Degradation in Southern Central Africalcluc.umd.edu/sites/default/files/lcluc_documents/... ·...
Transcript of Degradation in Southern Central Africalcluc.umd.edu/sites/default/files/lcluc_documents/... ·...
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Biogeography Group, University of Maryland, College Park
Degradation in Southern Central Africa
Stephen D. Prince Nathan MorrowMartha GeoresJordan BorakMingcui Cao
Geography Department, University of Maryland
http://www.inform.umd.edu/geog/LGRSS/Projects/degradation.html
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Biogeography Group, University of Maryland, College Park
Degradation in Southern Central Africa
Outline
1. DETECTION OF DEGRADATION– Potential land cover of S/C Africa– Actual conditions in S/C Africa– Inter-annual variability– Degradation
2. ASSESSMENT OF SEVERITY & CAUSES OF DEGRADATION– Biophysical conditions– Human impacts
3. CONCLUSIONS - BIOPHYSICAL & HUMAN DIMENSIONS– Southern Central Africa potential as a study region– Assess degradation in terms of resource supply to humans– Hierarchical structure to impacts – Dynamic relationships
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Biogeography Group, University of Maryland, College Park
1. DETECTION OF DEGRADATION
Potential land cover of S/C Africa
– EOS DIS-Cover or White vegetation map
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Biogeography Group, University of Maryland, College Park
IMPACTS ON ENVIRONMENT-veDegradedPoverty
+vePotentialWealth
HUMAN ACTIVITIES& CONDITIONS
HUMAN ACTIVITIES& CONDITIONS
EconomicAgriculture
Transport
Social
S/C Africa RegionCountry
Province
ECOSYSTEM RESOURCES(natural & managed)
ECOSYSTEM RESOURCES(natural & managed)
• Separation of Human Activities and Biophysical Impacts is important.• Human Activities aggregated at country and provincial levels can predict environmental impacts.
2. DEGRADATION AND DEFORESTATION IN SOUTHERN CENTRAL AFRICA2. DEGRADATION AND DEFORESTATION IN SOUTHERN CENTRAL AFRICA2. DEGRADATION AND DEFORESTATION IN SOUTHERN CENTRAL AFRICA
Aggregatio
n
level
Infrastru
ctures
• S/C Africa region ideal for human/environment interaction study• Map resources used by humans, not only biophysical variables• Environmental impacts are well characterized by Human Activities & Conditions• Resources, Impacts, and Human Activities monitored - noting aggregation level• Integrated Assessment should be structured by aggregation level
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Biogeography Group, University of Maryland, College Park
1. DETECTION OF DEGRADATION
Actual conditions in S/C Africa
LAND COVER– EOS DIScover actual veg or Defries 1km land cover map– Earth Sat Geo-Cover TM mosaic for S/C Africa– Selected TM image(s)
BIOMASS–Prince & Goward biomass map or DeFries % tree cover map
PRODUCTIVITY–GLO-PEM NPP
–Average–Time sequence
ENERGY BALANCE–SSiB transect through Zimbabwe
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Biogeography Group, University of Maryland, College Park
LAND COVEREOS DIScover actual veg or Defries 1km land cover map
• Actual veg cover map
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Biogeography Group, University of Maryland, College Park
Land C over - Earth-Satellite C orporation G eoC over M osaicFrom Landsat Them atic M apper D ata
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Biogeography Group, University of Maryland, College Park
Degradation at Kabwe, Zambia• 1986 17 Nov TM
Land C over - H igh resolution degradation features
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Biogeography Group, University of Maryland, College Park
A ctual C onditions - B iom ass
–Prince & Goward biomass map or DeFries % tree cover map
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Biogeography Group, University of Maryland, College Park
A ctual C onditions - Productivity
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Biogeography Group, University of Maryland, College Park
1. DETECTION OF DEGRADATION
Actual conditions - Energy Balance
–Key Los AVHRR land surface condition images –Results for Zimbabwe transect from SSiB simulations
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Biogeography Group, University of Maryland, College Park
1. DETECTION OF DEGRADATION
Inter-annual variability
–Coefficient of variation of inter-annual NPP
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Biogeography Group, University of Maryland, College Park
1. DETECTION OF DEGRADATION
Inter-annual variability
–Time sequences of NPP for selected polygons
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Biogeography Group, University of Maryland, College Park
1. DETECTION OF DEGRADATION
Degradation
–RUE •Schematic (old)•Normalizing effect of rainfall (old)•S/C Africa RUE map (new)•Areas of agreement - 2 slides (old)•Global RUE (old)•Willmott Moisture index global map (old)
–Potential-Actual NPP•CEVSA schematic (new)•Veg cover/Veg condition schematic (new)•Comparison of Pot-Act and RUE for S/C Africa
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Biogeography Group, University of Maryland, College Park
Outline of Rain Use Efficiency Theory
– RUE = Pn / Pr = Pn / (T + E + I) + (D + R) + (∆W + ∆Wp)
– Pn= net primary production (NPP)– Pr = precipitation All in volume water/time.– T = transpiration – E = soil evaporation– I = evaporation from wet canopy – D = drainage from the root zone – R = run-off– ∆W = change in water content of the soil– ∆Wp = change in water content of the vegetation
1. D etection of degradation
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Biogeography Group, University of Maryland, College Park
Normalizing effect of rainfall on regional NPP
R ain U se Efficiency R esults
M ean R U E
M ean precipitationM ean N PP
M ean N PP 82-89(gC m-2 yr-1)
7.511845278010141500
M ean R U E 82 89 (gC mm-1)0.0060.1460.4300.7150.9881.1281.461
8.520865911101675
M ean Precip. 82-89 (mm m-2 yr-1)
R ainfall > 1000m m
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Biogeography Group, University of Maryland, College Park
Mean Rain Use Efficiency
R ain U se Efficiency R esults
M ean R U E
M ean R U E 82 89 (gC mm-1)0.0060.1460.4300.7150.9881.1281.461
R ainfall > 1000m m
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Biogeography Group, University of Maryland, College Park
Areas of agreement, low RUE
1. Congo Shaba Province2. Zambia Copperbelt3. Botswana NE, Mkgadikgadi4. Nambia N Windhoek5. RSA N of Mbabane, Pretoria6. Zimbabwe N & E borders7. Angola Huambo
R ain U se Efficiency R esults
D egree of hum an induced soil degradation Extent of hum an induced soil degradation
D egree of degradation% of m ap unit affected
Lowm ediumhighvery high
0%0-5%5-10%10-25%25-50%50-100%
M ean R U E 82 89 (gC mm-1)0.0060.1460.4300.7150.9881.1281.461
R ainfall > 1000m m
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Biogeography Group, University of Maryland, College Park
Areas of agreement, high RUE
1. Malawi N Province2. RSA Nylsstroom Transvaal,
N Drakensberg3. Zimbabwe Metabeleland4. Namimia E of Windhoek
R ain U se Efficiency R esults
D egree of hum an induced soil degradation Extent of hum an induced soil degradation
D egree of degradation
Lowm ediumhighvery high
M ean R U E 82 89 (gC mm-1)0.0060.1460.4300.7150.9881.1281.461
R ainfall > 1000m m
% of m ap unit affected0%0-5%5-10%10-25%25-50%50-100%
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Biogeography Group, University of Maryland, College Park
W illm ott and Feddem a’s M oisture Index
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Biogeography Group, University of Maryland, College Park
G lobal R U E Im age (gC mm-1)
No estimate from GLO-PEM
Rainfall > 1500mm
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Biogeography Group, University of Maryland, College Park
C om parison of Potential and A ctual N PP, D ifference
New CEVSA Schematic
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Biogeography Group, University of Maryland, College Park
C om parison of Potential and A ctual N PP, D ifference
•Veg cover/Veg condition schematic (new)
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Biogeography Group, University of Maryland, College Park
C om parison of Potential and A ctual N PP, D ifference
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Biogeography Group, University of Maryland, College Park
C om parison of (Potential – A ctual) N PP and R U E
Mean RUE 82 89 (gC mm-1)0.0060.1460.4300.7150.9881.1281.461
R ainfall > 1000m m
Potential – Actual NPP Rain Use Efficiency
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Biogeography Group, University of Maryland, College Park
2. ASSESSMENT OF SEVERITY & CAUSES OF DEGRADATIONBiophysical conditions
Several maps of contrasts between different areas•Biomass? Possibly use GeoCover mosaic?•NPP•RUE and Pot-Act NPP•Energy balance?
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Biogeography Group, University of Maryland, College Park
C om parison of R U E and (Potential – A ctual) N PP, Zim babw e
Mean RUE 82 89 (gC mm-1)0.0060.1460.4300.7150.9881.1281.461
R ainfall > 1000m m
Rain Use Efficiency Potential - Actual NPP
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Biogeography Group, University of Maryland, College Park
2. ASSESSMENT OF SEVERITY & CAUSES OF DEGRADATIONHUMAN IMPACTS
Several maps and appropriate stats of contrasts between different areas•Arrange in a spatial hierarchy
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Biogeography Group, University of Maryland, College Park
A frica M osaic w ith C ountry B oundaries andLand U se, Zim babw e
Commercial Lands
Communal Lands
EarthSat Africa Mosaic Land Use
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Biogeography Group, University of Maryland, College Park
C om parison of Potential – A ctual A nd Land U se in Zim babw e
Commercial LandsCommunal Lands
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Biogeography Group, University of Maryland, College Park
C om parison of R ue and A ctual – Potential, Zim babw e
Mean RUE 82 89 (gC mm-1)0.0060.1460.4300.7150.9881.1281.461
R ainfall > 1000m m
Rain Use Efficiency Potential - Actual NPP
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Biogeography Group, University of Maryland, College Park
C om parison of Potential – A ctual A nd Land U se in Zim babw e
Commercial LandsCommunal Lands
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Biogeography Group, University of Maryland, College Park
3. CONCLUSIONS - BIOPHYSICAL & HUMAN DIMENSIONS
• Southern Central Africa - potential as a study region• Assess degradation in terms of resource supply to humans• Hierarchical structure to impacts • Dynamic relationships