CSD-14 Partnerships Fair – May 2006 1 - Environmental Innovation for Sustainable Development -...

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1 CSD-14 Partnerships Fair – May 2006 - Environmental Innovation - Environmental Innovation for Sustainable Development - for Sustainable Development - Masataka Watanabe: Leader of Integrated Environm Masataka Watanabe: Leader of Integrated Environm ental Monitoring Sub-project ental Monitoring Sub-project Mikiko Kainuma: Leader of Integrated Environment Mikiko Kainuma: Leader of Integrated Environment al Assessment Sub-project al Assessment Sub-project Hideyuki MORI: Leader of Research on Innovative Hideyuki MORI: Leader of Research on Innovative and Strategic Policy Options Sub-project and Strategic Policy Options Sub-project Asia-Pacific Environmental Asia-Pacific Environmental Innovation Project (APEIS) Innovation Project (APEIS) NIES 3 May 2006 3 May 2006

Transcript of CSD-14 Partnerships Fair – May 2006 1 - Environmental Innovation for Sustainable Development -...

Page 1: CSD-14 Partnerships Fair – May 2006 1 - Environmental Innovation for Sustainable Development - Masataka Watanabe: Leader of Integrated Environmental Monitoring.

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CSD-14 Partnerships Fair – May 2006

- Environmental Innovation for - Environmental Innovation for Sustainable Development -Sustainable Development -

Masataka Watanabe: Leader of Integrated Environmental MonitoriMasataka Watanabe: Leader of Integrated Environmental Monitoring Sub-projectng Sub-project

Mikiko Kainuma: Leader of Integrated Environmental Assessment Mikiko Kainuma: Leader of Integrated Environmental Assessment Sub-projectSub-project

Hideyuki MORI: Leader of Research on Innovative and Strategic PoHideyuki MORI: Leader of Research on Innovative and Strategic Policy Options Sub-projectlicy Options Sub-project

Asia-Pacific Environmental Asia-Pacific Environmental Innovation Project (APEIS)Innovation Project (APEIS)

NIES

3 May 20063 May 2006

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International Scientific Activities

Framework of APEIS

WSSDPropose Asia-Pacific model

ECO ASIA Ministerial Meeting

ECO ASIA Panel

Policy Guidance Scientific database and options

Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (MA) and Other international projects

Create linkages and cooperative structures

International organizations

(ADB, UNEP, UNU)

APN

Joint project collaboration

Research on innovative and strategic policy options

Integrated Environmental

Monitoring

Integrated Environmental

Assessment

Sub-projects

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Concept / TargetConcept / Target• Each sub-project is designed Each sub-project is designed

to provide a scientific basis to provide a scientific basis for decision-making and to for decision-making and to establish on-going establish on-going communication between communication between scientists and policy-scientists and policy-makers.makers.

• DatabaseDatabase• Monitoring/Modeling Monitoring/Modeling

toolstools• NetworkNetwork

What has been done. What next steps?

• What area these What area these tools could be tools could be applied further?applied further?

• How to expand How to expand collaboration?collaboration?

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Sub-Project:

Integrated Environmental Integrated Environmental Modeling (IEM)Modeling (IEM)

National Institute for Environmental Studies (NIES)

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Integrated Monitoring System

Ecological Indices•Water deficit index•Aridity•Index of desertification •Index of dust storm

Integrated Model for Assessment of EcologicalFunction

Water resources Carbon cycleNutrient cycleFood Production and SecurityDisaster Protection

Ground-truth Measurements• Meteorological data• Hydrological data• Vegetation data• Soil properties data

Contribution to Policy Making for SD

MODIS high-order products Land surface temperature Land cover / Vegetation indices Fires & biomass burning Leaf area index / FPAR Photosynthesis / NPP

Satellite Observation Network   Ecological Observation Network

Detection of Ecosystem Vulnerability

GIS Data• Digital maps• Statistic data• Other remote sensing date

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(Desert)

(Wheat and corn field))

(paddy field)

H: Heat fluxLE: Latent heat flux (evaporation rate)

Page 8: CSD-14 Partnerships Fair – May 2006 1 - Environmental Innovation for Sustainable Development - Masataka Watanabe: Leader of Integrated Environmental Monitoring.

8Estimated water deficit index (EF) and evapotranspiration (ET) of winter wheat field with MODIS remote sending datasets in North China Plain

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Carbon Fixation ( Mg C ha-1)

Input

-4

0

4

8

12

16

20

8-Ju

l

18-J

ul

28-J

ul

7-A

ug

17-A

ug

27-A

ug

6-S

ep

16-S

ep

26-S

ep

Fc

(gC

m-2

day

-1)

F F

Fc_simu=1.059Fc_obs+0.001R2=0.7431

Growing period of corn

c_simuc_obs

Validation

Scale-up

Input

Simulation of CO2 Flux

Before improved

Land Use

Climatic Factors GIS Input LayersMeasurements

Modeling After improved

Application to Regional Scale: Carbon Fixation by Vegetation using MODIS

Data

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Leaf Area Index (LAI) Vegetation Index (NDVI)

Net Ecosystem Exchange (NEE)

Daily Simulation of CarbonExchange

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Sub-Project:

Integrated Environmental Integrated Environmental Assessment (IEA)Assessment (IEA)

National Institute for Environmental Studies (NIES)

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Objectives of IEAObjectives of IEADeveloping IEA tools to assess innovative options• Diffusing and applying IEA tools for selected Asia-Pacific countries

(China, India, Thailand, Korea)• Developing quantitative innovative scenarios using IEA tools• Link with MDG/national goals and Sustainable Development

Econ

omic

/soc

ial I

ndic

ator

Environmental Quality

Econ

omic

/soc

ial I

ndic

ator

Environmental QualityNational Environment Goals

InnovationstrategiesN

atio

nal E

cono

mic

Tar

gets

Trade-off

SustainableSustainableDevelopmentDevelopment

Econ

omic

/soc

ial I

ndic

ator

Environmental Quality

Econ

omic

/soc

ial I

ndic

ator

Environmental QualityNational Environment Goals

InnovationstrategiesN

atio

nal E

cono

mic

Tar

gets

Trade-off

SustainableSustainableDevelopmentDevelopment

Environmental Quality

Econ

omic

/soc

ial I

ndic

ator

Environmental QualityNational Environment Goals

InnovationstrategiesN

atio

nal E

cono

mic

Tar

gets

Trade-off

SustainableSustainableDevelopmentDevelopment

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Tools for Integrated Tools for Integrated Environmental Assessment (IEA)Environmental Assessment (IEA)

Scenario Scenario AssessmentAssessment

Land use

TemperaturePrecipitation

Sunshine

Water resource

Crop Productivity

Socio-economicindicator

Impact on food demand

Adaptation strategy

AIM/A set of ecosystem models, including a vegetation dynamics model, a water resource model, an agricultural productivity model and a health impact model

Developed as a communication platform in orderto construct Asia -pacific regional environmental outlook supported with multi -regional environment

Futureeconomic trend

Futureenvironmental trend

Scenario Scenario AssessmentAssessment

Land use

TemperaturePrecipitation

Sunshine

Water resource

Crop Productivity

Socio-economicindicator

Impact on food demand

Adaptation strategy

AIM/A set of ecosystem models, including a vegetation dynamics model, a water resource model, an agricultural productivity model and a health impact model

Developed as a communication platform in orderto construct Asia -pacific regional environmental outlook supported with multi -regional environment

Futureeconomic trend

Futureenvironmental trend

India

Thailand

Korea

Japan

China

AIM/TrendIndustry

Green Purchase

Environ-mental Burden

Environment Fund

Environmental Industry (waste management, recycle)

Was

tes

Environmental Burden

Rec

ycle

Technology needsTechnology assessment

EnvironmentalIndustry

Environmentalburden

Consumer

Research on new technologies

AIM/MaterialOne country CGE model with CO2 and material balance, interface with environmental technology model

Emission Intensity of SO2 in China

AIM/A bottom-up technology selection model of energy use and emissions at country and local level

AIM/End -useCountry Based

Technology Model

AIM/Top -downWorld Economic

Model

Land use

TemperaturePrecipitation

Sunshine

Water resource

Crop Productivity

Socio-economicindicator

Impact on food demand

Adaptation strategy

Land use

TemperaturePrecipitation

Sunshine

Water resource

Crop Productivity

Socio-economicindicator

Impact on food demand

Adaptation strategy

Land use

TemperaturePrecipitation

Sunshine

Water resource

Crop Productivity

Socio-economicindicator

Impact on food demand

Adaptation strategy

AIM/Ecosystem/Water/Impact

communication

to construct Asia -

multi - -economic CGE model

Futureeconomic trend

Futureenvironmental trend

India

Thailand

Korea

Japan

China

Futureeconomic trendFutureeconomic trend

Futureenvironmental trendFutureenvironmental trend

India

Thailand

Korea

Japan

China

Futureeconomic trendFutureeconomic trend

Futureenvironmental trendFutureenvironmental trend

India

Thailand

Korea

Japan

China

Environmental Burden

Rec

ycle

Technology needsTechnology assessment

EnvironmentalIndustry

Environmentalburden

Consumer

Research on new technologies

IndustryGreen Purchase

Environ-mental Burden

Environment Fund

Environmental Industry (waste management, recycle)

Was

tes

Environmental Burden

Rec

ycle

Technology needsTechnology assessment

EnvironmentalIndustry

Environmentalburden

Consumer

Research on new technologies

AIM/MaterialAn environment-economy interacted model with material balance and recycling process modules

Emission Intensity of SO2 in ChinaEmission Intensity of SO2 in China

AIM/ Energy/Technology/Country

AIM/End -useCountry Based

Technology Model

A bottom-up technology & land use model for Asia-Pacific region

AIM/Bottom-upA general-equilibrium-type

world economic model

AIM/Top-downAIM Family

AIM Model Development for APEISAIM Model Development for APEIS Strategic databaseStrategic database

Institution, Management, Technology, Adaptation

Database

Index Base

Model Base

Strategy Option Base

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Issues Considered IEA Tools Examples

Integration of millennium development goals, global environmental problems, and sustainability

AIM/MaterialAIM/EnergyAIM/Agriculture

India's assessment of innovative options for meeting both millennium development goals and climate change objectives

Renewable energy, rural electrification, and municipal solid waste management

AIM/EnergyAIM/TrendSDB

Thailand's and Korea's environmentally sound energy innovations

MDG, water, and sanitation AIM/WaterAIM/MaterialSDB

Asia-Pacific countries'water and sanitation developments and national health improvements

City air pollution management AIM/AirAIM/EnergyAIM/Material

Beijing city air managementChina air pollution and health

impact

What kind of issues What kind of issues IEA ToolsIEA Tools can address? can address?

IEA ToolsIEA Tools can address country-specific can address country-specific various environment and development problemsvarious environment and development problems

(SDB: Strategic DataBase)

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How to aHow to assessssess national-level climate change scenarios national-level climate change scenarios and MDG targetsand MDG targets of linkage among global of linkage among global

scenariosscenarios--IndiaIndia’s ’s casecase using using AIM/MaterialAIM/Material & &

AIM/EnergyAIM/Energy--

2002000

400

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2020 2060 2100

Carb

on

Em

issi

on

s (M

T)

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Carb

on

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issi

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Carb

on

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issi

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s (M

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5 50 pp m v5 50 pp m v

IA2IA2

IB2IB2

IB1IB1

IA1IA1

IA1TIA1T

Indian Scenarios

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IA2IA2

IB2IB2

IB1IB1

IA1IA1

IA1TIA1T

Indian Scenarios

Economy

Environment

RegionalismGlobalism

A2: cultural pluralism

B1: recycle-based B2: regional coexistence

PopulationEconomic growth

Technology EnergyAgriculture (land use)

Driving Forces

A1: high growth(A1FI)

(A1T)A1B Economy

Environment

RegionalismGlobalism

A2: cultural pluralism

B1: recycle-based B2: regional coexistence

PopulationEconomic growth

Technology EnergyAgriculture (land use)

Driving Forces

A1: high growth(A1FI)

(A1T)A1B

Global Scenarios

Number of people suffering from hunger

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1997 2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015

Num

ber

of p

eopl

e (G

loba

l Mill

ion)

B2 A2 B2+Economic Support

Target

National Climate Change Scenarios

National DevelopmentGlobal MDG target

Global Climate Change Scenarios 200

2000

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1000

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Carb

on

Em

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s (M

T)

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s (M

T)

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5 50 pp m v5 50 pp m v

IA2IA2

IB2IB2

IB1IB1

IA1IA1

IA1TIA1T

Indian Scenarios

2002000

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1000

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on

Em

issi

on

s (M

T)

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2040 2080200

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2020 2060 2100

Carb

on

Em

issi

on

s (M

T)

1800

2040 2080200

2000

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

2020 2060 2100

Carb

on

Em

issi

on

s (M

T)

1800

2040 2080

5 50 pp m v5 50 pp m v

IA2IA2

IB2IB2

IB1IB1

IA1IA1

IA1TIA1T

Indian Scenarios

Economy

Environment

RegionalismGlobalism

A2: cultural pluralism

B1: recycle-based B2: regional coexistence

PopulationEconomic growth

Technology EnergyAgriculture (land use)

Driving Forces

A1: high growth(A1FI)

(A1T)A1B Economy

Environment

RegionalismGlobalism

A2: cultural pluralism

B1: recycle-based B2: regional coexistence

PopulationEconomic growth

Technology EnergyAgriculture (land use)

Driving Forces

A1: high growth(A1FI)

(A1T)A1B

Global Scenarios

Number of people suffering from hunger

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1997 2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015

Num

ber

of p

eopl

e (G

loba

l Mill

ion)

B2 A2 B2+Economic Support

Target

National Climate Change Scenarios

National DevelopmentGlobal MDG target

Global Climate Change Scenarios

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Water Stress IndexWater Stress Index(ratio between total withdrawal(ratio between total withdrawaland renewable water resource)and renewable water resource)

Order from Strength

2100

Technogarden

2100

0 20 40 60 80 100 ~(%)

1 5 10

0 20 40 60 80 100 ~(%)

1 5 10

Withdrawal: driven by socio-economic factorsWater resource: driven by climate factorsGeneral trend of stress index change can be explained by demand side.

2000

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Role of renewable energy -Thailand’s case using SDB-

Biomass Power Plant

Biofuel Plant

Other Renewable E.Applications

Thermal Energy FlowElectricity Flow

MSWBiogas

Grid

RETs Knowledge & Database Center

Existing Innovations:

1. Solar Home System Project2. Solar PV Power System for Rural Schools3. Solar Power plant 4. Solar Water Heater 5. Solar Dryer6. Green Fuel & Cook stoves 7. Rice Husk for Mushroom Drying Kiln8. Biogas in Livestock Farms & fertilizer9. Biogas from Landfill MSW10. Biogas in Tapioca Starch/Palm oil Plant/Slaughter houses11. Rice Husk & Parawood Power Plant12. Hybrid Power System for National Parks13. Biodiesel and Gasohol Program 14. Renewable Map, Database and Museum & TEENET

1, 4

2, 4

3 4, 5

8

4, 5

10

12

6, 7 9

8

11

13

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Future Innovations:

1A. Solar Street Lighting Project2A. Solar thermal for water

purification3A. Solar PV in commercial and

manufacturing sector4A. Regional Biogas Pipeline &

Network5A. Fuel cell & Hybrid Technology 6A. Renewable Portfolio Standard7A. IT Based technology to control

demand/supply8A. Large scale Energy Plantation9A. Renewable Energy Fund

8A

6A, 7A

5A

1A

2A 3A

4A

9A

Promotion of Bio-fuels

CO2 emission reduction under S2 (government policy), during (2010-2030) compared to base case:

2010: 2.4%

2020: 2.9%

2030: 2.6%

Base case

Diesel46.6%

Electricity0.3%

LPG11.1%

Natural gas16.0%

Gasoline26.0%

S2

Biodiesel33.6%

Diesel17.9%

Electricity0.1%

LPG9.0%

Natural gas16.0%

Gasoline21.2%

Gasohol952.2%

Changes in fuel mix in transport sector

Base caseGovernment policy (S2)

Shares of diesel, gasoline and LPG in total energy use is estimated to decline.

Shares of gasohol95 and biodiesel are estimated to reach about 2% and 34 % in 2030.

82

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0

50

100

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2010 2020 2030

CO

2 e

mis

sio

n (

mill

ion

to

ns

) Basecase S2

2.4%

2.9%

2.6%

2030 2030

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Visualization of SO2 Concentration- Air Quality Analysis with AIM/Air -Air Quality Analysis with AIM/Air -

SO2: Concentration contour of 3ppb surface

2001/3/31~4/9 UTC

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Simulation of SO2 concentration caused by traffic emission in Beijing in a winter night

Critical air quality locations in Beijing: Critical air quality locations in Beijing: transport emissionstransport emissions

--ChinaChina’s case’s case using using AIM/AirAIM/Air--

Page 23: CSD-14 Partnerships Fair – May 2006 1 - Environmental Innovation for Sustainable Development - Masataka Watanabe: Leader of Integrated Environmental Monitoring.

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Demonstration: Area: the center of Beijing city; Period: Jan 1st, 2000 ~ Jan 14th, 2000; Time Demonstration: Area: the center of Beijing city; Period: Jan 1st, 2000 ~ Jan 14th, 2000; Time step: 1 hour; Emission source: automobiles; Traffic pattern: hourly change in a day; step: 1 hour; Emission source: automobiles; Traffic pattern: hourly change in a day; Meteorology data: ECMWF; Model: Plume or Puff model for a line of point sources (each Meteorology data: ECMWF; Model: Plume or Puff model for a line of point sources (each point source covers emission from automobiles on road within 100m x 100m area)point source covers emission from automobiles on road within 100m x 100m area)

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APEIS session at CAPaBLE workshop

(Beijing, Sep 2005)

Contributions of APEIS/IEA

UNEP/SEF II workshop (Hanoi, Jan 2005)

Capacity building workshop on model development for Asia-Pacific researchers

Transfer of IEA tools to selected Asia-Pacific countries

Contributions to international projects:MA (Millennium Ecosystem Assessment)

IPCC AR4

UNEP/GEO3 & GEO4

UNEP[RISO]/Development and Climate Project

UNEP/SEFII: Great Mekong Project

EMF (Energy Modeling Forum)

CAPaBLE project

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Sub-Project:

Research on Innovative andResearch on Innovative and Strategic Policy Options Strategic Policy Options

(RISPO) II(RISPO) II

Research on the Promotion of Sustainable DevelopmentResearch on the Promotion of Sustainable Development in the Context of Regional Economic Integration: in the Context of Regional Economic Integration:

Strategies for Environmental Sustainability and Poverty Strategies for Environmental Sustainability and Poverty ReductionReduction

Institute for Global Environmental Strategies (IGES)

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Implementation schemeImplementation scheme• Implemented in conjunction with a partnership project under the United

Nations Environment Programme/Network of Institutions for Sustainable Development (UNEP-NISD)

• Collaboration with research institutes from six countries in East Asia (China, Indonesia, Japan, Republic of Korea, Thailand, Vietnam)

Core Group

 UNEP-ETB

National Institute ofEnvironmental Studies (Japan)

McGill University(Canada)

Korea EnvironmentInstitute (Korea)

 

Resource Institutes/Persons

ICTSD

UN University

ASEAN Secretariat Keio University

Seikei University

Hiroshima University

Partner Institutes

Policy Research Center for Environment &

Economy, SEPA (China)

Indonesian Institute of Sciences, Economic

Research Center (Indonesia)

 Thailand Environment Institute (Thailand)

Institute for Environmental Science and Technology

Hanoi University of Technology (Vietnam)

IGES (Japan): lead institute

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Overview of RISPO-IIOverview of RISPO-II What is considered:

• East-Asian economic integration will have significant effects on the environment, poverty and sustainable development in the region.

• Increasing the degree of openness without the appropriate environmental policies may exacerbate environmental degradation.

ObjectiveTo provide research-based policy options useful for environmental policies within the context of East Asian economic integration.

Geographical focus: ASEAN (10 countries) + 3 (China, Japan, Korea). 6 countries (China, Indonesia, Japan, Korea, Thailand, and Vietnam) have been selected for case studies.

3 year project: April 2005–March 2008

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Research approachResearch approach

Integrated Policy AssessmentExamines the economic, social and environmental implications of policy options, by synthesising the results of both economy-wide and sector/issue specific policy assessments.

Modelling AnalysisEconomy-wide policy impact assessment using the modified GTAP model and other tools

Scenario ApproachAccommodate uncertainty in economic integration in East Asia with three scenarios (Shallow, Moderate, Deep)

Policy AnalysisDeeper analysis of sector/issue specific policies using a range of tools for institutional and policy impact assessment

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Expected outcome: Strategic EnviroExpected outcome: Strategic Environmental Policy Optionsnmental Policy Options

Policy-makers have to make decisions to prevent environmental damages caused by economic activities before damages will happen. Scenario analysis is essential to have insights what is going to happen.

The development of policy responses that consider trade-offs and principles for policy choices is necessary

Scenario-specific policy packages could be provided with their assessment results.   Strategic Environmental Policy Options

These options will assist policy-makers in developing their “sustainable development policies” with aligning development and environmental risk.

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Thank you for your Thank you for your attention!attention!

URL: URL: http://www.ecoasia.org/APEISE-mail: E-mail: [email protected]

IEM: IEM: http://www-basin.nies.go.jp/english/project/iem/index.htmlIEA: IEA: http://www-iam.nies.go.jp/aim/apeis/RISPO: RISPO: http://www.iges.or.jp/en/ltp/activity_rispo2.htmlE-mail: E-mail: [email protected]

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Assessment of Safe Water/Sanitation Technologies Assessment of Safe Water/Sanitation Technologies and Management Options and Management Options

- - IndiaIndia’s case’s case using using SDBSDB - -

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2005

2010

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Conventional Advanced Technologies Technologies

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Page 33: CSD-14 Partnerships Fair – May 2006 1 - Environmental Innovation for Sustainable Development - Masataka Watanabe: Leader of Integrated Environmental Monitoring.

33

Assessment of Air Pollution and Health Assessment of Air Pollution and Health Impact Impact

- - ChinaChina’s case using ’s case using AIM/MaterialAIM/Material - -

BaU

Policy

BaU

Geographical distribution of PM10

emissions across China in 2020 (unit: ton)

Policy

Ambient concentration of PM10

in urban areas of China in 2020

BaU

Policy

BaU

Geographical distribution of PM10

emissions across China in 2020 (unit: ton)

Policy

Ambient concentration of PM10

in urban areas of China in 2020

Page 34: CSD-14 Partnerships Fair – May 2006 1 - Environmental Innovation for Sustainable Development - Masataka Watanabe: Leader of Integrated Environmental Monitoring.

34

Messages from IEAMessages from IEA-Integrated Environmental Assessment--Integrated Environmental Assessment-

1.1. IEA tools are designed to assess IEA tools are designed to assess policies to achieve MDG & national policies to achieve MDG & national targets.targets.

2.2. Technology and institution innovations Technology and institution innovations are key to address environment and are key to address environment and development trade-offs.development trade-offs.

Environmental Quality

National Environment Goals

InnovationstrategiesN

atio

nal E

cono

mic

Tar

gets

SustainableSustainableDevelopmentDevelopment

Trade-off

Page 35: CSD-14 Partnerships Fair – May 2006 1 - Environmental Innovation for Sustainable Development - Masataka Watanabe: Leader of Integrated Environmental Monitoring.

35

Messages from IEAMessages from IEA-Integrated Environmental Assessment--Integrated Environmental Assessment-

3.3. Quantitative assessment can provide Quantitative assessment can provide information and insights for making information and insights for making innovative choices delivering co-benefitsinnovative choices delivering co-benefits

4.4. IEA tools link science and policy and IEA tools link science and policy and improve effectiveness of policy-making.improve effectiveness of policy-making.

Further Information:http://www.ecoasia.org/APEIS/iea/http://www-iam.nies.go.jp/aim/index.htm

Page 36: CSD-14 Partnerships Fair – May 2006 1 - Environmental Innovation for Sustainable Development - Masataka Watanabe: Leader of Integrated Environmental Monitoring.

36

Overview of RISPO-IIOverview of RISPO-II Hypothesis

• East-Asian economic integration will have significant effects on the environment, poverty and sustainable development in the region.

• Increasing the degree of openness without the appropriate environmental policies may exacerbate environmental degradation.

ObjectiveTo provide research-based policy options that will be useful contributions to the development of environmental policies by decision-makers, within the context of East Asian economic integration.

Geographical focus: ASEAN (10 countries) + 3 (China, Japan, Korea). 6 countries (China, Indonesia, Japan, Korea, Thailand, and Vietnam) have been selected for case studies.

3 year project: April 2005–March 2008

Page 37: CSD-14 Partnerships Fair – May 2006 1 - Environmental Innovation for Sustainable Development - Masataka Watanabe: Leader of Integrated Environmental Monitoring.

37

Research InnovationResearch Innovation

Assess environmentalimpacts of trade policies

Develop environmentalpolicy packages dealing withthe environmental impacts

Assess economic, social andenvironmental outcomes(impacts) of implementingpolicy packages, and feedback to policy development

Most existing studies on tradeand environment

Some studies include this,without taking into account

economy-wide impact ofproposed policies

Innovative apporoach,which is necessary forsustainable development

Page 38: CSD-14 Partnerships Fair – May 2006 1 - Environmental Innovation for Sustainable Development - Masataka Watanabe: Leader of Integrated Environmental Monitoring.

38

Primary outcomesPrimary outcomesOutcomes of Policy AnalysisOutcomes of Policy Analysis Sector/issue specific policy packages with a wide variety of policies Policy impact assessment of the policy packages Institutional assessment results addressing implementability of the p

olicy packages

Outcomes of Modelling AnalysisOutcomes of Modelling Analysis Economy-wide policy packages with a limited range of policies Environmental, social and economic indicators for each country,

such as CO2 emission, BOD discharge, national GDP, unemployment rate, and the poverty ratio

Evaluation results of economy-wide policy packages based on policy targets, such as CO2 emission reduction and non-declining GDP

Page 39: CSD-14 Partnerships Fair – May 2006 1 - Environmental Innovation for Sustainable Development - Masataka Watanabe: Leader of Integrated Environmental Monitoring.

39

Simulation of SO2 concentration caused by traffic emission in Beijing in a winter night

Critical air quality locations in Beijing: Critical air quality locations in Beijing: transport emissionstransport emissions

--ChinaChina’s case’s case using using AIM/AirAIM/Air--

Page 40: CSD-14 Partnerships Fair – May 2006 1 - Environmental Innovation for Sustainable Development - Masataka Watanabe: Leader of Integrated Environmental Monitoring.

40

Deposition of SO42- in July

(kg/hectare/month)

35

0