Development of a Long-Term Monitoring Plan for the ... · A Long -Term Monitoring Plan for the...

45
A Long-Term Monitoring Plan for the Kingston Ash Spill Neil E. Carriker 1* , Suzanne Young 2 , Tyler F. Baker 3 , Mark Stack 4 , Daniel Jones 2 , and A. Michelle Cagley 1 Keywords: monitoring, Kingston, Ash, Spill Abstract TVA used a combination of hydraulic and mechanical dredging to remove most of the December, 2008, TVA Kingston fly ash spill from the Emory River. Legacy contaminants, primarily Cs-137 and mercury, made it impractical to dredge downstream of Emory River mile (ERM) 1.8. Consequently, approximately 500,000 cu yd of residual ash remains in the Emory, Clinch, and Tennessee Rivers, with most of that occurring between ERM 0—2.0. Following TVA’s evaluation of the cost, effectiveness, and feasibility of alternatives in a formal Engineering Evaluation/Cost Analysis (EE/CA) (TVA 2012a), EPA and TDEC selected Monitored Natural Recovery (MNR) as the removal action for the residual ash (TVA 2012b). The Comprehensive Environmental Response, Compensation, and Liability Act (CERCLA), requires implementation of a long-term monitoring (LTM) plan, with reviews at least every five years to determine whether additional action is needed. This paper describes the LTM plan for monitoring the effectiveness of MNR in mitigating ecological risks for residual ash in the Emory-Clinch-Tennessee Rivers system near the TVA Kingston Fossil Plant. Background Immediately following the December 22, 2008 ash spill at Kingston Fossil Plant, TVA began comprehensive environmental monitoring and initiated investigations to evaluate immediate, intermediate, and long-term impacts of the ash spill on natural resources and public health. That effort involved numerous Federal laboratories, universities, environmental consulting firms, and commercial analytical laboratories, as well as TVA scientists and engineers. The studies covered a broad spectrum of disciplines and environmental media, and were conducted with rigorous quality assurance/quality control. Approximately 20,000 samples of water, air, ash, sediments, and biota (fish, birds, amphibians, reptiles, mammals, insects, snails, periphyton, and vascular plants) were collected over a four-year period, with about a half-million chemical analyses performed, long with thousands of field observations recorded. These investigations provided much of the data for a Baseline Human Health Risk Assessment (BHHRA, Jacobs 2012) and a Baseline Ecological Risk Assessment (BERA, Arcadis 2012) evaluating potential long-term effects of the residual ash on humans and biota. The BHHRA found no significant human health risks from the residual ash; however the BERA found that there was potential for low to moderate risks to populations of benthic invertebrates and low risks to riparian- and aerial-feeding birds that consume benthic invertebrates. The potential risks for those three categories of organisms were sufficient that the BERA recommended management action. Correlation of toxicity bioassay results for two test organisms with concentrations of arsenic and selenium in sediments yielded sediment Remediation Objectives (ROs) of 29-41 mg/kg for arsenic and 3.03.2 mg/kg for selenium (TVA 2012a). Sediment transport modeling results (Scott 2012) indicate natural processes of sedimentation, scouring, and re-deposition will achieve the ROs for this project in a relatively short time (<15 years). Consequently, natural recovery will reduce the potential for exposure of benthic invertebrates to the ash to near-background levels, thus reducing potential bio-uptake by riparian- or aerial-feeding birds for which aquatic insects may comprise a significant part of their diets. 2013 World of Coal Ash (WOCA) Conference - April 22-25, 2013 in Lexington, KY http://www.flyash.info/

Transcript of Development of a Long-Term Monitoring Plan for the ... · A Long -Term Monitoring Plan for the...

Page 1: Development of a Long-Term Monitoring Plan for the ... · A Long -Term Monitoring Plan for the Kingston Ash Spill Neil E. Carriker 1 *, Suzanne Young 2, Tyler F. Baker 3, Mark Stack

A Long-Term Monitoring Plan for the Kingston

Ash Spill

Neil E. Carriker1*, Suzanne Young2, Tyler F. Baker3, Mark Stack4, Daniel

Jones2, and A. Michelle Cagley1

Keywords: monitoring, Kingston, Ash, Spill

Abstract

TVA used a combination of hydraulic and mechanical dredging to remove most of the December, 2008,

TVA Kingston fly ash spill from the Emory River. Legacy contaminants, primarily Cs-137 and mercury,

made it impractical to dredge downstream of Emory River mile (ERM) 1.8. Consequently, approximately

500,000 cu yd of residual ash remains in the Emory, Clinch, and Tennessee Rivers, with most of that

occurring between ERM 0—2.0. Following TVA’s evaluation of the cost, effectiveness, and feasibility of

alternatives in a formal Engineering Evaluation/Cost Analysis (EE/CA) (TVA 2012a), EPA and TDEC

selected Monitored Natural Recovery (MNR) as the removal action for the residual ash (TVA 2012b). The

Comprehensive Environmental Response, Compensation, and Liability Act (CERCLA), requires

implementation of a long-term monitoring (LTM) plan, with reviews at least every five years to determine

whether additional action is needed. This paper describes the LTM plan for monitoring the effectiveness

of MNR in mitigating ecological risks for residual ash in the Emory-Clinch-Tennessee Rivers system near

the TVA Kingston Fossil Plant.

Background

Immediately following the December 22, 2008 ash spill at Kingston Fossil Plant, TVA began

comprehensive environmental monitoring and initiated investigations to evaluate immediate, intermediate,

and long-term impacts of the ash spill on natural resources and public health. That effort involved

numerous Federal laboratories, universities, environmental consulting firms, and commercial analytical

laboratories, as well as TVA scientists and engineers. The studies covered a broad spectrum of

disciplines and environmental media, and were conducted with rigorous quality assurance/quality control.

Approximately 20,000 samples of water, air, ash, sediments, and biota (fish, birds, amphibians, reptiles,

mammals, insects, snails, periphyton, and vascular plants) were collected over a four-year period, with

about a half-million chemical analyses performed, long with thousands of field observations recorded.

These investigations provided much of the data for a Baseline Human Health Risk Assessment (BHHRA,

Jacobs 2012) and a Baseline Ecological Risk Assessment (BERA, Arcadis 2012) evaluating potential

long-term effects of the residual ash on humans and biota. The BHHRA found no significant human

health risks from the residual ash; however the BERA found that there was potential for low to moderate

risks to populations of benthic invertebrates and low risks to riparian- and aerial-feeding birds that

consume benthic invertebrates. The potential risks for those three categories of organisms were sufficient

that the BERA recommended management action.

Correlation of toxicity bioassay results for two test organisms with concentrations of arsenic and selenium

in sediments yielded sediment Remediation Objectives (ROs) of 29-41 mg/kg for arsenic and 3.0—3.2

mg/kg for selenium (TVA 2012a). Sediment transport modeling results (Scott 2012) indicate natural

processes of sedimentation, scouring, and re-deposition will achieve the ROs for this project in a

relatively short time (<15 years). Consequently, natural recovery will reduce the potential for exposure of

benthic invertebrates to the ash to near-background levels, thus reducing potential bio-uptake by riparian-

or aerial-feeding birds for which aquatic insects may comprise a significant part of their diets.

2013 World of Coal Ash (WOCA) Conference - April 22-25, 2013 in Lexington, KYhttp://www.flyash.info/

Page 2: Development of a Long-Term Monitoring Plan for the ... · A Long -Term Monitoring Plan for the Kingston Ash Spill Neil E. Carriker 1 *, Suzanne Young 2, Tyler F. Baker 3, Mark Stack

*Corresponding author 1Tennessee Valley Authority, Mail Stop 1T, 1134 Swan Pond Rd, Kingston, Tennessee 37748

2Arcadis-US, Knoxville, Tennessee

3Tennessee Valley Authority, Chattanooga, Tennessee

4Jacobs Engineering, Inc. Oak Ridge, Tennessee

The lack of significant human health risks and relatively low ecological risks due to the residual ash, the

potential for increasing both ecological and human health risks by dredging in areas with legacy

contaminants, the technical difficulty of conducting dredging without disturbing legacy sediments, the cost

and questionable effectiveness of capping residual ash, and the effectiveness of natural sedimentation

processes in diluting and capping residual ash were principal factors considered in the EE/CA (TVA

2012a). Following completion of the EE/CA, EPA and TDEC selected MNR as the preferred alternative

(EE/CA Alternative 1) as the appropriate remedy in this situation (TVA 2012b).

Data Quality Objectives (DQOs)

To guide development of the LTM plan, TVA followed EPA’s seven-step iterative DQO approach (EPA

1997) to define the purposes of data collection efforts, clarify what data are needed to satisfy those

purposes, and specify the quality of data required. The DQOs identified for the LTM plan are:

1. To evaluate the effectiveness of sediment scouring, mixing, transport, and re-deposition (i.e., ash

transport and fate) to achieve CERCLA Remediation Objectives.

2. To measure MNR effectiveness in protecting ecological resources at risk (benthic invertebrates,

riparian- and aerial-feeding birds).

3. To document restoration of the ecological function and recreational use of the river system to pre-

release conditions.

4. To provide information for other purposes, including Natural Resources Damages Assessment

(NRDA) and recovery.

Types of data required to address these objectives include:

1. Information on sediment scouring, mixing, transport, and deposition over time

2. Concentrations of ash and ash-related contaminants in sediment

3. Concentrations of ash-related contaminants in biota, especially in the area with most residual ash

4. Biota population, community, health, and reproductive competence measures

Kingston LTM Plan Overview

Given the relatively low levels of ecological risk associated with the residual ash, overall objectives for

monitoring the natural recovery of the river system are to confirm that those risks remain low and

concentrations of ash-related contaminants in sediments and biota decline over time. The plan focuses

on the Emory River, where the greatest amount of residual ash is located, with limited collections on the

Clinch and Tennessee Rivers

The monitoring plan developed to address these objectives includes the following six components:

1. Ash fate and transport monitoring and modeling 2. Biennial sediment contaminants monitoring 3. Sediment toxicity testing 4. Biennial benthic invertebrate monitoring 5. Annual monitoring of biota in the lower Emory River (where the bulk of the residual ash occurs) 6. Non-CERCLA supplemental monitoring for NRDA and other purposes

Page 3: Development of a Long-Term Monitoring Plan for the ... · A Long -Term Monitoring Plan for the Kingston Ash Spill Neil E. Carriker 1 *, Suzanne Young 2, Tyler F. Baker 3, Mark Stack

Sediments, benthic invertebrates, and insect-eating birds are the primary monitoring foci of the LTM plan,

tracking their responses to the MNR remedy. However, the plan also includes components to address

Natural Resources Damages Assessment (NRDA) and other needs.

The LTM plan includes provisions for adaptive monitoring and management to ensure optimal use of

available resources. Data will be evaluated annually or biennially to identify spatial and temporal trends

that might justify changes in monitoring strategy or other actions. Adaptive management may include off-

year follow-up monitoring to investigate unusual results, adjusting sampling locations or frequencies,

discontinuing parts of the monitoring, and adopting more effective monitoring tools that may become

available. Sediment modeling and monitoring results and evaluation of bioaccumulation trends for

invertebrates, birds, and fish will determine whether contingent response actions or additional data

gathering is warranted.

The following sections provide additional information on each of the LTM plan components.

1. Ash Fate and Transport Monitoring & Modeling

The U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Engineer Research and Development Center (USACE-ERDC)

performed baseline fate and transport modeling of the Emory and Clinch Rivers sediments to evaluate

long-term effectiveness of MNR (Scott 2012). Those results indicate that dynamic natural processes will

yield decreasing proportions of ash and decreasing concentrations of arsenic and selenium in sediments

in the Emory and Clinch Rivers. Natural sedimentation and scour is predicted to produce a layer of mixed

ash and sediment approximately 6 inches thick in depositional side channel areas that meets the project’s

Removal Action Objectives (RAOs) within 10 to 15 years.

The modeling also shows that periodic severe storm flow events (greater than a 10-year recurrence

interval) would scour portions of this natural cover, particularly in the main channel and in some of the

side channel deposits. Such severe storm events may temporarily expose deeper sediments with higher

concentrations of ash and ash-related constituents. However, the model predicts that the natural cover of

mixed ash/sediment would redevelop in those areas, and that ash and natural sediment mixtures would

continue to deposit in side channel areas of the Emory and Clinch Rivers. Over a period of several cycles

of high flows, most of the residual ash in the lower part of the Emory River and Clinch Rivers that can be

mobilized eventually would be transported downstream and re-deposited as thin layers of mixed sediment

and ash in the lower end of Watts Bar Reservoir near Watts Bar Dam.

The sediment fate and transport model will be updated in 2013 with new, higher-resolution bathymetry

from the Emory and Clinch Rivers. New data also will be developed in 2013 on the composition of

recently-deposited sediments in several locations to re-calibrate the sediment transport model and

improve confidence in the accuracy of its predictions of mixing and recovery rates. Modeling will also be

performed after each >10-year recurrence interval (>110,000 cfs) storm event to evaluate sediment

mixing and transport. Following each modeling run, “ground-truth” sediment samples will be collected

from several depositional areas to confirm the modeled results and further refine the model, if needed. If a

10-year storm has not occurred during the initial five-year review period, the model will be re-run in 2017.

2. Biennial Sediment Contaminants Monitoring

Sediment contaminants monitoring will be conducted biennially in the fall at eleven locations in the Clinch

and Emory Rivers, concurrent with fall benthic invertebrate community surveys. Ecological exposures

occur primarily in the upper 6 inches of submerged sediments; therefore, samples will be collected of the

upper 6 inches of sediments. Where appropriate, each transect will be divided into left, mid-channel

(thalweg), and right areas, focusing on submerged terraces left and right of the thalweg that comprise the

most suitable benthic invertebrate habitat. Several Ponar dredge samples will be collected in each area

and composited by area, resulting in a maximum of three composite samples per transect. Percent ash

and grain size distribution will be determined for each composite sample, as well as concentrations of

arsenic and selenium.

Page 4: Development of a Long-Term Monitoring Plan for the ... · A Long -Term Monitoring Plan for the Kingston Ash Spill Neil E. Carriker 1 *, Suzanne Young 2, Tyler F. Baker 3, Mark Stack

In addition, discrete sediment samples will be collected for % ash analysis at each of the ten points along

the biennial fall benthic invertebrate community survey transects performed at the same11 river locations

(see section 4, below).

3. Sediment Toxicity Tests

In Fall, 2013, 10-day definitive survival and growth tests for a laboratory test organism, Hyalella azteca,

will be conducted for one transect in the lower portion of the Emory River (ERM 1.0 or ERM 0.7) and one

transect in the Clinch River (CRM 3.0 or CRM 3.5) using 0%, 20%, 40%, 60%, 80%, and 100% serial

dilutions of composited sediment samples. To the extent possible, sediment toxicity transects will be co-

located with benthic invertebrate community transects, however locations may have to be adjusted

slightly to ensure they include areas of active deposition on submerged terraces.

Similar to the Biennial Sediment Contaminants Monitoring described above, samples will be collected

from the upper 6 inches of sediments. Sediments from up to three areas per transect (mid-channel, and

left and right submerged terraces) will be composited by area. This will ensure representative sampling of

areas most suitable as benthic invertebrate habitat. Several Ponar dredge samples will be collected in

each area, compositing by area (maximum of three composite samples per transect).

Each composited sediment sample will be analyzed for a full suite of metals/metalloids, polychlorinated

biphenyls (PCBs), pesticides, semi-volatile organics, total organic carbon (TOC), grain size, and % ash

(by polarized light microscopy).

Sediment toxicity monitoring will be repeated in Fall, 2017, in order to have two rounds of sediment

toxicity results available for the CERCLA 5-year review of the LTM plan to be conducted in 2017-2018.

4. Biennial Benthic Invertebrate Monitoring

Sampling for bioaccumulation in snails, larval mayflies, and adult mayflies will be conducted biennially in

2013, 2015, and 2017. Data will be reviewed as it becomes available to determine whether off-year

follow-up sampling is needed.

Some locations will be sampled in 2013 in order to complete five continuous years of post-release annual

data. Results for 2009—2012 suggest that the number of mayfly bioaccumulation sampling locations can

be reduced after 2013, and that collections of snails can be discontinued. Decisions on those reductions

will be made in 204, following analysis of the full 5-year-post-release (2009-2013) data record.

Spring Benthic Invertebrate Bioaccumulation – The BERA considered benthic invertebrates subject to

moderate ecological risk in the lower part of the Emory River and low risk in the Clinch River due to

exposure to arsenic and selenium in sediment. In addition, because they are at the base of the food

chain, aquatic insect larvae and the emergent adult insects are prey for other ecological receptors.

Previous results suggest arsenic and selenium in mayfly nymphs peaked in 2010 or 2011. Annual

maximum concentrations occurred at ERM 1.0 for both elements. Adult mayfly arsenic concentrations are

about an order of magnitude lower than in nymphs, and appear to be only slightly higher at ash-impacted

sites than at reference sites. Selenium in adult mayflies follows a similar temporal pattern as the nymphs,

with concentrations apparently peaking in 2011. In contrast to arsenic, selenium concentrations in mayfly

adults are more similar to those in nymphs.

Arsenic and selenium concentrations in snails generally decreased from 2010 to 2011, with

concentrations similar to or only slightly greater than reference locations.

Given these trends, we anticipate analysis of the five-year data record will support reducing the number of

mayfly sampling locations slightly in 2015 and discontinuing snail sampling.

Fall Benthic Invertebrate Community Surveys – Assessments of the composition and structure of benthic

invertebrate communities provide direct evidence of the effects of sediment constituents and general

habitat variations on naturally-occurring benthic communities. Biennial surveys of benthic invertebrate

Page 5: Development of a Long-Term Monitoring Plan for the ... · A Long -Term Monitoring Plan for the Kingston Ash Spill Neil E. Carriker 1 *, Suzanne Young 2, Tyler F. Baker 3, Mark Stack

communities will be performed in the fall on the Emory (7 sites, 10 points per transect) and Clinch Rivers

(4 sites, 10 points per transect).

Each sample substrate will be visually characterized in the field and a sub-sample will be submitted for

laboratory determination of % ash. Taxonomic identification and enumeration of benthic invertebrates will

be performed in the laboratory for all benthic community samples (i.e., for samples from each point on

each transect). Results for overall invertebrate abundance, taxa richness, and taxa diversity will be used

as indicators of community health. Benthic community results also will be compared with % ash for co-

located points on transects and with physical and chemical data for co-located composite sediment

samples (see item 2 above) to identify any significant relationships.

5. Annual Monitoring in the Lower Emory River

Because a large proportion of the residual ash is located in the lower reach of the Emory River, the

highest potential for aquatic life exposure to residual ash occurs there. Bioaccumulation results also

generally indicate the highest bioaccumulations of ash-related contaminants occur in that area. Annual

monitoring will be performed in that reach (ERM 0.0—1.8) to measure the effectiveness of the selected

CERCLA Removal Action in protecting ecological resources at risk.

This annual monitoring will include benthic invertebrate community surveys; bioaccumulation in benthic

invertebrates, fish, and tree swallow egg tissues; and field observations of tree swallow clutch size,

hatching success, and 15-day hatchling survival. This annual monitoring will provide empirical data to

evaluate whether the ecological risks identified in the BERA actually are occurring in the river reach

where the highest potential for exposure exists.

Bluegill, Redear, and Bass Bioaccumulation – Because bluegill and red ear sunfish have been

demonstrated to exhibit high site fidelity and to bioaccumulate selenium to a greater extent than most

other species of fish, the LTM plan focuses fish bioaccumulation monitoring on those two species of fish

in ERM 0—1.8. Although bass appear to bioaccumulate contaminants to a much lesser extent, the LTM

plan includes annual monitoring of largemouth bass in the lower Emory River because bass they are an

important sport fish in the region. A target of six fish of each species will be collected. Fillet, ovary, and

liver tissues will be analyzed for a suite of ash-related metals and metalloids contaminants.

Tree swallow monitoring – The ecological risk to aerial-feeding insectivores identified in the BERA is

based on dietary exposure modeling, assuming adult mayflies are representative of the tree swallow diet.

Studies conducted by Virginia Tech in 2011 indicate that mayflies may comprise only a small component

of tree swallow diet and are virtually absent as a food source during the breeding season.

Tree swallow eggs will be collected annually from a location on the lower part of the Emory River (ERM 0-

1.8) and a reference site on the Tennessee River, with a target of one egg from 20-25 different tree

swallow boxes per location. Egg contents (excluding shells) will be analyzed for arsenic and selenium to

evaluate exposure of insectivorous birds to ash-related constituents. Clutch size, hatching success, and

nestling survival to day 15 will be recorded as indicators of reproductive success.

Tree swallow boxes also will be placed at the Lakeshore peninsula to maintain a tree swallow colony

there for possible future evaluation.

6. Supplemental Long-Term Monitoring

Spring Fish Bioaccumulation – Fish bioaccumulation data provide an integrative measure of exposure

and a direct measure of both human and ecological risks. Selenium concentrations in fish tissue were

highest in 2011, the first year post-dredging. While results from 2012 suggest that concentrations may be

decreasing after dredging activities ceased, additional data is required to infer a true temporal trend.

Consequently, fillet, ovary, and liver tissues will be collected biennially in the spring from bluegill, redear

sunfish, and largemouth bass (target of six fish of each species) on the Emory (3 sites) and Clinch Rivers

(2 sites).

Page 6: Development of a Long-Term Monitoring Plan for the ... · A Long -Term Monitoring Plan for the Kingston Ash Spill Neil E. Carriker 1 *, Suzanne Young 2, Tyler F. Baker 3, Mark Stack

Fall Fish Community Survey – Biosurveys of the fish community will be conducted biennially in the fall on

the Emory and Clinch Rivers for comparisons with historical and Valley-wide surveys. The community

surveys will collect fish from a variety of habitat types based on their proportions in the study area to

provide a representation of community structure and function. Standard aquatic and riparian habitat

characteristics will be collected for each site and reference survey location. Fish collected will be

identified as to species, enumerated, and examined for anomalies, with results reported for species

abundance, richness, diversity, and physical condition (anomalies).

Spring Sportfish Survey – Spring sport fish surveys are used to develop key population metrics for black

bass populations, including measures of catch rates, general fish condition (e.g., parasites and

anomalies), and length frequency and relative weights. These surveys will be conducted biennially in the

spring at one site each on the Emory and Clinch Rivers as part of the Valley-Wide Vital Signs Monitoring

Program. Sampling occurs over a reach that may extend approximately 1-2 miles upstream and

downstream of the nominal locations reported (ERM 2.5 and CRM 2.5).

Spring Fish Health & Reproduction – Fish health provides an important measure of fish condition that is

important in interpreting both bioaccumulation and reproductive competence measures. While results to

date suggest no ecologically significant adverse impacts on fish health or reproductive condition, the most

recent histopathology data (fall 2011 samples) indicates that fish collected at locations near the spill have

higher scores (i.e., more lesions) than those from reference locations and that fall 2011 samples have

higher scores than samples from 2010.

Health metrics and reproductive condition will be evaluated concurrent with spring 2013 bioaccumulation

sampling. Overall fish health and reproductive condition metrics will be collected for female bluegill, red

ear sunfish, and largemouth bass from the Emory (3 sites) and Clinch Rivers (2 sites). A target of eight

fish of each species will be collected. This includes the six individuals/species collected for

bioaccumulation, plus two additional fish needed to increase the statistical power of the health and

reproductive metrics analyses. Histopathology will also be conducted on key tissues.

References:

Arcadis 2012. Kingston Ash Recovery Project Non-Time Critical Removal Action River System Baseline

Ecological Risk Assessment (BERA). Document No. EPA-AO-50. Available at

(http://www.epakingstontva.com/Phase%203%20Documents/BERA/Appendix%20I%20BERA/App%20I%

20BERA.pdf)

EPA 1997. Ecological Risk Assessment Guidance for Superfund: Process for Designing and Conducting

Ecological Risk Assessments. Document No. EPA 540-R-97/006. Available at

http://www.epa.gov/oswer/riskassessment/ecorisk/ecorisk.htm

Jacobs 2012. Kingston Ash Recovery Project Non-Time-Critical Baseline Human Health Risk

Assessment. Document No. EPA-EO-052. July 11, 2012

Scott, Stephen H. 2012. Long Term Simulation of Residual Fly Ash Transport and Fate in the Watts Bar

Reservoir System. Coastal and Hydraulics Laboratory, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Engneer Research

and Development Center, Vicksburg, Mississippi. June, 2012.

Tennessee Valley Authority 2012a. Non-Time-Critical Removal Action River System Engineering

Evaluation/Cost Analysis (EE/CA). Document No. EPA-AO-51. Available at

http://www.tva.gov/kingston/admin_record/pdf/NTC/NTC83.html

Tennessee Valley Authority 2012b. Kingston Fly Ash Recovery Project Non-Time-Critical Removal Action

Embayment/River System Action Memorandum-Final. Document no EPA-AO-54. Available at

http://www.tva.gov/kingston/admin_record/pdf/NTC/NTC87.pdf and at

http://www.epakingstontva.com/Phase%203%20Documents/NonTime%20Critical%20Removal%20Action

%20River%20System%20Action%20Memorandum.pdf

Page 7: Development of a Long-Term Monitoring Plan for the ... · A Long -Term Monitoring Plan for the Kingston Ash Spill Neil E. Carriker 1 *, Suzanne Young 2, Tyler F. Baker 3, Mark Stack

TVA R

est

rict

ed I

nfo

rmation -

Delib

era

tive a

nd P

re-D

eci

sional Privile

ged

A L

on

g-te

rm M

on

ito

rin

g P

lan

fo

r th

e

TVA

Kin

gsto

n A

sh S

pill

Ap

ril

24

, 2

01

3

N

eil

E.

Ca

rrik

er,

Ph

D

Page 8: Development of a Long-Term Monitoring Plan for the ... · A Long -Term Monitoring Plan for the Kingston Ash Spill Neil E. Carriker 1 *, Suzanne Young 2, Tyler F. Baker 3, Mark Stack

TVA R

est

rict

ed I

nfo

rmation -

Delib

era

tive a

nd P

re-D

eci

sional Privile

ged

A L

on

g-te

rm M

on

ito

rin

g P

lan

fo

r th

e

TVA

Kin

gsto

n A

sh S

pill

Ap

ril

24

, 2

01

3

N

eil

E.

Ca

rrik

er,

Ph

D

…a

nd

a c

ap

ab

le s

up

po

rtin

g c

ast

inclu

din

g T

yle

r B

ak

er,

Su

za

nn

e Y

ou

ng

, D

an

Jo

ne

s,

Ma

rk

Sta

ck

, M

ike

Ho

uck

, R

ick

Sh

err

ard

, M

ich

ell

e

Ca

gle

y,

an

d s

eve

ral o

the

rs

Page 9: Development of a Long-Term Monitoring Plan for the ... · A Long -Term Monitoring Plan for the Kingston Ash Spill Neil E. Carriker 1 *, Suzanne Young 2, Tyler F. Baker 3, Mark Stack

TVA R

est

rict

ed I

nfo

rmation -

Delib

era

tive a

nd P

re-D

eci

sional Privile

ged

LTM

Tim

elin

e

•Ja

nu

ary,

20

12

Me

eti

ng

to d

iscu

ss “

in-b

etw

ee

n”

mo

nit

ori

ng

•Fe

bru

ary—

De

cem

be

r, 2

01

2

C

on

tin

uin

g in

tern

al d

iscu

ssio

ns,

inte

rpre

tati

on

of

resu

lts

as

BER

A, H

HR

A, a

nd

EE/

CA

we

re p

rep

are

d, c

ulm

inat

ing

in

a“st

raw

man

” LT

M p

rop

osa

l

•Ja

nu

ary,

20

13

Dat

a Q

ual

ity

Ob

ject

ive

s W

ork

sho

p—

”Str

aw m

an”

pro

po

sal

pre

sen

ted

, mo

dif

ied

•Fe

bru

ary,

20

13

Ove

rvie

w s

um

mar

y o

f p

rop

ose

d L

TM, D

QO

tab

les

circ

ula

ted

•A

pri

l, 2

01

3

D

eta

iled

LTM

su

bm

itte

d t

o E

PA

& T

DEC

fo

r ap

pro

val

Page 10: Development of a Long-Term Monitoring Plan for the ... · A Long -Term Monitoring Plan for the Kingston Ash Spill Neil E. Carriker 1 *, Suzanne Young 2, Tyler F. Baker 3, Mark Stack

TVA R

est

rict

ed I

nfo

rmation -

Delib

era

tive a

nd P

re-D

eci

sional Privile

ged

Ec

olo

gica

l Dat

a A

vaila

ble

Em

erg

en

cy r

esp

on

se (2

00

8—

ear

ly 2

00

9)

C

ERC

LA T

ime

-cri

tica

l (2

00

9-2

01

0)

R

ive

r Sa

mp

ling

& A

nal

ysis

Pla

n (

20

10

-20

11

)

Ex

tern

al R

ese

arch

& In

vest

igat

ion

s (2

00

9—

pre

sen

t)

•O

RN

L •U

SAC

E-ER

DC

•U

niv

ers

ity

rese

arch

ers

C

on

tin

uin

g in

vest

igat

ion

s

Page 11: Development of a Long-Term Monitoring Plan for the ... · A Long -Term Monitoring Plan for the Kingston Ash Spill Neil E. Carriker 1 *, Suzanne Young 2, Tyler F. Baker 3, Mark Stack

TVA R

est

rict

ed I

nfo

rmation -

Delib

era

tive a

nd P

re-D

eci

sional Privile

ged

R

ep

ort

s &

Eva

luat

ion

s A

vaila

ble

In

teri

m r

ep

ort

s fr

om

TV

A, O

RN

L, E

RD

C

Ec

olo

gica

l in

vest

igat

ion

s (f

ish

, bu

gs, b

ird

s, a

mp

hib

ian

s…)

G

rou

nd

wat

er m

od

elin

g

Sed

ime

nt

tran

spo

rt m

od

elin

g

Ash

leac

hin

g

Toxi

city

tes

tin

g

B

ase

line

Hu

man

He

alth

Ris

k A

sse

ssm

en

t (H

HR

A)

B

ase

line

Eco

logi

cal R

isk

Ass

ess

me

nt

(BER

A)

En

gin

eer

ing

Eval

uat

ion

/Co

st A

nal

ysis

(EE

/CA

)

A

nn

ual

pro

gre

ss r

ep

ort

s fr

om

un

ive

rsit

y re

sear

che

rs

Page 12: Development of a Long-Term Monitoring Plan for the ... · A Long -Term Monitoring Plan for the Kingston Ash Spill Neil E. Carriker 1 *, Suzanne Young 2, Tyler F. Baker 3, Mark Stack

TVA R

est

rict

ed I

nfo

rmation -

Delib

era

tive a

nd P

re-D

eci

sional Privile

ged

Eco

logi

cal R

ese

arch

In

vest

igat

ion

s

TV

A S

elf

-Pe

rfo

rme

d I

nve

stig

atio

ns

R

ese

arch

gra

nts

ad

min

iste

red

by

Oak

Rid

ge A

sso

ciat

ed

Un

ive

rsit

ies

(OR

AU

): S

ix

un

ive

rsit

ies

and

USG

S

D

ire

ct F

un

din

g fr

om

TV

A:

▫O

ak R

idge

Nat

ion

al L

abo

rato

ry (

OR

NL)

Un

iver

sity

of

Ten

ne

sse

e

▫V

irgi

nia

Tec

h

▫A

pp

alac

hia

n S

tate

Un

iver

sity

Mid

dle

Ten

ne

sse

e S

tate

Un

iver

sity

Ten

ne

sse

e W

ildlif

e R

eso

urc

es

Age

ncy

(TW

RA

) ▫

US

Arm

y C

orp

s o

f En

gin

eers

En

gin

eer

Res

earc

h a

nd

Dev

elo

pm

ent

Cen

ter

(ER

DC

) ▫

Bri

gham

Yo

un

g U

niv

ersi

ty

A

ll in

vest

igat

ion

s p

erf

orm

ed

un

de

r Q

ual

ity

Ass

ura

nce

Pro

ject

Pla

ns

(QA

PP

) p

rep

are

d p

er

CER

CLA

gu

idan

ce

Page 13: Development of a Long-Term Monitoring Plan for the ... · A Long -Term Monitoring Plan for the Kingston Ash Spill Neil E. Carriker 1 *, Suzanne Young 2, Tyler F. Baker 3, Mark Stack

TVA R

est

rict

ed I

nfo

rmation -

Delib

era

tive a

nd P

re-D

eci

sional Privile

ged

TVA

Se

lf-P

erf

orm

ed

In

vest

igat

ion

s

•A

ir M

on

ito

rin

g

•Su

rfac

e W

ate

r, G

rou

nd

wat

er,

Po

rew

ate

r Sa

mp

ling

•B

ath

yme

try

•A

sh &

Se

dim

en

t Sa

mp

ling

•Se

dim

en

t To

xici

ty In

vest

igat

ion

s

•Fi

sh S

amp

ling

& C

om

mu

nit

y A

sse

ssm

en

ts

•Fi

eld

Ass

ess

me

nts

of

Fish

He

alth

•B

en

thic

Inve

rte

bra

te S

amp

ling

& C

om

mu

nit

y A

sse

ssm

en

ts

•La

rval

Fis

h S

amp

ling

•Sa

mp

ling

for

Bio

accu

mu

lati

on

in:

Bir

d E

ggs

(Go

ose

, Her

on

, & O

spre

y)

A

mp

hib

ian

s (t

oad

s &

fro

gs)

Tr

ee

sw

allo

ws

and

tu

rtle

s (2

00

9 &

20

10

)

7

Page 14: Development of a Long-Term Monitoring Plan for the ... · A Long -Term Monitoring Plan for the Kingston Ash Spill Neil E. Carriker 1 *, Suzanne Young 2, Tyler F. Baker 3, Mark Stack

TVA R

est

rict

ed I

nfo

rmation -

Delib

era

tive a

nd P

re-D

eci

sional Privile

ged

OR

AU

-Ad

min

iste

red

Eco

logi

cal R

ese

arch

Old

Do

min

ion

Un

ive

rsit

y •

Sele

niu

m B

io‐G

eoch

emis

try

in F

low

ing

Riv

er S

yste

ms

•Fl

ow

-Th

rou

gh L

each

ing

Pro

ced

ure

No

rth

Car

olin

a St

ate

Un

ive

rsit

y •

Geo

chem

ical

& M

iner

alo

gica

l Ch

arac

teri

zati

on

of

Ash

Geo

chem

ical

Tra

nsf

orm

atio

ns—

Effe

cts

on

Sel

eniu

m U

pta

ke

•Tr

ace

Elem

ent

Up

take

by

Per

iph

yto

n

Du

ke U

niv

ers

ity/

Un

ive

rsit

y o

f K

en

tuck

y/U

niv

ers

ity

of

Illin

ois

Fiel

d S

urv

eys—

Wat

er, S

edim

ents

, Po

rew

ater

s •

Iso

top

e R

atio

s as

Ash

Tra

cers

Fact

ors

Aff

ecti

ng

Po

ten

tial

fo

r M

ercu

ry M

eth

ylat

ion

Trac

e El

emen

t Sp

ecia

tio

n &

Tra

nsf

orm

atio

ns

•G

eoch

emic

al M

od

elin

g

Un

ive

rsit

y o

f C

olo

rad

o/U

SGS

•Ef

fect

s o

f D

isso

lved

Org

anic

Mat

ter

& M

ixin

g En

ergy

on

Ash

Lea

chin

g

8

Page 15: Development of a Long-Term Monitoring Plan for the ... · A Long -Term Monitoring Plan for the Kingston Ash Spill Neil E. Carriker 1 *, Suzanne Young 2, Tyler F. Baker 3, Mark Stack

TVA R

est

rict

ed I

nfo

rmation -

Delib

era

tive a

nd P

re-D

eci

sional Privile

ged

Dir

ect

-Fu

nd

ed

Eco

logi

cal I

nve

stig

atio

ns

Oak

Rid

ge N

atio

nal

Lab

ora

tory

Lab

ora

tory

Fis

h H

ealt

h A

sses

smen

t, F

ish

Rep

rod

uct

ive

Co

mp

eten

ce, A

sh-R

elat

ed

Co

nta

min

ants

Bio

accu

mu

lati

on

Ash

Eff

ects

on

Fis

h R

epro

du

ctio

n &

Lar

val F

ish

(la

bo

rato

ry s

tud

ies)

Ben

thic

Inve

rteb

rate

s B

ioac

cum

ula

tio

n (

snai

ls, m

ayfl

ies)

Oak

Rid

ge N

atio

nal

Lab

ora

tory

an

d M

idd

le T

en

ne

sse

e S

tate

U

niv

ers

ity

•B

lueg

ill &

Red

ear

Sun

fish

Bio

accu

mu

lati

on

Dif

fere

nce

s •

Aq

uat

ic S

pid

ers’

Ro

le in

Tra

nsf

erri

ng

Co

nta

min

ants

to

Ter

rest

rial

Eco

syst

em

Mid

dle

Te

nn

ess

ee

Sta

te U

niv

ers

ity

and

TW

RA

Fres

hw

ater

Mu

ssel

s (b

ioac

cum

ula

tio

n, g

row

th a

nd

rep

rod

uct

ion

)

Un

ive

rsit

y o

f Te

nn

ess

ee

Rac

coo

ns

(bio

accu

mu

lati

on

, hea

lth

eff

ects

)

Bri

gham

Yo

un

g U

niv

ers

ity

•Fl

oo

d r

isk

mo

del

ing

9

Page 16: Development of a Long-Term Monitoring Plan for the ... · A Long -Term Monitoring Plan for the Kingston Ash Spill Neil E. Carriker 1 *, Suzanne Young 2, Tyler F. Baker 3, Mark Stack

TVA R

est

rict

ed I

nfo

rmation -

Delib

era

tive a

nd P

re-D

eci

sional Privile

ged

Dir

ect

-Fu

nd

ed

Eco

logi

cal I

nve

stig

atio

ns

(co

nti

nu

ed

)

USA

CE

Engi

ne

eri

ng

Re

sear

ch a

nd

De

velo

pm

en

t C

en

ter

•Se

dim

ent

Tran

spo

rt M

od

elin

g (f

un

ded

th

rou

gh E

PA

) •

Geo

chem

ical

Ch

arac

teri

zati

on

of

Ash

an

d A

sh L

each

ing

Trac

e El

emen

t Sp

ecia

tio

n/G

eoch

emic

al M

od

elin

g

Vir

gin

ia P

oly

tech

nic

Inst

itu

te a

nd

Sta

te U

niv

ers

ity

(Vir

gin

ia T

ech

) •

Tree

Sw

allo

ws

(bio

accu

mu

lati

on

, mat

ern

al t

ran

sfer

, rep

rod

uct

ive

effe

cts)

Turt

les

(bio

accu

mu

lati

on

, mat

ern

al t

ran

sfer

, rep

rod

uct

ive

effe

cts)

Ap

pal

ach

ian

Sta

te U

niv

ers

ity

•A

sh D

epo

sit

Stra

tigr

aph

y &

Geo

chem

istr

y,

•M

agn

etic

Su

scep

tib

ility

Po

ten

tial

fo

r A

sh T

rack

ing

10

Page 17: Development of a Long-Term Monitoring Plan for the ... · A Long -Term Monitoring Plan for the Kingston Ash Spill Neil E. Carriker 1 *, Suzanne Young 2, Tyler F. Baker 3, Mark Stack

TVA R

est

rict

ed I

nfo

rmation -

Delib

era

tive a

nd P

re-D

eci

sional Privile

ged

Envi

ron

me

nta

l Dat

a C

olle

ctio

n S

um

mar

y 2

00

8-2

01

2

Sco

pe

:

>19

,00

0 s

amp

les

colle

cte

d a

nd

an

alyz

ed

(a

ir, w

ater

, gro

un

dw

ater

, so

il, s

edim

ents

, ash

, bio

ta…

)

>4

00

,00

0 c

he

mic

al a

nal

yse

s o

n t

he

se s

amp

les

Qu

alit

y A

ssu

ran

ce/Q

ual

ity

Co

ntr

ol P

rogr

am

• Si

te-w

ide

Qu

alit

y A

ssu

ran

ce P

roje

ct P

lan

61

Sta

nd

ard

Op

era

tin

g P

roce

du

res

• La

bo

rato

ry a

nd

fie

ld a

ud

its

• “H

and

s-o

n”

lab

ora

tory

sam

ple

man

age

me

nt

9

9.8

% d

ata

acc

epta

nce

11

Page 18: Development of a Long-Term Monitoring Plan for the ... · A Long -Term Monitoring Plan for the Kingston Ash Spill Neil E. Carriker 1 *, Suzanne Young 2, Tyler F. Baker 3, Mark Stack

TVA R

est

rict

ed I

nfo

rmation -

Delib

era

tive a

nd P

re-D

eci

sional Privile

ged

CER

CLA

Ph

ase

3

Riv

er S

amp

ling

& A

nal

ysis

Pla

n (

SAP

)

Focu

sed

on

: •

Mo

de

ling

ash

tra

nsp

ort

•M

app

ing

resi

du

al a

sh

•D

ata

for

hu

man

he

alth

& e

colo

gica

l ris

k as

sess

me

nts

•M

ult

iple

ap

pro

ach

es

to e

valu

ate

eff

ect

s

Page 19: Development of a Long-Term Monitoring Plan for the ... · A Long -Term Monitoring Plan for the Kingston Ash Spill Neil E. Carriker 1 *, Suzanne Young 2, Tyler F. Baker 3, Mark Stack

TVA R

est

rict

ed I

nfo

rmation -

Delib

era

tive a

nd P

re-D

eci

sional Privile

ged

ERD

C S

ed

ime

nt

Tran

spo

rt M

od

el

Mo

de

l Par

ame

ters

2-D

ime

nsi

on

al, U

SAC

E-ER

DC

Ad

apti

ve H

ydra

ulic

s m

od

el (

Ad

H)

Mo

de

l do

mai

n: K

ings

ton

sit

e t

o W

atts

Bar

dam

13

gra

in s

ize

s (6

ash

, 7 s

ed

ime

nt;

cla

y –

san

d s

ize

cla

sse

s)

•3

Sim

ula

tio

ns:

May

, 20

09

eve

nt;

2-y

r av

g fl

ow

/hig

h f

low

; 3

0-y

r fl

ow

re

cord

Re

sult

s •

Ash

re

susp

en

sio

n n

ow

occ

urs

on

ly f

or

flo

ws

>~7

0,0

00

cfs

Ne

w s

ed

ime

nts

de

po

site

d in

sh

allo

w a

reas

in lo

we

r Em

ory

&

Clin

ch c

ap a

sh d

ep

osi

ts, d

ilute

ash

in s

ed

ime

nts

10

-15

ye

ars

to r

ed

uce

ars

en

ic le

vels

to

ne

ar-b

ackg

rou

nd

Hig

h f

low

s w

ill u

ltim

ate

ly s

cou

r &

mix

ash

wit

h n

ativ

e

sed

ime

nts

, tra

nsp

ort

it t

o lo

we

r W

atts

Bar

re

serv

oir

, & d

ep

osi

t it

th

ere

in a

th

in la

yer

ove

r a

larg

e a

rea

13

Page 20: Development of a Long-Term Monitoring Plan for the ... · A Long -Term Monitoring Plan for the Kingston Ash Spill Neil E. Carriker 1 *, Suzanne Young 2, Tyler F. Baker 3, Mark Stack

TVA R

est

rict

ed I

nfo

rmation -

Delib

era

tive a

nd P

re-D

eci

sional Privile

ged

Riv

er

SAP

—A

sh M

app

ing

•2

69

Vib

eco

res

on

gri

d s

yste

m

2

35

Be

twe

en

CR

M 3

& E

RM

3

(C

linch

Re

ach

B &

Em

ory

Re

ach

es

A &

B)

•Fi

eld

ob

serv

atio

n o

f as

h d

epth

& s

trat

igra

ph

y

•Fi

eld

lab

est

imat

ion

of

% a

sh

•C

on

trac

t la

b m

eas

ure

d a

ll fi

eld

-est

imat

ed

>5

0%

as

h, p

lus

~ 2

0%

of

oth

er

sam

ple

s

Page 21: Development of a Long-Term Monitoring Plan for the ... · A Long -Term Monitoring Plan for the Kingston Ash Spill Neil E. Carriker 1 *, Suzanne Young 2, Tyler F. Baker 3, Mark Stack

TVA R

est

rict

ed I

nfo

rmation -

Delib

era

tive a

nd P

re-D

eci

sional Privile

ged

Em

ory

Riv

er

•R

efer

ence

– a

bo

ve E

RM

6.0

•R

each

C –

ER

M 3

.5 t

o E

RM

6.0

•R

each

B –

ER

M 1

.5 t

o E

RM

3.5

•R

each

A –

ER

M 0

.0 t

o E

RM

1.5

C

linch

Riv

er

•R

efer

ence

– a

bo

ve C

RM

4.5

•R

each

B –

CR

M 3

.0 t

o C

RM

4.5

•R

each

A –

CR

M 0

.0 t

o C

RM

3.0

Te

nn

esse

e R

iver

Ref

eren

ce –

ab

ove

TR

M 5

68

•R

each

B –

TR

M 5

66

to

TR

M 5

68

•R

each

A –

TR

M 5

50

to

TR

M 5

66

Riv

er

SAP

: 1

0 R

ive

r R

eac

hes

Page 22: Development of a Long-Term Monitoring Plan for the ... · A Long -Term Monitoring Plan for the Kingston Ash Spill Neil E. Carriker 1 *, Suzanne Young 2, Tyler F. Baker 3, Mark Stack

TVA R

est

rict

ed I

nfo

rmation -

Delib

era

tive a

nd P

re-D

eci

sional Privile

ged

Re

sid

ual

Ash

Re

sult

s

•A

pp

roxi

mat

ely

50

0,0

00

cu

bic

yar

ds

rem

ain

ing

3

% in

Em

ory

Re

ach

C (

ERM

3.5

-6.0

)

82

% in

Em

ory

Re

ach

es

A &

B (

ERM

0.0

-3.5

)

14

% in

Clin

ch R

eac

h B

(C

RM

3.0

-4.5

)

1%

in C

linch

Re

ach

A (

0.0

-3.0

)

* M

axim

um

ash

de

pth

~ 4

to

6 f

ee

t

Page 23: Development of a Long-Term Monitoring Plan for the ... · A Long -Term Monitoring Plan for the Kingston Ash Spill Neil E. Carriker 1 *, Suzanne Young 2, Tyler F. Baker 3, Mark Stack

TVA R

est

rict

ed I

nfo

rmation -

Delib

era

tive a

nd P

re-D

eci

sional Privile

ged

Sed

ime

nt

Toxi

city

Te

sts

•P

has

ed

ap

pro

ach

Scre

enin

g

Sho

rt-t

erm

, un

dilu

ted

, 3 t

est

spec

ies

Em

ory

an

d C

linch

Riv

ers,

9 lo

cati

on

s ea

ch

C

hro

nic

(“D

efin

itiv

e”)

Lo

ng-

term

, dilu

tio

n s

erie

s, 2

tes

t sp

ecie

s

Emo

ry a

nd

Clin

ch R

iver

s, 4

loca

tio

ns

each

•Se

dim

en

t ch

em

istr

y an

d c

har

acte

rist

ics

M

etal

s, P

AH

s, P

CB

s, p

esti

cid

es

%

ash

, gra

in s

ize,

TO

C

•M

ult

ivar

iate

sta

tist

ical

an

alys

is

Hya

lella

azt

eca

Chironom

us

dilu

tus

Ceriodaphnia

dubia

Page 24: Development of a Long-Term Monitoring Plan for the ... · A Long -Term Monitoring Plan for the Kingston Ash Spill Neil E. Carriker 1 *, Suzanne Young 2, Tyler F. Baker 3, Mark Stack

TVA R

est

rict

ed I

nfo

rmation -

Delib

era

tive a

nd P

re-D

eci

sional Privile

ged

Sed

ime

nt

Toxi

city

Re

sult

s

–C

orr

ela

tio

n o

f se

dim

en

t to

xici

ty w

ith

% a

sh,

arse

nic

co

nce

ntr

atio

ns

in s

ed

ime

nts

–M

inim

al o

r n

o t

oxi

city

ob

serv

ed in

se

dim

en

ts

wit

h le

ss t

han

ab

ou

t 4

0%

ash

Page 25: Development of a Long-Term Monitoring Plan for the ... · A Long -Term Monitoring Plan for the Kingston Ash Spill Neil E. Carriker 1 *, Suzanne Young 2, Tyler F. Baker 3, Mark Stack

TVA R

est

rict

ed I

nfo

rmation -

Delib

era

tive a

nd P

re-D

eci

sional Privile

ged

Eco

logi

cal R

isk

Ass

ess

me

nt

Fin

din

gs:

M

od

era

te r

isk

to b

en

thic

inve

rte

bra

tes

that

live

in s

ed

ime

nt

Lo

w r

isk

to o

rgan

ism

s th

at e

at b

en

thic

in

vert

eb

rate

s

Tre

e S

wal

low

s (a

eri

al-f

ee

din

g in

sect

ivo

re)

K

illd

ee

r (s

ho

relin

e-f

ee

din

g in

vert

ivo

re)

•R

isk

dri

vers

:

>40

% a

sh

A

rse

nic

, se

len

ium

Page 26: Development of a Long-Term Monitoring Plan for the ... · A Long -Term Monitoring Plan for the Kingston Ash Spill Neil E. Carriker 1 *, Suzanne Young 2, Tyler F. Baker 3, Mark Stack

TVA R

est

rict

ed I

nfo

rmation -

Delib

era

tive a

nd P

re-D

eci

sional Privile

ged

Hu

man

He

alth

Ris

k A

sse

ssm

en

t

•M

ult

iple

exp

osu

re s

cen

ario

s an

d r

ece

pto

rs:

D

rin

kin

g w

ate

r

Re

cre

atio

n

Fi

sh c

on

sum

pti

on

Ad

ult

& c

hild

re

sid

en

ts, s

wim

me

rs, b

eac

hco

mb

ers

•U

sed

sit

e-s

pe

cifi

c d

ata

•Fo

llow

ed

EP

A r

isk

asse

ssm

en

t gu

idan

ce

Fin

din

gs:

•N

o u

nac

cep

tab

le r

isks

ass

oci

ated

wit

h r

esid

ual

ash

Co

nfi

rme

d r

isks

fro

m le

gacy

PC

Bs

and

Hg

in f

ish

tis

sue

s

TDEC

fis

h c

on

sum

pti

on

ad

viso

ry p

re-d

atin

g th

e s

pill

•A

gre

es

wit

h 2

01

0 T

N D

OH

Pu

blic

He

alth

Ass

ess

me

nt

•A

gre

es

wit

h O

RA

U/V

and

erb

ilt M

ed

ical

Scr

ee

nin

gs

Page 27: Development of a Long-Term Monitoring Plan for the ... · A Long -Term Monitoring Plan for the Kingston Ash Spill Neil E. Carriker 1 *, Suzanne Young 2, Tyler F. Baker 3, Mark Stack

TVA R

est

rict

ed I

nfo

rmation -

Delib

era

tive a

nd P

re-D

eci

sional Privile

ged

TVA

& O

RN

L B

en

thic

Inve

rte

bra

te

Inve

stig

atio

ns

•M

ayfl

y la

rvae

an

d a

du

lts-

-bio

accu

mu

lati

on

•B

en

thic

co

mm

un

ity

abu

nd

ance

an

d d

iver

sity

21

Page 28: Development of a Long-Term Monitoring Plan for the ... · A Long -Term Monitoring Plan for the Kingston Ash Spill Neil E. Carriker 1 *, Suzanne Young 2, Tyler F. Baker 3, Mark Stack

TVA R

est

rict

ed I

nfo

rmation -

Delib

era

tive a

nd P

re-D

eci

sional Privile

ged

TVA

& O

RN

L B

en

thic

Inve

rte

bra

te R

esu

lts

•O

bvi

ou

s im

me

dia

te im

pac

t, f

rom

wh

ich

po

pu

lati

on

s ap

pe

ar t

o h

ave

re

cove

red

qu

ickl

y

•M

inim

al, i

f an

y e

ffe

cts

on

div

ers

ity,

# s

pe

cie

s

•O

the

r fa

cto

rs (

hyd

rolo

gy, c

limat

e)

app

ear

to h

ave

m

ore

sig

nif

ican

t e

ffe

cts

•B

ioac

cum

ula

tio

n in

mo

st s

pe

cie

s p

eak

ed

in 2

01

0 o

r 2

01

1, d

id n

ot

app

ear

to r

eac

h a

dve

rse

eff

ect

s le

vels

•N

o s

ign

ific

ant

eff

ect

s o

n r

ep

rod

uct

ion

22

Page 29: Development of a Long-Term Monitoring Plan for the ... · A Long -Term Monitoring Plan for the Kingston Ash Spill Neil E. Carriker 1 *, Suzanne Young 2, Tyler F. Baker 3, Mark Stack

TVA R

est

rict

ed I

nfo

rmation -

Delib

era

tive a

nd P

re-D

eci

sional Privile

ged

23

•F

ish

co

mm

un

ity

re

sult

s e

va

lua

ted

usi

ng

mu

lti-

me

tric

sc

ori

ng

me

tho

d*

ba

sed

on

:

Spec

ies

Ric

hn

ess

and

Co

mp

osi

tio

n

T

rop

hic

Co

mp

osi

tio

n

F

ish

Hea

lth

an

d A

bu

nd

ance

•F

ish

bio

acc

um

ula

tio

n

F

ocu

s o

n b

lueg

ill,

red

ear,

lar

gem

ou

th b

ass

F

ocu

s o

n s

elen

ium

& a

rsen

ic i

n m

usc

le, o

var

ies,

wh

ole

-bo

dy

Mu

ltip

le s

ites

th

rou

gho

ut

stu

dy

are

a

•F

ish

he

alt

h a

nd

re

pro

du

ctio

n

B

loo

d c

hem

istr

y, c

on

dit

ion

in

dic

es, h

isto

pat

ho

logy

Oo

cyte

co

nd

itio

n

L

abo

rato

ry s

tud

ies

*Re

serv

oir

Fis

h A

sse

mb

lag

e I

nd

ex

(R

FA

I) d

ev

elo

pe

d i

n e

arl

y 1

99

0s

as

pa

rt o

f T

VA

’s V

all

ey

-wid

e V

ita

l S

ign

s M

on

ito

rin

g P

rog

ram

TVA

& O

RN

L Fi

sh In

vest

igat

ion

s

Page 30: Development of a Long-Term Monitoring Plan for the ... · A Long -Term Monitoring Plan for the Kingston Ash Spill Neil E. Carriker 1 *, Suzanne Young 2, Tyler F. Baker 3, Mark Stack

TVA R

est

rict

ed I

nfo

rmation -

Delib

era

tive a

nd P

re-D

eci

sional Privile

ged

TVA

& O

RN

L Fi

sh R

esu

lts

•O

bvi

ou

s im

me

dia

te im

pac

t, f

rom

wh

ich

po

pu

lati

on

s ap

pe

ar t

o h

ave

re

cove

red

qu

ickl

y

•M

inim

al, i

f an

y e

ffe

cts

on

div

ers

ity,

# s

pe

cie

s

•O

the

r fa

cto

rs (

hyd

rolo

gy, c

limat

e)

app

ear

to h

ave

m

ore

sig

nif

ican

t e

ffe

cts

•B

ioac

cum

ula

tio

n in

mo

st s

pe

cie

s p

eak

ed

in 2

01

0, 2

01

1

•N

o s

ign

ific

ant

eff

ect

s o

n r

ep

rod

uct

ion

24

Page 31: Development of a Long-Term Monitoring Plan for the ... · A Long -Term Monitoring Plan for the Kingston Ash Spill Neil E. Carriker 1 *, Suzanne Young 2, Tyler F. Baker 3, Mark Stack

TVA R

est

rict

ed I

nfo

rmation -

Delib

era

tive a

nd P

re-D

eci

sional Privile

ged

OR

NL

Fish

He

alth

& R

ep

rod

uct

ion

Re

sult

s

•H

isto

pat

ho

logy

sh

ow

ed

so

me

gill

de

grad

atio

n in

20

09

, n

o s

ign

ific

ant

dif

fere

nce

s fr

om

re

fere

nce

sit

es

sin

ce

20

09

•Fi

sh h

ealt

h m

eas

ure

s (b

loo

d c

he

mis

try,

var

iou

s in

dic

es)

h

ave

sh

ow

n n

o s

ign

ific

ant

eff

ect

s

•M

inim

al, i

f an

y, r

ep

rod

uct

ive

co

mp

ete

nce

imp

acts

•N

o a

sh im

pac

ts o

n s

urv

ival

, gro

wth

, or

de

velo

pm

en

t o

f la

rval

fis

h in

lab

stu

die

s w

ith

bo

th la

b-r

ear

ed

fis

h a

nd

fi

sh c

aptu

red

in t

he

Emo

ry R

ive

r

25

Page 32: Development of a Long-Term Monitoring Plan for the ... · A Long -Term Monitoring Plan for the Kingston Ash Spill Neil E. Carriker 1 *, Suzanne Young 2, Tyler F. Baker 3, Mark Stack

TVA R

est

rict

ed I

nfo

rmation -

Delib

era

tive a

nd P

re-D

eci

sional Privile

ged

Tre

e S

wal

low

Inve

stig

atio

ns

•~6

00

Tre

e s

wal

low

bo

xes

•Fo

ur

colo

nie

s in

ash

-im

pac

ted

are

as

•Th

ree

refe

ren

ce s

ite

s, p

lus

po

siti

ve c

on

tro

l sit

e

•Fi

eld

ob

serv

atio

n o

f lo

we

r le

g le

ngt

h, c

lutc

h

size

, hat

chin

g su

cce

ss, 1

5-d

ay h

atch

ling

surv

ival

>15

00

bir

ds

sam

ple

d f

or

ash

-re

late

d

con

tam

inan

ts in

egg

s, b

loo

d, f

eat

he

rs,

hat

chlin

gs

Page 33: Development of a Long-Term Monitoring Plan for the ... · A Long -Term Monitoring Plan for the Kingston Ash Spill Neil E. Carriker 1 *, Suzanne Young 2, Tyler F. Baker 3, Mark Stack

TVA R

est

rict

ed I

nfo

rmation -

Delib

era

tive a

nd P

re-D

eci

sional Privile

ged

Pre

limin

ary

Tre

e S

wal

low

Re

sult

s

•So

me

incr

eas

ed

egg

bio

accu

mu

lati

on

of

As

&

Se n

ear

th

e s

pill

, bu

t n

ot

to a

dve

rse

eff

ect

s le

vels

•Fi

eld

dat

a: M

inim

al d

iffe

ren

ces

in r

epro

du

ctiv

e

succ

ess

an

d d

efo

rmit

ies

be

twe

en r

efe

ren

ce

and

ash

-im

pac

ted

are

as

•A

nal

ysis

is o

n-g

oin

g: 2

01

2 d

ata

just

be

com

ing

avai

lab

le

Page 34: Development of a Long-Term Monitoring Plan for the ... · A Long -Term Monitoring Plan for the Kingston Ash Spill Neil E. Carriker 1 *, Suzanne Young 2, Tyler F. Baker 3, Mark Stack

TVA R

est

rict

ed I

nfo

rmation -

Delib

era

tive a

nd P

re-D

eci

sional Privile

ged

Un

ive

rsit

y R

ese

arch

Re

sult

s-to

dat

e

•U

of

Illin

ois

res

earc

her

s fi

nd

th

at H

g st

able

iso

top

e ra

tio

s ca

n d

isti

ngu

ish

b

etw

een

Hg

fro

m a

sh, D

OE-

Oak

Rid

ge, a

nd

up

stre

am E

mo

ry R

iver

•D

uke

Un

iver

sity

fie

ld d

ata

com

par

e w

ell w

ith

TV

A a

nd

EP

A d

ata.

So

me

hig

h

po

rew

ater

ars

enic

co

nce

ntr

atio

ns

rep

ort

ed.

•A

no

ther

Du

ke U

niv

ersi

ty s

tud

y fi

nd

s an

ind

icat

ion

th

at a

sh m

ay in

crea

se

met

hly

atio

n o

f m

ercu

ry. A

dd

itio

nal

stu

die

s ar

e in

pro

gres

s.

•U

of

Co

lora

do

res

earc

her

s fi

nd

mo

re h

igh

ly a

rom

atic

dis

solv

ed o

rgan

ic m

atte

r (D

OM

) is

mo

re e

ffec

tive

in le

ach

ing

met

als,

bu

t D

OM

do

esn

’t a

pp

ear

to a

ffec

t le

ach

ing

of

As

& S

e, w

hic

h a

re p

rese

nt

mai

nly

as

oxy

-an

ion

s

•O

DU

has

dem

on

stra

ted

th

at a

hig

h li

qu

id/s

olid

rat

io, s

ho

rt e

xpo

sure

leac

hin

g p

roce

du

re p

rod

uce

s re

liab

le d

ata.

Fu

rth

er d

ata

anal

ysis

is in

pro

gres

s.

•A

no

ther

OD

U r

esea

rch

er d

etec

ts in

crea

ses

in S

e in

wat

er (

at n

ano

-mo

lar

con

cen

trat

ion

s) a

s it

flo

ws

by

the

ash

sit

e, w

ith

su

bse

qu

ent

alga

l up

take

.

•N

C S

tate

res

earc

her

s ar

e ch

arac

teri

zin

g as

h m

iner

alo

gy, c

hem

ical

sp

ecia

tio

n

and

leac

hin

g ch

arac

teri

stic

s o

f se

lect

ed t

race

ele

men

ts r

elat

ive

to t

hei

r m

ob

ility

, bio

-up

take

an

d t

oxi

city

in s

edim

ents

, wat

er, a

nd

so

ils.

28

Page 35: Development of a Long-Term Monitoring Plan for the ... · A Long -Term Monitoring Plan for the Kingston Ash Spill Neil E. Carriker 1 *, Suzanne Young 2, Tyler F. Baker 3, Mark Stack

TVA R

est

rict

ed I

nfo

rmation -

Delib

era

tive a

nd P

re-D

eci

sional Privile

ged

LTM

De

sign

Taki

ng

eve

ryth

ing

into

co

nsi

de

rati

on

:

•D

eve

lop

Dat

a Q

ual

ity

Ob

ject

ive

s

•Id

en

tify

In

form

atio

n R

eq

uir

ed

•Id

en

tify

Bo

un

dar

ies

•Id

en

tify

Ge

ne

ral A

pp

roac

h

•Fl

esh

Ou

t D

eta

ils

29

Page 36: Development of a Long-Term Monitoring Plan for the ... · A Long -Term Monitoring Plan for the Kingston Ash Spill Neil E. Carriker 1 *, Suzanne Young 2, Tyler F. Baker 3, Mark Stack

TVA R

est

rict

ed I

nfo

rmation -

Delib

era

tive a

nd P

re-D

eci

sional Privile

ged

The

LTM

Ch

alle

nge

:

De

sign

a L

on

g-Te

rm M

on

ito

rin

g P

lan

th

at:

1.

Eval

uat

es

the

eff

ect

ive

ne

ss o

f se

dim

en

t sc

ou

rin

g, m

ixin

g,

tran

spo

rt, a

nd

re

-de

po

siti

on

to

ach

ieve

CER

CLA

Re

mo

val

Act

ion

Ob

ject

ive

s.

2.

Me

asu

res

the

eff

ect

ive

ne

ss o

f th

e s

ele

cte

d C

ERC

LA

Re

me

dy

in p

rote

ctin

g e

colo

gica

l re

sou

rce

s at

ris

k.

-B

en

thic

inve

rte

bra

te p

op

ula

tio

ns

-R

ipar

ian

-fe

ed

ing

bir

ds

-A

eri

al-f

ee

din

g b

ird

s

3.

Do

cum

en

ts r

est

ora

tio

n o

f th

e e

colo

gica

l fu

nct

ion

an

d

recr

eat

ion

al u

se o

f th

e r

ive

r sy

ste

m t

o p

re-r

ele

ase

co

nd

itio

ns.

4.

Pro

vid

es

add

itio

nal

info

rmat

ion

fo

r o

the

r p

urp

ose

s su

ch

as a

sse

ssin

g N

atu

ral R

eso

urc

es

Dam

age

s re

cove

ry

5.

Incl

ud

es

Pra

ctic

al A

dap

tive

Man

age

me

nt

Page 37: Development of a Long-Term Monitoring Plan for the ... · A Long -Term Monitoring Plan for the Kingston Ash Spill Neil E. Carriker 1 *, Suzanne Young 2, Tyler F. Baker 3, Mark Stack

TVA R

est

rict

ed I

nfo

rmation -

Delib

era

tive a

nd P

re-D

eci

sional Privile

ged

Info

rmat

ion

Ne

ed

ed

1.

Info

rmat

ion

on

se

dim

en

t sc

ou

rin

g, m

ixin

g,

tran

spo

rt, a

nd

de

po

siti

on

ove

r ti

me

2.

Co

nce

ntr

atio

ns

of

ash

an

d a

sh-r

ela

ted

co

nta

min

ants

in s

ed

ime

nt

3.

Co

nce

ntr

atio

ns

of

ash

-re

late

d c

on

tam

inan

ts in

b

iota

, esp

ecia

lly in

th

e ar

ea

wit

h m

ost

re

sid

ual

ash

4.

Bio

ta p

op

ula

tio

n, c

om

mu

nit

y, h

eal

th, a

nd

re

pro

du

ctiv

e c

om

pe

ten

ce m

eas

ure

s

Page 38: Development of a Long-Term Monitoring Plan for the ... · A Long -Term Monitoring Plan for the Kingston Ash Spill Neil E. Carriker 1 *, Suzanne Young 2, Tyler F. Baker 3, Mark Stack

TVA R

est

rict

ed I

nfo

rmation -

Delib

era

tive a

nd P

re-D

eci

sional Privile

ged

Pro

po

sed

Lo

ng-

term

Mo

nit

ori

ng

Pla

n

1

.A

sh f

ate

& t

ran

spo

rt m

on

ito

rin

g &

mo

de

ling

2.

Bie

nn

ial s

ed

ime

nt

con

tam

inan

ts

mo

nit

ori

ng—

seve

ral l

oca

tio

ns

3.

Sed

ime

nt

toxi

city

—2

01

3, 2

01

7

4.

Bie

nn

ial b

en

thic

inve

rte

bra

tes

mo

nit

ori

ng

5.

An

nu

al m

on

ito

rin

g in

Lo

we

r Em

ory

: in

vert

eb

rate

s, s

ed

ime

nts

, bir

ds,

fis

h

6.

Sup

ple

me

nta

l mo

nit

ori

ng

of

fish

b

ioac

cum

ula

tio

n, c

om

mu

nit

y su

rve

ys, h

eal

th

& r

epro

du

ctio

n

32

Page 39: Development of a Long-Term Monitoring Plan for the ... · A Long -Term Monitoring Plan for the Kingston Ash Spill Neil E. Carriker 1 *, Suzanne Young 2, Tyler F. Baker 3, Mark Stack

TVA R

est

rict

ed I

nfo

rmation -

Delib

era

tive a

nd P

re-D

eci

sional Privile

ged

Ash

fat

e &

tra

nsp

ort

mo

de

ling

& m

on

ito

rin

g

▪U

pd

ate

d b

ath

yme

try

at 2

00

’ re

solu

tio

n f

or

mo

de

l re

fin

em

en

t

▪Se

dim

en

t tr

ansp

ort

mo

de

ling

follo

win

g 1

0-y

r st

orm

s (o

r at

en

d o

f e

ach

5-y

r re

vie

w p

eri

od

)

▪“G

rou

nd

tru

th”

sed

ime

nt

sam

plin

g: a

sh d

ep

th, %

as

h, a

rse

nic

, se

len

ium

Page 40: Development of a Long-Term Monitoring Plan for the ... · A Long -Term Monitoring Plan for the Kingston Ash Spill Neil E. Carriker 1 *, Suzanne Young 2, Tyler F. Baker 3, Mark Stack

TVA R

est

rict

ed I

nfo

rmation -

Delib

era

tive a

nd P

re-D

eci

sional Privile

ged

Bie

nn

ial M

on

ito

rin

g: S

ed

ime

nts

& B

ugs

▪Fa

ll sa

mp

ling

of

be

nth

ic in

vert

eb

rate

co

mm

un

ity

&

con

tam

inan

t b

ioac

cum

ula

tio

n a

t 1

0 t

ran

sect

s

▪Se

dim

en

t co

nta

min

ants

at

be

nth

ic s

amp

ling

tran

sect

s

▪“O

ff-y

ear

” co

nfi

rmat

ory

sam

plin

g if

un

usu

al r

esu

lts

ob

serv

ed

Page 41: Development of a Long-Term Monitoring Plan for the ... · A Long -Term Monitoring Plan for the Kingston Ash Spill Neil E. Carriker 1 *, Suzanne Young 2, Tyler F. Baker 3, Mark Stack

TVA R

est

rict

ed I

nfo

rmation -

Delib

era

tive a

nd P

re-D

eci

sional Privile

ged

Sed

ime

nt

Toxi

city

Mo

nit

ori

ng

▪Fa

ll: 2

01

3, 2

01

7

▪U

p t

o t

hre

e c

om

po

site

se

dim

en

t sa

mp

les

pe

r tr

anse

ct in

are

as w

ith

gre

ate

st r

esi

du

al a

sh (

plu

s re

fere

nce

sit

es)

:

ERM

1.4

, CR

M 3

.0, E

RM

& C

RM

re

fere

nce

sit

es

Mid

-ch

ann

el (

thal

we

g)

Su

bm

erg

ed

te

rrac

es

(de

po

siti

on

al a

reas

), le

ft &

rig

ht

▪1

0-d

de

fin

itiv

e s

urv

ival

& g

row

th t

est

s, H

yale

lla

azt

eca

▪Fu

ll su

ite

of

ph

ysic

al &

ch

em

ical

an

alys

es

G

rain

siz

e

M

eta

ls/m

eta

lloid

s

Sem

i-vo

lati

le o

rgan

ics

P

est

icid

es

Page 42: Development of a Long-Term Monitoring Plan for the ... · A Long -Term Monitoring Plan for the Kingston Ash Spill Neil E. Carriker 1 *, Suzanne Young 2, Tyler F. Baker 3, Mark Stack

TVA R

est

rict

ed I

nfo

rmation -

Delib

era

tive a

nd P

re-D

eci

sional Privile

ged

An

nu

al M

on

ito

rin

g in

Lo

we

r Em

ory

An

nu

al m

on

ito

rin

g in

low

er

par

t o

f Em

ory

Riv

er

wh

ere

>8

0%

of

the

re

sid

ual

ash

is lo

cate

d:

▪B

en

thic

inve

rte

bra

te c

om

mu

nit

y co

mp

osi

tio

n &

b

ioac

cum

ula

tio

n

▪Tr

ee

sw

allo

ws:

Sim

ple

me

asu

res

of

rep

rod

uct

ive

su

cce

ss (

clu

tch

siz

e,

hat

chin

g su

cce

ss, n

est

ling

surv

ival

to

15

-d)

A

rse

nic

& s

ele

niu

m b

ioac

cum

ula

tio

n in

egg

s

▪R

ed

ear

su

nfi

sh, b

lueg

ill, a

nd

bas

s

Ars

en

ic &

se

len

ium

bio

accu

mu

lati

on

Page 43: Development of a Long-Term Monitoring Plan for the ... · A Long -Term Monitoring Plan for the Kingston Ash Spill Neil E. Carriker 1 *, Suzanne Young 2, Tyler F. Baker 3, Mark Stack

TVA R

est

rict

ed I

nfo

rmation -

Delib

era

tive a

nd P

re-D

eci

sional Privile

ged

Sup

ple

me

nta

l Lo

ng-

Term

Mo

nit

ori

ng

B

ien

nia

l fal

l fis

h c

om

mu

nit

y as

sess

me

nt

(RFA

I)

B

ien

nia

l sp

rin

g sp

ort

fis

h s

urv

ey

B

lack

bas

s &

cra

pp

ie

B

ien

nia

l sp

rin

g fi

sh b

ioac

cum

ula

tio

n

B

lue

gill,

re

de

ar s

un

fish

, lar

gem

ou

th b

ass

Fi

llet,

ova

ry, l

ive

r

B

ien

nia

l sp

rin

g fi

sh h

eal

th &

re

pro

du

ctiv

e

com

pe

ten

ce

O

vera

ll fi

sh h

eal

th m

etr

ics

H

isto

pat

ho

logy

of

key

tiss

ue

s

Re

pro

du

ctiv

e co

nd

itio

n m

etr

ics

Page 44: Development of a Long-Term Monitoring Plan for the ... · A Long -Term Monitoring Plan for the Kingston Ash Spill Neil E. Carriker 1 *, Suzanne Young 2, Tyler F. Baker 3, Mark Stack

TVA R

est

rict

ed I

nfo

rmation -

Delib

era

tive a

nd P

re-D

eci

sional Privile

ged

Dat

a A

nal

ysis

, Rep

ort

ing,

Pro

gram

Re

fin

em

en

t

•Ev

alu

ate

re

sult

s as

so

on

as

the

y ar

e a

vaila

ble

(i.e

., n

o d

elay

s in

dat

a an

alys

is)

•P

rep

are

an

nu

al/b

ien

nia

l re

po

rts

sum

mar

izin

g

spat

ial &

te

mp

ora

l tre

nd

s/re

lati

on

ship

s

•R

ep

eat

sam

plin

g in

off

-yea

rs (

20

14

, 20

16

) fo

r

any

resu

lts

sugg

est

ing

sign

ific

ant,

un

exp

lain

ed

spat

ial o

r te

mp

ora

l ch

ange

s

Page 45: Development of a Long-Term Monitoring Plan for the ... · A Long -Term Monitoring Plan for the Kingston Ash Spill Neil E. Carriker 1 *, Suzanne Young 2, Tyler F. Baker 3, Mark Stack

TVA R

est

rict

ed I

nfo

rmation -

Delib

era

tive a

nd P

re-D

eci

sional Privile

ged

Ad

apti

ve M

on

ito

rin

g &

Man

age

me

nt

▪C

on

tin

uo

usl

y e

valu

ate

re

sult

s to

iden

tify

p

oss

ible

pro

gram

imp

rove

me

nts

Are

stu

dy

resu

lts

sho

win

g ch

ange

s?

D

o r

esu

lts

ind

icat

e lo

cati

on

s &

fre

qu

en

cie

s ar

e

op

tim

ize

d?

D

o r

esu

lts

just

ify

dis

con

tin

uin

g an

y m

on

ito

rin

g?

A

re b

ett

er,

up

dat

ed

mo

nit

ori

ng

tech

niq

ue

s av

aila

ble

?

D

eve

lop

re

com

me

nd

atio

ns

for

adap

tive

m

anag

em

en

t fo

r co

nsi

de

rati

on

by

EPA

& T

DEC

39