Developing a problem tree

24
Developing Problem Tree & Solution Tree

description

An overview of how to undertake a problem tree analysis as part of the formative evaluation of a project's design. This is taken from the Evaluation Toolbox www.evaluationtoolbox.net.au

Transcript of Developing a problem tree

Page 1: Developing a problem tree

Developing Problem Tree & Solution Tree

Page 2: Developing a problem tree

www.evaluationtoolbox.net.au

Page 3: Developing a problem tree

What is a Problem Tree?

A problem tree provides an overview of all the known causes and effects to an identified problem.

Page 4: Developing a problem tree

Why do a Problem Tree

There are often more than one cause to a problem, and you may not be able to overcome them all, so it is important to know if this will impact your project.

A problem tree identifies the context in which an intervention is to occur, and starts to reveal the complexity of life.

Page 5: Developing a problem tree

The Process

A problem tree is best completed with the project proponent and other stakeholders present.

You may need anything from a couple of hours, to half a day or more depending on the complexity of your problem and the diversity of stakeholders present.

Page 6: Developing a problem tree

Steps to undertaking a problem tree

1. Settle on the core problem2. Identify the causes and effects3. Develop a solution tree4. Select the preferred intervention

Page 7: Developing a problem tree

What does a Problem Tree look like?

Page 8: Developing a problem tree

The Core Problem

A project should have a specific problem (eg. saving water inside the home) that it seeks to overcome if change is to occur.

A vague or broad problem (eg. saving water) will have too many causes for an effective and meaningful project to be developed.

Page 9: Developing a problem tree

Identifying the causes and effects

OUTPUTS

Financial incentives provided to households

The core problem is placed at the centre of the tree.

You then need to consider the direct causes to the problem. These are placed below the core problem. Each cause statement needs to be written in negative terms.

The direct effects of the problem are placed above the core problem.

Page 10: Developing a problem tree

Identifying the causes and effects

OUTPUTS

Financial incentives provided to households

You then need to consider the causes to the immediate causes- these are called secondary causes, and so on. You can do the same for the effects.

You will likely need to move causes around, as you decide whether they are a primary, secondary or other cause.

Page 11: Developing a problem tree

Lets look at an example

Page 12: Developing a problem tree

There are not enough problem trees conducted.

Project designs do not consider the full context.

An example of a core problem

Page 13: Developing a problem tree

People do not know what a problem tree is.

There are not enough problem trees conducted. People do

not know how to do a problem tree.

An example of a core problem

Lets look at some causes…

Page 14: Developing a problem tree

People do not know what a problem tree is.

There are not enough problem trees conducted. People do

not know how to do a problem tree.

There are no easily accessible resources.

Resources are too hard to understand.

An example of a core problem

Lets look at some causes…

Page 15: Developing a problem tree

People do not know what a problem tree is.

There are not enough problem trees conducted. People do

not know how to do a problem tree.

There are no easily accessible resources.

Resources are too hard to understand.

Project designs do not consider the full context.

An example of a core problem

Lets look at some causes…

And now the effects

Page 16: Developing a problem tree

An example of a completed problem tree

Page 17: Developing a problem tree

Develop a solution tree

OUTPUTS

Financial incentives provided to households

A solution (also called objectives) tree is developed by reversing the negative statements that form the problem tree into positive ones.

For example, a cause (problem tree) such as “lack of knowledge” would become a means such as “increased knowledge”. The objectives tree demonstrates the means-end relationship between objectives.

Page 18: Developing a problem tree

An example of a completed solution tree

Page 19: Developing a problem tree

Select the preferred intervention

This step is designed to allow the project team to select and focus an intervention on a preferred strategy.

The solution tree may present a number of separate or linked interventions to solve a problem. Depending on project funding, time, and relevance, a planned intervention may not be able to tackle all the causes.

Page 20: Developing a problem tree

An example of selecting a preferred intervention

Page 21: Developing a problem tree

Select the preferred intervention

If all the causes cannot be overcome by a project, or complementary projects, it is important to identify if any of the branches are more influential than others in solving a problem. This may impact on the success of your project.

You can also consider the impact of other branches in your monitoring and evaluation.

Page 22: Developing a problem tree

Using the solution tree to inform your project design

Core

Cause Cause

Cause

Cause Cause

Cause

Effects Effects

Effects Effects

The core can become your project goal or immediate outcome

The causes/solutions become your activities and objectives

The effects become your intermediate and long term outcomes

Page 23: Developing a problem tree

Next Step

Now that you have a problem/solution tree, you can go on to develop a LogFrame matrix, or a Program Logic.

How to guides for the logframe and

program logic can be found on the online toolbox

Page 24: Developing a problem tree

www.evaluationtoolbox.net.au