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•Daily Operations Briefing August 13, 2012

As of 8:30 a.m. EDT

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Significant Activity: August 10-13 Significant Events: None

Tropical Activity:

• Atlantic – Area 1 (Remnants of TD Seven; Low/10%); Area 2 (Invest 93L; Low/10%)

• Eastern Pacific – Tropical Storm Hector; Area 1 (Invest 95E; Low/20%)

• Central Pacific – No tropical cyclones are expected through Tuesday evening

• Western Pacific – No tropical cyclones affecting U.S. territories

Significant Weather:

• Slight risk of severe thunderstorms lower OH Valley southward across lower MS Valley

• Monsoonal moisture and heat across Southwest

• Critical Fire Weather Areas – None

• Red Flag Warnings: ID; Excessive Heat: CA & AZ

• Space Weather: No space weather occurred/predicted

Earthquake Activity: No significant activity U.S.; M6.4/6.3 Iran’s Eastern Azerbaijan Province

Disaster Declaration Activity:

Amendment No. 3 to FEMA-4067-DR-CO

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Atlantic – Tropical Outlook

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Atlantic – Area 1 (Remnants of TD Seven)

As of 8:00 a.m. EDT

• Tropical wave, the Remnants of Tropical

Depression Seven, moving over the Central

Caribbean Sea producing disorganized

showers and thunderstorms from Central

Caribbean northward and northeastward to

Hispaniola

• Environmental conditions are not expected to

be conducive for regeneration

• This system has a low chance (10%) of

becoming tropical cyclone again during the

next 48 hours as it moves westward near 20

mph.

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Atlantic – Area 2 (Invest 93L) As of 8:00 a.m. EDT

• Shower activity remains limited in association

with a broad area of low pressure located

about 1,200 miles west-northwest of the Cape

Verde Islands.

• Any development of this system is expected to

be slow to occur during the next couple of

days, although environmental conditions could

become more conducive after that time.

• System has a low chance, 10 percent, of

becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48

hours as it moves west-northwestward at

around 20 mph.

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http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_epac.shtml

This product is updated at approximately 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and 11 PM PDT from May 15

to November 30. Special outlooks may be issued as conditions warrant.

Eastern Pacific – Tropical Outlook

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Eastern Pacific – Tropical Storm Hector

As of 5:00 a.m. EDT

• Located about 55 miles south-southwest of Socorro island

or about 345 miles south southwest of southern tip of Baja

California Mexico

• Moving west at 7 mph

• A gradual turn west-northwest with slight decrease in

forward speed is expected during next couple of days

• Max sustained winds have decreased near 40 mph, with

higher gusts

• Little change in strength is forecast next 48 hours

• Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 115 miles

• No hazards to land

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Eastern Pacific – Area 1 (Invest 95E) As of 8:00 a.m. EDT

• Weak area of low pressure located near

coast of Mexico about 175 miles southeast

of Acapulco continues to produce showers

and thunderstorms

• Some development is possible during the

next couple of days if system remains

offshore

• System has a low chance (20%) of

becoming a tropical cyclone during next 48

hours as it moves west-northwestward at

10 mph.

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Central Pacific – Tropical Outlook

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http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/noaa/noaad1.pdf

Daily: 0400 a.m. and 1600

National Weather Forecast

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http://www.nws.noaa.gov/largemap.php

Active Watches/Warnings

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Precipitation Forecast 1 – 3 Day

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/d13_fill.gif

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http://water.weather.gov/ahps/forecasts.php?current_color=flood&current_type=all&fcst_type=fcst&conus_map=d_map

River Flood Outlook – 7 Day

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Convective Outlook Days 1 – 3

Day 1 Day 2

Day 3

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Critical Fire Weather Areas Days 1 – 8

Day 1 Day 2

Day 3-8

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MAP: http://origin.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/hazards_d3_7.png

TEXT: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/threats_ie.php

Hazard Outlook: August 13 – 17

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http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/aviation/index.html http://spaceweather.com/

www.spaceweather.com

http://www.swpc.noaa.n/index.html

http://

Space Weather

NOAA Scales Activity Range 1 (minor) to 5 (extreme)

Past 24 Hours Current Next 24 Hours

Space Weather: None None None

• Geomagnetic Storms None None None

• Solar Radiation Storms None None None

• Radio Blackouts None None None

HF Communications Impact Sunspot Activity

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Earthquake Activity – U.S.

• No Significant Activity

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Earthquake Activity – International Northwestern Iran

• M6.4 Earthquake

• August 11, 2012 at 8:23 a.m. EDT

• Followed by M6.3 earthquake 11 minutes

later

• 12 miles WSW of Ahar, Iran

• 37 miles ENE Tabriz, Iran

• Depth: 6.2 miles

• Numerous aftershocks reported

• UN reporting approximately 300 deaths,

approximately 2,000 injured and 17,000

people in need of humanitarian assistance

• Iran Crescent Society has sufficient

resources to meet current needs

• No request for humanitarian assistance

(USGS,OFDA)

Epicenter

Iraq Iran

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US Wildland Fire Preparedness Levels

As of August 12, 2012

National Preparedness Level: 4 Three or more Geographic Areas are experiencing incidents requiring Type 1 and 2 IMTs. Competition exists between Geographic Areas.

Nationally, 60 percent of Type 1 and 2 IMTs and crews are committed..

PL 3

PL 4

PL 3

PL 4

PL 3

PL 1 PL 5

Minimal Extreme

PL 5

PL 1

PL 2

PL 1

PL 2

PL 3

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August 13, 2012:

• National Preparedness Level: 4

• Initial Attack Activity: Light (157)

• New Large Fires: 4

• Large Fires Contained: 8

• Uncontained Large Fires: 59

• Area Command Teams committed: 1

• NIMOs committed: 2

• Type 1 IMT(s) committed: 6

• Type 2 IMT(s) Committed: 11

• States Affected: ID, UT, AZ, CA, NV, OR,

MT, OK, TX, WY

National Fire Activity

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Western Wildfire Summary Fire Name (County)

FMAG # Acres burned % Contained Evacuations

(Type) Structures

Threatened Structures Destroyed

Fatalities / Injuries

Montana (2)

Rosebud Complex

(Rosebud County) Not Requested

▲ 171,444

(-3,380) ▲ 92% (+24) No 0 4 0/0

Elbow Pass Complex

(Lewis & Clark Co) Not Requested 17,454 0% ▲ No None 0 0/0

California (2)

Chips Fire

(Plumas County) Not Requested

▲ 31,720

(+13,031) ▲ 12% (-4)

Yes

(Voluntary)

600 residences/

36 outbuildings/

4 commercial

0 0/0

Wye Fire

(Lake County) Not Requested 5,000 5%

Yes

(Mandatory)

150 residences/

2 businesses 0 0/0

Nevada (2) Bullrun Complex

(Brown’s Gulch Fire)

(Elko County) Not Requested

▲ 58,394

(+55,994) 15% ▲ No 8 2 0/7

Indian Creek Fire

(Lander County) Not Requested

▲ 2,800

(+2,300) ▲ 90% (+90) No ▲ 12 0 0/0

Utah (1) Pinyon Fire

(Utah County) Not Requested ▲ 5,771 (+87)

▲ 100%

(+70) ▲ No ▲ 0 0 0/0

Idaho (1) Minidoka Complex

(Sawtooth NF) Not Requested 92,511 44% No 240 3 0/0

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Wye Fire (Lake County), CA Fire

Name Location

Acres

burned

%

Contained Est. Full Containment FMAG

Structures Lost /

Threatened

Fatalities /

Injuries

Wye Lake County 5,000

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Unknown Not Requested 0/152 0 / 0

• Began Sunday, Aug 12 due to lightening

• 150 homes and 2 businesses threatened

• Mandatory evacuation ordered for Spring Valley, CA (pop. 845)

• 400 residents evacuated

• One shelter open in Clearlake Oaks – population unknown

• Two (2) 100KV high voltage transmission lines threatened

• CAL IMT en route and will assume command this morning

• Lake County OES representative on scene

• CAL EMA Northern Region representative en route

• FMAG has not been requested; Region IX monitoring Lake County

Spring Valley

Sacramento

Clearlake Oaks

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Disaster Requests & Declarations

Declaration Requests in Process Requests APPROVED

(since last report)

Requests DENIED

(since last report)

1 Date Requested 0 0

FL – DR (Appeal) Severe Storms and Flooding August 6, 2012

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Declaration

Amendment Number

Effective

Date Amendment Action

Amendment No. 3 to

FEMA-4067-DR-CO August 8, 2012 Appoints Gary R. Stanley, of FEMA, as FCO

Disaster Amendments

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FMAG Requests and Declarations

Action (since last report) Total FMAG No. and State

Requests DENIED 0

Requests APPROVED 0

Requests Expected Next 24 Hours 0 None as of 1200 8/9/12

As of August 9, 2012 2012 2011*

FMAGs Approved 30 90

FMAGs Denied 13 27

* Cumulative FMAG figures as of this date in 2011

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Deployed Detailed Available Not Available Total

17 0 17 3 37

OFDC Cadre Member Status

Total Available Type 1 Type 2 Type 3 Type 4

20* 3* 11 4 2

As of: 08/10/12

* All Type 1 FCOs are available unless deployed to a Level 1 event

Positions On Board Available Deployed Pending Hire

10 4 3 1 1

Federal Coordinating Officer

Federal Disaster Recovery Coordinator

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Open Field Offices as of August 13, 2012

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Joint Preliminary Damage Assessments Number of Counties

Region State Event IA/PA Requested Ongoing Complete Begin/End

IV TN Severe Storms & flooding

August 5 – 6, 2012 IA 3 3 0

Began: 8/10

End: TBD

V MN Severe Storms/High Winds

July 2 – 4, 2012 PA

5 counties

2 tribes

5 counties

2 tribes 0

Began: 7/25

End: TBD

VI OK Wildfires

July 30, 2012 & continuing IA 4 3 1

Began: 8/9

End: TBD

VII NE Wildfires

July 20 – 30, 2012

IA Withdrawn 0 0 Begin: 8/13

End: 8/16 PA 4 0 0

X WA Severe Storms

July 13 – 20, 2012

IA 2 0 2 Began: 8/1

Ended: 8/4

PA 3 0 3 Began: 8/7

Ended: 8/9

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MCOV Fleet / Deployment Status

Fully Mission Capable 57

Partially Mission Capable 0

Non-Mission Capable 0

Total Not Deployed 55

MCOV FLEET STATUS MCOV DISASTER SUPPORT DEPLOYMENTS

Location Units

Assigned

Available

FMC

Deployed

Committed PMC NMC DR-State OPCON

En

Route Unit Prep

Open

Request Notes:

DC Atlanta 21 19 2 0 0 R4-FL-4068 2 0 0

DC Cumberland 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0

DC Ft Worth 15 15 0 0 0 0 0 0

DC Moffett 6 6 0 0 0 0 0 0

Holliston, MA 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0

Denver, CO 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0

Bothell, WA 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0

TOTAL 57 55 2 0 0 TOTAL 2 0 0 0

Included in above totals, units

en route for turn-in.

Data as of: 08/12/12 @ 1500

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Mission Status

State Total

Deployed

Operational

Mobile DRCs

Pending

DRCs

Awaiting

Assignment

Command and

Control Maintenance

R4-FL-4068 2 0 0 2 0 0

TOTAL 2 0 0 2 0 0

Operational Disaster Recovery Center – Vehicles currently supporting DRC operations Pending DRC – Vehicles scheduled to support DRC operations Awaiting Assignment – Vehicles deployed - awaiting or in-between missions Command and Control – Vehicles supporting a non-Individual Assistance mission Maintenance – Vehicles deployed, but requiring maintenance

MCOV Operational Status

Data as of: 08/12/12 @ 1500

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Active IA Disasters

AL

4052-DR

1971-DR

AZ AR

CA

CO

FL

ID

IL

1991-DR

IN

IA

1998-DR

KS

LA

ME

MA

4028-DR

1994-DR

WI

MN

MO

MT

NE

NV

NM

NY

NC

4019-DR

1969-DR

ND

OH

OR

SC

SD

TN

4060-DR

1979-DR

1974-DR

TX

4029-DR

UT

VA

WA

WY

DE MD

KY

4057-DR

4008-DR

1976-DR

OK

1989-DR

1970-DR

GA

1973-DR

AR

4000-DR

1975-DR

MO

4012-DR

1980-DR

VT

4022-DR

4001-DR

1995-DR ND

1981-DR

MS

MT

1996-DR

NE

4013-DR

SD

1984-DR

PR

4040-DR

4017-DR

NY

4031-DR

4020-DR

NH

4026-DR

PA

4030-DR

4025-DR

VA

4042-DR

NJ

4021-DR

CT

4023-DR

WV

MS

1983-DR

1972-DR

# of DRs Legend

Open Registration Period (60 days from Declaration,

unless extended)

IHP Active – IHP Assistance period remains open

(18 Months from Declaration)

IHP Closing Within 60 Days

1

44

0 Data as of: 08/12/12 @ 1500

IN

4058-DR WV

4059-DR

4061-DR

MI

FL

4068-DR

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IA Registration Statistics

Cumulative as of August 12, 2012 @ 1500

DR # - State Registrations Approved

Applicants

Total HA

Approved

Total ONA

Approved

Total IHP

Approved

4068 – FL 14,615 5,321 $17,473,000 $2,402,510 $19,875,510

Totals 14,615 5,321 $17,473,000 $2,402,510 $19,875,510

72 hour change +208 +108 +$268,845 +$30,448 +$299,293

NPSC Call Data for August 10, 2012

Total NPSC Calls Answered (Helpline + Registration Intake) 1,148

Average time to answer call 11 seconds

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IHP Referral Status & Awards

Data includes the 45 IHP Active DRs

# Max Grants = Applicants awarded maximum IHP ($30,200 as of FY2012) Data as of: 08/12/12 @ 1500

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Housing Inspection Statistics

* Only displaying inspectors for DRs that currently have open registration periods

Data as of August 12, 2012 @ 1600

DR # - State Inspectors Inspections

Assigned

Inspections

Completed

Inspection %

Complete

Turnaround Time

(Days)

4068 – FL 18 11,825 11,714 99.1% 1.7

TOTAL 18 11,825 11,714 99.1% 1.7

72 hour change -6 +175 +290 +1.0% -0.0

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IMAT Status National Teams

Team Status Team Status Team Status

BLUE (East)

WHITE (Central)

RED (West)

Regional Teams

Team Status Team Status Team Status

Region I Region V Region IX-1

Region II Region VI-1 Region IX-2

Region III VA Region VI-2 Region X

Region IV-1 Region VII

Region IV-2 FL Region VIII MT

= Assigned/Deployed

= Out-of-Service

= Available/Mission Capable

= Available/Partially Mission Capable

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Urban Search & Rescue INCIDENT SUPPORT TEAMS (Red-White-Blue) – Monthly On Call Rotation

JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC

WEST CENTRAL EAST

Team Status Team Status Team Status

CA-TF1 Available AZ-TF1 Available FL-TF1 Available

CA-TF2 Available CO-TF1 Available FL-TF2 Available

CA-TF3 Available IN-TF1 Available MA-TF1 Available

CA-TF4 Available MO-TF1 Available MD-TF1 Available

CA-TF5 Available NE-TF1 Available NY-TF1 Available

CA-TF6 Available NM-TF1 Available PA-TF1 Conditionally

Available

CA-TF7 Available NV-TF1 Conditionally

Available VA-TF1 Available

CA-TF8 Available TN-TF1 Conditionally

Available VA-TF2 Available

WA-TF1 Available TX-TF1 Available OH-TF1 Available

UT-TF1 Available

= Assigned/Deployed

= Out-of-Service

= Available/Mission Capable

= Available/Partially Mission Capable

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Region RRCC Regional Watch Center

I Watch/Steady State Maynard MOC (24/7)

II Watch/Steady State 24/7

III Watch/Steady State 24/7

IV Watch/Steady State 24/7

V Watch/Steady State 24/7

VI Watch/Steady State Denton MOC (24/7)

VII Level III (Monitoring 24/7) 24/7

VIII Level III (7:30 am - 5:00 pm MDT, M-F) Denver MOC (24/7)

IX Watch/Steady State 24/7

X Watch/Steady State Bothell MOC (24/7)

RRCC / Regional Watch Center Status

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National Team Status

Team/Status Current Location Remarks

National Watch Center Washington, DC Watch/Steady State

NRCC Washington, DC Not Activated

HLT Miami, FL Activated

DEST Washington, DC Not Activated

Mission Capable Partially Mission Capable Not Mission Capable

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Regional Comparison – as of August 13, 2012

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