the opportunity in every difficulty.” —WINSTON CHURCHILL
GCA 2015 ANNUAL REPORT 05
AGRICULTURE & CONSUMER
Green chemicals
Green consumer products
Sustainable agriculture
Sustainable forestry
WATER
Distribution
Efficiency
Monitoring and compliance
Treatment
Smart water software
INDUSTRIAL IOT & SOFTWARE
Analytics
Data management
Software
Vertical applications
RENEWABLE ENERGY
Biofuel / Biochemical
Biomass
Geothermal
Hydro
Solar
Wave / Tidal
Wind
ADVANCED TRANSPORTATION
Electric vehicles
Emissions control
Natural gas vehicles
Other alternative propulsion systems
Software
Traffic management
AIR AND ENVIRONMENT
Credits trading
Environmental remediation
Pollution control
Recycling
Waste management
Waste to energy
ENERGY EFFICIENCY
Building management
Demand management
E&C / Energy services
LED lighting
Power electronics
Sustainable materials
Storage technology
POWER INFRA / SMART GRID
Energy storage
O&M services
T&D equipment
Advanced metering
Distribution automation
Grid communications
Sensors / Controls
SECTORS OF FOCUS
Sustainable Infrastructure is everyone’s future – and
it’s our business
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A VIEW FROM NORTH AMERICA OLAV JUNTTILA
the unsubsidized LCOE of wind
is as low as $43 per MWh. Consider-
ing that the unsubsidized LCOE of
natural gas plants in the U.S. is $65
per MWh, the growth in renewables
does not come as a surprise.
In fact, several positive policy
developments have acted as
contributing factors. Both solar
and wind tax credits (ITC and PTC,
respectively) were extended for
multiple years in late 2015, and
many states are continuing to
push for stronger renewable
portfolio standards. The ecosystem
is clearly changing and there
is a continued shift in positive
outcomes for the sustainability
sector. In America, Millenials have
now overtaken Baby Boomers as the
largest segment of the population –
Trends in U.S. Sustainable Infrastructure
Significant Renewables Growth
2015 marked another year of
significant growth in renewable
energy in the U.S. Over 16
gigawatts (GW) of new wind and
solar capacity were built in the
U.S., reflecting a 25% increase from
2014. In 2016, we foresee another
19 GW of new installations, which is
an 18% increase over that of 2015.
The continued improvements in
efficiency and cost are key factors
for the rapid growth of renewables.
In the last six months of 2015 alone,
the levelized cost of electricity
(LCOE) of solar photovoltaic (PV)
projects in the U.S. fell by 6%. In
Arizona, the unsubsidized LCOE for
large-scale solar PV projects is now
as low as $81 per MWh; in Texas,
and they are vastly more supportive
of sustainability and likely to
contribute to an increasingly positive
sentiment.
Evolving Ownership Vehicles
2015 also marked the rise and fall
of the renewable energy YieldCos
in North America. As investors
chased yields, companies like
TerraForm Power, NRG Yield and
Nextera Energy Partners traded to
all-time highs in the second quarter.
By the end of year, share prices
had dropped by 40-50% or more.
So with so much growth capacity,
why are the YieldCos seemingly
failing?
Renewable energy projects typically
deliver long-term, stable cash
flows with minimal technology
risk. YieldCos were set up to take
advantage of this, while also
providing liquidity to investors.
As the YieldCo class emerged,
many growth-focused investors
contributed to driving up share
prices, with current yields in some
cases dropping below 3% per year.
In July 2015, SunEdison, the largest
YieldCo sponsor at the time,
announced the acquisition of Vivint
Solar, a residential solar installer.
Investors reacted negatively,
questioning the hefty price paid
U.S. Electric Generating Capacity Build by Fuel Type 2013-2018 (GW)
GCA 2015 ANNUAL REPORT 07
for the acquisition, as well as
SunEdison’s overall leverage and
ability to absorb multiple large
acquisitions it had recently closed.
The resulting sell-off created
a negative cycle not just for
SunEdison and its two YieldCos
(TerraForm Power and TerraForm
Global), but also for the broader
YieldCo universe. With falling share
prices, YieldCos were unable to
issue shares to finance new acquisi-
tions, and their growth stories
melted away. Growth investors fled,
and the entire YieldCo segment
came under pressure.
As YieldCo share prices shrunk,
cash yields were back at 4-8%.
At these levels, the asset class as
a whole is much more in line with
the nature of the underlying assets,
and we expect the YieldCos to
remain an important structure
for owning renewable energy
assets. We also see significant
increased interest from large
institutional investors (pension
funds, insurance companies and
the like) in direct ownership of
large-scale renewable energy
assets. To address the needs of
these investors, we are launching
GCA Renewable Infrastructure
Management (“GCA Renewables”).
GCA Renewables will identify,
diligence and invest in operating
renewable energy infrastructure in
North America on behalf of large
institutional investors. This will
be an open-ended vehicle that is
structured to let investors have
direct and long-term ownership
within the assets. The fee structure
will also be very competitive.
Renewed Interest in Growth
Investments
Although the Sustainable
Infrastructure sector has grown
dramatically in recent years,
investment by private equity (PE)
and venture capital (VC) has not
kept pace. In fact, investment
volumes declined from 2009 to
2015, as limited partners preferred
other sectors, such as enterprise
software, mobile and social media.
Looking into 2016 and beyond,
we see significant opportunities
to make attractive growth equity
investments into Sustainable
Infrastructure. Developments in
areas like Advanced Transportation
(electric vehicles, autonomous
driving), Energy Efficiency (LED
lighting technology, networked
buildings) and Industrial Internet of
Things (networked sensors, big data
analytics capabilities) are set to
rapidly transform large parts of our
infrastructure systems. Although
the United States is leading the
innovation in many of these areas,
there is a still a lack of growth
capital available. GCA is launching
the Sustainable Growth Private
Equity Fund in 2016 to make growth
equity investments across all of the
sectors we currently cover.
Summary
Despite low oil prices and volatile
stock prices, we expect strong
growth in the Sustainable
Infrastructure sector in the U.S.
in 2016 and beyond. We are
excited to continue our work as
the largest global advisory firm
focused exclusively on Sustainable
Infrastructure.
Total PE/VC Investments into U.S. Clean Energy 2009-2015 ($ in billions)
2015 Share Price Performance of Selected YieldCos
08
A VIEW FROM EUROPEHERVÉ TOUATI GCA ADVISORY COUNCIL
of E.ON and RWE, the two largest
German utilities, including net debt,
for a fraction of its cash reserves.
In today’s market, where is the
best place to look for investment
opportunities? The European
market is in over-capacity today.
Utilities are bleeding. Contrarian
private equity investors with deep
Not surprisingly, market capitaliza-
tions of utility industry leaders have
suffered: E.ON is at €17 billion,
RWE at €6 billion, having lost
respectively 77% and 85% of their
value since August 2008. By
comparison, since August 2008,
Siemens’ market capitalization
increased by 10%. Today, Google
could easily finance the acquisition
pockets will find it easy, in Europe,
to buy conventional generation
assets on the cheap. The bet
will be that electricity markets
will eventually turn around once
current over capacities are resolved
through plant closures.
This may happen, but such
an investment faces an uphill
battle because the demand for
conventional generation is actually
going down due to energy
efficiency, on-site generation
(solar and batteries, combined with
heat and power), renewable off-site
generation (wind and solar), and,
over time, the increased use
of electric vehicles for back up
battery storage.
A better opportunity is to invest
in areas where new and existing
infrastructure systems can be
leveraged in different ways without
massive capital investments.
The idea would be to invest in
companies that make the electricity
sector more networked, flexible
and efficient, similar to what AirBnB
or Uber have done to lodging and
transportation.
The electricity sector remains in
the Stone Age when it comes to
integrating modern information
technology. Utilities and regulators
have been slow to adopt current IT
technology. It is quite remarkable
that our “smart phones” use much
more sophisticated energy efficiency
algorithms than our homes or
buildings, while using a very small
fraction of the electricity that our
real estate infrastructure consumes.
This is bound to change. And the
technology is not only coming from
the U.S. or Asia. Sigfox, an Internet
The European electricity market does not immediately look like the best place to invest. Demand is not growing. The EU-27 consumption, in the 12 months ending July 2015, was 9.8% lower than in 2003. Wholesale prices are historically low. Contracts in Germany for 2017 forward recently fell to €20.95/MWh, the lowest level since electricity trading was first introduced in Germany in 2002.
GCA 2015 ANNUAL REPORT
of Things company, was able to
raise the second largest investment
round of €100 million in 2015.
ENGIE, one of the largest energy
companies in the world, was one
of the investors.
Another example is Sonnen, a
German company, which is offering
software for residential owners
of PV and battery systems to
form microgrids, which exchange
electricity amongst neighbors.
The electricity sector is on the verge
of a structural revolution that will put
at its center information technology
and customer satisfaction. Winners
will be organizations that are able
to master both. Although incumbent
utilities are not particularly strong
in either area, they are adapting
and competing for these disruptive
technologies. Given current market
dynamics and the inevitable
structural revolution, now is the
time for entrepreneurs and investors
to invest time and money within
the industry.
For the electricity sector, there is
another disruption on the horizon –
the future growth in electric vehicles
(“EVs”). First, contrary to popular
belief, EVs are not going to make
a major difference in electricity
consumption. Even under high EV
penetration scenarios, most fore-
casts do not anticipate EVs creating
more than an increase of 5-10% in
electricity consumption by 2030
(e.g., assuming that 70% of cars in
urban areas are EVs). The reason
is that cars are idle 95% of the time
and EVs are much more energy
efficient than internal combustion
engines. Second, when millions of
cars are connected to the electricity
grid 95% of the time, they represent
a massive battery capacity that can
be used in the electricity system. To
give an order of magnitude – there
are 240 million cars in circulation in
Europe. A standard EV connection
has a power of 7 kW – fast charging
stations can go to 40 kW or more.
Assuming that 15 million EVs (6% of
all cars) are connected to the grid at
any given time, the total capacity to
the grid will be in excess of 100 GW,
which is the order of magnitude of
the power generation capacity in
a country like Germany or France.
While batteries clearly do not
generate electricity, they certainly
can supply it for an hour or two, and
collectively could render the same
services of idling plants (“spinning
reserves”) to the grid. They could
absorb abundant wind or solar
electricity during peak production
times. They could make grid
reinforcement unnecessary. Within a
decade, they could even drive
themselves dynamically to reduce
grid congestion. Thus EVs will
accelerate the transformation
of the electricity sector into a more
intelligent, networked, efficient and
less carbon intensive industry.
We believe EVs will be deployed
faster than anticipated, creating
disruptions – and therefore
opportunities – in the electricity
sector that are only beginning to
be understood. The winners will
be those companies that spot the
trends ahead of the competition
and have the courage to position
themselves appropriately.
“ The electricity sector is on the verge of a
structural revolution that will put at its center information technology and customer satisfaction; winners will be organizations
that are able to master both.”
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A VIEW FROM CHINA EDWARD CUNNINGHAM GCA ADVISORY COUNCIL
stark reality: they need to dramati-
cally reduce the resource intensity
of their national economy.
The recent shifts in Chinese energy
and climate policy, investments,
and behavior reflect a growing
appreciation of the resource
constraints facing the country, and
have resulted in major growth in
the Sustainable Infrastructure
sector. In the past five years, over
40% of global renewable energy
growth came from China, as
Chinese investment in this sector
exceeded that of the U.S. and
Europe combined. China ended
2015 as the largest center of clean
energy investment in the world,
China: Resource Constrained Leader
After two years in power, the
current political leadership in
Beijing is managing the largest
urbanization process in history
while focusing the national growth
model on improving the people’s
livelihood in the form of the
Thirteenth Five-Year Plan (2016–
20). China is home to just under
20% of humanity, yet enjoys only
7% of both the world’s arable land
and fresh water. Constraints are
rising: 8-20% of China’s fertile land
may now be contaminated with
heavy metals; and two-thirds of
underground water and one-third
of above ground water is now
classified as unfit for human
contact. Chinese leaders, launching
the first official “code red” system
for air pollution in the nation’s
capital in late 2015, are facing a
estimated at $101.2 billion – 2.3
times the U.S. figure for that period.
In late 2015, China and the U.S.
committed to a global climate
accord in Paris, while China also
announced a cap and trade
program twice the size of Europe’s,
to begin in 2017. Later this year, one
out of every three wind turbines
operating in the world will be
located in China, and China’s
national installed renewable energy
capacity is already double that of
the U.S.
China’s Strategic Growth Areas = GCA’s Strengths
China’s commitment to such
investments has only strengthened
over time. On January 16, 2016,
Chinese president Xi Jinping
formally launched the Asian
Infrastructure Investment Bank
(AIIB), arguing “Asia’s financing
needs for basic infrastructure are
absolutely enormous.” The bank,
headquartered in Beijing, has
approximately $100 billion in
capital – one-third of which is from
China – despite the fact that the
bank’s investors include 56 other
member states. The bank will lend
up to $15 billion annually for the
first five years of its operations,
Renewables Supply
Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance
GCA 2015 ANNUAL REPORT 13
beginning in the second quarter
of this year, and support economic
development in the Asian region
through the financing of key
infrastructure. China’s commitment
to the AIIB and Asian infrastructure
came amidst a challenging time –
China is moving to a “new normal”
of lower economic growth, facing
severe environmental constraints
and rising social awareness of the
limits of past growth models. Yet,
as a result of China’s commitment,
the drivers supporting growth
in Sustainable Infrastructure are
strong going into 2016.
More than 100 Chinese cities boast
populations of over 1 million people.
Because of policy changes in
Chinese media coverage, better
enforcement of pollution penalties
and competition for skilled labor
in coastal areas, expectations
regarding health and environmental
quality have begun to shift among
China’s hundreds of millions
of urban residents. The central
government is therefore accelerat-
ing its focus on the seven Strategic
Emerging Industries first announced
in 2013, listed and explained below,
which match the areas in which
1 Energy-Efficiency and Environmental
Technologies. The development of resource
recycling, remanufacturing, hazardous waste
management, pollution control and re-use
2 IT-Enabled Smart Networks. Development
of next-generation IT networks and high
value-added electronics, cloud computing,
Internet of Things and emerging information
services
3 Bio-Tech/Agriculture. Development of bio-
medical engineering products, bio-agriculture,
and medical services and devices
4 Advanced Manufacturing. Development of
aviation, aerospace, rail transportation, marine
engineering and intelligent manufacturing
5 Renewable Energy. Development of energy
storage, new-generation nuclear power, and
solar, wind and biomass energy sources
6 New Materials. Development of advanced
structural materials and high-performance
composite materials
7 New Energy Vehicles. Development of
plug-in hybrid and full-electric vehicles.
China’s Seven Strategic Emerging Sectors
GCA has been a leader for nearly
a decade.
Finally, it is precisely during periods
of slowing economic growth and
lower energy supply risk that the
Chinese government engages in
important energy market reforms
to improve price signals, raise
efficiency and rationalize markets.
Recent electricity reform experi-
ments to introduce competition in
grid transmission and distribution
in Guizhou, Shenzhen and 13 more
regional markets are important
signals in this regard. In conclusion,
changes in China’s citizens’ attitudes,
environmental constraints, invest-
ment vehicles and market regula-
tions are powerfully driving growth
in the Sustainable Infrastructure
sector. Together, such changes
provide critical opportunities for
GCA’s client companies with
leading technologies and business
models well suited to these
growing markets that enable
Chinese customers to do more
with less and reduce wasteful
resource consumption.
Increase in annual water demand 2005-2030 (Billion m3)
Source: KPMG
14
with sensors and communications
protocols that will enable
Autonomous Electric Vehicles
(AEVs) to determine the fastest
routes accordingly. The prolifera-
tion of vehicle connectivity
will have implications across
telematics, automated driving,
infotainment and mobility services.
Of necessity, these trends will
also have a profound impact on
Goods Movement. The increasing
Already, services like Uber,
combined with changing lifestyles
(including home entertainment and
working remotely), have significant-
ly reduced the use of personal cars.
By 2020, there will be a quarter
billion connected vehicles on the
road, enabling new in-vehicle
services and automated driving
capabilities. Gartner forecasts 30%
annual growth from 2015 to 25
billion connected things by 2020.
City infrastructure will be retrofitted
adoption of IoT and connected
consumer devices has led customers
(whether consumer, business,
or industrial users) to have an
expectation that they can get
what they want real time, “in
Amazon Prime time,” whether it
be information, product availability
or delivery. This has a significant
impact on the supply chain which
has been struggling to catch up
with those expectations. For
example, consumer product
companies need to bring products
to market and get them in consum-
ers’ hands increasingly quickly.
Suppliers of goods and services
need to drive efficiencies across
the value chain from manufacturing
to delivery to the end user.
GCA anticipates the following
trends in goods movement,
covering both transportation and
logistics, which we describe as
Intelligent Goods Movement:
• Transport-as-a-Service will
expand beyond Uber/Lyft to
facilitate the movement of
goods
• Incumbent logistics and
shipping players (e.g., FedEx,
UPS, Amazon) will aggressively
embrace new technologies
to defend their leadership
positions
• Urban spaces wil becomel
increasingly multi-use and
adaptable as part of the logistics
network to facilitate the move-
ment of these goods (leading to
mini in-city distribution centers
and urban farming focused on
fragile, fresh produce). Technol-
ogies used to protect smart city
and smart grid infrastructure will
also be used to protect personal
and confidential business data
To date, commentators on trends in Advanced Transportation have focused on the impact of new technologies – Electric Vehicles, Autonomous Vehicles, the Internet of Things (IoT) and Transportation-as-a-Services vendors – on our everyday lives as consumers.
TRENDS IN ADVANCED TRANSPORTATIONDUNCAN WILLIAMS
15GCA 2015 ANNUAL REPORT
The impact of these trends on
goods movement is not yet visible.
In the U.S., light duty vehicle
mileage has peaked, but freight
transportation mileage is still rising.
The Intelligent Goods Movement
will certainly have a profound
impact on our everyday lives as
consumers, and also on the
supporting infrastructure.
What technologies are emerging which will enable more efficient goods movement?
Automation technologies for
freight trucking. Peloton Technolo-
gies is a Mountain View, CA based
startup that electronically links
trucks through a combination of
vehicle-to-vehicle communications,
radar-based active safety systems,
and vehicle control algorithms.
“Platooning” communication links
between two trucks enable the rear
truck to react to the acceleration
or braking of the front truck (think
of it as adaptive cruise control).
Financial backers include Lockheed
Martin, Volvo, UPS, and Intel,
reflecting the broad recognition by
industry incumbents on the impor-
tance of automation technologies.
Peloton claims to reduce collisions
and improve fuel economy
(because the platoons dramatically
cut aerodynamic drag) by >10%
Drones which support more
efficient supply chain and delivery.
Flirtey, an autonomous drone
delivery startup, recently completed
the first federally-sanctioned drone
delivery in a U.S. urban area
without the help of a human to
manually steer it. Additionally, large
companies such as Amazon,
Google and Walmart are exploring
the use of drones to deliver
customer orders.
Advanced data visualization and
analytics software to support
incumbent logistics providers.
FedEx is using analytics software
from Space-Time Insight (STI), a
San Mateo, CA start up, to identify
in real-time the most cost effective
modes of transport for the 4 million
packages and 12 million pounds
of freight it moves daily. With
the 20 million routing combinations
it has to deal with monthly, the
value that STI can provide to FedEx
in optimizing routing decision-
making is clear.
The implications of Smart Infrastructure
However, the implications of these
trends also need to be considered.
The convergence of IoT-enabled
smart cities and AEVs solves many
challenges (noise/air pollution,
urban sprawl, the need to drive)
but “intelligence” (i.e., computing
power applied to everyday applica-
tions) also raises new concerns
(i.e., inattentive drivers, displace-
ment of existing infrastructure,
unpredictable traffic, regulation
and cybersecurity). A transportation
network filled with sensors and
trackers will accumulate a lot of
information about every person,
business and good participating
within that network. Who owns
that information? How does one
safeguard it? Is government
surveillance appropriate? The vision
of Autonomous Electric Vehicles
noiselessly buzzing around cities
delivering goods almost instanta-
neously on demand is exciting, but
it raises some questions about an
Orwellian dystopia.
So what is the outlook?
• Large incumbent players need
to move quickly. There is
significant risk that the leaders,
for example trucking, logistics,
food production and consumer
products companies, are left
flat-footed by these trends. They
will need to embrace change
and work with emerging and
established technology compa-
nies to ensure that their market
positions are not eroded
• Increasing convergence is likely
between historically separate
and in some cases disparate
sectors. The divisions between
Social Media, Industrial Internet,
Advanced Transportation,
Logistics, Analytics Software
and Ag Tech will likely become
blurred with increased
partnerships and M&A between
and across these sectors
• Moreover, venture capital
formation will leverage expertise
from across these sectors,
further accelerating the conver-
gence. Siloed sector expertise
will be replaced by thematic
platform plays
Two things are certain – investment
in Intelligent Goods Movement
will continue to gather momentum
and companies, investors and
consumers will all be beneficiaries.
16
INFRASTRUCTURE RISING – AN ASSET CLASS TAKES SHAPETHOMAS PUTTER GCA ADVISORY COUNCIL
been described as the infrastruc-
ture financing gap.
This is the difference between the
estimated infrastructure financing
needs through to the year 2030
and the available capital to provide
the funding. The estimates of
global infrastructure financing
needs from sources as diverse as
the OECD, E&Y or the McKinsey
Global Institute range from $50
trillion to $70 trillion. Put another
Whilst in the year 2000 only a
handful of funds were raised, the
real growth occurred from 2005
onwards, climaxing with approxi-
mately 70 funds raising almost $70
billion in 2013. In 2015, $48 billion
was raised by some 50 odd funds.
To date, it is estimated that in
excess of $300 billion is under
management in funds focused on
infrastructure investments. The
impressive growth is expected to
continue in the face of what has
way, the current annual global
spend on infrastructure of $2.6
trillion would have to increase to
$4.3 trillion to meet the challenge.
Since there is a correlation
between GDP growth and
infrastructure spending, high
growth markets are concentrated
within developing economies.
The McKinsey forecast spreads
the anticipated investment needs
primarily across roads, rail,
ports, airports, power, water and
telecommunication. Of these,
power and water each represent
a $10 trillion or more financing
demand.
It is interesting to compare these
numbers to estimates of the total
global long term investor asset
base today of approximately
$70 trillion. Within the OECD, the
combined asset base of traditional
long term investors, namely
insurance companies and pension
funds, amounted to roughly $45
trillion, almost evenly split between
the two. But of course these
investment funds can only make
a partial allocation of their overall
assets available to infrastructure.
Demand for infrastructure funding
has grown, particularly since the
financial crisis. OECD governments
have realized that their levels of
indebtedness are not sustainable,
that infrastructure in the developed
world requires modernization, and
view infrastructure investments as
an essential stimulus to economic
growth. The so called “developing
world” requires infrastructure
investment to maintain, if not
accelerate, its own economic
growth ambitions.
Against the background of a record
low interest rate environment, the
private sector investor is now seen
Infrastructure is a reasonably new phenomenon in the financial landscape and has made its mark really only since 2000 in terms of a focus by professional investors raising funds dedicated to infrastructure investing.
17GCA 2015 ANNUAL REPORT
as an important contributor to
funding infrastructure needs.
There is also a growing realization
amongst political elites for the
need to create the appropriate
framework conditions and policies
to promote long term investment.
Finally, a start has been made with
leaders speaking to entities such
as the World Bank and the IMF,
the OECD and the European
Commission.
Regulation and the role of legal
frameworks are a key influence on
whether and how private capital
invests in infrastructure. It was
only 2014 when the Junker’s
commission €300 billion plan put
infrastructure at the center of the
policy agenda. The low interest
rate environment is driving global
institutional investors to continue
to seek alternative investments for
yield and income. It is not surpris-
ing against the background of the
described demand that real asset
strategies such as infrastructure
should experience increasing
interest. Between 2003 and 2013,
the global historical deal volume
grew every year. Transportation,
power, energy and renewables are
key growth segments.
The asset class is evidently viewed
as so attractive that in the last
few years we have seen some of
the largest institutional investors
begin to invest directly with
in-house teams in infrastructure
assets. Today, we have institutional
investors not only co-investing
with established fund managers,
but we are seeing the formation
of consortia including pension
funds, insurance companies and
sovereign wealth funds competing
directly with fund managers
for attractive large infrastructure
asset investments, which are
now becoming a mainstream
asset class.
The other relatively new develop-
ment, post financial crisis, is that
the opportunities available within
the industry have been greatly
diversified. What was a private
equity style investment approach
10 years ago is now much differen-
tiated for infrastructure today, both
as a result of more greatly varied
risk appreciation on the part of
investors as well as the lower
return profiles (in absolute terms).
Where once investors only
searched for operating assets (so
called “brown field”) in developed
markets and believed that these
presented the best return on less
complex and more predictable risk,
the picture is changing. Certainly
there is tremendous competition
for quality assets and this, not
surprisingly, has had an effect on
driving up prices and thus lowering
returns.
It is important to stress the differ-
ence between infrastructure and
private equity. It is one of the
temptations for some investment
managers to describe what is
actually a buyout investment with
heavy asset backing as an infra-
structure opportunity in order to be
able to bid higher prices and put
more money to work. It is not that
one should not entertain this kind
of investment, but it does mean
one should be clear about the risk
one assumes and the appropriate
return profile that one should get.
Ultimately, like any other invest-
ment class, infrastructure investing
is about defining and understand-
ing the particular risks involved and
matching these with an appropriate
return profile. Regulated sources of
investment capital such as insurers
(and in the past banks) have to be
particularly stringent in this exer-
cise, given the solvency capital
costs that they have to bear.
Because of their economic charac-
teristics, it is generally believed that
many infrastructure assets are less
volatile because of their cash flow
and return profile, and therefore
represent an important addition to
an investment portfolio. It is this
characteristic that makes infrastruc-
ture an interesting investment for
regulated investors. The amount of
risk capital that needs to be made
available in support of low volatility
equity investments is less than that
of a private equity portfolio.
The same investors who in the
past bought 20 and 30 year
government bonds to match their
life insurance or pension liabilities
are now looking to alternatives
in the infrastructure space.
Infrastructure Risks
The sensitivity of the infrastructure
asset’s utilization to the general
economic environment and a deep
understanding of the drivers of
demand for that utilization will
define one aspect of an infrastruc-
ture assets risk profile. A water
utility will be at the low end of the
risk spectrum, but a container port
will be subjected to the vagaries
of global trade cycles.
As an infrastructure investment, the
more developed the asset is and
the more operating history it has,
the less risky the asset. Green-field
opportunities are considered more
risky when it is only a plan with no
permitting or contracting for the
build out of the asset, and where
the sale framework of its output is
not yet in place.
A debate is ongoing in the infra-
structure community as to whether
governments “have learned
their lessons” and will no longer
retroactively change the rules of
the game. Governments and the
industry will evolve with time
towards stability and transparency
for private capital to take root.
Investors, in turn, must appreciate
the increasingly politicized nature
of investments in infrastructure,
particularly utilities.
Like any investment category, the
low hanging fruit gets picked first
and it is to the skill and expertise,
investment prowess and know-how
of the investment manager, be
he/she the manager of an infra-
structure fund or a direct employee
of an institutional investor, to seek
out those new opportunities. This
can be geography, an innovative
strategy to create value, or build
scale with which diversification
and synergies are achieved.
It is likely that the historically low
interest environment will continue
for some time to come.
From an institutional investors point
of view, not only can the yield
achievable be interesting, but
historic data also proves that
certain types of infrastructure do
Development finance is still
regarded as a specialist activity
within infrastructure investing and
the domain of deep industry sector
experts. Increasingly, investors
are comfortable with certain types
of construction risks, where the
market has sufficient experience in
construction to gain a comfort level
with such strategies. In the renew-
able energy world, we see this in
particular with the construction of
wind parks or solar parks.
The topic of geographic focus is
much debated. Due to the very
long-term nature of infrastructure
assets, the asset’s risk profile is
highly determined based on the
transparency and comprehensive-
ness of a regulatory regime, the
stability of a political system and
its governance and compliance
record, coupled with a high comfort
level in the rule of law.
Some developed countries,
such as Italy, Norway and Spain,
have changed existing regulatory
parameters. The evolving
renewable subsidy regime has
significantly impacted the value
of fossil-fuel based generation
plants in Europe. UK water
utilities have been subjected to
more difficult price determination
by the regulators.
well in inflationary periods and
hence have defensive qualities.
A measured view of what is
acceptable risk is required and a
creative mind as to appropriate
investment structure and execution.
And as we stand here today, new
opportunities will be thrown up
through the evolution of the
digital revolution, the advent of
smart cities, mass data storage
requirements, and technological
development in energy storage,
to name a few. It is our view that
infrastructure investments via
debt or equity do afford the
opportunity for higher returns
with acceptable risk.
With more investors sharing an
interest in infrastructure, more
liquid secondary markets will be
developed. We will see more
securitisation and innovation
of financial products, bringing
potential liquidity to the market
as well as additional sources for
capital. There will be excesses
(some of the YieldCos in the
U.S. can be debated as to their
risk-return-profile), but overall
the outlook for infrastructure
investing is very interesting.
There is great need on both
the demand and supply side
of the equation and what better
prerequisite than that.
“ Initiative is doing the right thing without being told.” —VICTOR HUGO
18
19GCA 2015 ANNUAL REPORT
A LETTER FROM DAVID SMITH OF GCA INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT
day at GCA Investment Manage-
ment. Identifying opportunities in
the public markets, where assets
are often mispriced, is what we
do best. It is our belief that our
collective experience in the
Sustainable Infrastructure sector
grants us a superior advantage
to identify great opportunities
and unlock value.
Allow me to explain in more detail
the challenges our sector faced this
past year, and how we were able to
navigate through those difficulties.
It is our view that the perception of
low cost fossil fuels interfering with
In fact, there was a strong correla-
tion for two of the eight sub-sectors
in our Funds with oil. Unfortunately,
the performance of these
sub-sectors suffered sharply due
to the perception that lower fossil
fuel costs would lessen the impor-
tance of renewables and energy
efficiency, as well as disable yield
structures to finance their growth.
Great portfolio management lies in
distinguishing between perception
and reality in the markets while
simultaneously maintaining strict
exposure management, great stock
selection and excellent sector
rotation. We aim to do this every
the growth of more sustainable
energy sources misses the point
that underpins the success of
so-called “disruptive” energy
sources: lower emissions, almost
zero variable costs, extremely short
lead times to development, and the
economics that have taken these
new energy sources to the main-
stream. Moreover, despite the
installed base of incumbent coal
and nuclear, the recent rise of
natural gas as a baseload fuel
illustrates even further that the
industry can be, and is, receptive
to change.
Throughout 2015, there were a
multitude of U.S. companies turning
to cleaner energy sources. Namely,
Google, Apple, Ford, Amazon,
Cisco and countless others. Even
old-world manufacturers of welding
equipment, like Lincoln Electric
(L.E.), based in Cleveland, who
predominately sells to companies
like Caterpillar, John Deere and
major automakers, are reflective
of this change to cleaner energy
sources. In fact, a massive wind
turbine dominates the entrance
to L.E.’s corporate campus and
generates clean electricity at
below-grid cost, demonstrating,
without a doubt, an impressive
clean-energy statement for an
old-world manufacturer. Similarly,
utilities including Duke, Con Edison
and PG&E are rapidly embracing
wind and solar into their energy
programs. So by year’s end, the
reality was that renewables had
their best year ever in 2015, adding
121 gigawatts (for $329 billion
of investment, according to
Bloomberg New Energy Finance),
representing more than 70% of
new capacity additions for the year.
This is solid affirmation that despite
the fossil fuel energy rout, what
many perceived as happening, did
not in fact occur. Alongside the
Reflecting on 2015, it is clear that perception and reality in the broader markets diverged materially. Oil ruled as the proxy for all things energy.
20
U.S., Japan and China, emerging
markets are deploying materially
more megawatts than was antici-
pated previously. In fact, even
Saudi Arabia is pointing to an
imminent move to solar during
the next 20 years.
GREEN must be GREEN
Of course, the biggest impetus
for this paradigm shift towards
renewable energy is economics.
Economics open new markets and
technological efficiencies drive
behavior forward. As the global
demand for renewable energy
rises, so does the efficiency with
which it is implemented. To that
end, Bloomberg reports that global
installations of wind and solar rose
30% compared to 2014, yet the
amount invested increased only
4%. Part of this efficiency comes
from lower input costs, and part
comes from research and develop-
ment. Other examples of this
efficiency include wind turbines,
which can now reach taller heights
allowing them to capture both
higher wind speeds with longer
blades, and more wind at slower
speeds. Furthermore, advanced
low-cost thin film solar panels are
now yielding efficiencies higher
than mass-produced polysilicon
solar cells did a decade ago.
And there is more to come – we
recently read of an MIT program
developing ultra-thin solar cells as
light as soap bubbles that can be
placed on any surface. Technology
is not static. Just look at how Apple
has in part changed the way we
communicate globally in only eight
years. Creative disruption for the
energy sector is in its early stages
and is displacing old world coal
and inefficient fossil fuel plants.
Above all, we think that it’s import-
ant to be clear that the opening
of new markets for renewables
and energy efficiency has been
facilitated by cost reductions. Mass
markets do not open for a more
expensive way to do the same
thing – hence, we are less bullish
on science projects that have never
proven to be economically viable.
The recognition by industry
and consumers of the cost versus
benefit cannot be understated
here. Because of these cost
reductions, new business models
in emerging markets are being
introduced in the marketplace.
Today, climate concerns take a
back seat but attitudes are chang-
ing. Record warm temperatures,
melting glaciers and rising sea
levels are forcing the developed
world to finally take notice. The
historical COP 21 agreement is
a step in the right direction,
and while Obama’s Clean Power
Plan has become a political
football, the real decision makers
(consumers and businesses)
are making the real (and right)
investment decisions.
In short, while we are increasingly
convinced the future of electricity is
wind and solar, we also recognize
that natural gas is the lower
emission bridge that takes the lead
in baseload generation for the time
being. With that in mind, we do not
invest in Exploration & Production
companies, but rather companies
seeking solutions to make shale
extraction more sustainable,
whether it is in fluids, transport,
water or methane capture. Amid
“ When the facts change, I change my mind, what do you do, sir?” —JOHN MAYNARD KEYNES
21GCA 2015 ANNUAL REPORT
the low cost of natural gas today,
the economics favor shutting down
coal and the industry is in the midst
of a major coal-to-gas switch at the
power generation level. The
environmental benefits are moun-
tainous, and there is a clear sight to
many more coal closures through
2020. Moreover, stricter environ-
mental regulations mean that coal
is effectively “shut out” of the new
build market. Where coal once
had provided upwards of 45% of
the U.S. energy mix, recent data
shows it below 30% and declining.
Advancement toward energy
storage (lithium batteries) could
disrupt the electric grid even more
in the future. Once seemingly an
impossible scenario, unsubsidized
solar is cheaper than fossil fuels
and has changed the global energy
landscape entirely.
More than Wind and Solar
While the power grid garners
significant attention given the
market size, sustainability has
visibly penetrated other large
markets. While many point to smog
coming from coal destroying the
air in China, the other major
contributors are vehicles and
buildings. Vehicle emissions and
efficiency are now being increas-
ingly eyed by regulators not only in
OECD countries but also emerging
markets. With the Internet of Things
and the potential of lithium battery
storage, vehicle electrification has
gone mainstream. At the end of
March, Tesla introduced its mass
market Model 3. This follows the
Chevy Bolt and the Nissan Leaf.
Like renewables, we see vehicle
electrification gaining traction as
large cities add charging stations
and utilities see opportunities to
“extend the plug.” And consumers
are looking to the home for better
efficiency. While the term “Internet
of Things” has been overused in
the past, the reality today is society
demands ubiquitous connectivity,
both wired and wireless. Some of
the fastest growth industrial
companies we own in the Funds
have benefited by providing LED
lights, efficient water heaters and
air conditioners and advanced
building control systems. Similarly,
water has become an area of
increased attention, most often due
to crises that in 2015 were head-
lined by scarcity in the California
drought and contaminated
municipal systems in Virginia and
Michigan. Lastly, waste has proven
to be a reliable “growth area” in
the Funds for 2015, highlighted by
pricing strength, volume growth
and industry consolidation.
Our mandate remains to find great
companies at good value, and
sometimes exceptional value. We
always look for a catalyst to capture
attractive financial returns among
companies that have barriers to
entry and play in the right part
of the value chain. So while 2015
was a challenging year in terms
of returns, we maintain a high
conviction that companies that
provide sustainable products
and services will grow faster and
more profitably than their peers,
ultimately reaping market rewards
over time.
Crossing the Chasm
The year started with oil stabilizing
after a near free-fall from June
through December 2014. As the
year ended with the COP 21 global
emissions agreement and the
renewal of the U.S. Investment Tax
Credit and Production Tax Credit,
which should aid in the eventual
implementation of the Clean Power
Plan, we believe there is much to
be positive about in the road ahead.
Having covered the industry when it
was first referred to as “Alternative
Energy” and later on as “Cleantech”,
the products and services these
companies provide is now coined
“Sustainable Infrastructure.” As
the industry continues to evolve,
the so-called “Third Coming” has
seen economic viability and broad
market acceptance. Today, solar
and wind are seen as Power
Generation; LED lights and efficient
motors as Diversified Industrial
Products; and vehicle electrification
as Automotive.
Amid a crumbling infrastructure
across most OECD countries,
as well as extraordinary growth
opportunities in emerging markets,
we think the roadmap for sustain-
able products and services is
expanding daily. Oil market
dislocations in 2015 had an impact
on some company valuations that
was more percep tion-driven than
grounded in reality. Quite often,
this can lead to buying great
companies at a reasonable price.
Our past experi ence covering
the many variants of Sustainable
Infrastructure has equipped us
well to see and make sense of the
technological and disruptive
changes that could lead to great
investment decisions in the future.
Just as the enormity of the impact
of the iPhone was unthinkable 10
years ago, so was the concept of
solar panels and wind turbines
replacing coal plants. We strongly
believe the industry is moving in
the right direction and look forward
to being a part of the progression.
22
AN INVESTOR’S PERSPECTIVEION YADIGAROGLU,
CAPRICORN INVESTMENT GROUP
In transportation, there are three
important technology trends
converging, and not a minute too
early given the large and growing
contribution of transportation to
carbon emissions (not to mention
the continued carnage on roads
globally). Tesla demonstrated that
EV drive trains can result in a
superior automotive product in
terms of driving performance,
safety, comfort and even conve-
nience. Uber shifted a truly
The VW crisis may seem like just
another compliance failure without
grander consequences, but we see
it as an important clue to one of the
big trends in clean technology.
Sustainable transportation is being
subjected to large forces and will
as a result undergo a fundamental
transformation in coming years.
The key driver is the adoption of
technologies which have emerged
in the past 10 years and are now
scaling to the point of materiality.
astounding amount of car miles to
their on-demand offering and
convinced millions that ownership
is an unnecessary and perhaps
even negative attribute of the car
experience. Finally, autonomous
driving is captivating everyone’s
imagination in how it can both
finally address safety in a more
fundamental way, and also offer the
next level of convenience.
We invested in these three big tech-
nological themes over the past
decade, although we did not expect
the technologies to show such
multiplier effects on each other,
which is now becoming clear. That
convergence is leading to dozens
of new startups, in addition to the
industry incumbents and large
technology companies deploying
large resources.
The VW story lays bare that diesel
vehicles are no longer able to
deliver progress on the attributes
that society values. Despite an
arguably weak regulatory demand
to reduce emissions, one of the
greatest research and development
programs had to cheat to meet
everyone’s expectations. The truth
is that other Original Equipment
Manufacturers (“OEMs”) are not in
an altogether different place, and
that gasoline is no different than
diesel. The real issue is not what to
do with half a million non-compliant
VW vehicles, but instead how to
change the trajectory at VW and
other incumbents to more convinc-
ingly clean our air, eliminate carbon,
address safety and offer real
advances in convenience and
comfort. The recall itself could cost
VW $10 billion, and the fines up to
twice that amount. That is enough
capital to transform VW, if our
regulators and other stakeholders
can be wise enough to pursue
it over ineffective punishment.
As I write this contribution, we have been waiting for over six months for a proposed resolution of the VW diesel emissions scandal – far longer than anyone had imagined.
23GCA 2015 ANNUAL REPORT
With the Paris agreement and the
distraction of climate change denial
mostly behind us, we can finally
focus on implementation. Besides
sustainable transportation, we must
of course address renewable
electricity production, with land
use being the third leg of global
net emissions. Over $300 billion
dollars was invested in wind and
solar power plants last year, making
renewable infrastructure one
of the largest capital expenditures
globally. The key challenge is
how to double or triple that level
of investment, especially in
the emerging world where infra-
structure costs are higher than that
of the developed world. All of those
assets need to be developed,
supplied, constructed, financed
and sold to long term owners. For
my firm, a central question is what
role new clean technology can
play in this area.
Although wind is still the larger
piece of what is being built today,
solar has benefited from faster cost,
performance and growth curves,
and is about to surpass wind. For
that reason, we have focused
carefully on solar technology and
deployment as the key drivers to
the renewable electricity transition.
The entry of China in solar cell
manufacturing bankrupted many
other players including the venture
backed startups working on new
cell technology. Despite this, we
continued to invest in promising
new manufacturing processes while
recognizing that the current genera-
tion of manufacturing plants would
need new technology that may take
years to debug and validate.
The next wave of manufacturing
processes is now visible ahead in
the form of thin film and hybrid cell
technologies, delivering higher
performance points, lower costs
and with smaller plant expenditures.
Like many, we have been excited
about the deployment of solar
technology in a distributed mode,
especially in the emerging world.
The truth is that this trend has not
materialized, and the largest solar
plants are where most of the total
solar volume has gone – in all
geographies including China and
India. Within “grid scale” plants, the
largest volumes have, in turn, been
in the largest projects. We expect
these trends to reverse and favor
smaller and more distributed
deployment modes, but that has not
yet occurred. We also invested
heavily in deploying solar with
batteries and in conjunction with
fossil generation (hybridized solar),
and this remains a very exciting
area for the near future.
Battery technology is at the core
of what is needed for the last mode
and for further adoption of EVs. The
primary issue is not performance
but cost of storage, which has
dropped from $1,000/kWh in 2006
to below $200 today. Within the
next few years, there are numerous
strategies that are projected to
lower the cost to $100 and below.
The scale-up of global battery
capacity will require very large
investments, in the tens of billions,
and that cycle has not yet started in
earnest. The technology race for
those future plants remains open,
and it is thus a highly dynamic and
exciting area of investment.
Besides wind and solar, there is
surprisingly vibrant investment in
fusion technology. The main
tokamak (toroidal magnetic confine-
ment) approach, which dominated
the sector for decades and won
nearly all government funding,
is basically dead as a design for
future commercial use, but there
are now many options that seem
both realistic and within the time
frames of venture capital already. In
contrast, despite many investment
plans being circulated, we haven’t
seen compelling technology emerg-
ing on the fission side, important
enough to displace the existing
nuclear BWR designs that are
widespread but stalled due to
public acceptance of their tradeoffs.
Efficiency continues to provide an
endless list of opportunities, led by
the LED transition which already
measures in the tens of billions of
dollars and is materially impacting
power use. Whether in appliance,
building or industrial efficiency, we
have invested in several promising
and important products and see no
end to that rich area of opportunity.
The best products tend to combine
multiple positive attributes besides
achieving efficiency, as illustrated
by quantum dots which offer better
color along with power savings
compared to phosphors, or GaN
which allows new designs in
common electronics such as power
supplies and inverters while being
more efficient.
These are truly exciting times to be
active in the sustainability and clean
technology areas. Many companies
are embracing the opportunities
inherent in large scale change.
Others that do not embrace change
will likely have to face similar
challenges to that of VW. There are
many actors, but GCA stands out
for its sustained commitment to the
sector and its unequaled expertise.
We are delighted to be part of
the family.
24
TRANSACTION OVERVIEW
• On July 6, 2015, Mohamed Abdulrahman Al-Bahar
(“Al-Bahar”) made an equity investment in Fluidic Energy
• Al-Bahar invested alongside Caterpillar, among other
investors, in Series D equity
AL-BAHAR OVERVIEW
• Founded in 1937, Al-Bahar is a leading business house in
the Arabian Gulf with a mission to become the number
one provider of customer value in construction equipment,
energy and transportation
• Al-Bahar is the exclusive Caterpillar dealer in Bahrain,
Kuwait, Oman, Qatar and UAE, and distributes products for
a wide range of applications, including electric power
generation
• Al-Bahar employs over 2,800 people
FLUIDIC OVERVIEW
• Founded in 2006, Fluidic developed and commercialized
a high-cycle life rechargeable zinc-air battery
• Fluidic primarily develops systems for telecom
applications
• Fluidic has installed systems at over 600 locations,
comprising more than 35,000 batteries
• Fluidic is based in Scottsdale, AZ and has operations in
the U.S., South East Asia and Latin America
• The investment will allow Fluidic to leverage its
business model advantages to serve new markets such
as microgrids and to scale up distribution channels
GCA’S ROLE
• GCA was the exclusive financial advisor
to Al-Bahar
• GCA was closely involved in all aspects
of the transaction, including structuring,
valuation, due diligence and negotiation
• Leveraging our in-depth knowledge
of the energy storage market, GCA
helped Al-Bahar evaluate Fluidic’s market,
technology and business model
WHAT THE TRANSACTION MEANS FOR
THE ENERGY STORAGE SECTOR
• The transaction shows the growing
interest for energy storage solutions
as economics become attractive across
a broad array of applications thanks to
rapid system cost declines
• Specifically, the transaction signals
a shift toward increasing commercial
viability of microgrids as energy storage
technologies continue to mature and
facilitate the integration of renewable
energy sources
Al-Bahar’s Investment in Fluidic
CASE STUDY
25GCA 2015 ANNUAL REPORT
CASE STUDY
TRANSACTION OVERVIEW
• On October 1, 2015, Allegion (NYSE: ALLE), a leading
global security products and solutions provider, agreed
to acquire SimonsVoss Technologies GmbH from
HgCapital for €210 million
• This transaction will further develop Allegion’s
electronic access controls business in Europe, which
adds leading engineering and technical expertise and
solidifies its global leadership in electro-mechanical
convergence
• Allegion’s demand creation and global distribution
capabilities will benefit the SimonsVoss brand
and accelerate international development
SIMONSVOSS OVERVIEW
• SimonsVoss, headquartered in Munich, Germany,
is an electronic lock company with a leading
position in the growing European electronic
market segment
• The company’s comprehensive suite of solutions
for electronic access control is sold globally. As
a strong brand that’s well-known for innovation,
SimonsVoss brings a legacy of global experts
and technical expertise in the safety and security
business
• SimonsVoss generated sales of approximately
€52 million in 2014 and has approximately
275 employees
GCA’S ROLE
• GCA served as the exclusive financial
advisor to Allegion in the acquisition of
SimonsVoss and helped the company in
structuring, analyzing and negotiating
the terms of the transaction
• GCA supported Allegion’s management
team in managing an accelerated
M&A process. GCA was able to secure and
sign a definitive agreement with Allegion in
one month’s time
• The transaction highlights GCA’s in-depth
knowledge of the building technology
and automation sectors and our ability
to organize and manage client driven
solutions
WHAT THE TRANSACTION MEANS FOR
THE BUILDING AUTOMATION SECTOR
• The acquisition of SimonsVoss will solidify
Allegion’s global leadership position in
electro-mechanical convergence
• More broadly, the transaction highlights the
strong interest of U.S. corporates to acquire
German technology companies and is
emblematic of the continuing trend of digital
technology permeating industrial sectors,
resulting in disruptive change, enabling
more efficient processes and creating
new opportunities for growth
Allegion’s Acquisition of SimonsVoss
26
CASE STUDY
TRANSACTION OVERVIEW
• On April 30, 2015, CLEAResult, a leading North American
energy services company, purchased all of the assets of
Conservation Services Group, Inc. (“CSG”)
• CLEAResult will keep CSG’s existing program delivery
teams intact and plans to further expand the availability
of CSG’s residential offerings across North America
• CSG’s Board of Directors will use proceeds from the sale
to fund ongoing nonprofit efforts at CSG to continue to
support clean energy policy with a focus on residential
energy efficiency and renewable energy
CSG OVERVIEW
• Founded in 1984 as a nonprofit and headquartered
in Westborough, MA, CSG is a market leader in
residential energy efficiency in North America
• CSG manages 70 residential energy efficiency
programs on behalf of utility and public agency
clients, and employs approximately 800 people
across 21 offices in the U.S.
• CSG is one of the largest companies in the U.S.
energy efficiency market, and has served over
3 million single and multifamily dwellings over
the past 30+ years
• CSG has been an industry pioneer with an innovative
“house-as-a-system” approach to comprehensively
optimize homes and buildings and has developed a
best-in-class understanding of applied building science
technology
GCA’S ROLE
• GCA served as the exclusive financial
advisor to CSG to help market, structure
and negotiate the transaction with
CLEAResult
• GCA demonstrated impeccable process
execution, which led to the ultimate
price discovery and identified the most
value-add potential buyer
• GCA navigated a complex structuring
and approval process, given CSG’s status
as a nonprofit, including obtaining consent
from the Massachusetts Attorney General
WHAT THE TRANSACTION MEANS FOR
THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY SECTOR
• The CLEAResult-CSG transaction
unifies two of the most prominent
platforms in the U.S. energy
efficiency sector
• The transaction further deepens
CLEAResult’s residential energy efficiency
expertise and significantly adds to its
execution capabilities
• The effort to execute a structured
transaction for the assets of a nonprofit
service provider demonstrates the focus
and intensity of ongoing consolidation
amongst utility energy efficiency
services providers
Sale of CSG Assets to CLEAResult
27GCA 2015 ANNUAL REPORT
TRANSACTION OVERVIEW
• On June 25, 2015, Infigen Energy (“Infigen”) agreed
to sell its U.S. solar development platform to
SunPower Corporation (“SunPower”)
• SunPower integrated members of Infigen‘s U.S. solar
development team in connection with the acquisition
INFIGEN ENERGY OVERVIEW
• Infigen Energy is a fully integrated renewable energy
developer and operator headquartered in Australia, with
interests in 6 wind farms and one solar farm (~557 MW)
across Australia
• Infigen’s U.S. solar portfolio is comprised of 39
development projects in 11 states totaling ~1.5 GW
• Three of the projects with a total of 55 megawatts
of capacity have contracts to sell power to Edison
International’s Southern California Edison unit
SUNPOWER OVERVIEW
• SunPower is a leading developer and operator of
utility-scale solar power plants around the world. It has
deployed over 1 GW of solar PV cells and panels and
has built over 400 MW of solar PV generating facilities
on an EPC basis
• The acquisition provides SunPower with exclusive
access to a large, geographically diverse development
portfolio and significantly enhances SunPower’s pipeline
through 2020
• The Infigen portfolio brings significant scale beyond
California, with attractive resource and offtake diversity
spanning 11 states
• SunPower acquires a team that has a proven track
record of successful project development
GCA’S ROLE
• GCA served as the exclusive financial
advisor to Infigen Energy on the transaction
• GCA’s direct and extensive experience on
solar sale transactions in the U.S. market
helped Infigen Energy evaluate multiple
strategic options for its contracted
assets, uncontracted project pipeline
and development platform
• GCA combined its transaction expertise
and in-depth solar and project finance
sector knowledge to help design an
earn-out structure that provides Infigen
a clear path to monetization for its
uncontracted project pipeline
WHAT THE TRANSACTION MEANS FOR
THE RENEWABLE ENERGY ASSET SECTOR
• The acquisition of 39 development
projects totaling 1.5 GW by a very capable,
well capitalized developer provides a high
level of confidence in the delivery of future
projects and is a positive signal for the
overall growth of the U.S. solar industry
• The geographic diversity of the portfolio
(11 states) shows that solar is becoming
increasingly attractive across the U.S.
• The transaction attracted a very
high level of interest from the market,
demonstrating the attractiveness of solar
as a high-quality investable asset
• The acquisition highlights a broader
trend of sponsors securing development
pipelines and development capability to
provide visibility on asset development
and reinforce their business model
SunPower’s Acquisition of Infigen Energy’s U.S. Solar Platform
CASE STUDY
28
Gibraltar Industries’ Acquisition of RBI
CASE STUDY
TRANSACTION OVERVIEW
• On June 10, 2015, Gibraltar Industries (“Gibraltar”)
announced its acquisition of RBI Solar, Rough Brothers,
and affiliates (collectively “RBI”) for $130 million
RBI OVERVIEW
• RBI is a leading manufacturer and installer of solar
racking systems and greenhouses in North America
• The company was founded in 1932 as a designer,
manufacturer and installer of greenhouses
• Leveraging over eight decades of experience, RBI
started its solar racking business in 2010
• Headquartered in Cincinnati, OH, with production
facilities in Ohio, North Carolina, California and China
• ~300 employees located in North America, Europe,
Middle East, China and Japan
GIBRALTAR INDUSTRIES OVERVIEW
• Gibraltar is a leading manufacturer and distributor
of products that provide structural and architectural
enhancements for residential, commercial and
infrastructure markets
• RBI broadens Gibraltar’s portfolio of products serving
critical infrastructure markets
• Gibraltar will enable RBI to grow more quickly and
leverage Gibraltar’s global sourcing network and
experience
• Headquartered in Buffalo, NY, with 42 facilities globally
• Gibraltar generated $860 million of revenue in 2014 and
has over 2,400 employees
GCA’S ROLE
• GCA served as exclusive financial advisor
to RBI and was closely involved in all
aspects of the transaction, including
structuring, valuation, due diligence and
negotiation
• GCA’s deep industry relationships and
extensive transaction experience allowed
RBI to attract both strategic and financial
buyers and run a highly competitive
process
• GCA used its in-depth knowledge of the
solar PV value chain to optimally position
RBI in the then high-growth but volatile
pre-ITC extension solar market
WHAT THE TRANSACTION MEANS FOR
THE SOLAR RACKING SECTOR
• The transaction highlights the continued
consolidation of the solar racking market,
driven by vertical integration (SolarCity/
Zep) and expansion of existing players into
multiple market segments (RBI/Renusol)
• Gibraltar’s acquisition of RBI also shows
the interest of industrial companies for
platform acquisitions to penetrate and
capture growth in the renewable
energy sector
GCA 2015 ANNUAL REPORT 29
Solairedirect’s Sale to ENGIE
CASE STUDY
TRANSACTION OVERVIEW
• On July 1, 2015, ENGIE announced its acquisition of
a 95% stake in Solairedirect with 100% voting rights to
become the solar market leader in France and with a
global pipeline in high growth emerging markets
• In addition to the acquisition, ENGIE completed a €130
million capital increase to support the development of
Solairedirect with the aim of developing 125 MW of
utility-scale solar PV per year in the near future
SOLAIREDIRECT OVERVIEW
• Founded in 2006 and headquartered in Paris, France,
Solairedirect is a global solar company active in the
development, construction, operation, maintenance and
investment in utility-scale solar PV parks across four
continents that had revenues of €173 million during its FY
ending March 2015
• Solairedirect has developed 57 solar PV parks, generating
a total capacity of 486 MW, and operates a gross capacity
of 224 MW in France
• The transaction will allow Solairedirect to develop its
pipeline amounting to more than 4.5 GW globally at the
pre-construction phase, 434 MW of which are set to be
built within 6 to 18 months from transaction closing
ENGIE OVERVIEW
• ENGIE is a €39 billion market capitalization company
engaged in the provision of gas, electricity and energy
related services in 70 countries
• In Europe, ENGIE intends to double its renewable electricity
capacity between 2015 and 2025 to reach 16 GW
• In high-growth emerging markets, this acquisition will help
to speed up ENGIE’s development, in line with its strategy
to become the benchmark energy supplier in these markets
• The transaction allows ENGIE to bolster its position in
the solar sector and makes it the market leader in France
with a total gross installed capacity of 383 MW, while
strengthening ENGIE’s global position by leveraging
Solairedirect’s presence in more than 15 countries
GCA’S ROLE
• GCA served as the exclusive financial
advisor to Solairedirect and helped
structure, analyze and negotiate the terms
of the sale to ENGIE
• GCA worked with Solairedirect’s share-
holders and the management team for 15
months, by supporting the company to
refine and implement a new strategy and
develop a 5 year strategic plan
• The transaction highlights GCA’s broad
spectrum of services underlined by
in-depth expertise in the solar sector as
well as capabilities to provide strategic
and financial advice
WHAT THE TRANSACTION MEANS FOR
THE SOLAR SECTOR
• This flagship transaction represents
ENGIE’s largest acquisition in the solar
sector to date and highlights the increasing
focus of utilities on the renewable energy
sector
• It also demonstrates the predominance of
solar as the preferred, most reliable and
cost efficient renewable energy technology
• The transaction provides validation of a
fully integrated business model crystallizing
value along the solar value chain
30
Vestas Wind Systems’ Acquisition of UpWind Solutions
CASE STUDY
TRANSACTION OVERVIEW
• On December 7, 2015, Vestas Wind Systems (“Vestas”)
announced its acquisition of UpWind Solutions
(“UpWind”) for $60 million
UPWIND OVERVIEW
• UpWind is a leading wind Operations and Maintenance
(“O&M”) independent service provider in North America
• Upwind operates and maintains a 3 GW fleet in North
America, including GE, Siemens, Vestas, Gamesa,
Acciona, Clipper and Mitsubishi turbine platforms
• Upwind supplies parts for most major turbine technologies,
performs blade inspections and offers various
performance upgrades
• The company is headquartered in San Diego, CA and
employs about 310 employees
• In 2015, Upwind reported consolidated revenues of
$55 million and EBITDA of $3.4 million
• UpWind’s investors included MissionPoint Capital
Partners, Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers, Northgate
Capital and BP Ventures
VESTAS OVERVIEW
• Vestas is a Danish manufacturer, seller, installer and
servicer of wind turbines
• Vestas is a €13.5 billion market capitalization company
established in 1979 and headquartered in Denmark
• Vestas has delivered 66 GW (55,743 wind turbines) in
73 countries and has manufacturing facilities in North
and Latin America, Europe and Asia
• Vestas has identified Operations & Maintenance
services as a core strategic growth area
GCA’S ROLE
• GCA served as exclusive financial advisor
to UpWind and ran a targeted outreach
process to assess strategic interest in wind
power O&M without signaling that UpWind
was “in play”
• GCA developed a bespoke process to
meet the needs of UpWind and its
shareholders such as executing a staged
diligence process to protect commercially
sensitive information and coordinating
senior executive-level engagement to craft
a commercial merger agreement
• GCA provided insight on market conditions
and strategic interest in O&M among
industrial incumbents from multiple
segments of the wind and power services
value chain and evaluated a sale versus a
capital raise for existing shareholders
WHAT THE TRANSACTION MEANS FOR
THE WIND O&M SECTOR
• The acquisition of UpWind gives Vestas
a cornerstone platform to build its
Operations & Maintenance business in
North America, providing the ability to
address multiple turbine platforms and
scale in multiple geographies
• Being part of Vestas will enable UpWind to
grow more quickly and leverage Vestas’
global sourcing network and experience
GCA 2015 ANNUAL REPORT
RECENT TRANSACTIONS
Exclusive financial advisor on its sale to
December 2015
$60,000,000
Strategic and financial advisor on its acquisition of
February 2016
Undisclosed
Exclusive financial advisor on its solar development
joint venture with
December 2015
Undisclosed
Exclusive financial advisor on its sale of UNIRAC to
April 2016
Undisclosed
Exclusive financial advisor on the sale of a 55 MW of solar
PV projects in New Mexico to
December 2015
Undisclosed
Exclusive financial advisor on its sale of an 80 MW solar
PV project in Virginia to
November 2015
Undisclosed
Provided a valuation opinion to the
Board of Directors and existing shareholders
September 2015
Not Applicable
Exclusive financial advisor on its acquisition of
October 2015
€210,000,000
Exclusive financial advisor on its sale of a 103 MW solar
PV project in Georgia to
May 2015
Undisclosed
Exclusive financial advisor on the sale of solar
PV projects
March 2015
Undisclosed
Exclusive financial advisor on its sale to
June 2015
$130,000,000
Exclusive financial advisor on its evaluation of financing options for pellet production
expansion
January 2015
Undisclosed
Exclusive financial advisor on its sale to
September 2015
€200,000,000
Exclusive financial advisor on its sale to
July 2015
Undisclosed
Exclusive financial advisor on the sale of its U.S.
solar platform to
July 2015
Undisclosed
Exclusive financial advisor on its investment in
July 2015
Undisclosed
31
32
OUR SENIOR PEOPLE
Jeff McDermott New York Managing Partner
Sectors of focus at GCA: Large industrials
and energy companies, Broad coverage
of senior leadership
• Over 30 years of transaction experience with
large, complex mergers and acquisitions
Derek Bentley New York Partner
Sectors of focus at GCA: Renewable energy
assets, Distributed generation, Water
• Over 12 years of experience advising power
and utilities companies on M&A, capital
raising and project finance transactions
PJ Deschenes New York Partner
Sectors of focus at GCA: Renewable energy
assets, Power infrastructure, Renewable
energy supply chain, Environmental services
• Over 12 years of experience advising
companies and investors in cleaner conven-
tional energy and environmental services
along with a variety of other Sustainable
Infrastructure sectors
Michael Horwitz San Francisco Partner
Sectors of focus at GCA: Energy software and
services, Energy efficiency, Renewable energy
• Over 20 years of transaction experience,
most recently focused around Energy
Software & Services, Energy Efficiency
and Renewables
Olav Junttila San Francisco Partner
Sectors of focus at GCA: Solar, Wind,
Energy efficiency
• Broad experience within both the renewable
and traditional power generation industries,
including work as an M&A advisor and a
private equity investor focused on these
sectors for over a decade
• Over 15 years of experience sourcing,
structuring, executing and managing
investments, acquisitions, divestitures
and partnerships
Jim Long Zurich Partner
Sectors of focus at GCA: Energy
companies, Utilities
• Over 25 years of experience as an advisor
and investor across the power, energy,
infrastructure, environmental and
technology sectors
Damien Sauer Zurich Partner
Sectors of focus at GCA: Energy efficiency,
Power infrastructure, Renewable energy
supply chain, Smart grid
• Over 18 years experience covering the
European market and advising leading
companies on M&A and capital raising
assignments
Robert Schultz New York Partner and COO
Sectors of focus at GCA: Head of Investor
Relations and Marketing for asset management
• Serves as the firm’s Chief Operating Officer,
and is a Principal of Greentech Capital
Advisors Securities, LLC (U.S. Broker Dealer)
and GCA Investment Management, LLC
(Registered Investment Advisor)
• Over 25 years of experience running and
building successful businesses
David Smith
New York Partner and Portfolio Manager
• Portfolio manager for the GCA Sustainable
Growth Funds
• Over 15 years of investment experience in
Sustainable Infrastructure sectors
Duncan Williams San Francisco Partner
Sectors of focus at GCA: AgTech, Advanced
transportation, Energy efficiency, Industrial
IoT and software, Water
• Over 20 years of extensive advisory and
capital markets experience in Sustainable
Infrastructure and more broadly across the
Technology and Industrials spaces, both in
North America and Europe
3333
34
ADVISORY COUNCIL
Michael Naylor Chairman
• Non Executive Director of the London
FTSE – listed Jupiter Green Investment
Trust plc, where he is Chairman of the
Audit Committee
• A founding board member of the NTR
Foundation
• Board member of University of Cambridge
Institute for Sustainability Leadership (CISL)
Edward Cunningham Member
• Director of the Harvard Kennedy School
Asia Energy and Sustainability Initiative
• Former program officer for the China Public
Policy Program at the Harvard Kennedy
School which trained over 1,000 senior
government officials in China
• Mandarin speaker with 15 years of
experience advising Chinese companies
and government on energy issues
R. Foster Duncan Member
• Senior advisor to EHS Partners and on the
Board of Directors of Atlantic Power
Corporation
• Former Managing Director of Advantage
Capital Partners and Managing Member
of KD Capital, an affiliate of KKR
• Extensive knowledge and investing
experience in the energy sector
David Ho Member
• Former President of Greater China for Nokia
Corporation and COO of Nortel Networks
• Director of China Ocean Shipping, Sinosteel,
Dong Fang Electric, Pentair, Triquint
Semiconductor and Air Products
• Extensive relationships across Chinese
industry and government
Thomas Putter Member
• Former CEO of Allianz Capital Partners
where he was responsible for the
company’s alternative investment portfolio
• Advisor to the German Private Equity
and Venture Capital Association
• Former member of the Advisory Board for
Environmental Technology of the German
Ministry of the Environment
Hervé Touati Member
• Managing Director at the Rocky
Mountain Institute
• Advisor for and/or direct investor in
cleantech startups in Europe
• Founded and was the first CEO of
E.ON Connecting Energies, E.ON’s new
distributed energy business
Bracebridge Young Member
• Chief Executive Officer of Eclat Impact
• Former Chief Executive Officer and a
Partner at Mariner Investment Group
• Former Partner and Managing Director
of Goldman Sachs in Fixed Income in
New York, London and Tokyo
• Board Member of GWAVE and Social
Finance, Inc
GCA 2015 ANNUAL REPORT 35
INVESTOR FOCUS IN 2016
M&A Volume and Trends
M&A volumes in the Sustainable Infrastructure sector
dropped off by 25% from 2014 to 2015. At $59.2 billion,
total activity was comparable with levels seen in 2011,
still remaining higher than that of 2012 and 2013.
The total number of transactions declined by 16%
in 2015, from 167 to 140, depicting the decline in
average transaction value. The largest transaction,
the acquisition of Pall Corporation by Danaher
Corporation, accounted for 23% of total transaction
value. Geographically, the North American market was
once again a bright spot. Despite declining by 9% year
over year, North American transactions accounted for
57% of total transaction volume in 2015, versus 47% in
the previous year. The EMEA region saw a 57% decline
in total M&A volume, a significant drop off following
the 35% and 88% increases seen in 2013 and 2014,
respectively. On the other hand, the APAC region grew
on both relative and absolute terms, representing 17%
of total volume versus 10% in 2014. The total number of
transactions, broken down by value, has remained fairly
consistent since 2013, with 14 transactions coming in
over $1 billion in value versus 15 transactions in 2014.
The wind and solar sectors saw the most activity this
year, representing a combined 44% of total value.
Similarly, both segments increased year over year, with
both solar and wind up 35% and 34%, respectively.
However, power infrastructure declined by an alarming
98% with energy efficiency slightly behind at a 48%
decline. The “other” category increased from 22%
of total activity in 2014 to 37% in 2015, depicting the
increased activity in previously less active subcatego-
ries, such as the geothermal and water sectors.
Source: Clean Energy Pipeline
36
Private Placement Activity
The private placement market for Sustainable Infra-
structure investments increased in 2015 for the fourth
consecutive year, nearing peak levels observed in
2011. The total investment volume increased 29%
year-over-year compared to 2014.
The North American region saw the greatest level of
funding, representing 43% of total investment value. The
APAC region emerged as a close second, with 42% of
total investment, up from 8% of total 2014 investment.
Consistent with trends observed in the M&A landscape,
the wind and solar sectors received the greatest
amount of investor interest, accounting for 10% and
32% of total investments, respectively. Solar again
proved to be the preferred sector for investors, obtain-
ing the largest dollar amount of funding and increasing
year-over-year for the fourth consecutive year.
IPO Activity
Total IPO volume declined to $3.2 billion in 2015 versus
$4.4 billion in 2014. Although still representing 52% of
total volume, the North American market declined from
2014 levels on both a relative and absolute basis. Once
a consistent leader among the geographies, the APAC
region declined in transaction volume for the third
consecutive year. YieldCos continued to account for
a large volume of issuance, with TerraForm Global and
8point3 Energy Partners as the largest and third largest
IPOs of the year, respectively.
Despite total IPO volume declining year-over-year
since 2013, private placement volume has consistently
increased over the same period. These conflicting
trends could be attributed to a number of factors.
First, the volatility and unpredictability around public
valuations has driven companies to seek out private
capital or alternative sources of funding. Further,
companies requiring capital in a short time frame are
avoiding the lengthy IPO process, preferring to pursue
private funding.
Source: Clean Energy Pipeline
Source: Clean Energy Pipeline
37GCA 2015 ANNUAL REPORT
Public Markets
In the GCA Sustainable Infrastructure Index, we break
the index into seven subdivisions: (1) Wind, (2)
Advanced Lighting / Advanced Materials, (3) Smart
Grid, (4) Renewable Power Generation, (5) Biofuels &
Transportation, (6) Solar and (7) Water & Environment.
For the third consecutive year, Wind was the best
performing subdivision, returning 67% during 2015,
versus 25% in 2014 and 218% in 2013. The next best
performing subdivision was Advanced Lighting &
Advanced Materials, returning 12%.
Both the Sustainable Infrastructure Index and the
broader markets struggled this year, with the majority
of decline occurring in Q2 and Q3 of 2015, rebounding
slightly towards the end of the year. Still, the Sustain-
able Infrastructure Index consistently outperformed the
MSCI World Index throughout the year, closing at 6.1
percentage points higher.
Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance
38
SOCIAL AND ENVIRONMENTALRESPONSIBILITY
The Three-Pronged Plan
Through our advisory and asset management work,
Greentech Capital Advisors is helping the world
transition to a cleaner, more sustainable and
energy-efficient future. In keeping with that mission
we have chosen to operate our business in a manner
that reduces our environmental impact.
Carbon Reduction
Our carbon reduction strategy centers around doing
the little things that add up to big carbon savings.
• New York and San Francisco offices
located in LEED certified buildings
• Our website is hosted from a 100%
solar-powered service
• We use hybrid taxis, rental cars and car service
• We use videoconferencing instead of air travel
• We use recycled paper, double sided printing
and paperless presentations
• We recycle paper, cans and bottles
• Lights off at the end of each day
Our mission is to transform how the world does business and that is why we are a member
of the B Corp community. B Corp companies use the power of business to solve social and
environmental problems. What this means for our clients is that not only are we saying that
we are striving for a common goal of global sustainability but we are proving it as well.
Carbon Offsets
GCA is a carbon neutral company. We have partnered
with First Climate to quantify the size of our carbon
footprint and purchase Certified Emission Reductions
to offset our emissions.
Charitable Giving
Each year our employees direct a percentage of the
firm’s profits to global charities that promote sustainable
development. In 2015, GCA supported the following
non-profits: Brighter Children, Help for Children,
City Meals-on-Wheels.
39GCA 2015 ANNUAL REPORT
“ If you don’t have a real stake in the new, then just surviving on the old – even if it is about efficiency – I don’t think is a long term game.” —SATYA NADELLA
40GCA 2015 ANNUAL REPORT
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