CurencyDerivatvs Final
-
Upload
hardikvibhakar -
Category
Documents
-
view
218 -
download
0
Transcript of CurencyDerivatvs Final
-
8/8/2019 CurencyDerivatvs Final
1/13
Currency Derivatives
Currency Derivatives
A derivative is a financial instrument that is derived from some other
asset , index , event, value or condition (known as the underlying
asset).This underlying asset can vary from being a commodity (wheat,
potato, etc), metal (gold, silver), debt securities, interest rates, shares,
index (Nifty), or currency.
Exchange rate
It is way of expressing one countrys currency in terms of other countrys
currency. Factors affecting exchange rates are as follows:
Balance of Payment: If there is BOP deficit, then your own country
would require foreign currency & thus depreciating the value of your
own currency.
Interest rates: If the interest rates in your currency are high, that will
attract foreign currency & will help in appreciating your own currency.
Speculation: If the exchange rate falls, then the speculators may
speculate that the exchange rate will fall further & may sell the
currency, bringing down the exchange rate further.
3 kinds of currency derivatives discussed:
Currency forwards, where buying & selling of currencies takes place
at a future date & the rates of exchange are agreed on the very day of
the deal.
The forward rates of the forward contracts are determined on the
basis of forward margins & the spot rates (refer example in ppt)
(Arbitrageurs are people who take advantage of the market
imperfection. An opportunity arises when 1 banks Ask rate is lower
than another banks Bid rate) (refer example in ppt)
Currency futures are contracts to exchange 1 currency with anotherat specified rate & date in future.
1
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Financial_instrumenthttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Assethttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Index_(economics)http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Underlyinghttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Financial_instrumenthttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Assethttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Index_(economics)http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Underlying -
8/8/2019 CurencyDerivatvs Final
2/13
Currency Derivatives
Features: Standardized & exchange traded, Contract size (USD 100),
Initial margin (amt of money to be deposited for taking a position),
Maintenance margin (minimum amt of money to be kept in the
account)
Long position in futures: Buy the base currency (USD) & sell the terms
currency as you are expecting the base currency to rise in value
(example explained in ppt)
Short position in futures: Buy terms currency & sell base currency
(Hedging means to take an opposite position in futures market to the
position in physical market) (Example explained in ppt)
Currency options are nothing but options where by the holder of the
option has the right to exchange a fixed amount of one currency for
another at a pre-fixed rate on or upto a specified rate in future.
(example explained in ppt)
Call option: Right to buy but not an obligation to buy
Put option: Right to sell but not an obligation to sell
Global Currency Derivatives
Many of the most popular futures markets that are based upon currencies include the
following :
EUR - The Euro to US Dollar currency future
GBP - The British Pound to US Dollar currency future
CHF - The Swiss Franc to US Dollar currency future
AUD - The Australian Dollar to US Dollar currency future
CAD - The Canadian Dollar to US Dollar currency future
RP - The Euro to British Pound currency future
RF - The Euro to Swiss Franc currency future
2
-
8/8/2019 CurencyDerivatvs Final
3/13
Currency Derivatives
Other currencies in futures are South African Rand, Hungarian Forint, Polish, Zloty, Czech
Koruna, Brazilian Real, and Swedish Krona
Currency distribution
USD rules the roast and still enjoy 32% share of the global currency derivative market which shows it
still remains the most actively traded currency in the market. Pound Sterling comes second, the edvent
of euro has brought a new dimension in the currency derivative market which is not far behind USD
and Sterling with 23% of market share, fourth comes 17 % of market share and others constitute 4%
of the market share.
Market Participants In Currency Derivative Market
The relative weight of the core
currencies (EUR, USD, JPY and GBP)
declined in April 2007.
USD has declined slightly in JPY and
the CAD remains unchanged.
EUR as a base currency rose further
between 2004 and 2007.
The GBP declined, confirming the
global trend.
3
-
8/8/2019 CurencyDerivatvs Final
4/13
Currency Derivatives
Currency Futures in India
Product Specifications: Underlying : Initially, currency futures contracts on US Dollar Indian
Rupee (US$-INR) would be permitted. Trading Hours: The trading on currency futures would be available
from 9 a.m. to 5 p.m. Size of the contract: The minimum contract size of the currency
futures contract at the time of introduction would be US$ 1000. The
contract size would be periodically aligned to ensure that the size of
the contract remains close to the minimum size.
Quotation : The currency futures contract would be quoted in rupeeterms. However, the outstanding positions would be in dollar terms.
Tenor of the contract : The currency futures contract shall have a
maximum maturity of 12 months. Available contracts : All monthly maturities from 1 to 12 months would
be made available. Settlement mechanism : The currency futures contract shall be settled
in cash in Indian Rupee. Settlement price : The settlement price would be the Reserve Bank
Reference Rate on the date of expiry. The methodology of
computation and dissemination of the Reference Rate may be publicly
disclosed by RBI. Final settlement day : The currency futures contract would expire on
the last working day (excluding Saturdays) of the month. The last
working day would be taken to be the same as that for InterbankSettlements in Mumbai. The rules for Interbank Settlements, including
those for known holidays and subsequently declared holiday would
be those as laid down by FEDAI.
Currency futures trading started in India on August 29, 2008 on National
Stock Exchange. This was the first time currency derivatives got listed on
an exchange in India. Till this time, the currency futures trading took place
over the counter and were unorganized. With the entry of the National
4
-
8/8/2019 CurencyDerivatvs Final
5/13
Currency Derivatives
Stock Exchange in the picture, currency trading became more organized
with the NSE acting as a counter party to all the transactions. Soon after
the BSE and MCX also marked their entry into the currency derivatives
market.
Volumes on currency futures exchanges (mainly NSE and MCX) have
consistently increased over the last few months since the start of trading.
Combined daily volumes on the most active currency futures bourses
MCX Stock Exchange (MCX-SX) and the National Stock Exchange (NSE)
have increased from $ 60 million per day (on NSE in early Sept 2008) to
around $ 700 million per day (on NSE and MCX together in end Jan 2009)
over 99 trading days. The traded volumes in currency futures has
increased substantially in the last month, with the average total volumes
traded on the two exchanges being around Rs 2,500 crore (around $0.5
billion) a day. This could soon rise to $1billion per day if more currency
pairs are allowed, trades than NSE.
Advantages of Currency Futures Market: Decent intra day volatility : There is an opportunity for the intraday
traders to make short term profits as the median intraday volatility for
the last 6 months on NSE has been about 43 paise. On the MCX, the
median trading range has been wider at about 52 paise. Traders can
capitalize on the same and make intraday profits. Lower Margins : The margins on the trades on NSE have been reduced.
At the start of the currency futures trading on NSE, the margins per
contract were about Rs.2900, which have been reduced by about 50%.
This works out to 3-3.5% of contract value compared to average10-
15% on index/stock futures. Low Brokerage charges : The brokerage charges vary between 3 to 10
bps depending on volumes and squaring up period. Easy to trade : Since the contract is exchange traded, it is easy to trade
and also it smoothens the transaction process.
5
-
8/8/2019 CurencyDerivatvs Final
6/13
Currency Derivatives
Transparency : The futures market is transparent as compared to the
OTC market, as the exchange guarantees the settlement process.
6
-
8/8/2019 CurencyDerivatvs Final
7/13
Currency Derivatives
Regulations
CDX (Currency Derivative Exchange), currency derivative segment of BSE
(Bombay Stock Exchange) commenced currency futures trading from 1st
October. BSE on its very first day of trading in currency futures clocked a
turnover of about 65,000 contracts, which is approximately Rs. 300
Crores.
With ever-growing global financial crisis, exchange rates are fluctuating
widely. INR exchange rate has touched 47 against USD. Currency futures
trading in India has generated huge interest among Indian retail investorsand traders. There is a strong demand for information gathering about the
intricacies of currency futures from small investors and enterprises.
Who carries out the process of clearing and settlement?
NSCCL (National Securities Clearing Corporation Limited ), a wholly
owned subsidiary of NSE acts as the body responsible for carrying out the
entire clearing and settlement process. NSCCL, established in August1995, is the first clearing corporation in India.
What are the primary functions of NSCCL?
To operate tight risk containment system To carry out the Novation (It is a process of replacement of one
obligation by another by mutual agreement of both the parties) To act as the counter party to all the trades To guarantee the final settlement
What is the model of clearing and settlement process?
Clearing members and clearing banks are the entities that help
NSCCL in carrying out the activities of clearing and settlement.
There are two types of clearing members.
7
-
8/8/2019 CurencyDerivatvs Final
8/13
Currency Derivatives
Trading cum clearing members (TCM) TCM clear and settle, their
own trades as well as the trades of other trading members (TM) Professional clearing members (PCM) PCM clear the trades
executed by trading members TCM and PCM have to pay deposit to undertake clearing and
settlement of trades of every TM. TCM and PCM have to open a separate bank account with NSCCL
designated bank for settlement of trades. The entire process of clearing and mechanism comprises of three
components clearing, settlement and risk management
How the clearing mechanism takes place?
NSCCL works out open positions and obligations of clearing
members (TCM and PCM) at the end of every business day. Daily exposure limits and margin obligations are derived based on
net open positions. Net open contracts (Buy Sell) multiplied by
1000 gives the net open positions in USD terms.
How the settlement mechanism takes place?
Settlement is done in cash mode payable in INR. Daily MTM (Marking to Market) settlement takes place based on DSP
(Daily settlement price) which is calculated by taking the weighted
average of last half an hours trades. NSE daily disseminates DSP on its website. Daily MTM or profit and loss are calculated by taking the difference
of trade price and DSP. If a client has carried forward the position
from previous day then MTM is calculated as the difference between
previous days DSP and current days DSP. Clearing members with net loss in daily MTM have to pay the
amount in cash. Clearing members with net profit will receive the
amount in cash. Payment and receipts are to be settled on the basis
of T+1 day.
8
-
8/8/2019 CurencyDerivatvs Final
9/13
Currency Derivatives
Clearing members are responsible for collection/payment of daily
MTM from/to the trading members, who in turn are responsible for
the clients liabilities. At the end of the day all the net positions are carried forward to
next day after resetting with respect to the current days DSP. Final settlement is also done in cash mode in terms of INR. Final settlement price is the RBI reference rate on the last trading
day of the expiry contract. Final profit and loss or MTM of all the net open positions of the
clearing members will be on the basis of final settlement price.
Settlement takes place on the basis of T+2 days.
Salient features of risk management system of NSCCL:
Financial soundness of the members is ensured by imposing
stringent conditions about capital adequacy. NSCCL enforces the
requirement about sufficient net-worth and cash and collateral
security deposit.
NSCCL follows real-time and scientific margining system. Net open positions of the members are daily settled in cash based
on MTM. Members open positions are monitored online and alerts are issued
on real time basis in respect of violation of margin and open
positions. Whenever any trading member exceeds intra-day limits or
violates the margins and open positions then further trading of that
member is stopped for the rest of the day and until the compliancesare fulfilled.
NSCCL maintains separate settlement guarantee fund, which is
created out of the capital of the members.
Margining System : Trading in currency future and for that matter any
derivatives involves highly leveraged trading. Any leveraged trading is
capable of generating enormous losses even with minor movement in the
price of underlying. Smooth functioning of the market demands perfect
9
-
8/8/2019 CurencyDerivatvs Final
10/13
Currency Derivatives
margining system. Most critical component of a healthy margining system
requires online monitoring. Margining system of NSCCL monitors online
positions on intra-day basis by using PRISM (Parallel Risk Management
System). In PRISM, risk of each member is monitored online on real time
basis. As and when any member approaches certain limits, alerts are
generated and sent online to the members. In case a member exceeds the
set limits then further trading of the member is stopped automatically.
NSCCL calculates initial margin on portfolio based margining system by
using SPAN (Standard Portfolio Analysis of Risk)
NSCCL SPAN : Main objective of SPAN is to identify the overall risk in the
entire portfolio of each member. Main emphasis is on calculating the
maximum loss that a portfolio might be expected to suffer from the
current day to the next day on the base of 99% VaR (Value at Risk)
methodology. SPAN system constructs the probable scenarios in the
changes in the price of the underlying presuming various levels of
volatility.
Types of Margins
Initial Margin NSCCL computes initial margin up to client level on
the base of SPAN methodology. Client has to pay the initial margin
upfront. Extreme Loss Margin 1% of value of gross open positions of any
member is adjusted online and on real-time basis from the liquid
assets of the member towards extreme loss margin. Client Margins NSCCL daily communicates to the members about
the margin liability of each and every client. Members are
responsible for pay-in and pay-out of the margins to clients.
Members are also required to submit compliance report to NSCCL
Currency Trading INR-EURO
Need for Rs- CURRENCY TRADING, Indias integration with theglobal economy
10
-
8/8/2019 CurencyDerivatvs Final
11/13
Currency Derivatives
In particular since the early 1990s, India has embarked on a process of
economic reform and progressive integration with the global economy
that aims to put it on a path of rapid and sustained growth. Per capita
incomes more than doubled during the period 1990-2005. In parallel, EU-
India trade has grown impressively and doubled from 28.6billion in 2003
to over 55billion in 2007. EU investment to India has more than tripled
since 2003 from 759million to 2.4billion in 2006 and trade in
commercial services has more than doubled from 5.2billion in 2002 to
12.2billion in 2006. However, India's trade regime and regulatory
environment still remain comparatively restrictive and in 2008 the World
Bank ranked India 120 (out of 178 economies) in terms of the 'ease of
doing business'. In addition to tariff barriers to imports, India also imposes
a number of non-tariff barriers in the form of quantitative restrictions,
import licensing, mandatory testing and certification for a large number of
products, as well as complicated and lengthy customs procedures.
Currency composition: Over the past three years, the share of turnover
accounted for by currency pairs among the US dollar, euro and yen has
declined. Most of this fall can be explained by the decline in the share of
the US dollar/yen pair. The offsetting increase was mainly for transactions
involving currencies with relatively low turnover i.e. Increase in the share
of emerging market foreign exchange in total turnover
Volatility in currency: Annualized volatility in the Euro versus the rupee
increased to 20% during FY08-09 (first half) compared with 9% a year ago
increasing the need for hedging on a transparent platform.
Increase in use of euro as invoice currency: A different pattern
emerges in the international trade usage of the euro. The euros role has
grown over time but mainly from its inception through 2004. Initially, the
growth in the role of the euro came about through its replacement of euro
area legacy currencies in invoicing international trade transactions. Later,
the role of the euro expanded within countries that
11
-
8/8/2019 CurencyDerivatvs Final
12/13
Currency Derivatives
were at that point on the periphery of the euro area. Now, euro use is
broadly observed as a European phenomenon, with widespread use of
euros concentrated in, but not extending broadly beyond, transactions
between countries with geographical proximity to the euro area.
Spot rate INR Vs EURO
India EU FTA
The
European
Union is of
great
importance to
us as Indias
largest trading partner
accounting for about quarter of
our external trade. It is the
largest overseas investor in
India. Much of its investment is
in high technology areas.
A B Vajpayee at India-EU Business
Summit at Copenhegen on October
9, 2002
The corner
stone of the
EU-India
relationship
lies in trade
and
investment. The EU is India's
largest trading and investment
partner. Our bilateral trade
constitutes a quarter of India's
total trade. The EU is also India's
biggest partner in development
cooperation and the second
largest source of foreign direct
investment."
Pascal Lamy at Luncheon meeting at CII
on March 14, 2003 The conglomerate of 15 European nations with more to join the bloc next
year, the European Union has emerged as India's single largest tradingpartner accounting for more than one-fifth share in both exports and
12
http://www.indiaonestop.com/tradepartners/eu/euoverview.htm#membercountrieshttp://www.indiaonestop.com/tradepartners/eu/euoverview.htm#membercountries -
8/8/2019 CurencyDerivatvs Final
13/13