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•Daily Operations Briefing Wednesday, August 7, 2013

As of 8:30 a.m. EDT

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Significant Activity: Aug 6 – 7 Significant Events:

• Flooding – Kansas & Missouri

Tropical Activity:

• Atlantic – Area 1

• Eastern Pacific – Hurricane Henriette

• Central Pacific – Post-Tropical Cyclone Gil

• Western Pacific – No activity threatening U.S. territories

Significant Weather:

• Slight risk of severe thunderstorms – Central/Southern Plains; Ohio Valley to Great Lakes

• Flash flooding – Central Plains to Tennessee Valley

• Critical Fire Weather Areas: OR & ID

• Red Flag Warnings: OR, CA & AK

• Space Weather: No storms occurred past 24 hrs; none predicted next 24 hrs

Earthquake Activity: No significant activity

Declaration Activity: None

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Updates at 2:00 am/pm and 8:00 am/pm EDT

Atlantic – Tropical Outlook

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Atlantic – Area 1

As of 8:00 a.m. EDT

• Cloudiness & showers associated with weak area of

low pressure

• Moving West into Eastern Caribbean Sea

• Conditions forecast to be unfavorable for development

• LOW chance (0%) of becoming a tropical cyclone

during next 48 hours

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http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_epac.shtml

This product is updated at approximately 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and

11 PM PDT from May 15 to November 30. Special outlooks may be

issued as conditions warrant.

Eastern Pacific – Tropical Outlook

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Eastern Pacific – Hurricane Henriette

As of 5:00 a.m. EDT (Advisory 16)

• Located 1,425 miles E of Hilo, Hawaii

• Moving WNW at 10 mph

• This motion expected to continue through tonight

followed by turn toward W on Thurs

• Max sustained winds 85 mph

• Little change in strength expected next 24 hours;

weakening forecast by Thurs

• Hurricane force winds extend 25 miles; tropical storm

force winds extend 80 miles

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http://www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl/cphc/

This product is updated at approximately 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and

11 PM PDT from May 15 to November 30. Special outlooks may be

issued as conditions warrant.

Central Pacific – Tropical Outlook

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Central Pacific – Post-Tropical Cyclone Gil

As of 11:00 p.m. EDT (Advisory 31 - FINAL)

• Located 935 miles ESE of Hilo, Hawaii

• Moving WNW at 7 mph

• Maximum sustained winds 30 mph

• No longer a tropical cyclone

• Last Public Advisory

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http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/noaa/noaad1.pdf

National Weather Forecast

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Active Watches/Warnings

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/largemap.php

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http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/d13_fill.gif

Precipitation Forecast Days 1-3

DAY 1

DAY 2

DAY 3

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http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Excessive Rainfall Outlooks

Day 1 Day 2

Day 3

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http://water.weather.gov/ahps/forecasts.php?current_color=flood&current_type=all&fcst_type=fcst&conus_map=d_map

River Forecast – 7 Day

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http://water.weather.gov/ahps/forecasts.php?current_color=flood&current_type=all&fcst_type=fcst&conus_map=d_map

Significant River flood Outlook

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http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Convective Outlooks Days 1 – 3

Day 1 Day 2

Day 3

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http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/fire_wx/fwdy1.html

Critical Fire Weather Areas Days 1 – 8

Day 1

Day 3-8

Day 2

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http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/threats_ie.php

Hazard Outlook: August 9 – 13

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www.spaceweather.com

http://www.swpc.noaa.n/index.html

http://

Space Weather

NOAA Scales Activity Range 1 (minor) to 5 (extreme)

Past 24 Hours Current Next 24 Hours

Space Weather Activity: None None None

• Geomagnetic Storms None None None

• Solar Radiation Storms None None None

• Radio Blackouts None None None

HF Communication Impact Sunspot Activity

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/drap/global.html http://spaceweather.com/

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Flooding – Kansas & Missouri Situation

• Torrential rain and major flash flooding occurred Aug 3-4 in KS & Aug 5-6 in MO

▲Near record-breaking rainfall occurred in southwestern MO

• Minor to moderate flooding occurring or forecast

Missouri

▲Severe storms possible next 24 hours; 2-4 inches of rain, winds & large hail forecast

▲Newburg (Phelps County): creek rose 2 ft in one hour, expected to rise 5.5 ft today

▲Evacuations ongoing for 200-300 people; 100 homes & businesses damaged

▲Waynesville (pop. 4,830) (Pulaski County): mandatory evacuations; 75 homes reported

flooding; numerous water rescues; 1 confirmed fatality

▲ 2 shelters open overnight with 13 occupants (NSS 0400 EDT Aug 7)

▲Governor declared State of Emergency on Aug 6

▲MO EOC activated to Level 1 (Monitoring) 24/7 until further notice

Kansas

▲Additional 2-4 inches of rainfall expected next 72 hours

• Hutchinson (Reno County) hardest hit; 150 residents of eldercare facility evacuated

▲ 15 counties declared local county declarations

• No shelters open; no mandatory evacuations in effect

• KS EOC activated to Watch Level (Monitoring); will remain activated until Aug 9

FEMA Response

• Region VII RRCC is at Level III with ESF-15

• No requests for FEMA assistance Waynesville, MO Middle School

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ridge2/RFC_Precip/

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SPC Storm Report – August 6

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U.S. Wildland Fire Preparedness Levels

As of August 6, 2013

National Preparedness Level: 3 Description: Two or more Geographic Areas are experiencing wildland or prescribed fire activities requiring a major commitment

of national resources. Additional resources are being ordered & mobilized through the National Interagency Coordination Center

(NICC). Type 1 & Type 2 Incident Management Teams (IMT) are committed in two or more Geographic Areas & crew

commitment nationally is at 50 percent.

PL 4

PL 3

PL 2

PL 3

PL 2

PL 1 PL 5

Minimal Extreme

PL 2

PL 2

PL 1

PL 1

PL 1

PL 3

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http://activefiremaps.fs.fed.us/lg_fire2.php

As of Aug 7, 2013:

• National Preparedness Level: 3

• Initial Attack Activity: Light (119 new fires)

• New Large Fires: 2

• Large Fires Contained: 0

• Uncontained Large Fires: 24

• Area Command Teams committed: 0

• NIMOs committed: 1

• Type 1 IMT(s) Committed: 3

• Type 2 IMT(s) Committed: 11

National Fire Activity

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Wildfire Summary

Fire Name

(County) FMAG #

Acres

burned

% Contained Est. Containment

date

Evacuations

(Residents)

Structures

Threatened Structures Destroyed

Fatalities /

Injuries

Oregon (1)

Douglas Complex (Douglas County)

FEMA-5037-FM-OR

July 28, 2013

40,135

(+1,729) 17% Mandatory 545 4 0/6 (+1)

California (1)

Falls Fire (Riverside County)

FEMA-5040-FM-CA

August 6, 2013

1,416

(-84)

30%

(+30) Mandatory 310 (-740) 2 (+2) 0/0

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Disaster Requests & Declarations

Declaration Requests in Process Requests

APPROVED (since last report)

Requests DENIED

(since last report)

3 Date Requested 0 1

AZ – DR Yarnell Hill Fire Request: July 9, 2013

Amend: July 12, 2013

San Carlos Apache Tribe – Power Outage July 12, 2013 Denied

August 5, 2013

PA – DR Severe Storms, Straight-line Winds, Tornadoes, Flooding

and Mudslides

July 25, 2013

WI – DR Severe Storms, Flooding, and Mudslides August 1, 2013

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Open Field Offices as of August 7, 2013

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Deployed Detailed Available Not Available Total

25 2 9 1 37

OFDC Cadre Member Status

Total Available Type 1 Type 2 Type 3 Type 4

11* 2 5 2 2

As of: 08/5/2013

* All Type 1 FCOs are available unless deployed to a Level 1 event

Deployed Available Pending Hire On Board Positions

7 2 1 9 10

Federal Coordinating Officer

Federal Disaster Recovery Coordinator

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MCOV Fleet / Deployment Status

Fully Mission Capable 50 Partially Mission Capable 0 Non-Mission Capable 5 Total Not Deployed 55

MCOV FLEET STATUS MCOV DISASTER SUPPORT DEPLOYMENTS

Location Units

Assigned Available

FMC Deployed

Committed PMC Unavailable DR-State OPCON

En

Route Unit Prep

Open

Request Notes:

MERS Maynard 3 1 0 0 2 0 0 0

MERS Frederick 8 8 0 0 0 0 0 0

MERS Thomasville 14 13 0 0 1 0 0 0

DC Ft Worth 20 18 0 0 2 0 0 0

MERS Denver 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0

MERS Bothell 4 4 0 0 0 0 0 0

Sacramento 4 4 0 0 0 0 0 0

TOTAL 55 50 0 0 5 TOTAL 0 0 0 0

Included in above totals, units in route for turn-in. 0 0

Data as of: 08/06/13 @ 1500

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Active IA Disasters - Referral Status & Awards

Data as of: 08/06/13 @ 1500 # Max Grants = Applicants awarded maximum IHP ($31,900 as of FY 2013)

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IA Registration Statistics

IA Registrations and IHP Amounts as of August 6, 2013 @ 1500

DR/EM # - State Registrations Approved

Applicants Total HA Approved

Total ONA

Approved Total IHP Approved

4116 - IL 93,916 60,814 $129,465,829 $20,893,171 $150,359,000

4117 - OK 14,968 3,476 $9,486,050 $4,209,779 $13,695,829

4122 - AK 345 223 $958,204 $1,238,940 $2,197,144

Totals 109,229 64,513 $139,910,083 $26,341,890 $166,251,973

24 hour change +263 +132 +$476,094 +$115,735 +$591,828

NPSC Call Data for August 5, 2013

Total Calls Answered (Help Line + Registration Intake) 4,026

Average time to answer call 15 seconds

Maximum / Minimum time to answer a call 1 minute, 1 second / 10 seconds

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Housing Inspection Statistics

Inspection Data as of August 6, 2013 @ 1500

DR # - State Inspectors Inspections

Assigned

Inspections

Completed

Inspection %

Complete

Turnaround Time

(Days)

4116 - IL 36 89,872 88,998 99.03% 1.7

4117 - OK 7 8,053 7,965 98.91% 1.9

4122 - AK 1 359 342 95.26% 2.8

TOTAL 44 98,284 97,305 99.00% 1.7

24 hour change +8 +311 +187 -0.12% 0.0

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Workforce Type Total Available To

Deploy Deployed

Committed To

Other Activities

or Exempt from

Deployment

Operational Readiness

Reservist 6,359 3,541 (53%) 2,159 (35%) 659 (12%) Mission Capable

Cadre of On-Call Response

Employees (CORE) 2,562 991 (40%) 1,563 (60%) 8 (0%) Mission Capable

Permanent Full Time (PFT) 4,992 2,011 (40%) 489 (10%) *2,492 (50%) Mission Capable

FEMA Corps 309 0 (0%) 168 (54%) 141 (46%) Mission Capable

DHS Surge Capacity Force 3,876 1,622 (40%) 0 (0%) ** 2,254 (60%) Awaiting DHS/FEMA Activation

Workforce Totals 18,098 8,165 (45%) 4,379 (24%) 5,554 (31%)

= <70% Deployed/Mission Capable = 70% - 79% Deployed/Partially Mission Capable

= >80% Deployed

= >80% Committed to Other Activities- Awaiting DHS/FEMA Activation

FEMA Workforce Status Report

Data as of 8/6/13

*This number will continue to be refined as Directorates/Regions identify and solidify the number

of personnel required to support “mission critical home station”, and Emergency Relocation Group personnel

**Deployable based on FEMA’s need for DHS activation

Employees may be committed to other activities or exempt from deployment based on: leave status, training, travel related issues, or

personnel status as ERG or mission critical home station employee

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IMAT Status National Teams

Team Status Team Status Team Status

Blue/White East West

Regional Teams Team Status Team Status Team Status

Region I Region V Region VIII ND/SD/SRST*

Region II Region VI-1 OK Region IX-1

Region III Region VI-2 AR Region IX-2

Region IV-1 Region VII Region X

Region IV-2 *SRST – Standing Rock Sioux Tribe

= Assigned/Deployed

= Not Mission Capable

= Available/Mission Capable

= Available/Partially Mission Capable

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Urban Search & Rescue INCIDENT SUPPORT TEAMS (Red-White-Blue) – Monthly On Call Rotation

JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC

WEST CENTRAL EAST

Team Status Team Status Team Status

CA-TF1 Available AZ-TF1 Available FL-TF1 Available

CA-TF2 Available CO-TF1 Available FL-TF2 Available

CA-TF3 Available IN-TF1 Available MA-TF1 Available

CA-TF4 Available MO-TF1 Available MD-TF1 Available

CA-TF5 Available NE-TF1 Available NY-TF1 Available

CA-TF6 Available NM-TF1 Non-operational PA-TF1 Conditionally

Available

CA-TF7 Available NV-TF1 Conditionally

Available VA-TF1 Available

CA-TF8 Available TN-TF1 Available VA-TF2 Available

WA-TF1 Available TX-TF1 Available OH-TF1 Available

UT-TF1 Available

= Assigned/Deployed = Out-of-Service

= Available/Mission Capable = Available/Partially Mission Capable

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Region RRCC Regional Watch Center

I Watch/Steady State Maynard MOC (24/7)

II Watch/Steady State 24/7

III Watch/Steady State 24/7

IV Watch/Steady State 24/7

V Watch/Steady State 24/7

VI Watch/Steady State Denton MOC (24/7)

VII Level III 24/7

VIII Watch/Steady State Denver MOC (24/7)

IX Watch/Steady State 24/7

X Watch/Steady State Bothell MOC (24/7)

RRCC / Regional Watch Center Status

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National Team Status

Team/Status Current Location Remarks

National Watch Center Washington, DC Watch/Steady State

NRCC Washington, DC Not Activated

HLT Miami, FL Activated

DEST Washington, DC Not Activated

Mission Capable Partially Mission Capable Not Mission Capable

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