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DELUSIONS OF SUCCESSBY DAN LOVALLO & DANIEL KAHNEMAN

Group 9

1514009 Anurag Rai 1514045 Santosh Mishra

1514021 Karthik Ramanathan 1514057 Sujatha Krishnamurthy

1514033 Prana !ongar" 15140#9 $ino% Sankaranarayanan

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WHATS IN IT FOR US?

Real Life - Managerialperspeci!e

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SUR=E> - INFERENCES

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COBNITI=E AND ORBANIATIONAL 3IA

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BETTINB AROUND THE 3IASES

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Reference ClassF$recasing

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- Ne0 enreprene/rs )1J&& in n/,9er 0ec7ances $f s/ccess f$r 7eir $0n 9/sine$7ers in 7e 9/siness li4e 7eir $0n $n

- F$r $7ers6 c7ances $f s/ccess 0ere perK/ie g$$8 J

- F$r self6 c7ances $f s/ccess 0ere perceiO/san8ing %

- Afer 7ree #ears6 $nl# ++ r,s s/r!i!e

- @re8ici$ns f$r $7ers )Ta4en 0i7 $/si8

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Opi,is, sill 7as an Opi,isic C7ance

3alance 9e0een Realis, an8 Opi,is, is i,p$ra$rgani$/ see 7ingsQ an8 #$/ sa# 07# 3/ I 8rea, $f 7ingne!er 0ere6 an8 I sa# W7# n$

-Be$rge 3ernar8 S7a0

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HOW TO TAE AN OUTSIDE =IEW?Selecing a ReferenceClass

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8/8/hank FouD