Experiments in 1-6 h Forecasting of Convective Storms Using Radar Extrapolation and
CSIP: Convective Storms Initiation Project (UK) · CSIP: Convective Storms Initiation Project (UK)...
Transcript of CSIP: Convective Storms Initiation Project (UK) · CSIP: Convective Storms Initiation Project (UK)...
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CSIP: Convective Storms Initiation Project (UK)
Alan Blyth
University of Leeds
and
Keith Browning
University of Reading
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GoalsWhat are the localized perturbations in the boundary layer that trigger newconvective cells?
Candidate processes include horizontal convergence and locally enhanceduplift associated with orography, land/sea contrasts, and land-use
heterogeneity.
What are the mesoscale forcing processes in the troposphere that create
regions sensitive to triggering?These will include mesoscale vortices and dry intrusions leading to split
frontal structures and regions of conditional instability.
How do local modifications of the atmosphere by previous convective cells
influence or even dominate over the other perturbations?Convective clouds produce cold pools with associated lifting, as well as
tropospheric moisture anomalies and transient static-stability variations.
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GoalsWhat are the localized perturbations in the boundary layer that trigger newconvective cells?
Candidate processes include horizontal convergence and locally enhanceduplift associated with orography, land/sea contrasts, and land-use
heterogeneity.
What are the mesoscale forcing processes in the troposphere that create
regions sensitive to triggering?These will include mesoscale vortices and dry intrusions leading to split
frontal structures and regions of conditional instability.
How do local modifications of the atmosphere by previous convective cells
influence or even dominate over the other perturbations?Convective clouds produce cold pools with associated lifting, as well as
tropospheric moisture anomalies and transient static-stability variations.
IHOP Workshop 17 June: CSIP – p. 2
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GoalsWhat are the localized perturbations in the boundary layer that trigger newconvective cells?
Candidate processes include horizontal convergence and locally enhanceduplift associated with orography, land/sea contrasts, and land-use
heterogeneity.
What are the mesoscale forcing processes in the troposphere that create
regions sensitive to triggering?These will include mesoscale vortices and dry intrusions leading to split
frontal structures and regions of conditional instability.
How do local modifications of the atmosphere by previous convective cells
influence or even dominate over the other perturbations?Convective clouds produce cold pools with associated lifting, as well as
tropospheric moisture anomalies and transient static-stability variations.
IHOP Workshop 17 June: CSIP – p. 2
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13 May 03
William Pike
Lindsay Bennett
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Will Hand analysis
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Phenomena of Interest
Feature of Interest Scale Measurement Instruments
Upper-level vortex; dryinstrusions; fronts
>100 km T, RH, winds MO Wind profilers andRadars; Meteosat SG; Ra-diosondes
Convergence Linesand Areas
1-100 km BL depth, T, RH, winds; Re-fractive index and gradients
Chilbolton UHF radar; Windprofiler; 3 Sodars; Automaticweather stations; Cessna air-craft
Precipitating convec-tive cells
1-10 km Reflectivity; Doppler veloc-ities; polarization parame-ters; in-cloud parameters
Chilbolton S-Band radar;MO radars; BAE 146 aircraft(ICEPIC)
Thermals; cumulusclouds; pre-stormconvective cells
1 km BL depth,T, RH, winds; Gra-dients in T, RH, aerosol
UHF radar; Sodars; Doppler li-dar; Meteosat SG; Aerosol li-dar; Cessna aircraft
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CSIP map
UFAM 35 and 94 GHz radars
Radiometers Chilbolton
UFAM Cessna with TDL
NERC MST Radar Aberystwyth
2 GPS water vapour stations
Met Office network
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Possible Instruments/Platforms:
MO/FAAM BAE 146 aircraft
Radiosonde system, drop-up sondes, Doppler lidar, sodar,cloud radar, DO 128 - Karlsruhe
DOWs, MGLASS, ISS - US
wv DIAL, Falcon aircraft - Germany
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Met Office radars
Location of radarsRings denote: 1km, 2km and 5 kmresolution
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1275 MHz clear-air radar
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1275 MHz radar clutter targets
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Cessna flight tracks
Chilbolton
ADC
Cessna, 500 m
wind
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Details
www.env.leeds.ac.uk/csip
Pilot Project: 5 - 30 July 2004
Main Project: June - August 2005
Forecast Centre: University of Reading Browning, Clark, Morcrette
Operations Centre: Chilbolton radar site Blyth, Illingworth, Bennett
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