Cracking the Australian Hazelnut Market...Analysis and Forecast, 2016-2026" – present value -US$...

23
Cracking the Australian Hazelnut Market Trevor Ranford

Transcript of Cracking the Australian Hazelnut Market...Analysis and Forecast, 2016-2026" – present value -US$...

Page 1: Cracking the Australian Hazelnut Market...Analysis and Forecast, 2016-2026" – present value -US$ 7,200 Million – Predicted growth of 5.9% By the end of 2026 – US$ 12,730.6 Million

Cracking the Australian

Hazelnut Market

Trevor Ranford

Page 2: Cracking the Australian Hazelnut Market...Analysis and Forecast, 2016-2026" – present value -US$ 7,200 Million – Predicted growth of 5.9% By the end of 2026 – US$ 12,730.6 Million

THE HAZELNUT CYCLE

Page 3: Cracking the Australian Hazelnut Market...Analysis and Forecast, 2016-2026" – present value -US$ 7,200 Million – Predicted growth of 5.9% By the end of 2026 – US$ 12,730.6 Million

HAZELNUT GROWERS OF AUSTRALIA INC

Bioclimatology model for hazelnut industry expansion

http://www.dpi.nsw.gov.au/agriculture/horticulture/nuts/industry-expansion/hazelnut

Page 4: Cracking the Australian Hazelnut Market...Analysis and Forecast, 2016-2026" – present value -US$ 7,200 Million – Predicted growth of 5.9% By the end of 2026 – US$ 12,730.6 Million

GLOBAL MARKET

“Compared to other nuts and dry fruits, the global market for hazelnut is still at a nascent stage and will surge steadily in the years to come.”

Page 5: Cracking the Australian Hazelnut Market...Analysis and Forecast, 2016-2026" – present value -US$ 7,200 Million – Predicted growth of 5.9% By the end of 2026 – US$ 12,730.6 Million

GLOBAL MARKET

"Hazelnut Market: Global Industry Analysis and Forecast, 2016-2026"

– present value - US$ 7,200 Million

– Predicted growth of 5.9%

By the end of 2026– US$ 12,730.6 Million

– nearly one-third of global revenue will be by sales of raw hazelnuts.

– processed hazelnut products will witness a considerably higher consumption - valued at US$ 7,400 Million.

Page 6: Cracking the Australian Hazelnut Market...Analysis and Forecast, 2016-2026" – present value -US$ 7,200 Million – Predicted growth of 5.9% By the end of 2026 – US$ 12,730.6 Million

GLOBAL MARKET

Manufacturers of food products will represent more than 80% of global hazelnut revenue

- protein shakes, bars or confectionary items.

Demand for hazelnut will also gain traction among beverage producers, revenue will rise at an impressive 6.4%.

By the end of 2026, more than US$ 1,000 Million of hazelnuts will be sold to pharmaceutical companies and manufacturers of cosmetic products.

Page 7: Cracking the Australian Hazelnut Market...Analysis and Forecast, 2016-2026" – present value -US$ 7,200 Million – Predicted growth of 5.9% By the end of 2026 – US$ 12,730.6 Million
Page 8: Cracking the Australian Hazelnut Market...Analysis and Forecast, 2016-2026" – present value -US$ 7,200 Million – Predicted growth of 5.9% By the end of 2026 – US$ 12,730.6 Million

Cracking the Australian Hazelnut Market

Page 9: Cracking the Australian Hazelnut Market...Analysis and Forecast, 2016-2026" – present value -US$ 7,200 Million – Predicted growth of 5.9% By the end of 2026 – US$ 12,730.6 Million

AUSTRALIAN HAZELNUTS

“Locally grown nuts receive a price premium and are sought after by restaurant chefs, patisseries and

confectioners because of the fresh taste of the local product compared to

imported kernel.”

Page 10: Cracking the Australian Hazelnut Market...Analysis and Forecast, 2016-2026" – present value -US$ 7,200 Million – Predicted growth of 5.9% By the end of 2026 – US$ 12,730.6 Million

AUSTRALIAN PRODUCTION

• Grown everywhere except Queensland and Northern Territory

– Central Tablelands and Slopes of NSW

– Riverina of NSW

– North Eastern and Central Victoria

– Manjimup region of Western Australia

– Adelaide Hills

– Northern Tasmania

Page 11: Cracking the Australian Hazelnut Market...Analysis and Forecast, 2016-2026" – present value -US$ 7,200 Million – Predicted growth of 5.9% By the end of 2026 – US$ 12,730.6 Million

AUSTRALIAN PRODUCTION– Import ~ 3,000 tonne per year (Turkey mostly)– Produce 170 tonne kernel (up 46%)– Farm gate value $1.7 million (up 87 %)– ~ 200 hectare of planting – some yet to come into production– Total Australian trees planted - ~ 1.1 million.– Agri Australis’ (Ferrero) investment –

• one million hazelnut trees on 2,000 hectares

• brings additional opportunities to the agribusiness sector and the local community.

Page 12: Cracking the Australian Hazelnut Market...Analysis and Forecast, 2016-2026" – present value -US$ 7,200 Million – Predicted growth of 5.9% By the end of 2026 – US$ 12,730.6 Million

AUSTRALIAN PRODUCTION

0500

100015002000250030003500

2004 2012 2013 2014 2015 2020

Tonn

es

Years

Australia hazelnutsImported nuts

Page 13: Cracking the Australian Hazelnut Market...Analysis and Forecast, 2016-2026" – present value -US$ 7,200 Million – Predicted growth of 5.9% By the end of 2026 – US$ 12,730.6 Million

AUSTRALIAN PRODUCTIONEstimated Hazelnut Production (HGA/ANIC 2016)

2011 2016 2021 2025

Area Planted, ha 140 1,370 2,220 2,760

Production, tonnes 75 170 2,553 3,174

Farm Gate Value $m $0.4 $1.70 $22.50 $31.70

Domestic Consumptiontonnes

4,049 4,925 5,994 7,012

Page 14: Cracking the Australian Hazelnut Market...Analysis and Forecast, 2016-2026" – present value -US$ 7,200 Million – Predicted growth of 5.9% By the end of 2026 – US$ 12,730.6 Million

Cracking the Australian Hazelnut Market

Page 15: Cracking the Australian Hazelnut Market...Analysis and Forecast, 2016-2026" – present value -US$ 7,200 Million – Predicted growth of 5.9% By the end of 2026 – US$ 12,730.6 Million

Hazelnut is a ‘classic’ not a trend

“We feel like hazelnut is a classic flavour already. It’s not a trend anymore.”

Page 16: Cracking the Australian Hazelnut Market...Analysis and Forecast, 2016-2026" – present value -US$ 7,200 Million – Predicted growth of 5.9% By the end of 2026 – US$ 12,730.6 Million

MARKET OPPORTUNITIES

• Direct to public• Artisanal chocolate makers• Artisanal patisseries• Restaurants• Distillers• Gelato

Page 17: Cracking the Australian Hazelnut Market...Analysis and Forecast, 2016-2026" – present value -US$ 7,200 Million – Predicted growth of 5.9% By the end of 2026 – US$ 12,730.6 Million

NEW PRODUCTS

Hazelnut oil

Page 19: Cracking the Australian Hazelnut Market...Analysis and Forecast, 2016-2026" – present value -US$ 7,200 Million – Predicted growth of 5.9% By the end of 2026 – US$ 12,730.6 Million

Cracking the Australian Hazelnut Market

Page 20: Cracking the Australian Hazelnut Market...Analysis and Forecast, 2016-2026" – present value -US$ 7,200 Million – Predicted growth of 5.9% By the end of 2026 – US$ 12,730.6 Million

ISSUES/CHALLENGES

Funding• Establishment of Voluntary Contribution system

• Emergency Plant Pest Levy

New Pests and Diseases• Stink Bugs

• Hazelnut Mite – January 2016

Page 21: Cracking the Australian Hazelnut Market...Analysis and Forecast, 2016-2026" – present value -US$ 7,200 Million – Predicted growth of 5.9% By the end of 2026 – US$ 12,730.6 Million

PESTS AND DISEASES

• 1st bullet: Arial– 2nd bullet: Arial

• 3rd bullet: Arial

– 4th bullet

Page 22: Cracking the Australian Hazelnut Market...Analysis and Forecast, 2016-2026" – present value -US$ 7,200 Million – Predicted growth of 5.9% By the end of 2026 – US$ 12,730.6 Million

PESTS DAMAGE

Insect Damage to Hazelnut Kernel

Page 23: Cracking the Australian Hazelnut Market...Analysis and Forecast, 2016-2026" – present value -US$ 7,200 Million – Predicted growth of 5.9% By the end of 2026 – US$ 12,730.6 Million

Thank your and any Questions