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Literature Model Methodology & Data Results Conclusion
Culture and Portfolios:Trust, Precautionary Savings and La Dolce Villa
– Work in Progress –
Johannes Fleck1 and Adrian Monninger2
1European University Institute
2Deutsche Bundesbank
20th June 2020
Disclaimer: This presentation should not be reported as representing the views of the Deutsche Bundesbank nor the EuropeanSystem of Central Banks. The views expressed are those of the authors alone.
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Literature Model Methodology & Data Results Conclusion
Stylized facts - Liquid vs Illiquid Net Wealth
Liquid vs Illiquid
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Literature Model Methodology & Data Results Conclusion
Stylized facts - Home Ownership Status
Way of acquiring property
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Literature Model Methodology & Data Results Conclusion
This paper
Does trust explain household portfolio liquidity?
We investigate the relationship between asset choice and trust in:1 Other people2 Public institutions
Simple portfolio choice model
Methodology & Data
Epidemiological Approach to separate culture and institutionsEuropean/World Value Study (E/WVS)Household Finance and Consumption Survey (HFCS)
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Literature Model Methodology & Data Results Conclusion
Empirical results
Higher trust in public institutions...1 decreases net liquid wealth
Higher trust in other people...1 increases net liquid wealth2 increases the probability to be a home owner with a mortgage3 increases the loan-to-value ratio
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Literature Model Methodology & Data Results Conclusion
Outline
1 Literature
2 Model
3 Methodology & Data
4 Results
5 Conclusion
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Literature Model Methodology & Data Results Conclusion
Related papers: Household portfolio choice
1 Why are EMU hh portfolios so different?
Country specific institutions and economic environmentsChristelis, Georgarakos, and Haliassos (2013), Christelis, Ehrmann, andGeorgarakos (2017), Blanchflower and Clark (2019), Pham-Dao (2016)
Country and cohort specific exogenous eventsAmpudia and Ehrmann (2017), Malmendier and Steiny (2017)
2 Cultural norms and behavioral biases can explain differences in
Savings rates Fuchs-Schundeln et al (2019), Guin (2017), ...
Home ownership rates Huber and Schmidt (2018), ...
Asset market participation Guiso and Jappelli (2005), Guiso et al(2008), Fuchs-Schundeln and Haliassos (2020), Bhamra and Uppal (2019)
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Literature Model Methodology & Data Results Conclusion
Trust and Asset Choice
Guiso et al, 2008: Trust = ”subjective probability to be cheated”
Unconditional belief: determines expected returns
⇒ Explains risky vs unrisky asset choices
Our paper: ”subjective probability to receive support in financial distress”
State contingent belief: determines perceived uninsurable risk PHF
⇒ Explains precautionary portfolio choices
Insurance from formal and informal sources:
Public Trust: social security, health care and justice systems EVS
Private Trust: trust in others, fairness, helpfulness EVS
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Literature Model Methodology & Data Results Conclusion
Model - Trust in public institutions
3 period model with endowments: y1 > yG2 > yB2 = y3
Expected period 2 endowment: y j2 = pGyG2 + pBωyB2
Subjective insurance depends on trust: ωHT > ωLT ≥ 1
Assets: liquid a1, a2; illiquid A
maxa1,A,a2LTj=HT
E3∑
t=1
log(ct) (1)
s.t.
c1 = y1 − A− a1 (2)
c2 = y j2(ωj) + a1(1 + ra)− a2 (3)
c3 = y3 + A(1 + rA) + a2(1 + ra) (4)
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Literature Model Methodology & Data Results Conclusion
Model - Trust in public institutions
Figure 1: Optimal liquid asset choice in the stochastic environmentJ. Fleck & A. Monninger Culture and Portfolios 20th June 2020 10 / 30
Literature Model Methodology & Data Results Conclusion
Model - Trust in other people
Same environment, but no public insurance
Continuum of agents form private risk sharing network
Expected period 2 endowment: y j2 = pG (yG2 − (ω − 1)Θ) + pB ωyB2
Risk sharing scheme reduces expected variance of y j2
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Literature Model Methodology & Data Results Conclusion
Model - Trust in other people
3 asset case
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Literature Model Methodology & Data Results Conclusion
Hypotheses: Trust and Precautionary Savings
1 Trust in public and private institutions and liquid wealthLiquid wealth reflects precautionary motive
H1a: Higher trust in public institutions decreases precautionary savings
Trust in others leads to reciprocity
Private insurance networks need signal or contributions
H1b: Higher trust in other individuals increases precautionary savings
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Literature Model Methodology & Data Results Conclusion
Hypotheses: Trust and Tenure Choice
2 Trust in public and private institutions and home ownership ratesDecision between renting or owning with a mortgage
Renting: lower financial risk
Owning: higher financial risk (illiquid wealth, leverage)
H2a: Higher public or private trust increase the probability to be a homeowner with mortgage (as compared to being a renter)
H2b: Higher trust increases the portfolio’s loan-to-value ratio
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Literature Model Methodology & Data Results Conclusion
Empirical Strategy (1/2)
Suppose household (h) portfolio choices sh are a function of
sh = fs(Xh, νh,Ωch) (5)
Xh: h’s characteristics
νh: h’s cultural norms
Ωch: institutions in h’s country of residence
Due to relationship between cultural norms and institutions ...
Ωch = Ωc
h(νh) (6)
... estimating (5) using OLS violates exogeneity assumption as
E[εh|νh] 6= 0 (7)
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Literature Model Methodology & Data Results Conclusion
Empirical Strategy (2/2)
We follow the Epidemiological Approach of Fernandez (2011)
Idea: study behavior of (second generation) immigrants
Assumption for this group:
Parental cultural value transmissionCannot influence institutions
And hence:E[εh|νh] = 0 (8)
⇒ Institutions and culture are exogenous
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Literature Model Methodology & Data Results Conclusion
Our data
European/World Value Study (E/WVS)1 Intensity of cultural norms (public and private trust)
⇒ Construct country-specific indicators of norm intensities
Household Finance and Consumption Survey (HFCS)1 Portfolio Items and Demographics2 Year of Immigration and Country of Birth Our data
⇒ We can identify hh Reference Person who immigrated (as child)
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Literature Model Methodology & Data Results Conclusion
HFCS: Destination Countries
Figure 2: HFCS countries: dark blue is our sample
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Literature Model Methodology & Data Results Conclusion
EVS/WVS: Country of Origin
Figure 3: Private Trust: darker color indicates more trust
Public
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Literature Model Methodology & Data Results Conclusion
Results: H1: Trust on Liquid Wealth (OLS)
H1a: Higher trust in public institutions decreases precautionary savingsH1b: Higher trust in other individuals increases precautionary savings
1 Trust and liquid wealth: OLS
log(Yh) = α + βlog(Xh) + γ′Zh + δ′Wi + εh (9)
Yh: log liquid wealth
Xh: value indicator (private, public trust)
Zh: hh demographics
Wi : country fixed effects
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Literature Model Methodology & Data Results Conclusion
Results: H1: Trust on Liquid Wealth (OLS)
Table 1: H1: Trust on Liquid Wealth (OLS) Full Table
(1)all
(2)<18
(3)all
(4)<18
(5)all
(6)<18
(7)all
(8)<18
Public TrustEurope
-0.59 -3.43***(0.60) (1.01)
World-0.81* -1.81***(0.41) (0.65)
Private TrustEurope
2.44*** 2.55**(0.63) (1.16)
World2.20*** 2.47***(0.52) (0.83)
N 1,308 454 2,111 807 1,308 454 2,111 807ControlsFixed Effects
Columns: 1-4 Public and 5-8 Private Trust. The first two use only migrants from Europe while the latter include non-Europeanmigrants. For each specification (all) uses the full sample while (<18) uses only migrants who arrived before turning 18.Significance at * p<.1, ** p<.05, *** p<.01
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Literature Model Methodology & Data Results Conclusion
Results: H1: Trust on Liquid Wealth (OLS)
H1a: Higher trust in public institutions decreases precautionary savings
1 If public trust indicator 1% higher, liquid wealthdecreases by 0.8-3.4%.
⇒ Do not reject H1a
H1b: Higher trust in other individuals increases precautionary savings
2 If private trust indicator 1% higher, liquid wealthincreases by 2.2-2.6%.
⇒ Do not reject H1b
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Literature Model Methodology & Data Results Conclusion
Results: H2a: Trust on Owner with Mortgage (Probit)
H2a: Higher public or private trust increase the probability to be a homeowner with mortgage (as compared to being a renter)
2 Trust and homeownership with mortgage: Probit
Yh = α + βXh + γ′Zh + δ′Wi + εh (10)
Yh: Homeownership with mortgage indicator
Xh: value indicator (private, public trust)
Zh: hh demographics
Wi : country fixed effects
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Literature Model Methodology & Data Results Conclusion
Results: H2a: Trust on Owner with Mortgage (Probit)
Table 2: H2a: Trust on Home Owner with Mortgage (Probit) Full Table
(1)all
(2)<18
(3)all
(4)<18
(5)all
(6)<18
(7)all
(8)<18
Public TrustEurope
0.54*** 0.22(0.21) (0.40)
World-0.12 0.05(0.15) (0.29)
Private TrustEurope
1.35*** 0.90(0.25) (0.57)
World1.30*** 1.22***(0.20) (0.42)
N 1,036 338 1,646 562 1,036 338 1,646 562ControlsFixed Effects
Columns: 1-4 Public and 5-8 Private Trust. The first two use only migrants from Europe while the latter include non-Europeanmigrants. For each specification (all) uses the full sample while (<18) uses only migrants who arrived before turning 18.Estimates are reported as margins at means; Significance at * p<.1, ** p<.05, *** p<.01
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Literature Model Methodology & Data Results Conclusion
Results: H2a: Trust on Owner with Mortgage (Probit)
H2a: Higher public or private trust increase the probability to be a homeowner with mortgage (as compared to being a renter)
Positive relationship between public trust and home ownership onlyin 1 of 4 specifications.
If the private trust indicator increases by 1 standard deviation, theprobability to be a home owner with a mortgage increases by 9.1 to10.4 %-points.
⇒ Do not reject H2a
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Literature Model Methodology & Data Results Conclusion
Results: H2b: Trust on Loan-to-Value Ratio (Tobit)
H2b: Higher trust increases the portfolio’s loan-to-value ratio
3 Trust and Loan-to-Value Ratio: Tobit
Yh = α + βXh + γ′Zh + δ′Wi + εh (11)
Yh: Loan-to-Value Ratio(Mortgage
HMR
)Xh: value indicator (private, public trust)
Zh: hh demographics
Wi : country fixed effects
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Literature Model Methodology & Data Results Conclusion
Results: H2b: Trust on Loan-to-Value Ratio (Tobit)
Table 3: H2b: Trust on Leverage Ratio (Tobit) Full Table
(1)all
(2)<18
(3)all
(4)<18
(5)all
(6)<18
(7)all
(8)<18
Public TrustEurope
0.46*** 0.25(0.13) (0.21)
World-0.05 0.13(0.10) (0.16)
Private TrustEurope
0.82*** 0.46(0.15) (0.30)
World0.71*** 0.56**(0.13) (0.23)
N 1,036 338 1,646 562 1,036 338 1,646 562ControlsFixed Effects
Columns: 1-4 Public and 5-8 Private Trust. The first two use only migrants from Europe while the latter include non-Europeanmigrants. For each specification (all) uses the full sample while (<18) uses only migrants who arrived before turning 18.Estimates are reported as margins at means; Significance at * p<.1, ** p<.05, *** p<.01
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Literature Model Methodology & Data Results Conclusion
Results: H2b: Trust on Loan-to-Value Ratio (Tobit)
H2b: Higher trust increases the portfolio’s loan-to-value ratio
Positive relationship between public trust and loan-to-value ratioonly in 1 of 4 specifications.
If private trust indicator increases by 1 standard deviation, theloan-to-value ratio increases by 0.04-0.06.
⇒ Do not reject H2b
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Literature Model Methodology & Data Results Conclusion
Robustness
Unobservable Heterogeneity in Familiarity H1-H2b
Noise in Survey Trust Measures H1-H2b
Robustness of the Private Trust Measure H1-H2b
Precautionary Motive to Save H1
Trust and Price Expectations H2b
Individual-Specific Uninsurable Risk H1-H2b
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Literature Model Methodology & Data Results Conclusion
Conclusion
Does trust explain household portfolio liquidity?
Trust: ”subjective probability to receive support in financial distress”
We build a model studying the effects of trust on liquid assets choice
Using the Epidemiological Approach we find that
1 Precautionary savings are...
lower if public trust is higherhigher if private trust is higher
2 Home Ownership with mortgage
probability increases with (private) trustleverage increases with (private) trust
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THANKS for your attention
We are grateful for comments and suggestions
HFCS: Liquid vs Illiquid Wealth (1/2)
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HFCS: Liquid vs Illiquid Wealth (2/2)
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HFCS: Way of acquiring property
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PHF: Self-reported private trust by financial assistance
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WVS: Public Trust
Figure 4: Public Trust: darker color signals more trust
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Model - Trust in other people - 3 Assets
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Our confidential data
For the E. Approach, we need answers to question RA0400
”In which country was (were) X (you) born?”It is coded in three country groups in the public HFCS files
We obtained the unrestricted/collected variable for France, Austria,Germany and Ireland
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H1: Trust on Liquid Wealth (OLS): Controls
(1)all
(2)<18
(3)all
(4)<18
(5)all
(6)<18
(7)all
(8)<18
Germany -1.02** -1.35** -0.92*** -0.94* -1.00** -1.37** -0.89*** -0.94*(0.41) (0.64) (0.32) (0.56) (0.40) (0.65) (0.32) (0.55)
France 0.93** 1.32** 0.72*** 1.17** 0.90** 1.27** 0.81*** 1.24**(0.37) (0.58) (0.28) (0.49) (0.37) (0.58) (0.28) (0.48)
Ireland -0.96*** -0.50 -0.86*** -0.68 -1.37*** -1.36** -1.09*** -1.10**(0.35) (0.58) (0.28) (0.51) (0.36) (0.65) (0.29) (0.54)
Gross Income (ln) 0.87*** 0.93*** 0.76*** 0.83*** 0.85*** 0.96*** 0.75*** 0.87***(0.12) (0.20) (0.08) (0.14) (0.12) (0.20) (0.08) (0.14)
Illiquid Wealth (ln) 0.16*** 0.15*** 0.16*** 0.13*** 0.15*** 0.15*** 0.15*** 0.13***(0.02) (0.03) (0.01) (0.02) (0.02) (0.03) (0.01) (0.02)
Male 0.08 0.38 0.07 0.28 0.12 0.38 0.10 0.27(0.19) (0.31) (0.14) (0.21) (0.19) (0.32) (0.14) (0.21)
Age -0.23*** -0.31* -0.25*** -0.25** -0.25*** -0.33** -0.26*** -0.27**(0.07) (0.16) (0.05) (0.11) (0.07) (0.16) (0.05) (0.11)
Ageˆ2 0.00*** 0.00* 0.00*** 0.00** 0.00*** 0.00** 0.00*** 0.00**(0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00)
Years in country -0.05** 0.06 -0.05*** 0.01 -0.06** 0.01 -0.05*** -0.02(0.02) (0.07) (0.02) (0.05) (0.02) (0.08) (0.02) (0.05)
Years in country ˆ2 0.00 0.00 0.00*** 0.00 0.00** 0.00 0.00*** 0.00(0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00)
Married -0.15 -0.22 -0.04 -0.02 -0.08 -0.24 -0.05 -0.05(0.21) (0.34) (0.15) (0.23) (0.21) (0.34) (0.15) (0.23)
# Children -0.19 -0.27 -0.13 -0.13 -0.20 -0.38 -0.11 -0.13(0.16) (0.24) (0.10) (0.14) (0.16) (0.24) (0.10) (0.14)
Secondary Education -0.73*** -0.66* -0.83*** -0.86*** -0.63*** -0.51 -0.75*** -0.72***(0.19) (0.34) (0.14) (0.23) (0.19) (0.36) (0.14) (0.23)
Employed 0.60*** 0.20 0.42*** -0.02 0.65*** 0.30 0.44*** 0.01(0.20) (0.33) (0.14) (0.22) (0.20) (0.33) (0.14) (0.22)
Risk Taking 0.54*** 0.37 0.59*** 0.31* 0.52*** 0.32 0.57*** 0.30*(0.16) (0.26) (0.12) (0.18) (0.15) (0.26) (0.12) (0.18)
Constant 1.62 -0.55 3.07** 1.89 4.97** 5.17 5.84*** 5.36**(1.91) (3.54) (1.38) (2.44) (1.93) (3.57) (1.43) (2.48)
N 1,308 454 2,111 807 1,308 454 2,111 807
* p<.1, ** p<.05, *** p<.01; all: all immigrants; <18: max. arrival age 17; Europe vs. World: European vs. non-European country of origin
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H2a: Trust on Owner with Mortgage (Probit): Controls
(1)all
(2)<18
(3)all
(4)<18
(5)all
(6)<18
(7)all
(8)<18
Germany 0.12*** 0.19** 0.11*** 0.19*** 0.15*** 0.22*** 0.10*** 0.21***(0.03) (0.07) (0.03) (0.07) (0.04) (0.08) (0.04) (0.08)
France 0.18*** 0.29*** 0.14*** 0.25*** 0.22*** 0.33*** 0.18*** 0.29***(0.04) (0.07) (0.03) (0.05) (0.05) (0.08) (0.03) (0.06)
Ireland 0.37*** 0.55*** 0.30*** 0.51*** 0.30*** 0.48*** 0.23*** 0.41***(0.04) (0.07) (0.03) (0.07) (0.04) (0.09) (0.04) (0.08)
Gross Income (ln) 0.18*** 0.21*** 0.19*** 0.20*** 0.17*** 0.20*** 0.18*** 0.20***(0.03) (0.05) (0.02) (0.03) (0.03) (0.05) (0.02) (0.03)
Male -0.03 0.06 0.00 0.06 -0.02 0.07 0.01 0.07(0.03) (0.07) (0.03) (0.05) (0.04) (0.07) (0.03) (0.05)
Age 0.08*** 0.10*** 0.08*** 0.12*** 0.07*** 0.10*** 0.07*** 0.12***(0.01) (0.04) (0.01) (0.03) (0.01) (0.04) (0.01) (0.03)
Ageˆ2 -0.00*** -0.00*** -0.00*** -0.00*** -0.00*** -0.00*** -0.00*** -0.00***(0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00)
Years in country 0.02*** 0.01 0.02*** 0.00 0.02*** 0.00 0.02*** 0.00(0.00) (0.02) (0.00) (0.01) (0.00) (0.02) (0.00) (0.01)
Years in country ˆ2 -0.00*** 0.00 -0.00*** 0.00 -0.00*** 0.00 -0.00*** 0.00(0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00)
Married 0.14*** 0.13* 0.11*** 0.14** 0.16*** 0.14* 0.12*** 0.14***(0.04) (0.07) (0.03) (0.05) (0.04) (0.07) (0.03) (0.05)
# Children 0.12*** 0.13** 0.03* 0.03 0.13*** 0.14** 0.04** 0.04(0.03) (0.06) (0.02) (0.03) (0.03) (0.06) (0.02) (0.03)
Secondary Education -0.14*** -0.13* -0.08*** -0.04 -0.11*** -0.11 -0.06** -0.02(0.04) (0.07) (0.03) (0.05) (0.04) (0.07) (0.03) (0.05)
Employed -0.04 0.09 -0.04 0.06 -0.04 0.08 -0.03 0.06(0.04) (0.07) (0.03) (0.05) (0.04) (0.07) (0.03) (0.05)
Risk Taking -0.03 -0.06 -0.03 -0.04 -0.04 -0.06 -0.04 -0.04(0.03) (0.06) (0.02) (0.04) (0.03) (0.06) (0.02) (0.04)
N 1,036 338 1,646 562 1,036 338 1,646 562
Estimates are reported as margins at means; Significance at * p<.1, ** p<.05, *** p<.01
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H2b: Trust on Leverage Ratio (Tobit): Controls
(1)all
(2)<18
(3)all
(4)<18
(5)all
(6)<18
(7)all
(8)<18
Germany 0.08* 0.16** 0.08** 0.16*** 0.08** 0.16** 0.08** 0.15**(0.04) (0.07) (0.04) (0.06) (0.04) (0.07) (0.04) (0.06)
France 0.09** 0.15** 0.09*** 0.17*** 0.10** 0.15** 0.11*** 0.18***(0.04) (0.06) (0.03) (0.05) (0.04) (0.06) (0.03) (0.05)
Ireland 0.26*** 0.39*** 0.23*** 0.38*** 0.21*** 0.34*** 0.19*** 0.32***(0.04) (0.06) (0.03) (0.06) (0.04) (0.07) (0.03) (0.06)
Gross Income (ln) 0.08*** 0.09*** 0.08*** 0.08*** 0.07*** 0.08*** 0.07*** 0.07***(0.01) (0.02) (0.01) (0.02) (0.01) (0.02) (0.01) (0.02)
Male 0.00 0.05 0.01 0.05* 0.00 0.06* 0.01 0.05*(0.02) (0.04) (0.02) (0.03) (0.02) (0.04) (0.02) (0.03)
Age 0.05*** 0.05** 0.05*** 0.06*** 0.04*** 0.05*** 0.05*** 0.06***(0.01) (0.02) (0.01) (0.01) (0.01) (0.02) (0.01) (0.01)
Ageˆ2 -0.00*** -0.00*** -0.00*** -0.00*** -0.00*** -0.00*** -0.00*** -0.00***(0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00)
Years in country 0.01*** 0.01 0.02*** 0.01* 0.01*** 0.01 0.01*** 0.01(0.00) (0.01) (0.00) (0.01) (0.00) (0.01) (0.00) (0.01)
Years in country ˆ2 -0.00*** 0.00 -0.00*** 0.00 -0.00*** 0.00 -0.00*** 0.00(0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00)
Married 0.06** 0.00 0.05** 0.02 0.07*** 0.01 0.05*** 0.02(0.02) (0.04) (0.02) (0.03) (0.02) (0.04) (0.02) (0.03)
# Children 0.06*** 0.06** 0.02 0.02 0.06*** 0.06** 0.02* 0.02(0.02) (0.03) (0.01) (0.02) (0.02) (0.03) (0.01) (0.02)
Secondary Education -0.09*** -0.10** -0.06*** -0.02 -0.07*** -0.08* -0.05*** -0.02(0.02) (0.04) (0.02) (0.03) (0.02) (0.04) (0.02) (0.03)
Employed -0.01 0.06 -0.02 0.04 -0.01 0.06 -0.01 0.04(0.02) (0.04) (0.02) (0.03) (0.02) (0.04) (0.02) (0.03)
Risk Taking 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.03 0.01 0.02 0.00 0.03(0.02) (0.03) (0.01) (0.02) (0.02) (0.03) (0.01) (0.02)
N 1,036 338 1,646 562 1,036 338 1,646 562
Estimates are reported as margins at means; Significance at * p<.1, ** p<.05, *** p<.01
back
J. Fleck & A. Monninger Culture and Portfolios 20th June 2020 1 / 1
H1: Trust on Liquid Wealth (OLS): Native Spouse
(1)all
(2)<18
(3)all
(4)<18
(5)all
(6)<18
(7)all
(8)<18
Public TrustEurope
-0.85 -3.47***(0.61) (1.00)
World-0.81** -1.76***(0.41) (0.65)
Private TrustEurope
2.07*** 2.07*(0.65) (1.19)
World1.92*** 2.19***(0.53) (0.84)
Spouse 0.74*** 0.85** 0.63*** 0.67*** 0.51** 0.68* 0.52*** 0.59**(0.22) (0.37) (0.16) (0.25) (0.23) (0.38) (0.16) (0.25)
N 1,308 454 2,111 807 1,308 454 2,111 807back
J. Fleck & A. Monninger Culture and Portfolios 20th June 2020 1 / 1
H2a: Trust on Owner with Mortgage (Probit): NativeSpouse
(1)all
(2)<18
(3)all
(4)<18
(5)all
(6)<18
(7)all
(8)<18
Public TrustEurope
0.42** 0.21(0.21) (0.40)
World-0.11 0.07(0.15) (0.29)
Private TrustEurope
1.15*** 0.87(0.26) (0.58)
World1.11*** 1.14***(0.20) (0.42)
Spouse 0.15*** 0.05 0.17*** 0.09 0.11*** 0.02 0.14*** 0.06(0.04) (0.08) (0.03) (0.06) (0.04) (0.08) (0.03) (0.06)
N 1,036 338 1,646 562 1,036 338 1,646 562back
J. Fleck & A. Monninger Culture and Portfolios 20th June 2020 1 / 1
H2b: Trust on Leverage Ratio (Tobit): Native Spouse
(1)all
(2)<18
(3)all
(4)<18
(5)all
(6)<18
(7)all
(8)<18
Public TrustEurope
0.39*** 0.25(0.13) (0.21)
World-0.04 0.14(0.09) (0.16)
Private TrustEurope
0.72*** 0.46(0.15) (0.31)
World0.60*** 0.53**(0.13) (0.23)
Spouse 0.09*** 0.01 0.11*** 0.04 0.07** 0.00 0.09*** 0.03(0.03) (0.04) (0.02) (0.03) (0.03) (0.05) (0.02) (0.03)
N 1,036 338 1,646 562 1,036 338 1,646 562back
J. Fleck & A. Monninger Culture and Portfolios 20th June 2020 1 / 1
H1: Trust on Liquid Wealth (OLS): High vs Low Trust
(1)all
(2)<18
(3)all
(4)<18
(5)all
(6)<18
(7)all
(8)<18
Public TrustEurope
-0.23 -1.26***(0.21) (0.39)
World-0.20 -0.54**(0.14) (0.23)
Private TrustEurope
0.56* 0.11(0.28) (0.44)
World0.33** 0.35(0.16) (0.26)
N 1,308 454 2,111 807 1,308 454 2,111 807back
J. Fleck & A. Monninger Culture and Portfolios 20th June 2020 1 / 1
H2a: Trust on Owner with Mortgage (Probit): High vsLow Trust
(1)all
(2)<18
(3)all
(4)<18
(5)all
(6)<18
(7)all
(8)<18
Public TrustEurope
0.11*** 0.11(0.04) (0.08)
World0.01 -0.05
(0.03) (0.05)
Private TrustEurope
0.13** 0.05(0.06) (0.11)
World0.24*** 0.21***(0.03) (0.06)
N 1,036 338 1,646 562 1,036 338 1,646 562back
J. Fleck & A. Monninger Culture and Portfolios 20th June 2020 1 / 1
H2b: Trust on Leverage Ratio (Tobit): High vs Low Trust
(1)all
(2)<18
(3)all
(4)<18
(5)all
(6)<18
(7)all
(8)<18
Public TrustEurope
0.10*** 0.09**(0.02) (0.04)
World0.03** 0.03(0.02) (0.03)
Private TrustEurope
0.07* 0.02(0.04) (0.06)
World0.17*** 0.10***(0.02) (0.04)
N 1,036 338 1,646 562 1,036 338 1,646 562back
J. Fleck & A. Monninger Culture and Portfolios 20th June 2020 1 / 1
H1: Trust on Liquid Wealth (OLS): Civic Indicator
(1)all
(2)<18
(3)all
(4)<18
(5)all
(6)<18
(7)all
(8)<18
Civic IndicatorEurope
1.68*** 0.94(0.62) (1.27)
World1.97*** 2.04**(0.46) (0.82)
PassiveEurope
2.33 5.14(2.62) (4.92)
World0.54 1.25
(1.80) (3.28)
ActiveEurope
1.05 -2.93(2.57) (4.51)
World3.11** 2.63(1.45) (2.45)
N 1,308 454 2,111 807 1,308 454 2,111 807back
J. Fleck & A. Monninger Culture and Portfolios 20th June 2020 1 / 1
H2a: Trust on Owner with Mortgage (Probit): CivicIndicator
(1)all
(2)<18
(3)all
(4)<18
(5)all
(6)<18
(7)all
(8)<18
Civic IndicatorEurope
0.60*** 0.37(0.12) (0.27)
World0.46*** 0.56***(0.09) (0.20)
PassiveEurope
2.05*** 2.57**(0.47) (1.04)
World2.17*** 2.25***(0.34) (0.78)
ActiveEurope
-0.87* -1.73*(0.47) (1.00)
World-0.94*** -0.78
(0.28) (0.62)
N 1,036 338 1,646 562 1,036 338 1,646 562back
J. Fleck & A. Monninger Culture and Portfolios 20th June 2020 1 / 1
H2b: Trust on Leverage Ratio (Tobit): Civic Indicator
(1)all
(2)<18
(3)all
(4)<18
(5)all
(6)<18
(7)all
(8)<18
Civic IndicatorEurope
0.37*** 0.25*(0.07) (0.14)
World0.27*** 0.29***(0.06) (0.11)
PassiveEurope
1.25*** 0.77(0.29) (0.55)
World1.38*** 0.97**(0.22) (0.41)
ActiveEurope
-0.51* -0.24(0.29) (0.52)
World-0.64*** -0.24
(0.18) (0.33)
N 1,036 338 1,646 562 1,036 338 1,646 562back
J. Fleck & A. Monninger Culture and Portfolios 20th June 2020 1 / 1
H2b: Trust on Leverage Ratio (Tobit): Current Values
(1)all
(2)<18
(3)all
(4)<18
(5)all
(6)<18
(7)all
(8)<18
Public TrustEurope
0.37*** 0.15(0.10) (0.17)
World-0.02 0.09(0.08) (0.13)
Private TrustEurope
0.70*** 0.42*(0.12) (0.24)
World0.61*** 0.52***(0.10) (0.18)
N 1,036 338 1,646 562 1,036 338 1,646 562back
J. Fleck & A. Monninger Culture and Portfolios 20th June 2020 1 / 1
H1: Trust on Precautionary Motive to Save (Probit)
(1)all
(2)<18
(3)all
(4)<18
(5)all
(6)<18
(7)all
(8)<18
Public TrustEurope
-0.25 -0.63**(0.19) (0.32)
World-0.24* -0.23(0.14) (0.23)
Private TrustEurope
0.29 -0.49(0.22) (0.44)
World0.42** 0.14(0.18) (0.31)
N 1,308 454 2,111 807 1,308 454 2,111 807back
J. Fleck & A. Monninger Culture and Portfolios 20th June 2020 1 / 1
H1: Trust on Liquid Wealth (OLS): Un-insurable incomerisk
(1)all
(2)<18
(3)all
(4)<18
(5)all
(6)<18
(7)all
(8)<18
Public TrustEurope
-1.74 -6.52***(1.20) (1.90)
World-1.80** -4.01***(0.84) (1.31)
Private TrustEurope
4.48*** 4.10(1.36) (2.62)
World4.12*** 4.36**(1.06) (1.77)
Self-Employed 0.87** 1.07* 0.71*** 0.81** 0.79** 1.10** 0.68*** 0.79**(0.34) (0.55) (0.24) (0.36) (0.34) (0.55) (0.24) (0.36)
Sector FE
N 1,308 454 2,111 807 1,308 454 2,111 807back
J. Fleck & A. Monninger Culture and Portfolios 20th June 2020 1 / 1
H2a: Trust on Owner with Mortgage (Probit):Un-insurable income risk
(1)all
(2)<18
(3)all
(4)<18
(5)all
(6)<18
(7)all
(8)<18
Public TrustEurope
0.55*** 0.31(0.21) (0.36)
World-0.06 0.03(0.15) (0.27)
Private TrustEurope
1.32*** 0.85(0.25) (0.54)
World1.29*** 1.24***(0.20) (0.42)
Self-Employed 0.23*** 0.21* 0.21*** 0.23*** 0.21*** 0.20* 0.20*** 0.23**(0.06) (0.11) (0.05) (0.09) (0.06) (0.11) (0.05) (0.09)
Sector FE
N 1,036 338 1,646 562 1,036 338 1,646 562back
J. Fleck & A. Monninger Culture and Portfolios 20th June 2020 1 / 1
H2b: Trust on Leverage Ratio (Tobit): Un-insurableincome risk
(1)all
(2)<18
(3)all
(4)<18
(5)all
(6)<18
(7)all
(8)<18
Public TrustEurope
0.45*** 0.27(0.13) (0.21)
World-0.01 0.12(0.10) (0.15)
Private TrustEurope
0.75*** 0.48(0.15) (0.30)
World0.66*** 0.59***(0.13) (0.23)
Self-Employed 0.12*** 0.04 0.13*** 0.12** 0.10** 0.04 0.12*** 0.11**(0.04) (0.07) (0.03) (0.05) (0.04) (0.07) (0.03) (0.05)
Sector FE
N 1,036 338 1,646 562 1,036 338 1,646 562back
J. Fleck & A. Monninger Culture and Portfolios 20th June 2020 1 / 1