Currency Highlights USD/INR (Nse Aug) 64.01 63.9 0.11 0.17...

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Currency Highlights 30 th Aug’2017 HighLights: The dollar inched up on an index basis in Asia on Tuesday as North Korea fired a missile across Japanese territory, pung tension on the Korean peninsula front and center, though the inial rush to yen for safe-have demand backed off later in the day with a U.S. Security Council meeng scheduled for New York me. The euro rose above the $1.20 level on Tuesday for the first me since January 2015 and the dollar fell to four-month lows against the yen amid renewed geopolical tensions on the Korean peninsu- la. The Australian and New Zealand dollars moved lower against their U.S. counterpart on Tuesday, as market senment weakened fol- lowing a new missile test by North Korea although senment on the greenback also remained under pressure since the Jackson Hole summit. The dollar slumped to a more than sixteen-month low against a basket of major currencies on Monday as senment on the greenback remained negave, following a speech by Federal Reserve chair Janet Yellen on Friday while concerns over Tropical Storm Harvey’s economic implicaons added to downside momentum. North Korean leader Kim Jong Un threatened to fire missiles into the sea near the U.S. Pacific territory of Guam and U.S. President Donald Trump warned Pyongyang would face "fire and fury" if it threatened the United States. Russian oil companies will quickly find ways to work around ghter restricons imposed this month by the United States on the foreign finance they can use, mulple Russian oil industry sources told Reuters. Gold prices rallied to their highest level in almost ten months on Tuesday, as investors piled into safe-haven assets aſter North Korea fired a missile that passed over northern Japan. Geopolical risks can boost demand for safe-haven assets such as gold which is considered a good store of value during volality in other markets. The U.S., Japan and South Korea asked for a United Naons Security Council meeng to discuss the test, diplomats said. A meeng of the 15-member Security Council would be held later in the day, they said. Dollar weakness usually benefits gold, as it boosts the metal's appeal as an alternave asset and makes dollar-priced commodies cheaper for holders of other currencies. SEBI Cerfied – Research Analyst Equies I Commodies I Currencies I Mutual Fund s Close Prev Cls. Price Chg Price Chg % Doller Index 91.69 92.46 -0.77 -0.83 USD/INR (Spot) 63.98 63.86 0.12 0.19 USD/INR (Nse Aug) 64.01 63.9 0.11 0.17 EUR/INR (Spot) 77.10 76.22 0.88 1.15 EUR/INR (Nse Aug) 76.79 76.23 0.56 0.73 GBP/INR (Spot) 82.85 82.47 0.38 0.46 GBP/INR (Nse Aug) 82.87 82.53 0.34 0.41 JPY/INR (Nse Aug) 58.8 58.51 0.29 0.50 Market Highlights

Transcript of Currency Highlights USD/INR (Nse Aug) 64.01 63.9 0.11 0.17...

Page 1: Currency Highlights USD/INR (Nse Aug) 64.01 63.9 0.11 0.17 …reports.choiceindia.com/Reports/NER300820170910211.… ·  · 2017-08-30North Korean leader Kim Jong Un threatened to

Currency Highlights

30th

Aug’2017

HighLights:

The dollar inched up on an index basis in Asia on Tuesday as North

Korea fired a missile across Japanese territory, putting tension on

the Korean peninsula front and center, though the initial rush to

yen for safe-have demand backed off later in the day with a U.S.

Security Council meeting scheduled for New York time.

The euro rose above the $1.20 level on Tuesday for the first time

since January 2015 and the dollar fell to four-month lows against

the yen amid renewed geopolitical tensions on the Korean peninsu-

la.

The Australian and New Zealand dollars moved lower against their

U.S. counterpart on Tuesday, as market sentiment weakened fol-

lowing a new missile test by North Korea although sentiment on

the greenback also remained under pressure since the Jackson

Hole summit.

The dollar slumped to a more than sixteen-month low against a basket of major currencies on Monday as sentiment on

the greenback remained negative, following a speech by Federal Reserve chair Janet Yellen on Friday while concerns over

Tropical Storm Harvey’s economic implications added to downside momentum.

North Korean leader Kim Jong Un threatened to fire missiles into the sea near the U.S. Pacific territory of Guam and U.S.

President Donald Trump warned Pyongyang would face "fire and fury" if it threatened the United States.

Russian oil companies will quickly find ways to work around tighter restrictions imposed this month by the United States

on the foreign finance they can use, multiple Russian oil industry sources told Reuters.

Gold prices rallied to their highest level in almost ten months on Tuesday, as investors piled into safe-haven assets

after North Korea fired a missile that passed over northern Japan.

Geopolitical risks can boost demand for safe-haven assets such as gold which is considered a good store of value during

volatility in other markets.

The U.S., Japan and South Korea asked for a United Nations Security Council meeting to discuss the test, diplomats said.

A meeting of the 15-member Security Council would be held later in the day, they said.

Dollar weakness usually benefits gold, as it boosts the metal's appeal as an alternative asset and makes dollar-priced

commodities cheaper for holders of other currencies.

SEBI Certified – Research Analyst Equities I Commodities I Currencies I Mutual Funds

Close Prev Cls. Price Chg Price Chg %

Doller Index 91.69 92.46 -0.77 -0.83

USD/INR (Spot) 63.98 63.86 0.12 0.19

USD/INR (Nse Aug) 64.01 63.9 0.11 0.17

EUR/INR (Spot) 77.10 76.22 0.88 1.15

EUR/INR (Nse Aug) 76.79 76.23 0.56 0.73

GBP/INR (Spot) 82.85 82.47 0.38 0.46

GBP/INR (Nse Aug) 82.87 82.53 0.34 0.41

JPY/INR (Nse Aug) 58.8 58.51 0.29 0.50

Market Highlights

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Technical View:

On a daily chart, the prices is sustaining above the trend line and showing good upward strength in the charts.

Moreover, prices have moved above its 21 EMA which is a bullish momentum in the prices.

In addition, momentum indicator MACD has shown positive crossover which suggests further upside momentum in the price.

On a daily chart, volume is rising continuously, which in-dicate further support to the prices to move in up side. For now, we expect prices should move higher towards 59.30 levels in the coming trading sessions

Pivot levels for the Day

Technical View:

On a daily chart, USDINR has formed channel and trad-ing below the trend line.

Moreover, prices have been trading below its 21 EMA which indicates bearish movement in the price.

In addition, momentum indicator MACD has shown negative biasness in the charts and it has traded below the zero line which suggests further downside momen-tum in the prices on a daily chart.

On a daily chart, volume is in under pressure and traded below its 20 days SMA.

For now, we expect prices should move lower to-wards 63.50 levels in the coming trading sessions.

Currency Highlights

30th

Aug’2017

USDINR JPYINR

SEBI Certified – Research Analyst Equities I Commodities I Currencies I Mutual Funds

S3 S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2 R3

USDINR 63.47 63.74 63.88 64.01 64.15 64.28 64.55

JPYINR 58.39 58.58 58.69 58.77 58.88 58.96 59.15

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Pivot levels for the Day

Currency Highlights

30th

Aug’2017

GBPINR EURINR

Technical View:

On a daily chart, the price has found support of its ris-ing channel pattern.

Moreover, bullish crossover in 21 EMA and 100 DMA has added to positive trend in the price.

A momentum indicator, MACD has shown positive crossover on the daily chart.

For now, we can expect prices should move higher towards the 77.20 levels in the coming trading session.

Technical View:

On a daily chart, the price is trading below the channel pattern. The pattern suggests, continuation of its down-wards movement in the days to come.

In addition, it has formed rounding top pattern, which suggest negative trend can continue in the prices.

price has remained below its 21 EMA and 50 days SMA, which suggest price can move further down.

Moreover, momentum indicator MACD has given negative crossover on a daily chart, which gives the sign of bearishness in the prices.

For now, we expect prices should move lower towards 81.60 levels in the coming trading sessions.

SEBI Certified – Research Analyst Equities I Commodities I Currencies I Mutual Funds

S3 S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2 R3

EURINR 76.05 76.37 76.57 76.69 76.89 77.01 77.33

GBPINR 82.24 82.53 82.70 82.82 82.99 83.11 83.40

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Currency Highlights

SEBI Certified – Research Analyst Equities I Commodities I Currencies I Mutual Funds

30th

Aug’2017

Economic Indicators

Date Time Data Prior Expected Impact

30.08.17 12:30PM Spanish Flash CPI y/y 1.5% 1.7% 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is

good for currency; EURINR

30.08.17 02:00PM Net Lending to Individuals m/m 5.6B 5.3B 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is

good for currency; GBPINR

30.08.17 05:45PM ADP Non-Farm Employment Change 178K 186K 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is

good for currency; USDINR

30.08.17 06:00PM Prelim GDP q/q 2.6% 2.7% 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is

good for currency; USDINR

30.08.17 08:00PM Crude Oil Inventories -3.3M

Page 5: Currency Highlights USD/INR (Nse Aug) 64.01 63.9 0.11 0.17 …reports.choiceindia.com/Reports/NER300820170910211.… ·  · 2017-08-30North Korean leader Kim Jong Un threatened to

Currency Highlights 30

th Aug’2017

SEBI Certified – Research Analyst Equities I Commodities I Currencies I Mutual Funds

Kkunal Parar

Sr. Research Associate

[email protected]

Vikas Chaudhri

Research Associate

[email protected]

Rupak De

Research Associate

[email protected]

Sachin Gupta

Research Associate

[email protected]