Current Employment Statistics Highlights November 2019 · Over - the - month change, January 2016...

November 2019

Release Date: December 6, 2019

Prepared by Analysts of the National Estimates Branch Current Employment Statistics Survey

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

202-691-6555 Email CES

Contents

Summary

Mining & Logging

Construction

Manufacturing

Wholesale Trade

Retail Trade

Transportation, Warehousing, & Utilities

Information

Financial Activities

Professional & Business Services

Private Education & Health Services

Leisure & Hospitality

Other Services

Government

Current Employment Statistics Highlights

Detailed Industry Employment Analysis

Current Employment Statistics

Highlights

http://data.bls.gov/cgi-bin/forms/ces?/ces/home.htm

Current Employment Statistics Summary, November 2019

CES Highlights


In social assistance, employment continued

to trend up in individual and family services

(+11,000).

+54,000 Manufacturing

Manufacturing employment rose by 54,000

in November, offsetting a loss of 43,000 in the

prior month. Workers in motor vehicle and

parts manufacturing were on strike in October

Nonfarm employment increased by

266,000 in November. Employment continued

to trend up in health care and in professional

and technical services. The return to work by

employees who had been on strike in

manufacturing also contributed to the

November strength.

The employment change for October

revised up from +128,000 to +156,000, and

the change for September revised up from

+180,000 to +193,000. On net, employment

over these months is 41,000 higher than

previously reported.

Average hourly earnings of all employees

on private-sector payrolls rose by 7 cents or

0.2 percent in November. Over the year,

hourly earnings have increased by 3.1 percent.

Average weekly hours were unchanged at 34.4

hours.

+74,000 Education and Health Services

Employment in health care rose by 45,000

in November. Within ambulatory care, above-

average job gains in offices of physicians

(+16,000), dentists (+6,000), and home health

care (+9,000) followed little change in

October. Hospitals added 10,000 jobs in

November.

90

232234

211

15

282

336

135

270

128

170

215

252

141

127

213

128

229

204

187

18

260

220

174171

330

182

196

270262

178

282

108

277

196

227

312

56

153

216

62

178166

219

193

156

266

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

Jan-16 Jul-16 Jan-17 Jul-17 Jan-18 Jul-18 Jan-19 Jul-19

Over-the-month change Annual average

Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics, December 06, 2019.Most recent 2 months of data are preliminary.

Over-the-month change, January 2016–November 2019Seasonally adjusted, in thousands

Employment in total nonfarm

Summary Mining & Logging

Construction Manufacturing Trade:

Wholesale Retail

Transp., Warehousing

& Utilities Information


Professional & Business

Services



Other Services

Government

CES Highlights


then returned to work in November, leaving

employment in the industry little changed

over the 2-month span (-2,000).

+45,000 Leisure and Hospitality

Employment continued to trend up in

leisure and hospitality (+45,000). Over the

past 4 months, the industry has added 219,000

jobs. Food services and drinking places

accounted for much of the trend over this

period (+149,000).

+38,000 Professional and Business Services

Professional and technical services added

31,000 jobs in November. Over the year, this

industry has added 278,000 jobs.

+16,000 Transportation and Warehousing

In November, employment rose in

warehousing and storage (+8,000) and in

couriers and messengers (+5,000).

+13,000 Financial Activities

Employment continued to trend up in

financial activities in November. The industry

has added 116,000 jobs over the year.

+2,000 Retail Trade

Employment changed little in retail trade in

November. Job gains in general merchandise

stores (+22,000) and motor vehicle and parts

dealers (+8,000) were partly offset by a loss of

18,000 in clothing and accessories stores.

-7,000 Mining and Logging

Mining employment fell by 7,000 in

November. Support activities accounted for

6,000 of the loss, while a small strike pulled

employment lower in metal mining (-1,000).

12

9

45

74

38

13

13

1

16

2

-4

54

1

-7

-40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 100

Government

Other services

Leisure and hospitality

Education and health services*

Professional and business services

Financial activities

Information

Utilities

Transportation and warehousing

Retail trade

Wholesale trade

Manufacturing*

Construction

Mining and logging*

Employment in total nonfarm

November 2019 Prior 12-month average

Over-the-month change, November 2019Seasonally adjusted, in thousands

Total nonfarm:266*

Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics survey, December 06, 2019.

Data are preliminary.

* denotes significance

Current Employment Statistics Summary, November 2019



Wholesale Retail





Services



Other Services

Government

Mining employment declined by 7,000 in

November. Since reaching a peak in May,

mining employment has declined by 19,000.

These losses can be attributed to support

activities for mining, which has lost 24,000

jobs since May.

In November, the contraction in mining

employment reflected a decline in the

number of active domestic rotary oil rigs.

-15

-21 -2

0-1

2-1

2 -10

-4 -4-1

-34

03

5 59

54

36

21

40

7 79 9

58

08

4

6-3

45

-21

1 1-2

-5-7

1 1-7

-30

-25

-20

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15


Employment in miningOver-the-month change, January 2016–November 2019Seasonally adjusted, in thousands


Most recent 2 months of data are preliminary.

Mining and Logging



Wholesale Retail





Services



Other Services

Government

CES Highlights


https://bakerhughesrigcount.gcs-web.com/rig-count-overview?c=79687&p=irol-rigcountsoverview

Construction employment was essentially

flat in November (+1,000). So far in 2019,

construction has added an average of 12,000

jobs per month, compared to gains

averaging 26,000 per month in 2018.

The flatness in construction employment

in November follows declines in construction

spending and new home sales in October.

-210

37

22

-810

32

134

27

22

832 33

14 17

827

230

1622

34

33

33

73

229

37

17 19

34

17

25

516

56

-23

15

34

119

-37 9

14

1

-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

80

100


Employment in constructionOver-the-month change, January 2016–November 2019Seasonally adjusted, in thousands



Construction



Wholesale Retail





Services



Other Services

Government

CES Highlights


https://www.census.gov/construction/c30/pdf/release.pdf

https://www.census.gov/construction/c30/pdf/release.pdf

https://www.census.gov/construction/nrs/pdf/newressales.pdf

Manufacturing employment increased by 54,000 in November, largely

reflecting a return from a strike in transportation equipment. Over the

year, manufacturing has added 76,000 jobs, evenly split between durable

goods and nondurable goods.

Employment in motor vehicles and parts increased by 41,000 in

November, as workers returned from a strike in October. Over the most

recent 12 months, employment in the industry has shown little net

change (-13,000).

22-1

5-2

57

-18

2017

-23

-3 -30

14 1318

9 82

15-3

428

2030 28

1631

20 22 2132

208

18

29 2720

178

-33 2

104 2 2

-43

54

-80

-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

80


Employment in manufacturingOver-the-month change, January 2016–November 2019Seasonally adjusted, in thousands



5 3-1

8-2

220

-12

-32 1 3 3

-53 25

2-1

825

1 16 4 28

4-1

-66

-22 3

7-2

1-1

2-7

-32

-2 -2 -31

-43

41

-80

-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60


Employment in motor vehicles and partsOver-the-month change, January 2016–November 2019Seasonally adjusted, in thousands



Manufacturing

CES Highlights




Wholesale Retail





Services



Other Services

Government

https://www.bls.gov/ces/publications/strike-report.htm

In November, the 1-month diffusion index rose 18.4 points to 54.6, its

highest reading since June 2019. A value above 50 indicates more

manufacturing industries are adding jobs than are losing them.

Average weekly hours of all employees in manufacturing rose 0.1 hour

to 40.5 hours in November but have declined 0.5 hour since reaching a

peak in August 2018. The average workweek of production employees

was unchanged, at 41.4 hours, and has declined 1 hour since reaching a

peak in April 2018.

38.0

38.5

39.0

39.5

40.0

40.5

41.0

41.5

42.0

42.5

Jan-07 Jan-09 Jan-11 Jan-13 Jan-15 Jan-17 Jan-19

Average weekly hours, manufacturing


Shaded area represents recession as denoted by the National Bureau of Economic Research.


January 2007–November 2019

Seasonally adjusted

Production employeesLevel: 41.4Change: 0.0

All employeesLevel: 40.5Change: 0.1

Manufacturing

CES Highlights




Wholesale Retail





Services



Other Services

Government

Employment in wholesale trade changed little

in November (-4,000). Over the year, wholesale

trade has added 64,000 jobs with durable goods

accounting for nearly three quarters of the gain.

5-4

37

-3-4

12

11

24

-25

4-1

6-5

61

-33

61

6-2

38

-13

68

14

19

2

711 1

38

13

08

5-1

52

510

-4

-25

-20

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

20

25

30


Employment in wholesale tradeOver-the-month change, January 2016–November 2019Seasonally adjusted, in thousands



Wholesale Trade



Wholesale Retail





Services



Other Services

Government

CES Highlights


Employment in retail trade changed

little in November (+2,000) and has

shown little net change so far in 2019

(-26,000).

Over the month, employment gains

occurred in general merchandise stores

(+22,000) and motor vehicle and parts

dealers (+8,000). These gains were

partially offset by a decline in clothing

and clothing accessories stores

(-18,000).

Recent retail-related economic

indicators are mixed. In October, Real

Personal Disposable Income decreased,

and the Consumer Confidence Index

declined in November. Conversely, Retail

Sales were up in October.

26

53

35

10

-624

15 18

15

4-1

724

46

-53

-26

-13

-27

-1-8

-31 2

15

-21

224

14

18

-34

26

-26

-10

33

-69

-14

-15

-15 -12

-12

-2 -112

22

2

-80

-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

80


Employment in retail tradeOver-the-month change, January 2016–November 2019Seasonally adjusted, in thousands



Retail Trade



Wholesale Retail





Services



Other Services

Government

CES Highlights


https://www.bea.gov/

https://www.bea.gov/

https://www.conference-board.org/

http://www.census.gov/economic-indicators/

http://www.census.gov/economic-indicators/

Employment in transportation and

warehousing edged up in November

(+16,000). Within transportation and

warehousing, couriers and messengers

(+5,000) and warehousing and storage

(+8,000) added jobs over the month.

So far this year, transportation and

warehousing has added 74,000 jobs.

Couriers and messengers (+34,000) and

warehousing and storage (+36,000)

account for nearly all of the jobs added

in the industry over this period.

8

5

2

1

-1

0

-2 0 2 4 6 8 10

Warehousing and storage*

Couriers and messengers*

Support activities for transportation

Transit and ground passenger transportation

Truck transportation

Air transportation

Employment in select transportation and warehousing industriesOver-the-month change, November 2019Seasonally adjusted, in thousands


Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics survey December 6, 2019.



Transportationand warehousing:

+16

8

5

2

1

-1

0

-2 0 2 4 6 8 10

Warehousing and storage*

Couriers and messengers*

Support activities for transportation

Transit and ground passenger transportation

Truck transportation

Air transportation

Employment in select transportation and warehousing industriesOver-the-month change, November 2019Seasonally adjusted, in thousands


Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics survey December 6, 2019.



Transportationand warehousing:

+16

Transportation and Warehousing



Wholesale Retail





Services



Other Services

Government

CES Highlights


Employment in utilities was flat in

November (+1,000) and has changed

little so far in 2019 (-4,000).

542

544

546

548

550

552

554

556

558

560

562

564

566

568

Jan-09 Jan-11 Jan-13 Jan-15 Jan-17 Jan-19

Employment in utilities

November 2019 Level: 551OTM Change: 1


Shaded area represents recession as denoted by the National Bureau of Economic Research.


January 2009–November 2019Seasonally adjusted, in thousands

Utilities



Wholesale Retail





Services



Other Services

Government

CES Highlights


Employment in information changed

little in November (+13,000).

Other information services—which

includes web search portals, stock photo

agencies, and internet publishing

establishments—added 6,000 jobs in

November.

Information



Wholesale Retail





Services



Other Services

Government

CES Highlights


Employment in financial activities

edged up in November (+13,000). So far

this year, the industry has added an

average 11,000 jobs per month, similar

to an average of 10,000 jobs per month

in 2018.

Credit intermediation and related

activities contributed to the job growth

in November (+7,000).




Wholesale Retail





Services



Other Services

Government

CES Highlights


4

3

-2

2

7

-6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 10

Real estate and rental and leasing

Insurance carriers and related activities

Securities and commodities

- Commercial banking

Credit intermediation¹*

Employment in selected financial activities



Financial activities:

13



¹ Includes additional component industries not shown separately.* denotes significance

Employment in professional and business services continued to trend up

in November (+38,000), in line with the industry’s prior-12 month average

change of 34,000.

Professional and technical services, adding 31,000 jobs, accounted for the

majority of the employment change in November. Year to date, this

industry has added an average of 24,000 jobs per month, the same as in

2018. Employment in the majority of component industries trended up in

November, with architectural and engineering services adding 8,000 jobs.

In November, employment in administrative and waste services changed

little (+8,000).

8

0

31

-5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35

Administrative and wasteservices

Management of companiesand enterprises

Professional and technicalservices*

Over-the-month change Prior-3 Prior-6 Prior-12

Employment in professional and business services component industriesOver-the-month change and prior averages, November 2019Seasonally adjusted, in thousands

Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics, December 06, 2019Most recent 2 months are preliminary.* denotes significance

34

11 11

16

20

11

21

10

25

10

4

17

21

56

29

11

20 2018

1211

21

13

21 22 21

23

31

27 2626

16

32

30

17

2223

30

23

21

29

33

17

15

19

31

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40



Over-the-month change, January 2016 ̶ November 2019Seasonally adjusted, in thousands

Employment in professional and technical services

Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics, December 06, 2019Most recent 2 months are preliminary.

Nov-19: 31*Prior-12: 23

CES Highlights




Wholesale Retail





Services



Other Services

Government

Professional and Business Services

Health care added 45,000 jobs in November, with gains totaling 365,000

so far this year. Employment in ambulatory health care services (+34,000)

and hospitals (+10,000) continued to trend up in November.

Within ambulatory health care services, offices of physicians (+16,000),

dentists (+6,000), and home health care services (+9,000) added jobs in

November.

36

32

26

3635

33

39

18

2627 27

41

8

22

20

24

14

34

41

1315

16

20

24 24

2624 23

32

22 22

38

25

32

34

50

42

33

50

25

16

33 3335

41

12

45

0

10

20

30

40

50

60





Employment in health care

1

10

9

2

16

34

-10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45

Nursing and residential care

Hospitals*

- Home health care services*

- Outpatient care centers

- Offices of physicians*

Ambulatory health care services¹*

Employment in selected health care industries



Health care industries:

45*



¹ Includes additional component industries not shown separately.* denotes significance

Private Education and Health Services

CES Highlights




Wholesale Retail





Services



Other Services

Government

In November, employment in leisure and hospitality continued to

trend up (+45,000). After accounting for revisions in September and

October, the industry has added 219,000 jobs over the past 4 months.

The Federal Reserve Bank of New York reported more widespread

wage increases in November for leisure and hospitality workers relative

to other industries. Average hourly earnings of nonsupervisory

employees in leisure and hospitality have increased by 4.3 percent over

the past 12 months. For comparison, the Consumer Price Index increased

by 1.8 percent from October 2018 to October 2019.

Employment growth in food services and drinking places continued to

drive the trend in leisure and hospitality. Over the past 4 months, food

services and drinking places has added 149,000 jobs, despite stagnating

sales.

35

62

46

27

12

50

3542

32

20

58

19

4036

19

71

19

32

57

5

-80

102

18

32

13

25

1118

3843

35

17

-24

79

39

65

93

-1

32

9 124

-13

4856

70

45

-100

-50

0

50

100

150





Employment in leisure and hospitality

35 37

28

1822

19

5

39

33

24 23 2327

21

31

22 24

11

50

4

-66

79

14

21

10

21

711

32 32

25

14

-36

57

39

47

56

-2

31

19

10

2

-4

43

32

49

25

-80

-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

80

100





Employment in food services and drinking places

Leisure and Hospitality

CES Highlights




Wholesale Retail





Services



Other Services

Government

https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/BeigeBook_20191127.pdf

https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.t01.htm

https://www.census.gov/retail/marts/www/marts_current.pdf

Employment in other services

changed little in November (+9,000). So

far this year, employment in the industry

has changed by an average +7,000 per

month.

-316

86

-713

413

16

-312

-14

16

11

5 511

10

5 5-3

14

934 4

113

15

18

-12

6 7 71

11

94

19

16

-315

75

-5-1

9

-25

-20

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-10

-5

0

5

10

15

20

25

30


Employment in other servicesOver-the-month change, January 2016–November 2019Seasonally adjusted, in thousands



Other Services



Wholesale Retail





Services



Other Services

Government

CES Highlights


Government employment

changed little in November

(+12,000). Employment in local

government continued to trend up

in November (+13,000), and the

industry has added 122,000 jobs

over the year.

Government



Wholesale Retail





Services



Other Services

Government

CES Highlights


Prepared by Staff of the National Estimates Branch Current Employment Statistics Survey U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics 202-691-6555 Email CES

CES Analysts

Osman Alhassan

Ryan Ansell

Hyun Choi

Steve Crestol

Tyler Downing

Katelynn Harris

Mike McCall

John Mullins

Michael Osifalujo

Edward Park

Carson Wilson

Current Employment Statistics Highlights

Detailed Industry Employment Analysis

http://data.bls.gov/cgi-bin/forms/ces?/ces/home.htm

Current Employment Statistics Highlights November 2019 · Over - the - month change, January 2016...

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