Deere & Company Investor Relations Deere & Company | July 2013 Safe Harbor Statement & Disclosures...
Transcript of Deere & Company Investor Relations Deere & Company | July 2013 Safe Harbor Statement & Disclosures...
| Deere & Company | July 2013
Safe Harbor Statement & Disclosures
This presentation includes forward-looking comments subject to important risks
and uncertainties. It may also contain financial measures that are not in
conformance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States
of America (GAAP).
Refer to Deere’s reports filed on Forms 8-K (current), 10-Q (quarterly), and
10-K (annual) for information on factors that could cause actual results to differ
materially from information in this presentation and for information reconciling
financial measures to GAAP.
Guidance noted in the following slides was effective as of the company’s most
recent earnings release and conference call (15 May 2013). Nothing in this
presentation should be construed as reaffirming or disaffirming such guidance.
This presentation is not an offer to sell or a solicitation of offers to buy any of
Deere’s securities.
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Table of Contents
Slide #
John Deere Strategy 4
Foundational Success Factors 9
Global Markets and Opportunities 18
John Deere Financial Services 38
John Deere Power Systems 44
Market Fundamentals 48
Appendix 54
Deere & Company | July 2013 3
| Deere & Company | July 2013
* OROA: Operating Return on Operating Assets
** SVA: Shareholder Value Added
*** Excludes fiscal 2009 expenses related to goodwill impairment and voluntary employee-separation, for reconciliation to GAAP see “2009 OROA* Reconciliation to GAAP” slide in Appendix.
The John Deere Strategy Foundational Success Factors
Exceptional Operating Performance - Equipment Operations
− 29.4% OROA* in 2012
12%
20%
28%
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005 2006
2007 2008
2009
2009, adjusted***
2010
2011 2012
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
% of Normal Volume
80% Low
100% Normal
120% High
12% OROA (SVA** Neutral)
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| Deere & Company | July 2013
Exceptional Operating Performance - Equipment Operations
− Higher Net Cash Flow, More Consistently
The John Deere Strategy Foundational Success Factors
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
$ M
illions
Sale of Trade Receivables to Credit
Adoption of SVA* Model
Over $7.5 billion in Pension/OPEB contributions, 2001-2012
7
* SVA: Shareholder Value Added
|
-1,600
-1,200
-800
-400
0
400
800
1,200
1,600
2,000
2,400
2,800
1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Deere & Company | July 2013
SVA (
$ m
illions)
* SVA: Shareholder Value Added
Note: For reconciliation of SVA to GAAP, please see “SVA* Reconciliation to GAAP” slide in Appendix
Disciplined SVA* Growth - Equipment Operations
− SVA Journey, 1991 - 2012
8
The John Deere Strategy Foundational Success Factors
Adoption of SVA Model
| Deere & Company | July 2013
Asset Management Dramatic Reduction in Asset Intensity
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
55%
60%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013*
Prior Year
Current Year
Trade Receivables and Net Sales
$0
$5,000
$10,000
$15,000
$20,000
$25,000
$30,000
$35,000
$40,000
Trade Receivables Net Sales
$ M
illions
1998 2012
• Avoided ~ $7.5 billion in working capital in 2012 vs. 1998
• Receivable level in 2012 consistent with 1998, with almost 3x the sales
Quarterly Receivables & Inventory as a % of Previous 12 Months Sales
10
*Through 2nd quarter 2013
| Deere & Company | July 2013
Productivity Improvement ~ 6% CAGR over 30 Years
• Deere’s net sales and revenues per employee have increased at a CAGR of ~ 6% over last 30 years
Net Sales and Revenues per Employee
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600
1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012
$ T
housands
11
| Deere & Company | July 2013
Investment in New Products and Technologies
R&D as Percent of Net Sales
Source: Deere & Company and competitor SEC filings
0.00%
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
5.00%
6.00%
$0
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
$1,200
$1,400
$1,600
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Deere R&D $ Deere % Competitor A % Competitor B % Competitor C %
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Net Sales by Product Category Equipment Operations - Fiscal Year 2012
Deere & Company | July 2013
Agriculture & Turf – $27.1B Construction & Forestry – $6.4B
Construction
Forestry
Commercial Worksite Products
Other
Large Ag
Small Ag
Turf
Other
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| Deere & Company | July 2013
Deere Use-of-Cash Priorities
Manage the balance sheet, including liquidity, to support a rating that provides access to low-cost and readily available short- and long-term funding mechanisms
Reflects the strategic nature of our financial services operation
Committed to “A” Rating
Cash from Operations
Fund Operating and Growth Needs
Common Stock Dividend
Share Repurchase
Fund value-creating investments in our businesses
Consistently and moderately raise dividend targeting a 25%-35% payout ratio of mid-cycle earnings
Consider share repurchase as a means to deploy excess cash to shareholders, once above requirements are met and repurchase is viewed as value-enhancing
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| Deere & Company | July 2013
Share Repurchase As Part of Publicly Announced Plans
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* All shares adjusted for two-for-one stock split effective 26 November 2007 ** Rounded totals for each period – sum may not tie to cumulative cost of repurchases 2004-2Q2013
Cumulative cost of repurchases 2004-2Q2013: ~ $9.5 billion
Amount remaining on May 2008 authorization of $5 billion: ~ $2.2 billion
30 April 2013 period ended shares: ~ 388.0 million
2Q2013 average diluted shares: ~ 3.9 million
Shares repurchased 2004-2Q2013: ~ 164.0 million
Average repurchase price 2004-2Q2013: $57.70
Actual
Shares Repurchased*
(in millions)
Total Amount**
(in billions)
2004 5.9 $0.2
2005 27.7 $0.9
2006 34.0 $1.3
2007 25.7 $1.5
2008 21.2 $1.7
2009 0.0 $0.0
2010 5.2 $0.4
2011 20.8 $1.7
2012 20.2 $1.6
2013 YTD 3.3 $0.3
| Deere & Company | July 2013
Deere Quarterly Dividends Declared* Q1 2003 – Q3 2013
* Adjusted for 2 for 1 stock split on 26 November 2007 ** See slide 5 for John Deere Strategy
16
$0.11
$0.14 $0.16
$0.20 $0.22
$0.25
$0.28 $0.30
$0.35
$0.41
$0.46
$0.51
$0.00
$0.10
$0.20
$0.30
$0.40
$0.50
$0.60
'03 Q
1
Q2
Q3
Q4
'04 Q
1
Q2
Q3
Q4
'05 Q
1
Q2
Q3
Q4
'06 Q
1
Q2
Q3
Q4
'07 Q
1
Q2
Q3
Q4
'08 Q
1
Q2
Q3
Q4
'09 Q
1
Q2
Q3
Q4
'10 Q
1
Q2
Q3
Q4
'11 Q
1
Q2
Q3
Q4
'12 Q
1
Q2
Q3
Q4
'13 Q
1
Q2
Q3
Dividend raised 82% since launch of the revised John Deere Strategy in 2010**
| Deere & Company | July 2013
Sources and Uses of Cash Fiscal 2004 - 2012 Equipment Operations
Source: Deere & Company SEC filings
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= Source of Cash
= Use of Cash
(1) Other includes proceeds from maturities and sales of marketable securities and purchases of marketable securities and reconciliation for non-cash items including excess tax benefits from share-based compensation and the effect of exchange rates on cash and cash equivalents
$4,287
$19,326
$668
$6,530
$1,081
$101
$3,967
$7,720
$974
$0
$3,000
$6,000
$9,000
$12,000
$15,000
$18,000
$21,000
$24,000
$27,000
BeginningCash & CashEquivalents(10/31/03)
Cash FromOperations
Divestitures,net of
Acquisitions
CapitalExpenditures
Investment inFinancialServices
Net Change inDebt and
IntercompanyBalances
Dividends ShareRepurchase,
net ofCommon
StockIssuances
Other Ending Cash &Cash
Equivalents(10/31/12)
(1)
$ M
illions
$3,908 ~60% of cash from operations returned to shareholders
| Deere & Company | July 2013
Growing Global Presence
• FY 2012 equipment net sales outside U.S. & Canada over 4x the level in FY 2000
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
$0
$2,000
$4,000
$6,000
$8,000
$10,000
$12,000
$14,000
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
$ M
illions
Net Sales Outside U.S. and Canada
Net Sales Outside U.S. & Canada % of Total Net Sales
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Global Growth Major Equipment Factory Investments
Deere & Company | July 2013 20
New Factories Major Expansions or Modernizations
Indaiatuba, Brazil C&F Division
• Backhoe Loaders • 4WD Loaders
Indaiatuba, Brazil (JV) C&F Division
• Excavators
Orenburg, Russia A&T Division
• Seeding Equipment • Tillage Equipment
Dewas, India A&T Division
• Tractors
Harbin, China A&T Division
• Combine Harvesters • Tractors • Sprayers • Irrigation Products
Tianjin (TEDA), China C&F Division
• 4WD Loaders • Excavators
Tianjin (TEDA), China John Deere Power Systems
• Engines
Des Moines, IA, USA A&T Division
• Spraying Equipment • Cotton Harvesting Equipment • Tillage Equipment • Seeding Equipment
Domodedovo, Russia A&T and C&F Division
• Tractors • Combine Harvesters
Pune, India A&T Division
• Engines • Transmissions • Tractors
Rosario, Argentina A&T Divison and
John Deere Power Systems • Engines • Tractors • Combines
Waterloo, IA, USA A&T Division
• Foundry
Waterloo, IA, USA A&T Division
• Ag Tractors
Davenport, IA, USA C&F Division
• Articulated Dump Trucks • 4WD Loaders • Motor Graders • Skidders • Wheeled Feller Bunchers
Moline, IL, USA Cylinder Division
• Hydraulic Cylinders
Valley City, ND, USA A&T Division
• Seeding Equipment • Tillage Equipment
Moline, IL, USA A&T Division
• Planting Equipment
| Deere & Company | July 2013
Net Sales by Major Markets Equipment Operations
21
$13.8 $15.1
$13.0
$14.8
$17.4
$20.8
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
U.S. & Canada
9% CAGR
$3.9 $4.6
$3.4 $3.4
$4.4 $4.3
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
Western Europe
2% CAGR
$1.0
$1.9
$0.7 $0.7
$1.4 $1.7
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
Central Europe & CIS
11% CAGR
$1.6
$2.6 $1.8
$2.6
$3.6 $3.6
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
Central & South America 18% CAGR
$0.8 $1.1 $1.2 $1.4
$1.9 $2.1
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
Asia, Africa & Middle East
21% CAGR
$0.4 $0.6 $0.6 $0.6 $0.8 $1.0
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
Australia & New Zealand 20% CAGR
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U.S. and Canada Factory Locations
Deere & Company | July 2013 22
Iowa, USA • Cotton Harvesting Equipment • Planting Equipment • Spraying Equipment • Tillage Equipment • Ag Tractors • Components • Foundry • Engines • Hay & Forage Equipment • Articulated Dump Trucks • 4WD Loaders • Motor Graders • Skidders • Wheeled Feller Bunchers • Backhoes • Compact Tracked Loaders • Crawler Dozers • High-Speed Dozers • Knuckleboom Loaders • Skid Steer Loaders • Tracked Feller Bunchers • Tracked Harvesters
Illinois, USA • Combine Harvesters • Headers • Planting Equipment • Hydraulic Cylinders
North Dakota, USA • Air Seeding Equipment • Electronics
North Carolina, USA • Commercial Mowers • Golf & Turf Mowers • Utility Vehicles • Hydraulic Excavators
Alberta, Canada • Remanufactured Components
British Columbia, Canada • Log Loaders & Specialty Products
California, USA • Satellite Receivers
Kansas, USA • Power Transmission Equipment
Missouri, USA • Remanufactured Components
Louisiana, USA • Sugarcane Harvesting Equipment • Tractor Loaders • Scrapers • Cotton Strippers
Georgia, USA • Utility Tractors • Compact Utility Tractors
Tennessee, USA • Lawn Tractors
Wisconsin, USA • Lawn & Garden Equipment • Utility Vehicles • Golf & Turf Reel Mowers
| Deere & Company | July 2013
U.S. and Canada Growth-Related Announcements
• November 2012 – $58 million investment at Moline, IL planter factory to enhance efficiency and quality
• June 2012 – $47 million investment at Moline, IL cylinder operations to expand manufacturing capacity
• March 2012 – Final Tier 4/Stage IV solution to combine proven EGR Interim Tier 4 platform with customized selective catalytic reduction (SCR) system
• March 2012 – $70 million investment at Waterloo, IA factory to expand production of large farm tractors by 10%
• January 2012 – Strategic agreement with MacDon to manufacture self-propelled windrowers
• December 2011 – $85 million in capital improvements at Des Moines, IA factory to expand production of self-propelled sprayers
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2008-
2010
2010-
2012
2012-
2013
25%
15%
10%
Waterloo Works Capacity Expansion
2008 to 2013
Deere & Company Forecast as of 15 May 2013
| Deere & Company | July 2013
EU 27 Factory Locations
Joensuu, Finland • Wheel Forwarders • Wheel Harvesters • Forestry Attachments
Bruchsal, Germany • Tractor, Harvesting & Forestry Cabs
Mannheim, Germany • Tractors
Zweibrücken, Germany • Combines & Forage Harvesters
Arc-les-Gray, France • Forage Equipment • Balers • Ag Loaders
Saran, France • Engines
Madrid, Spain • Components
Horst, The Netherlands • Spraying Equipment
Stadtlohn, Germany • Headers
Gummersbach, Germany • Walk-Behind Mowers
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| Deere & Company | July 2013
EU 27 Growth-Related Announcements
* Region 2: EU 27, CIS (including Russia), Mediterranean countries in Africa, and the Near and Middle East
25
• October 2012 – Grand opening of new Polish branch headquarters and training center
• Represents a $26 million investment in the region
• November 2011 – Awards received at Agritechnica 2011
• 7280R – “Tractor of the Year 2012”
• 6R tractor – “Machine of the Year”
• Five silver medals
• June 2011 – Largest new product introduction for Region 2*
• Over 100 new products
• 80% of large tractor and combine models new or updated
• Focus on Dealer of Tomorrow strategy
• May 2011 – John Deere and Kuhn Group sign strategic cooperation
• Provides large square balers into Region 2* in 2012
|
Brazil Factory Locations
Deere & Company | July 2013
São Paulo, Brazil (JV) • Components
Catalão, Brazil • Sugarcane Harvesters • Sprayers
Montenegro, Brazil • Tractors
Horizontina, Brazil • Combine Harvesters • Planters
Indaiatuba, Brazil • Backhoe Loaders • 4WD Loaders
Indaiatuba, Brazil (JV) • Excavators
Deere & Company Forecast as of 15 May 2013
26
Existing Under Construction
| Deere & Company | July 2013
Brazil Growth-Related Announcements
• October 2011 – Two new factories in São Paulo to manufacture construction equipment
• Solely-owned Deere factory
• Backhoes and four-wheel-drive loaders
• Partner with Hitachi in second factory
• Excavators
• Expect production to begin in 2014
1 Carta da Anfavea, January 2012 and January 2013
Deere & Company Forecast as of 15 May 2013
• Agriculture portfolio and dealer expansion
• 50 new or updated products in 2010/2011
• Dealer locations roughly doubled since 2007
• Achieved about 6 points of tractor market share in 2-year period - CY 2011 and CY 20121
27
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CIS Factory Locations
Deere & Company | July 2013 28
Orenburg, Russia • Seeding Equipment • Tillage Equipment
Domodedovo, Russia • Tractors • Combine Harvesters
| Deere & Company | July 2013
CIS Growth-Related Announcements
• November 2011 – Orenburg, Russia
• Move existing operations to a new, larger facility
• Increase available manufacturing space by ~ 600 percent
• Expand product offering from four to fifteen models
• Production commenced January 2013
• March 2011 – Domodedovo, Russia
• Double manufacturing space at the factory
• Expand capacity for existing products
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China Factory Locations
Deere & Company | July 2013
Ningbo, China • Tractors (28-70 hp) • Small Combine Harvesters • Hydraulic Cylinders
Tianjin (TEDA), China • Tractors (75-135 hp) • Transmissions
Jiamusi, China • Large Combine Harvesters • Corn Pickers • Cotton Pickers
Harbin, China • Combine Harvesters • Tractors (150+ hp) • Sprayers • Irrigation Products
Tianjin (TEDA), China • 4WD Loaders • Excavators
Tianjin (TEDA), China • Engines (50-220 hp)
30
| Deere & Company | July 2013
China Growth-Related Announcements
Construction Equipment
Engines
Product Test (PV&V)
Office
Tianjin Economic-Technological Development Area (TEDA) Site
Tractors & Drivetrain
• May 2011 – New engine facility in Tianjin
• ~ $60 million investment
• Initial occupancy July 2012
• Production commenced April 2013
• May 2011 – New factory in Harbin
• ~ $80 million initial outlay
• Production commenced November 2012
• December 2010 – New construction equipment factory in Tianjin
• ~ $50 million investment
• Initial occupancy July 2012
• Production commenced January 2013
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|
India Factory Locations
Deere & Company | July 2013
Gummidipoondi, India (JV) • Side-Shift Backhoes • 4WD Loaders (planned production 2014)
Pune, India • Engines • Transmissions • Tractors (36-75 hp) • Electronics
Sirhind, India • Combine Harvesters
Dewas, India • Tractors (36-50 hp)
Deere & Company Forecast as of 15 May 2013
32
Existing Under Construction
|
• January 2011 – New tractor factory in Dewas and expand current tractor facility in Pune
• ~ $100 million investment
• Expect production in Dewas to begin in 2013
• October 2010 – Ashok Leyland John Deere Construction Equipment Company inauguration
• Production of backhoes commenced in 2011
• Four-wheel-drive loader production expected in 2014
• September 2010 – New combine factory in Sirhind
• Production commenced February 2012
• John Deere has been the largest exporter of tractors from India for past 10 years
Deere & Company | July 2013
India Growth-Related Announcements
Deere & Company Forecast as of 15 May 2013
33
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Other Regions Factory Locations
Deere & Company | July 2013 34
Kibbutz Beit Hashita, Israel • Cotton Picker Components
Rosario, Argentina • Engines • Tractors • Combines
Monterrey, Mexico • Rotary Cutters • Implements • Components
Ramos, Mexico • Ag Loaders • Compact Utility Tractor Loaders • Utility Tractor Cabs • Hydraulic Cylinders
Saltillo, Mexico • Ag Tractors • Transaxles
Torreon, Mexico • Axles • Engines • Electronics
Richards Bay, South Africa • Articulated Dump Trucks • Loaders
Tokoroa, New Zealand • Forestry Harvester Heads
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Worldwide Parts Services Supporting the Global Growth of Our Equipment Operations
Deere & Company | July 2013 35
Highlights:
● Nagpur, India
Announced India Parts Distribution Center… target to open in 2H 2014
● Johannesburg, South Africa
New, larger Regional Distribution Center opened 4Q 2012
● Rosario, Argentina
New, larger Regional Distribution Center opened 4Q 2012
● Stockholm, Sweden
New, larger Regional Distribution Center serving C&F and A&T opened May 2012
● Bruchsal, Germany
E-PDC deconsolidation & packaging facility opened Nov 2011
Anchor Parts Distribution Centers
Regional Parts Distribution Centers
or Depots
Distribution Centers under
construction
| Deere & Company | July 2013
John Deere FarmSightTM
36
Integrated wireless technology linking the equipment, managers, operators, dealers, and agricultural consultants to provide more productivity and efficiency to a farm or business.
● Machine Optimization
● Solutions that get the most out of machinery
● Use of automation and machine sensors
● Increased machine uptime, and higher levels of machine productivity, including the impact machines have on crop productivity & input efficiency
● Logistics Optimization
● Coordination of field activities and resources
● Enable fleet management decisions from web enabled devices
● Machine-to-machine communication for in-field logistics
● Ag Decision Support
● Easy data flow between machines and trusted advisors
● Platform for secure, trusted data sharing
● Enable proactive management decisions through insights
| Deere & Company | July 2013
John Deere Water
37
Leveraging our leadership in global agriculture to provide innovative and efficient agricultural water management solutions to enable higher crop yields
● Innovative solutions ● A leading producer of drip tape/lines worldwide
● Fully integrated Field Connect™ soil sensing system
● Tailored flow/spacing solutions for unique crop/field types
● Integration of machinery and technology ● Field Connect™ provides agronomic decision support
which provides insight into key soil and crop requirements (plant, spray, harvest)
● Field Connect™ soil information designed to work in concert with Deere’s on-farm eco-system
● Enables increased yields and higher quality crops
● Improves water use efficiency and reduces grower input costs
● Partnering with our customers ● Supported by our dedicated channel partners
● Focused on optimizing farm operations and crop output
● Enabling good stewardship of the environment and water resources
|
John Deere Financial Services Supporting the Global Growth of Our Equipment Operations
Deere & Company | July 2013
Deere & Company Forecast as of 15 May 2013
39
• New JDF operations:
• Russia (2012)
• India (2012)
• Chile (2012)
• Thailand (2012)
• China (2011)
• Expanding EU-27 coverage to majority of countries
Owned Operations
Bank/Finance Company Partners
Retail programs through JDF not currently offered
| Deere & Company | July 2013
Portfolio Composition by Market
John Deere Financial Services $31.9 Billion Owned Portfolio at 31 October 2012
Portfolio Composition by Geography
Portfolio Composition by Product
Information above includes all Deere lending activities worldwide. John Deere Capital Corporation is the largest lending operation of Deere & Company.
Ag & Turf 87%
C&F 13%
U.S. 72%
Canada 12%
Europe 7%
Latin America 6%
Australia 3%
40
Installment Financing
57%
Wholesale / Floorplan
23%
Leasing 12%
Revolving Credit 8%
| Deere & Company | July 2013
John Deere Capital Corporation Profitability and Growth
41
383
275 291 311
282
149
319 364
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Net Income ($ Millions)
0.16% 0.22%
0.29% 0.33%
0.70%
0.48%
0.12% 0.05%
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Write-offs/Average Owned Portfolio
17.7 18.6 19.0 19.1 19.3 21.1
23.3
26.6
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Administered Portfolio Growth ($ Billions)
| Deere & Company | July 2013
John Deere Capital Corporation Retail Notes 60+ Days Past Due vs. Write-offs
Agriculture & Turf1
• Continued extremely low write-offs
• Average write-offs less than 5 bps over last 10 years
Construction & Forestry
• Extremely low write-offs in 2012
• Steady decline in write-offs since 2009
(1) 1982 – 1985 includes Construction; 1986 - 1994 includes Lawn & Grounds Care; beginning in 2009 includes both Ag and Turf equipment; As % of Owned Losses After Dealer Reserve Charges
Source: 1982 – 1994 internal reporting, 1995 - 2011 JDCC 10-K filings, 2012 internal reporting
42
-0.05%
0.45%
0.95%
1.45%
1.95%
2.45%
2.95%
3.45%
3.95%
'83 '86 '89 '92 '95 '98 '01 '04 '07 '10
Net Write-offs (Ag) Installments 60+DPD (Ag)
-0.05%
0.45%
0.95%
1.45%
1.95%
2.45%
2.95%
3.45%
3.95%
'95 '98 '01 '04 '07 '10
Net Write-offs (C&F) Installments 60+DPD (C&F)
|
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
110%
Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6
Resale
Valu
e a
s a
% o
f O
rigin
al Lis
t Price
Time Since Origination
2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
110%
Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6
Resale
Valu
e a
s a
% o
f O
rigin
al Lis
t Price
Time Since Origination
2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Deere & Company | July 2013
U.S. Resale Value vs. Loan Balance 7230R Tractor and S660 Combine
(1) In 2011, the 7230R was introduced and replaced the 7830 series. In 2007, the 7830 series was introduced to the market replacing the 7820. Loan balance assumes a 30% down payment on the highest list price financed for 5 years with annual payments at a rate of 6.50%.
(2) Model S660 replaced model 9670 in 2012. Model 9670 replaced Model 9660 in 2006. Loan balance assumes a 30% down payment on the highest list price financed for 5 years with annual payments at a rate of 6.50%.
Source for equipment values: North American Equipment Dealers Association – wholesale prices
7230R Tractor (1)
43
Loan Balance
Model Year Model Year
Loan Balance
S660 Combine (2)
|
Engine Emissions Interim Tier 4
Deere & Company | July 2013 45
Successful Transition
• Integrated vehicle solution
• Meeting customer performance and reliability requirements
• Nearly 60 applications launched*
• More than 40,000 engines in the field with >15 million customer hours*
• Warranty claims on 9.0L engine 33% lower compared to Tier 3
• Fuel economy 1-5% better than competitive equipment on tractors with 9.0L engine**
• * As of 31 October 2012
•** Per Nebraska Tractor Test Laboratory results
|
Engine Emissions Final Tier 4
Deere & Company | July 2013 46
• Challenge to absorb costs of continuing new emissions technologies
• SCR introduces packaging and other new challenges
• DEF freezing can be a concern in colder climates
• Shorter implementation horizon than iT4
• More applications to transition to FT4 than past programs
• Maintain Tier 2 and Tier 3 solutions for global markets
iT4 success gives confidence in our ability to meet FT4 challenges
|
Engine Emissions Worldwide Emissions Regulations
Deere & Company | July 2013 47
Stage II
Stage IIIA/Tier 3
Stage IIIB/Interim Tier 4
None
2013 Emissions Regulations
* Includes some non-EU27 countries that follow EU27 emissions regulations
U.S. and Canada Transition to Stage IV/Final Tier 4 • > 175 hp: Jan 2014 • < 175 hp: Jan 2015
EU27* Transition to Stage IV/Final Tier 4 • > 175 hp: Jan 2014 • < 175 hp: Oct 2014
Russia Proposed transition to Stage IIIA Jan 2014
China Proposed transition to Stage IIIA Jan 2015
Brazil Proposed transition to Stage IIIA: • Construction Equipment: Jan 2015 • Ag Equipment: Jan 2017
India No set date to transition from Stage IIIA
| Deere & Company | July 2013
U.S. Farm Cash Receipts
49
Source: 1998 – 2011: USDA 11 February 2013 2012F – 2013F: Deere & Company Forecast as of 15 May 2013
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
$350
$400
$450
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012F 2013F
$ B
illions
Government Payments Total Cash Receipts
Total cash receipts remain at historically high levels
| Deere & Company | July 2013
U.S. Farm Balance Sheet Strong
Source: 1970 – 2011: USDA 11 February 2013 2012F – 2013F: Deere & Company Forecast as of 15 May 2013
50
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
20%
22%
24%
26%
28%
30%
$0
$500
$1,000
$1,500
$2,000
$2,500
$3,0001970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012F
2013F
$ B
illions
Farm Debt Farm Equity Debt to Equity Ratio (%) Debt to Asset Ratio (%)
|
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012E
2013P
World Farm Fundamentals Global Stocks-To-Use Ratios
Source: USDA - 11 July 2013
Deere & Company | July 2013 51
Cotton
Wheat
Corn
Soybeans
| Deere & Company | July 2013
U.S. Housing Starts
52
Source: 1960 – 2011: U.S. Census Bureau December 2012 2012F – 2013F: Deere & Company Forecast as of 15 May 2013
0.000
0.250
0.500
0.750
1.000
1.250
1.500
1.750
2.000
2.250
2.500
1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012F
2013F
Housing Starts (Millions of Units)
Multi-Family Housing Starts
Single-Family Housing Starts
| Deere & Company | July 2013
U.S. Construction Spending
53
Source: 1995 – 2011: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis December 2012 2012F – 2013F: Deere & Company Forecast as of 15 May 2013
-160%
-150%
-140%
-130%
-120%
-110%
-100%
-90%
-80%
-70%
-60%
-50%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
1,100
1,200
1,300
1,400
1,500
1,600
1,700
1,800
1,900
2,000
2,100
2,200
2,3001995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012F
2013F
% T
ota
l Constru
ctio
n S
pend
Billions, 2005 C
hain
ed $
’s
U.S. Construction Spending (Billions, 2005 Chained $’s)
Residential Investment in Structures
Nonresidential Investment in Structures
Government Investment in Structures
Government Infrastructure Investment
| Deere & Company | July 2013
2009 OROA* Reconciliation to GAAP Equipment Operations
Equipment Operations
2009, as
Reported
Exclude Goodwill
Impairment &
Voluntary Employee-
Separation
2009, as
Adjusted
Net Sales 20,756 20,756
Average Identifiable Assets
With Inventories at LIFO 9,647 9,647
With Inventories at Standard Cost 10,950 10,950
Operating Profit 1,365 380 1,745
Percent of Net Sales 6.6% 8.4%
Operating Return on Assets
With Inventories at LIFO 14.1% 18.1%
With Inventories at Standard Cost 12.5% 15.9%
(millions of dollars unless stated otherwise)
55
* OROA: Operating Return on Operating Assets
| Deere & Company | July 2013
SVA* Reconciliation to GAAP Equipment Operations
Equipment Operations 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001
Net Sales 5,848 5,723 6,479 7,663 8,830 9,640 11,082 11,926 9,701 11,169 11,077
Average Identifiable Assets
With Inventories at LIFO 5,585 5,765 5,449 5,551 6,187 6,502 6,682 7,672 7,724 8,069 8,743
With Inventories at Standard Cost 6,702 6,846 6,442 6,494 7,131 7,488 7,703 8,711 8,739 9,039 9,678
Operating Profit 16 77 242 847 1,006 1,125 1,402 1,476 272 693 (46)
Percent of Net Sales 0.3% 1.3% 3.7% 11.1% 11.4% 11.7% 12.6% 12.4% 2.8% 6.2% -0.4%
Operating Return on Assets
With Inventories at LIFO 0.3% 1.3% 4.4% 15.3% 16.3% 17.3% 21.0% 19.3% 3.5% 8.6% -0.5%
With Inventories at Standard Cost 0.2% 1.1% 3.8% 13.0% 14.1% 15.0% 18.2% 16.9% 3.1% 7.7% -0.5%
SVA Cost of Assets (804) (821) (773) (780) (856) (898) (924) (1,045) (1,049) (1,085) (1,162)
SVA (788) (744) (531) 67 150 227 477 431 (776) (392) (1,208)
Equipment Operations 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Net Sales 11,703 13,349 17,673 19,401 19,884 21,489 25,803 20,756 23,573 29,466 33,501
Average Identifiable Assets
With Inventories at LIFO 6,229 5,965 6,482 7,248 7,546 8,092 9,652 9,647 9,196 11,516 13,594
With Inventories at Standard Cost 7,147 6,925 7,477 8,312 8,634 9,205 10,812 10,950 10,494 12,875 14,965
Operating Profit 401 708 1,905 1,842 1,905 2,318 2,927 1,365 2,909 3,839 4,397
Percent of Net Sales 3.4% 5.3% 10.8% 9.5% 9.6% 10.8% 11.3% 6.6% 12.3% 13.0% 13.1%
Operating Return on Assets
With Inventories at LIFO 6.4% 11.9% 29.4% 25.4% 25.2% 28.6% 30.3% 14.1% 31.6% 33.3% 32.3%
With Inventories at Standard Cost 5.6% 10.2% 25.5% 22.2% 22.1% 25.2% 27.1% 12.5% 27.7% 29.8% 29.4%
SVA Cost of Assets (858) (831) (897) (998) (1,036) (1,094) (1,284) (1,301) (1,259) (1,545) (1,795)
SVA (457) (123) 1,008 844 869 1,224 1,643 64 1,650 2,294 2,602
(millions of dollars unless stated otherwise)
56
* SVA: Shareholder Value Added