Crop Production 06/11/2019€¦ · 6 Crop Production (June 2019) USDA, National Agricultural...
Transcript of Crop Production 06/11/2019€¦ · 6 Crop Production (June 2019) USDA, National Agricultural...
Crop Production
ISSN: 1936-3737
Released June 11, 2019, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States Department of
Agriculture (USDA).
Winter Wheat Production Up Less Than 1 Percent from May Forecast Orange Production Down 1 Percent
Winter wheat production is forecast at 1.27 billion bushels, up less than 1 percent from the May 1 forecast and up
8 percent from 2018. As of June 1, the United States yield is forecast at 50.5 bushels per acre, up 0.2 bushel from last
month and up 2.6 bushels from last year’s average yield of 47.9 bushels per acre.
Hard Red Winter production, at 794 million bushels, is up 2 percent from last month. Soft Red Winter, at 258 million
bushels, is down 2 percent from the May forecast. White Winter, at 222 million bushels, is down 1 percent from last
month. Of the White Winter production, 22.4 million bushels are Hard White and 199 million bushels are Soft White.
The United States all orange forecast for the 2018-2019 season is 5.25 million tons, down 1 percent from last month but
up 34 percent from the 2017-2018 final utilization. The Florida all orange forecast, at 71.4 million boxes
(3.21 million tons), is down 1 percent from last month but up 58 percent from last season’s final utilization. Early,
midseason, and Navel varieties in Florida are forecast at 30.4 million boxes (1.37 million tons), unchanged from last
month but up 60 percent from last season’s final utilization. The Florida Valencia orange forecast, at 41.0 million boxes
(1.85 million tons), is down 2 percent from last month but up 57 percent from last season’s final utilization. The
California and Texas orange production forecasts were carried forward from the previous month.
2 Crop Production (June 2019) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
This report was approved on June 11, 2019.
Secretary of Agriculture
Designate
Ted A. McKinney
Agricultural Statistics Board
Chairperson
Joseph L. Parsons
Crop Production (June 2019) 3 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Contents
Winter Wheat Area Harvested, Yield, and Production – States and United States: 2018 and Forecasted
June 1, 2019 ............................................................................................................................................................................ 5
Durum Wheat Area Harvested, Yield, and Production – States and United States: 2018 and Forecasted
June 1, 2019 ............................................................................................................................................................................ 6
Wheat Production by Class – United States: 2018 and Forecasted June 1, 2019 ................................................................... 6
Utilized Production of Citrus Fruits by Crop – States and United States: 2017-2018 and Forecasted
June 1, 2019 ............................................................................................................................................................................ 7
Prune Production – States and United States: 2018 and Forecasted June 1, 2019 .................................................................. 7
Tart Cherry Production – States and United States: 2018 and Forecasted June 1, 2019 ........................................................ 8
Sweet Cherry Production – States and United States: 2018 and Forecasted June 1, 2019 ..................................................... 8
Maple Syrup Taps, Yield, and Production – States and United States: 2017-2019 ................................................................ 9
Maple Syrup Price and Value – States and United States: 2017-2019 ................................................................................... 9
Maple Syrup Season – States and United States: 2017-2019................................................................................................ 10
Maple Syrup Average Open and Close Season Dates – States and United States: 2017-2019 ............................................ 10
Maple Syrup Price by Type of Sale and Size of Container – States: 2017 and 2018 ........................................................... 11
Maple Syrup Bulk Price – States: 2017 and 2018 ................................................................................................................. 11
Maple Syrup Percent of Sales by Type – States: 2017 and 2018 .......................................................................................... 12
Crop Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production in Domestic Units – United States: 2018 and 2019 ................... 14
Crop Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production in Metric Units – United States: 2018 and 2019 ....................... 16
Fruits and Nuts Production in Domestic Units – United States: 2018 and 2019 .................................................................. 18
Fruits and Nuts Production in Metric Units – United States: 2018 and 2019 ....................................................................... 19
Winter Wheat Objective Yield Percent of Samples Processed in the Lab – United States: 2015-2019 ............................... 20
Percent of Normal Precipitation Map ................................................................................................................................... 21
Departure from Normal Temperature Map ........................................................................................................................... 21
May Weather Summary ........................................................................................................................................................ 22
May Agricultural Summary .................................................................................................................................................. 22
Crop Comments .................................................................................................................................................................... 24
Statistical Methodology ........................................................................................................................................................ 26
4 Crop Production (June 2019) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Information Contacts ............................................................................................................................................................. 28
Crop Production (June 2019) 5 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Winter Wheat Area Harvested, Yield, and Production – States and United States: 2018 and Forecasted June 1, 2019
State
Area harvested Yield per acre Production
2018 2019 2018 2019
2018 2019 May 1 June 1
(1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (bushels) (bushels) (bushels) (1,000 bushels) (1,000 bushels)
Arkansas ........................ California ........................ Colorado ......................... Idaho .............................. Illinois ............................. Indiana ........................... Kansas ........................... Kentucky ......................... Maryland ......................... Michigan ......................... Mississippi ...................... Missouri .......................... Montana ......................... Nebraska ........................ North Carolina ................ North Dakota .................. Ohio ................................ Oklahoma ....................... Oregon ........................... South Dakota .................. Tennessee ...................... Texas ............................. Virginia ........................... Washington .................... Wisconsin ....................... Other States 1 ................. United States ..................
95 110
1,950 680 560 260
7,300 300 200 470
30
520 1,570 1,010
370 70
450 2,500
695 660
285
1,750 155
1,650 200
902
24,742
60 120
2,150 690 560 260
6,600 340 165 520
20
470 1,750 1,000
225 75
420 3,000
710 720
225
2,350 115
1,650 170
849
25,214
55.0 77.0 36.0 90.0 66.0 71.0 38.0 66.0 63.0 76.0
49.0 59.0 50.0 49.0 57.0 43.0 75.0 28.0 67.0 48.0
65.0 32.0 60.0 76.0 71.0
53.5
47.9
61.0 72.0 41.0 87.0 67.0 73.0 49.0 75.0 67.0 76.0
55.0 61.0 43.0 50.0 54.0 46.0 69.0 35.0 58.0 54.0
65.0 33.0 62.0 68.0 71.0
51.6
50.3
60.0 65.0 41.0 83.0 65.0 69.0 50.0 77.0 67.0 74.0
52.0 56.0 45.0 50.0 56.0 50.0 63.0 37.0 57.0 52.0
67.0 33.0 67.0 69.0 65.0
52.4
50.5
5,225 8,470
70,200 61,200 36,960 18,460
277,400 19,800 12,600 35,720
1,470
30,680 78,500 49,490 21,090 3,010
33,750 70,000 46,565 31,680
18,525 56,000 9,300
125,400 14,200
48,244
1,183,939
3,600 7,800
88,150 57,270 36,400 17,940
330,000 26,180 11,055 38,480
1,040
26,320 78,750 50,000 12,600 3,750
26,460 111,000 40,470 37,440
15,075 77,550 7,705
113,850 11,050
44,516
1,274,451
1 For 2018, Other States include Alabama, Arizona, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Louisiana, Minnesota, Nevada, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Utah, West Virginia, and Wyoming. For 2019, Other States include Alabama, Delaware, Georgia, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Utah, and Wyoming. Individual State level estimates will be published in the Small Grains 2019 Summary.
6 Crop Production (June 2019) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Durum Wheat Area Harvested, Yield, and Production – States and United States: 2018 and Forecasted June 1, 2019 [Area harvested for the United States and remaining States will be published in the Acreage report released June 2019. Yield and production will be published in the Crop Production report released July 2019. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]
State
Area harvested Yield per acre Production
2018 2019 2018 2019
2018 2019 May 1 June 1
(1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (bushels) (bushels) (bushels) (1,000 bushels) (1,000 bushels)
Arizona ........................ California ..................... Idaho ............................ Montana ....................... North Dakota ................ South Dakota 1 ............. United States ...............
70 33 11
775 1,075
3
1,967
39 38
(NA)
106.0 95.0 85.0 30.0 39.5 28.0
39.3
107.0 105.0
(NA)
102.0 105.0
(NA)
7,420 3,135
935 23,250 42,463
84
77,287
3,978 3,990
(NA)
(NA) Not available. 1 Estimates discontinued in 2019.
Wheat Production by Class – United States: 2018 and Forecasted June 1, 2019 [Wheat class estimates are based on the latest available data including both surveys and administrative data. The previous end-of-year season class percentages are used throughout the forecast season for States that do not have survey or administrative data available. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]
Crop 2018 2019
(1,000 bushels) (1,000 bushels)
Winter Hard red ....................................... Soft red ........................................ Hard white .................................... Soft white ..................................... Spring Hard red ....................................... Hard white .................................... Soft white ..................................... Durum .......................................... Total ............................................
662,249 285,558 19,347
216,785
587,007 13,510 22,715 77,287
1,884,458
794,395 258,302 22,399
199,355
Crop Production (June 2019) 7 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Utilized Production of Citrus Fruits by Crop – States and United States: 2017-2018 and Forecasted June 1, 2019 [The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of harvest the following year]
Crop and State Utilized production boxes 1 Utilized production ton equivalent
2017-2018 2018-2019 2017-2018 2018-2019
(1,000 boxes) (1,000 boxes) (1,000 tons) (1,000 tons)
Oranges California, all 2 ........................................ Early, mid, and Navel 3 ......................... Valencia ................................................ Florida, all ............................................... Early, mid, and Navel 3 ......................... Valencia ................................................ Texas, all 2 .............................................. Early, mid, and Navel 3 ......................... Valencia ................................................ United States, all .................................... Early, mid, and Navel 3 ......................... Valencia ................................................ Grapefruit California 2 .............................................. Florida, all ............................................... Red ....................................................... White .................................................... Texas 2 ................................................... United States .......................................... Tangerines and mandarins 4 California 2 .............................................. Florida .................................................... United States .......................................... Lemons 2 Arizona ................................................... California ................................................ United States ..........................................
45,400 35,900 9,500
45,050 18,950 26,100
1,880 1,530
350
92,330 56,380 35,950
4,000 3,880 3,180
700 4,800
12,680
19,200 750
19,950
1,000 21,200
22,200
49,000 40,000 9,000
71,400 30,400 41,000
1,875 1,300
575
122,275 71,700 50,575
4,000 4,510 3,740
770 6,300
14,810
22,000 990
22,990
1,300 20,000
21,300
1,816 1,436
380
2,028 853
1,175
80 65 15
3,924 2,354 1,570
160 165 135 30
192
517
768 36
804
40 848
888
1,960 1,600
360
3,213 1,368 1,845
79 55 24
5,252 3,023 2,229
160 192 159 33
252
604
880 47
927
52 800
852
1 Net pounds per box: oranges in California-80, Florida-90, Texas-85; grapefruit in California-80, Florida-85, Texas-80; tangerines and mandarins in California-80, Florida-95; lemons-80.
2 Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. 3 Navel and miscellaneous varieties in California. Early (including Navel) and midseason varieties in Florida and Texas. 4 Includes tangelos and tangors.
Prune Production – States and United States: 2018 and Forecasted June 1, 2019 [Production is for dried basis]
State Total production
2018 2019
(tons) (tons)
California ............................................... United States .........................................
80,000
80,000
110,000
110,000
8 Crop Production (June 2019) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Tart Cherry Production – States and United States: 2018 and Forecasted June 1, 2019
State Total production
2018 2019
(million pounds) (million pounds)
Michigan .................................................... New York ................................................... Utah ........................................................... Washington ................................................ Wisconsin .................................................. United States .............................................
264.0 11.9 42.8 23.8 10.2
352.7
208.0 9.4
40.3 23.5 9.0
290.2
Sweet Cherry Production – States and United States: 2018 and Forecasted June 1, 2019
State Total production
2018 2019
(tons) (tons)
California ................................................... Michigan 1 .................................................. Oregon ....................................................... Washington ................................................ United States .............................................
36,000 23,900 45,000
215,000
319,900
50,000 (NA)
62,000 250,000
362,000
(NA) Not available. 1 Estimates discontinued.
Crop Production (June 2019) 9 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Maple Syrup Taps, Yield, and Production – States and United States: 2017-2019
State Number of taps Yield per tap Production
2017 2018 2019 2017 2018 2019 2017 2018 2019
(1,000 taps) (1,000 taps) (1,000 taps) (gallons) (gallons) (gallons) (1,000
gallons) (1,000
gallons) (1,000
gallons)
Connecticut 1 ....................... Indiana 1 .............................. Maine .................................. Massachusetts 1 .................. Michigan .............................. Minnesota 1 .......................... New Hampshire ................... New York ............................. Ohio 1 .................................. Pennsylvania ....................... Vermont ............................... West Virginia 1 ..................... Wisconsin ............................ United States .......................
78 70
1,900 320 600 83
570 2,650
420 780
5,900
70 760
14,201
73 70
1,870 320 600 65
560 2,730
400 670
5,670
66 750
13,844
(NA) (NA)
1,900 (NA) 620
(NA) 540
2,800 (NA) 680
6,000 (NA) 800
13,340
0.231 0.200 0.376 0.263 0.250 0.205 0.281 0.287 0.200 0.212
0.339 0.157 0.272
0.309
0.247 0.257 0.288 0.225 0.275 0.200 0.291 0.295 0.225 0.212
0.342 0.121 0.300
0.303
(NA) (NA)
0.305 (NA)
0.315 (NA)
0.274 0.293 (NA)
0.231
0.345 (NA)
0.338
0.318
18 14
715 84
150 17
160 760 84
165
2,000 11
207
4,385
18 18
539 72
165 13
163 806 90
142
1,940 8
225
4,199
(NA) (NA) 580
(NA) 195
(NA) 148 820
(NA) 157
2,070 (NA) 270
4,240
(NA) Not available. 1 Estimates discontinued in 2019.
Maple Syrup Price and Value – States and United States: 2017-2019 [Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]
State Average price per gallon Value of production
2017 2018 2019 1 2017 2018 2019 1
(dollars) (dollars) (dollars) (1,000 dollars) (1,000 dollars) (1,000 dollars)
Connecticut 2 ....................... Indiana 2 .............................. Maine .................................. Massachusetts 2 .................. Michigan .............................. Minnesota 2 .......................... New Hampshire ................... New York ............................. Ohio 2 .................................. Pennsylvania ....................... Vermont ............................... West Virginia 2 ..................... Wisconsin ............................ United States .......................
62.20 50.20 33.70 50.20 51.20 66.60 43.50 39.00 38.50 34.30
27.00 36.70 31.40
33.10
76.00 50.20 40.20 53.00 38.90 61.60 56.10 32.40 45.40 39.00
28.00 44.60 32.40
33.80
(NA) (NA)
(NA)
(NA)
(NA)
(NA)
1,120 703
24,096 4,217 7,680 1,132 6,960
29,640 3,234 5,660
54,000
404 6,500
145,346
1,368 904
21,668 3,816 6,419
801 9,144
26,114 4,086 5,538
54,320
357 7,290
141,825
(NA) (NA)
(NA)
(NA)
(NA)
(NA)
(NA) Not available. 1 Price and value for 2019 will be published in Crop Production released June 2020. 2 Estimates discontinued in 2019.
10 Crop Production (June 2019) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Maple Syrup Season – States and United States: 2017-2019
State
Date season opened 1
Date season closed 2
Average season length 3
2017 2018 2019 2017 2018 2019 2017 2018 2019
(date) (date) (date) (date) (date) (date) (days) (days) (days)
Connecticut 4 ........................ Indiana 4 ............................... Maine ................................... Massachusetts 4 ................... Michigan .............................. Minnesota 4 .......................... New Hampshire ................... New York ............................. Ohio 4 ................................... Pennsylvania ....................... Vermont ............................... West Virginia 4 ..................... Wisconsin ............................ United States .......................
Jan 20 Jan 1
Jan 16 Jan 10 Jan 26 Feb 12
Jan 7 Jan 1 Jan 1 Jan 2
Jan 1 Jan 5 Feb 6
(NA)
Jan 22 Jan 10 Feb 1 Feb 2
Jan 23 Mar 1
Jan 28 Jan 12 Jan 18 Jan 7
Jan 12 Jan 19 Feb 18
(NA)
(NA) (NA)
Jan 15 (NA)
Feb 10 (NA)
Jan 21 Jan 5 (NA)
Jan 10
Jan 9 (NA)
Mar 1
(NA)
Apr 25 Apr 2
May 26 Apr 13 Apr 20 Apr 28 Apr 22 May 4 Apr 6
Apr 17
May 14 Apr 10 Apr 30
(NA)
Apr 30 Apr 14 May 3 Apr 21 May 1 May 1 May 2 May 2 Apr 26 Apr 28
May 3 Apr 10 May 2
(NA)
(NA) (NA)
May 10 (NA)
Apr 26 (NA)
Apr 28 May 1
(NA) May 1
May 3
(NA) Apr 30
(NA)
42 31 41 42 32 30 42 43 33 39
46 32 29
37
43 37 42 42 41 32 43 52 41 45
52 37 36
42
(NA) (NA)
31 (NA)
25 (NA)
31 32
(NA) 35
34
(NA) 24
30
(NA) Not available. 1 Approximately the first day that sap was collected. 2 Approximately the last day that sap was collected. 3 The average number of days that sap was collected. 4 Estimates discontinued in 2019.
Maple Syrup Average Open and Close Season Dates – States and United States: 2017-2019
State Season Opened 1 Season Closed 2
2017 2018 2019 2017 2018 2019
(date) (date) (date) (date) (date) (date)
Connecticut 3 ............................... Indiana 3 ...................................... Maine .......................................... Massachusetts 3 .......................... Michigan ..................................... Minnesota 3 ................................. New Hampshire .......................... New York .................................... Ohio 3 .......................................... Pennsylvania .............................. Vermont ...................................... West Virginia 3 ............................ Wisconsin ................................... United States ..............................
Feb 12 Feb 9 Mar 2
Feb 19 Feb 24
Mar 4 Feb 24 Feb 18 Feb 11 Feb 11
Feb 23
Feb 3 Mar 4
(NA)
Feb 12 Feb 10 Feb 26 Feb 18 Feb 28 Mar 21 Feb 24 Feb 18 Feb 14 Feb 17
Feb 23
Feb 4 Mar 16
(NA)
(NA) (NA)
Mar 14 (NA)
Mar 13 (NA)
Mar 10 Mar 6 (NA)
Feb 25
Mar 12 (NA)
Mar 21
(NA)
Mar 26 Mar 12 Apr 12 Apr 2
Mar 28 Apr 3 Apr 7 Apr 2
Mar 16 Mar 22
Apr 10 Mar 7 Apr 2
(NA)
Mar 26 Mar 19
Apr 9 Apr 1
Apr 10 Apr 22 Apr 8
Apr 11 Mar 27
Apr 3
Apr 16 Mar 14 Apr 21
(NA)
(NA) (NA)
Apr 14 (NA)
Apr 7 (NA)
Apr 10 Apr 7 (NA)
Apr 1
Apr 15 (NA)
Apr 14
(NA)
(NA) Not available. 1 Approximate average opened date based on reported data. 2 Approximate average closed date based on reported data. 3 Estimates discontinued in 2019.
Crop Production (June 2019) 11 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Maple Syrup Price by Type of Sale and Size of Container – States: 2017 and 2018
Type and State Gallon 1/2 Gallon Quart Pint 1/2 Pint
2017 2018 2017 2018 2017 2018 2017 2018 2017 2018
(dollars) (dollars) (dollars) (dollars) (dollars) (dollars) (dollars) (dollars) (dollars) (dollars)
Retail Connecticut .......................... Indiana ................................. Maine ................................... Massachusetts ...................... Michigan ............................... Minnesota ............................. New Hampshire .................... New York .............................. Ohio ...................................... Pennsylvania ........................ Vermont ................................ West Virginia ........................ Wisconsin ............................. Wholesale Connecticut .......................... Indiana ................................. Maine ................................... Massachusetts ...................... Michigan ............................... Minnesota ............................. New Hampshire .................... New York .............................. Ohio ...................................... Pennsylvania ........................ Vermont ................................ West Virginia ........................ Wisconsin .............................
51.60 40.70 54.10 48.90 47.00 58.60 53.30 46.90 40.60
41.40 44.80 44.40 44.80
(D) 42.70 48.40 44.20 43.00 46.90 44.90 46.00 39.50
29.70 40.10 50.00 39.40
62.90 41.00 53.40 53.80 46.70 50.30 57.00 42.60 45.60
47.20 45.30 53.90 43.20
53.60 32.80 43.60 45.20 43.60 45.00 47.30 37.40 40.20
29.80 38.80
(D) 43.80
32.40 23.20 31.10 31.00 26.70 30.50 30.30 27.50 24.00
24.70 26.60 27.40 23.90
(D) (D)
24.10 24.90 23.40
(D) 21.80 25.00 22.50
21.90 22.20 26.20 23.00
38.00 25.50 31.40 32.60 26.50 31.50 32.80 25.90 25.20
26.80 26.40 29.10 24.90
(D) 21.80 19.70 25.50 23.10
(S) 26.40 23.60 21.40
19.10 22.80 24.60 23.70
20.10 14.10 17.40 19.30 15.20 16.30 18.40 17.20 13.80
14.20 16.10 16.40 13.60
15.10 11.00 13.20 15.10 12.90
(D) 12.80 14.10 14.30
13.70 12.90 16.70 11.10
21.40 14.60 17.50 19.50 15.80 16.90 19.50 15.90 15.50
16.00 16.70 16.30 14.70
16.60 11.30 13.00 14.80 12.60 18.80 15.20 12.80 13.10
13.00 13.50 14.80 12.90
11.90 9.10
10.40 11.40 9.30 9.00
10.60 10.70 9.00
8.20 9.90 8.80 7.80
8.50 (D)
7.90 8.40 7.80 (D)
7.70 9.20 7.70
7.60 7.40 8.50 6.50
13.40 8.40
10.60 12.60 10.50 8.30
10.70 9.50 9.50
9.40 9.70
10.70 8.50
8.00 5.30 7.90 8.10 7.50
10.40 8.25 7.90 7.40
7.70 7.60 9.00 6.80
7.30 5.70 6.10 7.20 6.90 7.40 6.00 7.80 6.10
5.10 5.90 5.60 5.80
5.00 (S)
5.20 5.45 5.10 (D)
4.80 6.60 6.10
4.70 4.40 5.40 4.10
8.60 6.20 6.60 9.00 7.10 7.00 6.75 5.80 7.10
5.60 7.50 6.30 4.80
5.40 (S)
4.75 5.30 5.00 (D)
6.15 4.70 4.40
4.00 4.40 5.00 5.60
(D) Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. (S) Insufficient number of reports to establish an estimate.
Maple Syrup Bulk Price – States: 2017 and 2018
State Bulk all grades Bulk all grades
2017 2018 2017 2018
(dollars per pound) (dollars per pound) (dollars per gallon) (dollars per gallon)
Connecticut ........................... Indiana .................................. Maine .................................... Massachusetts ....................... Michigan ................................ Minnesota .............................. New Hampshire ..................... New York ............................... Ohio ....................................... Pennsylvania ......................... Vermont ................................. West Virginia ......................... Wisconsin ..............................
(D) 3.00 2.26 2.40 2.55 2.50 2.05 2.10 2.20 2.19
2.20 2.70 2.10
(D) 3.25 2.16 2.60 2.30 3.50 2.15 2.10 2.40 2.16
2.20 2.90 2.10
(D) 32.90 24.90 26.60 28.20 27.50 22.70 22.90 24.40 24.10
24.20 29.70 23.30
(D) 35.60 23.80 28.70 25.50 38.40 23.50 23.20 26.55 23.80
24.20 32.20 23.20
(D) Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations.
12 Crop Production (June 2019) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Maple Syrup Percent of Sales by Type – States: 2017 and 2018
State Retail Wholesale Bulk
2017 2018 2017 2018 2017 2018
(percent) (percent) (percent) (percent) (percent) (percent)
Connecticut ............................. Indiana .................................... Maine ...................................... Massachusetts ........................ Michigan ................................. Minnesota ............................... New Hampshire ...................... New York ................................ Ohio ........................................ Pennsylvania .......................... Vermont .................................. West Virginia ........................... Wisconsin ...............................
(D) 56 2
37 38 83 37 23 42 33
6
12 16
68 86 19 40 39 55 54 25 46 44
9
23 19
41 40 1
29 35 5
17 20 16 14
2 6
13
27 9
17 27 28 25 11 8
21 12
4
17 16
(D) 4
97 34 27 12 46 57 42 53
92 82 71
5 5
64 33 33 20 35 67 33 44
87 60 65
(D) Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations.
Crop Production (June 2019) 13 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
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14 Crop Production (June 2019) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Crop Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production in Domestic Units – United States: 2018 and 2019 [Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2019 crop year. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]
Crop Area planted Area harvested
2018 2019 2018 2019
(1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (1,000 acres)
Grains and hay Barley ..................................................................................... Corn for grain 1 ........................................................................ Corn for silage ........................................................................ Hay, all .................................................................................... Alfalfa .................................................................................. All other ............................................................................... Oats ........................................................................................ Proso millet ............................................................................. Rice ........................................................................................ Rye ......................................................................................... Sorghum for grain 1 ................................................................. Sorghum for silage .................................................................. Wheat, all ................................................................................ Winter ................................................................................. Durum ................................................................................. Other spring ........................................................................ Oilseeds Canola .................................................................................... Cottonseed ............................................................................. Flaxseed ................................................................................. Mustard seed .......................................................................... Peanuts .................................................................................. Rapeseed ............................................................................... Safflower ................................................................................. Soybeans for beans ................................................................ Sunflower ................................................................................ Cotton, tobacco, and sugar crops Cotton, all ............................................................................... Upland ................................................................................ American Pima .................................................................... Sugarbeets ............................................................................. Sugarcane .............................................................................. Tobacco .................................................................................. Dry beans, peas, and lentils Austrian winter peas 2 ............................................................. Chickpeas 3 ............................................................................. Dry edible beans 3 ................................................................... Dry edible peas 2 ..................................................................... Lentils ..................................................................................... Wrinkled seed peas 2 .............................................................. Potatoes and miscellaneous Hops ....................................................................................... Maple syrup ............................................................................ Mushrooms ............................................................................. Peppermint oil ......................................................................... Potatoes ................................................................................. Spearmint oil ........................................................................... Taro (Hawaii) 4 ........................................................................
2,543
89,129 (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA)
2,746 443
2,946 2,011 5,690 (NA)
47,800 32,535 2,065
13,200
1,990.7 (X)
208 102.5
1,425.5 5.7
167.5 89,196 1,301.0
14,100.3 13,850.0
250.3 1,113.1
(NA) (NA)
16.4 859.6
2,081.0 856.5 780.0 (NA)
(NA) (NA) (NA) (NA)
1,033.2 (NA) (NA)
2,550
92,792
(NA)
2,555
2,870
5,135
45,754 31,504 1,420
12,830
1,904.0
345
1,449.0
84,617 1,349.0
13,780.0 13,525.0
255.0 1,120.2
(NA)
(NA) 519.0
1,237.0 881.0 555.0 (NA)
(NA)
(NA)
1,978
81,740 6,113
52,839 16,608 36,231
865 403
2,915 273
5,061 264
39,605 24,742 1,967
12,896
1,943.5 (X)
198 97.5
1,368.5 5.4
156.4 88,110 1,222.5
10,205.8 9,957.0
248.8 1,095.4
899.7 291.4
10.9 842.8
2,016.0 807.9 718.0 (NA)
55.0 (NA) (NA) 58.5
1,023.3 20.8 0.3
53,090
25,214
244.0
(NA)
(NA)
(NA)
(NA)
See footnote(s) at end of table. --continued
Crop Production (June 2019) 15 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Crop Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production in Domestic Units – United States: 2018 and 2019 (continued) [Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2019 crop year. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]
Crop Yield per acre Production
2018 2019 2018 2019
(1,000) (1,000)
Grains and hay Barley ......................................................................... bushels Corn for grain .............................................................. bushels Corn for silage .................................................................. tons Hay, all ............................................................................. tons Alfalfa ........................................................................... tons All other ........................................................................ tons Oats ............................................................................ bushels Proso millet ................................................................. bushels Rice 5 ................................................................................. cwt Rye ............................................................................. bushels Sorghum for grain ....................................................... bushels Sorghum for silage ............................................................ tons Wheat, all ................................................................... bushels Winter ..................................................................... bushels Durum ..................................................................... bushels Other spring ............................................................ bushels Oilseeds Canola ......................................................................... pounds Cottonseed ....................................................................... tons Flaxseed ..................................................................... bushels Mustard seed ............................................................... pounds Peanuts ....................................................................... pounds Rapeseed .................................................................... pounds Safflower ..................................................................... pounds Soybeans for beans .................................................... bushels Sunflower .................................................................... pounds Cotton, tobacco, and sugar crops Cotton, all 5 ..................................................................... bales Upland 5 ...................................................................... bales American Pima 5 ......................................................... bales Sugarbeets ....................................................................... tons Sugarcane ........................................................................ tons Tobacco ....................................................................... pounds Dry beans, peas, and lentils Austrian winter peas 2 5 ...................................................... cwt Chickpeas, all 3 5 ................................................................ cwt Dry edible beans 3 5 ........................................................... cwt Dry edible peas 2 5 ............................................................. cwt Lentils 5 .............................................................................. cwt Wrinkled seed peas 2 ......................................................... cwt Potatoes and miscellaneous Hops ............................................................................ pounds Maple syrup ................................................................. gallons Mushrooms .................................................................. pounds Peppermint oil .............................................................. pounds Potatoes ............................................................................ cwt Spearmint oil ............................................................... pounds Taro (Hawaii) 4 ............................................................. pounds
77.4
176.4 19.9 2.34 3.17 1.96 64.9 29.8
7,692 30.9 72.1 12.6 47.6 47.9 39.3 48.3
1,861 (X)
22.6 750
3,991 1,524 1,511 51.6
1,731
864 847
1,545 30.3 38.4
1,830
1,138 1,512 1,860 1,972 1,171 (NA)
1,943 (NA) (NA)
92 444 124
9,630
50.5
(NA)
(NA)
(NA)
(NA)
153,082
14,420,101 121,361 123,600 52,634 70,966 56,130 11,991
224,211 8,432
364,986 3,326
1,884,458 1,183,939
77,287 623,232
3,616,560 5,631.0
4,466 73,078
5,461,600 8,230
236,380 4,543,883 2,116,410
18,367.0 17,566.0
801.0 33,145 34,542
533,241
124 12,742 37,494 15,929 8,408
389
106,906.7 4,199
917,235 5,377
454,314 2,571 2,985
1,274,451
(NA)
(NA)
4,240
(NA)
(NA) Not available. (X) Not applicable. 1 Area planted for all purposes. 2 Beginning in 2019, Austrian winter peas and wrinkled seed peas are included in dry edible peas. 3 Beginning in 2019, chickpeas are excluded from dry edible beans. 4 Estimates discontinued in 2019. 5 Yield in pounds.
16 Crop Production (June 2019) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Crop Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production in Metric Units – United States: 2018 and 2019 [Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2019 crop year. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]
Crop Area planted Area harvested
2018 2019 2018 2019
(hectares) (hectares) (hectares) (hectares)
Grains and hay Barley ........................................................................ Corn for grain 1 ........................................................... Corn for silage ........................................................... Hay, all 2 .................................................................... Alfalfa ..................................................................... All other .................................................................. Oats ........................................................................... Proso millet ................................................................ Rice ........................................................................... Rye ............................................................................ Sorghum for grain 1 .................................................... Sorghum for silage ..................................................... Wheat, all 2 ................................................................ Winter .................................................................... Durum .................................................................... Other spring ........................................................... Oilseeds Canola ....................................................................... Cottonseed ................................................................ Flaxseed .................................................................... Mustard seed ............................................................. Peanuts ..................................................................... Rapeseed .................................................................. Safflower .................................................................... Soybeans for beans ................................................... Sunflower ................................................................... Cotton, tobacco, and sugar crops Cotton, all 2 ................................................................ Upland ................................................................... American Pima ....................................................... Sugarbeets ................................................................ Sugarcane ................................................................. Tobacco ..................................................................... Dry beans, peas, and lentils Austrian winter peas 3 ................................................ Chickpeas 4 ................................................................ Dry edible beans 4 ...................................................... Dry edible peas 3 ........................................................ Lentils ........................................................................ Wrinkled seed peas 3 ................................................. Potatoes and miscellaneous Hops .......................................................................... Maple syrup ............................................................... Mushrooms ................................................................ Peppermint oil ............................................................ Potatoes .................................................................... Spearmint oil .............................................................. Taro (Hawaii) 5 ...........................................................
1,029,130
36,069,620 (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA)
1,111,280 179,280
1,192,220 813,830
2,302,690 (NA)
19,344,180 13,166,590
835,680 5,341,910
805,620 (X)
84,180 41,480
576,890 2,310
67,790 36,096,730
526,500
5,706,250 5,604,960
101,290 450,460
(NA) (NA)
6,640 347,870 842,160 346,620 315,660
(NA)
(NA) (NA) (NA) (NA)
418,130 (NA) (NA)
1,031,960
37,551,990
(NA)
1,033,980
1,161,460
2,078,080
18,516,190 12,749,350
574,660 5,192,170
770,530
139,620
586,400
34,243,650 545,930
5,576,630 5,473,430
103,200 453,330
(NA)
(NA) 210,030 500,600 356,530 224,600
(NA)
(NA)
(NA)
800,480
33,079,360 2,473,870
21,383,410 6,721,090
14,662,320 350,060 163,090
1,179,670 110,480
2,048,140 106,840
16,027,750 10,012,840
796,030 5,218,880
786,520 (X)
80,130 39,460
553,820 2,190
63,290 35,657,240
494,730
4,130,190 4,029,500
100,690 443,300 364,100 117,940
4,410 341,070 815,860 326,950 290,570
(NA)
22,270 (NA) (NA)
23,670 414,120
8,420 130
21,484,990
10,203,850
98,760
(NA)
(NA)
(NA)
(NA)
See footnote(s) at end of table. --continued
Crop Production (June 2019) 17 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Crop Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production in Metric Units – United States: 2018 and 2019 (continued) [Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2019 crop year. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]
Crop Yield per hectare Production
2018 2019 2018 2019
(metric tons) (metric tons) (metric tons) (metric tons)
Grains and hay Barley ..................................................................................... Corn for grain .......................................................................... Corn for silage ........................................................................ Hay, all 2 ................................................................................. Alfalfa ................................................................................. All other .............................................................................. Oats ........................................................................................ Proso millet ............................................................................. Rice ........................................................................................ Rye ......................................................................................... Sorghum for grain ................................................................... Sorghum for silage .................................................................. Wheat, all 2 ............................................................................. Winter ................................................................................. Durum ................................................................................. Other spring ........................................................................ Oilseeds Canola .................................................................................... Cottonseed ............................................................................. Flaxseed ................................................................................. Mustard seed .......................................................................... Peanuts .................................................................................. Rapeseed ............................................................................... Safflower ................................................................................ Soybeans for beans ................................................................ Sunflower ............................................................................... Cotton, tobacco, and sugar crops Cotton, all 2 ............................................................................. Upland ................................................................................ American Pima ................................................................... Sugarbeets ............................................................................. Sugarcane .............................................................................. Tobacco .................................................................................. Dry beans, peas, and lentils Austrian winter peas 3 ............................................................. Chickpeas 4 ............................................................................ Dry edible beans 4 .................................................................. Dry edible peas 3 .................................................................... Lentils ..................................................................................... Wrinkled seed peas 3 .............................................................. Potatoes and miscellaneous Hops ....................................................................................... Maple syrup ............................................................................ Mushrooms ............................................................................. Peppermint oil ......................................................................... Potatoes ................................................................................. Spearmint oil .......................................................................... Taro (Hawaii) 5 ........................................................................
4.16
11.07 44.50 5.24 7.10 4.39 2.33 1.67 8.62 1.94 4.53
28.24 3.20 3.22 2.64 3.25
2.09 (X)
1.42 0.84 4.47 1.71 1.69 3.47 1.94
0.97 0.95 1.73
67.83 86.06 2.05
1.28 1.69 2.08 2.21 1.31 (NA)
2.18 (NA) (NA) 0.10
49.76 0.14
10.80
3.40
(NA)
(NA)
(NA)
(NA)
3,332,970
366,287,440 110,096,850 112,128,030 47,748,760 64,379,270
814,720 271,950
10,170,040 214,180
9,271,070 3,017,300
51,286,540 32,221,540
2,103,410 16,961,600
1,640,440 5,108,360
113,440 33,150
2,477,340 3,730
107,220 123,664,230
959,990
3,998,940 3,824,550
174,400 30,068,640 31,335,980
241,870
5,620 577,970
1,700,700 722,530 381,380 17,640
48,490 21,000
416,050 2,440
20,607,340 1,170 1,350
34,684,870
(NA)
(NA)
21,200
(NA)
(NA) Not available. (X) Not applicable. 1 Area planted for all purposes. 2 Total may not add due to rounding. 3 Beginning in 2019, Austrian winter peas and wrinkled seed peas are included in dry edible peas. 4 Beginning in 2019, chickpeas are excluded from dry edible beans. 5 Estimates discontinued in 2019.
18 Crop Production (June 2019) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Fruits and Nuts Production in Domestic Units – United States: 2018 and 2019 [Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2019 crop year, except citrus which is for the 2018-2019 season. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]
Crop Production
2018 2019
Citrus 1 Grapefruit .............................................................................................. 1,000 tons Lemons ................................................................................................. 1,000 tons Oranges ................................................................................................ 1,000 tons Tangerines and mandarins .................................................................... 1,000 tons Noncitrus Apples, commercial ......................................................................... million pounds Apricots .......................................................................................................... tons Avocados ....................................................................................................... tons Blueberries, Cultivated ..................................................................... 1,000 pounds Blueberries, Wild (Maine) ................................................................. 1,000 pounds Cherries, Sweet ............................................................................................. tons Cherries, Tart .................................................................................. million pounds Coffee (Hawaii) ................................................................................ 1,000 pounds Cranberries .................................................................................................. barrel Dates ............................................................................................................. tons Grapes ........................................................................................................... tons Kiwifruit (California) ........................................................................................ tons Nectarines (California) ................................................................................... tons Olives (California) .......................................................................................... tons Papayas (Hawaii) ............................................................................. 1,000 pounds Peaches ......................................................................................................... tons Pears ............................................................................................................. tons Plums (California) .......................................................................................... tons Prunes (California) ......................................................................................... tons Raspberries, all ............................................................................... 1,000 pounds Strawberries ........................................................................................... 1,000 cwt Nuts and miscellaneous Almonds, shelled (California) ........................................................... 1,000 pounds Hazelnuts, in-shell (Oregon) ........................................................................... tons Macadamias (Hawaii) ....................................................................... 1,000 pounds Pecans, in-shell ................................................................................ 1,000 pounds Pistachios (California) ...................................................................... 1,000 pounds Walnuts, in-shell (California) .......................................................................... tons
517 888
3,924 804
11,452.2 39,800
319,900 352.7
8,634,000
7,659,000
732,050 739,200
80,000
31,764.9
2,280,000 52,000
278,900
690,000
604 852
5,252 927
362,000 290.2
110,000
2,500,000
1 Production years are 2017-2018 and 2018-2019.
Crop Production (June 2019) 19 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Fruits and Nuts Production in Metric Units – United States: 2018 and 2019 [Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2019 crop year, except citrus which is for the 2018-2019 season. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]
Crop Production
2018 2019
(metric tons) (metric tons)
Citrus 1 Grapefruit ............................................................................................................. Lemons ................................................................................................................ Oranges ................................................................................................................ Tangerines and mandarins ................................................................................... Noncitrus Apples, commercial .............................................................................................. Apricots ................................................................................................................ Avocados .............................................................................................................. Blueberries, Cultivated .......................................................................................... Blueberries, Wild (Maine) ...................................................................................... Cherries, Sweet .................................................................................................... Cherries, Tart ........................................................................................................ Coffee (Hawaii) ..................................................................................................... Cranberries ........................................................................................................... Dates .................................................................................................................... Grapes ................................................................................................................. Kiwifruit (California) ............................................................................................... Nectarines (California) .......................................................................................... Olives (California) ................................................................................................. Papayas (Hawaii) ................................................................................................. Peaches ............................................................................................................... Pears .................................................................................................................... Plums (California) ................................................................................................. Prunes (California) ................................................................................................ Raspberries, all ..................................................................................................... Strawberries ......................................................................................................... Nuts and miscellaneous Almonds, shelled (California) ................................................................................ Hazelnuts, in-shell (Oregon) ................................................................................. Macadamias (Hawaii) ........................................................................................... Pecans, in-shell .................................................................................................... Pistachios (California) ........................................................................................... Walnuts, in-shell (California) .................................................................................
469,010 805,580
3,559,790 729,380
5,194,630 36,110
290,210 159,980
391,630
6,948,130
664,100 670,590
72,570
1,440,830
1,034,190 47,170
126,510
625,960
547,940 772,920
4,764,530 840,960
328,400 131,630
99,790
1,133,980
1 Production years are 2017-2018 and 2018-2019.
20 Crop Production (June 2019) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Winter Wheat for Grain Objective Yield Data
The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting objective yield surveys in 10 winter wheat-producing States
during 2019. Randomly selected plots in winter wheat for grain fields are visited monthly from May through harvest to
obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in this table are based on counts from this survey.
Winter Wheat Objective Yield Percent of Samples Processed in the Lab – United States: 2015-2019 [Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]
Year June July August
Mature 1 Mature 1 Mature 1
(percent) (percent) (percent)
2015 ................................... 2016 ................................... 2017 ................................... 2018 ................................... 2019 ...................................
16 21 28 18 8
64 68 69 69
93 94 93 93
1 Includes winter wheat in the hard dough stage or beyond and are considered mature or almost mature.
22 Crop Production (June 2019) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
May Weather Summary
Merciless rains pounded the Plains and Midwest, triggering new rounds of flooding and leading to a record-slow planting
pace for the Nation’s corn and soybeans. By June 2, only 67 percent of the corn and 39 percent of the soybeans had been
planted, breaking the 1995 records of 77 and 40 percent, respectively. Late in the month, record flooding developed in the
Arkansas River Basin, while rivers in parts of the middle Mississippi Valley surged to their second-highest levels on
record, behind 1993.
The incessantly wet conditions across the Plains and the Midwest were accompanied by below-normal temperatures,
leading to developmental delays and quality concerns with respect to winter wheat. Furthermore, late-planted summer
crops were slow to emerge and become established amid the cool, rainy conditions.
Unseasonably wet weather extended into parts of the West, including California and the Great Basin. From California into
the Four Corners States, cooler-than-normal conditions accompanied the frequent showers, slowing fieldwork and crop
development. In contrast, warmer- and drier-than-normal weather stretched from the Pacific Northwest to the
northernmost Rockies, resulting in some drought expansion.
Meanwhile, hot, dry weather developed in the Southeast, particularly in the southern Atlantic States, leading to significant
reductions in soil moisture and increasing stress on summer crops, such as corn. A late-month Southeastern hot spell
boosted temperatures to 100°F or higher in many locations, contributing to further drought intensification.
Elsewhere, showers that fell in the Nation’s mid-section often swept into the Northeast, maintaining soggy conditions in
the latter region. However, precipitation mostly bypassed some areas along the Canadian border, stretching as far east as
northern Minnesota, leaving a sharp gradient between that area and saturated sections of the Plains and Midwest just to
the south.
May Agricultural Summary
May was cooler than average for parts of California, the Corn Belt, Great Plains, New England, Rocky Mountains, and
Southwest with temperatures averaging 4°F or more below normal. However, temperatures were warmer in the
mid-Atlantic, Florida, southern Great Lakes, Mississippi Valley, and Pacific Northwest averaging 2°F or more above
normal in some areas. The United States was wetter than normal for the month of May. Parts of the Corn Belt, Delta, and
the Great Plains received more than 10 inches of rain during the month. However, the northern part of States along the
Canadian border, as well as parts of the Pacific Southwest, Pacific Northwest, and Southeast remained dry.
By May 5, producers had planted 23 percent of the Nation’s corn acreage, 13 percentage points behind the previous year
and 23 percentage points behind the 5-year average. Six percent of the Nation’s corn acreage had emerged by May 5,
one percentage point behind the previous year and 7 percentage points behind the 5-year average. Producers had planted
49 percent of the Nation’s corn acreage by May 19, twenty-nine percentage points behind the previous year and
31 percentage points behind the 5-year average. Nineteen percent of the Nation’s corn acreage had emerged by May 19,
twenty-eight percentage points behind the previous year and 30 percentage points behind the 5-year average. By June 2,
producers had planted 67 percent of the Nation’s corn acreage, 29 percentage points behind both the previous year and the
5-year average. Forty-six percent of the Nation’s corn acreage had emerged by June 2, thirty-eight percentage points
behind both the previous year and the 5-year average.
Producers had planted 6 percent of the Nation’s soybean acreage by May 5, eight percentage points behind both the
previous year and the 5-year average. Nineteen percent of the Nation’s soybean acreage was planted by May 19,
thirty-four percentage points behind the previous year and 28 percentage points behind the 5-year average. Five percent of
the Nation’s soybean acreage had emerged by May 19, nineteen percentage points behind the previous year and
12 percentage points behind the 5-year average. By June 2, thirty-nine percent of the Nation’s soybean acreage was
planted, 47 percentage points behind the previous year and 40 percentage points behind the 5-year average.
By May 5, twenty-nine percent of the Nation’s 2019 winter wheat acreage had reached the headed stage, 2 percentage
points behind the previous year and 12 percentage points behind the 5-year average. As of May 5, sixty-four percent of
Crop Production (June 2019) 23 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
this year’s winter wheat acreage was reported in good to excellent condition, 30 percentage points above the same time
last year. Fifty-four percent of the winter wheat acreage had reached the headed stage by May 19, five percentage points
behind the previous year and 12 percentage points behind the 5-year average. By June 2, seventy-six percent of the
Nation’s winter wheat acreage had reached the headed stage, 6 percentage points behind the previous year and
8 percentage points behind the 5-year average. As of June 2, sixty-four percent of this year’s winter wheat acreage was
reported in good to excellent condition, 27 percentage points above the same time last year.
Nationwide, 18 percent of the 2019 cotton acreage had been planted by May 5, one percentage point behind both the
previous year and the 5-year average. Forty-four percent of the cotton acreage had been planted by May 19, six percentage
points behind the previous year and 1 percentage point behind the 5-year average. By June 2, seventy-one percent of the
cotton acreage had been planted, 3 percentage points behind the previous year and 1 percentage point behind the 5-year
average. Eight percent of the Nation’s cotton acreage had reached the squaring stage by June 2, one percentage point
behind the previous year but 1 percentage point ahead of the 5-year average. As of June 2, forty-six percent of this year’s
cotton acreage was rated in good to excellent condition, 4 percentage points above the same time last year.
Twenty-two percent of the Nation’s sorghum acreage was planted by May 5, seven percentage points behind both the
previous year and the 5-year average. Twenty-six percent of the Nation’s sorghum acreage was planted by May 19,
twelve percentage points behind both the previous year and the 5-year average. By June 2, thirty-five percent of the
Nation’s sorghum acreage was planted, 24 percentage points behind the previous year and 18 percentage points behind the
5-year average. Producers in Texas had planted 85 percent of the State’s intended sorghum acreage by June 2,
ten percentage points behind the previous year but identical to the 5-year average.
Producers had seeded 48 percent of the 2019 rice acreage by May 5, eighteen percentage points behind the previous year
and 21 percentage points behind the 5-year average. By May 5, thirty-five percent of the Nation’s acreage had emerged,
7 percentage points behind the previous year and 15 percentage points behind the 5-year average. Seventy-three percent of
this year’s rice acreage had been seeded by May 19, nineteen percentage points behind the previous year and
17 percentage points behind the 5-year average. By May 19, fifty-two percent of this year’s rice acreage had emerged,
20 percentage points behind the previous year and 23 percentage points behind the 5-year average. By June 2, producers
had seeded 91 percent of this year’s rice acreage, 8 percentage points behind the previous year and 7 percentage points
behind the 5-year average. By June 2, seventy-six percent of the rice acreage had emerged, 18 percentage points behind
the previous year and 15 percentage points behind the 5-year average. As of June 2, sixty-one percent of the Nation’s rice
acreage was rated in good to excellent condition, 13 percentage points below the same time last year.
Nationally, oat producers had seeded 50 percent of the 2019 acreage by May 5, four percentage points behind the previous
year and 22 percentage points behind the 5-year average. Thirty-six percent of the Nation’s oat acreage had emerged by
May 5, three percentage points ahead of the previous year but 15 percentage points behind the 5-year average. Oat
producers had seeded 77 percent of this year’s acreage by May 19, seven percentage points behind the previous year and
13 percentage points behind the 5-year average. Fifty-three percent of the oat acreage had emerged by May 19,
eleven percentage points behind the previous year and 23 percentage points behind the 5-year average. By June 2, oat
producers had seeded 91 percent of this year’s acreage, 6 percentage points behind the previous year and 7 percentage
points behind the 5-year average. Seventy-seven percent of the oat acreage had emerged by June 2, twelve percentage
points behind the previous year and 16 percentage points behind the 5-year average. Twenty-three percent of this year’s
oat acreage had headed by June 2, seven percentage points behind the previous year and 10 percentage points behind the
5-year average. As of June 2, sixty-two percent of the Nation’s oat acreage was rated in good to excellent condition,
3 percentage points below the same time last year.
Thirty-seven percent of the Nation’s barley was planted by May 5, three percentage points behind the previous year and
19 percentage points behind the 5-year average. By May 5, twelve percent of the barley acreage had emerged, equal to the
previous year but 15 percentage points behind the 5-year average. Seventy-six percent of this year’s barley was planted by
May 19, two percentage points behind the previous year and 8 percentage points behind the 5-year average. By May 19,
thirty-nine percent of the barley acreage had emerged, 3 percentage points behind the previous year and 18 percentage
points behind the 5-year average. Ninety-four percent of this year’s barley was planted by June 2, two percentage points
behind the previous year and 3 percentage points behind the 5-year average. By June 2, seventy-three percent of the barley
acreage had emerged, 7 percentage points behind the previous year and 12 percentage points behind the 5-year average.
24 Crop Production (June 2019) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
As of June 2, eighty-eight percent of the this year’s barley acreage was rated in good to excellent condition, 9 percentage
points above the same time last year.
By May 5, twenty-two percent of the Nation’s spring wheat acreage was seeded, 5 percentage points behind the previous
year and 27 percentage points behind the 5-year average. Four percent of the spring wheat acreage had emerged by May 5,
equal to the previous year but 15 percentage points behind the 5-year average. Seventy percent of this year’s spring wheat
acreage was seeded by May 19, six percentage points behind the previous year and 10 percentage points behind the 5-year
average. Twenty-six percent of the spring wheat acreage had emerged at that time, 8 percentage points behind the
previous year and 25 percentage points behind the 5-year average. By June 2, ninety-three percent of the spring wheat
acreage was seeded, 3 percentage points behind both the previous year and the 5-year average. Sixty-nine percent of the
spring wheat acreage had emerged at that time, 9 percentage points behind the previous year and 15 percentage points
behind the 5-year average. As of June 2, eighty-three percent of this year’s spring wheat acreage was rated in good to
excellent condition, 13 percentage points above the same time last year.
Nationally, peanut producers had planted 22 percent of the 2019 peanut acreage by May 5, one percentage point ahead of
the previous year and 3 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. By May 19, peanut producers had planted
63 percent of this year’s peanut acreage, 3 percentage points ahead of the previous year and 8 percentage points ahead of
the 5-year average. Peanut producers had planted 86 percent of this year’s peanut acreage by June 2, four percentage
points ahead of the previous year and 1 percentage point ahead of the 5-year average. As of June 2, sixty-one percent of
the Nation’s peanut acreage was rated in good to excellent condition, 2 percentage points above the same time last year.
By May 5, thirty-one percent of the sugarbeet acreage was planted, 29 percentage points behind the previous year and
36 percentage points behind the 5-year average. By June 2, ninety-seven percent of the sugarbeet acreage was planted,
3 percentage points behind both the previous year and the 5-year average.
Three percent of the Nation’s intended 2019 sunflower acreage was planted by May 19, seven percentage points behind
the previous year and 9 percentage points behind the 5-year average. By June 2, nineteen percent of this year’s sunflower
acreage was planted, 27 percentage points behind the previous year and 25 percentage points behind the 5-year average.
Planting progress was behind the 5-year average pace in all estimating States at that time and had not yet begun in
South Dakota.
Crop Comments
Winter wheat: Production is forecast at 1.27 billion bushels, up less than 1 percent from the May 1 forecast and up
8 percent from 2018. As of June 1, the United States yield is forecast at 50.5 bushels per acre, up 0.2 bushel from last
month and up 2.6 bushels from last year’s average yield of 47.9 bushels per acre. As of June 2, sixty-four percent of the
winter wheat acreage in the 18 major producing States was rated in good to excellent condition, 27 percentage points
higher than at the same time last year. Nationally, 76 percent of the winter wheat crop was headed by June 2,
eight percentage points lower than the 5-year average pace. If realized, the 2019 United States winter wheat yield will be
the second highest on record.
Forecasted head counts from the objective yield survey in the six Hard Red Winter States (Colorado, Kansas, Montana,
Nebraska, Oklahoma, and Texas) are above last year’s level in Colorado, Kansas, Nebraska, Oklahoma, and Texas but
below in Montana. As of June 2, Kansas, Oklahoma, and Texas winter wheat was rated 57 percent, 64 percent, and
64 percent, in good to excellent condition, respectively. In the Low Plains of Texas, harvest was underway. Conditions
were favorable in the Blacklands, South Central Texas, and the Edwards Plateau for harvest.
Forecasted head counts from the objective yield survey in the three Soft Red Winter States (Illinois, Missouri, and Ohio)
are below last year’s levels in Illinois and Ohio but above last year’s levels in Missouri. As of June 2, Illinois, Missouri,
and Ohio winter wheat was rated 75 percent, 84 percent, and 62 percent, in fair to good condition, respectively.
Forecasted head counts from the objective yield survey in Washington are below last year. As of June 2, Idaho, Oregon,
and Washington winter wheat was rated 71 percent, 63 percent, and 73 percent, in good to excellent condition,
respectively. Warmer conditions in some Washington counties, advanced the crop but put heat stress on wheat acreage.
Crop Production (June 2019) 25 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Durum wheat: Production of Durum wheat in Arizona and California is forecast at a collective 7.97 million bushels,
down 2 percent from last month and down 25 percent from 2018. In Arizona, 33 percent of the acreage was harvested by
June 2, five percentage points ahead of last year and 12 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average.
Ninety-four percent of the Arizona acreage was in good to excellent condition on June 2, fifteen percentage points above
the same time last year.
Grapefruit: The United States 2018-2019 grapefruit crop is forecast at 604,000 tons, down slightly from last month but
up 17 percent from last season’s final utilization. In Florida, expected production, at 4.51 million boxes (192,000 tons), is
down 2 percent from last month but up 16 percent from last year. California and Texas grapefruit production forecasts
were carried forward from the previous month.
Tangerines and mandarins: The United States tangerine and mandarin crop is forecast at 927,000 tons, down slightly
from last month but up 15 percent from last season’s final utilization. The Florida forecast, at 990,000 boxes
(47,000 tons), is down 1 percent from last month but up 32 percent from the previous year. The California tangerine and
mandarin forecast was carried forward from the previous month.
Prunes (dried plums): California’s 2019 prune production is forecast at 110,000 dried tons, up 38 percent from last year.
Good growing conditions were reported, resulting in a successful bloom and a good fruit set.
Cherries, Tart: United States tart cherry production is forecast at 290 million pounds, down 18 percent from the
2018 production.
In Michigan, the largest tart cherry producing State, growers reported an average crop. Cooler than normal spring weather
conditions led to a delay in the crop. Utah growers reported an above average crop similar to the previous year. In
New York, growers reported an average crop and bloom. In Washington, growers reported warm spring weather
conditions and expect harvest to begin later than normal. In Wisconsin, cool and wet conditions led to a delay in the crop
this year.
Cherries, Sweet: United States sweet cherry production is forecast at 362,000 tons, up 13 percent from 2018.
In Washington and Oregon, warm spring conditions have been optimal for the crop. In California, growers reported
sufficient chill and precipitation leading to a good crop this season.
Sweet cherry estimates were discontinued in Michigan.
Maple syrup: The 2019 United States maple syrup production totaled 4.24 million gallons, up 1 percent from the revised
previous year. The number of taps totaled 13.3 million, down 4 percent from the 2018 total. Yield per tap was
0.318 gallon, up 0.015 gallon from the previous season.
The earliest sap flow reported was January 5 in New York. The latest sap flow reported to open the season was March 1 in
Wisconsin. On average, the season lasted 30 days, compared with 42 days in 2018. The 2018 United States average price
per gallon was $33.80, up $0.70 from 2017. Value of production, at $142 million for 2018, was down 2 percent from the
previous season.
Beginning in 2019, maple syrup estimates were discontinued for Connecticut, Indiana, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Ohio,
and West Virginia.
26 Crop Production (June 2019) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Statistical Methodology
Wheat survey procedures: Objective yield and farm operator surveys were conducted between May 25 and June 6 to
gather information on expected yield as of June 1. The objective yield survey was conducted in 10 States that accounted
for 70 percent of the 2018 winter wheat production. Farm operators were interviewed to update previously reported
acreage data and seek permission to randomly locate two sample plots in selected winter wheat fields. The counts made
within each sample plot depended upon the crop's maturity. Counts such as number of stalks, heads in late boot, and
number of emerged heads were made to predict the number of heads that will be harvested. The counts are used with
similar data from previous years to develop a projected biological yield. The average harvesting loss is subtracted to
obtain a net yield. The plots are revisited each month until crop maturity when the heads are clipped, threshed, and
weighed. After the farm operator has harvested the sample field, another plot is sampled to obtain current year harvesting
loss.
The farm operator survey was conducted primarily by telephone with some use of mail, internet, and personal interview.
Approximately 3,400 producers were interviewed during the survey period and asked questions about the probable yield
on their operation. These growers will continue to be surveyed throughout the growing season to provide indications of
average yields.
Orange survey procedures: The orange objective yield survey for the June 1 forecast was conducted in Florida. In
August and September last year, the number of bearing trees and the number of fruit per tree was determined. In August
and subsequent months, fruit size measurement and fruit droppage surveys are conducted, which combined with the
previous components are used to develop the current forecast of production. California and Texas conduct grower surveys
on a quarterly basis in October, January, April, and July. California also conducts objective measurement surveys in
September for Navel oranges and in March for Valencia oranges.
Wheat estimating procedures: National and State level objective yield and grower reported data were reviewed for
reasonableness and consistency with historical estimates. The survey data were also reviewed considering weather
patterns and crop progress compared to previous months and previous years. Each Regional Field Office submits their
analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the survey data and the State
analyses to prepare the published June 1 forecasts.
Orange estimating procedures: State level objective yield indications for Florida oranges were reviewed for errors,
reasonableness, and consistency with historical estimates. The Florida Field Office submits its analysis of the current
situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the Florida survey data and their analysis to prepare
the published June 1 forecast. The June 1 orange production forecasts for California and Texas are carried forward from
April.
Revision policy: The June 1 production forecast will not be revised; instead, a new forecast will be made each month
throughout the growing season. End-of-season wheat estimates are made after harvest. At the end of the wheat marketing
season, a balance sheet is calculated using carryover stocks, production, exports, millings, feeding, and ending stocks.
Revisions are then made if the balance sheet relationships or other administrative data warrant changes. End-of-season
orange estimates will be published in the Citrus Fruits Summary released in August. The orange production estimates are
based on all data available at the end of the marketing season, including information from marketing orders, shipments,
and processor records. Allowances are made for recorded local utilization and home use.
Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the June 1 production forecast, the “Root Mean Square Error,” a
statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviation between the June 1 production forecast and the
final estimate is expressed as a percentage of the final estimate. The average of the squared percentage deviations for the
latest 20-year period is computed. The square root of the average becomes statistically the “Root Mean Square Error.”
Probability statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current forecast relative to the final
end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent
years.
Crop Production (June 2019) 27 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
The “Root Mean Square Error” for the June 1 winter wheat production forecast is 4.8 percent. This means that chances are
2 out of 3 that the current winter wheat production will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 4.8 percent.
Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 8.3 percent. Differences between
the June 1 winter wheat production forecast and the final estimate during the past 20 years have averaged 59 million
bushels, ranging from 4 million to 166 million bushels. The June 1 forecast has been below the final estimate 10 times and
above 10 times. This does not imply that the June 1 winter wheat forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final
production.
The “Root Mean Square Error” for the June 1 orange production forecast is 1.7 percent. However, if you exclude the four
abnormal production seasons (one freeze season and three hurricane seasons), the “Root Mean Square Error” is
1.9 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current orange production forecast will not be above or below
the final estimates by more than 1.7 percent, or 1.9 percent when excluding abnormal seasons. Chances are 9 out of
10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 2.9 percent, or 3.2 percent when excluding abnormal
seasons.
Changes between the June 1 orange forecast and the final estimates during the past 20 years have averaged 104,000 tons
(120,000 tons, excluding abnormal seasons), ranging from 5,000 tons to 272,000 tons (23,000 tons to 272,000 tons
excluding abnormal seasons). The June 1 forecast for oranges has been below the final estimate 10 times and above
10 times (below 6 times and above 10 times, excluding abnormal seasons). The difference does not imply that the
June 1 forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final production.
28 Crop Production (June 2019) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service Information Contacts
Listed below are the commodity statisticians in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact
for additional information. E-mail inquiries may be sent to [email protected]
Lance Honig, Chief, Crops Branch ....................................................................................................... (202) 720-2127
Anthony Prillaman, Head, Field Crops Section .................................................................................... (202) 720-2127
David Colwell – Current Agricultural Industrial Reports ................................................................ (202) 720-3338
Chris Hawthorn – Corn, Flaxseed, Proso Millet .............................................................................. (202) 720-9526
James Johanson – County Estimates, Hay ....................................................................................... (202) 690-8533
Jeff Lemmons – Oats, Soybeans ...................................................................................................... (202) 690-3234
Sammy Neal – Peanuts, Rice ........................................................................................................... (202) 720-7688
Jannety Mosley – Crop Weather, Barley.......................................................................................... (202) 720-7621
Jean Porter – Rye, Wheat ................................................................................................................. (202) 720-8068
Chris Singh – Cotton, Cotton Ginnings, Sorghum ........................................................................... (202) 720-5944
Travis Thorson – Sunflower, Other Oilseeds ................................................................................... (202) 720-7369
Jorge Garcia-Pratts, Head, Fruits, Vegetables and Special Crops Section ............................................ (202) 720-2127
Joshua Bates– Almonds, Apples, Apricots, Asparagus, Carrots, Coffee, Onions,
Plums, Prunes, Sweet Corn, Tobacco ........................................................................................ (202) 720-4288
Vincent Davis – Dry Beans, Garlic, Hazelnuts, Honeydews, Kiwifruit, Lettuce,
Maple Syrup, Mint, Pears, Sweet Cherries, Tart Cherries, Tomatoes ....................................... (202) 720-2157
Fleming Gibson – Cauliflower, Celery, Grapefruit, Lemons, Macadamia,
Mandarins and tangerines, Mushrooms, Olives, Oranges ......................................................... (202) 720-5412
Greg Lemmons –Cranberries, Cucumbers, Pistachios, Potatoes, Pumpkins,
Raspberries, Squash, Strawberries, Sugarbeets, Sugarcane, Sweet Potatoes,
Tame Blueberries, Wild Blueberries.......................................................................................... (202) 720-4285
Dan Norris – Artichokes, Cantaloupes, Dry Edible Peas, Green Peas, Lentils,
Nectarines, Papayas, Peaches, Snap Beans, Spinach, Walnuts, Watermelons ........................... (202) 720-3250
Daphne Schauber – Avocados, Bell Peppers, Broccoli, Cabbage, Chickpeas,
Chile Peppers, Dates, Floriculture, Grapes, Hops, Pecans ........................................................ (202) 720-4215
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