CRIME IN SOUTH AFRICA: Worrying Trends 2009 JOHAN BURGER Crime & Justice Programme INSTITUTE FOR...
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CRIME IN SOUTH AFRICA: Worrying Trends 2009 JOHAN BURGER Crime & Justice Programme INSTITUTE FOR SECURITY STUDIES
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SAPS: 21 most serious crimes recorded Violent interpersonal crime Robbery Property crime Other crime
Transcript of CRIME IN SOUTH AFRICA: Worrying Trends 2009 JOHAN BURGER Crime & Justice Programme INSTITUTE FOR...
CRIME IN SOUTH AFRICA: Worrying Trends
2009JOHAN BURGER
Crime & Justice ProgrammeINSTITUTE FOR SECURITY STUDIES
• Official (SAPS) crime statistics (focus on worrying trends)
• Some additional crime stats (SABRIC)• Summary
Presentation Outline
SAPS: 21 most serious crimes recorded
94/95 95/96 96/97 97/98 98/99 99/00 00/01 01/02 02/03 '03/04 '04/05 '05/06 '06/07 07/08 08/090
500000
1000000
1500000
2000000
2500000
3000000
Violent interpersonal crime
Robbery
Property crime
Other crime
Murder
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
94\95; Murder; 66.995\96; Murder; 67.996\97; Murder; 62.8
97\98; Murder; 59.998\99; Murder; 59.8
99\00; Murder; 52.500\01; Murder; 49.801\02; Murder; 47.802\03; Murder; 47.4
03\04; Murder; 42.7'04\05; Murder; 40.305\06; Murder; 39.506\07; Murder; 40.507\08; Murder; 38.608\09; Murder; 37.3
f(x) = 71.3031223332341 exp( − 0.0463696238988826 x )R² = 0.966845730196602
Num
ber
per
100
000
peop
le
UK
Argentina
USA
Mexico
Brazil
Colombia
SA
Trin & Tobago
El Salvador
Venezuala
Siera Leone
Honduras
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
UK; Series1; 2.3
Argentina; Series1; 5.3
USA; Series1; 5.8
Mexico; Series1; 10
Brazil; Series1; 25.7
Colombia; Series1; 36
SA; Series1; 37.5
Trin & Tobago; Series1; 42.3
El Salvador; Series1; 48
Venezuala; Series1; 48
Siera Leone; Series1; 50
Honduras; Series1; 58
(2000 – 49.6)
(2000 – 62.7)
Murder: some international comparisons (2008 figures)
94\95 95\96 96\97 97\98 98\99 99\00 00\01 01\02 02\03 03\04 04\05 05\06 06\07 07\08 08\090
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
94\95; Aggravated robbery; 220
95\96; Aggravated robbery; 196
96\97; Aggravated robbery; 164
97\98; Aggravated robbery; 177
98\99; Aggravated robbery; 220
99\00; Aggravated robbery; 230
00\01; Aggravated robbery; 260
01\02; Aggravated robbery; 262
02\03; Aggravated robbery; 279
03\04; Aggravated robbery; 28804\05; Aggravated
robbery; 27205\06; Aggravated robbery; 255
06\07; Aggravated robbery; 26707\08; Aggravated
robbery; 24708\09; Aggravated
robbery; 249
Aggravated robbery N
umbe
r per
100
000
peo
ple
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/090
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
40000
45000
50000
2002/03; House rob; 9063
2003/04; House rob; 9351
2004/05; House rob; 9391
2005/06; House rob; 10173
2006/07; House rob; 12761
2007/08; House rob; 14481
2008/09; House rob; 18438
2002/03; Business rob; 5498 2003/04; Business
rob; 36772004/05; Business
rob; 3320
2005/06; Business rob; 4387
2006/07; Business rob; 6689
2007/08; Business rob; 9862
2002/03; Car hijack-ings; 146912003/04; Car hijack-
ings; 137932004/05; Car hijack-ings; 12434
2005/06; Car hijack-ings; 12825
2006/07; Car hijack-ings; 13599
2007/08; Car hijack-ings; 14201
2008/09; Car hijack-ings; 14915
House rob Business rob Car hijackings
13920
Trio crimes
Gauteng
KZN
North West
Mpumalanga
Western Cape
Eastern Cape
Limpopo
Free State
North. Cape
0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 9000
Gauteng; 2008/09; 8122
KZN; 2008/09; 4601
North West; 2008/09; 987
Mpumalanga; 2008/09; 1188
Western Cape; 2008/09; 974
Eastern Cape; 2008/09; 1517
Limpopo; 2008/09; 514
Free State; 2008/09; 490
North. Cape; 2008/09; 45
Gauteng; 2007/08; 7314
KZN; 2007/08; 3480
North West; 2007/08; 821
Mpumalanga; 2007/08; 862
Western Cape; 2007/08; 796
Eastern Cape; 2007/08; 662
Limpopo; 2007/08; 319
Free State; 2007/08; 215
North. Cape; 2007/08; 12
Number of robberies
House robbery: Provincial breakdown
2007/08 2008/09
Gauteng
KZN
W Cape
N West
E Cape
Mpumalanga
Free State
Limpopo
N Cape
0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000
Gauteng 2008/09 6216
KZN 2008/09 2499
W Cape 2008/09 1058
N West 2008/09 1043
E Cape 2008/09 851
Mpumalanga 2008/09 818
Free State 2008/09 785
Limpopo 2008/09 529
N Cape 2008/09 121
Gauteng 2007/08 5098
KZN 2007/08 1923
W Cape 2007/08 635
N West 2007/08 747
E Cape 2007/08 488
Mpumalanga 2007/08 305
Free State 2007/08 298
Limpopo 2007/08 314
N Cape 2007/08 54Business robbery: Provincialbreakdown
2007/08 2008/09
Gauteng
KZN
Mpumalanga
E Cape
W Cape
Limpopo
N West
Free Stae
N Cape
0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 9000
Gauteng; 2008/09; 7626
KZN; 2008/09; 4062
Mpumalanga; 2008/09; 984
E Cape; 2008/09; 706
W Cape; 2008/09; 698
Limpopo; 2008/09; 289
N West; 2008/09; 288
Free Stae; 2008/09; 255
N Cape; 2008/09; 7
Gauteng; 2007/08; 7466
KZN; 2007/08; 3889
Mpumalanga; 2007/08; 664
E Cape; 2007/08; 604
W Cape; 2007/08; 923
Limpopo; 2007/08; 203
N West; 2007/08; 291
Free Stae; 2007/08; 156
N Cape; 2007/08; 5
Car hijacking: Provincialbreakdown
2007/08 2008/09(Decreases)
2004 2005 2006 2007 20080
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
2004; SABRIC; 302005; SABRIC; 37
2006; SABRIC; 82
2007; SABRIC; 368
2008; SABRIC; 447SABRIC figures
ATM Attacks
Gauteng N West KZN Limpopo Mpumal Free State E Cape W Cape N Cape0
50
100
150
200
250
300
Gauteng; 2007; 204
N West; 2007; 46KZN; 2007; 31Limpopo; 2007; 31Mpumal; 2007; 28Free State; 2007; 23E Cape; 2007; 16
W Cape; 2007; 7N Cape; 2007; 2
Gauteng; 2008; 245
N West; 2008; 41KZN; 2008; 31
Limpopo; 2008; 42Mpumal; 2008; 39
Free State; 2008; 16E Cape; 2008; 18W Cape; 2008; 6N Cape; 2008; 1
2007 2008
ATM attacks: Provincial breakdown
SABRIC figures
03/04 04/05 05/06 06/07 07/08 08/090
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
03/04; Comm crime; 12004/05; Comm crime;
11605/06; Comm crime;
116
06/07; Comm crime; 13007/08; Comm crime;
136
08/09; Comm crime; 159
03/04 Shoplifting 15504/05 Shoplifting 14305/06 Shoplifting 137
06/07 Shoplifting 13807/08 Shoplifting 140
08/09 Shoplifting 166Comm crime Shoplifting
03/04 04/05 05/06 06/07 07/08 08/090
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
18000
03/04; Truck hijack-ing; 901
04/05; Truck hijack-ing; 930
05/06; Truck hijack-ing; 829
06/07; Truck hijack-ing; 892
07/08; Truck hijack-ing; 1245
08/09; Truck hijack-ing; 1437
03/04 Bus robberies 367704/05 Bus robberies 3320
05/06 Bus robberies 4387
06/07 Bus robberies 6689
07/08 Bus robberies 9862
08/09 Bus robberies 13920
Truck hijacking Bus robberiesRates Numbers
Crimes against business
Comparisons: Violent Crime (Summary)
Murder 18 487 18148 -1,8 (-3,7)
Att murder 18795 18298 -2,6 (-6,7)
Aggravated robbery 118 312 121392 2,6 (-6,5) House robbery 14 481 18438 27,3 (13,5) Business robbery 9 862 13920 41,1 (47,4) Car-hijacking 14 201 14915 5 (4,4) Bank robbery 144 102 -29,2 (11,6) CIT robbery 395 386 -2,3 (15,4)
2007/08 2008/09 %
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