Presentation by: Davis Engen The Buckeye State Ohio State Flag.
Diane Roy Director, Regulatory Affairs - Gas 16705 Fraser Highway … · 2019-01-15 · Page 1 1....
Transcript of Diane Roy Director, Regulatory Affairs - Gas 16705 Fraser Highway … · 2019-01-15 · Page 1 1....
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September 24, 2012 Industrial Customers Group c/o Robert Hobbs 301-2298 McBain Avenue Vancouver, BC V6L 3B1 Attention: Mr. Robert Hobbs Dear Mr. Hobbs: Re: Generic Cost of Capital Proceeding
FortisBC Utilities (the “FBCU”)1
Response to Industrial Customers Group (“ICG”) Information Request (“IR”) No. 1 on the Evidence of Mr. Aaron Engen
On August 3, 2012, the FortisBC Utilities filed its Written Evidence in the Generic Cost of Capital proceeding as referenced above. In accordance with the British Columbia Utilities Commission Order No. G-84-12 setting out the Amended Preliminary Regulatory Timetable, the FBCU respectfully submit the attached response to ICG IR No. 1 on the Evidence of Mr. Aaron Engen.
If there are any questions regarding the attached, please contact the undersigned.
Yours very truly, on behalf of the FORTISBC UTILITIES Original signed:
Diane Roy Attachment
cc (e-mail only): Commission Secretary Registered Parties
1 comprised of FortisBC Inc., FortisBC Energy Inc., FortisBC Energy (Vancouver Island) Inc., and FortisBC Energy (Whistler) Inc.
Diane Roy Director, Regulatory Affairs - Gas FortisBC Energy Inc.
16705 Fraser Highway Surrey, B.C. V4N 0E8 Tel: (604) 576-7349 Cell: (604) 908-2790 Fax: (604) 576-7074 Email: [email protected] www.fortisbc.com Regulatory Affairs Correspondence Email: [email protected]
mailto:[email protected]://www.fortisbc.com/mailto:[email protected]
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British Columbia Utilities Commission (“BCUC” or the “Commission”)
Generic Cost of Capital Proceeding
Submission Date:
September 24, 2012
FortisBC Utilities ("FBCU" or the “Companies”)
Response to Industrial Customers Group (“ICG”) Information Request (“IR”) No. 1
on Evidence of Aaron Engen
Page 1
1. Reference: Evidence of Aaron Engen, pp. 8:20 – 9:4
“Although spreads have seen a strong recovery from their 2008-2009
financial crisis highs, they remain high relative to historic levels. Despite
good current market conditions, the average Canadian utilities group1 30-
year spreads are wider (177 bps) than they were at the time of the 2009
Proceedings (163 bps). Investor appetite for risk in the debt capital
market has generally diminished leading to an overall upward re-pricing of
risk. Benchmark Government of Canada bond rates are expected to rise
over the coming years with little room for the increase to be offset by
corporate spread tightening.”
Rationale: Engen discusses the changes in the utilities spreads, but doesn’t
explain how this might relate to the current issue of cost of capital
and future changes in such.
Request:
Can Mr. Engen please explain how the conditions in the market stated above contribute to
his opinion that FEI‟s requested return on equity of 10.5% on a deemed equity component of
40% is fair and reasonable? Does Mr. Engen expect this to still be true in the future as the
market changes? If so, why? If not, how does Mr. Engen propose responses to such
changes be built into the ROE adjustment formula?
Response:
Current debt capital market conditions, including wider generic “A” and utility 30-year spreads,
are indicative of lower investor appetite for risk which has led to an increase in compensation for
risk (re-pricing of risk). In a more risk adverse market, one would expect the cost of capital to
increase. Mr. Engen considers this evidence along with all other market evidence he discusses
to reach his conclusions.
Mr. Engen cannot speculate as to whether FEI‟s requested ROE would be consistent with future
market conditions. There is no current or proposed ROE adjustment formula and Mr. Engen
has not considered how or if such market condition changes would be captured by a formula.
1 Comprised of FEI, Gaz Métro, TransCanada, Enbridge, Emera, and CU.
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British Columbia Utilities Commission (“BCUC” or the “Commission”)
Generic Cost of Capital Proceeding
Submission Date:
September 24, 2012
FortisBC Utilities ("FBCU" or the “Companies”)
Response to Industrial Customers Group (“ICG”) Information Request (“IR”) No. 1
on Evidence of Aaron Engen
Page 2
2. Reference: Evidence of Aaron Engen, p. 9:8-10
“Some of the factors pushing Government of Canada bond yields to
currently very low levels are the very same factors which would tend to
put upward pressure on the cost of equity."
Evidence of Aaron Engen, p. 26:10-12
“The falling trend in the S&P/TSX‟s P/E ratio over the past two years
taken together with growth in corporate earnings during the same period
as demonstrated in Figure 9, is compelling evidence that the cost of
equity in Canada has been rising.
Rationale: Mr. Engen suggests that cost of equity will change, but does not
discuss how this might be addressed.
Request:
If the cost of equity increases as trends seem to suggest they will, would Mr. Engen still feel
that FEI‟s requested return on equity is fair and reasonable? How does Mr. Engen propose
adjustments to the formula (or formulae) be made in the face of such changes, if at all?
Response:
Mr. Engen cannot speculate as to whether future cost of equity trends as illustrated by the
various factors discussed in his evidence would support FEI‟s requested ROE. There is no
current or proposed ROE adjustment formula and Mr. Engen has not considered how or if such
market condition changes would be captured by a formula.
3. Reference: Evidence of Aaron Engen, pp. 51:17-52:3
“When considering ROEs stemming from an acquisition of regulated
assets buyers generally include some or all of the following strategic
factors in supporting acquisition prices including: geographic
diversification; establishing a strategic foothold in a new market; and
protecting the buyer‟s regulated asset franchise”
Evidence of Aaron Engen, pp. 52:29-53:13 – Mr. Engen discusses further
buyer considerations.
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British Columbia Utilities Commission (“BCUC” or the “Commission”)
Generic Cost of Capital Proceeding
Submission Date:
September 24, 2012
FortisBC Utilities ("FBCU" or the “Companies”)
Response to Industrial Customers Group (“ICG”) Information Request (“IR”) No. 1
on Evidence of Aaron Engen
Page 3
Rationale: Mr. Engen lists these considerations, but does not discuss how they
might be addressed within the proposed cost of capital
methodology.
Request:
How does MR. Engen propose accounting for these factors in the ROE adjustment
formulae?
Response:
In Mr. Engen‟s view, nothing can be learned about the appropriateness of allowed returns on
equity from Canadian merger and acquisition activity involving regulated assets.
There is no current or proposed ROE adjustment formula and Mr. Engen has not considered
how or if such market condition changes would be captured by a formula.
4. Reference: Evidence of Aaron Engen, pp. 67:16-68:2
“In light of Canadian current and prospective capital market conditions,
market required returns on capital for energy infrastructure assets, and
opportunities for investments of comparable risk at attractive rates of
return in Canada, the U.S. and elsewhere, I believe FEI‟s requested
return on equity of 10.5% on a deemed equity component of 40% is
consistent with current capital market conditions, which would be viewed
by the financial market as more representative of FEI‟s true cost capital,
and would be fair and reasonable in the context of such conditions.”
Rationale: Mr. Engen described various market conditions, investment returns,
etc., but has not discussed how any of this directly relates to FEI’s
requested ROE and deemed equity component.
Request:
How do the capital market conditions, returns on capital, and opportunities for investment
support FEI‟s requested ROE of 10.5%, in particular? Would a different ROE or equity
component also be considered fair and reasonable given the conditions? If conditions in the
market, returns on capital, opportunities for investment change as forecasted, would the
ROE requested by FEI remain fair and reasonable? How would Mr. Engen propose to
adjust the ROE should conditions change?
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British Columbia Utilities Commission (“BCUC” or the “Commission”)
Generic Cost of Capital Proceeding
Submission Date:
September 24, 2012
FortisBC Utilities ("FBCU" or the “Companies”)
Response to Industrial Customers Group (“ICG”) Information Request (“IR”) No. 1
on Evidence of Aaron Engen
Page 4
Response:
Overall, FEI current debt capital market conditions, including wider generic “A” and utility 30-
year spreads, are indicative of lower investor appetite for risk which has led to an increase in
compensation for risk (re-pricing of risk). In a more risk adverse market, one would expect the
cost of capital to increase. Mr. Engen considers this evidence along with all other market
evidence he discusses to reach his conclusions.
Mr. Engen did not propose a specific ROE and capital structure for FEI; the FBCU engaged Ms.
McShane and Dr. Vander Weide to do so. Mr. Engen‟s view is based on his analysis and
conclusion that the cost of capital for FEI is higher than the current allowed return based on his
assessment of current market conditions.
There is no current or proposed ROE adjustment formula and Mr. Engen‟s evidence has not
considered how or if such market condition changes would be captured by a formula.
5. Reference: Evidence of Aaron Engen,
p. 14, Figure 1, S&P/TSX Composite Index 10-Year Performance,
January 1, 2002 to July 4, 2012
p. 17, Figure 2, Investor Confidence, January 2002 to June 2012.
p. 19, Figure 3, VIXC Index Performance, October 1, 2009 to July 4, 2012
p. 20, Figure 4, VIX Index Performance, January 1, 2002 to July 4, 2012
p. 21, Figure 5, S&P/TSX Volatility, January 1, 1977 to July 4, 2012
p. 23, Figure 6, Canadian Equity Market Trading Volumes, January 1,
2002 to July 4, 2012
p. 24, Figure 7, Quarterly Mutual Fund Flows, January 2007 to May 2012
p. 26, Figure 8, S&P/TSX Composite Index Historical P/E Ratio,
January 2002 to April 2012
p. 27, Figure 9, Aggregate Cdn Quarterly Corporate B-Tax Earnings,
January 2002 to March 2012
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British Columbia Utilities Commission (“BCUC” or the “Commission”)
Generic Cost of Capital Proceeding
Submission Date:
September 24, 2012
FortisBC Utilities ("FBCU" or the “Companies”)
Response to Industrial Customers Group (“ICG”) Information Request (“IR”) No. 1
on Evidence of Aaron Engen
Page 5
p. 28, Figure 10, Earnings Yield – Gov‟t Canada Bond Yield Spread, 1960
to June 2012
p. 32, Figure 11, Canadian Generic „A‟ Spreads, January 2, 2002 to July
6, 2012
p. 33, Figure 12, Cdn Utilities Group 30-Year Spreads, January 2, 2002 to
July 6, 2012
p. 34, Figure 13, Average Cdn Utilities Group 30-Year Spreads, January
2, 2002 to July 6, 2012
p. 35, Figure 14, 10-Year Generic BBB Spreads Less A Spreads, January
4, 2002 to July 6, 2012
p. 36, Figure 15, Aggregate Cdn Corporate Bond Issuance, 2002 to 2011
p. 42, Figure 17, Gov‟t Canada Bond Yields, January 1, 2002 to July 4,
2012
Rationale: ICG would like to examine the data.
Request:
Please provide in electronic format the data used to generate each of the above-listed
figures. How do the data and trends reflected in each of these figures demonstrate, in Mr.
Engen‟s opinion, that FEI‟s requested ROE is fair and reasonable?
Response:
The requested data is provided in Attachment 5.
The referenced materials, taken together, reflect current financial market conditions and, along
with evidence of market required returns on capital for energy infrastructure assets, and
opportunities for investments of comparable risk at attractive rates of return in Canada, the U.S.
and elsewhere, form the basis for Mr. Engen‟s conclusions. He does not rely on individual data
and trends and, other than as discussed in his written evidence, cannot draw the requested
direct links between such individual data and trends and the fairness of FEI”s requested ROE.
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Attachment 5
REFER TO LIVE SPREADSHEET Provided in electronic format only
(accessible by opening the Attachments Tab in Adobe)
GCOC - FBCU ICG IR1 AEngen Response Cover LetterGCOC - FBCU ICG IR1 AEngen ResponseGCOC ICG Engen Attachment 5 - Live Spreadsheet (view Attachments Panel for Live Spreadsheet)
Figure 1
FortisBC - Testimony
41091.0
Figure 1 - S&P TSX ~10 Year
Start Date37258.0S&P TSX Composite Index
End Date41094.0SPTSX IndexPX_Last
DatePoints
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41044.011,343
41045.011,326
41046.011,331
41047.011,281
41051.011,452
41052.011,565
41053.011,566
41054.011,576
41057.011,566
41058.011,609
41059.011,433
41060.011,513
41061.011,361
41064.011,336
41065.011,508
41066.011,633
41067.011,592
41068.011,501
41071.011,402
41072.011,497
41073.011,498
41074.011,466
41075.011,525
41078.011,601
41079.011,788
41080.011,759
41081.011,408
41082.011,436
41085.011,330
41086.011,334
41087.011,411
41088.011,425
41089.011,597
41093.011,849
41094.011,914
&"Arial,Bold Italic"Private && Confidential
&F&D &T&P of &N
Figure 2
FortisBC - Testimony
41091.0
Figure 2 - Investor Confidence
Start Date37287.0State Street Investor Confidence Index
End Date41094.0SSICCONF IndexPX_Last
DatePoints
37287.0127.7
37315.0128.4
37346.0128.3
37376.0121.4
37407.0127.8
37437.0129.9
37468.0121.5
37499.0117.0
37529.0127.7
37560.0127.8
37590.0119.5
37621.0118.8
37652.0122.4
37680.0118.7
37711.0112.3
37741.0115.3
37772.0127.3
37802.0123.7
37833.0125.4
37864.0125.4
37894.0125.9
37925.0122.8
37955.0120.4
37986.0120.1
38017.0115.3
38046.0122.2
38077.0121.8
38107.0124.8
38138.0123.1
38168.0111.3
38199.0106.2
38230.0107.4
38260.0107.5
38291.0107.7
38321.0104.9
38352.0112.8
38383.0112.8
38411.0111.4
38442.0114.2
38472.0111.5
38503.0108.2
38533.0108.0
38564.0105.8
38595.0108.2
38625.0104.5
38656.0105.8
38686.0110.8
38717.0106.9
38748.0101.5
38776.0100.3
38807.0104.5
38837.0108.5
38868.0107.6
38898.0108.6
38929.0107.5
38960.0104.7
38990.0103.3
39021.0108.9
39051.0108.1
39082.0107.7
39113.0109.1
39141.0114.9
39172.0118.9
39202.0117.4
39233.0112.3
39263.0113.1
39294.0108.5
39325.0117.7
39355.0108.5
39386.0103.4
39416.098.9
39447.089.3
39478.091.9
39507.096.7
39538.0101.4
39568.097.6
39599.0105.4
39629.0105.8
39660.0107.0
39691.0102.6
39721.098.1
39752.082.1
39782.084.3
39813.082.8
39844.086.9
39872.094.7
39903.095.2
39933.0103.2
39964.0108.5
39994.0115.8
40025.0119.4
40056.0122.8
40086.0118.4
40117.0108.4
40147.0100.8
40178.0104.3
40209.0104.6
40237.0102.6
40268.0107.4
40298.099.4
40329.088.4
40359.091.2
40390.096.0
40421.096.5
40451.088.1
40482.088.2
40512.096.4
40543.0104.2
40574.094.5
40602.091.8
40633.097.3
40663.097.0
40694.0104.3
40724.098.9
40755.0102.5
40786.088.1
40816.090.0
40847.095.2
40877.099.4
40908.099.3
40939.092.6
40968.086.6
40999.091.6
41029.087.1
41060.086.5
41090.093.5
&"Arial,Bold Italic"Private && Confidential
&F&D &T&P of &N
Figure 3
FortisBC - Testimony
41091.0
Figure 3 - VIXC
Start Date40088.0VIXC Volatility Index
End Date41094.0VIXC IndexPX_LastAverage
DatePointsPoints
40088.022.0119.54
40091.022.0119.54
40092.022.1419.54
40093.022.1119.54
40094.021.7119.54
40095.020.9919.54
40099.018.3419.54
40100.018.8119.54
40101.018.6519.54
40102.018.6019.54
40105.019.5319.54
40107.019.9619.54
40108.019.2219.54
40109.020.4319.54
40112.022.5219.54
40113.023.4219.54
40115.023.7519.54
40116.026.2219.54
40119.027.6819.54
40120.027.7819.54
40122.026.3019.54
40123.025.4619.54
40126.024.5619.54
40127.024.7219.54
40128.024.6019.54
40129.025.2619.54
40130.024.5319.54
40133.025.1519.54
40134.023.9819.54
40135.021.1019.54
40136.021.5119.54
40137.022.8619.54
40140.020.8319.54
40141.019.5219.54
40142.019.7519.54
40143.023.3319.54
40144.018.0919.54
40147.021.5919.54
40148.019.9319.54
40149.019.1319.54
40150.020.6619.54
40151.019.9519.54
40154.020.3419.54
40155.020.7619.54
40156.020.7419.54
40157.019.9219.54
40158.019.5619.54
40161.019.3219.54
40162.019.1619.54
40163.018.3319.54
40164.017.9319.54
40165.018.0019.54
40168.016.8719.54
40169.015.9719.54
40170.017.0719.54
40176.016.0519.54
40177.016.1919.54
40178.016.4119.54
40182.016.1219.54
40183.015.9119.54
40184.015.8619.54
40185.016.5919.54
40186.015.7419.54
40189.014.2119.54
40190.014.7119.54
40191.014.6219.54
40192.014.9819.54
40193.015.1519.54
40196.015.7119.54
40197.015.8219.54
40198.016.2319.54
40199.017.2219.54
40200.018.0719.54
40203.017.9019.54
40204.018.4019.54
40205.018.2519.54
40206.018.0219.54
40207.019.3919.54
40210.020.4819.54
40211.020.2719.54
40212.020.3719.54
40213.021.3919.54
40218.022.3119.54
40219.022.5919.54
40220.021.9419.54
40221.021.9119.54
40225.022.1319.54
40226.021.6419.54
40227.021.0019.54
40228.020.2419.54
40231.020.2319.54
40232.020.1919.54
40233.019.6019.54
40234.019.9119.54
40235.018.4219.54
40238.018.1419.54
40239.017.4619.54
40240.016.8619.54
40241.016.5819.54
40242.015.4019.54
40245.016.6119.54
40246.016.9919.54
40247.017.0119.54
40248.017.3419.54
40249.016.8419.54
40252.017.1319.54
40253.016.0819.54
40254.016.2519.54
40255.016.1719.54
40256.016.4819.54
40259.016.2419.54
40260.015.8819.54
40261.015.5519.54
40262.015.6419.54
40263.015.8419.54
40266.015.2219.54
40267.015.1719.54
40268.015.2819.54
40269.014.9119.54
40273.014.9419.54
40274.015.0019.54
40275.015.1019.54
40276.015.1219.54
40277.014.7119.54
40280.014.3919.54
40281.014.4819.54
4/14/1013.5919.54
4/15/1014.4219.54
4/16/1014.6019.54
4/19/1015.0119.54
4/20/1014.7319.54
4/21/1014.2219.54
4/22/1014.7019.54
4/23/1014.1619.54
4/26/1014.6919.54
4/27/1016.7819.54
4/28/1016.9019.54
4/29/1016.4719.54
4/30/1017.7519.54
5/3/1018.0819.54
5/4/1020.0519.54
5/5/1021.2819.54
5/6/1022.3719.54
5/7/1025.2319.54
5/10/1021.7319.54
5/11/1021.8419.54
5/12/1020.5919.54
5/13/1020.0219.54
5/14/1022.6319.54
5/17/1024.6119.54
5/18/1025.3719.54
5/19/1026.2619.54
5/20/1027.5919.54
5/21/1026.5419.54
5/25/1023.8419.54
5/26/1023.8919.54
5/27/1021.7619.54
5/28/1022.0719.54
5/31/1021.7619.54
6/1/1022.6319.54
6/2/1020.9819.54
6/3/1021.1219.54
6/4/1021.5719.54
6/7/1021.8319.54
6/8/1021.0119.54
6/9/1020.1819.54
6/10/1019.4919.54
6/11/1019.1419.54
6/14/1019.2219.54
6/15/1019.2619.54
6/16/1018.4719.54
6/17/1018.0619.54
6/18/1017.7219.54
6/21/1017.5019.54
6/22/1017.3519.54
6/23/1017.8919.54
6/24/1018.1119.54
6/25/1018.3319.54
6/28/1018.5119.54
6/29/1018.7219.54
6/30/1019.8619.54
7/2/1022.8919.54
7/5/1023.5419.54
7/6/1022.7319.54
7/7/1021.2919.54
7/8/1021.0119.54
7/9/1019.5619.54
7/12/1019.5519.54
7/13/1019.7019.54
7/14/1019.8719.54
7/15/1019.3919.54
7/16/1020.3219.54
7/19/1020.0319.54
7/20/1018.8519.54
7/21/1019.8719.54
7/22/1020.1919.54
7/23/1018.8219.54
7/26/1018.7919.54
7/27/1019.8219.54
7/28/1019.9719.54
7/29/1020.0419.54
7/30/1019.9819.54
8/3/1020.3119.54
8/4/1020.0019.54
8/5/1020.4019.54
8/6/1019.6219.54
8/9/1019.8019.54
8/10/1019.6819.54
8/11/1022.2619.54
8/12/1022.6119.54
8/13/1022.6019.54
8/16/1022.9319.54
8/17/1021.0019.54
8/18/1020.3619.54
8/19/1021.2219.54
8/20/1021.3119.54
8/23/1019.6419.54
8/24/1020.6219.54
8/25/1019.8619.54
8/26/1019.3519.54
8/27/1017.4319.54
8/30/1017.9519.54
8/31/1017.8619.54
9/1/1016.5119.54
9/2/1016.1019.54
9/3/1015.9919.54
9/7/1017.4019.54
9/8/1017.7719.54
9/9/1018.0119.54
9/10/1017.1419.54
9/13/1016.8919.54
9/14/1017.3919.54
9/15/1017.7619.54
9/16/1017.3519.54
9/17/1017.0819.54
9/20/1016.4519.54
9/21/1017.1719.54
9/22/1017.5019.54
9/23/1017.7619.54
9/24/1016.6219.54
9/27/1017.0619.54
9/28/1016.3919.54
9/29/1015.6419.54
9/30/1015.8619.54
10/1/1015.7519.54
10/4/1016.1919.54
10/5/1014.9619.54
10/6/1015.2319.54
10/7/1015.7019.54
10/8/1014.8319.54
10/12/1013.9419.54
10/13/1013.6519.54
10/14/1014.6519.54
10/15/1014.6619.54
10/18/1014.8519.54
10/19/1014.7819.54
10/20/1014.9019.54
10/21/1015.1519.54
10/22/1014.5419.54
10/25/1015.1419.54
10/26/1015.7219.54
10/27/1016.5819.54
10/28/1016.9019.54
10/29/1016.8619.54
11/1/1017.4819.54
11/2/1017.6619.54
11/3/1017.8119.54
11/4/1016.1819.54
11/5/1016.1119.54
11/8/1016.1319.54
11/9/1017.3019.54
11/10/1017.5519.54
11/11/1017.3919.54
11/12/1020.3419.54
11/15/1020.6719.54
11/16/1021.4619.54
11/17/1020.1019.54
11/18/1018.0919.54
11/19/1017.1119.54
11/22/1017.0319.54
11/23/1018.0919.54
11/24/1017.4519.54
11/25/1015.3919.54
11/26/1016.7919.54
11/29/1017.6619.54
11/30/1018.0119.54
12/1/1016.5919.54
12/2/1017.0019.54
12/3/1016.5119.54
12/6/1016.0419.54
12/7/1016.5519.54
12/8/1016.4519.54
12/9/1016.0419.54
12/10/1015.2419.54
12/13/1015.8419.54
12/14/1015.3919.54
12/15/1015.3719.54
12/16/1015.5219.54
12/17/1014.6619.54
12/20/1013.7219.54
12/21/1013.1519.54
12/22/1013.3719.54
12/23/1013.6219.54
12/24/1013.5619.54
12/29/1014.5019.54
12/30/1014.8219.54
12/31/1014.9319.54
1/4/1115.5019.54
1/5/1115.0519.54
1/6/1115.3619.54
1/7/1115.8519.54
1/10/1116.1919.54
1/11/1115.1619.54
1/12/1114.5019.54
1/13/1114.8619.54
1/14/1114.5119.54
1/17/1115.4919.54
1/18/1114.3119.54
1/19/1115.5019.54
1/20/1116.9119.54
1/21/1116.7619.54
1/24/1116.7119.54
1/25/1117.0619.54
1/26/1115.2319.54
1/27/1116.0719.54
1/28/1116.8219.54
1/31/1116.8619.54
2/1/1116.0719.54
2/2/1116.9019.54
2/3/1115.9419.54
2/4/1116.9919.54
2/7/1117.1419.54
2/8/1116.1319.54
2/9/1117.2619.54
2/10/1116.8819.54
2/11/1117.8019.54
2/14/1117.8119.54
2/15/1117.2119.54
2/16/1116.6019.54
2/17/1115.6719.54
2/18/1115.8519.54
2/22/1118.0019.54
2/23/1119.4019.54
2/24/1118.5319.54
2/25/1116.5819.54
2/28/1114.2319.54
3/1/1116.9219.54
3/2/1116.2919.54
3/3/1115.2719.54
3/4/1114.7219.54
3/7/1116.9019.54
3/8/1116.8419.54
3/9/1117.0919.54
3/10/1118.7319.54
3/11/1118.1119.54
3/14/1118.7419.54
3/15/1119.2119.54
3/16/1119.8019.54
3/17/1117.6619.54
3/18/1116.3819.54
3/21/1114.9219.54
3/22/1114.8619.54
3/23/1114.4919.54
3/24/1114.4619.54
3/25/1114.6719.54
3/28/1115.4719.54
3/29/1114.9519.54
3/30/1114.4919.54
3/31/1114.7219.54
4/1/1114.3119.54
4/4/1114.5219.54
4/5/1114.3019.54
4/6/1114.9119.54
4/7/1115.1819.54
4/8/1114.4119.54
4/11/1113.6219.54
4/12/1114.0719.54
4/13/1114.0319.54
4/14/1113.9319.54
4/15/1113.4919.54
4/18/1114.3919.54
4/19/1113.9319.54
4/20/1113.0419.54
4/21/1113.2119.54
4/25/1114.6419.54
4/26/1115.2619.54
4/27/1115.4619.54
4/28/1115.7919.54
4/29/1115.8919.54
5/2/1116.2619.54
5/3/1117.3519.54
5/4/1117.5419.54
5/5/1117.4119.54
5/6/1118.1119.54
5/9/1117.2919.54
5/10/1116.9919.54
5/11/1117.9719.54
5/12/1117.5019.54
5/13/1117.6719.54
5/16/1117.2419.54
5/17/1116.9319.54
5/18/1116.0519.54
5/19/1116.1319.54
5/20/1115.8719.54
5/24/1115.2819.54
5/25/1114.5219.54
5/26/1114.5219.54
5/27/1114.5419.54
5/30/1114.7319.54
5/31/1114.3419.54
6/1/1116.0719.54
6/2/1115.9419.54
6/3/1115.6519.54
6/6/1116.4919.54
6/7/1116.0119.54
6/8/1115.8519.54
6/9/1115.5219.54
6/10/1115.4619.54
6/13/1116.2019.54
6/14/1115.1919.54
6/15/1115.4019.54
6/16/1117.1119.54
6/17/1116.9719.54
6/20/1115.9119.54
6/21/1115.5219.54
6/22/1115.4219.54
6/23/1115.1619.54
6/24/1115.3419.54
6/27/1115.4219.54
6/28/1114.9619.54
6/29/1114.1419.54
6/30/1113.8519.54
7/4/1113.4519.54
7/5/1114.1619.54
7/6/1114.1219.54
7/7/1114.1319.54
7/8/1113.2219.54
7/11/1114.0719.54
7/12/1114.3219.54
7/13/1114.1519.54
7/14/1114.8519.54
7/15/1114.1219.54
7/18/1114.9319.54
7/19/1114.2419.54
7/20/1114.0919.54
7/21/1114.2019.54
7/22/1113.7519.54
7/25/1114.8919.54
7/26/1115.8219.54
7/27/1117.0919.54
7/28/1117.4219.54
7/29/1117.6819.54
8/2/1116.7719.54
8/3/1116.5819.54
8/4/1120.1819.54
8/5/1119.0919.54
8/8/1119.0919.54
8/9/1131.9219.54
8/10/1133.7119.54
8/11/1131.7319.54
8/12/1129.2219.54
8/15/1127.1119.54
8/16/1128.0719.54
8/17/1126.6719.54
8/18/1132.8819.54
8/19/1134.8419.54
8/22/1133.2619.54
8/23/1128.5919.54
8/24/1128.9319.54
8/25/1130.1419.54
8/26/1128.8619.54
8/29/1126.1219.54
8/30/1125.0619.54
8/31/1122.4419.54
9/1/1123.9419.54
9/2/1125.3919.54
9/6/1128.1119.54
9/7/1125.8819.54
9/8/1126.1819.54
9/9/1129.3719.54
9/12/1131.7119.54
9/13/1132.3119.54
9/14/1129.2819.54
9/15/1125.6319.54
9/16/1126.3019.54
9/19/1128.0119.54
9/20/1126.3819.54
9/21/1128.6719.54
9/22/1131.8319.54
9/23/1132.3119.54
9/26/1131.0919.54
9/27/1130.2319.54
9/28/1132.1019.54
9/29/1130.9919.54
9/30/1132.7719.54
10/3/1136.7119.54
10/4/1135.4519.54
10/5/1132.2819.54
10/6/1129.7119.54
10/7/1130.5719.54
10/11/1128.1819.54
10/12/1126.9519.54
10/13/1127.9519.54
10/14/1125.4719.54
10/17/1129.4619.54
10/18/1128.2019.54
10/19/1130.6719.54
10/20/1131.5119.54
10/21/1129.7419.54
10/24/1127.4519.54
10/25/1127.6419.54
10/26/1126.8619.54
10/27/1124.0519.54
10/28/1123.5619.54
10/31/1127.0819.54
11/1/1129.8519.54
11/2/1128.1019.54
11/3/1126.1019.54
11/4/1126.6519.54
11/7/1126.9419.54
11/8/1125.3519.54
11/9/1130.6419.54
11/10/1130.0919.54
11/11/1127.1819.54
11/14/1127.6519.54
11/15/1128.9219.54
11/16/1129.1019.54
11/17/1131.8619.54
11/18/1128.7519.54
11/21/1129.0619.54
11/22/1127.4719.54
11/23/1128.8919.54
11/24/1129.1319.54
11/25/1129.0019.54
11/28/1127.9619.54
11/29/1126.6919.54
11/30/1122.5719.54
12/1/1123.3619.54
12/2/1124.3819.54
12/5/1124.2919.54
12/6/1125.5019.54
12/7/1124.8319.54
12/8/1126.7819.54
12/9/1124.8119.54
12/12/1125.5819.54
12/13/1126.0819.54
12/14/1127.5519.54
12/15/1125.7519.54
12/16/1124.5119.54
12/19/1123.9919.54
12/20/1121.1819.54
12/21/1119.7619.54
12/22/1118.8419.54
12/23/1118.1319.54
12/28/1121.7319.54
12/29/1120.8219.54
12/30/1120.0119.54
1/3/1220.6319.54
1/4/1220.7719.54
1/5/1220.4519.54
1/6/1220.1019.54
1/9/1220.9519.54
1/10/1220.3219.54
1/11/1220.6319.54
1/12/1220.1319.54
1/13/1220.2419.54
1/16/1220.6319.54
1/17/1220.4219.54
1/18/1219.3919.54
1/19/1219.6119.54
1/20/1218.6619.54
1/23/1217.5319.54
1/24/1220.2819.54
1/25/1217.5519.54
1/26/1219.5819.54
1/27/1219.5019.54
1/30/1219.4919.54
1/31/1220.5119.54
2/1/1218.9419.54
2/2/1217.7719.54
2/3/1217.4819.54
2/6/1218.0719.54
2/7/1219.1919.54
2/8/1220.1819.54
2/9/1219.5619.54
2/10/1218.8019.54
2/13/1218.7719.54
2/14/1218.8119.54
2/15/1218.9919.54
2/16/1217.5719.54
2/17/1216.8919.54
2/21/1216.7519.54
2/22/1215.6219.54
2/23/1215.7819.54
2/24/1215.6319.54
2/27/1216.3619.54
2/28/1216.2319.54
2/29/1216.4919.54
3/1/1215.5719.54
3/2/1215.9619.54
3/5/1216.9219.54
3/6/1219.1719.54
3/7/1218.6019.54
3/8/1216.8419.54
3/9/1216.0519.54
3/12/1216.1719.54
3/13/1216.1819.54
3/14/1215.8119.54
3/15/1215.5019.54
3/16/1214.4919.54
3/19/1214.5519.54
3/20/1215.0819.54
3/21/1215.1319.54
3/22/1215.2919.54
3/23/1214.5619.54
3/26/1213.6919.54
3/27/1214.5019.54
3/28/1215.2819.54
3/29/1215.9419.54
3/30/1215.4419.54
4/2/1215.5219.54
4/3/1216.5119.54
4/4/1217.6919.54
4/5/1217.8819.54
4/9/1219.7819.54
4/10/1220.0819.54
4/11/1219.7119.54
4/12/1217.1919.54
4/13/1219.7219.54
4/16/1219.4519.54
4/17/1218.7219.54
4/18/1218.7619.54
4/19/1219.3119.54
4/20/1219.0819.54
4/23/1220.2019.54
4/24/1219.5219.54
4/25/1217.8119.54
4/26/1217.6319.54
4/27/1217.1619.54
4/30/1218.0819.54
5/1/1217.7219.54
5/2/1218.8319.54
5/3/1220.6219.54
5/4/1221.8319.54
5/7/1222.6919.54
5/8/1223.2419.54
5/9/1224.1919.54
5/10/1222.8819.54
5/11/1223.6319.54
5/14/1225.7819.54
5/15/1226.7419.54
5/16/1225.9519.54
5/17/1226.1319.54
5/18/1226.9819.54
5/22/1224.5419.54
5/23/1224.8419.54
5/24/1224.3919.54
5/25/1224.2619.54
5/28/1224.1519.54
5/29/1223.9219.54
5/30/1226.3019.54
5/31/1225.3419.54
6/1/1226.5119.54
6/4/1226.8319.54
6/5/1225.1819.54
6/6/1223.7119.54
6/7/1223.4819.54
6/8/1224.2619.54
6/11/1226.9319.54
6/12/1224.9019.54
6/13/1225.3319.54
6/14/1224.7819.54
6/15/1223.8319.54
6/18/1221.9619.54
6/19/1219.6419.54
6/20/1218.2719.54
6/21/1222.0919.54
6/22/1220.2619.54
6/25/1221.6519.54
6/26/1221.5619.54
6/27/1220.8619.54
6/28/1221.0219.54
6/29/1219.5219.54
7/3/1218.8919.54
7/4/1217.5219.54
&"Arial,Bold Italic"Private && Confidential
&F&D &T&P of &N
Figure 4
FortisBC - Testimony
41091.0
Figure 4 - VIX
Start Date37256.0VIX Volatility Index
End Date41094.0VIX IndexPX_LastAverage 1Average 2Average 3
DatePointsPointsPointsPoints
Average 137258.022.7117.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
Start Date36892.037259.021.3417.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
End Date39264.037260.020.4517.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
Value17.6437263.021.9417.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37264.021.8317.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
Average 237265.022.1317.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
Start Date39264.037266.022.3617.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
End Date39995.037267.022.6017.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
Value31.4837270.023.5817.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37271.022.7017.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
Average 337272.023.4517.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
Start Date39995.037273.022.2517.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
End Date41094.037274.022.5217.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
Value22.8137278.023.6117.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37279.021.8817.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37280.021.1517.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37281.021.0117.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37284.021.1417.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37285.024.3517.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37286.023.2217.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37287.021.0917.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37288.021.1217.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37291.024.8717.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37292.025.4517.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37293.026.0917.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37294.025.1117.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37295.023.2617.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37298.021.7817.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37299.021.6217.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37300.020.8517.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37301.021.7717.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37302.022.3717.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37306.024.4317.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37307.022.6617.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37308.023.8017.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37309.022.8617.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37312.021.8417.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37313.021.6817.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37314.021.4917.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37315.021.5917.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37316.019.9617.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37319.020.5017.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37320.020.3017.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37321.019.9417.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37322.020.0417.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37323.019.2717.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37326.019.8417.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37327.019.5917.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37328.019.4617.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37329.019.2017.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37330.018.4217.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37333.018.9317.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37334.018.1617.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37335.018.4617.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37336.018.1517.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37337.017.7717.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37340.018.4817.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37341.018.1317.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37342.017.7017.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37343.017.4017.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37347.018.7317.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37348.019.1617.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37349.020.2017.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37350.019.7817.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37351.019.1317.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37354.019.6117.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37355.019.4717.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37356.018.1917.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37357.020.3017.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37358.019.4217.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37361.019.8217.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37362.018.1117.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37363.018.4317.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37364.019.2917.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37365.018.3017.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37368.019.7717.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37369.020.2817.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37370.020.7717.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37371.020.9517.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37372.022.1417.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37375.024.0517.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37376.021.9117.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37377.020.0617.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37378.020.0717.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37379.020.1917.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37382.022.5617.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37383.021.9417.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37384.020.3917.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37385.021.5617.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37386.022.4117.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37389.020.7217.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37390.019.3517.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37391.019.1917.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37392.018.5017.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37393.017.7017.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37396.019.2417.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A
37397.020.0517.64ERROR:#N/AERROR:#N/A