Culturally Motivated Information Asymmetry: Implications ... · Culturally Motivated Information...
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Culturally Motivated Information Asymmetry:
Implications for Home Bias
Katie Cusack
University of Wyoming
Hilla Skiba
University of Wyoming
This draft: May 2014
Abstract: Portfolio theory suggests that international diversification increases returns and
decreases risk. Consequently, investors should diversify their portfolios across
international markets. In practice, however, investors hold globally under-diversified
portfolios. This study examines a novel cause of US-based institutional investors’ foreign
portfolio deviations from perfect diversification. We attribute the deviation to cultural
similarity between the locales in which the US financial institutions operate and the foreign
countries in which they invest. Specifically, we measure cultural similarity between each
US institutional investor’s local market and every possible investment option outside the
US, directly based on 2010 US Census and the ethnicity of the foreign markets. We show
that portfolio allocation increases with higher cultural similarity in US states and zip codes
and foreign markets. We also show that higher cultural proximity can increase
performance in foreign investments.
Keywords: Culture; Home bias; Institutional investor; Foreign portfolio investment
JEL Classification Codes: G11; G15; G23; Z10
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I Introduction
Financial theorists predict that, in the absence of barriers to international investment,
investors hold a portfolio that weights assets from all countries in proportion to their share of
world assets (Black 1974); (Cooper and Kaplanis 1986). In practice, however, investors are not
only subject to barriers to investment, but also fail to construct their portfolios according to each
country’s market value (French and Poterba 1991); (Chan, Covrig and Ng 2005). Specifically,
investors exhibit a tendency to bias their portfolios towards assets from their home country; a
phenomenon known as home bias. In addition, the share of investors’ wealth not held in home
market stocks is often not distributed according to foreign market capitalization weights. The
resulting international portfolio under-diversification remains a puzzle in the finance literature.
Whether this bias is an irrational deviation from the efficient portfolio or the product of
investors responding to perceived risk is unclear. The perceived risk of an asset might be
dependent upon the information asymmetry that an investor has with the security’s country of
origin (French and Poterba 1991). Information asymmetry results from investors having less and
lower quality information about the foreign target market. Finance literature focuses largely on
geographic proximity as a cause of information asymmetry (Chan, Covrig and Ng 2005). Less is
known about cultural proximity as a factor in information advantage that results in the under-
and overweighting of assets from a foreign country.
This paper tests the hypothesis that cultural proximity impacts investment allocation in
addition to geographic proximity, and that cultural proximity should in fact matter more than
geographic proximity. With large improvements in technology and investors’ ability to access
information in today’s financial markets, the effect of geographical distance should matter less
and less for asset allocation. However, even with improvements in technology, cultural barriers
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are more difficult to overcome. It also may be that geographic proximity, which has been shown
to influence portfolio flows merely captures the effect of cultural distance across international
markets.
This paper tests a second hypothesis that higher cultural proximity affects institutional
investor’s performance in foreign markets. As the level of cultural proximity between an
institution’s location and a target country increases, institutional investors should continue to
gain more information and be able to better interpret information about that target country’s
available investments. As this information advantage grows, these institutions should earn
positive abnormal returns.
Few papers in finance have examined whether cultural distance influences investment
allocation (Guiso, Sapienza and Zingales 2009); (Aggarwal, Kearney and Lucey 2012). These
papers document that aggregate portfolio flows between countries are positively related to
cultural proximity. Our paper contributes to the literature by testing the effect of cultural distance
on institutional investors’ portfolio allocation decisions at a more detailed level. Our dataset
consists of institutional investors’ quarterly holdings at the security level. We also construct a
cultural proximity measure between investors and target markets that is more refined than
cultural distance measures used in the past literature.
Most common ways used in the prior literature to measure cultural proximity include
common language between investors, cultural proximity between countries constructed based on
Hofstede’s (or similar) primary dimensions of culture from survey data, and cultural trust
between countries. While the previous cultural proxies have been informative and have provided
great insight into international portfolio allocation, these measures do not necessarily provide a
means to test the impact of cultural ties on information advantage and portfolio allocation. The
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prior cultural measures also make it difficult to separate the effect of geographic distance from
cultural distance on investment. Our measure of culture is specific to regional level. We use the
US 2010 Census to construct a share of population in each state or zip code in the US that
identifies with certain ethnic background. We then test if institutional investors from a state or
zip code populated by certain ethnicity invest at higher levels to those foreign countries that
share the state or zip code’s ethnic origin.
The findings of the paper can be summarized in the following way. We first show that
US investment to foreign markets is far from diversified. After controlling for home market
investment of the investors, we show that the remaining foreign portfolios of US institutional
investors are not allocated to foreign markets based on their market capitalization weights.
Instead, we observe large portfolio over- and underweights across international markets. Second,
we document that the state and zip code level cultural similarity is an economically significant
determinant of foreign country under- and overweights of US institutions’ portfolios. The result
is robust in many different regression specifications.
Also, we examine the effect of cultural proximity on institutions’ performance in foreign
markets. We document that cultural proximity has an economically and statistically significant
effect upon abnormal returns. In most cases, higher cultural proximity increases abnormal
returns. However, we find that institutions that take large, overweight positions may experience
lower abnormal returns as a result of an increase in cultural proximity.
The paper makes several contributions to the existing literature. To our knowledge, this is
the first paper to show in detail how US investors allocate capital to foreign markets. The paper
also contributes to the new and emerging field of culture and finance. We construct a novel
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measure of cultural similarity that captures information asymmetry that stems from culture in a
more direct way that previous papers have done.
The rest of the paper is structured in the following way. Section II review related
literature. Section III shows the data and methods used in the paper. Section IV shows our results
and section V concludes.
II Literature Review and Hypotheses
A. International Diversification-Gains from Trade
Financial theorists show that investors gain when they diversify their portfolios
internationally. Amongst the first to do this were Grubel (1968), Levy and Sarnat (1970) and
Solnik (1974). These studies all examine international diversification in the context of mean-
variance tradeoff and find that investors achieve higher returns, or lower risk, when they add
assets from foreign markets to their portfolio.
Later studies corroborate this theory by testing the effects of international diversification
outside of the trade-off between risk and return. Grauer and Hakansson (1987) show that there is
a statistical difference in the returns to a portfolio constructed of only United States stocks and a
portfolio that includes domestic and foreign securities. The gains from including foreign
investments persist, despite the greater integration of world financial markets. DeSantis and
Gerard (1997) prove this in their study of contagious market crises and downturns.
B. Home Bias- The Deviation from World Market Portfolio
Despite the documented advantages of including foreign securities in an investment
portfolio, investors rarely hold portfolios that are perfectly diversified. To study this
phenomenon, theorists first describe the state in which we would observe perfectly diversified
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portfolios. Black (1974) develops an equilibrium model in which a “tax” to international
investment explains the deviation of a portfolio from that of the world market portfolio. Cooper
and Kaplanis (1986) use this equilibrium model to argue that investors in different countries face
different “taxes” which they call barriers to foreign investment. Both studies argue that, in the
absence of barriers to investing in foreign markets, all investment portfolios will be identical to
the world market portfolio.
Other studies document the share of assets that investors allocate to domestic and foreign
securities. French and Poterba (1991) show that investors significantly overweight domestic
securities in their portfolios. This result is known as the home bias. This bias is also found in
more recent studies of portfolio allocation (Kang and Stulz 1997); (Chan, Covrig and Ng 2005).
C. Home Bias- Studies of Causality
Many of these studies not only estimate the magnitude of home bias, but also propose
theories about the causes of this bias. The explicit costs to purchasing a foreign equity are far
easier to quantify than implicit barriers. However, the first general equilibrium models
acknowledge the existence of both as factors in bias, with Black stating:
“The tax is intended to represent various kinds of barriers to international
investment, such as…direct controls on the import and export of capital…It is
even intended to represent barriers created by the unfamiliarity that residents
of one country have with other countries.” (Black 1974)
Cooper and Kaplanis (1986) introduce an equilibrium model in which investors from
different countries can have different barriers to investing internationally. The model resulted in
many empirical studies in which authors construct bilateral factors to explain the portfolio under
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and over-weights in international portfolio flows. The proposed causes fall into two broad
categories: institutional constraints and investor choices (French and Poterba 1991). Many
studies control for the effects of both direct and indirect barriers to foreign investment. Chan,
Covrig and Ng (2005) find that a mix of these barriers explains much of the underweighting of
foreign assets.
C.1 Explicit barriers to investment
In the equilibrium models that account for the cost, or taxes, on investing internationally,
the costs are typically described as quantitative barriers. Barriers typically cited include capital
controls such as limits to the share of a stock that may be purchased by foreign investors. Studies
show that, despite the statistical significance of these direct barriers, the magnitude of costs is too
low to account for the extent of home bias (Tesar and Werner 1995); (Ahearne, Griever and
Warnock 2004).
C.2 Implicit barriers to investment
To account for the home bias that remains, theorists examine indirect barriers to
investment that result from investors’ choices and access to securities. French and Poterba (1991)
hypothesize that the level of bias is affected by the perceived risk of a foreign investment. When
investors know little about a country, they perceive that country’s assets as riskier. Investors then
make the rational decisions to limit their risk by not purchasing those securities. Kang and Stulz
(1997) find that investors choose foreign assets based on the notoriety and size of firms.
Ahearne, Griever and Warnock (2004) also attribute a portion of home bias to the information
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available to shareholders by showing that foreign stocks listed on American exchanges are less
underweighted in American portfolios.
D. Information Costs
One indirect barrier to foreign investment that affects investors’ level of home bias is
information asymmetry between investors. A reduction in ambiguity about a firm causes
domestic investors to decrease their underweighting of foreign assets.This can be achieved when
foreign companies increase the amount, or perceived quality, of information that is publically
available (Ahearne, Griever and Warnock 2004). The link between information asymmetry and
home bias persists on an intra-national level. Coval and Moskowitz (2001) show that investors in
the United States not only invest more in firms closest to them, but also have greater abilities to
choose firms with the highest future returns in their locales.
Other studies corroborate the idea that domestic investors have an information advantage
in domestic assets and rely on this in portfolio allocation. This information advantage comes
from the ability of domestic investors to interpret information in the appropriate context (Gehrig
1993). As a result, investors allocate a larger portion of portfolio assets to domestic securities
because they know that this can lead to higher returns.
Not only do investors have an information advantage in domestic assets, but investors
preserve this advantage by concentrating their information gathering in home assets. Financial
theorists suggest that concentration of information gathering efforts is not a result of a lack of
access to foreign information. Rather, this is the result of investors choosing not to learn about
foreign securities (Van Nieuwerburgh and Veldkamp 2009). Van Nieuwerburgh and Veldkamp
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(2009) find that, when investors take advantage of their ability to learn about foreign firms, the
returns to their prior domestic information advantage dissipate.
E. The Case for Cultural Proximity
This initial information advantage is often attributed to geographic differences between
investors and foreign firms (Chan, Covrig and Ng 2005). However, the reluctance of investors to
learn about foreign firms may come from differences in the cultural background of investors.
Groups that have greater “social distance” interact less than groups with greater social proximity;
this interaction facilitates the transfer of information (Akerlof 1997).The lack of communication
between groups or cultural communities gives rise to a higher level of conformity in each group
(Ellison and Fudenberg 1995). When cultural groups share information and reach a consensus on
the prospects of foreign firms, they likely do not share this with socially and culturally distant
groups. This creates an information advantage that funds in the immediate area benefit from.
Empirical studies test the effect of cultural proximity between countries through proxies
like common language. All of these proxies establish only an indirect connection between culture
and portfolio investment. A more direct measure of cultural proximity could establish a robust
connection between the effects of information transfer between culturally proximate groups and
the magnitude of home bias. We contribute to the literature by estimating this connection.
F. Hypotheses
F.1 Investment Bias
Given the evidence that institutional investors do not optimally invest in foreign
securities, we form a hypothesis to explain the deviation from a perfectly diversified portfolio.
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Our hypothesis states that the cultural distance between the location an institution operates and
the target country affects the magnitude of the institution’s under or over-weighting of securities
from the target country. This testable hypothesis is stated formally:
H1: The cultural proximity of an investor to a target country is positively related to the
institution’s allocation to the target country’s securities.
This hypothesis is tested by calculating the difference between the amount a fund invests
in a specific country’s assets and the amount they should invest to have a perfectly diversified
portfolio of foreign securities. This deviation is compared to the proximity of the two cultures.
We expect that the magnitude of the bias, towards or against, a target country will increase as the
culture of the target country and the institution’s location become more similar. The information
asymmetry that results from higher cultural proximity should result in institutions taking large
under or over-weighting positions in a target country to benefit from their information advantage.
F.2 Abnormal Performance
Given the evidence that proximity has the potential to give institutional investors an
information advantage over competitors, we form a second hypothesis to examine the
performance of culturally proximate institutions’ investments in foreign countries. Our
hypothesis states that, given that investors have some cultural proximity to a target country and
act upon that proximity by under or over-weighting that country’s investments, the cultural
proximity of an institution and target country will affect the institution’s performance in that
country. This testable hypothesis is stated formally:
H2: The cultural proximity of an institution to a target country is positively related to the
institution’s performance in the target country’s securities.
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This hypothesis is tested by calculating the institution’s abnormal return in each target
country relative to the target country’s market return. This performance measure is compared to
cultural proximity between the two cultures and the interaction between that proximity and the
institution’s investment bias. We expect that the abnormal performance will increase as the
culture of the target country and institution’s location in its home market become more similar.
III Data and Methodology
A. Foreign Diversification and Country Bias
The main data in this study include US–based institutional investors’ holdings at security
level for the year end of 2010. The holdings’ data are provided by FactSet Company (former
LionShares). The FactSet holdings data for US institutional investors are the 13-F data from
SEC. We match these holdings to institutional investors’ identifying information that include
information on the investors’ type, style, and address. From these addresses we identify the exact
location of each investor based on the zip code of the institution.
The holdings’ data show each security’s market value and number of shares in
institutions’ portfolios. We also know each security’s country of domicile. We define securities
as foreign securities if the country of their domicile is not the US. From the holdings’ data, we
compute the actual investment to each foreign market as a share of all foreign investment.
The expected investment allocations to foreign countries are computed based on
“investable” shares of international markets. These “investable” market values are computed
from WorldScope data. We then compare the actual portfolio weights to the expected weights of
each target country’s securities as a percentage of the world portfolio.
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Table I shows summary statistics for each target country included in our sample. The first
column shows the weight that should be given to each country. According to world market value,
foreign portfolios of US institutions should invest the most in the United Kingdom, a country
with 14.23% of world market value when the US is excluded. The United Kingdom is followed
closely by the expected weight of Japan, with 13.76% of world market value.
The second column shows the average actual weight given to each target country’s assets.
The institutional portfolios in the sample invest most of their foreign portfolios in Canadian
securities, with an average actual share of portfolio value of 14.59%. There are also a number of
target countries in which US institutions do not, on average, invest any portion of their foreign
portfolio.
The expected weight of securities of each country in the portfolio is calculated by
comparing the market value of securities from each country to the total market value of world
securities. Market value of world shares outstanding is calculate by multiplying the price in US
dollars of each share by the number of shares outstanding, as shown in equation [1]. This method
overstates the number of shares that are available for purchase. The number of shares available
decreases as more share are held by large shareholders, such as a government or family (La
Porta, Lopez-De-Silanes and Shleifer 1999). Dahlquist et al. (2003) find that the inability of
investors to purchase these shares at a fair market value contributes to home bias. To account for
this, the number of closely held shares is subtracted from the issued shares to calculate the float-
adjusted market value. The float-adjusted market value is calculated based on equation [2].
Using the adjusted market value, equation [3] gives the expected weight of each countries’ assets
in fund portfolios, where jMV is the float-adjusted market value of all securities in country j.
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The denominatork
k
j
MV represents the total, float-adjusted market value of all foreign
securities.
MV price shares [1]
( )adj out closelyheldMV price shares shares [2]
_j
j k
k
j
MVWeight expected
MV
[3]
The share of assets allocated to a target country in a given portfolio is calculated by
comparing the value of that country’s securities in the portfolio to the value of the institution’s
foreign portfolio. Performing this analysis without the market value of assets held in the United
States gives a better measure of the allocation of assets that are devoted to international assets.
This calculation is depicted in the following equation:
,
,
,
_i j
i j k
i k
j US
MVWeight actual
MV
[4]
where ,i jMV represents the market value of securities headquartered in country j that institution i
holds. The denominator ,
k
i k
j
MV shows the market value of securities headquartered in all
foreign countries held in portfolio i.
The deviation of each portfolio from the expected weight is calculated by subtracting the
expected share of assets from country j from the actual share of assets allocated to country j in
portfolio i. This calculation gives the amount of under or over-weighting of assets from country j
in portfolio i, the target country bias.
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, i, j ,_ _i j i jBIAS weight actual weight expected [5]
B. Cultural Proximity
Proxies for cultural proximity used by empirical studies include sharing a common
language and the flow of trade between countries. While informative, these measures do not
provide a means to test the impact of cultural ties on information advantage that leads to bias.
Examining the percent of the population in either state or zip code x that identifies with country j
provides a direct way to estimate the level of information exchange between the two groups. This
relationship is given in the following equation:
x,
x,
x
j
j
PProximity
P [6]
where x, jP denotes the population in state or zip code x that identifies ancestrally or ethnically
with country j and xP gives the total population in state or zip code x.
Surveys conducted by the United States Census Bureau provide both total population and
the population that claims a cultural tie with a specific foreign country by state and zip code.
Ancestry, ethnicity and total population data for 2010 come from the Census Bureau’s American
Community Survey. These data are given for 50 states and the 238 zip code tabulation areas in
which our sample of financial institutions operate. These data are suited to this study because
survey respondents identify themselves. Those who self-identify as members of an ancestral or
ethnic group are more likely to engage in information transfer within the specified group.
The same property that makes Census data ideal for this study- its reflection of
individuals’ opinions about their ancestry-also presents a challenge in calculating cultural
proximity. Namely, respondents may indicate any ancestry or ethnicity without being restricted
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to any set of prescribed responses. As a result, many individuals identify their ancestry as being
part of a sub-group of another ancestry or an ethnic group without an existing nation. Examples
of this are those who report ancestry such as Scotch Irish, Russian German, or Basque. The
pertinent question becomes: With which country would these individuals identify with most? In
the case of the Scotch Irish ancestral group, a group linked mainly to Northern Ireland, the
strongest country tie is likely the United Kingdom (Montgomery 1995). Other ancestral groups,
such as the Basque community, consider themselves part of a group linked more to culture than a
single, existing country (Davis 1999). To account for the difference between the ancestral groups
represented in the Census data and the existing countries available to invest, we perform two
separate calculations of cultural proximity.
The first consolidates all cultures that identify as a sub-group of a specific, existing
nation. The most notable example of this is the consolidation of the German, Pennsylvanian
German and Russian German populations for each state or zip code. In this instance, the cultural
proximity calculation is modified to reflect the sub-groups, according to equation [7].
,
1,Pr
i
n
x j
ix j
x
P
oximityP
[7]
where 1,x jP is the population of the first sub-group of ancestry j in state or zip code x.
The second method for calculating cultural proximity ignores the existence of sub-groups
of ancestry and considers only those respondents who identify with an existing, specific nation.
In this case, the German cultural proximity would reflect only the population identifying strictly
as German. Here, the populations that identify as Pennsylvanian German or Russian German
would not be included in the cultural proximity calculation. The equation that reflects this
method is the basic cultural proximity calculation found in equation [6].
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C. Abnormal Performance
The measure of abnormal performance of institution’s holdings of foreign securities is
based on security return data provided by FactSet Company. These data give returns to each
institution’s holdings in each target country in the first quarter of 2010. Returns are calculated
based on security prices from one month prior to one month past the quarterly reporting period.
These return data are combined with data on the return to the index of all available securities in
each target country.
Table II shows summary statistics for each target country in our sample. Ukraine has the
highest average abnormal return in our sample with an average abnormal return of 0.34%.
Institutions in our sample earn the lowest average abnormal performance from their holdings in
Finland. The second column shows the average Sharpe ratio of institution’s investment by target
country. This shows each institution’s country-specific abnormal performance, adjusted for the
value-weighted beta of each institution’s holdings in each target country.
The abnormal return to portfolio holdings in country j is calculated by first finding the
value-weighted return to foreign securities from each target country held by each institution. The
return is weighted by the weight that the institution places on the security as a percentage of their
total portfolio in country j. The return to each target country’s equally-weighted index is
subtracted from the value-weighted, institution-specific returns to create the abnormal returns of
each institution’s holdings in each target country. The procedure described follows equation [8].
,Ji ij j J
jeJ
R w R R [8]
Next, the abnormal returns to each institution’s country-specific holdings are adjusted for
the risk of each holding. A beta measure is computed for each security based on market and firm
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returns from the three years preceding the reporting period. This beta captures the sensitivity of
each security’s returns to the return of their associated country-specific index. This controls for
the return that may accrue to an investor solely because the investor chooses the riskiest
securities amongst all available securities from a target country. This risk measure is weighted by
the securities’ weight as a value of each institution’s portfolio in country j. The risk-adjusted
abnormal return is calculated according to equation [9].
,i
Adj i
ij j
jeJ
RR
w [9]
D. Other Exogenous Determinants of Diversification Bias
D.1 Financial Centers
This method is based on the assumption that institution managers communicate with the
population where the institution is located, but not necessarily other institutional investors in the
vicinity. This assumption ignores the impact of the relative location of funds. In his 1988 paper,
“On the Mechanics of Economic Development,” Lucas theorizes that the accumulation of human
capital has an effect not only on the individual, but also on society (Lucas 1988).The effect,
which Lucas calls the external accumulation of human capital, is such that an individual
attending school or learning a better production technique increases productivity for society.
However, he admits that external human capital accumulation is effective only insomuch as
those accumulating it personally interact with other. This serves as a theory for the development
of cities, where people locate near high population to benefit from this external effect. (Lucas
1988)
Lucas names the financial industry as a group of institutions located in cities that benefit
from the higher level of external capital accumulation that accompanies higher population.
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(Lucas 1988) This theory was tested by Christoffersen and Sarkissian (1991), who hypothesize
that higher human capital in cities leads to better performance by mutual fund managers. The
empirical study finds that fund managers do experience improved performance if they work in a
city (Christoffersen 2009). The authors conclude that mutual funds do experience benefits from
operating in cities, where managers are exposed to higher external human capital and knowledge
spillovers from others in the financial industry. (Christoffersen 2009) While many studies omit
observations from commonly recognized financial centers like Chicago and New York City, we
instead construct a dummy variable to account for a state or zip code’s status as a financial
center. First, we find the average number of institution across all states and zip codes. Any state
or zip code with more institutions than two standard deviations above this average is designated
a financial center.
D.2 Geographical Distance
A zip code specific measure of information cost is included as a predictor of investment
bias because investors exhibit less bias towards countries that are relatively geographically close
(Chan, Covrig and Ng 2005). The geographical distance between each zip code and the capital
city of each target country is calculated using the latitude and longitude coordinates of each
location. The differences between these coordinates alone are not a meaningful measure of
distance without correcting for spherical distance. First, the degree coordinates are converted to
radians using equations [10] and [11]. The radian coordinates are used to calculate spherical
distance according to the Haversine Formula, presented in equations [12a] through [12c], where
R is the radius of the earth in miles. This provides a distance, in miles, between the two points
(Robusto 1957).
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180
dLatitude [10]
180
dLongitude [11]
2 22 1 2 11 2sin ( ) cos( ) cos( ) sin ( )
2 2a [12a]
2 tan 2( , 1 )c a a a [12b]
d R c [12c]
The log of this distance is included to account for the effect of geographical distance on
investment bias. This zip code distance is also used in regressions where state-specific cultural
proximity is the relevant proximity measure.
D.3 Institution Size
The market value of securities held by each institution may also affect how institutions
diversify. The results of Pollet and Wilson’s 2008 empirical study suggest that, as fund size
increases, the diversification of the fund also increases, albeit at a diminishing rate (Pollet and
Wilson 2008). While this study shows that growth in fund size leads institutions to devote more
to securities they already own, these institutions do face an upward trend in diversification until
they no longer find opportunities to increase returns through diversification (Pollet and Wilson
2008). We include the log of total market value of security holdings for each institution to
control for this small effect on diversification.
D.4 Country Specific Factors
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Chan, Covrig and Ng (2005) find two additional factors that share a statistically
significant relationship with foreign diversification: economic development and taxes on foreign
investment. Economic development is measured by the gross national product per capita in U.S.
dollars for each target country. The perceived risk of investing in an economically developed
country may be lower than that of a developing country. The perceived risk of investing in a
foreign country may also be impacted by the legal institutions of that country. A strong legal
system gives investors assurance that their assets, or proceeds thereof, will not be expropriated
by foreign governments or firm managers (Porta, et al. 2000).
Investors also face a significant cost in the fees levied on foreign investors. The higher
the level of fees levied the fewer securities an investor is willing to purchase because of
increased transaction costs.
If fund managers invest in foreign companies to increase their returns, as the literature
suggests, they may be more attracted to investments if the target country’s equity market has
experienced positive growth in returns. When returns do not grow, or are generally negative,
over an extended period of time, fund managers may hesitate to invest in that target county’s
equities.
These country specific factors likely affect each fund’s investment in the same way.
These variables have a fixed effect on the investment decision, and therefore the bias towards or
against target countries. To control for these factors, we include a dummy variable for each
target country in our sample.
E. Regression
E.1 Investment Bias
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The bias that each institutional investor has towards each target country is regressed upon
cultural proximity and the vector of exogenous variables to find the impact of shared ethnicity or
ancestry on portfolio diversification. Regressions are performed on the cross-section of bias,
according to the equation [13] where X denotes a vector of zip code specific, exogenous
variables described above and Y denotes a vector of country dummy variables.
, ,| | roximityi j i jBIAS P X Y [13]
E.2 Abnormal Performance
Each institution’s abnormal returns in each target country are regressed upon cultural
proximity, investment bias and the interaction between those variables. Regressions are
performed on the cross-section of returns, according to equation [14]. This regression includes
country clustered errors.
, 1 , 2 , 3 , ,*Adj i i j i j i j i jR Proximity Bias Proximity Bias [14]
IV Results
A. Investment Bias
A.1 State Level Culture
We test the hypothesis that cultural proximity increases the magnitude of positions taken
in target countries using a cross-section of US institutional investors’ portfolios. As stated in
hypothesis one, we expect higher cultural proximity between locations to increase the bias
towards or decrease the bias against a target country’s securities. Table III reports the results of
the OLS regression with robust standard errors on this cross-section of the absolute value of fund
bias.
The first column shows the results when cultural proximity is calculated according to
equation [7]. The positive coefficient of cultural proximity implies that a 1% increase in cultural
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proximity between a state and foreign country will increase the absolute value of investment bias
by 1.24%. An increase in cultural proximity between a target country and the state in which the
institution is located would increase the magnitude of the bias, regardless of whether the
institution initially over or under-weights that country’s securities. This increase could be caused
by an influx of immigration from the target country to the state where the fund is located.
However, this coefficient is not statistically different from zero.
The positive coefficient on geographical distance implies that a 1% increase in distance
between an institution’s headquarters and a target country would increase the magnitude of
investment bias by an economically insignificant amount. This economic and statistical
insignificance is unexpected, given the literature that shows that geographical distance affects
portfolio allocation.1
The dummy variables representing each foreign country, which are not shown in this
table, are statistically different from zero. This result indicates that US institutions invest in
foreign countries based on country-specific factors, regardless of factors specific to the
institution’s location. If each financial institution in the United States invested identically in
foreign securities, the coefficients on these dummy variables would describe every institution’s
bias for or against assets from each target country.
The value of all foreign securities held by an institution is highly statistically significant.
However, the negative effect of a 1% increase in holdings is small. This shows that, as expected,
an increase in holdings of foreign securities should decrease the magnitude of bias towards or
against specific target countries.
1 It may appear that geographic and cultural proximity should be highly correlated and therefore that cultural
proximity may be taking its significance from its relationship to geographic proximity. However, the correlation
between the two is -0.0291, which suggests that the significance of cultural proximity is not due solely to this
relationship.
22
Column two of Table III shows the regression result when cultural proximity is
calculated at the state level according to equation [6]. This regression does provide a statistically
significant proximity variable and the magnitude of its affect upon investment bias is slightly
higher. This method provides a robustness check for the result found in the first regression.
A.2 Zip Code Level Culture
Table IV reports the results of the OLS regression with robust standard errors on the
cross-section of fund bias. The first column shows the results when cultural proximity is
calculated for each zip code according to equation [7].
When the level of cultural proximity becomes more specific to an institution’s location,
the effect of this proximity becomes more statistically significant. The coefficient of cultural
proximity implies that a 1% increase in cultural proximity between a zip code and foreign
country will increase the magnitude of investment bias by 2.26%.
Column two of Table IV shows the regression results when cultural proximity is
calculated at the zip code level according to equation [6]. The coefficient of the cultural
proximity variable implies that a 1% increase in cultural proximity would result in a 2.51%
increase in the absolute value of an institution’s investment bias.
Both regressions result in geographic distance and fund size coefficients that are the same
as those found in the regressions where cultural proximity is calculated at the state level.
B. Abnormal Performance
B.1 State Level Culture
23
We test the hypothesis that higher cultural proximity and an institution’s level of
investment bias given that proximity will increase the abnormal performance of an institution’s
holdings in a target country using the regression shown in equation [14]. Table V reports the
results of the OLS regression with robust standard errors, where cultural proximity is calculated
at the state level. The first column shows the results when cultural proximity is calculated at the
state level according to equation [7].
The marginal effect of an increase in cultural proximity on the abnormal returns to an
institution’s holdings in a target country is ,0.116 0.489* i jBias . If investment bias is held
constant, a 1% increase in proximity would increase abnormal returns, given that the investment
bias is between one and negative one and the average bias over the entire sample is 0.0002.
These coefficients are statistically significant at the 99% level. The coefficient on investment
bias is not statistically significantly different from zero.
The second column shows regression statistics when state level cultural proximity is
calculated according to equation [6]. While the magnitude of the coefficient on cultural
proximity is relatively unchanged, the coefficient on the interaction term is lower than in the
previous regressions. According to these coefficients, the marginal effect of a change in cultural
proximity is ,0.117 0.704* i jBias . This change in the marginal effect does not alter the result
that, for most levels of bias, a change in cultural proximity would increase an institution’s
abnormal returns from that target country’s securities, with all else held constant. These
coefficients are also statistically significant at the 99% level.
B.2 Zip Code Level Culture
The abnormal performance regressions are also performed using cultural proximity
calculated at the zip code level. The results of these regressions are shown in Table VI. Column
24
one shows the results when cultural proximity is calculated at the zip code level according to
equation [7].
The marginal effect of an increase in proximity is ,0.0874 0.461 i jBias . While the
magnitudes of these coefficients suggest that a positive change in cultural proximity would
decrease abnormal performance, investment bias would need to be 18.9% for this to occur. This
level of positive investment bias is seen in a relatively small portion of our sample.
The results shown in column two are found when zip code level cultural proximity is
calculated according to equation [6]. In this case, the marginal effect on abnormal returns from a
change in cultural proximity is ,0.0934 0.523* i jBias . At an investment bias higher than
17.85%, a change in proximity would decrease abnormal returns, all else held constant.
While large positive investment biases are found in a relatively small portion of our
observations, these regression statistics do suggest that, when cultural proximity motivates an
institution to take an extreme position in a target country, the institution may not be acting upon
a rational information advantage. Rather, these extreme positions may be the effect of an
irrational bias towards a target country.
V Conclusion
Finance literature predicts that investors will perfectly diversify their portfolios to take
advantage of the lower risk or higher return that accompany diversification. However,
institutional investors in the United States continue to devote a higher share of their portfolio to
domestic securities than is suggested by perfect diversification. The portion of these portfolios
that is reserved for foreign securities is also not diversified perfectly amongst all foreign
countries’ securities. This study uses 2,737 US institutional investors’ foreign portfolios to find
25
the relationship between this under-diversification and the cultures of the locations where funds
are headquartered.
We examine the deviation of the share of foreign holdings in each portfolio from their
expected share of a perfectly diversified portfolio. Our results suggest that the magnitude of bias
by institutional investors could be increased by an increase in the cultural similarity between the
two locations. Higher cultural proximity contributes to institutional investors taking larger
overweight and underweight positions in a target country. This finding suggests that institutional
investors act upon the information they gather by their proximity to ancestral and ethnic groups
in their location.
We also examine the abnormal performance of institutional investors in foreign countries.
Given that institutional investors act upon the cultural proximity of their location by over or
under-weighting a target country’s securities, our results suggest that higher cultural proximity
can lead to higher abnormal returns. Exceptions to this finding occur only when institutional
investors take large, overweight positions in a target country. These findings suggest that the bias
towards or against a target country may not always be the result of an information advantage.
26
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28
Table I: Summary Statistics
Table I shows summary statistics of each target country included in our sample based on end of year 2010 holdings
data and market values. The first column shows the weight that should be given to each country by the US investors
(expected). The second column shows the average actual investment by US investors to each target market as a share
of their foreign portfolio (actual). Last column shows the average under- or overweight of each target market (bias).
TARGET COUNTRY EXPECTED ACTUAL BIAS
ARGENTINA 0.0010 0.0029 0.0019
AUSTRALIA 0.0589 0.0162 -0.0427
AUSTRIA 0.0033 0.0012 -0.0021
BAHAMAS 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
BANGLADESH 0.0004 0.0000 -0.0004
BELGIUM AND LUXEMBOURG 0.0095 0.0109 0.0014
BERMUDA 0.0052 0.1211 0.1159
BRAZIL 0.0159 0.0244 0.0085
BULGARIA 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
CANADA 0.0282 0.1459 0.1178
CHILE 0.0057 0.0012 -0.0045
CHINA 0.1184 0.0420 -0.0764
COLOMBIA 0.0003 0.0005 0.0002
CROATIA 0.0001 0.0000 -0.0001
CYPRUS 0.0006 0.0000 -0.0005
CZECH REPUBLIC 0.0007 0.0003 -0.0005
DENMARK 0.0079 0.0056 -0.0023
ECUADOR 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
EGYPT 0.0002 0.0004 0.0002
ESTONIA 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
FIJI 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
FINLAND 0.0093 0.0037 -0.0056
FRANCE 0.0482 0.0310 -0.0171
GERMANY 0.0379 0.0233 -0.0146
GHANA 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
GREECE 0.0018 0.0017 -0.0001
HUNGARY 0.0006 0.0001 -0.0005
ICELAND 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
INDIA 0.0336 0.0096 -0.0240
INDONESIA 0.0060 0.0012 -0.0048
IRELAND 0.0106 0.0731 0.0625
ISRAEL 0.0052 0.0389 0.0337
ITALY 0.0071 0.0066 -0.0005
JAMAICA 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
JAPAN 0.1376 0.0427 -0.0949
JORDAN 0.0002 0.0000 -0.0002
29
KENYA 0.0003 0.0000 -0.0003
KOREA 0.0230 0.0087 -0.0144
LATVIA 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
LEBANON 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
LITHUANIA 0.0001 0.0000 -0.0001
MALAYSIA 0.0100 0.0012 -0.0088
MALTA 0.0002 0.0000 -0.0002
MEXICO 0.0059 0.0077 0.0017
MONGOLIA 0.0002 0.0000 -0.0002
MOROCCO 0.0004 0.0000 -0.0004
NETHERLANDS 0.0192 0.0571 0.0379
NEW ZEALAND 0.0009 0.0003 -0.0006
NIGERIA 0.0011 0.0000 -0.0010
NORWAY 0.0067 0.0028 -0.0039
PAKISTAN 0.0006 0.0000 -0.0005
PALESTINE 0.0001 0.0000 -0.0001
PANAMA 0.0001 0.0017 0.0016
PERU 0.0011 0.0031 0.0020
PHILIPPINES 0.0010 0.0004 -0.0006
POLAND 0.0031 0.0004 -0.0027
PORTUGAL 0.0017 0.0010 -0.0007
PUERTO RICO 0.0002 0.0114 0.0112
ROMANIA 0.0001 0.0000 -0.0001
RUSSIAN FEDERATION 0.0052 0.0034 -0.0018
SERBIA AND MONTENEGRO 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
SIERRA LEONE 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
SINGAPORE 0.0119 0.0121 0.0002
SLOVAKIA 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
SLOVENIA 0.0003 0.0000 -0.0003
SOUTH AFRICA 0.0201 0.0064 -0.0137
SPAIN 0.0150 0.0057 -0.0093
SRI LANKA 0.0004 0.0000 -0.0003
SWEDEN 0.0235 0.0122 -0.0113
SWITZERLAND 0.0573 0.1099 0.0526
TAIWAN 0.0372 0.0079 -0.0292
THAILAND 0.0057 0.0012 -0.0045
TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO 0.0001 0.0000 -0.0001
TURKEY 0.0042 0.0011 -0.0031
UKRAINE 0.0001 0.0000 -0.0001
UNITED KINGDOM 0.1423 0.1128 -0.0295
VENEZUELA 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
VIET NAM 0.0002 0.0000 -0.0002
ZIMBABWE 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
30
TOTAL 0.0120 0.0123 0.0002
Table II: Performance Summary Statistics
Table II shows summary statistics of each target country included in our sample based on first quarter 2010 return
data. The first column shows the average abnormal return to institutions in our sample from each target country
(abnormal returns). The second column shows the average Sharpe ratio of institutions’ investments in each target
country (Sharpe ratio).
TARGET COUNTRY ABNORMAL RETURNS SHARPE RATIO
ARGENTINA 0.0617 0.0340
AUSTRALIA -0.0069 -0.1062
AUSTRIA 0.0095 -0.0113
BERMUDA -0.0436 -0.1755
BRAZIL 0.0290 0.0802
BULGARIA -0.0013 -0.0014
CANADA 0.0467 0.1393
CHILE -0.0291 -0.0223
CHINA 0.0775 0.1714
COLOMBIA -0.0335 -0.0189
CROATIA 0.0370 0.0278
CZECH REPUBLIC 0.0130 0.0012
DENMARK 0.0775 0.1764
EGYPT 0.0933 0.0863
ESTONIA 0.0982 0.0945
FINLAND -0.1021 -0.1148
FRANCE -0.0181 -0.0367
GERMANY 0.0487 0.0282
GREECE 0.0444 0.0556
HUNGARY 0.1426 0.0918
ICELAND 0.2607 0.6245
INDIA -0.0470 -0.0771
INDONESIA -0.0883 -0.1104
IRELAND -0.0011 -0.0121
ISRAEL -0.0190 -0.1700
ITALY 0.0133 0.0049
JAMAICA -0.0340 -0.0549
JAPAN -0.0621 -0.1016
JORDAN 0.0331 0.0222
KENYA -0.0349 -0.0343
LEBANON -0.0046 -0.0047
LITHUANIA -0.0820 -0.0575
MALAYSIA 0.0105 -0.0401
31
MEXICO 0.0210 0.0111
MOROCCO -0.0084 -0.0093
NETHERLANDS 0.0244 0.0200
NEW ZEALAND -0.0447 -0.0674
NIGERIA -0.0542 0.1257
NORWAY 0.0044 0.0023
PAKISTAN 0.0939 0.0904
PANAMA 0.0026 0.0020
PERU -0.0502 -0.0428
PHILIPPINES -0.0141 -0.0680
POLAND -0.0071 -0.0989
PORTUGAL 0.0295 0.0284
PUERTO RICO -0.0136 -0.0896
RUSSIAN FEDERATION -0.0863 -0.0899
SINGAPORE 0.0007 -0.0072
SLOVENIA 0.0864 0.1016
SOUTH AFRICA 0.0065 0.0789
SPAIN 0.0037 -0.0019
SRI LANKA -0.0098 -0.0068
SWEDEN 0.0810 0.0769
SWITZERLAND -0.0122 -0.0296
TAIWAN -0.0524 -0.0875
THAILAND 0.0206 0.0123
TURKEY -0.0193 -0.0515
UKRAINE 0.3417 0.2652
UNITED KINGDOM 0.0061 0.0043
TOTAL 0.0044 -0.0059
32
Table III: Determinants of investment allocation
Table III shows results from cross-sectional OLS regressions that test for the determinants of portfolio allocation by
each institution to each target market relative to the country’s market capitalization weight. The dependent variable
is BIAS from equation [5]. The main variable of interest is cultural proximity from equation [6] in specification (1)
and from equation [7] in specification (2), calculated at the state level. The other independent variables include
geographical distance, number of institutions in the same state, and the market value of each institution’s total
holdings. All regressions are run with target country fixed effects and include country clustered errors. These robust
t-statistics are reported under the coefficients (*** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1).
State Level Culture Regressions
(1) (2)
Consolidated Culture Unconsolidated Culture
Cultural Proximity 0.0124 0.0153*
[0.00824] [0.00787]
Log of Distance 0.00141 0.00139
[0.000890] [0.000891]
Log of Total Holdings -0.00120*** -0.00120***
[5.69e-05] [5.70e-05]
Constant 0.00858 0.00879
[0.00835] [0.00836]
Observations 195,088 195,088
R-squared 0.306 0.306
33
Table IV: Determinants of investment allocation
Table IV shows results from cross-sectional OLS regressions that test for the determinants of portfolio allocation by
each institution to each target market relative to the country’s market capitalization weight. The dependent variable
is BIAS from equation [5]. The main variable of interest is cultural proximity from equation [6] in specification (1)
and from equation [7] in specification (2), calculated at the zip code level. The other independent variables include
geographical distance, number of institutions in the same zip code, and the market value of each institution’s total
holdings. All regressions are run with target country fixed effects and include country clustered errors. These robust
t-statistics are reported under the coefficients (*** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1).
Zip Code Level Culture Regressions
(1) (2)
Consolidated Culture Unconsolidated Culture
Cultural Proximity 0.0226** 0.0251**
[0.0101] [0.0102]
Log of Distance 0.00109 0.00109
[0.000898] [0.000898]
Log of Total Holdings -0.00117*** -0.00117***
[6.15e-05] [6.15e-05]
Constant 0.0111 0.0111
[0.00844] [0.00844]
Observations 165,020 165,020
R-squared 0.304 0.304
34
Table V: Cultural proximity effect on abnormal returns
Table V shows results from cross-sectional OLS regressions that test for the impact of cultural bias on institutional
investor abnormal performance in each foreign country. The dependent variable is ,Adj iR from equation [9]. The
main variables of interest are cultural proximity and the interaction term, where cultural proximity is calculated from
equation [6] in specification (1) and from equation [7] if specification (2) and both are calculated at the state level.
The other independent variable is investment bias of each institution to each target country. Robust t-statistics are
reported under the coefficients (*** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1).
State Level Culture Regressions
(1) (2)
Consolidated Culture Unconsolidated Culture
Cultural Proximity 0.116*** 0.117***
[0.0130] [0.0138]
Investment Bias 0.00924 0.0125
[0.00774] [0.00778]
Cultural Proximity* Investment
Bias -0.489*** -0.704***
[0.0940] [0.0994]
Constant 0.00103 0.00124
[0.000934] [0.000932]
Observations 17,169 17,169
R-squared 0.004 0.005
35
Table VI: Cultural proximity effect on abnormal returns
Table VI shows results from cross-sectional OLS regressions that test for the impact of cultural bias on institutional
investor abnormal performance in each foreign country. The dependent variable is ,Adj iR from equation [9]. The
main variables of interest are cultural proximity and the interaction term, where cultural proximity is calculated from
equation [6] in specification (1) and from equation [7] if specification (2) and both are calculated at the zip code
level. The other independent variable is investment bias of each institution to each target country. Robust t-statistics
are reported under the coefficients (*** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1).
Zip Code Level Culture Regressions
(1) (2)
Consolidated Culture Unconsolidated Culture
Cultural Proximity 0.0874*** 0.0934***
[0.0132] [0.0140]
Investment Bias 0.0112 0.012
[0.00865] [0.00854]
Cultural Proximity* Investment
Bias -0.461*** -0.523***
[0.0869] [0.0926]
Constant 0.00223** 0.00218**
[0.00107] [0.00106]
Observations 14,087 14,087
R-squared 0.004 0.004