CPAC Straw Poll - Results and Analysis - FINAL

Kellyanne Conway

The straw poll was available to CPAC attendees from Wednesday,

February 25 to Saturday, February 28.

Participants could complete the straw poll through the official CPAC App on

their mobile devices. In addition, a booth with six straw poll stations was

available to participants at the event.

Each attendee was assigned a unique, five digit PIN code with their

registration materials. Respondents were required to enter this PIN Code

to complete the straw poll, ensuring that only CPAC registrants could

participate.

N=3007 straw poll participants

2015 CPAC Straw Poll: Results & Analysis 2

45%

8%

4%

42%

Type of CPAC registrant

INDIVIDUAL

ASSOCIATED WITH CPACPARTICIPATINGORGANIZATION

CPAC PARTICIPATINGORGANIZATION

STUDENT



63%

37%

Men Women

Age

UNDER 18 3%

18 TO 25 47%

26 TO 40 18%

41 TO 55 15%

56 TO 65 10%

OVER 65 7% CPAC attendees from all 50 states

participated in the straw poll.

52%

7% 9%

29%

3%

ECONOMIC ISSUES,LIKE JOBS AND TAXES

SOCIAL ISSUES, LIKEEDUCATION AND

HEALTHCARE

MORAL ISSUES, LIKEABORTION AND

MARRIAGE

FOREIGN POLICY ORINTERNATIONAL

ISSUES, LIKENATIONAL SECURITY

OR CONFLICTS IN THEMIDDLE EAST

DO NOT KNOW

Which of the following groups of issues are most important to you when

deciding whom to support as the Republican nominee for President in 2016?



83%

11% 3% 1% 3%

REPEALOBAMACARE

AND REPLACE ITWITH

SOMETHINGBETTER

MAKE MAJORFIXES TO

OBAMACARE

MAKE MINORFIXES TO

OBAMACARE

LEAVEOBAMACARE AS-

IS

DO NOT KNOW

Which of these approaches to the health care law do you prefer: (ROTATED TOP-TO-

BOTTOM AND BOTTOM-TO-TOP)


Thinking about illegal immigration, which of the following views is closest to your

own?

37% ILLEGAL IMMIGRANTS SHOULD BE DEPORTED BACK TO THEIR

HOME COUNTRIES AND NOT ALLOWED TO APPLY FOR U.S.

CITIZENSHIP

27% ILLEGAL IMMIGRANTS SHOULD BE ENCOURAGED TO RETURN TO

THEIR HOME COUNTRY BY ALLOWING THEM TO APPLY FOR U.S.

CITIZENSHIP WHEN THEY GET HOME

18% ILLEGAL IMMIGRANTS SHOULD BE ALLOWED TO STAY IN THE U.S.

LEGALLY AND APPLY FOR CITIZENSHIP

11% ILLEGAL IMMIGRANTS SHOULD BE ALLOWED TO STAY IN THE U.S.

LEGALLY, BUT NOT ALLOWED TO APPLY FOR CITIZENSHIP

7% DO NOT KNOW/CANNOT JUDGE

Do you agree or disagree that Congress should use its spending power to defund

Obamas executive amnesty on illegal immigration?

60%

8%

17%

7%

TOTAL AGREE TOTAL DISAGREE

TOTAL VERY/

SOMEWHAT AGREE: 77%


TOTAL VERY/

SOMEWHAT DISAGREE: 15%

5%

6%

24%

28%

37%

DO NOT KNOW/CANNOT JUDGE

LOWERING PRICES OF HOMEHEATING AND FUEL

LESS DEPENDENCY ON FOREIGN OIL

MORE DEVELOPMENT OF U.S.SOURCES

STIMULATING ECONOMIC GROWTH &JOBS IN STATES

Which of the following is the best argument for a more free-market energy policy? You may select more than

one response. (ROTATE ANSWER CHOICES)


16%

70%

12%

3%

Thinking about national security, which approach is most effective way to protect America

A STRONG INTERVENTIONIST FOREIGNPOLICY

PEACE THROUGH STRENGTH: BUILDINGA STRONG MILITARY THAT IS USEDSPARINGLY WHEN U.S. INTERESTS AREAT STAKE

SELECTIVE DISENGAGEMENT FROMWORLD AFFAIRS



Do you support or oppose the collection of phone data on U.S. citizens by the National

Security Agency for the purpose of preventing terrorist attacks and tracking those who

may have links to terrorism?

10% 21%

22%

44%

TOTAL SUPPORT TOTAL OPPOSE

TOTAL VERY/

SOMEWHAT SUPPORT: 32%


TOTAL VERY/

SOMEWHAT OPPOSE: 65%

41%

26% 27%

7%

MARIJUANA SHOULD BELEGALIZED FOR

RECREATIONAL ANDMEDICAL USE AND

TAXED

MARIJUANA SHOULD BELEGALIZED ONLY FORMEDICAL PURPOSES

WHEN PRESCRIBED BYA DOCTOR

MARIJUANA SHOULDREMAIN ILLEGAL

DO NOT KNOW


Which of the following statements most closely reflects

your view on the legalization of marijuana?


2-Point Abortion ID 6-Point Abortion ID

Do you consider yourself

(ROTATED) pro-life or

pro-choice on the issue

of abortion?

Which of the following statements best describes your own position on the issue

of abortion? (ROTATED TOP-TO-BOTTOM AND

BOTTOM-TO-TOP)

74% PRO-LIFE 66% TOTAL PRO-LIFE (NET)

20% ABORTION SHOULD BE PROHIBITED IN ALL CIRCUMSTANCES

18% ABORTION SHOULD BE LEGAL ONLY TO SAVE LIFE OF THE MOTHER

30% ABORTION SHOULD ONLY BE LEGAL IN CASES OF RAPE, INCEST OR

TO SAVE THE LIFE OF THE MOTHER

18% PRO-CHOICE 25% TOTAL PRO-CHOICE (NET)

15% ABORTION SHOULD BE LEGAL FOR ANY REASON, BUT NOT AFTER

THE FIRST THREE MONTHS OF PREGNANCY

6% ABORTION SHOULD BE LEGAL FOR ANY REASON, BUT NOT AFTER

THE FIRST SIX MONTHS OF PREGNANCY

4% ABORTION SHOULD BE ALLOWED AT ANY TIME DURING A WOMANS

PREGNANCY AND FOR ANY REASON

17%

5%

11%

39%

12%

2%

11%

APPEAL TO INDEPENDENT VOTERS

PREVIOUS EXPERIENCE IN ELECTED OFFICE

PREVIOUS EXECUTIVE EXPERIENCE

SOLID CONSERVATIVE RECORD

STRONG COMMUNICATION SKILLS

ABILITY TO RAISE MONEY

ABILITY TO WIN STATES OBAMA WON

Which of the following is the most important quality for a Republican presidential candidate to possess


40%

18%

35% 37%

31% 32%

EXPANDINGMEDICAID UNDER

OBAMACARE

SUPPORTING GAYMARRIAGE

SUPPORTINGIMMIGRATIONREFORM THAT

INCLUDES AMNESTY

SUPPORTINGCOMMON CORE

EDUCATIONSTANDARDS

BEING PRO-CHOICE SUPPORTING AFOREIGN POLICY

THAT DISENGAGESFROM WORLD

CONFLICT

Thinking about the 2016 Republican field, which of the following stances do

you consider a deal-breaker meaning, you would not vote for a candidate

who holds that position. (ACCEPTED MULTIPLE RESPONSES)


58% 33%

10%

Which of the following best describes your view toward Common Core, a federal education initiative that sets national standards for what students in

grades K through 12 should know in math and English?

I WOULD NEVER VOTE FOR A REPUBLICANNOMINEE THAT SUPPORTS COMMON CORE

I MIGHT VOTE FOR A REPUBLICANNOMINEE THAT SUPPORTS COMMONCORE, DEPENDING ON THEIR POSITIONSTOWARD OTHER ISSUES



1. Hiring staff beyond their normal operations.

2. Telling donors, supporters or media that they are seriously

considering a presidential run.

3. Accepting invitations to purely presidential forums in early

primary states (ex. Iowa Freedom Summit)


1%

1%

1%

2%

3%

4%

4%

4%

8%

11%

12%

21%

26%

SARAH PALIN

RICK PERRY

BOBBY JINDAL

CHRIS CHRISTIE

CARLY FIORINA

MARCO RUBIO

RICK SANTORUM

DONALD TRUMP

JEB BUSH

BEN CARSON

TED CRUZ

SCOTT WALKER

RAND PAUL

Right now, who is your first choice for the Republican nominee for President in 2016?


NOTE: Candidates receiving

3%

3%

3%

5%

4%

4%

5%

7%

11%

12%

16%

19%

BOBBY JINDAL

CHRIS CHRISTIE

RICK PERRY

CARLY FIORINA

RICK SANTORUM

DONALD TRUMP

JEB BUSH

MARCO RUBIO

BEN CARSON

TED CRUZ

RAND PAUL

SCOTT WALKER

And, who is your SECOND choice for the Republican Presidential nomination in 2016?

NOTE: Candidates receiving

FIRST BALLOT SECOND BALLOT COMBO BALLOT

RAND PAUL 26% 16% 42%

SCOTT WALKER 21% 19% 40%

TED CRUZ 12% 12% 24%

BEN CARSON 11% 11% 22%

JEB BUSH 8% 5% 13%

MARCO RUBIO 4% 7% 11%

DONALD TRUMP 4% 4% 8%

RICK SANTORUM 4% 4% 8%

CARLY FIORINA 3% 5% 8%

CHRIS CHRISTIE 2% 3% 5%

RICK PERRY 1% 3% 5%

BOBBY JINDAL 1% 3% 4%


CPAC Straw Poll - Results and Analysis - FINAL

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