Data description Peter Shaw. One variable or many? In your research you will almost certainly end up...
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Transcript of Data description Peter Shaw. One variable or many? In your research you will almost certainly end up...
Data description
Peter Shaw
One variable or many?In your research you will almost certainly end up measuring many different things:‘Survey the plants’ means collecting 10-50 columns of data‘Analyse the soil’ means 5-10 variables‘take body measurements’ means 5-30 variables.
This lecture is essentially about how to explore each of those variables, one by one, to tell a reader about the range or distribution of values it contains. This tells a reader about how important the variable is and what sort of tests may be run on it (P or N-P?).
But this does not treat your dataset as a unified object.There is a powerful branch of data description called Ordination, which is essentially asking for a description of ALL variables at the same time.
Things to do with data:
This is an infinite morass of statistical techniques, but one fundamental division is paramount and must be understood.
DESCRIPTIVE <---------------------> INFERENTIAL Descriptive statistics aim to condense out the useful/important essence
of a (usually large) body of data. Calculate an average, plot a graph showing the range of values etc.
Inferential statistics requires that the user sets up a formal hypothesis,
then invokes a procedure which ends up with a probability value by which the hypothesis may be judged.
Why bother with data descriptions?
Standard format:AbstractIntroductionMethodsResults
DiscussionReferences
I have lost count of the number of times that students have got this far then dived straight into the fancier analyses – Correlations or Anovas usually, without bothering to tell the reader anything about the data they are analysing.
Standard format:AbstractIntroductionMethodsResults
DiscussionReferences
1: Describe your data: units, indications of typical values + variability.
2: Analyse relationships within your data
General ground rules:
1: What do the data mean, What are the units? 2: Eyeball it! 3: Summon up the formal
procedures, by PC or calculator
Pb, ppm in white
Paint exposed
on a nursery door
16207
14833
29524
18436
26236
Graphing data This is a huge topic, entire
books have been written. One unifying point: A good graph is the best
way to present data.
I am going to show you several histograms today.
These show the distribution of values within a dataset.
Number of observations
Size of value
What could you want to know about a dataset? In order of decreasing likelihood: What magnitude of numbers are
you dealing with? What sort of spread have you got? What is the nature of the
distribution of results? ?other? (your turn!)
Magnitude summaries
In plain English, what sort of values am I dealing with?
In statspeak, you require Measures of Central Tendency
There are 3 such measures you need to learn, of which 2 are actually useful! Mean Median Mode
Mode
This is simply the commonest occurrence in the data. Most real datasets don’t have a mode, as all values are different.
As such, the Mode is easily the least useful technique for data description, but is always mentioned in the books so you may as well learn it!
Pb, ppm in whitePaint exposedon a nursery door1620714833295241843626236
Median
This is the middle of the dataset, defined as the point below which half the data points lie, and above which half the data lie.
How to find it: Sort data into ascending order 1..N If N is odd, median is the (N+1)/2th value If N is even, median is half way between
(N/2)th and ((N/2)+1)th value
Pb, ppm in white
Paint exposed
on a nursery door
14833
16207
18436 median
26236
29524
Median, contd
The median is an under-rated tool, often preferable to the more widely used mean, because it gives a sensible answer whatever the shape of data distribution
It is a special case of a more general descriptive technique known as centiles.
The median is the 50th centile of a dataset, meaning that 50% of the data points lie below it.
The Mean
The ‘Mean’ is the name given by statisticians to what everyone else calls the ‘average’! Often given symbol μ.
Easy to calculate: add up the numbers and divide by N
μ=Σx/N Your calculator should have this built in as a
stats function It is often NOT the middle of the data. This
happens when data are asymmetrically distributed
Number of observations
Size of valueMean and medianabout the same
A symmetrical distribution
Size of valueMedian
An asymmetrical distribution.Note that the mean ismisleading here
Mean
Number of observations
Size of value
Distribution A
Number of observations
Size of value
Distribution B
Two data sets. In which one are you more likely to guess the next value correctly?
This leads onto..Measures of dispersion These are indicators of how tightly
clumped data are. There is a proliferation of such
indices, but they divide into 2 families: Non-parametric, based on centiles Parametric, based on variance and
giving rise to standard deviations etc.
Centiles 1: sort data into ascending
order (this is a PC job for big datasets)
2: To get the 25th centile, find the number below which 25% of the data lie
3: To get the 75th centile, find the number below which 75% of the data lie, etc
UNSORTEDMore paint PbData, ppm27343404500046411620714833151516672952418436262367255580010588946263685122658568464143
SORTEDPaint Pb Data, ppm1: 15152: 16673: 27344: 34045: 4143***25th centile here6: 46417: 50008: 51229: 580010: 6368*** 50th centile = median here11: 658512: 684613: 725514: 946215: 10588***75th centile here16: 1483317: 1620718: 1843619: 2623620: 29524
The inter-quartile range
Is the difference between the 25% and 75% centiles of a distribution.
This means that is is the range covered by the middle half of the data.
Number of observations
Size of value
25th 50th 75th
Interquartile range
Boxplots
These are under-rated, but extremely helpful tools for examining the distribution of data.
0
50
100
median
25th centile
75th centile
Highest value
Lowest value
Standard deviations and all that.. The parametric family of measures of dispersion have
messy-looking formulae, but luckily are easily obtained from calculators or PCs
They are based on a measure misleadingly called the sum of squares of the data (SS).
The origin of SS is as follows: For each data point Xi calculate (Xi - mean)*(Xi - mean) [This square >=0 ]
Add up all these squares = SS
Formula: SS = Σi(xi - μ)2
Luckily there is a simpler(?) formula SS = Σi(xi
2) – (Σixi * Σixi) /N
Mean
X1
X2
X3
0
500
1000
Variance etc
Having got the Sum of Squares Variance is the mean value of SS
Variance = SS/N (an alternative formula also used:
Variance = SS / (N-1) This estimates the variance of the whole
population, while /N gives variance just for the sample taken.
Geographers tend to prefer Variance = SS/N
Biologists tend to prefer Variance = SS/(N-1)
Standard deviation
Is the square root of variance This has the useful property that sd has the same
units as the raw data and will be commensurate with the interquartile range. (Roughly, for typical data, the IQR= 2* sd)
Because there are 2 ways to calculate variance, there are 2 s.d.s
Sd = (SS/N)1/2. This is labelled σ on many calculators
or
Sd = (SS/(N-1))1/2. This is labelled s on many calculators
How to use your calculator Why is he telling me this – I
already know?! OK then, what’s this hierarchy? +- < */ < Yx < () Use this to calculate
123*456+789*112 (109*256+103*876)/(22*44+89*78)
The solution to the ‘grains of rice on a chessboard’ problem is 264-1 (ie 2*2*2………..….*2 –1), which is?
Stats modeon yourcalculator
If you have buttons saying N, Σx, sd then your machine has stats functions
This means it has special registers called N, Σx and Σx2, which keep running totals as you enter data.
Put into stat mode Enter the number 7 by hitting the Σ or M+ or Xi button Optional, but for your education find the contents of the special
registers (Kout or recall)
N =1, Σx = 7, Σx2 = 49 Enter the number 2 Now you find that N =2, Σx = 9, Σx2 = 53 Now the Mean button will give you the mean 4.5, the sd buttons
the sds (2.5 sd/n, 3.53.. /n-1). Easy!
Your turn! Water content of heathland soils, %
8.53 17.53 39.14 32.00 20.53 21.07 26.20 23.80 12.53 20.80 31.33 28.87 14.00
For the numbers listed here
Find mean, median, mode,and interquartile range
Find both standard deviations, by your calculator’s inbuilt functions or by the formulae:
SS = Σi(xi2) – (Σixi * Σixi) /N
Then Sd = (SS/N)1/2. or
Sd = (SS/(N-1))1/2
LOI
90.0
85.0
80.0
75.0
70.0
65.0
60.0
55.0
50.0
45.0
40.0
35.0
30.0
25.0
20.0
15.0
10.0
5.0
20
10
0
Std. Dev = 27.97
Mean = 29.3
N = 69.00
LOGLOI
1.88
1.75
1.63
1.50
1.38
1.25
1.13
1.00
.88
.75
.63
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
Std. Dev = .44
Mean = 1.26
N = 69.00
Often real data don’t follow the Normal curve but are skewed – here organic content in heath soils
Try log-transforming the data. Here the same data after calculating log of the numbers – not perfect, but clearly more symmetrical
Distribution shape
How to decide about normality? Inspect histogram + fitted
normal curve. Inspect a cumulative “P-P
curve” with predicted normal distribution
Run the Kolgomorov-Smirnov test
Normal P-P Plot of LOI
Observed Cum Prob
1.00.75.50.250.00
Exp
ect
ed
Cu
m P
rob
1.00
.75
.50
.25
0.00
Normal P-P Plot of LOGLOI
Observed Cum Prob
1.00.75.50.250.00
Exp
ect
ed
Cu
m P
rob
1.00
.75
.50
.25
0.00
One-Sample Kolmogorov-Smirnov Test
69 69
29.2806 1.2603
27.9695 .4409
.217 .086
.217 .080
-.183 -.086
1.804 .716
.003 .685
N
Mean
Std. Deviation
Normal Parameters a,b
Absolute
Positive
Negative
Most ExtremeDifferences
Kolmogorov-Smirnov Z
Asymp. Sig. (2-tailed)
LOI LOGLOI
Test distribution is Normal.a.
Calculated from data.b.
The Kolmogorov-Smirnov test examines whether data can be assumed to come from a chosen distribution – here the normal.
LOI is almost certainly NOT normally distributed
LogLOI may or may not be normal, but the test tells us that its deviations from normality would occur 7 times in 10 in randomly chosen normal data
Kolmogorov test in SPSS
Typical SPSS – does the same test in 2 ways in different bits of menu structure and uses different algorithms to assess significance. I use the basic version
Analyse – non parametric stats – 1 sample KS
But it also hides under
Analyses – descriptive statistics – explore – plots then click the box labelled “Normality plots with tests”. This well-hidden version uses a modified significance test (Lilliefor’s correction), which really threw me the first time I met it!