Current Status of Solar Energy in India
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Transcript of Current Status of Solar Energy in India
Current Status of Solar energy in India 6/26/2012
Ayyati.com
Mansi Goel
Page 1 of 19
TABLE OF CONTENTS
1. Introduction 2
2. Solar Energy & the World 3
Solar Energy installed capacity (2010) 3
3. Solar Energy & India 4
Viable locations
4
Status of SE in India in comparison to other Renewable Energy
Resources 5
Status of SE generation in India (2010) 7
Summary of installed SE utilization devices 9
Market analysis: Solar PV cell production in India 9
Installed projects 10
Other ongoing projects 11
4. SE policies in India 13
Policies so far: A Timeline 13
Central Government policies 14
State Government policies 14
JNNSM road map 15
Realistic scenario vs. Projected JNNSM targets by 2022 15
5. Discussion 16
6. Conclusion 17
7. Bibliography 18
Page 2 of 19
INTRODUCTION
Solar energy is the utilization of the radiant energy from the Sun. Solar power is often used
interchangeably with solar energy but refers more specifically to the conversion of sunlight into
electricity.
Earth receives 174 petawatts (PW) of incoming solar radiation (insolation) at the upper atmosphere.
Approximately 30% is reflected back to space while the rest is absorbed by the clouds, oceans & land
masses. The total global solar radiation striking a given surface has two components, direct beam and
diffuse radiation. Direct beam radiation (or direct normal irradiance, DNI) comes as parallel beams from
the sun like on sunny days with clear skies. On overcast days, DNI is negligible. As solar radiation
passes through the earth’s atmosphere, part of it is absorbed or scattered. This scattered radiation is
diffused solar radiation. Radiation, whether diffused, beam, or global in a particular region is measured
in kilo watt hours per square metre per year.
Solar radiation along with secondary solar resources such as wind & wave power, hydroelectricity &
biomass account for over 99.9% of the available renewable energy on Earth. The total solar energy
absorbed by Earth’s atmosphere, oceans & land masses is approximately 3850 zetta joules (ZJ) per year.
India will soon become one of the world’s largest photovoltaic solar energy markets. While it boasts off
the best solar resources in the world with 260-300 clear sunny days per year; it is also dealing with
continuous power deficits which have increased over the past few years. Because of its location between
the Tropic of Cancer and the Equator, India has an average annual temperature that ranges from 25°C –
27.5 °C. This means that India has huge solar potential. Solar lightings, though light millions of Indian
households but around 100,000 villages and 450 million people still live in dark. The government’s
recent announcement of The National Solar Mission brings much hope with its target 20,000 megawatts
of cumulative installed solar power by 2020.
Talking in terms of power statistics there is a huge demand/supply gap of 12% on average which even
rises to 15% for progressive states. It’s a shame for world’s sixth largest energy consumer that it has
installed power capacity only of 150, 323, MW. The average per capita energy usage which is 632kWh
per annum today is only expected to increase to 1000kWh by the beginning of 2013 which is not even
close to half of the current usage in western economies.
Page 3 of 19
SOLAR ENERGY & THE WORLD
India still is not among the world's top 10 solar energy generators. But yes, it’s the only country in the
world with an independent Ministry for renewable energy, known as the Ministry of New and
Renewable Energy [MNRE].
Solar energy installed capacity (2010)
As is visible from the graph below, the solar energy would be replacing all other forms of energy in the
coming future.
Country Installed capacity
(MW)
Germany 17193
Spain 4317
Japan 3622
Italy 3494
U.S. 2660
France 1025
China 893
India 10
Source:
U.S. Department of
Energy
Page 4 of 19
SOLAR ENERGY & INDIA
Viable locations
Map showing Direct Normal Irradiance Map showing Global Horizontal Irradiance
Rajasthan
This largest state in India receives maximum solar radiation intensity in India. According to US
Department of Energy, Rajasthan receives the second largest amount of solar radiation in the world.
Rajasthan is best suited for solar power generation since average rain fall is minimum. Rajasthan has
around 208,110 Sq.km of desert land. Rajasthan has more than 325 sunny days in a year with solar
radiation of about 6-7Kwh/sq-m/day. The DNI over Rajasthan varies from 1800 kWh/m2 to
2600Kwh/m2. Jodhpur in Rajasthan is receiving maximum solar radiation which is known as Sun City
of India
Gujarat
Gujarat receives second largest amount of solar radiation in India. Gujarat receives 5.5 to 6
KWh/sq.m/day with 300 sunny days/year. Most locations in Gujarat receive an annual Direct Normal
Incidence (DNI) in between 1,800 - 2,000 KWh/m2.
Page 5 of 19
Tamil Nadu
After Rajasthan and Gujarat, Tamil Nadu receives the third largest amount of solar radiation in India.
Tamil Nadu receives about 5.35Kwh/sq.m/day. Now some companies are taking initiative for solar
power projects in Tamil Nadu.
Maharashtra
Dhule and Jalgaon from north Maharashtra, Osmanabad and Aurangabad from Marathwada and
Chandrapur and Wardha districts of Vidarbha have the highest exposure to solar rays.
Status of Solar energy in India in comparison to other Renewable Energy Resources
Source-wise Installed capacity of Grid Interactive
Renewable Power in India
Date Biomass
power
Waste
to
energy
Wind
power
Small
hydro
power
Solar
power
Mar’09 1752.33 59 10242.30 2180.85 2.12
Mar’10 2199.63 64.96 11929.25 2735.42 10.28
Mar’11 2664.63 72.48 14155.85 3042.92 35.15
A State-wise and source-wise comparison of the installed capacity of Grid interactive renewable power
as on 31-03-2010 and 30-03-2011 is also been listed in the table below from where it can be inferred
that Tamil Nadu by far has the ‘Greenest Electricity’ in India followed closely by Karnataka and
Maharashtra, coming mainly from the winds (wind energy). Solar Power is still taking its baby steps.
Table showing state-wise & source-wise installed capacity of grid Interactive Renewable power as on 31.03.10 & 31.09.11
State
Small hydro
power
(MW)
Biomass
power
(MW)
Waste to
energy
(MW)
Wind
power
(MW)
Solar
Power
(MW)
Total
(MW)
2010 2011 2010 2011 2010 2011 2010 2011 2010 2011 2010 2011
Andhra Pradesh 186.8 191.4 363.2 363.2 35.66 43.16 122.5 191.5 0.1 2.1 721.9 791.4
Punjab 132.5 154.5 62.5 74.5 9.25 9.25 - - 1.33 2.33 205.6 240.6
Gujarat 12.60 15.60 0.5 0.5 - - 1864 2176 - 5 1877 2198
Himachal Pradesh 330.3 393.4 - - - - - - - - 330.3 393.5
Karnataka 640.4 783.4 336.2 365.2 1 1 1473 1727 6 6 2456 2882
Maharashtra 245.3 274.1 218.5 403 5.7 5.72 2078 2317 - 4 2547 3005
Rajasthan 23.85 23.85 31.3 73.3 - - 1088 1525 0.15 5.15 1144 1627
Tamil Nadu 90.05 96.55 395.7 488.2 5.65 5.65 4907 5904 0.05 5.05 5398 6500
Page 6 of 19
State-wise & source-wise installed capacity of grid Interactive Renewable power as on 31.09.11
It is evident from the figures above that wind power takes up most of the share of the Renewable
resources in our country. This is because the initial installation cost is very less compared to other
energy sources and also India receives a variety of winds. Solar energy has been used since times
immemorial but for power generation purposes it’s a new kid on the block. Even then it has caught up
quite well (more than 300% growth in 1 year) provided the fact that the initial installation costs are way
too high and that is evident from the table below.
2.12
10.28
35.15
0
10
20
30
40
Mar'09 Mar'10 Mar'11
Po
wer
(M
W/H
ou
r)
Growth curve of Solar Power in India
Solar Power
Page 7 of 19
This looks like a good sign. But what doesn’t seem good is world’s growing need for energy.
The price of peak electricity in 2010 is assumed to be around Rs.6.50 per unit. If carbon cess becomes a
reality, the cost of generation of thermal power will increase substantially in the coming years. Using
inflation rates of 5%, 6% and 7%, the peak price is projected till 2022. The following figure shows the
peak price of electricity from the grid increasing, while the per unit price of electricity from solar PV
decreasing. Grid parity, it appears, will happen anywhere between 2018 and 2020. This means that
anytime near 2018 we can hope to have ‘green electricity’ lighting our homes 24X7!
Status of Solar Energy generation in India (2010)
Solar Photovoltaic
India has one of the largest SPV (solar photovoltaic) markets,
driven by government programmes of subsidies, tax, and
financial incentives that began in the 1980s. Under the PV
programme of the MNRE, over 610000 systems aggregating to
over 20 MW have been installed. This includes solar lanterns,
home lighting systems, street lighting systems, water pumping
systems, and an aggregate capacity of about 1.2 MW of stand-
alone power plants.
A new niche application of PV stand-alone power plants is in the unelectrified areas. It is estimated that for the
18000 unelectrifiable villages in India located in far-flung areas inaccessible to the grid, stand-alone SPV systems
Solar Lanterns 7.7 lakh
Solar Home lighting system 5.1 lakh
Solar street lighting system 82,500
Solar water pumping system 7,247
Page 8 of 19
will be instrumental in providing a limited amount of electricity. The MNRE is designing a programme to
undertake this task.
Solar Thermal
A subsidy-based solar thermal programme was launched in India in 1984 and continued up to 1993.
Capital subsidy was removed and provision for soft loan was introduced in 1994. An integrated solar
combined cycle power project is planned at Mathania in the state of Rajasthan. This plant of total
capacity 140 MW has a solar thermal component of 35 MW, based on the
parabolic trough collector technology.
Solar Water Heating system
In India, the first serious attempt to deploy the technology was made with
the formation of the Department of Non-conventional Energy Sources. In
1982, though the history of research & pilot-demonstration go back to the
1960s. Today, India ranks 5th
in terms of SWHS installations, accounting
for 1.4% of the total heating capacity through solar water heaters around
the world.
Table below lists down the Indian Solar water heating scenario as per UNDP-GEF
Global solar Water Heating Project
Solar Cooker
One solar thermal application in which India appears to be the world leader at present is cooking. About
600,000 family solar cookers have been installed in the country so far; most of these are of box type, the
number of dish type being about 6,000. Apart from outdoor family type cookers, concentrating
community cookers have been introduced in recent years.
Techno-economical potential 40 million sq. m
National Solar mission goal 7 million sq. m by 2013
20 million sq. m by 2022
Demand Projection 5.4 million sq. m by 2013
18.7 million sq. m by 2022
Cumulative achievement 3.52 million sq. m up to 2010
Pre-project baseline 2.55 million sq. m as on
Oct’08
Page 9 of 19
Summary of Installed Solar energy utilization devices
State SPV
Pumps
Solar Photovoltaic Solar
Cooke
r SLS HLS SL PP
(kWh)
Gujarat 85 2004 9231 31603 336 17067
5
Karnataka 551 2694 36134 7334 225.4 253
Maharashtr
a 228 8420 2431 8683 850 58044
Rajasthan 283 6852 91754 4716 990 36682
Tamil Nadu 829 6350 7536 16816 67.73 1536
[SPV: Solar Photo Voltaic; SLS: Street Lighting system; HLS: Home Lighting System; PP: Power Plant]
Market Analysis: Solar PV cell production in India
About 40 companies are actively engaged in manufacturing solar cells and panels, and many more companies
produce end products such as solar lanterns, street lamps etc. The production in the country during 2009-10 is
estimated to be about 230 MWp of solar cells and 325 MWp of PV modules. Nearly 90% of the solar modules
manufactured in India use crystalline silicon C-Si technology, while only 10% of the solar modules are
manufactured using thin film technology.
As of end 2009, the cumulative production of solar PV cells in India has been about 800 MW. Of this total, only a
small portion has been used in applications within India, while the rest have been exported. Of the total amount of
solar cells cumulatively used in India, the following are the areas in which they have been applied. India had an
installed solar power capacity of 1700 MW in 2007 which amounted to roughly 1% of its total power generation
of 130,000 MW. India is currently
ranked 7th in the world in Solar PV
cell production
The major role players for the
production of solar energy in India
are:
Tata BP Solar
Moser Baer
Central Electronics Ltd.
SELCO
BHEL etc.
Page 10 of 19
Azure Power had set up a 5MW solar PV power plant in Khadoda village in Gujarat. It had invested
around Rs. 1700 million towards the project and is adding another 5MW which is under
implementation. The solar plant is connected to GSEB grid.
NKG infrastructure allotted a solar power project of 10MW capacity at solar park, Patan district in
Gujarat. The company has signed a PPA with Gujarat Urja Vikas Nigam Limited.
Louroux has signed an agreement with the state of Gujarat to execute a 25MWp solar PV project.
The project is scheduled for commissioning in December 2011. For project execution, the company
has established tie-up with a leading European solar Engineering company for project execution.
Tata Power is developing a 25MW solar project at Mithapur in Gujarat. Tata Power also signed a
PPA with GUVNL at a rate of Rs. 10-12. The solar plant will use crystalline silicon photovoltaic
technology and is likely to be commissioned by end of 2011.
Adani Power Limited is setting up a 100MW solar power project at Surendranagar at Gujarat. A
PPA has been executed with GUVNL for 40MW in the first phase.
Moser Baer completed the biggest solar powered plant in Gujarat in October 2011. The thin film
panels for the project are supported by First Solar. The plant will generate 52 million kilowatt hours
or enough electricity for 50,000 homes per day.
PLG Power has signed a PPA with GUVNL for 40MW of solar power. PLG power will set up PV
power projects in Patan district in Northern Gujarat. The first phase of 10MW solar plant in Patan
will be connected shortly and the balance will be done before end of the current fiscal. PLG has
signed EPC agreements with the Saudi-based Zamil group for 20MW solar grid connected plant and
Indo-wind energy for 10MW solar power plant in Gujarat.
Installed projects
Though the percentage of solar energy generated in India is only 0.4% compared to different resources
but till October 2009, the country shared the first position with the United States in regards to Solar
Power production capacity. Due to its high primary price of deployment, solar energy is prohibitive at
present and it can be promoted to a flourishing solar market only if the technology becomes
competitively cheaper by attaining cost uniformity with nuclear energy or fossil. A number of solar
power projects in India have been undertaken for the proper utilization of solar energy in India. Indian
Government has promoted the utilization of solar power through diverse strategies.
The Shirdi solar system which is built with a cost of 133 lakh rupees generates 3500 kg of
steam – enough to cook for 20,000 people. The whole system is installed in less than 10 months
and it saves Shirdi temple 20 lakh rupees per year (in terms of the money spent on 1 lakh kg of
LPG which they spend now). 40 solar parabolic concentrators move in the direction of sun and
raise the temperature of water which will then produce the steam.
Page 11 of 19
The Tirumala Tirupati Devasthanam, Tirupati (AP): The solar system can cook 30,000 meals per
day and 15,000 meals at a time. The system curbs fuel consumption by nearly 50 per cent
thereby saving Rs 17 lakh per year for the Devasthanam. The system is comprised of 106
rooftop-mounted parabolic concentrators.
A 5GW Solar Power plant project has been commissioned in Madhopur, Bhuj, Gujarat costing $475
million. The current largest solar array in the world produces 900 megawatts of power, so this 5 gigawatts
plan gives you an idea of its scope.
Chemists at the University of California, Berkeley, have discovered a way to make cheap plastic solar
cells that could be painted on almost any surface. Konarka Technologies are already manufacturing a
product called, “Power Plastic” which absorbs both sunlight and indoor light and converts it into
electricity, which has efficiency around 8%.
Other ongoing projects
1. Solar Radiation Resource Assessment across India
MNRE has initiated a major project on Solar Radiation
Resource Assessment (SRRA) across the nation to assess and
quantify the solar radiation availability along with weather
parameters with a view to develop Solar Atlas. Centre for
Wind Energy Technology, Chennai is implementing the
project by
Installing a network of 51 Automatic Solar Radiation
Monitoring Stations (ASRMS) in the first phase in different
states.
Each ASRMS consists of two towers of 1.5 m and 6 m tall
each. The 1.5 m tall tower houses a Solar Tracker equipped
with Pyranometer, Pyranometer with Shaded Ring and
Pyrheliometer to measure solar parameters, such as, global, diffused and direct radiation. The 6 m tall
States No. of ASRMS
Proposed Completed
Rajasthan 12 12
Gujarat 11 11
Tamil Nadu 7 7
Andhra Pradesh 6 6
Karnataka 5 5
Maharashtra 3 3
Madhya Pradesh 3 3
Jammu & Kashmir 1 1
Chhattisgarh 1 1
Pondicherry 1 1
Haryana 1 1
Total 51 51
Page 12 of 19
tower houses instruments measuring rainfall, ambient temperature, atmospheric pressure, relative
humidity, wind speed and direction.
2. Performance of Grid Solar PV Power Plants under Demonstration programme
Under the demonstration programme on megawatt size grid solar power plants, announced in Jan’08, a
total of six grid connected solar PV Power projects have been commissioned in the country. The 1st plant
was commissioned in Aug’09 in West Bengal & the latest plant was commissioned in Mar’11 in Andhra
Pradesh. A brief summary of the status of these projects is given below:
S.No Project Developer Project site
Nominal
capacity
(MW)
Period of
Operation
(Days)
Actual
Generation
(MW)
Highest
CUF % so
far
Month of
Highest
CUF %
1. WBGEDCL-I
(Sept’09-Aug’10)
Jamuria, Asansol,
W.B. 1 365 1130700 14.93 Mar’10
2. WBGEDCL-II
(Sept’10-Apr’11)
Jamuria, Asansol,
W.B. 1 242 730500 14.54 Mar’11
3. Azure-I
(Dec’09-Nov’10)
Awan, Amritsar,
Punjab 1 365 1571610 20.73 Apr’10
4. Azure-II
(Dec’10-Jun’11)
Awan, Amritsar,
Punjab 2 212 1740480 20.90 Apr’11
5. Mahagenco-I
(May’10-Apr’11)
Chandrapur,
Maharashtra 1 365 1347840 20.21 Apr’11
6. Mahagenco-II
(May’11-Jun’11)
Chandrapur,
Maharashtra 1 61 273640 21.04 May’11
7. Reliance
(Jul’10-Jun’11)
Nagaur, Rajasthan 5 352 7473378 23.63 Mar’11
8. Sapphire
(Dec’10-Jun’11)
Siva Ganga, Tamil
Nadu 5 190 4271319 20.37 May’11
9. Sri Power
(Mar’11-May’11)
Chittora, Andhra
Pradesh 2 92 901900 22.48 Mar’11
(WBGEDCL: West Bengal Green Energy Development Corporation Limited)
Four of these plants have completed one year of their operation and for these plants the net Capacity Utilization
Factor (CUF) of the plant has been calculated.
S.No. Project Developer Lowest CUF % so far Month of lowest CUF % Actual CUF %
1. WBGEDCL 10.52 Dec’09 12.29
2. Azure 8.17 Jan’10 16.92
3. Mahagenco 9.9 May’10 15.39
4. Reliance 10.17 Aug’10 18.80
Page 13 of 19
The CUF of these four plants is in the range of 12.29 % to 18.8%.
From the overall performance, the plant in Rajasthan is the best at present. Except for the plant in West
Bengal, which was the first plant and a part of the initial learning curve the average CUF of all other
plants is in the range of 15% to 19%. Except for WBGEDCL project where the highest CUF was
14.93%, all other plants have achieved highest CUF in the range of 20.21% to 23.63%.
SOLAR ENERGY POLICIES IN INDIA
Policies so far: a Timeline
Year Policy Description
1974-79 MNP : Minimum Needs
Programme
Overall objective was to cover at least 60% of villages in each state and
union territory under the rural electrification programme by 1990; a target
of 46464 additional villages was fixed for the 6th
plan under the MNP. The
actual achievement however, was estimated at 34489 villages.
1988-89 Kutir Jyoti Scheme
Launched for extending single point light connections to households of
rural poor families below the poverty line including harijan and aadiwasi
families.
5th
Feb, 04
Definition of Electrified
village under the Ministry of
Powers Memorandum No.
42/1/2001-D(RE)
The definition of an electrified village was changed (among other things) to
at least 10% of the total no. of households in the village being electrified.
Apr’05
Rajiv Gandhi Gramin
Vidyutikaran Yojana
(RGGVY)
This was a major initiative towards universal electrification under the
programme, 90% grant is provided by the Central government and 10% as
loans by the rural electrification corporation (REC) to the state
governments. The REC is the nodal agency for the programme.
2006 Rural Electrification Policy
Access to electricity for all households by 2009.
Quality and reliable power supply at reasonable rates
Minimum supply of 1 unit per household per day as a merit good by 2012
2007 Semi-conductor policy
To encourage semi-conductor and ecosystem manufacturing, of which solar
PVs also a component
A capital subsidy of 20% for manufacturing plants in special economic
zones (SEZ) and 25% for manufacturing plants outside of SEZs, based on
the condition that the net present value (NPV) of the investment is at least
US $2012 million (Rs. 10000 million [Rs. 1000 crores] @ US $1=Rs.47)
3rd
Aug’ 09 Draft of National Solar
Mission approved by PM
The plan has an ambitious target of generating 20,000MW solar power by
2020; the mission strategy consists of 3 phases
14th
Nov’09 JNNSM Release of mission document
Page 14 of 19
3rd
Dec’09
Central Electricity regulatory
Commission (CERC)
announces tariff for
Renewable energy power
generation
For solar power, the tariff period has been specified as 25 yrs. The CERC
has determined the tariff of Rs.18.44/kWh for solar PV projects and
Rs.13.45/kWh for solar thermal projects commissioned in FY 2009-10
11th
Jan,10 Policy launch of JNNSM The mission targets 20,000MW of solar generating capacity by the end of
13th
five year plan (2022)
17th
Jun’10 JNNSM off-grid guidelines Guidelines for off-grid and decentralized solar applications and rooftop and
other small power plants released.
25th
Jul’10 JNNSM grid-connected
guidelines
Guidelines for selection of new grid-connected projects with CERC
determined tariff of Rs.17.91/kWh for solar PV projects and Rs.15.31/kWh
for dollar thermal projects commissioned in FY 2010-11 and 2011-12.
15th
Sept,10 CERC tariff order The tariffs for solar projects where PPAs are signed after 31
st Mar’11 have
been revised to Rs.15.39 for PV and Rs.15.04 for solar thermal projects.
Central Government Policies
NAPCC: In order to achieve a sustainable development path that sustainable advances economic
and environmental objectives on Jun 30th
, 2008, the National Action Plan for Climate Change
was framed with eight core missions including National Solar Mission – renamed as Jawaharlal
Nehru National Solar Mission (JNNSM).
Custom duty has also been pegged at a low 5% on equipment for Solar Photovoltaic and Solar
Thermal Power. These equipment will also be exempt from central excise duties.
Excise will also be reduced from 8% to 4% on Led Lights.
A Unique solar powered rickshaw developed by CSIR will attract a mere 4% excise duty and its
components will be exempted from Customs duty.
Carbon Offsets can be used to compensate for the emissions produced by funding an equivalent
carbon dioxide saving somewhere else. 1 kW of solar power with an average of 5.5 hours of
sunlight per day will produce 1 carbon credit per year. 1 carbon credit is equal to 1 ton of carbon
dioxide offset
So far 30 million carbon credits are generated by India, in coming years 140 millions are expected, with
650 energy efficiency projects
State Government Policies
Some states like Gujarat and Karnataka have instituted independent solar policies and generation based
tariffs that a developer will receive on signing PPA with a state electricity authority. The Gujarat Energy
Development Agency (GEDA) has signed MOUs with developers for 365 MW of solar PV and 351
MW of solar thermal capacities.
Page 15 of 19
The Karnataka Power Corporation Limited has taken the lead and has commissioned 6MW (two 3 MW
plants) solar PV capacity, and is soon commissioning one more 3 mw plant, bringing the total installed
capacity of PV in Karnataka to 9MW.
Other states such as Rajasthan and Haryana are in process of instituting solar policies. The Haryana
Renewable Energy Development Agency (HREDA) has been promoting solar in a big way.
JNNSM road map
Application segment Current status
as on 30-06-2010
JNNSM targets
Phase-I
2010-13
Phase-II
2013-17
Phase-III
2017-22
Solar PV
Connected to high tension (HT)
(>33kV) 12.28 MW 500MW
4000-10000
MW 20000 MW
Connected to HT (<33kV)
Capacity of 100kWp to 2MWp - 90MW
Connected to LT (400V)for 3 phase
or 230V for 1 phase
Capacity <100kWp
- 10MW
CSP Connected to HT (>33kV) - 500 MW
Off-Grid Solar
applications
Solar lantern
797344 no.s
200 MW 1000MW 2000MW Solar home lighting systems
603307 no.s
Solar PV street lights 119634 no.s
Solar PV irrigation pumps 7334 no.s
Off-grid solar PV (micro grid) 292 MWp
Solar thermal
applications
Solar thermal collectors (million sq.
m) 3.53 7 15 20
Realistic scenario vs. the JNNSM targets by 2022
Clearly, we are lacking in
achievement of projected
targets. The gap between
the projected and real
picture will, as seen from
the curve, grow in future but
will gradually be erased
with the advancement in
technology and growth in
economy.
3.15.37
9.52
18.7
7
15
20
0
5
10
15
20
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025Are
a I
nst
all
ati
on
(1
00
0x
sq. m
)
Year
Realistic
Targeted
Page 16 of 19
DISCUSSION
With a the announcement of National Solar Mission in December 2009, there have been considerable
discussions at all levels of society on solar technology, investment, policy and regulations in India. The
Ministry of New and Renewable Energy (MNRE) has made laudable efforts in attracting investors,
having released several rounds of guidelines for different applications. The demand for solar PV is
already expected to exceed the target of 500 MW; though the future of CSP is less certain given that it
are early days for the technology not just in India but globally.
The target set for Phase 1 of 500 MW of utility scale solar PV are sliced in different ways as a means of
illustrating societal and budgetary impacts.
Net present value of outlay towards phase 1 of the JNNSM
2010 2011 2012 2013
Annual installation 30 120 120 230
Generation (million kWh) 53 210 210 403
Price/Wp 180 170 159 150
Tariff/kWh 17.91 17.91 16.3 15.4
NPV of cash outlay of installation in that
year
(billion rupees)
8.54 34.2 31.1 56.3
NPV of Phase 1 (billion rupees) 108
Providing 5.5 million households each with 37 watt panels or providing 4000 villages with 50 kWp micro
grids will each work out to be 200 MW. The magnitude of this must be judged in relation to the 75000
villages and 28 million households that are currently un-electrified. Hence, off-grid applications for rural
electrification should be prioritized considering it makes economic sense as well.
To support the aforementioned, even at today’s high prices, solar based micro grids offer a competitive
solution compared to grid extensions .Moreover solar PV is ideally suited for generation near demand
centers .Plus; there is an urgent need of meeting the electrification needs of rural India. Increasing the
proposed capacity for rural electrification via decentralized options would have a far greater impact than
grid extensions.
There should be clear long term policy mechanisms in place to ensure that interest in solar investment
remains .The current tariff of Rs.17.91 is for PV plants commissioned in the year 2010-11. Infusing
certainty into the system with a degression algorithm, much like the German model, could go a long way
in providing certainty and resulting in sustained investor interests.
It is not at all clear to any of the stake holders what are the mechanisms to buy solar power in phases 2
and 3 will be. Without a clear road map, targets alone will, not lead to any of the pre – requisites for
reduction in the cost of solar power , namely, manufacturing set-up corporate R & D or high level
human resources development (HRD).
Page 17 of 19
CONCLUSIONS
Solar power is a proven technology. Solar power is a clean and renewable energy source. It may be
reliable energy source, if used as hybrid system with small hydro power or storage batteries to remote
communities and islands that are not connected to grid. Solar PV is simple to operate and maintain. The
lifespan of solar system is measured in years, which is generally 20-25 years. The electrical power
output from solar system is mainly depend upon intensity of solar radiation, sunshine hours. There is
huge scope for research in area of PV cell material, so that one can reduce the generation cost, because
PV array is the most costly item in SPV system.
Solar energy has the potential to generate virtually unlimited, essentially clean, carbon free electricity.
Given that it holds great promise, with most parts of the country receiving plenty of sunshine- 4to 6
hours a day for over 300 days a year- India should look to the sun to reap the benefits of its energy.
Power generation from solar PV does not produce noise or air pollution, and the replacement of
kerosene with solar lighting will have significant positive effects on family health.
The new guidelines and incentives announced by the MNRE are a marked improvement over previous
policies. However, given the large out lay of public fund expected in the next few years, steps should be
taken to ensure that the impact of the solar energy goes well beyond installed capacity.
Page 18 of 19
BIBLIOGRAPHY
1. “Renewable Energy Data book 2010” – handbook published by U.S. Department of Energy
2. Ministry of New & Renewable Energy website
3. National Renewable Energy Laboratory (U.S.A.) website
4. Annual handbook of Energy Statistics (2011 & 2012) - Ministry of Statistics & Programme
Implementation
5. “Harnessing Solar Energy: Options for India” - book published by Centre for Science,
Technology & Power
6. “A Review of Solar energy – Markets, Economies & Policy” – research paper by Govinda R.
Timilsana, Lado Kurdgelashvili & Patrick A. Narbel
7. “Present status & future prospect of Solar power in India” – research paper by Prafulla Krishnant
Pise & Mukesh Kumar singhal
8. “Final Report on Scheme & Framework for promotion Solar Water Heating system by Utilities
& Regulators” – report by MNRE
9. “Renewable energy & Energy efficiency status in India” – Report compiled by ICLEI South Asia
10. “Overview of sustainable Renewable energy potential in India” – Report compiled by Global
Energy Network Institute