David Walker, Group Vice President - Global Borrowings, GMAC LLC Bank of America 2007 Credit...

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David Walker GVP of Global Borrowings Bank of America 2007 Credit Conference Orlando, Florida December 3, 2007 Contact GMAC Investor Relations at (866) 710-4623 or [email protected]

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Transcript of David Walker, Group Vice President - Global Borrowings, GMAC LLC Bank of America 2007 Credit...

Page 1: David Walker, Group Vice President - Global Borrowings, GMAC LLC Bank of America 2007 Credit Conference, Orlando Florida  December 3, 2007

David WalkerGVP of Global Borrowings

Bank of America 2007 Credit ConferenceOrlando, FloridaDecember 3, 2007

Contact GMAC Investor Relations at (866) 710-4623 or [email protected]

Page 2: David Walker, Group Vice President - Global Borrowings, GMAC LLC Bank of America 2007 Credit Conference, Orlando Florida  December 3, 2007

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Forward-Looking StatementsIn the presentation that follows and related comments by GMAC LLC (“GMAC”) management, the use of the words “expect,” “anticipate,” “estimate,” “forecast,” “initiative,” “objective,” “plan,” “goal,” “project,” “outlook,” “priorities,” “target,”“intend,” “evaluate,” “pursue,” “seek,” “may,” “would,” “could,” “should,” “believe,” “potential,” “continue,” or similar expressions is intended to identify forward-looking statements. While these statements represent our current judgment on what the future may hold, and we believe these judgments are reasonable, these statements are not guarantees of any events or financial results, and GMAC’s and ResCap’s actual results may differ materially due to numerous important factors that are described in the most recent reports on SEC Form 10-K for GMAC and Residential Capital, LLC (“ResCap”), each of which may be revised or supplemented in subsequent reports on SEC Forms 10-Q and 8-K. Such factors include, among others, the following: securing low cost funding to sustain growth for GMAC and ResCap and maintaining the mutually beneficial relationship between GMAC and General Motors Corporation (“GM”); our ability to maintain an appropriate level of debt; the profitability and financial condition of GM; restrictions on ResCap’s ability to pay dividends to us; recent developments in the residential mortgage market, especially in the nonprime sector; changes in the residual value of off-lease vehicles; the impact on ResCap of the continuing decline in the U.S. housing market; changes in U.S. government-sponsored mortgage programs or disruptions in the markets in which our mortgage subsidiaries operate; changes in our contractual servicing rights; costs and risks associated with litigation; changes in our accounting assumptions that may require or that result from changes in the accounting rules or their application, which could result in an impact on earnings; changes in the credit ratings of ResCap, GMAC or GM; changes in economic conditions, currency exchange rates or political stability in the markets in which we operate; and changes in the existing or the adoption of new laws, regulations, policies or other activities of governments, agencies and similar organizations. Investors are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. GMAC undertakes no obligation to update publicly or otherwise revise any forward-looking statements except where expressly required by law. A reconciliation of certain non-GAAP financial measures included within this presentation is provided in the supplemental charts.

Use of the term “loans” describes products associated with direct and indirect lending activities of GMAC’s global operations. The specific products include retail installment sales contracts, loans, lines of credit, leases or other financing products. The term “originate” refers to GMAC’s purchase, acquisition or direct origination of various “loan”products.

Page 3: David Walker, Group Vice President - Global Borrowings, GMAC LLC Bank of America 2007 Credit Conference, Orlando Florida  December 3, 2007

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GMAC

Operates as two reporting segments:•North American Operations•International Operations

Primary business activities:•Consumer Finance•Vehicle Remarketing Services•Automotive Commercial Finance

U.S. Residential Real Estate•Residential mortgages•Warehouse lending•Other real estate finance

Business Capital•Residential construction finance•Residential development equity•Model home finance•Resort finance

International Business

GMAC: A Diversified Company

Global Automotive

FinanceInsuranceResCap Other

Consumer Products•Physical damage and liability insurance for vehicles•Home owners insurance

Other Consumer Products•Extended service contracts•Mechanical breakdown coverage•Maintenance and roadside service coverage

Commercial Products•Automotive dealer inventory insurance•Property and casualty reinsurance

Commercial Finance•Asset based lending•Structured finance•Factoring•Health capital

Capmark•21% ownership of entity formerly known as GMAC Commercial Holdings

Other Corporate

Page 4: David Walker, Group Vice President - Global Borrowings, GMAC LLC Bank of America 2007 Credit Conference, Orlando Florida  December 3, 2007

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GMAC Ownership

51%

Equ

ity49% Equity

InvestorConsortium

GM sold a 51% controlling interest in GMAC to a Consortium led by Cerberus Capital Management, L.P. (“Cerberus”) on November 30, 2006

Page 5: David Walker, Group Vice President - Global Borrowings, GMAC LLC Bank of America 2007 Credit Conference, Orlando Florida  December 3, 2007

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2007 – Third Quarter Performance HighlightsQ3 2007 loss of $1.6 billion• Excluding ResCap, Q3 operating income* of $665 million, 51% above Q3 2006 • Loss driven by disappointing results at ResCap

Q3 2007 Auto Finance and Insurance results remain strong• Significant gains on sale drove favorable Auto Finance results, with stable underlying

fundamentals• Strong underwriting results continue to drive performance for Insurance

Results at ResCap reflect unprecedented disruptions in global capital markets• Implementing significant restructuring of mortgage operations as a result of fundamental

changes in the mortgage marketGMAC and ResCap maintained strong liquidity and capital positions in the quarter• Cash and certain marketable securities totaled $28.8 billion at the end of 9/30/07

– Of this total, ResCap held $6.5 billion, including $2.2 billion at GMAC Bank• GMAC injected $1 billion of capital into ResCap in Q3 2007• Owners converted $1.1 billion of GMAC preferred equity to common equity on 11/1/07

*Operating income/loss represents net income/loss excluding impairment charges related to goodwill and intangibles, net of applicable taxes

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Third Quarter Net Income

*Includes Commercial Finance operating segment and 21% ownership of our former commercial mortgage unit**Operating Income represents net income/loss excluding the after-tax impact of goodwill and intangible impairment charges of $455 million in Q3 2007 and $695 million in Q3 2006

($ millions) Q3 2007 Q3 2006Global Automotive Finance $519 $320Insurance 117 183Other* 29 (64)Operating income excluding ResCap** 665 439

ResCap (1,806) 83Consolidated operating income / (loss)** (1,141) 522Goodwill impairment (455) (695)Consolidated net income (loss) ($1,596) ($173)

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• Originations down year-over-year due to successful GM U.S. promotion in Q3 2006

• Continued growth in both diversified business and international

Originations

Credit Losses

Lease Residuals

Margins

• Delinquencies trending up in North America, but losses contained at near historical lows

• Residual performance remains strong compared to 2006 levels

• NAO margins stable, while IO margins remain under pressure

Auto Finance – Q3 2007 Key Metrics

Page 8: David Walker, Group Vice President - Global Borrowings, GMAC LLC Bank of America 2007 Credit Conference, Orlando Florida  December 3, 2007

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Auto Finance – Consumer Originations

($ billions)

Total Units (in 000s) 603 627 817 528 624 674 690

Q3 2007 new vehicle originations fell versus Q3 2006 levels despite growth in China and Latin America • Used vehicle originations continue to show year-over-year growth

$12.3 $12.9

$10.8$12.3

$14.0

$18.8

$14.5

$2.1$2.1$1.4$1.4$1.5$1.5

$2.3

Q1 '06 Q2 '06 Q3 '06 Q4 '06 Q1 '07 Q2 '07 Q3 '07

New

Used

Page 9: David Walker, Group Vice President - Global Borrowings, GMAC LLC Bank of America 2007 Credit Conference, Orlando Florida  December 3, 2007

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Auto Finance – Consumer Credit Quality

• Losses well within historical levels

Annualized credit losses as a % of average managed retail contracts

Delinquencies as a % of serviced retail assets30 days or more past due

• Q3 delinquencies increased due to both seasonal and economic factors

2005 2006 2007

2005 2006 2007

2.16%2.06%

2.34%2.40%

2.21%2.27%

2.47%2.41%

2.34%2.29%

2.53%

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

0.95% 0.91%1.09%

0.96%1.10%

0.97%1.12% 1.22% 1.13%

0.92% 1.02%

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

Page 10: David Walker, Group Vice President - Global Borrowings, GMAC LLC Bank of America 2007 Credit Conference, Orlando Florida  December 3, 2007

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GMAC Originate/Sell Auto Finance Model

• Unique origination platform

• Captive financing for GM’s subvented business

• Auto loan underwriting expertise

• Loan servicing expertise

GMAC

“Front-End”

Financial Institutions

“Back-End”

• Low cost of funds

• Balance sheet capacity

Page 11: David Walker, Group Vice President - Global Borrowings, GMAC LLC Bank of America 2007 Credit Conference, Orlando Florida  December 3, 2007

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Insurance – Q3 2007 Key Metrics

Written Revenue*

Underwriting Results

Investment Income

* Includes Written Premium

• Continued growth in international and reinsurance, partially offset by intense competition in U.S. insurance market

• Combined ratio of 95.3%, up over last year primarily due to weather-related losses; still competitively strong and illustrates continued underwriting discipline

• Portfolio yields remain solid and reflect larger allocation to high quality fixed income investments

Page 12: David Walker, Group Vice President - Global Borrowings, GMAC LLC Bank of America 2007 Credit Conference, Orlando Florida  December 3, 2007

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• Weakening credit and market illiquidity drove increased reserves, losses and write-downs

• Reduced origination volumes in response to liquidity challenges

• Homebuilders experienced additional stress as sales declined and cancellations increased

• Increased in provisions and related watch lists

• Abrupt credit-tightening in Europe increased funding costs and sharply depressed asset values despite stable credit performance

• Capital position eroded by net losses, partially offset by $1 billion equity injection

• Liquidity position significantly enhanced

U.S. Residential Finance

Business Lending

ResCap – Q3 2007 Key Metrics

International Business

Capital & Liquidity

Page 13: David Walker, Group Vice President - Global Borrowings, GMAC LLC Bank of America 2007 Credit Conference, Orlando Florida  December 3, 2007

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ResCap – Nonprime RiskFurther reduction of nonprime across all categories • Smaller HFS Q3 outstanding reflects lower originations and transfer of assets to HFI portfolio • HFI runoff was offset by the transfer of assets from HFS portfolio • Warehouse lending receivables declined 80% from the end of 2006

19%61%

20%

10% 62%

28%

12%88%

Warehouse Lending Receivables2

Total: $1.8 billionU.S. Loan Servicing Portfolio

Total: $427.4 billion

Held For SaleTotal: $15.0 billion

As of 9/30/07

Nonprime

Prime Conforming

Prime Nonconforming and Other1

1 Prime Nonconforming and Other includes Prime Nonconforming, Prime Second-Lien, and Government2 Prime Nonconforming data is not available for Warehouse Lending Receivables3 Total Held for Investment portfolio of $60.8 billion has been reduced by $39.0 billion of securitized loans where ResCap's economic risk is limited

19%

6%

75%

Held For Investment (excluding Securitized)Total: $21.7 billion3

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9.2% 9.1% 9.2% 9.0% 8.4% 8.3%9.2%

10.5%11.9%

14.0% 14.1%

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4%

0.7%

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

2005 2006 2007

• Increasing foreclosures, declining home prices and other factors continue to impact HFI portfolio, driving the provision for losses and loss allowances higher

• Delinquency level remained flat in comparison to Q2 2007

• Net charge-offs as a % of MLHFI increased to 0.7% in Q3 2007 due to increases in foreclosures and declining home prices

• Current loan loss allowance has increased to 2.85% compared to 2.71% in Q2 2007

ResCap - Held for Investment Portfolio - Credit Quality

* MLHFI – Mortgage Loans Held for Investment. The total MLHFI is $60.8 billion for quarter ended 9/30/07, $62.7 billion for quarter ended 6/30/07, $65.3 billion for quarter ended 3/31/07, $69.4 billion for 2006 & $69.0 billion for 2005 and is included in the balance sheet under the caption "Finance receivables and loans, net of unearned income"

Nonaccrual Loans as a % of total MLHFI *

Net charge-offs as a % of total MLHFI *

2005 2006 2007

Page 15: David Walker, Group Vice President - Global Borrowings, GMAC LLC Bank of America 2007 Credit Conference, Orlando Florida  December 3, 2007

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ResCap RestructuringAnnounced a major restructuring of mortgage operations

• Reduced and focused product offerings • Eliminating staff – approximately 3,000 positions or 25% with majority in 2007

– Reductions are in addition to the elimination of 2,000 positions announced earlier this year • Closing 50 sales and servicing locations• Shifting more towards direct consumer origination channels

Restructuring affects all three business units: • Domestic mortgage operations will focus on originating and servicing prime conforming and high-

quality jumbo product, leveraging GMAC Bank

• BCG will focus on middle market developers

• IBG will limit operations to markets with multiple sources to fund and sell assets

• Credit/risk management functions will be further strengthened across all three segments

As a result of workforce reductions, ResCap will incur restructuring charges of $90- $100 million, with majority of the charge in Q4 2007

Page 16: David Walker, Group Vice President - Global Borrowings, GMAC LLC Bank of America 2007 Credit Conference, Orlando Florida  December 3, 2007

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Funding Strategy – Liquidity vs. Cost

Today we are squarely in the lower left quadrant• Liquidity is King

Bear Bull

Liquidity / Cost Cost, Cost,Bull Balance Cost

GMACEnvironment

Liquidity, Liquidity, Liquidity / CostBear Liquidity Balance

2007

Market Environment

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Page 17: David Walker, Group Vice President - Global Borrowings, GMAC LLC Bank of America 2007 Credit Conference, Orlando Florida  December 3, 2007

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Global Liquidity at Q3

Increased cash balances to $28.8 billion at 9/30/07GMAC and ResCap have undertaken a number of actions to reduce liquidity risk

• Signed new secured facility for up to $21.4 billion– Replaces prior $10 billion facility

• Completed additional committed funding facilities of $3 billion excluding ResCap• Reduced originations of illiquid mortgage products• Accelerated “originate and sell” model for auto finance with auto whole loans and retail

securitizations, amounting to $11 billion in Q3

($ in billions) Liquidity at Quarter End*

*Cash plus cash equivalents and certain highly liquid marketable securities

$4.6

$24.4

$28.8

Dec-01

Jun-02

Dec-02

Jun-03

Dec-03

Jun-04

Dec-04

Jun-05

Dec-05

Jun-06

Dec-06

Jun-07

Page 18: David Walker, Group Vice President - Global Borrowings, GMAC LLC Bank of America 2007 Credit Conference, Orlando Florida  December 3, 2007

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Growth InitiativesEncouraging progress leveraging GM relationships and experience to facilitate growth of diversified wholesale and retail auto finance business• Maintaining our commitment to grow business with GM and GM dealers

• Enrolled 2,800 diversified dealers year to date to participate in National retail programs

• Posted over 50% year-over-year growth in used originations

Continuing profitable expansion overseas• Significant asset growth in Latin America due to successful product, pricing

and rate-repositioning initiative

• China revenue growth accelerating due to GMAC's increased country footprint now operating in 135 cities (516 retail and 448 wholesale dealers)

• Insurance launched new vehicle service contract products to target diverse dealer market

Page 19: David Walker, Group Vice President - Global Borrowings, GMAC LLC Bank of America 2007 Credit Conference, Orlando Florida  December 3, 2007

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Disappointing performance amidst global dislocation of mortgage and credit markets• Solid performances at Insurance and Auto Finance could not overcome

ResCap’s loss• ResCap losses driven by soft market for mortgage products in U.S. and

Europe as well as lack of market liquidity

Reshaping ResCap business model in response to fundamental changes in mortgage market• Simpler, more focused business model driven by distribution opportunities• Retaining scalable infrastructure to expand business when distribution for

higher-margin products becomes available

Liquidity, liquidity, liquidity

Summary

Page 20: David Walker, Group Vice President - Global Borrowings, GMAC LLC Bank of America 2007 Credit Conference, Orlando Florida  December 3, 2007

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Supplemental Charts

Page 21: David Walker, Group Vice President - Global Borrowings, GMAC LLC Bank of America 2007 Credit Conference, Orlando Florida  December 3, 2007

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Global Auto Finance: Managed to Serviced Assets

* Retail receivables included in whole loan sales and full securitization transactions where GMAC is no longer exposed to credit and/or interest rate risk

($ millions) 9/30/07 6/30/07 3/31/07 12/31/06 9/30/06On-balance sheet assets $54,717 $58,973 $60,773 $61,105 $65,962Off-balance sheet securitized assets 10,803 7,564 5,632 6,591 4,391 Managed assets 65,520 66,537 66,406 67,696 70,353 Whole loan sales* 21,398 19,179 19,657 19,354 19,683 Serviced assets $86,918 $85,716 $86,063 $87,050 $90,036

Retail Auto Finance

Supplemental