Def.: Time Series Time series is a collection or sequence of numbers that represent the state of any...

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Def.: Time Series Time series is a collection or sequence of numbers that represent the state of any system as a function of time or space or any other “ordering” independent variable.

Transcript of Def.: Time Series Time series is a collection or sequence of numbers that represent the state of any...

Page 1: Def.: Time Series Time series is a collection or sequence of numbers that represent the state of any system as a function of time or space or any other.

Def.: Time Series

Time series is a collection or sequence of numbers that represent the state of any system as a function of time or space or any other “ordering” independent variable.

Page 2: Def.: Time Series Time series is a collection or sequence of numbers that represent the state of any system as a function of time or space or any other.

Scalar Time Series Data

e.g., Sealevel Pressure

e.g., Bottom Temperature

(almost periodic)

(transient)

Page 3: Def.: Time Series Time series is a collection or sequence of numbers that represent the state of any system as a function of time or space or any other.

Vector Time Series Data

Speed (length of “stick”) and direction (orientation of “stick”)

as a function of time

Ocean Currents

Page 4: Def.: Time Series Time series is a collection or sequence of numbers that represent the state of any system as a function of time or space or any other.

Matrix Time Series Data

Spatial pattern of“some scalar”

Reflectance at 645 nm(red part of visible spectrum)of ice, water, and land from MODIS

July-26, 2009 11:40 UTC

Page 5: Def.: Time Series Time series is a collection or sequence of numbers that represent the state of any system as a function of time or space or any other.

Matrix Time Series Data

Spatial patternsthat vary with time

Page 6: Def.: Time Series Time series is a collection or sequence of numbers that represent the state of any system as a function of time or space or any other.

MEASUREMENT

=

SIGNAL

+

NOISEHow to separate?

Page 7: Def.: Time Series Time series is a collection or sequence of numbers that represent the state of any system as a function of time or space or any other.

Ensembles are a set of realizations xi(t) of a random process {x(t)}

Experiment-4

Experiment-3

Experiment-2

Experiment-1

t t+τ Time t and lag τ

tree-1, drifter-1

tree-2, drifter-2

tree-3, drifter-3

tree-4, drifter-4

x1(t)

x2(t)

x4(t)

x3(t)

Page 8: Def.: Time Series Time series is a collection or sequence of numbers that represent the state of any system as a function of time or space or any other.

Qualities of time series:

Sine wave

Sine wave plus random noise

Narrow-band random noise

Wide-band random noise

Page 9: Def.: Time Series Time series is a collection or sequence of numbers that represent the state of any system as a function of time or space or any other.

Probability Density Functions:

Sine wave

Sine wave plus random noise

Narrow-band random noise

Wide-band random noise

(histograms)

Page 10: Def.: Time Series Time series is a collection or sequence of numbers that represent the state of any system as a function of time or space or any other.

Auto-correlation functions

Sine wave

Sine wave plus random noise

Narrow-band random noise

Wide-band random noise

0

Lag Time

Lag

ged

Aut

o-C

orre

lati

on R

xx(

)

Page 11: Def.: Time Series Time series is a collection or sequence of numbers that represent the state of any system as a function of time or space or any other.

Auto-spectral Density

Sine wave

Sine wave plus random noise

Narrow-band random noise

Wide-band random noise