D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

192
“D” is for Debacle The Crucial Story of 25(OH)D www.thefatemperor.com 2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Transcript of D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Page 1: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

“D” is for DebacleThe Crucial Story of 25(OH)D

www.thefatemperor.com2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Page 2: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

A Thank-You to Some Experts:Prof. Michael HolickEndocrinologist and Professor of Medicine, Physiology and Biophysics. Currently director at Boston University Medical Center. Internationally recognized expert on all aspects of vitamin D.

Dr. Edward GorhamAssociate Professor in the Department of Family and Preventive Medicine at the University of California

Prof. Robert P Heaney Clinical Endocrinologist, Professor of Medicine and John A. Creighton University Professor Emeritus, Creighton University School of Medicine. Internationally recognized expert on vitamin D.

Dr. Cedric F Garland Adjt Prof. Family and Preventative Medicine, Division of Epidemiology, University of San Diego. Internationally recognized expert on the disease implications of vitamin D.

Dr. Chris MasterjohnPhD in Nutritional Science and Assistant Professor of Health and Nutrition Sciences at Brooklyn College.

Dr. Bruce Hollis PhDProfessor of Pediatrics, Biochemistry and Molecular Biology at The Medical University of South Carolina as well as the Director of Pediatric Nutritional Sciences. Vitamin D research for the past 35 years and has published >200 peer reviewed articles.

Prof. Reinhold ViethProfessor in the Department of Nutritional Sciences, and the Department of Laboratory Medicine and Pathobiology, University of Toronto. Internationally recognized expert on the clinical nutrition of vitamin D as well as its pharmacology and safety.

Dr. David Grimesconsultant Gastroenterologist at Blackburn Hospital in the UK. Expert in Vitamin D for the developing foetus and the implications for infections, diabetes, heart disease, liver disease and Crohn's disease.

Page 3: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Prelude

1. The Centrality of the Sun2. 25(OH)D – The Creation3. 25(OH)D – The Power4. 25(OH)D – The Human Cost5. Anatomy of a Debacle6. The Solution

Epilogue

Q&A

The “D”ebacle Content:

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) C(Eng) MIEI

Page 4: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Prelude1. The Centrality of the Sun2. 25(OH)D – The Creation3. 25(OH)D – The Power4. 25(OH)D – The Human Cost5. Anatomy of a Debacle6. The Solution

Epilogue

Q&A

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) C(Eng) MIEI

Page 5: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

The Literature is Exploding

Page 6: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Prelude – Critical Human Hormone

D3 – The Hormone Precursor

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

• “Vitamin” D3 (Cholecalciferol) is the hormone-precursor molecule required to synthesize 25(OH)D

• This is the crucial element provided mostly by UVB light on skin, but can be taken in supplement form & diet

Page 7: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

• 25(OH)D is the pre-hormone substrate.

• Is produced in the Liver from D3 Cholecalciferol

• Enabled us to leave the seas, and a lot more besides

• Is used all over the body for critical functions

• An analogy might be “Ammunition Pack”

Prelude – Critical Human Hormone

25(OH)D – The Pre-Hormone

D3 – The Hormone Precursor

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

• “Vitamin” D3 (Cholecalciferol) is the hormone-precursor molecule required to synthesize 25(OH)D

• This is the crucial element provided mostly by UVB light on skin, but can be taken in supplement form & diet

Page 8: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

• 25(OH)D is the pre-hormone substrate.

• Is produced in the Liver from D3 Cholecalciferol

• Enabled us to leave the seas, and a lot more besides

• Is used all over the body for critical functions

• An analogy might be “Ammunition Pack”

• 1,25 (OH)2 D is the active Hormone

• Is produced in the Kidney and elsewhere from 25(OH)D

• Is at 1000x lower concentration than 25(OH)D

• An analogy might be “precision bullet”1,25 (OH)2 D – The Active Form

Prelude – Critical Human Hormone

25(OH)D – The Pre-Hormone

D3 – The Hormone Precursor

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

• “Vitamin” D3 (Cholecalciferol) is the hormone-precursor molecule required to synthesize 25(OH)D

• This is the crucial element provided mostly by UVB light on skin, but can be taken in supplement form & diet

Page 9: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Prelude – The Implications of Low…

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) C(Eng) MIEI

Page 10: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) C(Eng) MIEI

Prelude – The Implications of Low…

USA25(OH)D

Distribution(NHANES III Seasonal Sampling)

Page 11: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

~70% of US Population Insufficient ( 15 Years Previously was ~50% )

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) C(Eng) MIEI

Prelude – The Implications of Low…

USA25(OH)D

Distribution(NHANES III Seasonal Sampling)

Page 12: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) C(Eng) MIEI

~70% of US Population Insufficient ( 15 Years Previously was ~50% )

Prelude – The Implications of Low…

RequiresEngineering

USA25(OH)D

Distribution(NHANES III Seasonal Sampling)

Page 13: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

RequiresEngineering

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) C(Eng) MIEI

RICKETS

Prelude – The Implications of Low…

USA25(OH)D

Distribution(NHANES III Seasonal Sampling)

Page 14: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Prelude

1. The Centrality of the Sun2. 25(OH)D – The Creation3. 25(OH)D – The Power4. 25(OH)D – The Human Cost5. Anatomy of a Debacle6. The Solution

Epilogue

Q&A

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Page 15: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Skin Pigmentation Hypotheses – to ~40kYrs ago

EvolutionaryDrivers

LOSS OF BODY HAIR (~1M Yrs ago)• Striding Bipedalism• Sweat Gland System• Whole Body Cooling• Critical Brain Cooling

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) C(Eng) MIEI

~1 million years…

Page 16: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Skin Pigmentation Hypotheses – to ~40kYrs ago

EvolutionaryDrivers

• Skin generally non-pigmented

• Hairless areas pigmented

• Sun Protection Robust Overall

• Vitamin D accessed via Grooming, as for dogs etc

• Captive animals require D Supplementation!

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) C(Eng) MIEI

LOSS OF BODY HAIR (~1M Yrs ago)• Striding Bipedalism• Sweat Gland System• Whole Body Cooling• Critical Brain Cooling

~1 million years…

Page 17: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Skin Pigmentation Hypotheses – to ~40kYrs ago

EvolutionaryDrivers

• Skin generally non-pigmented

• Hairless areas pigmented

• Sun Protection Robust Overall

• Vitamin D accessed via Grooming, as for dogs etc

• Captive animals require D Supplementation!

Hair Loss – Key Downside:• Human Origin had Equatorial Sun • Ubiquitous powerful UV penetrates to Blood Vessels

and damages Folate (photolysis) • Lack of folate causes Neural Tube Birth Defects• Other Reproductive Impacts from excessive UV• Also need to protect hugely increased Sweat Gland

System from damageAnd 25(OH)D Synthesis?

• Equatorial Sun still provides adequate amounts of UV in spite of pigmented skin

• Engineering “Tradeoff” thus achieved

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) C(Eng) MIEI

LOSS OF BODY HAIR (~1M Yrs ago)• Striding Bipedalism• Sweat Gland System• Whole Body Cooling• Critical Brain Cooling

~1 million years…

Page 18: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Skin Pigmentation Hypotheses – to ~40kYrs ago

EvolutionaryDrivers

• Skin generally non-pigmented

• Hairless areas pigmented

• Sun Protection Robust Overall

• Vitamin D accessed via Grooming, as for dogs etc

• Captive animals require D Supplementation!

Hair Loss – Key Downside:• Human Origin had Equatorial Sun • Ubiquitous powerful UV penetrates to Blood Vessels

and damages Folate (photolysis) • Lack of folate causes Neural Tube Birth Defects• Other Reproductive Impacts from excessive UV• Also need to protect hugely increased Sweat Gland

System from damageAnd 25(OH)D Synthesis?

• Equatorial Sun still provides adequate amounts of UV in spite of pigmented skin

• Engineering “Tradeoff” thus achieved

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

LOSS OF BODY HAIR (~1M Yrs ago)• Striding Bipedalism• Sweat Gland System• Whole Body Cooling• Critical Brain Cooling

~1 million years…

Page 19: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Skin Pigmentation Hypotheses – to ~40kYrs ago

EvolutionaryDrivers

• Skin generally non-pigmented

• Hairless areas pigmented

• Sun Protection Robust Overall

• Vitamin D accessed via Grooming, as for dogs etc

• Captive animals require D Supplementation!

Hair Loss – Key Downside:• Human Origin had Equatorial Sun • Ubiquitous powerful UV penetrates to Blood Vessels

and damages Folate (photolysis) • Lack of folate causes Neural Tube Birth Defects• Other Reproductive Impacts from excessive UV• Also need to protect Homo Sapiens’ hugely

increased Sweat Gland System from damageAnd 25(OH)D Synthesis?

• Equatorial Sun still provides adequate amounts of UV in spite of pigmented skin

• Engineering “Tradeoff” thus achieved

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

LOSS OF BODY HAIR (~1M Yrs ago)• Striding Bipedalism• Sweat Gland System• Whole Body Cooling• Critical Brain Cooling

~1 million years…

Page 20: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Skin Pigmentation Hypotheses – to ~40kYrs ago

EvolutionaryDrivers

• Skin generally non-pigmented

• Hairless areas pigmented

• Sun Protection Robust Overall

• Vitamin D accessed via Grooming, as for dogs etc

• Captive animals require D Supplementation!

Hair Loss – Key Downside:• Human Origin had Equatorial Sun • Ubiquitous powerful UV penetrates to Blood Vessels

and damages Folate (photolysis) • Lack of folate causes Neural Tube Birth Defects• Other Reproductive Impacts from excessive UV• Also need to protect Homo Sapiens’ hugely

increased Sweat Gland System from damageAnd 25(OH)D Synthesis?

• Equatorial Sun still provides adequate amounts of UV in spite of pigmented skin

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

LOSS OF BODY HAIR (~1M Yrs ago)• Striding Bipedalism• Sweat Gland System• Whole Body Cooling• Critical Brain Cooling

~1 million years…

Page 21: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Skin Pigmentation Hypotheses – to ~40kYrs ago

EvolutionaryDrivers

• Skin generally non-pigmented

• Hairless areas pigmented

• Sun Protection Robust Overall

• Vitamin D accessed via Grooming, as for dogs etc

• Captive animals require D Supplementation!

Hair Loss – Key Downside:• Human Origin had Equatorial Sun • Ubiquitous powerful UV penetrates to Blood Vessels

and damages Folate (photolysis) • Lack of folate causes Neural Tube Birth Defects• Other Reproductive Impacts from excessive UV• Also need to protect Homo Sapiens’ hugely

increased Sweat Gland System from damageAnd 25(OH)D Synthesis?

• Equatorial Sun still provides adequate amounts of UV in spite of pigmented skin

• Engineering “Trade-off” thus achieved

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

LOSS OF BODY HAIR (~1M Yrs ago)• Striding Bipedalism• Sweat Gland System• Whole Body Cooling• Critical Brain Cooling

~1 million years…

Page 22: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Skin Pigmentation Hypotheses –~30-40k Yrs to present

EvolutionaryDrivers

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Migration from Equator• Increasing weakness of UVB• Use of Clothing increases• Adaptive Pressure Deployed• Fishing Ability Offsets

<40k years…

Page 23: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

EvolutionaryDrivers

• Skin Heavily Pigmented

• Protection Robust Overall

• Vitamin D synthesis adequate

• Trade-off Optimised

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Migration from Equator• Increasing weakness of UVB• Use of Clothing increases• Adaptive Pressure Deployed• Fishing Ability Offsets

Skin Pigmentation Hypotheses –~30-40k Yrs to present

<40k years…

Page 24: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

EvolutionaryDrivers

• Skin Heavily Pigmented

• Protection Robust Overall

• Vitamin D synthesis adequate

• Trade-off Optimised

Trade-offs change with Latitude:• Studies strongly link available UV on Earth’s surface

to indigenous Skin Coloration• Increasing Loss of Vitamin D Synthesis as we leave

Equator – combined with poor nutrition, Rickets and many other issues ensue – we’ll look at those shortly

• In Northern Hemisphere particularly severe effect• Acknowledgement: alternative hypotheses suggest

many things: “simply lost pigmentation because unneeded” etc)

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Migration from Equator• Increasing weakness of UVB• Use of Clothing increases• Adaptive Pressure Deployed• Fishing Ability Offsets

Skin Pigmentation Hypotheses –~30-40k Yrs to present

<40k years…

Page 25: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

EvolutionaryDrivers

• Skin Heavily Pigmented

• Protection Robust Overall

• Vitamin D synthesis adequate

• Trade-off Optimised

Trade-offs change with Latitude:• Studies strongly link available UV on Earth’s surface

to indigenous Skin Coloration• Increasing Loss of Vitamin D Synthesis as we leave

Equator – combined with poor nutrition, Rickets and many other issues ensue – we’ll look at those shortly

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Migration from Equator• Increasing weakness of UVB• Use of Clothing increases• Adaptive Pressure Deployed• Fishing Ability Offsets

Skin Pigmentation Hypotheses –~30-40k Yrs to present

<40k years…

Page 26: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

EvolutionaryDrivers

• Skin Heavily Pigmented

• Protection Robust Overall

• Vitamin D synthesis adequate

• Trade-off Optimised

Trade-offs change with Latitude:• Studies strongly link available UV on Earth’s surface

to indigenous Skin Coloration• Increasing Loss of Vitamin D Synthesis as we leave

Equator – combined with poor nutrition, Rickets and many other issues ensue – we’ll look at those shortly

• In Northern Hemisphere particularly severe effect• Acknowledgement: alternative hypotheses suggest

many things: “simply lost pigmentation because unneeded” etc)

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Migration from Equator• Increasing weakness of UVB• Use of Clothing increases• Adaptive Pressure Deployed• Fishing Ability Offsets

Skin Pigmentation Hypotheses –~30-40k Yrs to present

<40k years…

Page 27: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

EvolutionaryDrivers

• Skin Heavily Pigmented

• Protection Robust Overall

• Vitamin D synthesis adequate

• Trade-off Optimised

Trade-offs change with Latitude:• Studies strongly link available UV on Earth’s surface

to indigenous Skin Coloration• Increasing Loss of Vitamin D Synthesis as we leave

Equator – combined with poor nutrition, Rickets and many other issues ensue – we’ll look at those shortly

• In Northern Hemisphere particularly severe effect• Note: alternative hypotheses suggest many things:

“simply lost pigmentation because unneeded” etc

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Migration from Equator• Increasing weakness of UVB• Use of Clothing increases• Adaptive Pressure Deployed• Fishing Ability Offsets

Skin Pigmentation Hypotheses –~30-40k Yrs to present

<40k years…

Page 28: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

EvolutionaryDrivers

• Skin Heavily Pigmented

• Protection Robust Overall

• Vitamin D synthesis adequate

• Trade-off Optimised

Trade-offs change with Latitude:• Studies strongly link available UV on Earth’s surface

to indigenous Skin Coloration• Increasing Loss of Vitamin D Synthesis as we leave

Equator – combined with poor nutrition, Rickets and many other issues ensue – we’ll look at those shortly

• In Northern Hemisphere particularly severe effect• Note: alternative hypotheses suggest many things:

“simply lost pigmentation because unneeded” etc• But Timeframe and Logic indicate Key Driver, &

emerging hypotheses suggest Sun is critical beyond D

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Migration from Equator• Increasing weakness of UVB• Use of Clothing increases• Adaptive Pressure Deployed• Fishing Ability Offsets

Skin Pigmentation Hypotheses –~30-40k Yrs to present

<40k years…

Page 29: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Human Evolutionary Environment:

Assmann G, Schulte H. Am J Cardiol. 1992;70:733–737.

We originally evolved in an intense UVB environment – part of our design

Migration over millennia drove commensurate skin pigmentation adaptation

Tradeoff: Between UV Excess (e.g. Folate), and adequate synthesis of 25(OH)D

Key Takeaways:

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Page 30: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Luxwolda and Muskiet,Submitted Manuscript

60

MAASAI MEDIAN 25(OH)D = 42ng/ml

MAASAIBANTU

20

40

30

50

25

(OH

)D n

g/m

l

Page 31: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Wyoming Woman Athletes 25(OH)D

0

40

20

60

100

80

25

(OH

)D (

ng

/ml)

120

Page 32: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Why is Breast Milk now D Deficient?MIMIC EVOLUTIONARY SUN

Mother: 6400 IU/dayBaby: Only Breast Milk

MODERN REALITYMother: 400 IU/day Supplement

Baby: 300 IU/day Supplement

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Page 33: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Why is Breast Milk now D Deficient?MIMIC EVOLUTIONARY SUN

Mother: 6400 IU/dayBaby: Only Breast Milk

MODERN REALITYMother: 400 IU/day Supplement

Baby: 300 IU/day Supplement

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Page 34: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Why is Breast Milk now D Deficient?MIMIC EVOLUTIONARY SUN

Mother: 6400 IU/dayBaby: Only Breast Milk

MODERN REALITYMother: 400 IU/day Supplement

Baby: 300 IU/day Supplement

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Page 35: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Why is Breast Milk now D Deficient?MIMIC EVOLUTIONARY SUN

Mother: 6400 IU/dayBaby: Only Breast Milk

MODERN REALITYMother: 400 IU/day Supplement

Baby: 300 IU/day Supplement

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Page 36: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Why is Breast Milk now D Deficient?MIMIC EVOLUTIONARY SUN

Mother: 6400 IU/dayBaby: Only Breast Milk

MODERN REALITYMother: 400 IU/day Supplement

Baby: 300 IU/day Supplement

Page 37: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Why is Breast Milk now D Deficient?“MIMIC EVOLUTIONARY SUN”

Mother: 6400 IU/dayBaby: Only Breast Milk

MODERN REALITYMother: 400 IU/day Supplement

Baby: 300 IU/day Supplement

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Page 38: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Why is Breast Milk now D Deficient?MIMIC EVOLUTIONARY SUN

Mother: 6400 IU/dayBaby: Only Breast Milk

MODERN REALITYMother: 400 IU/day Supplement

Baby: 300 IU/day Supplement

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Page 39: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Why is Breast Milk now D Deficient?MIMIC EVOLUTIONARY SUN

Mother: 6400 IU/dayBaby: Only Breast Milk

MODERN REALITYMother: 400 IU/day Supplement

Baby: 300 IU/day Supplement

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Page 40: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Why is Breast Milk now D Deficient?MIMIC EVOLUTIONARY SUN

Mother: 6400 IU/dayBaby: Only Breast Milk

MODERN REALITYMother: 400 IU/day Supplement

Baby: 300 IU/day Supplement

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

V5=~620

V5=~70

Page 41: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Why is Breast Milk now D Deficient?MIMIC EVOLUTIONARY SUN

Mother: 6400 IU/dayBaby: Only Breast Milk

MODERN REALITYMother: 400 IU/day Supplement

Baby: 300 IU/day Supplement

Thus with Mediocre Nutrition in Northern Latitudes, we needed to rapidly devolvePigmentation to enhance D3 synthesis for Infant Needs

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

V5=~620

V5=~70

Page 42: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Evolution…….Matters.

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Bone Mineral Density (g/cm2)

Fracture (RR)

Colon Cancer (RR)

8’ Walk Time (s)

Attachment Loss (mm)

Median 25(OH)D Concentration (ng/ml)

1612 20 24 3228 36 40 44

Estimation of optimal serum concentrations of 25-hydroxyvitamin D for multiple health outcomes1–3. Am J Clin Nutr 2006;84:18 –28. Printed in USA. © 2006 American Society for Nutrition.

Adapted from :

And: Nutrients, Endpoints, and the Problem of Proof – Prof. Robert P. Heaney - 2008

Page 43: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Another Evolutionary View…

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Bone Mineral Density (g/cm2)

Fracture (RR)

Colon Cancer (RR)

8’ Walk Time (s)

Attachment Loss (mm)

Median 25(OH)D Concentration (ng/ml)

1612 20 24 3228 36 40 44

Estimation of optimal serum concentrations of 25-hydroxyvitamin D for multiple health outcomes1–3. Am J Clin Nutr 2006;84:18 –28. Printed in USA. © 2006 American Society for Nutrition.

Adapted from :

And: Nutrients, Endpoints, and the Problem of Proof – Prof. Robert P. Heaney - 2008

Page 44: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Another Evolutionary View…

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Bone Mineral Density (g/cm2)

Fracture (RR)

Colon Cancer (RR)

8’ Walk Time (s)

Attachment Loss (mm)

Median 25(OH)D Concentration (ng/ml)

1612 20 24 3228 36 40 44

Estimation of optimal serum concentrations of 25-hydroxyvitamin D for multiple health outcomes1–3. Am J Clin Nutr 2006;84:18 –28. Printed in USA. © 2006 American Society for Nutrition.

Adapted from :

And: Nutrients, Endpoints, and the Problem of Proof – Prof. Robert P. Heaney - 2008

Page 45: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Prelude

1. The Centrality of the Sun

2. 25(OH)D – The Creation3. 25(OH)D – The Power4. 25(OH)D – The Human Cost5. Anatomy of a Debacle6. The Solution

Epilogue

Q&A

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) C(Eng) MIEI

Page 46: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

How This Most Critical Hormone is Made

7 DeHydroxyCholesterol Primary Source is Sun UVB

(Sunscreen Prevents Synthesis)

Page 47: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

How This Most Critical Hormone is Made

7 DeHydroxyCholesterolCholecalciferol(“Vitamin” D3)

Primary Source is Sun UVB

Catalyzes “Cholesterol” to D3

(Sunscreen Prevents Synthesis)

Page 48: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

How This Most Critical Hormone is Made

7 DeHydroxyCholesterol

D3/D2Supplements

Cholecalciferol(“Vitamin” D3)

Dietary contribution is limited

Primary Source is Sun UVB

Catalyzes “Cholesterol” to D3

(Sunscreen Prevents Synthesis)

Dietary Fatty Fish, Organ Meats, etc

Page 49: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

How This Most Critical Hormone is Made

7 DeHydroxyCholesterol

D3/D2Supplements

Cholecalciferol(“Vitamin” D3)

Dietary Fatty Fish, Organ Meats, etc

Dietary contribution is limited

Liver then makes 25(OH)D

Primary Source is Sun UVB

Catalyzes “Cholesterol” to D3

(Sunscreen Prevents Synthesis)

21st Century Science:In-Cell Local 1,25 D

Production on Demand

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

25(OH)D !

Page 50: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

How This Most Critical Hormone is Made

7 DeHydroxyCholesterol

D3/D2Supplements

Cholecalciferol(“Vitamin” D3)

Dietary Fatty Fish, Organ Meats, etc

25(OH)D !

Dietary contribution is limited

Liver then makes 25(OH)D

25(OH)D is The KEY METRIC

Primary Source is Sun UVB

Catalyzes “Cholesterol” to D3

(Sunscreen Prevents Synthesis)

21st Century Science:In-Cell Local 1,25 D

Production on Demand

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Page 51: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

How This Most Critical Hormone is Made

7 DeHydroxyCholesterol

D3/D2Supplements

Cholecalciferol(“Vitamin” D3)

Dietary Fatty Fish, Organ Meats, etc

25(OH)D !

1,25 D

Dietary contribution is limited

Liver then makes 25(OH)D

25(OH)D is The KEY METRIC

Kidney then makes 1,25 Dihydroxy Vitamin D

Primary Source is Sun UVB

Catalyzes “Cholesterol” to D3

(Sunscreen Prevents Synthesis)

21st Century Science:In-Cell Local 1,25 D

Production on Demand

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Page 52: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

How This Most Critical Hormone is Made

7 DeHydroxyCholesterol

D3/D2Supplements

Cholecalciferol(“Vitamin” D3)

Dietary Fatty Fish, Organ Meats, etc

25(OH)D !

1,25 D

1,25 is ACTIVE Form of D

Dietary contribution is limited

Liver then makes 25(OH)D :

25(OH)D is The KEY METRIC

Kidney then makes 1,25 Dihydroxy Vitamin D

Primary Source is Sun UVB

Catalyzes “Cholesterol” to D3

(Sunscreen Prevents Synthesis)

21st Century Science:In-Cell Local 1,25 D

Production on Demand

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Page 53: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

How This Most Critical Hormone is Made

7 DeHydroxyCholesterol

D3/D2Supplements

Cholecalciferol(“Vitamin” D3)

Dietary Fatty Fish, Organ Meats, etc

25(OH)D !

1,25 D

1,25 is ACTIVE Form of D

Dietary contribution is limited

Liver then makes 25(OH)D

25(OH)D is The KEY METRIC

Kidney then makes 1,25 Dihydroxy Vitamin D

Primary Source is Sun UVB

Catalyzes “Cholesterol” to D3

(Sunscreen Prevents Synthesis)

21st Century Science:In-Cell Local 1,25 D

Production on Demand

20th CenturyScience: Mainly Ca Regulation

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Page 54: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

How This Most Critical Hormone is Made

7 DeHydroxyCholesterol

D3/D2Supplements

Cholecalciferol(“Vitamin” D3)

Dietary Fatty Fish, Organ Meats, etc

25(OH)D !

1,25 D

1,25 is ACTIVE Form of D

Dietary contribution is limited

Liver then makes 25(OH)D

25(OH)D is The KEY METRIC

Kidney then makes 1,25 Dihydroxy Vitamin D

1,25 does far more than Ca++ regulation !!!

Primary Source is Sun UVB

Catalyzes “Cholesterol” to D3

(Sunscreen Prevents Synthesis)

21st Century Science:In-Cell Local 1,25 D

Production on Demand

20th CenturyScience: Mainly Ca Regulation

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Page 55: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

What the Most Critical Hormone Regulates

Valdivielso J M et al. Am J Physiol Renal Physiol 2009;297:F1502-F1509

Low 25(OH) D Invites in: Cancer (esp. Colon/Breast)

TB/Influenza/Infections General

Various Blood Disorders

T1 (and T2) Diabetes

Osteomalacia/Osteoporosis

Asthma / Autoimmune Diseases

Multiple Sclerosis

Heart Disease in General

Thyroid Issues / Chronic Fatigue

Inflammation

Obesity/Hypertension

Metabolic Syndrome

Pre & Post Natal Issues

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Page 56: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

What the Most Critical Hormone Regulates

Valdivielso J M et al. Am J Physiol Renal Physiol 2009;297:F1502-F1509

Low 25(OH) D Invites in: Cancer (esp. Colon/Breast)

TB/Influenza/Infections General

Various Blood Disorders

T1 (and T2) Diabetes

Osteomalacia/Osteoporosis

Asthma / Autoimmune Diseases

Multiple Sclerosis

Heart Disease in General

Thyroid Issues / Chronic Fatigue

Inflammation

Obesity/Hypertension

Metabolic Syndrome

Pre & Post Natal Issues

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Page 57: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Prelude

1. The Centrality of the Sun2. 25(OH)D – The Creation

3. 25(OH)D – Control System Criticality 4. 25(OH)D – The Consequences5. Anatomy of a Debacle6. The Solution

Epilogue

Q&A

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Page 58: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Central Control System of the Human MachineUNIQUE

DNACODE

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Page 59: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Central Control System of the Human Machine

35TRILLION

CELLS

!

UNIQUEDNA

CODE

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Page 60: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Central Control System of the Human Machine

35TRILLION

CELLS

!

UNIQUEDNA

CODE

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Page 61: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Central Control System of the Human Machine

35TRILLION

CELLS

!

BLOODSERUM

25(OH)D25(OH)D

UNIQUEDNA

CODE

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Page 62: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Central Control System of the Human Machine

35TRILLION

CELLS

!

BLOODSERUM

25(OH)D25(OH)D

1,25 D

UNIQUEDNA

CODE

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

ONDEMAND

Page 63: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Central Control System of the Human Machine

35TRILLION

CELLS

!

VDRRXR

BLOODSERUM

25(OH)D25(OH)D

1,25 D

UNIQUEDNA

CODE

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

ONDEMAND

Page 64: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Central Control System of the Human Machine

35TRILLION

CELLS

!

VDRRXR

BLOODSERUM

25(OH)D25(OH)D

1,25 D + SAFETYSWITCH

UNIQUEDNA

CODE

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

ONDEMAND

Page 65: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Central Control System of the Human Machine

35TRILLION

CELLS

!

VDRRXR

BLOODSERUM

25(OH)D

1,25 D

VDRRXR

VDRE

25(OH)D

1,25 D + SAFETYSWITCH

UNIQUEDNA

CODE

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

ONDEMAND

Page 66: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Central Control System of the Human Machine

35TRILLION

CELLS

!

VDRRXR

BLOODSERUM

25(OH)D

1,25 D

VDRRXR

VDRE

25(OH)D

1,25 D + SAFETYSWITCH

UNIQUEDNA

CODE

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

ONDEMAND

Page 67: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Central Control System of the Human Machine

35TRILLION

CELLS

!

VDRRXR

BLOODSERUM

25(OH)D

Transcription!!

1,25 D

VDRRXR

VDRE

25(OH)D

1,25 D + SAFETYSWITCH

UNIQUEDNA

CODE

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

ONDEMAND

Page 68: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Central Control System of the Human Machine

35TRILLION

CELLS

!

VDRRXR

BLOODSERUM

25(OH)D

Transcription!!

1,25 D

VDRRXR

VDRE

25(OH)D

1,25 D + SAFETYSWITCH

SAFETYSWITCH

UNIQUEDNA

CODE

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

ONDEMAND

Page 69: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Central Control System of the Human Machine

35TRILLION

CELLS

!

VDRRXR

BLOODSERUM

25(OH)D

Transcription!!

1,25 D

VDRRXR

VDRE

25(OH)D

1,25 D + SAFETYSWITCH

SAFETYSWITCH

UNIQUEDNA

CODE

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

ONDEMAND

Page 70: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Central Control System of the Human Machine

35TRILLION

CELLS

!

VDRRXR

BLOODSERUM

25(OH)D

Transcription!!

1,25 D

VDRRXR

VDRE

25(OH)D

1,25 D + SAFETYSWITCH

SAFETYSWITCH

UNIQUEDNA

CODE

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

ONDEMAND

CRITICAL PROTEINSe.g. CATHELICIDIN

Page 71: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Central Control System of the Human Machine

35TRILLION

CELLS

!

VDRRXR

BLOODSERUM

25(OH)D

Transcription!!

1,25 D

VDRRXR

VDRE

25(OH)D

1,25 D + SAFETYSWITCH

SAFETYSWITCH

UNIQUEDNA

CODE

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

ONDEMAND

CRITICAL PROTEINSe.g. CATHELICIDIN

Replication!!

Page 72: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Central Control System of the Human Machine

35TRILLION

CELLS

!

VDRRXR

BLOODSERUM

25(OH)D

Transcription!!

1,25 D

VDRRXR

VDRE

Blood Pressure

Cancer

Heart Disease

MS, TB, Flu

Asthma

T1 Diabetes

T2 Diabetes

Obesity

Met Syndrome

Alzheimers

25(OH)D

1,25 D + SAFETYSWITCH

SAFETYSWITCH

UNIQUEDNA

CODE

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

ONDEMAND

CRITICAL PROTEINSe.g. CATHELICIDIN

Replication!!

Page 73: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Central Control System of the Human Machine

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Page 74: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Central Control System of the Human Machine

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

SAFETYSWITCH↑↑CATHELICIDIN

Page 75: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Central Control System of the Human Machine

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Page 76: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Prelude

1. The Centrality of the Sun2. 25(OH)D – The Creation3. 25(OH)D – The Power

4. 25(OH)D – The Consequences5. Anatomy of a Debacle6. The Solution

Epilogue

Q&A

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Page 77: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Survival Outcome for low 25(OH)D reminiscent of Smokers Vs Non-Smokers

Doesn’t Prove Causality

Summary:

HEART and GENERAL MORBIDITY

Relation of Vitamin D Deficiency to Cardiovascular Risk Factors, Disease

Status, and Incident Events in a General Healthcare Population

Jeffrey L. Anderson, MDa,b,*, Heidi T. May, PhD, MSPHa, Benjamin D. Horne, PhD, MPHa,c,

Tami L. Bair, BSa, Nathaniel L. Hall, MDa,b, John F. Carlquist, PhDa,b, Donald L. Lappé, MDa, andJoseph B. Muhlestein, MDa,b, for the Intermountain Heart Collaborative (IHC) Study Group

(Am J Cardiol 2010;106:963–968)

Population 25(OH)D Levels

Adequate>30ng/ml

36.4% V. Low <16

16.7%

Low16-30 ng/ml

46.4%

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Majority Population Insufficient

Remember D is a proxy for Sun(!)

>30

16-30

<16

Page 78: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Vitamin D and Cardiovascular Disease Carl J. Lavie, MD, John H. Lee, MD, Richard V. Milani, MD (J Am Coll Cardiol 2011;58:1547–56)

Survival trends stronger than Non-Smoker versus Smoker

Dose-Response Relationship with Accelerated Effect in lowest Quartile

Key Takeaways:

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

CVD and All Cause Death

Page 79: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Assmann G, Schulte H. Am J Cardiol. 1992;70:733–737.

Incidence Rate Average of 6 Studies, consistent association throughout

Key Takeaways:

COLON CANCER – Incidence Rate

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

55% reduction in ColonCancer Risk associated with 38ng/ml 25(OH)D

Od

ds

Rat

io o

f C

olo

rect

al C

ance

r P trend <0.0001

COLON CANCER INCIDENCE

10 20 4030

Page 80: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Assmann G, Schulte H. Am J Cardiol. 1992;70:733–737.

Incidence Rate Average of 6 Studies, consistent association throughout

Mortality strongly associated with 25(OH)D levels, but multi-factor phenomenon

Key Takeaways:

COLON CANCER – Incidence Rate

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

55% reduction in ColonCancer Risk associated with 38ng/ml 25(OH)DO

dd

s R

atio

of

Co

lore

ctal

Can

cer

P trend <0.0001

COLON CANCER INCIDENCECOLON CANCER MORTALITY

RR = 0.28

RR = 0.44

Rel

ativ

e ri

sk

10 20 4030

P trend =0.02

Page 81: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Strong, Linear association – & D mechanism directly tied to cell proliferation

Key Takeaways:

BREAST CANCER - Mortality

Vitamin D and prevention of breast cancer: Pooled analysis (2007)

Cedric F. Garland,, Edward D. Gorhama, Sharif B. Mohra, William B. Grant b,Edward L. Giovannucci,

Martin Lipkin, Harold Newmarke, Michael F. Holick, Frank C. Garland

Journal of Steroid Biochemistry & Molecular Biology 103 (2007) 708–711

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) C(Eng) MIEI

P trend <0.001

R2 = 0.9

50% lower riskwith 48 ng/ml

Page 82: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Strong, Linear association – & D mechanism directly tied to cell proliferation

Key Takeaways:

BREAST CANCER - Mortality

Vitamin D and prevention of breast cancer: Pooled analysis (2007)

Cedric F. Garland,, Edward D. Gorhama, Sharif B. Mohra, William B. Grant b,Edward L. Giovannucci,

Martin Lipkin, Harold Newmarke, Michael F. Holick, Frank C. Garland

Journal of Steroid Biochemistry & Molecular Biology 103 (2007) 708–711

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) C(Eng) MIEI

P trend <0.001

R2 = 0.9

50% lower riskwith 48 ng/ml

P trend <0.002

R2 = 0.94

50% lower riskwith 52 ng/ml

Page 83: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Association is Dramatic, and mechanism’s available.

Key Takeaways:

BREAST CANCER - Mortality

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) C(Eng) MIEI

Where would you rather be?

BREAST CANCER MORTALITY

RR = 0.28P <0.05

Page 84: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Enormous body of evidence linking MS to 25(OH)D Status

MULTIPLE SCLEROSIS

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Contribution of vitamin D

insufficiency to the

pathogenesis of Multiple Sclerosis

Ther Adv Neurol Disord(2013) 6(2) 81–116DOI: 10.1177/1756285612473513

Ireland53O N

Page 85: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Enormous body of evidence linking MS to 25(OH)D Status:

MULTIPLE SCLEROSIS

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

25(OH)D Interacts with risk of MS from conception thru life via different mechs

Contribution of vitamin D

insufficiency to the

pathogenesis of Multiple Sclerosis

Ther Adv Neurol Disord(2013) 6(2) 81–116DOI: 10.1177/1756285612473513

NOMS

MS

Page 86: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

MULTIPLE SCLEROSIS

Past exposure to sun, skin phenotype, and risk of multiple sclerosis: case-control study

BMJ VOLUME 327 9 AUGUST 2003 bmj.com

N=136 MS Cases (in their 30’s) vs 273 Matched Controls

Summary:

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Page 87: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

MULTIPLE SCLEROSIS

Past exposure to sun, skin phenotype, and risk of multiple sclerosis: case-control study

BMJ VOLUME 327 9 AUGUST 2003 bmj.com

N=136 MS Cases (in their 30’s) vs 273 Matched Controls

Summary:

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Consistent Dose-Response Benefit primarily for exposure age 6-10 and 10-16

P<0.01 for trend

Page 88: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

MULTIPLE SCLEROSIS

Past exposure to sun, skin phenotype, and risk of multiple sclerosis: case-control study

BMJ VOLUME 327 9 AUGUST 2003 bmj.com

N=136 MS Cases (in their 30’s) vs 273 Matched Controls

Summary:

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Even more marked when Actinic Damage was used as independent measure

P<0.01 for trend P<0.01 for trend

Consistent Dose-Response Benefit primarily for exposure age 6-10 and 10-16

Page 89: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

MULTIPLE SCLEROSIS

Past exposure to sun, skin phenotype, and risk of multiple sclerosis: case-control study

BMJ VOLUME 327 9 AUGUST 2003 bmj.com

N=136 MS Cases (in their 30’s) vs 273 Matched Controls

Summary:

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Even more marked when Actinic Damage was used as independent measure

Conclusion: UVB and/or D critical for Adaptive Immune System Development

P<0.01 for trend P<0.01 for trend

Consistent Dose-Response Benefit primarily for exposure age 6-10 and 10-16

MS MS

Page 90: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Prelude

1. The Centrality of the Sun2. 25(OH)D – The Creation3. 25(OH)D – The Power

4. 25(OH)D – The Consequences5. Anatomy of a Debacle6. The Solution

Epilogue

Q&A

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Page 91: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Correctly executed, difference controlled to be primarily D and Ca.

Key Takeaways:

ALL CANCER MORTALITY (Experiment)

Baseline 25(OH)D = 29ng/ml

1100 IU Vitamin D + 1450 Ca / day

Randomized Control Trial

N = 1179 Healthy Women

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) Ceng MIEI

Vitamin D and calcium supplementation reduces cancer risk: results of a randomized trial

Page 92: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Correctly executed, difference controlled to be primarily D and Ca.

Key Takeaways:

ALL CANCER MORTALITY (Experiment)

Vitamin D and calcium supplementation reduces cancer risk: results of a randomized trial

Baseline 25(OH)D = 29ng/ml

1100 IU Vitamin D + 1450 Ca / day

Randomized Control Trial

N = 1179 Healthy Women

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) Ceng MIEI

Clear impact on Cancer and Overall mortality, especially with 1st Year removed

Page 93: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

TYPE 1 DIABETES

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

The most common serious chronic disease in children, esp. in Northern Latitude

Page 94: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

TYPE 1 DIABETES - Finnish Study

Intake of vitamin D and risk of type 1 diabetes: a birth-cohort study

THE LANCET • Vol 358 • November 3, 2001

N=12,055 Births in 1966, Supplementation 1st year of life, follow-up to 1997

Summary:

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Page 95: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

TYPE 1 DIABETES - Finnish Study

Intake of vitamin D and risk of type 1 diabetes: a birth-cohort study

THE LANCET • Vol 358 • November 3, 2001

N=12,055 Births in 1966, Supplementation 1st year of life, follow-up to 1997

Summary:

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Note: Vitamin D known to prevent Type 1 Diabetes in animals

Page 96: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

TYPE 1 DIABETES - Finnish Study

Intake of vitamin D and risk of type 1 diabetes: a birth-cohort study

THE LANCET • Vol 358 • November 3, 2001

N=12,055 Births in 1966, Supplementation 1st year of life, follow-up to 1997

Summary:

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Adjusted for Social Status, Birth Weight, Growth Rate etc.

Note: Vitamin D known to prevent Type 1 Diabetes in animals

Page 97: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

TYPE 1 DIABETES - Finnish Study

Intake of vitamin D and risk of type 1 diabetes: a birth-cohort study

THE LANCET • Vol 358 • November 3, 2001

N=12,055 Births in 1966, Supplementation 1st year of life, follow-up to 1997

Summary:

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Adjusted for Social Status, Birth Weight, Growth Rate etc.

Note: Vitamin D known to prevent Type 1 Diabetes in animals

Page 98: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

TYPE 1 DIABETES - Finnish Study

Intake of vitamin D and risk of type 1 diabetes: a birth-cohort study

THE LANCET • Vol 358 • November 3, 2001

N=12,055 Births in 1966, Supplementation 1st year of life, follow-up to 1997

Summary:

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Adjusted for Social Status, Birth Weight, Growth Rate etc.

Note: Vitamin D known to prevent Type 1 Diabetes in animals

Page 99: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

TYPE 1 DIABETES - Finnish Study

Intake of vitamin D and risk of type 1 diabetes: a birth-cohort study

THE LANCET • Vol 358 • November 3, 2001

N=12,055 Births in 1966, Supplementation 1st year of life, follow-up to 1997

Summary:

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Adjusted for Social Status, Birth Weight, Growth Rate etc.

Note: Vitamin D known to prevent Type 1 Diabetes in animals

Conclusion Clear – Verified Vitamin D critical for Immune System Development

Page 100: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

FINLAND GUIDELINE VIT D vs Type1 Diabetes Incidence in <15 Year Olds

Northern Latitude, very poor UVB. Supplement Strategy collapsed since 1950’s

Summary:

Incidence of Type 1 Diabetes in Finland

JAMA July 24/31, 2013 Volume 310, Number 4

TYPE 1 DIABETES - Supplementation History?IU

/Day

Vit

D

Page 101: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

FINLAND GUIDELINE VIT D vs Type1 Diabetes Incidence in <15 Year Olds

Northern Latitude, very poor UVB. Supplement Strategy collapsed since 1950’s

Summary:

Incidence Rate studied for 1978 onwards, & some Trend Messing about…

Incidence of Type 1 Diabetes in Finland

JAMA July 24/31, 2013 Volume 310, Number 4

TYPE 1 DIABETES - Supplementation History?

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

IU/D

ay V

itD

Page 102: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

FINLAND GUIDELINE VIT D vs Type1 Diabetes Incidence in <15 Year Olds

Northern Latitude, very poor UVB. Supplement Strategy collapsed since 1950’s

Summary:

Conclusion: Not quite clear? Questioned. Supplemented Dairy acknowledged.

Incidence Rate studied for 1978 onwards, & some Trend Messing about…

Incidence of Type 1 Diabetes in Finland

JAMA July 24/31, 2013 Volume 310, Number 4

D-fortifiedDairy

TYPE 1 DIABETES - Supplementation History?IU

/Day

Vit

D

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Page 103: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Incidence of Type 1 Diabetes in Finland

JAMA July 24/31, 2013 Volume 310, Number 4

Remove the inappropriate inferences, and plot a natural curve

Engineering Style Summary:

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

FINLAND GUIDELINE VIT D vs Type1 Diabetes Incidence in <15 Year Olds

D-fortifiedDairy

TYPE 1 DIABETES - Supplementation History?IU

/Day

Vit

D

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Page 104: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Incidence of Type 1 Diabetes in Finland

JAMA July 24/31, 2013 Volume 310, Number 4

Remove the inappropriate inferences, and plot a natural curve

Engineering Style Summary:

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Add in the earlier historical data from another source that had it…

FINLAND GUIDELINE VIT D vs Type1 Diabetes Incidence in <15 Year Olds

Diabetes December 2002 vol. 51 no. 12 3353-3361

The Rise of Childhood Type 1 Diabetes in the 20th Century

D-fortifiedDairy

TYPE 1 DIABETES - Supplementation History?IU

/Day

Vit

D

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Page 105: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Incidence of Type 1 Diabetes in Finland

JAMA July 24/31, 2013 Volume 310, Number 4

Remove the inappropriate inferences, and plot a natural curve

Engineering Style Summary:

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Conclusion: - go figure.

Diabetes December 2002 vol. 51 no. 12 3353-3361

The Rise of Childhood Type 1 Diabetes in the 20th Century

FINLAND GUIDELINE VIT D vs Type1 Diabetes Incidence in <15 Year Olds

Add in the earlier historical data from another source that had it…

D-fortifiedDairy

TYPE 1 DIABETES - Supplementation History?IU

/Day

Vit

D

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Page 106: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Strong Hypothesis that Flu Outbreaks are mediated by 25(OH)D levels

Summary:

INFLUENZA – Seasonal Triggering

Hypponen E, Power C:

Hypovitaminosis D in British

adults at age 45 y: nationwide

cohort study of dietary and lifestyle predictors

Am J Clin Nutr 2007, 85: 860–868

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Page 107: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Strong Hypothesis that Flu Outbreaks are mediated by 25(OH)D levels

Summary:

INFLUENZA – Seasonal Triggering

Hypponen E, Power C:

Hypovitaminosis D in British

adults at age 45 y: nationwide

cohort study of dietary and lifestyle predictors

Am J Clin Nutr 2007, 85: 860–868

Latitude Simultaneity, Transfer Dynamics, etc

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Page 108: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

INFLUENZA – Seasonal Triggering

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

16

20

24

28

32

25

(OH

)D n

g/m

l

0

5

10

15

20

% R

esp

irat

ory

Infe

ctio

n

MonthSeason

0

5

10

15

20

% R

esp

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ory

Infe

ctio

n

Berry DJ, Hesketh K, Power C, et al. (2011) Vitamin D status has a liner

association with seasonal infections and lung function in British adults.Br J Nutr 106, 1433–1440

Page 109: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

208 randomised individuals to placebo or 800 IU/day of D3 over 2 years

Key Takeaways:

INFLUENZA – Hospital Experiment

Re: epidemic Influenza and vitamin D

Aloia JF, Li-Ng M: Epidemic influenza and vitamin D. Epidemiol Infect 2007; 135: 1095–1096

Cannell et al. Virology Journal 2008 5:29 doi:10.1186/1743-422X-5-29.

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Increased to 2000 IU/day in 3rd Year

Page 110: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

208 randomised individuals to placebo or 800 IU/day of D3 over 2 years

Key Takeaways:

Re: epidemic Influenza and vitamin D

Aloia JF, Li-Ng M: Epidemic influenza and vitamin D. Epidemiol Infect 2007; 135: 1095–1096

Cannell et al. Virology Journal 2008 5:29 doi:10.1186/1743-422X-5-29.

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Increased to 2000 IU/day in 3rd Year

INFLUENZA – Hospital Experiment

Page 111: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

208 randomised individuals to placebo or 800 IU/day of D3 over 2 years

Key Takeaways:

Re: epidemic Influenza and vitamin D

Aloia JF, Li-Ng M: Epidemic influenza and vitamin D. Epidemiol Infect 2007; 135: 1095–1096

Cannell et al. Virology Journal 2008 5:29 doi:10.1186/1743-422X-5-29.

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Increased to 2000 IU/day in 3rd Year

25(OH)D acts via multiple mechanisms as discussed

INFLUENZA – Hospital Experiment

Page 112: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

208 randomised individuals to placebo or 800 IU/day of D3 over 2 years

Key Takeaways:

Re: epidemic Influenza and vitamin D

Aloia JF, Li-Ng M: Epidemic influenza and vitamin D. Epidemiol Infect 2007; 135: 1095–1096

Cannell et al. Virology Journal 2008 5:29 doi:10.1186/1743-422X-5-29.

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Increased to 2000 IU/day in 3rd Year

25(OH)D acts via multiple mechanisms as discussed

Very few studies done (and mouse/rat/dog lack the VDR for this mechanism, so much data is worthless…)

INFLUENZA – Hospital Experiment

Page 113: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

The Bottom Line: “Mechanisms From pre-Cradle to Grave”

Page 114: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Prelude

1. The Centrality of the Sun2. 25(OH)D – The Creation3. 25(OH)D – The Power4. 25(OH)D – The Consequences

5. Anatomy of a Debacle6. The Solution

Epilogue

Q&A

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Page 115: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Witness An Unfolding Catastrophe….

NHANES III (1988-1994)

SER

UM

25

(OH

)D:

% >

30

ng/

ml

10

20

30

40

50

NHANES (2001-2004)

Page 116: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

The Literature is Exploding

Page 117: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

European Journal of Clinical Nutrition (2012)

doi:10.1038/ejcn.2012.78

Vitamin D and the scientific calcium dogma: understanding the ‘Panacea’ of the sun

Pin

eal

Ho

rmo

ne

Vit

amin

D

SKIN

Page 118: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Vitamin D and the scientific calcium dogma: understanding the ‘Panacea’ of the sun

European Journal of Clinical Nutrition (2012)

doi:10.1038/ejcn.2012.78

Pin

eal

Ho

rmo

ne

Vit

amin

D

SKIN

Page 119: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

USA25(OH)D

Distribution

~70% of US Population Insufficient ( 15 Years Previously was ~50% )

< 32ng/ml > 32ng/ml

Recall Where We Are Now…..

Vitamin D and the scientific calcium dogma: understanding the ‘Panacea’ of the sun

European Journal of Clinical Nutrition (2012)

doi:10.1038/ejcn.2012.78

Pin

eal

Ho

rmo

ne

Vit

amin

D

SKIN

Page 120: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Vitamin D and the scientific calcium dogma: understanding the ‘Panacea’ of the sun

European Journal of Clinical Nutrition (2012)

doi:10.1038/ejcn.2012.78

Recall Where We Are Now….. P

ine

al H

orm

on

e

Vit

amin

D

SKIN

Page 121: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

The Skin Cancer / Melanoma Hysteria

J Am Acad Dermatol. 2006 Feb;54(2):301-17 2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

330 340 350 360 360 370 380 390 400

Blue is UV-B zone that enables Vitamin D Synthesis (and Cholesterol Sulphate)

Page 122: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

The Skin Cancer / Melanoma Hysteria

J Am Acad Dermatol. 2006 Feb;54(2):301-17 2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

330 340 350 360 360 370 380 390 400

Red is zone that enables tan protection, and warning Erythema (Sunburn) Blue is UV-B zone that enables Vitamin D Synthesis (and Cholesterol Sulphate)

Page 123: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

The Skin Cancer / Melanoma Hysteria

J Am Acad Dermatol. 2006 Feb;54(2):301-17 2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

330 340 350 360 360 370 380 390 400

Green is zone that theoretical modelling suggests “Cosmetic” Skin Cancers Red is zone that enables tan protection, and warning Erythema (Sunburn) Blue is UV-B zone that enables Vitamin D Synthesis (and Cholesterol Sulphate)

Page 124: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

The Skin Cancer / Melanoma Hysteria

J Am Acad Dermatol. 2006 Feb;54(2):301-17 2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

330 340 350 360 360 370 380 390 400

UV-A is currently deemed the primary driver of Cutaneous Malig. Melanoma Green is zone that theoretical modelling suggests Squamous Skin Cancer Red is zone that enables tan protection, and warning Erythema (Sunburn) Blue is UV-B zone that enables Vitamin D Synthesis (and Cholesterol Sulphate)

~95% of Terrestrial UV Energy is from UVA. And it sails thru

Ozone, and even Glass

Page 125: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

The Skin Cancer / Melanoma Hysteria

J Am Acad Dermatol. 2006 Feb;54(2):301-17 2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

330 340 350 360 360 370 380 390 400

Green is zone that theoretical modelling suggests Squamous Skin Cancer Red is zone that enables tan protection, and warning Erythema (Sunburn) Blue is UV-B zone that enables Vitamin D Synthesis (and Cholesterol Sulphate)

UV-A is currently deemed the primary driver of Cutaneous Malig. Melanoma

Squamous and Basal cell Skin Cancers?

- <0.5% Mortality)USA: ~2k deaths/yr

Melanoma Zone – Serious Stuff

USA: ~9k deaths/yr

Page 126: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

The Skin Cancer / Melanoma Hysteria

J Am Acad Dermatol. 2006 Feb;54(2):301-17 2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

So who’s the idiot? (a) Evolution Itself, or (b) how humans have interpreted it??

330 340 350 360 360 370 380 390 400

Green is zone that theoretical modelling suggests Squamous Skin Cancer Red is zone that enables tan protection, and warning Erythema (Sunburn) Blue is UV-B zone that enables Vitamin D Synthesis (and Cholesterol Sulphate)

UV-A is currently deemed the primary driver of Cutaneous Malig. Melanoma

Squamous and Basal cell Skin Cancers?

- <0.5% Mortality)USA: ~2k deaths/yr

Melanoma Zone – Serious Stuff

USA: ~9k deaths/yr

Sunscreens Effective Most Sunscreens Not Effective

Page 127: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

MELANOMA Versus Sun Exposure History

Eur J Cancer. Mar 2011; 47(5): 732–741

“Relationship between sun exposure and melanoma risk for tumors in different

body sites in a large case-control study in a temperate climate”

N=960 Melanoma Victim Study:

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Page 128: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

MELANOMA Versus Sun Exposure History

Eur J Cancer. Mar 2011; 47(5): 732–741

“Relationship between sun exposure and melanoma risk for tumors in different

body sites in a large case-control study in a temperate climate”

N=960 Melanoma Victim Study:

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Healthy Sun Exposure, LOWER Risk

Page 129: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

MELANOMA Versus Sun Exposure History

Eur J Cancer. Mar 2011; 47(5): 732–741

“Relationship between sun exposure and melanoma risk for tumors in different

body sites in a large case-control study in a temperate climate”

N=960 Melanoma Victim Study:

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Healthy Sun Exposure, LOWER Risk

Page 130: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

MELANOMA Versus Sun Exposure History

Eur J Cancer. Mar 2011; 47(5): 732–741

“Relationship between sun exposure and melanoma risk for tumors in different

body sites in a large case-control study in a temperate climate”

N=960 Melanoma Victim Study:

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Healthy Sun Exposure, LOWER Risk

Page 131: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

MELANOMA Versus Sun Exposure History

Eur J Cancer. Mar 2011; 47(5): 732–741

“Relationship between sun exposure and melanoma risk for tumors in different

body sites in a large case-control study in a temperate climate”

N=960 Melanoma Victim Study:

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Healthy Sun Exposure, LOWER Risk

Strong Correlation to 25(OH)D Observed

This Effect Applied to BOTH Skin Types

Page 132: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

MELANOMA Versus Sun Exposure History

Eur J Cancer. Mar 2011; 47(5): 732–741

“Relationship between sun exposure and melanoma risk for tumors in different

body sites in a large case-control study in a temperate climate”

N=960 Melanoma Victim Study:

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Healthy Sun Exposure, LOWER Risk

Strong Correlation to 25(OH)D Observed

One of many Studies illustrating this effect

This Effect Applied to BOTH Skin Types

Page 133: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

MELANOMA Versus Sun Exposure History

Eur J Cancer. Mar 2011; 47(5): 732–741

“Relationship between sun exposure and melanoma risk for tumors in different

body sites in a large case-control study in a temperate climate”

Strong Correlation to 25(OH)D Observed

One of many Studies illustrating this effect

N=960 Melanoma Victim Study:

Healthy Sun Exposure, LOWER Risk

This Effect Applied to BOTH Skin Types

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

The Real Risk Factors?

Page 134: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

MELANOMA Versus Sun Exposure History

Eur J Cancer. Mar 2011; 47(5): 732–741

“Relationship between sun exposure and melanoma risk for tumors in different

body sites in a large case-control study in a temperate climate”

Strong Correlation to 25(OH)D Observed

One of many Studies illustrating this effect

N=960 Melanoma Victim Study:

Healthy Sun Exposure, LOWER Risk

This Effect Applied to BOTH Skin Types

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

The Real Risk Factors?

Significant Sun Burning Incidents

Page 135: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

MELANOMA Versus Sun Exposure History

Eur J Cancer. Mar 2011; 47(5): 732–741

“Relationship between sun exposure and melanoma risk for tumors in different

body sites in a large case-control study in a temperate climate”

Strong Correlation to 25(OH)D Observed

One of many Studies illustrating this effect

N=960 Melanoma Victim Study:

Healthy Sun Exposure, LOWER Risk

Light Skin; Freckles; Red Hair –Propensity to Burn

The Real Risk Factors?

Significant Sun Burning Incidents

This Effect Applied to BOTH Skin Types

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Page 136: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

SUNSCREENS: A Counter-Intuitive Twist

Int. J. Cancer: 87, 145–150 (2000)“SUNSCREEN USE AND MALIGNANT MELANOMA”

N=571 Cutaneous Malignant Melanoma, Versus N=913 Healthy Controls:

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI H

R

Page 137: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

SUNSCREENS: A Counter-Intuitive Twist

Int. J. Cancer: 87, 145–150 (2000)“SUNSCREEN USE AND MALIGNANT MELANOMA”

N=571 Cutaneous Malignant Melanoma, Versus N=913 Healthy Controls:

Generally Higher Risk of Cancer with increased sunscreen use

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI H

R

Page 138: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

SUNSCREENS: A Counter-Intuitive Twist

Int. J. Cancer: 87, 145–150 (2000)“SUNSCREEN USE AND MALIGNANT MELANOMA”

N=571 Cutaneous Malignant Melanoma, Versus N=913 Healthy Controls:

Generally Higher Risk of Cancer with increased sunscreen use

this also applied after adjustment for Skin, Exposure Frequency and Duration

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI H

R

Page 139: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

SUNSCREENS: A Counter-Intuitive Twist

Int. J. Cancer: 87, 145–150 (2000)“SUNSCREEN USE AND MALIGNANT MELANOMA”

UVA Mechanism, Lack of UVA Protection, Vitamin D and OverExp Highlighted

N=571 Cutaneous Malignant Melanoma, Versus N=913 Healthy Controls:

Generally Higher Risk of Cancer with increased sunscreen use

this also applied after adjustment for Skin, Exposure Frequency and Duration

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI H

R

Page 140: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

SUNSCREENS: A Counter-Intuitive Twist

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI H

R

Page 141: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

The Bottom Line: All Cause Mortality

Journal of Internal Medicine: doi: 10.1111/joim.12251

“Avoidance of sun exposure is a risk factor for all-cause mortality: results from the Melanoma in Southern Sweden cohort”

N=29,518 Swedish Women: Prospective Study with 20 Year Follow-Up

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Page 142: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

The Bottom Line: All Cause Mortality

Journal of Internal Medicine: doi: 10.1111/joim.12251

“Avoidance of sun exposure is a risk factor for all-cause mortality: results from the Melanoma in Southern Sweden cohort”

N=29,518 Swedish Women: Prospective Study with 20 Year Follow-Up

All-Cause Mortality was Halved in UPPER Quartile of Sun Exposure

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

~2x Mortality Rate Throughout

Page 143: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

The Bottom Line: All Cause Mortality

Journal of Internal Medicine: doi: 10.1111/joim.12251

“Avoidance of sun exposure is a risk factor for all-cause mortality: results from the Melanoma in Southern Sweden cohort”

N=29,518 Swedish Women: Prospective Study with 20 Year Follow-Up

All-Cause Mortality was Halved in UPPER Quartile of Sun Exposure

this applied after adjustment for Co-Morbidity, Smoking, Education, Income etc

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

~2x Mortality Rate Throughout

Page 144: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

The Bottom Line: All Cause Mortality

Journal of Internal Medicine: doi: 10.1111/joim.12251

“Avoidance of sun exposure is a risk factor for all-cause mortality: results from the Melanoma in Southern Sweden cohort”

Dose-Response Relationship seen throughout

N=29,518 Swedish Women: Prospective Study with 20 Year Follow-Up

All-Cause Mortality was Halved in UPPER Quartile of Sun Exposure

this applied after adjustment for Co-Morbidity, Smoking, Education, Income etc

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

~2x Mortality Rate Throughout

Page 145: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

The Bottom Line: All Cause Mortality

Journal of Internal Medicine: doi: 10.1111/joim.12251

“Avoidance of sun exposure is a risk factor for all-cause mortality: results from the Melanoma in Southern Sweden cohort”

Dose-Response Relationship seen throughout

N=29,518 Swedish Women: Prospective Study with 20 Year Follow-Up

All-Cause Mortality was Halved in UPPER Quartile of Sun Exposure

this applied after adjustment for Co-Morbidity, Smoking, Education, Income etc

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

~2x Mortality Rate Throughout

25(OH)D indeed Cited, but there are other benefits of Sun

Page 146: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) MIEI

Prelude

1. The Centrality of the Sun2. 25(OH)D – The Creation3. 25(OH)D – The Power4. 25(OH)D – The Consequences5. Anatomy of a Debacle

6. The SolutionEpilogue

Q&A

Page 147: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Optimising 25(OH)D – Synergy and Interaction

LOW25(OH)D

<32 ng/ml

Blood Pressure

Cancer

Heart Disease

MS, TB, Flu

Asthma

T1 Diabetes

T2 Diabetes

Obesity

Met Syndrome

Alzheimers

Lack of SUN Exposure

Low FatDiet

Low Calcium Diet

Racial factors & Genetics

Page 148: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Optimising 25(OH)D – Synergy and Interaction

LOW25(OH)D

<32 ng/ml

Blood Pressure

Cancer

Heart Disease

MS, TB, Flu

Asthma

T1 Diabetes

T2 Diabetes

Obesity

Met Syndrome

Alzheimers

Lack of SUN Exposure

Low FatDiet

Low Calcium Diet

HIGH25(OH)D

>60? ng/ml

Excess SUN Exposure LG

Excess D3Supplements

Racial factors & Genetics AND

/OR

Low

Vit K2

ExcessiveCalcification?

Page 149: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Optimising 25(OH)D – Synergy and Interaction

LOW25(OH)D

<32 ng/ml

Blood Pressure

Cancer

Heart Disease

MS, TB, Flu

Asthma

T1 Diabetes

T2 Diabetes

Obesity

Met Syndrome

Alzheimers

Healthy Sun Exposure

UVB/UVA RatioLack of SUN Exposure

Low FatDiet

Low Calcium Diet

OPTIMUM25(OH)D

32-50 ng/ml

Fat-Nutrient Dense Diet

Oily Fish, Cod Liver, Pate, etc

Correct D3Supplements

HIGH25(OH)D

>60? ng/ml

Excess SUN Exposure LG

Excess D3Supplements

Racial factors & Genetics

AND

Adequate

Calcium

AND/OR

Adequate

Vit AAdequate

Vit K2

ExcessiveCalcification?

Low

Vit K2

Page 150: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Optimising 25(OH)D – Synergy and Interaction

LOW25(OH)D

<32 ng/ml

Blood Pressure

Cancer

Heart Disease

MS, TB, Flu

Asthma

T1 Diabetes

T2 Diabetes

Obesity

Met Syndrome

Alzheimers

Lack of SUN Exposure

Low FatDiet

Low Calcium Diet

OPTIMUM25(OH)D

32-50 ng/ml

Fat-Nutrient Dense Diet

Oily Fish, Cod Liver, Pate, etc

Correct D3Supplements

HIGH25(OH)D

>60? ng/ml

Excess SUN Exposure LG

Excess D3Supplements

Racial factors & Genetics

AND

Adequate

Calcium

AND/OR

Adequate

Vit AAdequate

Vit K2

Immune Function

Bone Strength

Disease Protection

Cancer Resistance

Vigour & Longevity

Healthy Sun Exposure

UVB/UVA Ratio

ExcessiveCalcification?

Low

Vit K2

Page 151: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) MIEI

Prelude

1. The Centrality of the Sun2. 25(OH)D – The Creation3. 25(OH)D – The Power4. 25(OH)D – The Consequences5. Anatomy of a Debacle6. The Solution

EpilogueQ&A

Page 152: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Epilogue – Respecting Evolution and Science• Levels should be in 32-50ng/ml range (80-120nmol/L)

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

• “Short Shadow” Sun Exposure Without Burning is key

• Supplements: D3: new upper guideline is 4000 IU/day*

• Oily Fish, Organ Meats, Fortified Dairy etc. will help…25(OH)D

Page 153: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Epilogue – Respecting Evolution and Science• Levels should be in 32-50ng/ml range (80-120nmol/L)

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

• “Short Shadow” Sun Exposure Without Burning is key

• Supplements: D3: new upper guideline is 4000 IU/day*

• Oily Fish, Organ Meats, Fortified Dairy etc. will help…

• Calcium is critical and works in tandem with 25(OH)D

• Too low is more likely than too high these days…

• Plenty Cheese/Yogurt/Milk, Sardines, Dark Leafy Greens.

• Supplements – medical guidance.

25(OH)D

Page 154: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Epilogue – Respecting Evolution and Science• Levels should be in 32-50ng/ml range (80-120nmol/L)

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

• “Short Shadow” Sun Exposure Without Burning is key

• Supplements: D3: new upper guideline is 4000 IU/day*

• Oily Fish, Organ Meats, Fortified Dairy etc. will help…

• Calcium is critical and works in tandem with 25(OH)D

• Too low is more likely than too high these days…

• Plenty Cheese/Yogurt/Milk, Sardines, Dark Leafy Greens.

• Vitamin K2 is key, possibly the most important besides D.

• Supplements – medical guidance.

• Activates Matrix GLA Protein, for Calcium Management• Highly interactive with Vitamin D & Ca – need keep K2 high • Butter/Cheeses, Natto, Chicken Legs, Egg Yolks, Liver, etc

25(OH)D

Page 155: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Epilogue – Respecting Evolution and Science• Levels should be in 32-50ng/ml range (80-120nmol/L)

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

• “Short Shadow” Sun Exposure Without Burning is key

• Supplements: D3: new upper guideline is 4000 IU/day*

• Oily Fish, Organ Meats, Fortified Dairy etc. will help…

• Calcium is critical and works in tandem with 25(OH)D

• Too low is more likely than too high these days…

• Plenty Cheese/Yogurt/Milk, Sardines, Dark Leafy Greens.

• Vitamin K2 is key, possibly the most important besides D.

• Supplements – medical guidance.

• Activates Matrix GLA Protein, for Calcium Management• Highly interactive with Vitamin D & Ca – need keep K2 high

• Vitamin A also important - highly interactive with Vitamin D

• D/A Ratio is source of problem when low – balance needed.• Sweet potato, carrots, Dark Leafy Greens, Dairy/Butter/Yolk

• Butter/Cheeses, Natto, Chicken Legs, Egg Yolks, Liver, etc

25(OH)D

Page 156: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health
Page 157: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

A Thank-You to some Experts:Prof. Michael HolickEndocrinologist and Professor of Medicine, Physiology and Biophysics. Currently director at Boston University Medical Center. Internationally recognized expert on all aspects of vitamin D.

Dr. Edward GorhamAssociate Professor in the Department of Family and Preventive Medicine at the University of California

Prof. Robert P Heaney Clinical Endocrinologist, Professor of Medicine and John A. Creighton University Professor Emeritus, Creighton University School of Medicine. Internationally recognized expert on vitamin D.

Dr. Cedric F Garland Adjt Prof. Family and Preventative Medicine, Division of Epidemiology, University of San Diego. Internationally recognized expert on the disease implications of vitamin D.

Dr. Chris MasterjohnPhD in Nutritional Science and Assistant Professor of Health and Nutrition Sciences at Brooklyn College.

Dr. Stephanie SeneffSenior Research Scientist at MIT.BS (Biophysics), MS/EE and Ph.D in Electrical Engineering and Computer Science MIT.

Prof. Reinhold ViethProfessor in the Department of Nutritional Sciences, and the Department of Laboratory Medicine and Pathobiology, University of Toronto. Internationally recognized expert on the clinical nutrition of vitamin D as well as its pharmacology and safety.

Dr Grimesccccc.

Page 158: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

BACKUP / OTHER MATERIAL

Page 159: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Backup / Other

Page 160: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health
Page 161: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health
Page 162: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Coronary Vascular Disease

Vitamin D and Cardiovascular Disease Carl J. Lavie, MD, John H. Lee, MD, Richard V. Milani, MD (J Am Coll Cardiol 2011;58:1547–56)

Coronary Vascular Disease strongly linked to admission level 25(OH)D

Synergy with Blood Pressure, also mitigated by Sun Exposure

Summary:

Page 163: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Colon Cancer has one of the strongest associations with 25(OH)D levels

Key Takeaways:

COLON CANCER – Survival Rate

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Page 164: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Key Takeaways:

BREAST CANCER MORTALITY – A Null Result??

Calcium Plus Vitamin D Supplementation and the Risk of Breast Cancer

J Natl Cancer Inst 2007;100: 1581 – 1591

“Homeopathic” Dose used

Only 400 IU / day to D Group

~50% of BOTH Groups taking D in Supplements throughout trial (D levels not disclosed)

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Page 165: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Null Response: Dosage near-irrelevant, poorly executed and controlled.

Key Takeaways:

BREAST CANCER MORTALITY – A Null Result??

Calcium Plus Vitamin D Supplementation and the Risk of Breast Cancer

J Natl Cancer Inst 2007;100: 1581 – 1591

“Homeopathic” Dose used

Only 400 IU / day to D Group

~50% of BOTH Groups taking D in Supplements throughout trial (D levels not disclosed)

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Page 166: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Null Response: Dosage near-irrelevant, poorly executed and controlled.

Key Takeaways:

BREAST CANCER MORTALITY – A Null Result??

Calcium Plus Vitamin D Supplementation and the Risk of Breast Cancer

J Natl Cancer Inst 2007;100: 1581 – 1591

“Homeopathic” Dose used

Only 400 IU / day to D Group

~50% of BOTH Groups taking D in Supplements throughout trial (D levels not disclosed)

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Supplemental Data and Subgroup Analysis tells a story…let’s dig, shall we?

Page 167: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) Ceng MIEI

BREAST CANCER MORTALITY – A Deeper Dive

How did the Intervention Affect Subgroups?

BorderlineSignificant

Estimated D Intake

Non-Supplement Users Subgroup with poor Vit D intake showed signal

Page 168: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) Ceng MIEI

BREAST CANCER MORTALITY – A Deeper Dive

How did the Intervention Affect Subgroups?

StatisticallySignificant

Estimated D Intake

BorderlineSignificant

Estimated D Intake

Non-Supplement Users Subgroup with poor Vit D intake showed signal

Supplement Users Subgroup with poor Vit D Intake showed signal

Page 169: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) Ceng MIEI

BREAST CANCER MORTALITY – A Deeper Dive

Non-Supplement Users Subgroup with poor Vit D intake showed signal

Supplement Users Subgroup with poor Ca Intake showed signal

Supplement Users Subgroup with poor Vit D Intake showed signal

StatisticallySignificant

StatisticallySignificant

Estimated D Intake Estimated Ca Intake

BorderlineSignificant

Estimated D Intake

How did the Intervention Affect Subgroups?

Page 170: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) Ceng MIEI

BREAST CANCER MORTALITY – A Deeper Dive

Conclusion: Engineering Signal There, but study is otherwise Near-Worthless

StatisticallySignificant

StatisticallySignificant

Estimated D Intake Estimated Ca Intake

BorderlineSignificant

Estimated D Intake

Non-Supplement Users Subgroup with poor Vit D intake showed signal

Supplement Users Subgroup with poor Ca Intake showed signal

Supplement Users Subgroup with poor Vit D Intake showed signal

How did the Intervention Affect Subgroups?

Page 171: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Sunlight UVB is the Primary Source of Human 25(OH)D….and a lot more, as recent understanding grows.

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Page 172: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Another Evolutionary View…

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

0

16

32

48

60

32

ng/

ml

Page 173: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Land Mass in Southern Hemisphere retains high UVB year-round.

Annual Adequacy of UVB for Synthesis?

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Page 174: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

What the Most Critical Hormone Regulates

Valdivielso J M et al. Am J Physiol Renal Physiol 2009;297:F1502-F1509

Low 25(OH) D Invites in: Cancer (esp. Colon/Breast)

TB/Influenza/Infections General

Various Blood Disorders

T1 (and T2) Diabetes

Osteomalacia/Osteoporosis

Asthma / Autoimmune Diseases

Multiple Sclerosis

Heart Disease in General

Thyroid Issues / Chronic Fatigue

Inflammation

Obesity/Hypertension

Metabolic Syndrome

Pre & Post Natal Issues

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Page 175: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Central Control System of the Human Machine

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

↑↑CATHELICIDIN

Page 176: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

The Centrality of the Sun

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

….A Profound Evolutionary Paradigm

HEALTHYSun Exposure

But NOBURNING!

Page 177: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

The Centrality of the Sun

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

….A Profound Evolutionary Paradigm

HEALTHYSun Exposure

But NOBURNING!

DSynthesis

PlusCholesterol

Page 178: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

The Centrality of the Sun

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

….A Profound Evolutionary Paradigm

HEALTHYSun Exposure

But NOBURNING!

DSynthesis

PlusCholesterol

CholesterolSulfate

PlusCholesterol

/ Sulfur

Page 179: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

The Centrality of the Sun

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

….A Profound Evolutionary Paradigm

HEALTHYSun Exposure

But NOBURNING!

DSynthesis

PlusCholesterol

CholesterolSulfate

PlusCholesterol

/ Sulfur

Health+Longevity

Page 180: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

The Centrality of the Sun

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

….A Profound Evolutionary Paradigm

HEALTHYSun Exposure

But NOBURNING!

DSynthesis

PlusCholesterol

CholesterolSulfate

PlusCholesterol

/ Sulfur

Health+Longevity

B.S. degree in Biophysics in 1968

M.S. and E.E. degrees in Electrical Engineering in 1980Ph.D degree in Electrical Engineering and Computer Science in 1985 (All from MIT)

MIT Senior Research Scientist who has spent 3 decadesat the intersection Of Biology and Computation

Page 181: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Supplementation started in December, which was rather late; still:

Key Takeaways:

INFLUENZA – Japanese Schoolchildren

Randomized trial of vitamin D supplementation to prevent seasonal influenza A in schoolchildren

Mitsuyoshi Urashima, Takaaki Segawa, Minoru Okazaki, Mana Kurihara, Yasuyuki Wada, and Hiroyuki Ida Am J Clin Nutr 2010;91:1255–60.

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

Page 182: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Supplementation started in December, which was rather late; still:

Key Takeaways:

INFLUENZA – Japanese Schoolchildren

Randomized trial of vitamin D supplementation to prevent seasonal influenza A in schoolchildren

Mitsuyoshi Urashima, Takaaki Segawa, Minoru Okazaki, Mana Kurihara, Yasuyuki Wada, and Hiroyuki Ida Am J Clin Nutr 2010;91:1255–60.

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

In a (rare) experiment, D3 supplements reduced Influenza A by >40%

Page 183: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Supplementation started in December, which was rather late; still:

Key Takeaways:

INFLUENZA – Japanese Schoolchildren

Randomized trial of vitamin D supplementation to prevent seasonal influenza A in schoolchildren

Mitsuyoshi Urashima, Takaaki Segawa, Minoru Okazaki, Mana Kurihara, Yasuyuki Wada, and Hiroyuki Ida Am J Clin Nutr 2010;91:1255–60.

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

In a (rare) experiment, D3 supplements reduced Influenza A by >40%

Marked in Children not receiving existing supplements – reduction of ~ 65%

Page 184: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Supplementation started in December, which was rather late; still:

Key Takeaways:

INFLUENZA – Japanese Schoolchildren

Randomized trial of vitamin D supplementation to prevent seasonal influenza A in schoolchildren

Mitsuyoshi Urashima, Takaaki Segawa, Minoru Okazaki, Mana Kurihara, Yasuyuki Wada, and Hiroyuki Ida Am J Clin Nutr 2010;91:1255–60.

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

In a (rare) experiment, D3 supplements reduced Influenza A by >40%

Marked in Children not receiving existing supplements – reduction of ~ 65%

Asthma attacks significantly reduced also (no trial has ever assessed this)

Page 185: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) Ceng MIEI

BREAST CANCER MORTALITY – A Deeper Dive

Summary:

Conclusion: Engineering Signal There, but study is otherwise Near-Worthless

Non-Supplement Users Subgroup with poor Vit D intake showed signal

Supplement Users Subgroup with poor Ca Intake showed signal

Supplement Users Subgroup with poor Vit D Intake showed signal

Page 186: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) MIEI

A Wider View

Page 187: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Hollis B W , and Wagner C L CMAJ 2006;174:1287-1290

©2006 by Canadian Medical Association

Page 188: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Hypothesis Summary from 2009 FDA Paper

US Food and Drug Administration, Center for Devices and Radiological Health

“Increased UVA exposures and decreased ..Vitamin D3 levels may be responsible for increasing incidence of melanoma”

• Outdoor workers generally have 2x the 25(OH)D of indoor workers

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI

• Higher incidence of CMM in Indoor versus outdoor workers

• Melanoma patients have significantly lower blood 25(OH)D levels

• UVB-absorbing sunscreens promote the growth of melanoma in mice

• UVB-absorbing sunscreen users have significantly higher melanoma rates

• All-year tan is protective, and associated with 3-9 times the UV Dose

• No “critical period” for burns to increase CMM risk (e.g. in childhood)

• Childhood outdoor activity (excl. burns) decrease melanoma incidence

• Melanoma patients who receive regular sun live longer than those who don’t

• UVA promotes mice tumors after initiation, and causes twice as many

• Calcitriol decreases Stage II Carcinogenesis in Vivo, not Stage I

Page 189: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Making D and burning / Cancer Q

J Am Acad

Dermatol. 2006 Feb;54(2):301-17

Red is erythema (Sunburn)

Green is Math Simulation for Squamous Skin Cancer Promotion

Primary Source is Sun UVB

Blue is 25(OH)D Production

(Sunscreen Prevents Synthesis)

Figure 4.4 – Caption of original article: Cutaneous vitamin D synthesis cannot be

dissociated from harmful effects ofUV radiation. Dashed and dotted line (blue) shows

spectrum of previtamin D3 formation obtained from plotting reciprocal of photoenergy

(1/w cm_2). Dashed line ( green) represents both action spectrum of induction

ofsquamous cell carcinoma in human beings mathematically derived from experimental

data obtained from murineskin, and wavelength dependence of induction of DNA

damage, in this case cyclobutane pyrimidine dimers, inhuman skin (adapted121). Solid

line (red) shows erythema action spectrum from human skin (m2/J) (adapted 26).

Note that peaks of these 3 curves all occur within UVB spectrum (290-320 nm) (dashed

gray lines). (FromWolpowicz & Gilchrest, The vitamin D questions: how much do you

need and how should you get it? J Am AcadDermatol. 2006 Feb;54(2):301-17. With permission).

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) C(Eng) MIEI

Page 190: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

Future “Biochemistry for Life” Topics:

• 25 Hydroxy Vitamin D The history, latest science, and significant mortality implications of this

critical agent

• Omega 6 Vegetable Oils The interesting story of how a machine lubricant became a health food

– but should have stayed in the machine….

• Insulin – a Billion Years in Service The evolutionary importance and critical functionality of Insulin,

increasingly dysfunctional and pathogenic in our modern environment

• Keto-Adaptation Living in an advantaged metabolic state – it’s much more than simply

having an edge

2013 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) MIEI

Page 191: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

cccc

Key Takeaways:

COLON CANCER – New Discovery in 2000’s ?

2014 Ivor Cummins BE(Chem) C(Eng) MIEI

Page 192: D is for Debacle - The Sun, Vitamin D, 25(OH)D and Health

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