CURRICULUM VITAE DENNIS ALLAN AHLBURG · 2016 Visiting Fellow, Exeter College, University of Oxford...

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August 28, 2019 CURRICULUM VITAE DENNIS ALLAN AHLBURG Distinguished Professor of Economics Trinity University Work: 580 CSI Trinity University One Trinity Place San Antonio, Texas 78212 (210) 999-7025 Email: [email protected] Education: Ph.D. Economics, University of Pennsylvania, 1979 M.Ec., Australian National University, 1974 B. Ec., First Class Honors, University of Sydney, 1973 Dissertation: “Alternative Approaches to Forescasting U.S. Fertility” Supervisor: Professor Michael L. Wachter Nominated for the Carey Dissertation Prize Executive Education: Harvard University, Graduate School of Education, Harvard Seminar for New Presidents, July 16-21, 2010 Harvard University, Kennedy School of Government, Leadership for the 21 st Century: Chaos, Conflict, and Courage, October 16-21, 2011 Harvard University, Graduate School of Education, Harvard Seminar for Experienced Presidents, November 7-9, 2013

Transcript of CURRICULUM VITAE DENNIS ALLAN AHLBURG · 2016 Visiting Fellow, Exeter College, University of Oxford...

August 28, 2019

CURRICULUM VITAE

DENNIS ALLAN AHLBURG

Distinguished Professor of Economics

Trinity University

Work: 580 CSI Trinity University One Trinity Place San Antonio, Texas 78212 (210) 999-7025 Email: [email protected]

Education: Ph.D. Economics, University of Pennsylvania, 1979

M.Ec., Australian National University, 1974 B. Ec., First Class Honors, University of Sydney, 1973

Dissertation: “Alternative Approaches to Forescasting U.S. Fertility”

Supervisor: Professor Michael L. Wachter Nominated for the Carey Dissertation Prize

Executive Education: Harvard University, Graduate School of Education, Harvard

Seminar for New Presidents, July 16-21, 2010 Harvard University, Kennedy School of Government, Leadership for the 21st Century: Chaos, Conflict, and Courage, October 16-21, 2011 Harvard University, Graduate School of Education, Harvard Seminar for Experienced Presidents, November 7-9, 2013

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Scholarships and Honors:

1973 A.N.U Postgraduate Scholarship

1973 Commonwealth Postgraduate Scholarship 1975 Sir Robert Gordon Menzies Fellowship 1975 Commonwealth Postgraduate Traveling Scholarship 1975 University of Pennsylvania Economic Research Unit Fellowship 1975 Fulbright Fellowship 1994 Appointed by Australian Government to head enquiry into effects

of population growth on economic development 1994 Distinguished Lecturer Series, commemorating 25th Anniversary

of East-West Center Summer Seminar on Population 2001 Hubert H. Humphrey Institute of Public Affairs Award for

Outstanding Contributions to International Programs 2001 Industrial Relations Land Grant Professor of Human Resources 2004 Designated an “expert of international standing” by the Australian

Research Council Teaching Experience:

1974-75 Tutor, Senior Tutor in Economics, Australian National University

1978-79 Teaching Fellow, Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania

1979 Lecturer in Economics, Swarthmore College

1980-86 Assistant Professor, University of Minnesota

1986-93 Associate Professor, University of Minnesota

1993-2005 Professor, University of Minnesota

1988-2005 Member of the Graduate Faculty in Gerontology, University of Minnesota Courses: Labor Economics, Economic-Demography, Quantitative Methods,

Poverty, and Human Resources Management

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Research Experience:

1975-78

Research Fellow, Economic Research Unit, University of Pennsylvania

1976-79

Worked on specification of labor sector of Wharton Annual and Quarterly Econometric Models

1985-86

Visiting Fellow, National Center for Development Studies, Australian National University

1987-2000

Research Associate, Center for Population Analysis and Policy, University of Minnesota

1993-94

Senior Fellow, Program on Population, East-West Center.

1994-2005

Research Associate, Center on Aging, University of Minnesota.

1998-1999

Visiting Professor, Centre for Population Studies, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine.

2000-2004 Part-time Professor, Department of Social Statistics, University of Southampton.

2015 Visiting Scholar, Research Program, East-West Center

2015 Visiting Fellow, Magdalen College, University of Oxford

2016 Visiting Fellow, Exeter College, University of Oxford

Administrative Experience: 1986-90

Director of Graduate Studies, Industrial Relations Center, University of Minnesota

1988-91

Deputy Director, Center for Population Analysis and Policy, Hubert H. Humphrey Institute of Public Affairs, University of Minnesota

1992-93, 1996-2000

Director, Center for Population Analysis and Policy, Hubert H. Humphrey Institute of Public Affairs, University of Minnesota

2001-2002

Associate Dean for Faculty and Research, Carlson School of Management, University of Minnesota

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2002-2005

Senior Associate Dean, Carlson School of Management, University of Minnesota. Responsibilities include all faculty and research issues, budget, Human resources, executive education, information technology, Ph.D. program, and teaching excellence initiatives.

2005- 2009

Dean, Leeds School of Business, University of Colorado at Boulder

2010 - 2014 President, Trinity University

Consulting Experience: United Nations Development Program

United Nations, Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific United Nations Fund for Population Activities Government of Australia Department of Economic Security, Government of Great Britain The World Bank World Health Organization State of Minnesota Ross Laboratories Bell System Healthcare Education and Research Foundation Mayo Clinic Fairview Health Systems Minnesota Nurses Association Minnesota Education Association Numerous law firms (principally sex, race, and age discrimination cases)

Review of Business School, University of West of England, for Sir Howard Newby Review of Business School, University of Aberdeen, for Sir Ian Diamond

Board Membership and Service: World Affairs Council of San Antonio Executive Committee of United Way of San Antonio and Bexar County Southwest Research Institute San Antonio Greater Chamber of Commerce San Antonio Medical Foundation Campus Compact Board of Directors Hispanic Association of Colleges and Universities Governing Board of the Associated Colleges of the South Steering Committee of Strategic Plan for the City of San Antonio (SA2020) Brainpower Initiative Task Force P16Plus Council

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Executive Committee of Centro Partnership Member, Higher Education Working Group, Council on Foreign Relations Member, Forum on the Future of Higher Education Member, Promise/CHOICE (Eastpoint) Coordinating Council Chair, WASC Accreditation Visit Team reviewing Chapman University

Grants:

1979 Ross Laboratories, Ohio ($10,000). A Forecasting Model of Fertility.

1981 Department of Labor Grant DOL-J-9-P-O-0171 ($50,000). Pay Linkages and Policies to Combat Inflation, with J.G. Scoville and J.J. Lawler.

1981 School of Management, University of Minnesota ($1,550). A Critical Evaluation of Forecasting Models of U.S. Fertility.

1983 State of Minnesota ($15,000). Skill Shortages for Technicians.

1984 School of Management, University of Minnesota ($5,300). Factors Determining Participation in Retraining Programs for Displaced Workers.

1984 Northwestern Bell ($730,000). Wage Survey and Job Analysis, with M. Bognanno, R. Arvey, J. Fossum, D. Estenson, H. Miller, and P. Schumann.

1985 McKnight Foundation ($7,896). Returns to and Participation in Retraining Programs – A Self Selection Model.

1985 School of Management, University of Minnesota ($3,670). The Determinants of Salaries of Executive Directors of Non-Profit, Private Corporations.

1985 United Nations ($37,000). Human Resource Development in the South Pacific, with Helen Hughes.

1986 McKnight Foundation ($12,000) and Graduate School, University of Minnesota ($2,000). Gender in the Determination of Wages, with Paul L. Schumann.

1986 National Center for Development Studies, Australian National University ($12,500). Migration in and from the South Pacific.

1987 Graduate School, University of Minnesota ($5,340). Work, Welfare, and Remittances: A Study of Illegal Mexican Immigration to the U.S.

1987 School of Management, University of Minnesota ($4,000). The Determinants of Charitable Giving.

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1988 National Center for Development Studies ($10,000). Fertility and Fertility Regulation in Papua New Guinea.

1989 McKnight Foundation and School of Management, University of Minnesota ($18,000). Migration Models with Two Decision-Makers, with Brian McCall.

1989 Health Care Financing Administration, Home Care Quality Studies, Coinvestigator (Principal investigator: Robert Kane), ($3.6 million).

1990 National Center for Development Studies/World Bank ($25,000). Remittance Payment in the South Pacific.

1991 Sloan Foundation ($250,000). The Causes and Consequences of U.S. Population Growth, with James W. Vaupel.

1991 Center for Urban and Regional Affairs ($25,000). Urban and Rural Differences in the Supply Behavior of Nurses.

1992 US Department of Education ($40,000). Forecasting College Enrollment (with Morton O. Schapiro and Michael McPherson).

1993 Center for Urban and Regional Affairs ($20,000) Job Change in Minnesota, 1980-1990.

1994 Australian Government, Population Growth and Economic Development ($224,000).

1995 UNDP, Income Distribution and Poverty in Fiji, ($40,000).

1996 UNDP, Job Creation in the Pacific, ($70,000).

1996 Northwest Area Foundation, ($250,000) Educational and Economic Success of St Paul Youths (With S. Korenman, J. Mortimer, and B. McCall).

1997 Rockefeller Foundation and USAID, ($140,000) Parental Investments in Child Health (with Eric Jensen).

1998-99 Department of Economic Security, UK ($95,000) Increases in Disability in the UK (with Emily Grundy and Mohamed Ali).

2000 International Center for Economic Growth, ($22,000) Labour Market Studies in Egypt (with Ragui Assaad, Mona Amer, and Brian McCall).

2000 Center on Demography and Economics of Aging, NORC and University of Chicago, ($8,540) Work, Care-giving, and Disability in Great Britain (with Emily Grundy).

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2001 Mellon Foundation, ($360,000) Gender, Work, and Family Issues in the Arab Countries, Iran and Turkey, (with Ragui Assaad).

2002 Center for Urban and Regional Affairs ($20,000) Job Change and Poverty in Minnesota, 1990-2000, (with Yong Nam Song).

2004 National Science Foundation ($5.046 million) International Integrated Microdata Series, (with Steven Ruggles, Deborah Levison, Ragui Assaad, and Robert McCaa).

2005 Lumina Foundation ($550,000) Studying Student Transitions, (with Stephen DesJardins and Brian McCall).

2010-2012 Spenser Foundation ($208,425) The Effect of High School Curriculum on College Completion, (with Stephen DesJardins and Brian McCall)

Reviewer for: Demography Economic Development and Cultural Change Economic Journal Economics of Education Review Industrial and Labor Relations Review International Journal of Forecasting Journal of Development Economics Journal of Development Studies Journal of Economic Literature Journal of Population Economics Pacific Studies MIT Press Random House Scott, Foresman and Company Leverhulme Trust, UK Economic and Social Research Council, UK National Science Foundation National Institutes of Health Oxford University Press Population Research and Policy Review

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Publications:

Dennis A. Ahlburg, "The Industrial Organization Vacuum in Australia: A Comment." Economic Record (51,136) December 1975, 583-588.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, Eileen M. Crimmins and Richard A. Easterlin, "The Outlook for Higher

Education: A Cohort Size Model of Enrollment in the College Age Population, 19482000." Review of Public Data Use (Journal of Economic and Social Measurement). (9) November 1981, 211-227.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, "The New Kuznets Cycle: A Test of the Easterlin-Wachter-Wachter

Hypothesis" in J.L. Simon and P.H. Lindert, Research in Population Economics, Vol. 4, JAI Press, 1982, 93-115.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, "How Accurate are the U.S. Bureau of the Census' Projections of Total Live

Births?" Journal of Forecasting (1,4) October/December 1982, 365-374.

Morton Owen Schapiro and Dennis A. Ahlburg, "Suicide: The Ultimate Cost of Unemployment." Journal of Post Keynesian Economics (5,2) Winter 1982/3, 276-280.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, "Good Times, Bad Times: A Study of the Future Path of U.S. Fertility."

Social Biology (30,1) 1983, 17-23.

Dennis A. Ahlburg and Morton Owen Schapiro, "The Darker Side of Unemployment," Hospital and Community Psychiatry (34,5) May 1983. (3,3) July-September 1984, 389.

Dennis A. Ahlburg and Morton Owen Schapiro, "The Social Cost of Economic Decline: Some

Earlier Evidence," Journal of Post-Keynesian Economics, (6,2) Winter 1983/4, 303-304.

Dennis A. Ahlburg and Morton Owen Schapiro, "Socioeconomic Ramifications of Changing Cohort Size: An Analysis and Forecast of U.S. Postwar Suicide Rates by Age and Sex." Demography (21,1) 1984, 97-108.

Dennis A. Ahlburg and James B. Dworkin, "The Influence of Macroeconomic Variables on the

Probability of Union Decertification," Journal of Labor Research (5,1) Winter 1984, 1328.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, "Majority Voting Rules and the Union Success Rate in National Labor

Relations Board Representation Elections." Journal of Labor Research (5,3) Summer 1984, 228-236.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, "Forecast Evaluation and Improvement Using Theil's Decomposition,"

Journal of Forecasting (3,3) July-September 1984, 345-351.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, "Commodity Aspirations in Easterlin's Relative Income Theory of Fertility." Social Biology (31, 3/4), Fall/Winter 1984, 201-207.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, "The Effects of Strikes on Suicide: Time Series Evidence from the United

States." Sociological Focus (18,1) January 1985, 29-36.

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Dennis A. Ahlburg, "Alternative Forecasts of U.S. School Enrollments to 2050: When Will a Trend Bend?" International Journal of Forecasting (1,1) 1985, 37-48.

James B. Dworkin and Dennis A. Ahlburg, "Research on Unions and Productivity," In David B.

Lipsky and Joel M. Douglas, Advances in Industrial and Labor Relations, Vol. 2, JAI Press, 1985, 51-68.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, "Forecasting Regional Births: An Economic-Demographic Approach" in

Andrew Isserman, Population and the Economy, Kluwer-Nijhoff, 1986, 31-50.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, "The Social Costs of Unemployment," in R. Castle, D. Lewis, and J. Mangan, Work, Leisure, and Technology, Longmans Cheshire 1986, 19-29.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, "A Relative Cohort Size Forecasting Model of Canadian Total Live Births,"

Social Biology, (33, 1/2), Spring-Summer 1986, 51-56.

Dennis A. Ahlburg and Paul L. Schumann, "Increased Penalty Rates for Overtime Hours: The Potential for Job Creation in Australia," Journal of Industrial Relations, (28,1), March 1986, 102-108.

Dennis A. Ahlburg and Lucinda Kimmel, "The Organization Implications of the Changing Age

Structure of the U. S. Labor Force," in K. Rowland and G. Ferris, Research in Personnel and Human Resource Management, Vol. 4, JAI Press, 1986, 339-374.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, "Population and Economic Development in the Island Nations of the South

Pacific," in R. Cole and T.G. Parry, Selected Issues in Pacific Island Development, Australian National University Press, 1986, 21-70.

Morton Owen Schapiro and Dennis A. Ahlburg, "Why Crime is Down," American Demographics

(8,10) October 1986, 56-58.

Helen Hughes, Dennis A. Ahlburg, and Sun Hee Lee, "Human Resources Development in the Pacific Islands Developing Countries," in Human Resources Development in Asia and the Pacific, United Nations, 1986, 82-118.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, "Modeling Macro Economic-Demographic Linkages: A Study of Models of

National and Regional Economies," in K. Land and S. Schneider (eds.), Forecasting in the Natural and Social Sciences, 1987, 287-336.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, "Demographic Forecasting," in S. Makridakis and S. Wheelwright (eds.), The

Handbook of Forecasting: A Manager's Guide, John Wiley, 1987, 135-149.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, "The Impact of Population Growth on Economic Development: The Evidence from Macroeconomic - Demographic Models," in D.G. Johnson, and R.D. Lee, Population Growth and Economic Development, University of Wisconsin, 1987, 479-522.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, Ann Carey, Lawrence Anderson, Sandra Barrett, and Bruce Lundgren,

"Technological Change, Market Decline and Industrial Relations in the U.S. Steel Industry," in Daniel B. Cornfield, Technical Change and Labor Relations, Plenum Press, 1987, 229-246.

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Dennis A. Ahlburg, "Population Forecasts for South Pacific Nations Using Autoregressive

Models" 1985-2000." Journal of the Australian Population Association, (4,2) November 1987, 157167.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, "A Study of Desired Occupational Change Among Young Working

Women." Journal of Industrial Relations, March 1988, 68-82.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, "Is Population Growth a Deterrent to Development in the South Pacific?" Journal of the Australian Population Association, (5,1) May 1988, 46-57.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, "Famiglia e fertilita' nella metropoli" (Family Fertility in a Modern

Metropolis), in G. Mazzocchi (ed.), Equilibrio Economico Ed Equilibrio Sociale in una Metropoli Che Cambia, Franco Angeli, 1988, 79-150.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, "Demographic Pressures on Education, Health, and Employment Resources

in the South Pacific Region." Pacific Studies, (12,2) March 1989.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, "Factors Affecting the Supply of and Demand for Nurses: A Review of the Literature," in Healthcare Education and Research Foundation, The Nursing Challenge: Attracting and Retaining Hospital Nurses, Minneapolis, MN, 1989.

Dennis A. Ahlburg and James Vaupel, "Alternative Projections of the U.S. Population,"

Demography (27,4) November 1990, 639-652.

James B. Dworkin and Dennis A. Ahlburg, "The Pay-Performance Relationship in the National Football League: An Empirical Analysis," in P.D. Staudohar (ed.), American Professional Sports: Social, Historical, Economic, and Legal Perspectives, University of Illinois Press, 1991. (Second Edition published 1999).

Dennis A. Ahlburg, "Predicting Job Performance: What Do the Professionals Know?"

International Journal of Forecasting, (7,4) March 1992, 467-472.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, "Error Measures and Choice of a Forecast Method: Lessons for Forecasters," International Journal of Forecasting, 8:1 June 1992, 99-100.

Dennis A. Ahlburg and Michael Levin, "Pacific Islanders in the US Census Data" in G. McCall

and J. Connell, A World View on Pacific Island Migration: Australia, New Zealand, and the U.S., Center for South Pacific Studies, Pacific Islands Monograph Series, No. 6, 1992.

Dennis A. Ahlburg and Carol De Vita, "New Realities of the American Family" Population

Reference Bureau Bulletin, August 1992.

Dennis A. Ahlburg and Kenneth Land, "Population Forecasting: Editors Introduction" International Journal of Forecasting, (8,3) November 1992.

Dennis A. Ahlburg and James W. Vaupel, "Immigration and the Dependency Burden",

Proceedings of the 22nd Conference of the International Union for the Scientific Study of Population, Montreal, 1993.

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Dennis A. Ahlburg, "On New Projections of the US Population", Population and Development Review, 19 (March 1993).

Dennis A. Ahlburg and Michael Byungnam Lee, "The Publishing Performance of Industrial

Relations Academics." Advances in Industrial and Labor Relations, volume 6, 1993.

Paul L. Schumann, Dennis A. Ahlburg, and Christine Brown Mahoney, "The Effects of Human Capital and Job Characteristics on Wages." Journal of Human Resources, (39) 1994

Dennis A. Ahlburg, "Return Migration from the U.S. to American Samoa: Evidence from the

1980 and 1990 Censuses." Pacific Studies, (17,2) 1994

Dennis A. Ahlburg, "Population and Poverty," in Robert Cassen (ed) Population and Development, Washington, DC: Overseas Development Council, 1994.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, "Do Simple Demographic Forecasting Models Outperform Complex

Models?" Mathematical Population Studies (5,3) 1995.

William Crown, Margaret MacAdam, Elaine Sadowsky, and Dennis A. Ahlburg, "Hospital, Nursing Home, and Home Care Aides: A National Profile of Their Characteristics, Labor Supply, Earnings, and Benefits," The Gerontologist, (35,2) 1995.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, "Migration, Remittances, and the Distribution of Income: Evidence from the

Pacific." Asian and Pacific Migration Journal, (4, 1) 1995.

Dennis A. Ahlburg and Christine Brown Mahoney, "Recruiting and Retaining Nurses in Minnesota." CURA Reporter, May 1995.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, Heidi J. Larson, and Tim Brown, "Health Care Costs of HIV/AIDS in the

Pacific" Pacific Health Dialog: Journal of Community Health and Clinical Health for the Pacific (2,2) September 1995.

Dennis A. Ahlburg and Heidi J. Larson, "Sexual Activity in the Pacific and HIV/AIDS Risks"

Pacific Health Dialog: Journal of Community Health and Clinical Health for the Pacific (2,2) September 1995.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, Yong-Nam Song, and Scott Leitz, "Are 'Good ' Jobs Disappearing?" Series

on 1990 U.S. Census, No. 3, Center for Urban and Regional Affairs, University of Minnesota, September 1995.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, "Demographic and Social Change in Pacific Island Nations" Asia-Pacific

Population Research Reports No.7 Honolulu: Program on Population, East-West Center, February 1996.

Dennis A. Ahlburg and Christine Brown Mahoney, "The Effect of Wages on the Retention of

Nurses." Canadian Journal of Economics Vol.29 April 1996.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, "Remittances and the Distribution of Income: Tonga." Population Research and Policy Review August 1996.

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Dennis A. Ahlburg, "The Effects of Rapid Population Growth On Poverty in Developing

Countries,” in D.A. Ahlburg, A.C. Kelley, and K. Oppenheim Mason (eds) The Impacts of Population Growth on Well-being in Developing Countries, Heidelberg: Springer-Verlag, 1996.

Dennis A. Ahlburg and Ian Diamond, "Evaluating Family Planning Programs," in D.A. Ahlburg,

A.C. Kelley, and K. Oppenheim Mason (eds) The Impacts of Population Growth on Wellbeing in Developing Countries, Heidelberg: Springer-Verlag, 1996.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, "United States," in J-C. Chasteland and J-C. Chesnais (eds) La Population

mondial a l'oree du XXIe siecle Paris: INED and PUFS Publishers 1997.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, "Do Pacific Islanders in the U.S. Hold 'Good' Jobs?" Pacific Studies (20,2) June 1997

Dennis A. Ahlburg, Eric R. Jensen, and Aurora E. Perez, "Determinants of Extramarital Sex in

the Philippines." Health Transition Review (7, Suppl.) 1997.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, "Poverty in Minnesota: Incidence, Change, and Correlates." Series on 1990 U.S. Census, No. 7 Minneapolis, MN: Center for Urban and Rural Affairs, University of Minnesota. 1997

Dennis A. Ahlburg, "Idle Youth in Minnesota." CURA Reporter (27,3) November 1997

Dennis A. Ahlburg and Eric R. Jensen, "The Economics of the Commercial Sex Industry and its

Implications for HIV/AIDS Prevention Policies." In Confronting AIDS: Evidence from the Developing World, M. Ainsworth, L. Fransen, and M. Over (eds) Brussels: European Community, 1998.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, "Intergenerational Transmission of Health." American Economic Review

(88,2) May 1998.

Dennis A. Ahlburg and Richard P.C. Brown, "Migrants' Intentions to Return Home and Capital Transfers: A Study of Tongans and Western Samoans in Australia." Journal of Development Studies (35,2) 1998

Dennis A. Ahlburg, “Characteristics of Poverty in Minnesota”. CURA Reporter (28,3) 1998:7-11.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, "Julian Simon and the Population Growth Debate." Population and

Development Review (24,2) June 1998

Dennis A. Ahlburg and Wolfgang Lutz “The Need to Rethink Approaches to Population Forecasts” Population and Development Review (24, suppl.) 1998

Dennis A. Ahlburg, Wolfgang Lutz, and James Vaupel “Ways to Improve Population Forecasts:

What Should Be Done Differently in the Future?” Population and Development Review (24, suppl.) 1998

Dennis A. Ahlburg, Heidi J. Larson, and Tim Brown, "The Potential Demographic Impact of

HIV/AIDS in the Pacific." Pacific Studies (21,4) 1999.

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S. L. DesJardins, Dennis A. Ahlburg, and Brian P. McCall, "An Event History Model of Student

Departure from College." Economics of Education Review (18) 1999.

Jean Louis Rallu and Dennis A. Ahlburg "Pacific Islands People Towards the Twenty First Century,” In M. Rapaport (ed) The Pacific Islands: Environment and Society, Bess Publishing 1999.

Eric R. Jensen and Dennis A. Ahlburg “Within-family resource pressure and child health in

Indonesia, Korea, and the Philippines.” In A. Mason, T. Merrick, and P. Shaw (eds) Population Economics, Demographic Transition and Development. Washington DC: The World Bank 1999.

Dennis A. Ahlburg and Eric R. Jensen “Rejoinder to T. Paul Schultz.” In A. Mason, T. Merrick,

and P. Shaw (Eds) Population Economics, Demographic Transition and Development. Washington DC: The World Bank 1999.

Richard P. C. Brown and Dennis A. Ahlburg, "Remittances in the South Pacific." International

Journal of Social Economics, (26, 1), 1999.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, "Poverty Among Pacific Islanders in the U.S.: Incidence, Change, and Correlates." Pacific Studies (23,1/2) 2000.

Gavin Jones, Terry Hull, Dennis A. Ahlburg, “The social and demographic impacts of the

Southeast Asian crisis of 1997-99,” Journal of Population Research, (17,1) 2000.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, “Population Forecasting.” In J.S. Armstrong (ed) Principles of Forecasting: A Handbook for Researchers and Practitioners. Norwell, MA: Kluwer Academic Publishers 2001.

Dennis A. Ahlburg and Darla Flint “Public Health Conditions and Policies in the Asia-Pacific

Region,” Asia-Pacific Economic Literature, (15,2), November 2001.

Stephen L. DesJardins, Dennis A. Ahlburg, and Brian P. McCall, “A Temporal Investigation of Factors Related to Timely Degree Completion,” The Journal of Higher Education , (73,5), September/October 2002.

Stephen L. DesJardins, Brian P. McCall, Dennis A. Ahlburg, and Melinda J. Moye “Adding a

Timing Light to the ‘Toolbox’: Factors Affecting College Graduation,” Research in Higher Education, (43, 1), 2002.

Stephen DesJardins, Dennis A. Ahlburg, and Brian P. McCall, “Simulating the Longitudinal

Effects of Changes in Financial Aid on Student Departure from College”, The Journal of Human Resources, (37,3) Summer 2002.

Dennis A. Ahlburg and Eric Jensen, "Education and the East Asian Miracle." In Andrew Mason

(ed), Population Change and Economic Development in East Asia, Stanford University Press, 2002.

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Eric Jensen and Dennis A. Ahlburg, "Child Health and Health Care in Indonesia." In Andrew

Mason (ed) Population Change and Economic Development in East Asia, Stanford University Press, 2002.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, “Does Population Matter? A Review Essay”, Population and Development

Review, (28,2), June 2002.

Eric Jensen and Dennis A. Ahlburg “Family Size, Unwantedness, and Child Health and Healthcare Utilization in Indonesia”, Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies, (38:1), 2002:4157.

Wei Chi and Dennis A. Ahlburg, “Work incentives of Social Security Disability insurance

benefits on disabled workers’ return-to-work,” Proceedings of the Forty-Fourth Annual Meeting of the Industrial Relations Research Association, 2002.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, “Economic-demographic models,” Encyclopedia of Population, Paul

Demeny and Geoffrey McNicoll (eds), Macmillan, 2003

Dennis A. Ahlburg and Eric Jensen, "Why Does Migration Decrease Fertility?: Evidence from the Philippines.” Population Studies, (58,2), July 2004.

Dennis A. Ahlburg and Yong Nam Song, “Did the Economic Lot of Minnesotans Improve over

the 1990s?” CURA Reporter, Center for Urban and Regional Affairs, (34,4) Fall 2004.

Dennis A. Ahlburg and Yong Nam Song, “The New Minnesotans: How are they doing in economic terms?” CURA Reporter, Center for Urban and Rural (35, 3) Summer 2005.

J. Kammeyer-Mueller, Connie Wanberg, Theresa Glomb, and Dennis A. Ahlburg. “The Role of

Temporal Shifts in Turnover Processes: It’s About Time.” Journal of Applied Psychology, (90, 4). 2005.

Stephen L. DesJardins, Dennis A. Ahlburg, and Brian P. McCall, “An Integrated Model of

Application, Admission, Enrollment, and Financial Aid.” The Journal of Higher Education, (77, 3), May/June. 2006.

Dennis A. Ahlburg and Yong Nam Song, “Poverty Among Pacific Islander and Hawaiian Elderly

1989 and 1999”, Pacific Studies, (29, 1-2), March-June 2006.

Dennis A. Ahlburg and Yong Nam Song, “Changes in the Economic Fortunes of Pacific Islanders in the U.S.A. in the 1990s” Asia Pacific Viewpoint (47, 1), April 2006.

Stephen L. DesJardins, Dennis A. Ahlburg, and Brian P. McCall, “The Effects of Interrupted

Enrollment on Graduation from College: Racial, Income, and Ability Differences.” Economics of Education Review (25, 6), December 2006.

Dennis A. Ahlburg and Thomas Lindh, “Long-run Income Forecasts” International Journal of

Forecasting (23,4), October-December 2007.

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Dennis A. Ahlburg and Robert Cassen, “The Relations Between Population and Development”,

International Handbook of Development Economics, Amitava Dutt and Jaime Ros (eds), Edward Elgar, 2008.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, Eric Jensen, and Ruyan Liao, “When I’m 104: The Determinants of Healthy

Longevity among the Oldest Old in China”, in Healthy Longevity in China: Demographic, Socioeconomic, and Psychological Dimensions, Zeng Yi, Dudley Poston, Denese Ashbaugh Vlosky, and Danan Gu (eds.), Dortrecht: Springer, 2008.

Jean Louis Rallu and Dennis A. Ahlburg, “The Pacific, a Slow or Stalled Demographic

Transition?” The Pacific Islands: Environment and Society Second Edition, Moshe Rapaport (ed), Honolulu: The Bess Press, 2013.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, “Is Going to University in Britain a Wise Investment?”The Political

Quarterly, (88, 4), December 2017.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, “Is Higher Education a Good Investment for All Students?”, in The ROI of Higher Education, Watson Scott Swaill, Peter Smith, and Kimberly Landis (eds.) New York: Teachers College Press, forthcoming 2018.

Dennis A. Ahlburg and Evan Roberts, “The Crisis in the Humanities: Fact or Fiction?” in The

Future of Higher Education: Is there an International Crisis in the Humanities?, Dennis A. Ahlburg (ed), Routledge, August 2018.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, “Is Higher Education a Market Like Any Other?”, The Political

Quarterly, (89, 4), December 2018. Dennis A. Ahlburg, “Skunks in an English Woodland: Should England Embrace For-Profit Higher Education?” The Political Quarterly, (90, 2), April-June 2019. Dennis A. Ahlburg, “Is LEO Orwellian? Earnings, Willetts, OfS, Creative Arts, and the Cost of Higher Education.” The Political Quarterly, forthcoming.

Working Papers:

Dennis A. Ahlburg, Ragui Assaad, and Brian P. McCall. “Schooling in Egypt: The Impact of Delayed Entry and Working While in School.”

Asmaa Elbadawy, Dennis A. Ahlburg, Ragui Assaad, and Deborah Levison, “Private and Group

Tutoring in Egypt: Where is the Gender Inequality?’ Economic Research Foundation Working Paper 0429 October 2007.

Dennis. A. Ahlburg and Brian McCall, "Time to Graduation or Dropout from College: A Hazard

Model with Endogenous Waiting.”

Dennis A. Ahlburg, “Determinants of Post-secondary Schooling in the U.S.: 1850-1990.”

Dennis A. Ahlburg and Brian P. McCall, “A Very English Revolution: The Impact of

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Coresidence at the University of Oxford” May 2018. Under review at History of Education.

Dennis A. Ahlburg and Brian P. McCall, “The Norrington Table: What Can It Tell Us, If

Anything?”, February 2018.

Dennis A. Ahlburg and Brian P. McCall, “Gender Differences in Examination Results at the University of Oxford 1913-2016” under review at Oxford Review of Education.

Books, Monographs, Edited Journals:

Dennis A. Ahlburg and Michael J. Levin, The Northeast Passage: A Study of Pacific Islander Migration to American Samoa and the United States, Pacific Research Monograph, No. 23, Australian National University, 1990.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, Remittances and their Impact: A Study of Tonga and Western Samoa, Pacific Policy Monograph No. 7, Research School of Pacific Studies, Australian National University, 1991.

Dennis A. Ahlburg and Kenneth Land, (eds), Population Forecasting, International Journal of

Forecasting (8,3), November 1992.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, Allen C. Kelley, and Karen Oppenheim Mason (eds), The Impacts of Population Growth on Well-being in Developing Countries, Heidelberg: Springer-Verlag, 1996.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, Tim Brown, and Heidi J. Larson (principal authors), Time to Act: The Pacific

Response to HIV and AIDS, United Nations, Suva, Fiji, March 1996.

Wolfgang Lutz, James W. Vaupel, and Dennis A. Ahlburg (eds) Frontiers of Population Forecasting Population and Development Review, Special Issue 1998.

Gavin Jones, Terry Hull, and Dennis A. Ahlburg (Principal authors) Southeast Asian Populations

in Crisis NY: United Nations Population Fund/Australian National University, 1998.

Emily Grundy, Dennis A. Ahlburg, Mohamed Ali, Andy Sloggett, and Elizabeth Breeze. Disability In Great Britain, London: Department of Social Security Research Report No. 94. 1999.

Dennis A. Ahlburg and Thomas Lindh (eds.), Global Income Growth in the Twenty First

Century: Determinants and Forecasts, International Journal of Forecasting, (23,4), OctoberDecember 2007.

Dennis A. Ahlburg (ed). The Future of Higher Education: Is there an International Crisis in the

Humanities?, Routledge, August 2018. Also wrote Introduction and Conclusion. Book Reviews:

D. Wheeler, Human Resource Policies, Economic Growth and Demographic Change in

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Developing Countries, Journal of Economic Literature, (26,4), 1848-1849.

M.T. Vu, World Population Projections, International Journal of Forecasting, (3,2), 1987, 336-338.

Wolfgang Lutz (ed), The Future Population of the World, Population and Development Review,

(21,3) September 1995, 678-682. Technical Reports, etc.:

J.G. Scoville, Dennis A. Ahlburg and J.J. Lawler, Pay Linkages and Policies to Combat Inflation. September 1981. Department of Labor Contract DOL-J-9-P-O-0171.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, "The Decline of the U.S. Steel Industry: Some Labor Market Implications

for Northeastern Minnesota." July 1983, Northeast Minnesota Task Force.

M.F. Bognanno, Dennis A. Ahlburg, H.E. Miller, P. L. Schumann and J.G. Scoville. Availability of Technicians for Employment in Minnesota Technology-Intensive Businesses, October 1983, Minnesota Wellspring.

Helen Hughes, Dennis A. Ahlburg, and Sun-Hee Lee, "Human Resources Development in Pacific

Developing Countries," April 1986, United Nations, The Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific.

Dennis Ahlburg, "Remittances and Their Effect on the Economies of Tonga and Western

Samoa," World Bank, February 1991.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, "Population Trends in the Pacific," Population Program, East-West Center, Honolulu, June 1993.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, Michael McPherson, and Morton Owen Schapiro, "Incorporating Enrollment

Forecasts into Projections of Pell Program Costs: A Study of Feasibility and Effectiveness," U.S. Department of Education, July 1993.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, "Report of the Independent Inquiry into Population and Development," A

Report to the Government of Australia, 1994. Dennis A. Ahlburg, "Income Distribution and Poverty in Fiji", A Report to UNDP, Fiji, May

1996 (a technical and a non-technical version).

Dennis A. Ahlburg, "Job Creation and Sustainable Livelihoods in Pacific Island Nations," A Report to UNDP, Fiji, March 1997.

Richard P.C. Brown and Dennis A. Ahlburg, "Remittances in the South Pacific: A Study of their

Determinants, Size, Impacts, And Policy Recommendations," A Report to UNFPA, Fiji, February 1997.

Dennis A. Ahlburg. “The Economic Impacts of Tuberculosis.” The Stop TB Initiative 2000

Series, Ministerial Conference, Amsterdam, March 22-24 2000.

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Conference Papers, Series Papers:

Dennis A. Ahlburg and Thomas G. Parry, "Determinants of U.S. Direct Investment in the Australian Manufacturing Sector." University of Reading Research Papers in International Investment and Business, No. 2, February 1973.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, "Determinants of the R&D Performance of U.S. Affiliated Firms in the

Australian Manufacturing Sector." Presented to the Fourth Conference of Economists, Canberra, Australia, 1974.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, "A Macroeconometric Economic-Demographic Forecasting Model for the

United States." Presented at Population Association of America Annual Meeting, April 1982.

Dennis A. Ahlburg and Morton Owen Schapiro, "Income, Aspirations, Unemployment and

Suicide." Presented at the meeting of the International Society of Political Psychology, Saint Catherine's College, Oxford, July 1983.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, "The U.S. Divorce Rate, 1955-1990." Presented at the Fourth International

Symposium on Forecasting, London, England, 1984.

Dennis A. Ahlburg and Timothy J. Keaveny, "A Linear Correction Procedure for the Reduction of Systematic Errors in Performance Appraisals." Presented at the Academy of Management Meetings, Boston, 1984.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, "Forecasting with Leading Indicators: An Application to Total Life Births."

Presented at the Population Association of America, Minneapolis, May 1984.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, "Intended Work-Related Relocation in a Family Decision Making Setting.” Presented at the Population Association of America Annual Meeting, Boston, March 1985.

Morton O. Schapiro and Dennis A. Ahlburg, "Crime, Unemployment, and Cohort Size."

Presented at the Population Association of America, San Francisco, April 1986.

Dennis A. Ahlburg and Morton Owen Schapiro, "Forecasting Anomie: Crime by Type to the Year 2000." Presented at the Sixth International Symposium on Forecasting, Paris, June 15-18, 1986.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, "Recent Advances in Population Forecasting," Featured Address, Sixth

International Symposium on Forecasting, Paris, June 15-18, 1986.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, "Investigating Fertility Fluctuations Using the Easterlin Method." Presented at the European Population Conference, Jyvaskyla, Finland, June 1987 and reprinted in Sociological Workings Papers, No. 6, Karl Marx University of Economic Sciences, Budapest, March 1989.

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Dennis A. Ahlburg, Michael Byungnam Lee, and Beth Blosten, "Determinants of the

Compensation of Executive Directors in the Not-for-Profit Sector." Presented at the Academy of Management Meetings, New Orleans, June 1987.

Dennis A. Ahlburg and Michael J. Levin, "A Study of International Migration to American

Samoa," National Centre for Development Studies, Australian National University, Islands/Australia Working Paper, July 1987.

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Dennis A. Ahlburg, Helen Hughes, and Sun-Hee Lee. "Emerging Issues in the Development of

Human Resources in South Pacific Developing Countries," Conference on International Law of Cooperation and Development, Bermuda, November 1987.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, "Fertility and Family in a Modern Metropolis," presented at a Conference on

Economic and Social Equilibrium in a Changing Metropolis, January 1988.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, "Job Transfer and Marital Happiness," IUSSP Conference or the Family, the Market, and the State in Aging Societies, Sendai, Japan, September 1988.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, "Does Population Growth Cause Human Suffering? An Analysis of the

Population Crisis Committee's International Human Suffering Index." Working Paper 89-01-1, Center for Population Analysis and Policy, University of Minnesota, January 1989.

Dennis A. Ahlburg and James W. Vaupel, "Projections of the U.S. Population Under Alternative

Fertility, Mortality, and Migration Assumptions," presented at Population Association of America, Baltimore, April, 1989; Ninth International Symposium in Forecasting, Vancouver, June 1989; International Union for the Scientific Study of Population, New Delhi, September 1989.

J.M. Elkington, S.G. Gerberich, P.D. Gunderson, and D.A. Ahlburg, "An Analysis of Suicide

Rates in Metropolitan and Rural Areas of Minnesota, 1970-85," Annual Meeting of American Public Health Association, Chicago, October 1989.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, "Population Policies: Do They Work?" American Association of the

Advancement of Science, New Orleans, February 1990.

Dennis A. Ahlburg and Morris Kleiner, "An Aging Population and the Economy: Evidence from OECD Countries." Working Paper 90-03-01, Center for Population Analysis and Policy, University of Minnesota, March 1990.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, "Predicting Migration and Remittances for Tonga and Western Samoa," 17th

Pacific Science Congress, Honolulu, May/June 1991.

Christine Brown Mahoney and Dennis A. Ahlburg, "The Determinants of the Labor Supply Decisions of Registered Nurses," Industrial Relations Research Association, Annual Meetings, New Orleans, January 1992.

Dennis A. Ahlburg and James W. Vaupel, "Immigration and the Dependency Burden."

Conference on Mass Migration in Europe, Vienna, April 1992 and 12th International Symposium on Forecasting, Wellington, New Zealand, August 1992.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, "Return Migration from the US to American Samoa: Evidence from the

1980 and 1990 Censuses." Hawaiians and Pacific Islanders Census Data Conference, Honolulu, February 1993.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, "New Realities of the American Family." Fourth Australian Conference on

the Family, Sydney, February 1993.

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Dennis A. Ahlburg, "Do Simple Forecasting Models Outperform Complex Models?" Conference on Simple/Complex Models, Institute for Behavior Science, University of Colorado, Boulder, September 1993.

Stephen DesJardins, Dennis A. Ahlburg, and Brian McCall, "Using Hazard Models to Study

College Drop-outs," Conference on Higher Education, Williams College, Williamstown, MA, August 1993.

Dennis A. Ahlburg and James V. Vaupel, "Immigration, Retirement and Dependency." IUSSP

Conference, Montreal, September 1993.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, "Good Jobs/Bad Jobs and Poverty in Minnesota, 1980-1990." Census Data Users Conference, St. Paul, MN, March 1994.

Stephen L. DesJardins, Dennis A. Ahlburg, and Brian P. McCall, "Studying the Determinants of

Student Stopout: Identifying "True" from Spurious Time-Varying Effects, "Presented at 34th Annual Forum of the Association for Institutional Research, New Orleans, May 29June 1 1994.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, "Labor Market Discrimination Against Migrants in Guam" Presented at the

Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America, San Francisco, April 1995.

Dennis A. Ahlburg and Scott Leitz, "A Model of Abortions in the United States." Presented at the Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America, San Francisco, April 1995.

Dennis A. Ahlburg and James W. Vaupel, "Immigration, Retirement, and the 'Dependency

Burden'", mimeo November 1994

Dennis A. Ahlburg, "Poverty Among Pacific Islanders in the United States: Incidence, Change, and Determinants." mimeo January 1995.

Eric R. Jensen and Dennis A. Ahlburg, "Fertility and Migration in the Philippines," Presented at

Nihon University Conference of Migration and the Family, Tokyo, March 1996.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, Eric R. Jensen, and Aurora Perez, "HIV/AIDS Risks: Determinants of Extramarital Sex in the Philippines," Presented at the Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America, New Orleans, May 1996.

Eric R. Jensen, Dennis A. Ahlburg, and Michael A. Costello, "The Impact of Wantedness and

Family Size on Child Morbidity and Health Care Allocations Within Filipino Families," mimeo, Program on Population, East-West Center, March 1996.

Stephen L. DesJardins, Dennis A. Ahlburg, and Brian P. McCall, "Using Event History: The

Different Modes of Student Departure from College," Fourth Annual Forum of the Association for Institutional Research, Lake Buena Vista, FL., May 18-21, 1997.

Stephen L. DesJardins, Dennis A. Ahlburg, and Brian P. McCall, "An Event History Model of

Student Departures." University of Minnesota Supercomputer Institute Working Paper, 1997.

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Dennis A. Ahlburg, "Intergenerational Transmission of Health." American Economic

Association, Chicago January 1998.

Dennis A. Ahlburg and In-gang Na, “Immigration and Labor Market Discrimination: Evidence from Guam”. 1998

Stephen L. DesJardins, Dennis A. Ahlburg, and Brian P. McCall, "Simulating the Longitudinal

Effects of Changes in Financial Aid on Student Departure," 38th Annual Forum of the Association for Institutional Research, Minneapolis, MN, 1998.

Dennis A. Ahlburg “Demographic and Economic Projections of Food Demand and Supply”

National Academy of Sciences Symposium on Population and Plants, Irvine, December 1998.

Dennis A. Ahlburg and Ragui Assaad, “A Study of Population Projections in Four Egyptian

Cities”. April 1999.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, “The Economic Impacts of Tuberculosis on Households.” WHO Geneva, October 1999.

Stephen L. DesJardins, Dennis A. Ahlburg, and Brian P. McCall, "Investigating Factors Related

to Timely Degree Completion," 40th Annual Forum of the Association for Institutional Research, Seattle, WA, 2000.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, Mohamed Ali, Wei Chi, and Emily Grundy. “Health, Disability, and the

Wellbeing of the Elderly in Britain.” Population Association of America, Washington DC, March 2001.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, Ragui Assaad, and Brian P. McCall. “Does Working While in School Help or

Hinder Educational Success in Egypt?” Population Association of America, Washington DC, March 2001.

Eric Jensen and Dennis A. Ahlburg. “A Simultaneous Hazards Model of Migration and Fertility.”

Population Association of America, Minneapolis MN, May 2003. Dennis A. Ahlburg. “Determinants of Post-secondary Schooling in the U.S.: 1850-1990.

Population Association of America, Minneapolis MN, May 2003.

Theresa Glomb, John Kammeyer-Mueller, Connie Wanberg, Dennis A. Ahlburg, and Ai-Chia Chuan. “A Longitudinal Examination of Multiple Dimensions of Person-Environment Fit.” Society of Industrial Organizational Psychology, Orlando FL, 2003.

Dennis A. Ahlburg and J. Scott Armstrong, “Long-Term Forecasts of Income: Econometric

Approaches.” Symposium on Global Income Growth in the 21st Century, Honolulu, Hawaii, January 9-10, 2003; International Symposium on Forecasting, Meridia Mexico, June 15-19 2003.

Stephen DesJardins, Dennis A. Ahlburg, and Brian McCall, “A Multiple Spells Competing-risks

model of student departure from college. Paper presented at 43rd Annual Forum of the Association for Institutional Research, Tampa, FL. May 18-21 2003

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Stephen DesJardins, Dennis A. Ahlburg, and Brian McCall, “A Structural Model of College

Choice.” Annual Meeting of the Association for the Study of Higher Education, Portland, November 2003.

Dennis A. Ahlburg and Yong Nam Song, “Poverty among Pacific Islander and Hawaiian Elderly,

1989 and 1999.” Annual Meeting of the Gerontological Society of America, San Diego, November 2003.

Eric Jensen and Dennis A. Ahlburg, “Why Does Migration Reduce Fertility?: A Multi-country

Analysis.” University of Indonesia, January 2004, Presented at Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America, Boston, March/April 2004.

Dennis A. Ahlburg and Ragui Assaad, “What Do We Know About the Relationship Between

Population and Poverty?” Presented at Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America, Boston, March/April 2004.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, Ragui Assaad, and Brian McCall, “Educational Attainment in Egypt: The

Impact of Delayed Entry to School.” Presented at Minnesota International Economic Development Conference, Minneapolis, April 30-May1 2004.

Dennis A. Ahlburg and J. Scott Armstrong, “Long-term Forecasts of Income: A Causal Model.”

Presented at 24th International Symposium on Forecasting, Sydney Australia, July 4-7 2004.

Dennis A. Ahlburg and Yong-Nam Song, “The Impact of the Economic Crisis and Recovery on

the Quality of Jobs in Korea.” Presented at the 2005 Economics Joint Conference, Seoul Korea, February 25-25 2005.

Wei Chi and Dennis A. Ahlburg, “Disability, Work, and Care-giving among the Elderly in the

U.K.”. Presented at the Society of Labor Economics/European Association of Labor Economics Conference, San Francisco, June 3-5 2005.

Dennis A. Ahlburg and Eric Jensen, “When I’m 104: The Determinants of Healthy Longevity

among the Oldest Old in China”. Presented at Conference on Determinants of Healthy Longevity in China, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock Germany, August 2-4 2004 and presented at Population Association of America, Philadelphia March 30-April 2, 2005 and the XXV International Population Conference of the IUSSP, Tours France, July 18-23 2005.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, “Determinants of Post-secondary Enrollment in the U. S.” presented at

Conference in Honor of Richard A. Easterlin, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, April 1-2 2006.

Asmaa Elbadawy, Dennis A. Ahlburg, Ragui Assaad, and Deborah Levison, “Private and Group

Tutoring in Egypt: Where is the Gender Inequality?’ IUSSP Conference, Marrakech, September 27 – October 2 2009.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, “San Antonio, Present and Future”. Presented at 77th Annual Meeting of

Southern University Conference, April 11-13, 2014, San Antonio, Texas.

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Dennis A. Ahlburg, “The Economics of Higher Education”. Presented at Northwestern University/Lewis and Clark College “What will College Look Like in 2025?” Conference, April 9-10, 2014, Portland, Oregon.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, “An Evolving Model: Creating Better Models of Postsecondary Education”.

Educational Policy Institute Forum on Education and the Economy, San Antonio, October2-3, 2014.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, “Should you take a gap year?”, Rector’s Seminar, Exeter College, University

of Oxford, February 28, 2016. (joint work with B. P. McCall, University of Michigan).

Dennis A. Ahlburg and Brian P. McCall, “A hazard model of college with endogenous waiting”. Population Association of America Annual Meeting, Washington DC, March 31-May 2, 2016.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, “Income Inequality and Higher Education”. Hispanic Association of Colleges

and Universities 30th Annual Conference, San Antonio, October 8-10, 2016.

Dennis A. Ahlburg and Brian P. McCall, “College Dropout and Graduation with Endogenous Waiting”, International Atlantic Economics Society Conference, London, March 15-17 2018. Also paper discussant at this conference

Dennis A. Ahlburg Rector’s Seminar, “The Norrington Table. What Can It Tell Us, If Anything?”

Exeter College, University of Oxford, June 7, 2017.

Dennis A. Ahlburg Rector’s Seminar, “Skimming the Cream: The Impact of Coresidence at Oxford.”, Exeter College, University of Oxford, November 22, 2017

Dennis A. Ahlburg “Is there an international crisis in the humanities?”, at Institute of Education,

University College London, May 22 2018.

Dennis A. Ahlburg “Is there an international crisis in the humanities?”, Rector’s Seminar, Exeter College, University of Oxford, June 6 2018.

Other Writings:

Michael McPherson, Morton O. Schapiro, Dennis A. Ahlburg, and David Breneman, “How Economics Can Help Colleges Be More Efficient”. Presented at the Forum for the Future of Higher Education, Aspen, Colorado, Forum Futures 2011, p29-34.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, “Benefits of College Degree Outweigh Costs”. San Antonio Express News,

February 8 2012.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, “Development of Cognitive Thinking Critical to our Youth.” San Antonio Express News, April 4, 2012.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, “The Cost of College is Well Worth It”. Houston Chronicle, October 9 2012.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, “Immigration Lifts all Boats in Economy”. San Antonio Business Journal,

December 14 2012.

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Dennis A. Ahlburg, “Tribute to General William K. Suter”. Tulane Law Review, Volume 88,

October 2013.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, “It’s the College Degree that Lifts Earnings”. Dallas Morning News, April 21, 2014

Dennis A. Ahlburg, “Much Still to Lose in Fight against Obesity”. San Antonio Express News,

October 27, 2014

Blog on British Higher Education for the London School of Economics British Politics and Policy Blog. February 2018.

Universities, Football Academies, and Shakespeare- a Response to Ware, The Political Quarterly

Blog, February 2018. Work in Progress:

Dennis A. Ahlburg, Brian P. McCall, Fiona Steele, Claire Crawford, “Determinants and Impact of Taking a Gap Year in England.”

Dennis A. Ahlburg, Christine Brown Mahoney, and Michael Levin, “Constructing a Household

Economic Status Index for a Pacific Island Nation: An Application to Guam and the Federated States of Micronesia.

Dennis A. Ahlburg, Christine Brown Mahoney, and Michael Levin, “Commitment to Home

Among Pacific Islanders”.

Dennis A. Ahlburg and Evan Roberts, “Why Did the Boom in Business School Enrollments Stop?”