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DAVE METZ
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Transcript of DAVE METZ
DAVE METZ
Transportation Policy and Funding:What We Have Learned and
Where We Are GoingJune 26, 2013
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In focus groups, voters across the political spectrum describe the “future
of transportation” as one in which public transportation plays a more prominent
role.“There will be trains
everywhere..terminals where you can get everything.”
– Suburban Atlanta Democrat
“(I see) sleek, fast, quiet trains covering wide distances, going
through the countryside.” – Suburban Detroit swing voter
“There will be friendlier neighborhoods where you could walk…not disconnected streets.”
- Suburban Denver swing voter
“(Public transportation) would be a well oiled machine that would work smoothly and be reliable…
you would arrive when you’re supposed to.”
– Suburban Atlanta Democrat
“If you build it, they will come. (People) will use it.”
– Richmond Republican woman
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Only one in five Americans backs building new roads as the best solution
for traffic.
2012 National Voter Survey for NRDC
201220092007
201220092007
201220092007
201220092007
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
42%47%
49%
21%25%26%
20%20%21%
17%8%
4%
Which of the following proposals is the best long-term solution to reducing traffic in your area?
Improving public transportation
Developing communities where people do not have to drive as
much
Building new roads
All/None/DK/NA
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Americans do not feel they have options now, but would like them.
73%66%
23%32%
Agree Disagree
Strongly Agree42%
Strongly Agree56%
Strongly Disagree
17%
Transportation Statements
Data from a Smart Growth America survey conducted February 27-March 2, 2010
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But keep in mind they want an OPTION,
not a replacement; few can even imagine giving up a car.
Having a car is too expensive and too much trouble; I want to live
where I don’t need one as much.
Data from a Ford Foundation survey conducted by Harris Interactive 4 th quarter, 2010.
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Establishing a “fix-it-first” policy that focuses, as much as possible, on
maintaining our existing networks of roads, bridges, and public
transportation systems before building new ones.
Data from a Jan/Feb 2011 Hart Research/Public Opinion Strategies Poll
Series10%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
49%Strongly Favor
86%
In national polling the concept of “fix it” tests well.
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The Gap DC leaders:
Don’t believe there is a constituency for maintenance over new roads
Are unconvinced about the case for jobs
Are worried about over-reaching; they think it’s a time for practicality, not vision
Want concrete, low-cost, patently possible ways to move forward
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“Transportation infrastructure funding decisions are based more on politics than on need.”
Key Sub-Groups Strongly Agree
Men 62%Women 62%Urban Residents 58%Suburbanites 67%Rural Residents 54%Car Commuters 60%Non-Car Commuters 55%Do NOT Commute 65%
Total Agree85%
Total Disagree
13%
Don't Know 2%
62% Strongly Agree
As for the public, nearly everyone agrees that transportation funding decisions are politically-
driven.
July 2009 Greenberg/Public Opinion Strategies Poll
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II. Looking Forward to
Demographic Changes
14Data Collected by NALEO
Though growth in the population of Latino voters has lagged their population share,
it has also grown dramatically.
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49% of voters of color report using public transportation, biking or carpooling in the past month, compared to 32% of whites
A 51% majority of voters of color supports increasing public transportation as the best solution to traffic, compared to 41% of whites
84% of voters of color support local governments in their area investing more to expand and improve public transportation – including buses, trains, and light rail – compared to 65% of whites
This is good news for transportation, as communities of color evidence stronger
support for public transportation.
2012 National Voter Survey for NRDC
16MetLife Market Institute
Millennials are currently one-quarter of the US population, and a diverse
audience.
25%
All others75%
Share of Population
White60%
His-panic19%
African-American
14%
Asian/
Pa-cific Is-lan-der4%
Other
3%
Racial Distribution
Millennial
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Millennials are more likely than others to want more transit and less driving, but are less likely to say it is
not convenient.
2012 National Voter Survey for NRDC
Statement % Agree – All Voters
% Agree – Millennials
My community would benefit from an expanded and improved public transportation system, such as rail and buses.
64% 71%
I would like to spend less time in my car. 55% 66%
I would like to use public transportation more often, but it is not convenient to or available from my home or work.
61% 53%
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III. Support for New
Revenue
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Americans over-estimate what their state spends on public
transportation… If you had to guess, what proportion of every dollar your state spends on transportation would you estimate currently goes to improving and
maintaining public transportation – like buses or trains?
0-10%11-20%21-30%31-40%41-50%51-60%61-70%71-80%81-90%
91-100%
DK/NA/Ref0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%
35%14%
8%3%3%
1%1%1%
0%0%
36%
16.2%Average amount
among those offering an opinion
2012 National Voter Survey for NRDC
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…and still would like that proportion nearly doubled.
If you were in charge of your state’s transportation budget, what proportion of every dollar would you spend on improving and
maintaining public transportation – like buses or trains?
0-10%11-20%21-30%31-40%41-50%51-60%61-70%71-80%81-90%
91-100%
DK/NA/Ref0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%
21%11%11%
6%12%
2%1%1%
0%1%
34%
28.1%Average amount
among those offering an opinion
2012 National Voter Survey for NRDC
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However, even after citizens hear how little their state actually takes in in gas taxes, they remain averse
to an increase.How acceptable would you find a proposal to increase gas taxes by $.05 per gallon to fund improvements to roads, highways and public transit in your state?
Very acceptable
Somewhat acceptable
Not too acceptable
Not at all acceptable
DK/NA0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
18%
21%
18%
39%
4%
TotalNot Too/At All
Acceptable57%
TotalAcceptable
39%
2012 National Voter Survey for NRDC
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For focus group participants a gas tax was a clear non-starter.
The immediate and overwhelmingly negative reaction to a gas tax – evident also in recent polling – cannot be over-stated.
One Philadelphia area woman burst out “Oh dear God!” upon being queried about a gas tax, and the immediate reaction was immediate and negative across all the groups.
“There’s no alternative to gas at the moment. Once you have this beautiful
transportation infrastructure in place and driving is purely optional, then you could put a significant tax on [gas]. But for now
there’s no choice.” - Raleigh male
There was a strong sense that the timing for a gas tax increase is wrong -- when the price of gas is already so high and many feel it will go higher.
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Voters back systems that would require others to pay, but – at the national level – are leery of a broad-based approach like a
sales tax.
15. I am going to read you a list of specific proposals that have been made for funding transportation improvements in your community. Please tell me whether you would find it acceptable or unacceptable as a way of funding transportation improvements in your community. *Split Sample.
Funding Mechanism Accept-able
Unaccept-able
Create public-private partnerships so that developers and commercial land owners near new rail stops voluntarily agree to contribute to the cost of these rail lines and stops.
77% 16%
Creating toll systems to ensure that road and highway improvements are funded by the people who drive on them
58% 38%
*Increasing sales taxes by one-half of one cent 43% 52%
*Increasing sales taxes by one-quarter of one cent 41% 55%
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Voters have far more confidence in local government than state or federal government.
“Bailout fatigue” leads to greater voter support for public spending that will benefit them in tangible, local ways.
Most voters view transportation infrastructure as an economic investment.
So why did 79% of transit funding measures pass last November?
Though concerned about the economy, voters are becoming more confident about their personal financial situation.
Concern about tax rates remains relatively low.
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Stress the economic benefits of the measure in terms of job creation – both direct and indirect.
Make low per-household costs clear. Highlight specific, flagship projects that are locally
important.
Strategies for Local Revenue Success
Emphasize that funds will be spent locally – not at the state level.
Highlight fiscal accountability provisions – audits, oversight, public disclosure, sunset provisions, etc.
For more information, contact:
1999 Harrison St., Suite 1290Oakland, CA 94612
Phone (510) 451-9521Fax (510) 451-0384