Deutsche Bank Alternative Energy Utilities & Power Conference MAY 11 & 12, 2010
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Transcript of Deutsche Bank Alternative Energy Utilities & Power Conference MAY 11 & 12, 2010
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Deutsche Bank Alternative Energy
Utilities & Power ConferenceMAY 11 & 12, 2010
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This presentation contains statements concerning NU’s expectations, beliefs, plans, objectives, goals, strategies, assumptions of future events, future financial performance or growth and other statements that are not historical facts. These statements are “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. In some cases, a listener or reader can identify these forward-looking statements through the use of words or phrases such as “estimate”, “expect”, “anticipate”, “intend”, “plan”, “project”, “believe”, “forecast”, “should”, “could”, and other similar expressions. Forward-looking statements are based on the current expectations, estimates, assumptions or projections of management and are not guarantees of future performance. These expectations, estimates, assumptions or projections may vary materially from actual results. Accordingly, any such statements are qualified in their entirety by reference to, and are accompanied by, the following important factors that could cause our actual results to differ materially from those contained in our forward-looking statements, including, but not limited to, actions or inaction of local, state and federal regulatory and taxing bodies; changes in business and economic conditions, including their impact on interest rates, bad debt expense and demand for our products and services; changes in weather patterns; changes in laws, regulations or regulatory policy; changes in levels and timing of capital expenditures; disruptions in the capital markets or other events that make our access to necessary capital more difficult or costly; developments in legal or public policy doctrines; technological developments; changes in accounting standards and financial reporting regulations; fluctuations in the value of our remaining competitive electricity positions; actions of rating agencies; and other presently unknown or unforeseen factors. Other risk factors are detailed from time to time in our reports to the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Any forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date on which such statement is made, and we undertake no obligation to update the information contained in any forward-looking statements to reflect developments or circumstances occurring after the statement is made or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events.
This presentation references actual and projected EPS by business, a non-GAAP presentation, which management believes is useful to investors to evaluate the actual and projected financial performance and contribution of our businesses. This non-GAAP financial measure should not be considered as alternatives to our consolidated net income attributable to controlling interests, and EPS determined in accordance with GAAP as an indicator of operating performance.
Please refer to our reports to the SEC for further details concerning the matters described in this presentation.
Safe Harbor Provisions
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NU’s Value Proposition
• A national leader in siting, building and operating electric transmission facilities
• Approximately 50% of net income from transmission
• Supportive federal legislation and FERC economic regulation
• Significant regional opportunities still before us
• Significant projects under way in generation and natural gas
• Electric distribution rate cases this year should enhance profitability of underperforming segments
• Attractive regulated business model with strong financial profile
• 10 years of rising dividends
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NU’s Attractive Regulated Business Profile
Regulated companies
The Connecticut
Light and Power
Company
Yankee Gas Services Company
Public Service Company of
New Hampshire
Western Massachusetts
Electric Company
• Regulated natural gas delivery company with significant growth potential
• Largest natural gas distribution system in Connecticut as measured by number of customers (~205,000), and size of service territory (2,187 square miles)
• Regulated integrated electric utility
• 490,0000 retail customers in 211 cities and towns in New Hampshire
• ~1,200MW of regulated generation assets
• Regulated T&D company• 1.2 million retail customers in 149 cities and towns
in Connecticut
• Regulated T&D company• 205,000 retail customers in 59 cities and
towns in western Massachusetts
Service territories
VTNH
MA
CT RI
Electric territoryThe Connecticut Light andPower CompanyPublic Service Companyof New HampshireWestern MassachusettsElectric CompanyGas territoryYankee GasServices Company
Total customers: 2.1 million
Total assets: $14.1 billion
Electric Gas
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$5.8
$35.4
$59.2
$97.7
($2.7)
$86.2
$2.3($4.1)
$40.1
$47.9
($10)
$10
$30
$50
$70
$90
$110
2009
2010
First Quarter Consolidated Results As Expected
Distribution and Generation
Transmission Parent/Other Competitive Total
Ear
nin
gs
Fo
r C
om
mo
n In
Mill
ion
s
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2010 EPS Guidance Unchanged
2009 Actual 2010 Guidance
Net income attributable to controlling interest (GAAP)
$1.91 $1.80 - $2.00
Distribution/Generation $0.92 $0.95 - $1.05
Transmission $0.95 $0.90 - $0.95
Competitive $0.09 $0.00 - $0.05
NU Parent/Other ($0.05) ($0.05)
NU Consolidated (GAAP) $1.91 $1.80 - $2.00
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Key Near-term Earnings Drivers
Positive Drivers Challenges Other Factors
2010
and
2011
• CL&P, PSNH rate cases (2nd half)
• PSNH Clean Air Project• Higher transmission rate
base
• Pensions• Uncollectibles• Operating and
capital expenses
• Sales• NUEI
2011 only
• Greater Springfield Reliability Project construction
• WMECO rate case• Possible Yankee Gas rate
case
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Key Longer-Term Earnings Drivers
Distribution/Generation
• Earned returns in electric distribution companies
• Completion of PSNH Clean Air Project and additional clean energy initiatives
• Growth of natural gas business
Transmission
• Continued build-out of NEEWS projects
• Construction of HVDC line to Hydro-Quebec
• Increasing renewable energy portfolio standards in New England
´
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Southwest Connecticut Reliability: Projects Complete
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NEEWS Projects Under Way2
Renewables & Clean Energy4
Potential Wind Sites
Transmission as a Key Strategic Enabler to Solving New England’s Energy Challenges
´Hydro-Quebec-HVDC
3 HVDC Line between Quebec and New Hampshire
´
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NEEWS Advances Into the Siting Phase
SPRINGFIELD
HARTFORD
345-kV SubstationGeneration Station345-kV ROW
115-kV ROW
Central ConnecticutReliability Project
InterstateReliability Project
Greater SpringfieldReliability Project
GSRP Status
• ISO confirmed need date of 2014 in October 2009
• CT approved project in March 2010; MA hearings completed and briefs filed
• EFSB to review staff memorandum on May 13
• Decision expected third quarter
• Construction start in late 2010/early 2011
• In-service 2013
IRP and CCRP Status
• Updated needs assessment expected by 3Q 2010
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New HVDC Line To Connect Hydro-Quebec Generation To New England Market
´
• To be owned by Northern Pass Transmission LLC - NU (75%) and NSTAR (25%)
• 1,200 MW transfer capability
• Northern terminus at Des Cantons (Québec), southern terminus in central or southern New Hampshire
• Québec terminal will convert the power from AC to DC (rectifier)
• US terminal will convert the power from DC to AC (inverter)
• Capital cost estimate for US segment: $900 million ($675 million for NU share)
• Joint Development Agreement signed; work proceeding on Transmission Services Agreement
• PPAs to be offered
HVDC Line
Des Cantons
HVDC Converter Station
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Natural Gas Could Supply an Expanding Market in Connecticut
Yankee Gas Liquefied Natural Gas Facility Eagle St., Waterbury
Prospect
Naugatuck
Cheshire
Waterbury
Wallingford
Route 68/150intersection
Project route construction planned for 2010
Project route construction planned for 2011
N
FIVE MILES
Cheshire/Prospectborder
• Connecticut depends heavily on heating oil
• Natural gas has significant cost advantages at today’s prices
• Natural gas offers significantly lower emissions
• Vehicle transportation market may emerge
• Yankee Gas’ latest expansion project now underway (Waterbury to Wallingford Line Project)
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Appendix
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Current New England Renewable Portfolio Requirements
Connecticut
27% by 2020
Vermont
Goal: 20% by 2017
Minimum: 2005-2012. Load growth to be met with renewables and capped at 10%.
Maine
40% by 2017 (currently 30%)
New Hampshire
23.8% by 2025
RI
16% by 2020
Massachusetts
Class I Class II 4% in 2009; 1% annual 3.6% kwH sales startingincrements thereafter in 2009 & 3.5% kwH
sales from wasteenergy starting in 2009