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Literature Model Methodology & Data Results Conclusion Culture and Portfolios: Trust, Precautionary Savings and La Dolce Villa – Work in Progress – Johannes Fleck 1 and Adrian Monninger 2 1 European University Institute 2 Deutsche Bundesbank 20 th June 2020 Disclaimer: This presentation should not be reported as representing the views of the Deutsche Bundesbank nor the European System of Central Banks. The views expressed are those of the authors alone. J. Fleck & A. Monninger Culture and Portfolios 20 th June 2020 1 / 30

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Literature Model Methodology & Data Results Conclusion

Culture and Portfolios:Trust, Precautionary Savings and La Dolce Villa

– Work in Progress –

Johannes Fleck1 and Adrian Monninger2

1European University Institute

2Deutsche Bundesbank

20th June 2020

Disclaimer: This presentation should not be reported as representing the views of the Deutsche Bundesbank nor the EuropeanSystem of Central Banks. The views expressed are those of the authors alone.

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Literature Model Methodology & Data Results Conclusion

Stylized facts - Liquid vs Illiquid Net Wealth

Liquid vs Illiquid

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Literature Model Methodology & Data Results Conclusion

Stylized facts - Home Ownership Status

Way of acquiring property

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Literature Model Methodology & Data Results Conclusion

This paper

Does trust explain household portfolio liquidity?

We investigate the relationship between asset choice and trust in:1 Other people2 Public institutions

Simple portfolio choice model

Methodology & Data

Epidemiological Approach to separate culture and institutionsEuropean/World Value Study (E/WVS)Household Finance and Consumption Survey (HFCS)

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Literature Model Methodology & Data Results Conclusion

Empirical results

Higher trust in public institutions...1 decreases net liquid wealth

Higher trust in other people...1 increases net liquid wealth2 increases the probability to be a home owner with a mortgage3 increases the loan-to-value ratio

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Literature Model Methodology & Data Results Conclusion

Outline

1 Literature

2 Model

3 Methodology & Data

4 Results

5 Conclusion

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Literature Model Methodology & Data Results Conclusion

Related papers: Household portfolio choice

1 Why are EMU hh portfolios so different?

Country specific institutions and economic environmentsChristelis, Georgarakos, and Haliassos (2013), Christelis, Ehrmann, andGeorgarakos (2017), Blanchflower and Clark (2019), Pham-Dao (2016)

Country and cohort specific exogenous eventsAmpudia and Ehrmann (2017), Malmendier and Steiny (2017)

2 Cultural norms and behavioral biases can explain differences in

Savings rates Fuchs-Schundeln et al (2019), Guin (2017), ...

Home ownership rates Huber and Schmidt (2018), ...

Asset market participation Guiso and Jappelli (2005), Guiso et al(2008), Fuchs-Schundeln and Haliassos (2020), Bhamra and Uppal (2019)

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Literature Model Methodology & Data Results Conclusion

Trust and Asset Choice

Guiso et al, 2008: Trust = ”subjective probability to be cheated”

Unconditional belief: determines expected returns

⇒ Explains risky vs unrisky asset choices

Our paper: ”subjective probability to receive support in financial distress”

State contingent belief: determines perceived uninsurable risk PHF

⇒ Explains precautionary portfolio choices

Insurance from formal and informal sources:

Public Trust: social security, health care and justice systems EVS

Private Trust: trust in others, fairness, helpfulness EVS

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Literature Model Methodology & Data Results Conclusion

Model - Trust in public institutions

3 period model with endowments: y1 > yG2 > yB2 = y3

Expected period 2 endowment: y j2 = pGyG2 + pBωyB2

Subjective insurance depends on trust: ωHT > ωLT ≥ 1

Assets: liquid a1, a2; illiquid A

maxa1,A,a2LTj=HT

E3∑

t=1

log(ct) (1)

s.t.

c1 = y1 − A− a1 (2)

c2 = y j2(ωj) + a1(1 + ra)− a2 (3)

c3 = y3 + A(1 + rA) + a2(1 + ra) (4)

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Literature Model Methodology & Data Results Conclusion

Model - Trust in public institutions

Figure 1: Optimal liquid asset choice in the stochastic environmentJ. Fleck & A. Monninger Culture and Portfolios 20th June 2020 10 / 30

Literature Model Methodology & Data Results Conclusion

Model - Trust in other people

Same environment, but no public insurance

Continuum of agents form private risk sharing network

Expected period 2 endowment: y j2 = pG (yG2 − (ω − 1)Θ) + pB ωyB2

Risk sharing scheme reduces expected variance of y j2

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Literature Model Methodology & Data Results Conclusion

Model - Trust in other people

3 asset case

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Literature Model Methodology & Data Results Conclusion

Hypotheses: Trust and Precautionary Savings

1 Trust in public and private institutions and liquid wealthLiquid wealth reflects precautionary motive

H1a: Higher trust in public institutions decreases precautionary savings

Trust in others leads to reciprocity

Private insurance networks need signal or contributions

H1b: Higher trust in other individuals increases precautionary savings

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Literature Model Methodology & Data Results Conclusion

Hypotheses: Trust and Tenure Choice

2 Trust in public and private institutions and home ownership ratesDecision between renting or owning with a mortgage

Renting: lower financial risk

Owning: higher financial risk (illiquid wealth, leverage)

H2a: Higher public or private trust increase the probability to be a homeowner with mortgage (as compared to being a renter)

H2b: Higher trust increases the portfolio’s loan-to-value ratio

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Literature Model Methodology & Data Results Conclusion

Empirical Strategy (1/2)

Suppose household (h) portfolio choices sh are a function of

sh = fs(Xh, νh,Ωch) (5)

Xh: h’s characteristics

νh: h’s cultural norms

Ωch: institutions in h’s country of residence

Due to relationship between cultural norms and institutions ...

Ωch = Ωc

h(νh) (6)

... estimating (5) using OLS violates exogeneity assumption as

E[εh|νh] 6= 0 (7)

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Literature Model Methodology & Data Results Conclusion

Empirical Strategy (2/2)

We follow the Epidemiological Approach of Fernandez (2011)

Idea: study behavior of (second generation) immigrants

Assumption for this group:

Parental cultural value transmissionCannot influence institutions

And hence:E[εh|νh] = 0 (8)

⇒ Institutions and culture are exogenous

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Literature Model Methodology & Data Results Conclusion

Our data

European/World Value Study (E/WVS)1 Intensity of cultural norms (public and private trust)

⇒ Construct country-specific indicators of norm intensities

Household Finance and Consumption Survey (HFCS)1 Portfolio Items and Demographics2 Year of Immigration and Country of Birth Our data

⇒ We can identify hh Reference Person who immigrated (as child)

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Literature Model Methodology & Data Results Conclusion

HFCS: Destination Countries

Figure 2: HFCS countries: dark blue is our sample

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Literature Model Methodology & Data Results Conclusion

EVS/WVS: Country of Origin

Figure 3: Private Trust: darker color indicates more trust

Public

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Literature Model Methodology & Data Results Conclusion

Results: H1: Trust on Liquid Wealth (OLS)

H1a: Higher trust in public institutions decreases precautionary savingsH1b: Higher trust in other individuals increases precautionary savings

1 Trust and liquid wealth: OLS

log(Yh) = α + βlog(Xh) + γ′Zh + δ′Wi + εh (9)

Yh: log liquid wealth

Xh: value indicator (private, public trust)

Zh: hh demographics

Wi : country fixed effects

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Literature Model Methodology & Data Results Conclusion

Results: H1: Trust on Liquid Wealth (OLS)

Table 1: H1: Trust on Liquid Wealth (OLS) Full Table

(1)all

(2)<18

(3)all

(4)<18

(5)all

(6)<18

(7)all

(8)<18

Public TrustEurope

-0.59 -3.43***(0.60) (1.01)

World-0.81* -1.81***(0.41) (0.65)

Private TrustEurope

2.44*** 2.55**(0.63) (1.16)

World2.20*** 2.47***(0.52) (0.83)

N 1,308 454 2,111 807 1,308 454 2,111 807ControlsFixed Effects

Columns: 1-4 Public and 5-8 Private Trust. The first two use only migrants from Europe while the latter include non-Europeanmigrants. For each specification (all) uses the full sample while (<18) uses only migrants who arrived before turning 18.Significance at * p<.1, ** p<.05, *** p<.01

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Literature Model Methodology & Data Results Conclusion

Results: H1: Trust on Liquid Wealth (OLS)

H1a: Higher trust in public institutions decreases precautionary savings

1 If public trust indicator 1% higher, liquid wealthdecreases by 0.8-3.4%.

⇒ Do not reject H1a

H1b: Higher trust in other individuals increases precautionary savings

2 If private trust indicator 1% higher, liquid wealthincreases by 2.2-2.6%.

⇒ Do not reject H1b

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Literature Model Methodology & Data Results Conclusion

Results: H2a: Trust on Owner with Mortgage (Probit)

H2a: Higher public or private trust increase the probability to be a homeowner with mortgage (as compared to being a renter)

2 Trust and homeownership with mortgage: Probit

Yh = α + βXh + γ′Zh + δ′Wi + εh (10)

Yh: Homeownership with mortgage indicator

Xh: value indicator (private, public trust)

Zh: hh demographics

Wi : country fixed effects

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Literature Model Methodology & Data Results Conclusion

Results: H2a: Trust on Owner with Mortgage (Probit)

Table 2: H2a: Trust on Home Owner with Mortgage (Probit) Full Table

(1)all

(2)<18

(3)all

(4)<18

(5)all

(6)<18

(7)all

(8)<18

Public TrustEurope

0.54*** 0.22(0.21) (0.40)

World-0.12 0.05(0.15) (0.29)

Private TrustEurope

1.35*** 0.90(0.25) (0.57)

World1.30*** 1.22***(0.20) (0.42)

N 1,036 338 1,646 562 1,036 338 1,646 562ControlsFixed Effects

Columns: 1-4 Public and 5-8 Private Trust. The first two use only migrants from Europe while the latter include non-Europeanmigrants. For each specification (all) uses the full sample while (<18) uses only migrants who arrived before turning 18.Estimates are reported as margins at means; Significance at * p<.1, ** p<.05, *** p<.01

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Literature Model Methodology & Data Results Conclusion

Results: H2a: Trust on Owner with Mortgage (Probit)

H2a: Higher public or private trust increase the probability to be a homeowner with mortgage (as compared to being a renter)

Positive relationship between public trust and home ownership onlyin 1 of 4 specifications.

If the private trust indicator increases by 1 standard deviation, theprobability to be a home owner with a mortgage increases by 9.1 to10.4 %-points.

⇒ Do not reject H2a

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Literature Model Methodology & Data Results Conclusion

Results: H2b: Trust on Loan-to-Value Ratio (Tobit)

H2b: Higher trust increases the portfolio’s loan-to-value ratio

3 Trust and Loan-to-Value Ratio: Tobit

Yh = α + βXh + γ′Zh + δ′Wi + εh (11)

Yh: Loan-to-Value Ratio(Mortgage

HMR

)Xh: value indicator (private, public trust)

Zh: hh demographics

Wi : country fixed effects

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Literature Model Methodology & Data Results Conclusion

Results: H2b: Trust on Loan-to-Value Ratio (Tobit)

Table 3: H2b: Trust on Leverage Ratio (Tobit) Full Table

(1)all

(2)<18

(3)all

(4)<18

(5)all

(6)<18

(7)all

(8)<18

Public TrustEurope

0.46*** 0.25(0.13) (0.21)

World-0.05 0.13(0.10) (0.16)

Private TrustEurope

0.82*** 0.46(0.15) (0.30)

World0.71*** 0.56**(0.13) (0.23)

N 1,036 338 1,646 562 1,036 338 1,646 562ControlsFixed Effects

Columns: 1-4 Public and 5-8 Private Trust. The first two use only migrants from Europe while the latter include non-Europeanmigrants. For each specification (all) uses the full sample while (<18) uses only migrants who arrived before turning 18.Estimates are reported as margins at means; Significance at * p<.1, ** p<.05, *** p<.01

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Literature Model Methodology & Data Results Conclusion

Results: H2b: Trust on Loan-to-Value Ratio (Tobit)

H2b: Higher trust increases the portfolio’s loan-to-value ratio

Positive relationship between public trust and loan-to-value ratioonly in 1 of 4 specifications.

If private trust indicator increases by 1 standard deviation, theloan-to-value ratio increases by 0.04-0.06.

⇒ Do not reject H2b

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Literature Model Methodology & Data Results Conclusion

Robustness

Unobservable Heterogeneity in Familiarity H1-H2b

Noise in Survey Trust Measures H1-H2b

Robustness of the Private Trust Measure H1-H2b

Precautionary Motive to Save H1

Trust and Price Expectations H2b

Individual-Specific Uninsurable Risk H1-H2b

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Literature Model Methodology & Data Results Conclusion

Conclusion

Does trust explain household portfolio liquidity?

Trust: ”subjective probability to receive support in financial distress”

We build a model studying the effects of trust on liquid assets choice

Using the Epidemiological Approach we find that

1 Precautionary savings are...

lower if public trust is higherhigher if private trust is higher

2 Home Ownership with mortgage

probability increases with (private) trustleverage increases with (private) trust

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THANKS for your attention

We are grateful for comments and suggestions

[email protected]

[email protected]

HFCS: Liquid vs Illiquid Wealth (1/2)

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HFCS: Liquid vs Illiquid Wealth (2/2)

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HFCS: Way of acquiring property

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PHF: Self-reported private trust by financial assistance

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E/WVS: Private Trust (1/2)

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E/WVS: Private Trust (2/2)

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E/WVS: Public Trust

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WVS: Public Trust

Figure 4: Public Trust: darker color signals more trust

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Model - Trust in other people - 3 Assets

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Our confidential data

For the E. Approach, we need answers to question RA0400

”In which country was (were) X (you) born?”It is coded in three country groups in the public HFCS files

We obtained the unrestricted/collected variable for France, Austria,Germany and Ireland

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H1: Trust on Liquid Wealth (OLS): Controls

(1)all

(2)<18

(3)all

(4)<18

(5)all

(6)<18

(7)all

(8)<18

Germany -1.02** -1.35** -0.92*** -0.94* -1.00** -1.37** -0.89*** -0.94*(0.41) (0.64) (0.32) (0.56) (0.40) (0.65) (0.32) (0.55)

France 0.93** 1.32** 0.72*** 1.17** 0.90** 1.27** 0.81*** 1.24**(0.37) (0.58) (0.28) (0.49) (0.37) (0.58) (0.28) (0.48)

Ireland -0.96*** -0.50 -0.86*** -0.68 -1.37*** -1.36** -1.09*** -1.10**(0.35) (0.58) (0.28) (0.51) (0.36) (0.65) (0.29) (0.54)

Gross Income (ln) 0.87*** 0.93*** 0.76*** 0.83*** 0.85*** 0.96*** 0.75*** 0.87***(0.12) (0.20) (0.08) (0.14) (0.12) (0.20) (0.08) (0.14)

Illiquid Wealth (ln) 0.16*** 0.15*** 0.16*** 0.13*** 0.15*** 0.15*** 0.15*** 0.13***(0.02) (0.03) (0.01) (0.02) (0.02) (0.03) (0.01) (0.02)

Male 0.08 0.38 0.07 0.28 0.12 0.38 0.10 0.27(0.19) (0.31) (0.14) (0.21) (0.19) (0.32) (0.14) (0.21)

Age -0.23*** -0.31* -0.25*** -0.25** -0.25*** -0.33** -0.26*** -0.27**(0.07) (0.16) (0.05) (0.11) (0.07) (0.16) (0.05) (0.11)

Ageˆ2 0.00*** 0.00* 0.00*** 0.00** 0.00*** 0.00** 0.00*** 0.00**(0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00)

Years in country -0.05** 0.06 -0.05*** 0.01 -0.06** 0.01 -0.05*** -0.02(0.02) (0.07) (0.02) (0.05) (0.02) (0.08) (0.02) (0.05)

Years in country ˆ2 0.00 0.00 0.00*** 0.00 0.00** 0.00 0.00*** 0.00(0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00)

Married -0.15 -0.22 -0.04 -0.02 -0.08 -0.24 -0.05 -0.05(0.21) (0.34) (0.15) (0.23) (0.21) (0.34) (0.15) (0.23)

# Children -0.19 -0.27 -0.13 -0.13 -0.20 -0.38 -0.11 -0.13(0.16) (0.24) (0.10) (0.14) (0.16) (0.24) (0.10) (0.14)

Secondary Education -0.73*** -0.66* -0.83*** -0.86*** -0.63*** -0.51 -0.75*** -0.72***(0.19) (0.34) (0.14) (0.23) (0.19) (0.36) (0.14) (0.23)

Employed 0.60*** 0.20 0.42*** -0.02 0.65*** 0.30 0.44*** 0.01(0.20) (0.33) (0.14) (0.22) (0.20) (0.33) (0.14) (0.22)

Risk Taking 0.54*** 0.37 0.59*** 0.31* 0.52*** 0.32 0.57*** 0.30*(0.16) (0.26) (0.12) (0.18) (0.15) (0.26) (0.12) (0.18)

Constant 1.62 -0.55 3.07** 1.89 4.97** 5.17 5.84*** 5.36**(1.91) (3.54) (1.38) (2.44) (1.93) (3.57) (1.43) (2.48)

N 1,308 454 2,111 807 1,308 454 2,111 807

* p<.1, ** p<.05, *** p<.01; all: all immigrants; <18: max. arrival age 17; Europe vs. World: European vs. non-European country of origin

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H2a: Trust on Owner with Mortgage (Probit): Controls

(1)all

(2)<18

(3)all

(4)<18

(5)all

(6)<18

(7)all

(8)<18

Germany 0.12*** 0.19** 0.11*** 0.19*** 0.15*** 0.22*** 0.10*** 0.21***(0.03) (0.07) (0.03) (0.07) (0.04) (0.08) (0.04) (0.08)

France 0.18*** 0.29*** 0.14*** 0.25*** 0.22*** 0.33*** 0.18*** 0.29***(0.04) (0.07) (0.03) (0.05) (0.05) (0.08) (0.03) (0.06)

Ireland 0.37*** 0.55*** 0.30*** 0.51*** 0.30*** 0.48*** 0.23*** 0.41***(0.04) (0.07) (0.03) (0.07) (0.04) (0.09) (0.04) (0.08)

Gross Income (ln) 0.18*** 0.21*** 0.19*** 0.20*** 0.17*** 0.20*** 0.18*** 0.20***(0.03) (0.05) (0.02) (0.03) (0.03) (0.05) (0.02) (0.03)

Male -0.03 0.06 0.00 0.06 -0.02 0.07 0.01 0.07(0.03) (0.07) (0.03) (0.05) (0.04) (0.07) (0.03) (0.05)

Age 0.08*** 0.10*** 0.08*** 0.12*** 0.07*** 0.10*** 0.07*** 0.12***(0.01) (0.04) (0.01) (0.03) (0.01) (0.04) (0.01) (0.03)

Ageˆ2 -0.00*** -0.00*** -0.00*** -0.00*** -0.00*** -0.00*** -0.00*** -0.00***(0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00)

Years in country 0.02*** 0.01 0.02*** 0.00 0.02*** 0.00 0.02*** 0.00(0.00) (0.02) (0.00) (0.01) (0.00) (0.02) (0.00) (0.01)

Years in country ˆ2 -0.00*** 0.00 -0.00*** 0.00 -0.00*** 0.00 -0.00*** 0.00(0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00)

Married 0.14*** 0.13* 0.11*** 0.14** 0.16*** 0.14* 0.12*** 0.14***(0.04) (0.07) (0.03) (0.05) (0.04) (0.07) (0.03) (0.05)

# Children 0.12*** 0.13** 0.03* 0.03 0.13*** 0.14** 0.04** 0.04(0.03) (0.06) (0.02) (0.03) (0.03) (0.06) (0.02) (0.03)

Secondary Education -0.14*** -0.13* -0.08*** -0.04 -0.11*** -0.11 -0.06** -0.02(0.04) (0.07) (0.03) (0.05) (0.04) (0.07) (0.03) (0.05)

Employed -0.04 0.09 -0.04 0.06 -0.04 0.08 -0.03 0.06(0.04) (0.07) (0.03) (0.05) (0.04) (0.07) (0.03) (0.05)

Risk Taking -0.03 -0.06 -0.03 -0.04 -0.04 -0.06 -0.04 -0.04(0.03) (0.06) (0.02) (0.04) (0.03) (0.06) (0.02) (0.04)

N 1,036 338 1,646 562 1,036 338 1,646 562

Estimates are reported as margins at means; Significance at * p<.1, ** p<.05, *** p<.01

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H2b: Trust on Leverage Ratio (Tobit): Controls

(1)all

(2)<18

(3)all

(4)<18

(5)all

(6)<18

(7)all

(8)<18

Germany 0.08* 0.16** 0.08** 0.16*** 0.08** 0.16** 0.08** 0.15**(0.04) (0.07) (0.04) (0.06) (0.04) (0.07) (0.04) (0.06)

France 0.09** 0.15** 0.09*** 0.17*** 0.10** 0.15** 0.11*** 0.18***(0.04) (0.06) (0.03) (0.05) (0.04) (0.06) (0.03) (0.05)

Ireland 0.26*** 0.39*** 0.23*** 0.38*** 0.21*** 0.34*** 0.19*** 0.32***(0.04) (0.06) (0.03) (0.06) (0.04) (0.07) (0.03) (0.06)

Gross Income (ln) 0.08*** 0.09*** 0.08*** 0.08*** 0.07*** 0.08*** 0.07*** 0.07***(0.01) (0.02) (0.01) (0.02) (0.01) (0.02) (0.01) (0.02)

Male 0.00 0.05 0.01 0.05* 0.00 0.06* 0.01 0.05*(0.02) (0.04) (0.02) (0.03) (0.02) (0.04) (0.02) (0.03)

Age 0.05*** 0.05** 0.05*** 0.06*** 0.04*** 0.05*** 0.05*** 0.06***(0.01) (0.02) (0.01) (0.01) (0.01) (0.02) (0.01) (0.01)

Ageˆ2 -0.00*** -0.00*** -0.00*** -0.00*** -0.00*** -0.00*** -0.00*** -0.00***(0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00)

Years in country 0.01*** 0.01 0.02*** 0.01* 0.01*** 0.01 0.01*** 0.01(0.00) (0.01) (0.00) (0.01) (0.00) (0.01) (0.00) (0.01)

Years in country ˆ2 -0.00*** 0.00 -0.00*** 0.00 -0.00*** 0.00 -0.00*** 0.00(0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00)

Married 0.06** 0.00 0.05** 0.02 0.07*** 0.01 0.05*** 0.02(0.02) (0.04) (0.02) (0.03) (0.02) (0.04) (0.02) (0.03)

# Children 0.06*** 0.06** 0.02 0.02 0.06*** 0.06** 0.02* 0.02(0.02) (0.03) (0.01) (0.02) (0.02) (0.03) (0.01) (0.02)

Secondary Education -0.09*** -0.10** -0.06*** -0.02 -0.07*** -0.08* -0.05*** -0.02(0.02) (0.04) (0.02) (0.03) (0.02) (0.04) (0.02) (0.03)

Employed -0.01 0.06 -0.02 0.04 -0.01 0.06 -0.01 0.04(0.02) (0.04) (0.02) (0.03) (0.02) (0.04) (0.02) (0.03)

Risk Taking 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.03 0.01 0.02 0.00 0.03(0.02) (0.03) (0.01) (0.02) (0.02) (0.03) (0.01) (0.02)

N 1,036 338 1,646 562 1,036 338 1,646 562

Estimates are reported as margins at means; Significance at * p<.1, ** p<.05, *** p<.01

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J. Fleck & A. Monninger Culture and Portfolios 20th June 2020 1 / 1

H1: Trust on Liquid Wealth (OLS): Native Spouse

(1)all

(2)<18

(3)all

(4)<18

(5)all

(6)<18

(7)all

(8)<18

Public TrustEurope

-0.85 -3.47***(0.61) (1.00)

World-0.81** -1.76***(0.41) (0.65)

Private TrustEurope

2.07*** 2.07*(0.65) (1.19)

World1.92*** 2.19***(0.53) (0.84)

Spouse 0.74*** 0.85** 0.63*** 0.67*** 0.51** 0.68* 0.52*** 0.59**(0.22) (0.37) (0.16) (0.25) (0.23) (0.38) (0.16) (0.25)

N 1,308 454 2,111 807 1,308 454 2,111 807back

J. Fleck & A. Monninger Culture and Portfolios 20th June 2020 1 / 1

H2a: Trust on Owner with Mortgage (Probit): NativeSpouse

(1)all

(2)<18

(3)all

(4)<18

(5)all

(6)<18

(7)all

(8)<18

Public TrustEurope

0.42** 0.21(0.21) (0.40)

World-0.11 0.07(0.15) (0.29)

Private TrustEurope

1.15*** 0.87(0.26) (0.58)

World1.11*** 1.14***(0.20) (0.42)

Spouse 0.15*** 0.05 0.17*** 0.09 0.11*** 0.02 0.14*** 0.06(0.04) (0.08) (0.03) (0.06) (0.04) (0.08) (0.03) (0.06)

N 1,036 338 1,646 562 1,036 338 1,646 562back

J. Fleck & A. Monninger Culture and Portfolios 20th June 2020 1 / 1

H2b: Trust on Leverage Ratio (Tobit): Native Spouse

(1)all

(2)<18

(3)all

(4)<18

(5)all

(6)<18

(7)all

(8)<18

Public TrustEurope

0.39*** 0.25(0.13) (0.21)

World-0.04 0.14(0.09) (0.16)

Private TrustEurope

0.72*** 0.46(0.15) (0.31)

World0.60*** 0.53**(0.13) (0.23)

Spouse 0.09*** 0.01 0.11*** 0.04 0.07** 0.00 0.09*** 0.03(0.03) (0.04) (0.02) (0.03) (0.03) (0.05) (0.02) (0.03)

N 1,036 338 1,646 562 1,036 338 1,646 562back

J. Fleck & A. Monninger Culture and Portfolios 20th June 2020 1 / 1

H1: Trust on Liquid Wealth (OLS): High vs Low Trust

(1)all

(2)<18

(3)all

(4)<18

(5)all

(6)<18

(7)all

(8)<18

Public TrustEurope

-0.23 -1.26***(0.21) (0.39)

World-0.20 -0.54**(0.14) (0.23)

Private TrustEurope

0.56* 0.11(0.28) (0.44)

World0.33** 0.35(0.16) (0.26)

N 1,308 454 2,111 807 1,308 454 2,111 807back

J. Fleck & A. Monninger Culture and Portfolios 20th June 2020 1 / 1

H2a: Trust on Owner with Mortgage (Probit): High vsLow Trust

(1)all

(2)<18

(3)all

(4)<18

(5)all

(6)<18

(7)all

(8)<18

Public TrustEurope

0.11*** 0.11(0.04) (0.08)

World0.01 -0.05

(0.03) (0.05)

Private TrustEurope

0.13** 0.05(0.06) (0.11)

World0.24*** 0.21***(0.03) (0.06)

N 1,036 338 1,646 562 1,036 338 1,646 562back

J. Fleck & A. Monninger Culture and Portfolios 20th June 2020 1 / 1

H2b: Trust on Leverage Ratio (Tobit): High vs Low Trust

(1)all

(2)<18

(3)all

(4)<18

(5)all

(6)<18

(7)all

(8)<18

Public TrustEurope

0.10*** 0.09**(0.02) (0.04)

World0.03** 0.03(0.02) (0.03)

Private TrustEurope

0.07* 0.02(0.04) (0.06)

World0.17*** 0.10***(0.02) (0.04)

N 1,036 338 1,646 562 1,036 338 1,646 562back

J. Fleck & A. Monninger Culture and Portfolios 20th June 2020 1 / 1

H1: Trust on Liquid Wealth (OLS): Civic Indicator

(1)all

(2)<18

(3)all

(4)<18

(5)all

(6)<18

(7)all

(8)<18

Civic IndicatorEurope

1.68*** 0.94(0.62) (1.27)

World1.97*** 2.04**(0.46) (0.82)

PassiveEurope

2.33 5.14(2.62) (4.92)

World0.54 1.25

(1.80) (3.28)

ActiveEurope

1.05 -2.93(2.57) (4.51)

World3.11** 2.63(1.45) (2.45)

N 1,308 454 2,111 807 1,308 454 2,111 807back

J. Fleck & A. Monninger Culture and Portfolios 20th June 2020 1 / 1

H2a: Trust on Owner with Mortgage (Probit): CivicIndicator

(1)all

(2)<18

(3)all

(4)<18

(5)all

(6)<18

(7)all

(8)<18

Civic IndicatorEurope

0.60*** 0.37(0.12) (0.27)

World0.46*** 0.56***(0.09) (0.20)

PassiveEurope

2.05*** 2.57**(0.47) (1.04)

World2.17*** 2.25***(0.34) (0.78)

ActiveEurope

-0.87* -1.73*(0.47) (1.00)

World-0.94*** -0.78

(0.28) (0.62)

N 1,036 338 1,646 562 1,036 338 1,646 562back

J. Fleck & A. Monninger Culture and Portfolios 20th June 2020 1 / 1

H2b: Trust on Leverage Ratio (Tobit): Civic Indicator

(1)all

(2)<18

(3)all

(4)<18

(5)all

(6)<18

(7)all

(8)<18

Civic IndicatorEurope

0.37*** 0.25*(0.07) (0.14)

World0.27*** 0.29***(0.06) (0.11)

PassiveEurope

1.25*** 0.77(0.29) (0.55)

World1.38*** 0.97**(0.22) (0.41)

ActiveEurope

-0.51* -0.24(0.29) (0.52)

World-0.64*** -0.24

(0.18) (0.33)

N 1,036 338 1,646 562 1,036 338 1,646 562back

J. Fleck & A. Monninger Culture and Portfolios 20th June 2020 1 / 1

H2b: Trust on Leverage Ratio (Tobit): Current Values

(1)all

(2)<18

(3)all

(4)<18

(5)all

(6)<18

(7)all

(8)<18

Public TrustEurope

0.37*** 0.15(0.10) (0.17)

World-0.02 0.09(0.08) (0.13)

Private TrustEurope

0.70*** 0.42*(0.12) (0.24)

World0.61*** 0.52***(0.10) (0.18)

N 1,036 338 1,646 562 1,036 338 1,646 562back

J. Fleck & A. Monninger Culture and Portfolios 20th June 2020 1 / 1

H1: Trust on Precautionary Motive to Save (Probit)

(1)all

(2)<18

(3)all

(4)<18

(5)all

(6)<18

(7)all

(8)<18

Public TrustEurope

-0.25 -0.63**(0.19) (0.32)

World-0.24* -0.23(0.14) (0.23)

Private TrustEurope

0.29 -0.49(0.22) (0.44)

World0.42** 0.14(0.18) (0.31)

N 1,308 454 2,111 807 1,308 454 2,111 807back

J. Fleck & A. Monninger Culture and Portfolios 20th June 2020 1 / 1

H1: Trust on Liquid Wealth (OLS): Un-insurable incomerisk

(1)all

(2)<18

(3)all

(4)<18

(5)all

(6)<18

(7)all

(8)<18

Public TrustEurope

-1.74 -6.52***(1.20) (1.90)

World-1.80** -4.01***(0.84) (1.31)

Private TrustEurope

4.48*** 4.10(1.36) (2.62)

World4.12*** 4.36**(1.06) (1.77)

Self-Employed 0.87** 1.07* 0.71*** 0.81** 0.79** 1.10** 0.68*** 0.79**(0.34) (0.55) (0.24) (0.36) (0.34) (0.55) (0.24) (0.36)

Sector FE

N 1,308 454 2,111 807 1,308 454 2,111 807back

J. Fleck & A. Monninger Culture and Portfolios 20th June 2020 1 / 1

H2a: Trust on Owner with Mortgage (Probit):Un-insurable income risk

(1)all

(2)<18

(3)all

(4)<18

(5)all

(6)<18

(7)all

(8)<18

Public TrustEurope

0.55*** 0.31(0.21) (0.36)

World-0.06 0.03(0.15) (0.27)

Private TrustEurope

1.32*** 0.85(0.25) (0.54)

World1.29*** 1.24***(0.20) (0.42)

Self-Employed 0.23*** 0.21* 0.21*** 0.23*** 0.21*** 0.20* 0.20*** 0.23**(0.06) (0.11) (0.05) (0.09) (0.06) (0.11) (0.05) (0.09)

Sector FE

N 1,036 338 1,646 562 1,036 338 1,646 562back

J. Fleck & A. Monninger Culture and Portfolios 20th June 2020 1 / 1

H2b: Trust on Leverage Ratio (Tobit): Un-insurableincome risk

(1)all

(2)<18

(3)all

(4)<18

(5)all

(6)<18

(7)all

(8)<18

Public TrustEurope

0.45*** 0.27(0.13) (0.21)

World-0.01 0.12(0.10) (0.15)

Private TrustEurope

0.75*** 0.48(0.15) (0.30)

World0.66*** 0.59***(0.13) (0.23)

Self-Employed 0.12*** 0.04 0.13*** 0.12** 0.10** 0.04 0.12*** 0.11**(0.04) (0.07) (0.03) (0.05) (0.04) (0.07) (0.03) (0.05)

Sector FE

N 1,036 338 1,646 562 1,036 338 1,646 562back

J. Fleck & A. Monninger Culture and Portfolios 20th June 2020 1 / 1