Delaware Labor Market Trends - Past, Present, and Future Office of Labor Market Information (302)...

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Delaware Labor Market Trends -Past, Present, and Future Office of Labor Market Information (302) 761-8052 www.oolmi .net Ed Simon, Director [email protected] Delaware Dept. of Labor

Transcript of Delaware Labor Market Trends - Past, Present, and Future Office of Labor Market Information (302)...

Page 1: Delaware Labor Market Trends - Past, Present, and Future Office of Labor Market Information (302) 761-8052  Ed Simon, Director ed.simon@state.de.us.

Delaware Labor Market Trends -Past, Present, and

Future

Office of Labor Market Information

(302) 761-8052

www.oolmi.net

Ed Simon, Director

[email protected]

Delaware Dept. of Labor

Page 2: Delaware Labor Market Trends - Past, Present, and Future Office of Labor Market Information (302) 761-8052  Ed Simon, Director ed.simon@state.de.us.

Delaware & U.S. Unemployment

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

8.0

'90 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04

Un

emp

loym

ent

Rat

e

U.S.

Delaware

Page 3: Delaware Labor Market Trends - Past, Present, and Future Office of Labor Market Information (302) 761-8052  Ed Simon, Director ed.simon@state.de.us.

Labor Force Stats.

In July ’05, Delaware had the 13th lowest unemployment rate in the nation.

July June July2005 2005 2004

Civilian Labor Force 433,900 431,500 423,100 Employment 415,800 413,800 405,800 Unemployment 18,100 17,700 17,300 Unemployment Rate (%) 4.2 4.1 4.1

U.S. Unemployment Rate 5.0 5.0 5.5

Note: Data are seasonally adjusted.

Page 4: Delaware Labor Market Trends - Past, Present, and Future Office of Labor Market Information (302) 761-8052  Ed Simon, Director ed.simon@state.de.us.

Annual Job Change, Delaware

-6,000

-4,000-2,000

0

2,0004,000

6,0008,000

10,000

12,00014,000

Net

Job

Cha

nge

'90 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05

Page 5: Delaware Labor Market Trends - Past, Present, and Future Office of Labor Market Information (302) 761-8052  Ed Simon, Director ed.simon@state.de.us.

Delaware Net job ChangeJul. 2004 to Jul. 2005

2.0

0.2

1.9

1.31.5

0.20.10.3

1.4

-1.5

1.2

-2.0

-1.5

-1.0

-0.5

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

Job

Ch

ange

in (

000s

)

Page 6: Delaware Labor Market Trends - Past, Present, and Future Office of Labor Market Information (302) 761-8052  Ed Simon, Director ed.simon@state.de.us.

Percent of Total Job Growth by Industry, Delaware - 2002 to 2012

1.83.5

5.1

5.8

5.8

6.6

7.3

12.4

14.5

15.3

21.9Prof. & Bus. Services

Health & Social Serv.

Trade

Leisure & Hospitality

Construction

Fin., Ins., Real Est.

Education

Other Services

Government

Trans. Utilities

Information

Page 7: Delaware Labor Market Trends - Past, Present, and Future Office of Labor Market Information (302) 761-8052  Ed Simon, Director ed.simon@state.de.us.

Barriers to Employment Lack of education Lack of training

Training programs usually for short duration Child care issues and cost Transportation Legal and behavioral issues

Substance abuse Prison record

Available jobs may lack benefits Seasonal and part-time jobs

Page 8: Delaware Labor Market Trends - Past, Present, and Future Office of Labor Market Information (302) 761-8052  Ed Simon, Director ed.simon@state.de.us.

What skills are employers looking for? Written and verbal communication

skills Leadership skills Problem solving and analytical skills Computer literacy Strong interpersonal skills Teamwork Presentation skills

Page 9: Delaware Labor Market Trends - Past, Present, and Future Office of Labor Market Information (302) 761-8052  Ed Simon, Director ed.simon@state.de.us.

Population by Age GroupDelaware 2002 and 2012

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

180,000

0-14 15-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

20022012

Page 10: Delaware Labor Market Trends - Past, Present, and Future Office of Labor Market Information (302) 761-8052  Ed Simon, Director ed.simon@state.de.us.

Delaware Population, Net Change by Age Group, 2002 to 2012

-20,000

-10,000

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

Pop

ulat

ion

Cha

nge

0-14 15-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

Page 11: Delaware Labor Market Trends - Past, Present, and Future Office of Labor Market Information (302) 761-8052  Ed Simon, Director ed.simon@state.de.us.

Implications

Age Grou

p

Pop. Change2002 to 2012

Over age 45; +92,200 Under age 45; +8,600 Possible labor shortage Older experienced workers -Higher wages/productivity Very small increase in youngest age group Increased high school & college age population Starter homes for young adults Housing for the elderly Aging population

–Health care–Eldercare–Leisure time/tourism–Social services–Lifelong learning/retraining

0-14 3,891 15-24 12,183 25-34 10,301 35-44 -17,819 45-54 21,719 55-64 36,878

65+ 33,563

Page 12: Delaware Labor Market Trends - Past, Present, and Future Office of Labor Market Information (302) 761-8052  Ed Simon, Director ed.simon@state.de.us.

Education and Training Categories

1. First professional degree. Completion of a first professional degree program usually requires at least 2 years of full-time academic study beyond a bachelor’s degree.

2. Doctoral degree. Completion of a doctoral degree program usually requires at least 3 years of full-time academic work beyond a bachelor’s degree.

3. Masters degree. Completion of a master’s degree program usually requires 1 or 2 years of full-time study beyond a bachelor’s degree.

4. Bachelor’s or higher degree, plus work experience. Most occupations in this category are managerial occupations that require experience in a related nonmanagerial position.

5. Bachelor’s degree. Completion of a bachelor’s degree program usually requires 4 to 5 years of full-time academic work.

6. Associate degree. Completion of an associate degree program usually requires at least 2 years of full-time academic study.

Page 13: Delaware Labor Market Trends - Past, Present, and Future Office of Labor Market Information (302) 761-8052  Ed Simon, Director ed.simon@state.de.us.

Education and Training Categories (Cont.)

7. Postsecondary vocational training. Some postsecondary vocational training programs last only a few weeks, while others may last a year or more. Some occupations require passing a licensing examination after completing training.

8. Work experience. Occupations in this category require skills and experience gained in other jobs or developed from hobbies, non-work activities, or service in the Armed Forces.

9. Long-term on-the-job training. This category includes occupations usually requiring more thatn 1 year of on-the-job training of combined work experience and formal classroom instruction, such as apprenticeships and employer-sponsored training. Generally, individuals training for an occupation are considered to be employing in it.

10. Moderate-term on-the-job training. Workers in these occupations develop the skills they need after 1 to 12 months of combined on-the-job experience and informal training.

11. Short-term on-the-job training. Workers in these occupations develop the skills they need after a short demonstration of job duties or after 1 month or less of on-the-job experience or instruction.

Page 14: Delaware Labor Market Trends - Past, Present, and Future Office of Labor Market Information (302) 761-8052  Ed Simon, Director ed.simon@state.de.us.

Most jobs do not require a college degree

37.2

6

7.5

4.3

3.8

11.6

6.2

1.9

19.5

0.6

1.6First Professional Degree

Doctoral Degree

Master’s Degree

B.A. or higher, plus work experience

Bachelor’s Degree

Associate Degree

Postsecondary Vocational

Work Experience in related Occ.

Long-term on-the-job training

Moderate-term on-the-job training

Short-term on-the-job training

Percent distribution of employment, Delaware, 2002

Page 15: Delaware Labor Market Trends - Past, Present, and Future Office of Labor Market Information (302) 761-8052  Ed Simon, Director ed.simon@state.de.us.

Jobs requiring more training will generally grow faster.

12.0

14.4

12.4

13.7

17.6

19.8

19.6

8.5

21.1

24.5

16.3First Professional Degree

Doctoral Degree

Master’s Degree

B.A. or higher, plus work experience

Bachelor’s Degree

Associate Degree

Postsecondary Vocational

Work Experience in related Occ.

Long-term on-the-job training

Moderate-term on-the-job training

Short-term on-the-job training

Percent growth of employment, Delaware, 2002 to 2012

Page 16: Delaware Labor Market Trends - Past, Present, and Future Office of Labor Market Information (302) 761-8052  Ed Simon, Director ed.simon@state.de.us.

Wages by educational attainment, Delaware

$26,470

$36,150

$47,040

$35,860

$56,630

$50,900

$32,070

$50,020

$85,180

$65,910

$98,980First Professional Degree

Doctoral Degree

Master’s Degree

B.A. or higher, plus work experience

Bachelor’s Degree

Associate Degree

Postsecondary Vocational

Work Experience in related Occ.

Long-term on-the-job training

Moderate-term on-the-job training

Short-term on-the-job training

Delaware, 2003

Page 17: Delaware Labor Market Trends - Past, Present, and Future Office of Labor Market Information (302) 761-8052  Ed Simon, Director ed.simon@state.de.us.

Fastest Growing OccupationsFastest Growing OccupationsDelaware ‘02 to ‘12Delaware ‘02 to ‘12

Medical AssistantsMedical Assistants 49.3%49.3%

Physician AssistantsPhysician Assistants 47.8%47.8%

Network System AnalystsNetwork System Analysts 45.9%45.9%

Physical Therapy AssistantsPhysical Therapy Assistants 42.9%42.9%

Pharmacy TechniciansPharmacy Technicians 42.7%42.7%

Database AdministratorsDatabase Administrators 42.5%42.5%

Computer Software EngineersComputer Software Engineers 41.6%41.6%

Hazardous Materials Removal WorkersHazardous Materials Removal Workers 41.1%41.1%

Massage TherapistsMassage Therapists 41.0%41.0%

Social and Human Service AssistantsSocial and Human Service Assistants 40.5%40.5%

Personal and Home Care AidesPersonal and Home Care Aides 38.9%38.9%

Computer System AnalystsComputer System Analysts 37.5%37.5%

Page 18: Delaware Labor Market Trends - Past, Present, and Future Office of Labor Market Information (302) 761-8052  Ed Simon, Director ed.simon@state.de.us.

Most Annual Openings, Delaware, 2002 - 2012

Retail Salespersons 752 Cashiers 623 Waiters/Waitresses 482 Food Prep. & Service Wrkrs (Comb.) 413 Customer Service Reps. 408 General & Operations Mgrs. 355 Office Clerks, General 351 Registered Nurses 288 Janitors & Cleaners 244 Laborers & Stock Movers, Hand 232 Stock Clerks & Order Fillers 209 Receptionists & Info. Clerks 181 Counter Attendants, Food 179 Executive Sec. & Admin. Assts. 178 Sales Representatives 170 Sales Supervisors 168

Elementary School Teachers 159 Security Guards 150 Bookeep., Accounting Clerks 148 Office Support Supervisors 143 Secretaries, Exc. Legal & Med. 128 Farm workers & Laborers 126 Accountants & Auditors 124 Nursing Aides/Orderlies 124 Cooks, Restaurants 122 Truck Drivers, Heavy 118 Child Care Workers 117 Electricians 116 Food Preparation Workers 115 Chief Executives 108 Landscaping/Ground. Workers 105 Computer Support Specialists 102

(continued)

Page 19: Delaware Labor Market Trends - Past, Present, and Future Office of Labor Market Information (302) 761-8052  Ed Simon, Director ed.simon@state.de.us.

Annual Openings, (Continued) Maintenance Repair Workers 101 Carpenters 99 Maids & Housekeep, Cleaners 99 Meat, Poultry, Fish Cutters 95 Tellers 92 Teacher Assistants 92 Construction Laborers 89 Plumbers, Pipefitters 87 Bartenders 87 Truck Drivers, Light/Delivery 87 Shipping and Receiving Clerks 86 Secondary School Teachers 85 Supervisors/ Mgr. Food Prep. 83 Financial Managers 81 Bill and Account Collectors 78

Counter and Rental Clerks 78 Hairdressers, Hairstylists 78 Dishwashers 77 Fitness Trainers and Instructors 77 Sales Managers 75 Dining Room Attendants 71 Supervisors/Mgr. Const. 70 Computer Programmers 70 Personal and Home Care Aides 70 Licensed Practical Nurses 69 Industrial Truck Operators 66 Management Analysts 63 HVAC Mechanics 62 Computer System Analysts 61

Italics indicate occupations which generally requireshort-term training (30 days or less).

Page 20: Delaware Labor Market Trends - Past, Present, and Future Office of Labor Market Information (302) 761-8052  Ed Simon, Director ed.simon@state.de.us.

Wages For Selected Delaware OccupationsOccupational Title Avg. Annual Wage

Short-term On-the-job TrainingSalespersons, Retail 23,900Cashiers 18,000Waiters and Waitresses 16,800Food Prep & Serving Workers 16,800General Office Clerks 24,500

Moderate-term On-the-job TrainingCustomer Service Reps. 30,500Exec. Secretaries & Admin. Assistants 36,333Sales Reps., Wholesale and Mfg. 48,711Bookkeeping, Accounting, Auditing Clerks 29,800Secretaries, Exc. Legal and Medical 29,100

Long-term On-the-job TrainingCooks, Restaurant 21,300Electricians 43,300Carpenters 35,411Plumbers, Pipe fitters 44,000HVAC Mechanics 34,800

Page 21: Delaware Labor Market Trends - Past, Present, and Future Office of Labor Market Information (302) 761-8052  Ed Simon, Director ed.simon@state.de.us.

Wages For Selected Delaware Occupations (Cont.)Wages For Selected Delaware Occupations (Cont.)Occupational Title Avg. Annual Wage

Work Experience in a Related OccupationRetail Sales Supervisors & Mgrs. 44,500Clerical Supervisors & Mgrs. 43,000Food Preparation Supervisors & Mgrs. 28,400Construction Trades Supervisors & Mgrs. 55,000Mechanics, Installers, Supervisors & Mgrs 53,100

Postsecondary Vocational TrainingAutomotive Service Technicians/Mechanics 44,000Cosmetologists, Hairstylists 26,800Licensed Practical Nurses 42,300Fitness Trainers and Aerobic Instructors 29,200Preschool Teachers 22,100

Associate DegreeRegistered Nurses 57,900Computer Support Specialists 51,800Paralegals and Legal Assistants 38,700Dental Hygienists 49,800Radiologic Technologists & Technicians 42,800

Page 22: Delaware Labor Market Trends - Past, Present, and Future Office of Labor Market Information (302) 761-8052  Ed Simon, Director ed.simon@state.de.us.

Wages For Selected Delaware Occupations (Cont.)Wages For Selected Delaware Occupations (Cont.)Occupational Title Avg. Annual Wage

Bachelor’s DegreeElementary School Teacher 49,500Accountants and Auditors 49,200Secondary School Teachers 53,000Computer Programmers 73,700Construction Managers 69,700

B. A. or Higher, Plus Work ExperienceGeneral & Operations Mgrs. 84,500Chief Executives 114,900Financial Mgrs. 82,400Sales Managers 96,700Management Analysts 82,700

Master’s DegreeMental Health & Substance Abuse Social Workers 34,000Education, Vocational, and School Counselors 47,900Market Research Analysts 61,400Rehabilitation Counselors 29,500Instructional Coordinators 50,600

Page 23: Delaware Labor Market Trends - Past, Present, and Future Office of Labor Market Information (302) 761-8052  Ed Simon, Director ed.simon@state.de.us.

Wages For Selected Delaware Occupations (Cont.)Wages For Selected Delaware Occupations (Cont.)Occupational Title Avg. Annual Wage

Doctoral DegreeClinical, Counseling, and School Psychologists51,500Nursing Instructors, Postsecondary 64,500Engineering Teachers, Postsecondary 102,800Agriculture Science Teachers, Postsecondary 75,300History Teachers, Postsecondary 73,900

First Professional DegreeClergy 44,400Lawyers 115,700Pharmacists 81,800Family and General Practitioners 111,700Optometrists 90,800

Page 24: Delaware Labor Market Trends - Past, Present, and Future Office of Labor Market Information (302) 761-8052  Ed Simon, Director ed.simon@state.de.us.

Change = Major ImplicationsDelaware Projections 2002 to 2012

New job growth, 56,800 + replacements, 105,600= +162,400 demand

Net population gain, age 15-64 = +63,300 supply

How will we fill this obvious gap?

Quality jobs and a quality workforce will be a must.

Page 25: Delaware Labor Market Trends - Past, Present, and Future Office of Labor Market Information (302) 761-8052  Ed Simon, Director ed.simon@state.de.us.

The WebAmerica’s Career InfonetAmerica’s Career Infonethttp://www.acinet.org/acinet/

Office of Labor Market InformationOffice of Labor Market Informationwww.oolmi.net

Virtual Career NetworkVirtual Career Networkwww.vcnet.net

Occupational Wage EstimatesOccupational Wage Estimateshttp://www.bls.gov/oes/current/oessrcst.htmhttp://www.bls.gov/oes/current/oessrcst.htm