Data Management as the Key to Prognostic Capability · Six-Sigma is achieved via incremental...

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Fly – Fight – Win Headquarters U.S. Air Force 1 Data Management as the Key to Prognostic Capability Mr. Russ Alford Warner Robins Air Logistics Center System Sustainment Division 13 Nov 2007

Transcript of Data Management as the Key to Prognostic Capability · Six-Sigma is achieved via incremental...

Page 1: Data Management as the Key to Prognostic Capability · Six-Sigma is achieved via incremental Good-enough's Start with the most unforgiving data sets Understand and Manage the impact

Fly – Fight – Win

Headquarters U.S. Air Force

1

Data Management as the Key to Prognostic

Capability

Mr. Russ AlfordWarner Robins Air Logistics Center

System Sustainment Division13 Nov 2007

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IT Strategy/Expeditionary Combat Support System (ECSS)IT Strategy/Expeditionary Combat Support System (ECSS)AF Smart Ops (AFSO21) Change Management (CM) AF Smart Ops (AFSO21) Change Management (CM) CapabilityCapability--Based Programming (CBP)Based Programming (CBP)

eLog21 Campaign Initiatives

Product Supportand Engineering

• Total Life Cycle System Management

• Prod Supt Camp• AAIP

• Condition Based Maintenance+

• Asset Marking and Tracking• Demand Management• Product Life Cycle Mgmt

Logistics EnterpriseArchitecture (LogEA)Logistics EnterpriseArchitecture (LogEA)

PortfolioManagement

PortfolioManagement

Air ForceData Strategy

Air ForceData Strategy

Performance ManagementPerformance Management

ARCHITECTURE & GOVERNANCE

Centralized Asset Management

Centralized Asset Management WorkforceWorkforceAgile Combat Support (ACS)/Assured ConnectivityAgile Combat Support (ACS)/Assured Connectivity

ENABLING PROCESSESENABLING PROCESSES AND TECHNOLOGYAND TECHNOLOGY

• Integrated Planning System (IPS/APS)

• AFFVESA, JPPC-AF, ACP-AF, NWC Consolidation

• Purchasing Supply Chain Management (PSCM)

• Next Gen Log Read Sdqn• Strategic Distribution• Weapon System Supply Chain

Management

Supply Chain Management

• WFHQ/ Agile Combat Support C2

• AF Common Operating Picture

• A4/7 COP• Decision Support Tools

Expeditionary Operations and C2

Maintenance, Repair and Overhaul

• Maintenance Strategic Plan

• Repair Enterprise 21• Single Off-Equip Net

• Re-engineering Depot Maintenance (DMT)

• AF Lean Maintenance Enterprise Integration

Global Log Supt Center

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Future Process Model

Seamless end-to-end supply chain operations delivering the right support, at the right price, in the right place, at the right time -- every time

Seamless end-to-end supply chain operations delivering the right support, at the right price, in the right place, at the right time -- every time

Integrated ProcessesIntegrated Processes

Optimized ResourcesOptimized Resources

Integrated TechnologyIntegrated Technology

Enterprise ViewEnterprise View

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Improve warfighter capability by transforming AF Logistics' business processes and leveraging ongoing initiatives & capabilities that IT can deliver today

Objectives

Establish near real-time modernized information system

Apply best commercial practices

Utilize COTS based solution

Plan and execute obsolete legacy retirement (~250 systems)

Increase equipment availability by 20%

Reduce annual O & S cost by 10%

ECSS Program Overview

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COTs Lessons Learned

Past COTs attempts have generally failed

Weak governance and functional oversight

Didn’t really understand the business processes

Little or no change management and training

Immature products & undercapitalized vendors

No incentives to implement

Data cleanup effort under appreciated & under valued

Limited testing and test environment

Same lessons observed in Industry MUST ADDRESS TO SUCEED MUST ADDRESS TO SUCEED

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Maintenance Data Collection

Data is collected to serve a process not just to collect dataEngineering and Product DataProduction and QualitySupply Chain

Maintenance data quality is poor but so is all of our dataFat fingering, discipline, lack of edits, interfaces

Maintenance data is underutilized – mostly reactiveMissing key elements e.g. IUID and depot inputsProcesses do not drive to use of data e.g. engineering

Near and Long term efforts underway to address maintenance data

This problem and solutions are not limited to maintenance data

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Data Improvement Initiatives

Understanding the Problem:AFMLA and AFMC/A4 conducting a studies on mx & supply data to help guide the clean up of legacy data

Addressing Fat fingers:IT driven improvements are/will help improve near term collection e.g. CAMS GUI, POMX, REMIS Edit rehosting

Addressing DisciplineIUID Implementation will address serialization needs Product Life Cycle Management (PLM) initiative addresses product data clean up and conversion ECSS dramatically changes production & quality data

ERPs demand a significantly more disciplined data approach than anything we have ever done

Addressing UtilizationD&SWS Life Cycle System Engineering – Sustainment is driving a relook at what we collect and how we use it

Predictive use – RCM, Condition Based Maintenance, et al

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AFLMA Near Term Efforts

AFMLA Data integrity study of IMDS & REMISBounding and prioritizing the quality issues Developing repeatable process to support ECSSCapturing the functional impact of data quality issuesBenchmarking the level or effort to identify, recommend and act on data quality issuesDefining remediation criteria (Fix-Now, Fix prior to or during ECSS Migration, Fix after migration to ECSS)

Focus on Metrics DataIdentify near-term process or technology improvements in reporting accurate status and utilization informationAddress lead-time ECSS data migration issues

Collaborating with ECSS on a common method and toolbox

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The AIT Enabled Data Collection

AIT eliminates the need to collect the what (item/part, IUID, location, time, date, description, quantity, etc.)

The human in the loop captures the how (receipt, shipment, removal, install, disposal, etc.)

The technology feeds the airman information vs. the airman feeding the technology data

Manufacturers/Suppliers

Transportation/Supply/Theater

Depots/TDCsPOEs/PODsDistribution

Centers/Depots Customers

PASSIVE ACTIVE PASSIVE

Minimizes human inputs: Data is captured not entered

Bar CodeBar Code

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Product Life Cycle Management (PLM)

Centralized Data Management for:TOsBOMsDrawingsIllustrated Part break-downRepair Manuals & ProceduresKey Performance ParametersRequirements & Specifications Interchanges and Substitutions

Standardizes Data Management Processes across commodities

Stores data for root-cause and product improvement analysis and planning

Demands AF & OEM Integration and digital technical data vs. paper

MRO

Design

CollaborationSupply

Chain

Collaborat

ion

OEM

Collaborat

ion

Workflow &Process

Management

Secure Access Control

ProductStructure

ConfigurationManagement

Product DataVault

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ECSS Legacy Deconstruction

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ECCS Impact on Data Collection

Deconstruction and Transformation

ECSS must be initialized with clean data from the legacy environment

Not all data for ECSS is equal

Not all Legacy Data will be Migrated

99.9999 should be the long-term quality goal

Six-Sigma is achieved via incremental Good-enough's

Start with the most unforgiving data sets

Understand and Manage the impact of quality compromises

Fix the process and the data

Manage Functionals and IT by Metrics

Clean data is an Air Force ResponsibilityClean data is an Air Force Responsibility

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Technical Control & Management: Technical & Design Reviews, Architecture, Tech Maturation/DEMO, Tech Measurements (KPP, TPM, Metrics), Decision Analysis, Certifications, Ops Monitoring, Deficiency Reporting, Training.Inspection & Maintenance: RCM Updates, FEMCA Updates, Reviews, TO Updates (-6 & -06), Workspec & MRRB Updates, CBM+, Prognostics, RAM, System Monitoring, System Performance Analysis.

Systems Engineering

Weapon System Integrity

Individual Aircraft ManagementIndividual Aircraft Management

LCSE (Pre-Milestone C)

System Mgt, Requirements Mgt, Verification &

Validation, Technical Control & Mgt, Configuration Mgt, SOR & SOS Certification,

Planning, Design, Risk Mgt, Inspection & Maintenance

FSIPAVSIP PSIP

MECSIP ASIP

OtherHSI, AIP & MFOUQA, MQ&A, MOSA, CSI, System Safety, etc

Transition Planning

LCSE (Post Milestone C)

System Mgt, Requirements Mgt, Verification &

Validation, Technical Control & Mgt, Configuration Mgt, SOR & SOS Certification,

Planning, Design, Risk Mgt, Inspection & Maintenance

Current Life Cycle Systems Engineering

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Weapon System Integrity Programs (WSIP): ASIP, FSIP, ENSIP, MECHSIP, AVSIP, and Individual Aircraft Tracking (IAT)Technical Control & Management: Technical & Design Reviews, Architecture, Tech Maturation/DEMO, Tech Measurements (KPP, TPM, Metrics), Decision Analysis, Certifications, Deficiency Reporting, and Training.Inspection & Maintenance: Reviews, TO Updates (-6 & -06), PDM Work Specifications, and MRRB Updates

Systems Engineering

LCSE (Pre-MS C) System Mgt, Requirements

Mgt, Verification & Validation, Technical Control & Mgt,

OSS&E, Configuration Mgt, SOR & SOS Certification,

Planning, Design, Risk Mgt, Inspection & Maintenance

PLM

OtherHSI, AIP & MFOUQA, MQ&A, MOSA, CSI, System Safety, etc

Transition Planning

LCSE-SCBM+, RAM, WSIP, Prognostics (RUL/SLA), Diagnostics

Monitoring, EAVI, R&M System Performance Metrics, ELMP & FSMP, RCMA/FEMCA, and Corrective Actions

or New Requirements

LCSE (Post-MS C)System Mgt, Requirements

Mgt, Verification & Validation, Technical Control

& Mgt, Configuration Mgt, SOR & SOS Certification,

Planning, Design, Risk Mgt, Inspection & Maintenance

Life Cycle Systems Engineering with LCSE-SPOMX, IETM, ECSS MRO (IFS),

Data Workbench (EPAE), Prognostics Toolkit,

AIT/AMT, CAM,MFOQA

Initiatives with strong interfaces/links with LCSE-S: Notional

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Life Cycle Systems Engineering -Sustainment

Represents the integration of eLog21 and AFSO21

Process Improvements and Objectives for:Product Lifecycle ManagementCondition Based Maintenance Plus/ PrognosticsWeapon System Performance AnalysisWeapon System Performance Improvement

Defines data needs and metricsKey EventsEvent ThresholdsSensors and ControllersMRO Data

Drives Engineering Analysis

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Systems Engineering - Current State

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Monitor - Current StateCore – Process Map (How is the data monitored?)

Understand System

Perform ace Requirements

Review FMECA for Potential

Failure Points

Determine How Sub-System Must Perform to Meet Requirements

Determine Which Characteristics are

Indicators of Performance

Determine/Set UCL/LCL on

Characteristics

Transfer to Auto Form

Determine How to Measure

Characteristics

Provide Reports to

Users/Mngrs

ID Transmission

Means

ID Data Destination Transmit Data Store Data Retrieve Data Analyze Data

Validate

Critical Aspects?

Auto or Manual

Collection?

Can We Measure?

Is Performan

ce w/in Limits?

Input into SE Process

ID Transmission

Means

ID Data Destination Transmit Data Store Data

•Compare Actual Performance to Predicted/Reqd•ID Patterns/Trends•Predict Future Events (Failures/Demands)•List Analysis Tools

YES

NO

A

M

YES

YES

NO

Allocates Requirements

NO

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Monitor - Future StateCore – Process Map (How is the data monitored?)

Obtain System Performance

Reqs

Digitize

Transmit Data Analyze Data

Input into SE Process

Provide Reports to Users/ Managers

Automated or

Manual Data?

Perf/ Trends

w/in Limits?

Use Common Automated tool to determine criticality

(FMECA) which characteristics are indicators of performance, upper and lower bounds, and if

it is measurable

ID transmission means, data destination, transmit data,

store data in automated system

Validate (Automated)

Use Tool to retrieve data and ask appropriate/ meaningful questions

Decompose System

Requirements

Compare actual performance to predicted

requirements from system performance

requirements

Use automated method for identifying patterns/trends

and to predict future events (failures/demands)

ID Critical Components

(FMECA)

ID Critical Characteristics (Measurable)

Set Bounds (U/L)

Change to digital format utilized by automated

systems

Provide Reports to Users/ Managers

YES

NO

A

M

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Summary

Improved Maintenance Data Collection is being addressed by:Transformation

Life-cycle Systems Engineering – SustainmentCondition Based MaintenanceIUID

Technology EnablersAIT (Near-Term)PLM ( Near-Term & Long-Term)ECSS (Long-Term)

AnalysisAFLMA (Near-Term)ECSS Legacy Deconstruction and Migration (Near-Term)

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QuestionsQuestions

Briefings/PMR Dunn 9Mar0420