COVID 19 Impact on European Aviation...COVID 19 Impact on European Aviation HEADLINES: 8,994 flights...
Transcript of COVID 19 Impact on European Aviation...COVID 19 Impact on European Aviation HEADLINES: 8,994 flights...
-
COVID 19 Impact on European Aviation
HEADLINES:
8,994 flights on 10 February or just 35% of 2019 levels.
7-day rolling average was -67% of 2019 and February traffic is still slowly declining.
Cargo increasing (+13% Vs 2019) with 4 freight aircraft operators in the top 20.
Domestic traffic vs 2019: Intra-Europe (-68%), China (-41%), US (-45%).
First B737 MAX operation yesterday in Europe since October (TUI flight from/to Zaventem for ‘flight readiness’).
Traffic Situation & Airlines Recovery Over the first 10 days of February, traffic is -66% compared to the same days in 2019. This is slightly above
the latest EUROCONTROL traffic scenarios dated 28 Jan 2021. However, February traffic is still slowly declining. Aircraft Operators:
Yesterday, British Airways was ranked 16th (with 91 flights, +8%), Ryanair was 19th (80 flights, +13%), easyJet was 52nd (51 flights, +38%) and Wizz Air was 37th (44 flights, +76%).
For States, France had the highest number of dep/arr flights yesterday (1,491 flights, +3% over 2 weeks) followed by Germany (1,336, +0%), Turkey (1,100, +7%), the UK (926, +8%), Spain (910, -2%), Norway (766, -2%), Italy (620, -5%) and the Netherlands (469, +1%).
Compared to 2019, Norway was at -47% (in terms of dep/arr flights), Norway (-48%), France (-60%), the Netherlands (-69%), Spain (-73%), Germany (-75%), Italy (-78%) and the UK (-82%).
Market segments: all-cargo is the only segment consistently growing since beginning of January reaching +13% vs 2019, Business Aviation is at -30%, Charter at -7%, Traditional at -72% and Low-Cost at -87%.
Traffic Flows & Country Pairs The intra-Europe flow is the main flow with 6,439 flights on 10 Feb (+2% over 2 weeks). Intra-Europe flights
are at -68% compared to 2019 while all other flows are at -55%.
Top traffic flows with Europe are with “Middle-East” (485 flights, -2%) followed by “Asia/Pacific” (428 flights, +16%), “North-Atlantic” (405 flights, +12%), “Other Europe” (266 flights, +16%).
Yesterday, the highest domestic flows were within France (735 flights, +10% over 2 weeks), Norway (629, -4%), Turkey (526, +6%), Spain (436, -4%), Germany (295, +24%), UK (294, +16%) and Italy (249, -8%).
The biggest decreases over 2 weeks were recorded for Italy (-8%) and Spain (-4%). The highest increases were for Germany (+24%) and UK (+16%), Greece (+11%), France (+10%) and Turkey (+4%).
Airports İGA Istanbul Airport was the busiest airport on 10 February with 494 Dep/Arr flights (+5% over 2 weeks)
followed by Paris CDG (442, +1%), Amsterdam (386, -1%), Frankfurt (373, +1%), Madrid (351, -6%), Istanbul/Sabiha (336, +5%), London/Heathrow (279, +4%), Cologne/Bonn (208, +5%) and Oslo (185, -10%).
Most of the 10 top airports showed an increase over 2 weeks like İGA Istanbul Airport (+5%), Istanbul/Sabiha (+5%), Cologne (+5%) and London/Heathrow (+4%). Only Olso (-10%) and Madrid (-6%) showed a decrease.
Economics Continuous increase of Fuel price since October 2020 (reaching 152 cts/gal on 5 February).
Thursday, 11 February 2021
-
COVID 19 Impact on European Aviation
1. Traffic Situation and Airlines Recovery
The network recorded 8,994 flights on Wednesday 10 February (+3% with +290 flights compared to Wednesday 27 January). This is 35% of 2019 traffic levels. Based on a 7-day moving average, the decrease is -67.0% compared to 2019.
-1
4,1
%
-51
,2%
-79
,4%
-85
,7%
-86
,9%
-87
,1%
-86
,0%
-84
,5%
-84
,8%
-83
,8%
-82
,0%
-82
,3%
-81
,0%
-79
,5%
-76
,9%
-74
,2% -6
4,6
%
-63
,3%
-60
,2%
-58
,8%
-58
,0%
-52
,1%
-53
,7%
-52
,9%
-53
,2%
-54
,4%
-54
,5%
-55
,8%
-56
,9%
-54
,8%
-56
,7%
-58
,1%
-60
,1%
-56
,6%
-57
,8%
-62
,4%
-61
,8%
-63
,2%
-63
,8%
-63
,2%
-59
,1%
-11
,4%
-46
,8%
-61
,9%
-64
,4%
-64
,0%
-66
,0%
-65
,7%
-65
,3%
8.994
25.946
0
5.000
10.000
15.000
20.000
25.000
30.000
35.000
40.000
11 M
ar 2
020
18 M
ar 2
020
25 M
ar 2
020
01 A
pr
20
20
08 A
pr
20
20
15 A
pr
20
20
22 A
pr
20
20
29 A
pr
20
20
06 M
ay 2
020
13 M
ay 2
020
20 M
ay 2
020
27 M
ay 2
020
03 J
un
202
0
10 J
un
202
0
17 J
un
202
0
24 J
un
202
0
01 J
ul 2
020
08 J
ul 2
020
15 J
ul 2
020
22 J
ul 2
020
29 J
ul 2
020
05 A
ug
202
0
12 A
ug
202
0
19 A
ug
202
0
26 A
ug
202
0
02 S
ep 2
020
09 S
ep 2
020
16 S
ep 2
020
23 S
ep 2
020
30 S
ep 2
020
07 O
ct 2
020
14 O
ct 2
020
21 O
ct 2
020
28 O
ct 2
020
04 N
ov
202
0
11 N
ov
202
0
18 N
ov
202
0
25 N
ov
202
0
02 D
ec
20
20
09 D
ec
20
20
16 D
ec
20
20
23 D
ec
20
20
30 D
ec
20
20
06 J
an 2
021
13 J
an 2
021
20 J
an 2
021
27 J
an 2
021
03 F
eb 2
021
10 F
eb 2
021
EUROCONTROL NetworkDaily Variation (Flights) compared with equivalent days in 2019
% vs. 2019 (Daily) Flights Flights 2019 (Reference) % vs. 2019 (7-day moving average)
-67,0%
38
40
43
04
47
99
48
08
52
55 61
88
68
69 8
12
2 92
82
12
58
4
13
20
6 14
41
4
14
87
6 16
20
0
16
68
8
16
90
7
17
12
8
17
23
1
16
48
5
16
07
0
15
51
1
15
20
7
14
27
8
14
04
2
13
72
9
13
33
7
12
62
4
10
95
6
10
12
4
95
01
93
15
95
78 10
40
7
12
83
7
93
45
95
40
97
28
90
13
86
96
87
59
85
80
-8
7,8
%
-86
,4%
-84
,8%
-85
,4%
-84
,2%
-81
,9%
-80
,4%
-76
,8%
-73
,9%
-64
,5%
-62
,6%
-59
,0%
-57
,4% -53
,2%
-51
,8%
-51
,4%
-51
,5%
-51
,3%
-52
,4%
-53
,7%
-54
,8%
-54
,8%
-55
,9%
-56
,2%
-56
,9%
-55
,8%
-54
,8%
-59
,0%
-62
,2%
-64
,1%
-64
,9%
-63
,5%
-61
,1%
-47
,9%
-60
,9%
-63
,3%
-61
,4%
-64
,8%
-65
,8%
-65
,8%
-67
,0%
-95%
-85%
-75%
-65%
-55%
-45%
-35%
-25%
0
2.000
4.000
6.000
8.000
10.000
12.000
14.000
16.000
18.000
06 M
ay 2
020
13 M
ay 2
020
20 M
ay 2
020
27 M
ay 2
020
03 J
un
202
0
10 J
un
202
0
17 J
un
202
0
24 J
un
202
0
01 J
ul 2
020
08 J
ul 2
020
15 J
ul 2
020
22 J
ul 2
020
29 J
ul 2
020
05 A
ug
202
0
12 A
ug
202
0
19 A
ug
202
0
26 A
ug
202
0
02 S
ep 2
020
09 S
ep 2
020
16 S
ep 2
020
23 S
ep 2
020
30 S
ep 2
020
07 O
ct 2
020
14 O
ct 2
020
21 O
ct 2
020
28 O
ct 2
020
04 N
ov
202
0
11 N
ov
202
0
18 N
ov
202
0
25 N
ov
202
0
02 D
ec
20
20
09 D
ec
20
20
16 D
ec
20
20
23 D
ec
20
20
30 D
ec
20
20
06 J
an 2
021
13 J
an 2
021
20 J
an 2
021
27 J
an 2
021
03 F
eb 2
021
10 F
eb 2
021
Traffic variation compared with 2019at Network Manager Area level
7-day moving avg of flights 7-day moving avg variation vs. 2019
-
COVID 19 Impact on European Aviation
Overall situation against EUROCONTROL traffic scenarios:
Over the first 10 days of February, traffic is -66% compared to the same days in 2019.
This is slightly above the latest EUROCONTROL traffic scenarios published on 28 January 2021. However, February traffic is still slowly declining.
European Airlines:
Turkish Airlines was the airline with the highest number of flights (584 flights) on Wednesday 10 February, increasing by +6% compared to Wednesday 27 January (+32 flights), followed by Air France (370 flights, -2%, -7 flights), Widerøe (316, +3%, +9), Pegasus (243, -3%, -7), DHL Express (237, -17%, -47), KLM (211, -1%, -3), Lufthansa (174, -4%, -8), Qatar (171, +4%, +7), TNT International (120, +17%, +17), Iberia (114, -20%, -29), Alitalia (110, +2%, +2), SAS (109, -28%, -42) and Bristow Norway (108, +1%, +1).
Yesterday, British Airways was ranked 16th (with 91 flights, +8%), Ryanair was 19th (80 flights, +13%), easyJet was 52nd (51 flights, +38%) and Wizz Air was 37th (44 flights, +76%).
Compared to two weeks ago, the airlines which decreased the most their capacity, were DHL express (-47 flights, -17%), SAS (-42, -28%) and Iberia (-29, -20%). Airlines which increased the most were Turkish Airlines (+32, +6%), Wizz Air (+19, +76%), LOT (+17, +31%), TNT International (+17, +15%), easyJet (+14, +38%) and Loganair (+13, +20%).
-64%
-72% -72%-68%
-61%
-55%
-64%
-74%-77% -78%
-75%-70%
0% 1%
-41%
-88% -86%
-79%
-61%
-51%
-54% -56%
-62% -60%
-64%
-66%
-100%
-90%
-80%
-70%
-60%
-50%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20 Aug-20 Sep-20 Oct-20 Nov-20 Dec-20 Jan-21 Feb-21 Mar-21 Apr-21 May-21 Jun-21
EUROCONTROL Traffic ScenariosPublished on 28 January 2021 (base year 2019)
Scenario A: Partial improvement during Q2 (28/01/2021) Scenario B: No improvement during Q2 (28/01/2021) Actual
1-10 Feb
-
COVID 19 Impact on European Aviation
Compared to 2019, Widerøe operated at -11% on Wednesday 10 February followed by Pegasus (-39%), Turkish Airlines (-52%), Air Nostrum (-57%), Air France (-65%), KLM (-67%), Iberia (-67%), Lufthansa (-88%), British Airways (-89%), Ryanair (-95%) and easyJet (-96%).
News from key European airlines:
Austrian Airlines reports that 18 Q400s, 3 B767s and 7 A319s will have been removed from its fleet by early 2022.
Finnair reports passenger numbers down 92.4% (year-on-year) in January.
Jet2.com extends its suspension of services/holidays to 14 April. Lufthansa Group places an additional €1.6 billion bond.
SAS reports passenger numbers down 85.2% (year-on-year) in January. TAP Air Portugal suspends operations to Brazil until 17 Feb; reaches agreement with all its unions
for emergency collective agreements.
58
4
37
0
31
6
24
3
23
7
21
1
17
4
17
1
12
0
11
4
11
0
10
9
10
8
10
2
92
91
89
89
80
79
78
77
72
64
64
63
63
61
59 57 52 51 48 47 46 44 44 42 42 40 40 39
+6%
-2%
+3%
-3%
-17
%
-1%
-4%
+4%
+17
%
-20
%
+2%
-28
%
+1%
-2%
-1%
+8%
+2%
-4%
+13
%
+20
%
-3%
+1%
+31
%
+16
%
+14
%
-9%
+0%
+0%
+69
%
-8%
-5%
+38
%
+9%
+7%
+24
%
+19
%
+76
%
+17
%
-14
%
+0%
-7%
+11
%
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
TUR
KIS
H A
IRLI
NES
AIR
FR
AN
CE
WID
ERO
E
PEG
ASU
S H
AV
A T
ASI
.
DH
L EX
PR
ESS
KLM
RO
YA
L D
UTC
H A
IRL
DEU
TSC
HE
LUFT
HA
NSA
QA
TAR
AIR
WA
YS
CO
MP
.
TNT
INTE
RN
ATI
ON
AL
IBER
IA
ALI
TALI
A
SCA
ND
INA
VIA
N A
IRLI
NES
…
BR
ISTO
W N
OR
WA
Y A
S
EMIR
ATE
S
AIR
NO
STR
UM
BR
ITIS
H A
IRW
AY
S
FED
ERA
L EX
PR
ESS
CO
RP
RO
YA
L A
IR M
AR
OC
RY
AN
AIR
LOG
AN
AIR
SWIF
T A
IR S
.A.
FIN
NA
IR O
/Y
LOT-
PO
LISH
AIR
LIN
ES
SKY
EX
PR
ESS
S.A
.
BIN
TER
CA
NA
RIA
S
AIR
EU
RO
PA
AU
STR
IAN
AIR
LIN
ES
UN
ITED
PA
RC
EL S
VC
CO
MM
AN
DEM
ENT…
OLY
MP
IC
AIR
CO
NTR
AC
TOR
S…
EASY
JET
ETH
IOP
IAN
AIR
LIN
ES
CH
C H
ELIK
OP
TER
SER
VIC
E A
S
SUN
EXP
RES
S A
IRLI
NES
ATL
AN
TIC
AIR
LIN
ES
WIZ
Z A
IR
AIR
CH
INA
NET
JETS
CA
NA
RIA
S A
IRLI
NES
EUR
OW
ING
S A
G
ETIH
AD
Aircraft operatorsTraffic on Wed 10-02-2021 and evolution compared to Wed 27-01-2021
-11
%
-39
%
-52
%
-57
%
-65
%
-67
%
-67
%
-76
%
-78
%
-79
%
-79
%
-80
%
-82
%
-87
%
-88
%
-89
%
-89
%
-90
%
-91
%
-91
%
-91
%
-94
%
-94
%
-94
%
-95
%
-96
%
-10
0%
-100%
-90%
-80%
-70%
-60%
-50%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
Wid
ero
e
Pe
gasu
s H
ava
Tas
i.
Turk
ish
Air
lines
Air
No
stru
m
Air
Fra
nce
KLM
Ro
yal D
utc
h A
irl
Iber
ia
Air
Eu
rop
a
Fin
nai
r O
/Y
Alit
alia
Lot-
Po
lish
Air
line
s
Au
stri
an A
irlin
es
TUI J
et
Scan
din
avia
n A
irl.
Sys
t.
De
uts
che
Luft
han
sa
El A
l-Is
rael
Air
l.
Bri
tish
Air
way
s
Wiz
z A
ir
Ae
r Li
ngu
s Te
ora
nta
Vu
elin
g A
irlin
es S
a
TAP
/Air
Po
rtu
gal
Swis
s In
tern
atio
nal
Euro
win
gs A
g
No
rweg
ian
Air
Sh
utt
le
Rya
nai
r
easy
Jet
Bru
sse
ls A
irlin
es
Aircraft Operators in EUROCONTROL Network(compared with equivalent days in 2019)
Daily Variation (IFR Flights) - Wed 10 Feb 2021
-
COVID 19 Impact on European Aviation
TUI reports cash/cash equivalents of €2.1 billion; summer 2021 capacity 80% of 2019 level and prices 20% up.
TUI Fly Belgium: First flight of a B737 MAX yesterday in Europe since October (from/to Zaventem).
Wizz Air reports passenger numbers down 82% in January (year-on-year).
States
The top 8 busiest states1 remained broadly stable. France was the State with the highest number of dep/arr flights with 1,491 flights on Wednesday 10 February (+3% over 2 weeks) followed by Germany (1,336, +0%), Turkey (1,100, +7%), the UK (926, +8%), Spain (910, -2%), Norway (766, -2%), Italy (620, -5%) and the Netherlands (469, +1%).
Compared to 2019, Departure/Arrival traffic on Wednesday 10 February for the top 8 States was: Turkey (-47%), Norway (-48%), France (-60%), the Netherlands (-69%), Spain (-73%), Germany (-75%), Italy (-78%) and the UK (-82%). The situation in Belgium is due to a National General Strike on 13 February 2019.
1 excluding overflights.
14
91
13
36
11
00
92
6
91
0
76
6
62
0
46
9
36
1
28
3
26
0
25
5
23
0
18
8
18
3
17
7
16
1
15
7
15
2
150 116 108 99 76 74 72 68 53 45 44 40 39 36 36 28 26 25 23 19 18 14
+3%
+0%
+7%
+8%
-2%
-2%
-5%
+1%
+10
%
+2%
+7%
-6%
+6%
-3%
-6%
-2%
+26
%
-3%
-1%
-20
%
-1%
+15
%
+29
%
+27
%
-13
%
+24
%
-4%
-13
%
+25
%
-24
%
+14
%
-5%
+3%
+10
0%
+87
%
+63
%
+14
%
-32
%
+12
%
-28
%
+8%
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
Fran
ce
Ge
rman
y
Turk
ey
Un
ite
d K
ingd
om
Spai
n
No
rway
Ital
y
Ne
ther
lan
ds
Be
lgiu
m
Swed
en
Gre
ece
Swit
zerl
and
Po
lan
d
Au
stri
a
Mo
rocc
o
Fin
lan
d
Ro
man
ia
Ukr
ain
e
De
nm
ark
Po
rtu
gal
Cze
ch R
ep
ub
lic
Irel
and
Isra
el
Bu
lgar
ia
Hu
nga
ry
Serb
ia &
Mo
nte
neg
ro
Luxe
mb
ou
rg
Cyp
rus
Lith
uan
ia
Cro
atia
Mal
ta
Esto
nia
Latv
ia
Slo
vaki
a
Arm
en
ia
Ge
org
ia
Alb
ania
Slo
ven
ia
No
rth
Mac
edo
nia
Bo
snia
-Her
zego
vin
a
Mo
ldo
va
States (Dep/Arr flights)Traffic on Wed 10-02-2021 and evolution compared to Wed 27-01-2021
25
0%
-40
%
-42
%
-47
%
-47
%
-48
%
-50
%
-51
%
-54
%
-57
%
-60
%
-60
%
-61
%
-61
%
-64
%
-64
%
-65
%
-65
%
-67
%
-68
%
-69
%
-69
%
-69
%
-71
%
-73
%
-73
%
-74
%
-75
%
-75
%
-75
%
-76
%
-77
%
-77
%
-78
%
-80
%
-80
%
-81
%
-81
%
-82
%
-82
%
-83
%
-100%
-80%
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
Be
lgiu
m
Bo
snia
-Her
zego
vin
a
Arm
en
ia
Gre
ece
Turk
ey
No
rway
No
rth
Mac
edo
nia
Bu
lgar
ia
Alb
ania
Slo
vaki
a
Mo
rocc
o
Fran
ce
Ukr
ain
e
Serb
ia &
Mo
nte
neg
ro
Ro
man
ia
Luxe
mb
ou
rg
Cyp
rus
Esto
nia
Cro
atia
Cze
ch R
ep
ub
lic
Lith
uan
ia
Mal
ta
Ne
ther
lan
ds
Fin
lan
d
Ge
org
ia
Spai
n
Isra
el
Hu
nga
ry
Slo
ven
ia
Ge
rman
y
Po
lan
d
Swed
en
Mo
ldo
va
Ital
y
Swit
zerl
and
Au
stri
a
Po
rtu
gal
Latv
ia
Un
ite
d K
ingd
om
De
nm
ark
Irel
and
States in EUROCONTROL Network(compared with equivalent days in 2019)
Daily Variation (IFR Dep/Arr Flights) - Wed 10 Feb 2021
-
COVID 19 Impact on European Aviation
News from States and industry:
The Irish Strategic Investment Fund released details of its investments, including a 3 year €150 million loan to Aer Lingus and a €40 million loan to the Dublin Airport Authority.
Market Segments:
After the blip over Christmas2 break, and at the end of the first week in February: o All-cargo, is the only segment consistently growing, posting a +13% increase at the (vs 2019).
See for more analysis on cargo traffic in the final section. o Charter and Business Aviation have stabilised, respectively, -7% and -30% (vs 2019). o Traditional and Low-Cost, while accounting the majority of flights (respectively 49% and 26%
of all flights in 2020), remain severely depressed. Recent days showed they are down to -72% and -87% respectively (vs 2019). The reinstated travel restrictions across Europe from late January forced the airlines to reduce their capacities to a minimum level of service.
2 All segments show an artificial blip on 23 Dec 2020 as comparable day was Christmas day in 2019.
-
COVID 19 Impact on European Aviation
2. Traffic Flows & Country Pairs
The main traffic flow is the intra-Europe flow with 6,439 flights on Wednesday 10 February, which is increasing (+2%) over 2 weeks.
The top traffic flows with Europe were with “Middle-East” (485 flights, -2%) followed by “Asia/Pacific” (428 flights, +16%), “North-Atlantic” (405 flights, +12%), “Other Europe” (266 flights, +16%) and “North-Africa” (253 flights, -4%).
Intra-Europe flights are at -68% compared to 2019 while intercontinental flows are at -55%.
REGION 27-01-2021 10-02-2021 % vs. 2019
Intra-Europe 6.290 6.439 +2% -68%
EuropeAsia/Pacific 368 428 +16% -39%
EuropeMid-Atlantic 80 77 -4% -53%
EuropeMiddle-East 496 485 -2% -59%
EuropeNorth Atlantic 361 405 +12% -50%
EuropeNorth-Africa 263 253 -4% -67%
EuropeOther Europe 229 266 +16% -61%
EuropeSouth-Atlantic 63 54 -14% -68%
EuropeSouthern Africa 166 172 +4% -42%
Non Intra-Europe 2.026 2.140 +6% -55%
-68%
-50%
-53%
-68%
-42%
-59%
-39%
-61%
-67%
Traffic evolution between worldwide Regions10-02-2021 vs. 13-02-2019
ECAC = 44 European States
-
COVID 19 Impact on European Aviation
Domestic flows are the most active flows (i.e. 9 of the top 10 flows are domestic). The highest domestic flows were within France (735 flights, +10% over 2 weeks), Norway (629, -4%), Turkey (526, +6%), Spain (436, -4%), Germany (295, +24%), UK (294, +16%), Italy (249, -8%), Greece (165, +11%) and Sweden (141, -2%). The biggest decreases over 2 weeks were recorded for Italy (-8%) and Spain (-4%). The highest increases were for Germany (+24%) and UK (+16%), Greece (+11%), France (+10%) and Turkey (+4%).
The busiest non-domestic flows were UK-US (92 flights), Germany-US (80 flights), France-Germany (79 flights) and Germany-Spain (69 flights).
Compared to 2019, the largest domestic flows on Wednesday 3 February were at -40% for France, -30% for Norway, -44% for Turkey, -60% for Spain, -70% for the UK, -75% for Germany, -64% for Italy and -25% for Greece.
73
5
62
9
52
6
43
6
29
5
29
4
24
9
16
5
14
1
92
82
80
79
69
68
64
64
63
61
60
58
54
53
50
49
49
45
44
43
41
40
39
39 38 37 37 34 33 33 33
+10
%
-4%
+6%
-4%
+24
%
+16
%
-8%
+11
%
-2%
+6%
+8%
+11
%
-26
%
-17
%
-19
%
+11
3%
-2%
-7%
+17
%
+22
%
-3%
-22
%
+2%
+67
%
+23
%
+7%
-12
%
+26
%
+13
%
+5%
+18
%
-7%
+0%
+36
%
+16
%
+42
%
+10
%
-27
%
+18
%
-3%
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
Fran
ce <
-> F
ran
ce
No
rway
<->
No
rway
Turk
ey <
-> T
urk
ey
Spai
n <
-> S
pai
n
Ger
man
y G
erm
any
Un
ited
Kin
gdo
m <
-> U
nit
ed K
ingd
om
Ital
y It
aly
Gre
ece
<->
Gre
ece
Swed
en <
-> S
wed
en
Un
ited
Kin
gdo
m <
-> U
nit
ed S
tate
s
Fin
lan
d <
-> F
inla
nd
Ger
man
y U
nit
ed S
tate
s
Fran
ce <
-> G
erm
any
Ger
man
y Sp
ain
Ger
man
y U
nit
ed K
ingd
om
Ro
man
ia <
-> R
om
ania
Ger
man
y It
aly
Po
rtu
gal <
-> P
ort
uga
l
Mo
rocc
o <
-> M
oro
cco
Ru
ssia
n F
eder
atio
n <
-> T
urk
ey
Fran
ce <
-> S
pai
n
Po
lan
d <
-> P
ola
nd
Fran
ce <
-> U
nit
ed K
ingd
om
Den
mar
k D
enm
ark
Ge
rman
y Tu
rkey
Fran
ce <
-> It
aly
Fran
ce <
-> M
oro
cco
Ne
ther
lan
ds
Net
her
lan
ds
Au
stri
a G
erm
any
Ne
ther
lan
ds
Un
ited
Sta
tes
Bel
giu
m <
-> G
erm
any
Fran
ce <
-> S
wit
zerl
and
Ital
y Sp
ain
Ch
ina
Ger
man
y
Ru
ssia
n F
eder
atio
n <
-> R
uss
ian
…
Fran
ce <
-> U
nit
ed S
tate
s
Bel
giu
m <
-> U
nit
ed K
ingd
om
Ger
man
y P
ola
nd
Ger
man
y R
uss
ian
Fed
erat
ion
Ger
man
y N
eth
erla
nd
s
Top 40 Country-Pairs ( Dep/Arr flights).Traffic on Wed 10-02-2021 and evolution compared to Wed 27-01-2021
73
5
62
9
52
6
43
6
29
5
29
4
24
9
16
5
14
1
92
82
80
79
69
68
64
64
63
61
60
58
54
53
50
49
49
45
44
43
41
40
39
39 38 37 37 34 33 33 33
-39
%
-30
%
-43
%
-61
%
-74
%
-73
%
-67
%
-13
%
-70
%
-64
%
-54
%
-37
%
-79
%
-82
%
-86
%
-14
%
-82
%
-55
%
-30
%
+2%
-75
%
-48
%
-83
%
-57
%
-66
%
-81
%
-62
%
-35
%
-84
%
-18
%
+15
0%
-71
%
-83
%
+6%
+6%
-46
%
+24
0%
-81
%
-66
%
-79
%
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
Fran
ce <
-> F
ran
ce
No
rway
<->
No
rway
Turk
ey <
-> T
urk
ey
Spai
n <
-> S
pai
n
Ger
man
y G
erm
any
Un
ited
Kin
gdo
m <
-> U
nit
ed K
ingd
om
Ital
y It
aly
Gre
ece
<->
Gre
ece
Swed
en <
-> S
wed
en
Un
ited
Kin
gdo
m <
-> U
nit
ed S
tate
s
Fin
lan
d <
-> F
inla
nd
Ger
man
y U
nit
ed S
tate
s
Fran
ce <
-> G
erm
any
Ger
man
y Sp
ain
Ger
man
y U
nit
ed K
ingd
om
Ro
man
ia <
-> R
om
ania
Ger
man
y It
aly
Po
rtu
gal <
-> P
ort
uga
l
Mo
rocc
o <
-> M
oro
cco
Ru
ssia
n F
eder
atio
n <
-> T
urk
ey
Fran
ce <
-> S
pai
n
Po
lan
d <
-> P
ola
nd
Fran
ce <
-> U
nit
ed K
ingd
om
Den
mar
k D
enm
ark
Ge
rman
y Tu
rkey
Fran
ce <
-> It
aly
Fran
ce <
-> M
oro
cco
Ne
ther
lan
ds
Net
her
lan
ds
Au
stri
a G
erm
any
Ne
ther
lan
ds
Un
ited
Sta
tes
Bel
giu
m <
-> G
erm
any
Fran
ce <
-> S
wit
zerl
and
Ital
y Sp
ain
Ch
ina
Ger
man
y
Ru
ssia
n F
eder
atio
n <
-> R
uss
ian
…
Fran
ce <
-> U
nit
ed S
tate
s
Bel
giu
m <
-> U
nit
ed K
ingd
om
Ger
man
y P
ola
nd
Ger
man
y R
uss
ian
Fed
erat
ion
Ge
rman
y N
eth
erla
nd
s
Top 40 Country-Pairs ( Dep/Arr flights).Traffic on Wed 10-02-2021 and evolution compared to Wed 13-02-2019
-
COVID 19 Impact on European Aviation
3. Situation outside Europe
United-States (A4A members): o Peak in COVID-19 cases was reached early January in the US but declined steadily since
(number of new cases). US domestic and International traffic recorded (each) -45% (vs 2019) on 9 February, stable on previous week.
o On 9 February, U.S. airlines passenger volumes were 66% below 2019 levels with Domestic down 65% and International down 75%.
o The domestic U.S. Load Factor averaged 48% in most recent week, versus 77% a year earlier. o US airlines3 have recorded US$ 36.3B losses over the first nine months of 2020 (vs same period
2019).
China: o Chinese domestic flights, after the rapid decline from mid-January, have recorded a recent
blip to just below 7,000 flights on 8 Feb (-41% compared to 1 Jan 2019).
The resurgence of the virus rise led to the implementation of a series of containment measures. The start of the Chunyun4 Festival (28Jan-8Mar), usually synonymous with travel rush, explains the blip.
However, Chinese government has recently been encouraging people to stay where they work instead of going back to their hometowns for the holiday.
International flights have been stable since March although slightly decreasing with 1,241 flights (-69% compared to 1 Jan 2019). The same is true for overflights with 488 flights (-69% compared to 1 Jan 2019).
3 A4A analysis of reports by Alaska, Allegiant, American, Delta, Hawaiian, JetBlue, Southwest, Spirit and United on a consolida ted company basis for system wide operations. 4 Ahead of the Lunar New Year (12 February).
-
COVID 19 Impact on European Aviation
Middle East:
o Intra-Middle-East traffic stabilised around 1,500 daily flights, recording 1,455 flights on 8 February (-48% compared to Feb 2019). International traffic is at 1,302 flights (-57% compared to Feb 2019). Overflights are recording 366 flights (-14% compared to Feb 2019).
News for worldwide airlines:
Air Canada making further reductions in services until at least April; temporarily reducing its unionised workforce by 1,500.
Delta Air Lines extending middle seat blocking until the end of April. Singapore Airlines reports, for the 9 months to December 2020, an operating loss of US$2.2B and
net loss of US$3.6B; it increased its liquidity to US$12.7B, in part as a result of a rights issue in June of US$8.8B; reports reaching agreement with Boeing and Airbus to revise its aircraft delivery schedule.
-
COVID 19 Impact on European Aviation
4. Airport Information
İGA Istanbul Airport was the busiest airport on Wednesday 10 February with 494 Dep/Arr flights (+5% over 2 weeks) followed by Paris CDG (442, +1%), Amsterdam (386, -1%), Frankfurt (373, +1%), Madrid (351, -6%), Istanbul/Sabiha (336, +5%), London/Heathrow (279, +4%), Cologne/Bonn (208, +5%), Oslo (185, -10%) and Bergen (183, +4%).
Most of the 10 top airports showed an increase over 2 weeks like İGA Istanbul Airport (+5%), Istanbul/Sabiha (+5%), Cologne (+5%) and London/Heathrow (+4%). Only Olso (-10%) and Madrid (-6%) showed a decrease.
Compared to 2019, Paris CDG operated at -63% on Wednesday 3 February, Madrid (-69%), Amsterdam (-71%), Frankfurt (-71%), Oslo (-73%) and London Heathrow (-78%). [*Please note: İGA Istanbul Airport was not in operation in January 2019 and therefore the comparison will be meaningless until mid-April. Concerning Brussels Airport, there was only 21 flights on 13 February 2019 due to a National General Strike].
49
4
44
2
38
6
37
3
35
1
33
6
27
9
20
8
18
5
18
3
17
4
16
0
15
6
14
8
14
8
13
9
13
8
13
7
13
6
13
1
13
0
13
0
12
6
12
4
12
1
11
5
11
4
11
4
11
1
10
8
10
6
10
2
10
2
10
0
99
98
94
92
89
89
88
87
+5%
+1%
-1%
+1%
-6%
+5%
+4%
+5%
-10
%
+4%
+5%
-9%
-4%
+12
%
-31
%
-7%
-3%
+26
%
-10
%
+9%
-2%
+6%
+2%
-1%
+14
%
+15
%
-9%
-1%
+8%
-14
%
-3%
-12
%
+2%
-4%
-12
%
+17
%
-10
%
-1%
-6%
+5%
-19
%
+6%
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
IGA
Ista
nb
ul A
irp
ort
Par
is/C
har
les-
De-
Gau
lle
Am
ste
rdam
Fran
kfu
rt
Mad
rid
/Bar
ajas
Ista
nb
ul/
Sab
iha
Go
kcen
Lon
do
n/H
eath
row
Co
logn
e/B
on
n
Osl
o/G
ard
erm
oen
Be
rgen
/Fle
slan
d
Ath
ens
Par
is/O
rly
Mila
n/M
alp
ensa
Vie
nn
a
Leip
zig/
Hal
le
Bru
sse
ls
Ro
me
/Fiu
mic
ino
War
saw
/Oke
cie
Bar
celo
na
Mu
nic
h
Hel
sin
ki-V
anta
a
Par
is/L
e B
ou
rget
East
Mid
lan
ds
Lieg
e
Be
rlin
Bra
nd
enb
urg
Mar
seill
e/P
rove
nce
Sto
ckh
olm
/Arl
and
a
An
kara
-Ese
nb
oga
Las
Pal
mas
Stav
ange
r/So
la
Kyi
v -
Bo
risp
ol
Zuri
ch
Nic
e
Ge
nev
a
Lyo
n/S
arto
las
Oto
pen
i-In
tl.
Cas
abla
nca
/Mo
ham
me
d
Lon
do
n/S
tan
sted
Tou
lou
se/B
lagn
ac
Izm
ir-A
dn
an-M
end
eres
Co
pen
hag
en/K
astr
up
Ista
nb
ul/
Ata
turk
Top 40 Airports (Dep/Arr flights)Traffic on Wed 10-02-2021 and evolution compared to Wed 27-01-2021
15
47
%
56
2%
-55
%
-58
%
-65
%
-67
%
-68
%
-69
%
-69
%
-72
%
-73
%
-73
%
-74
%
-75
%
-77
%
-77
%
-77
%
-78
%
-80
%
-81
%
-81
%
-83
%
-85
%
-85
%
-86
%
-87
%
-88
%
-89
%
-90
%
-96
%
-100%
-80%
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
IGA
Ista
nb
ul A
irp
ort
Bru
sse
ls
Nic
e
Ath
ens
Par
is/C
har
les-
De-
Gau
lle
Mila
n/M
alp
ensa
Mad
rid
/Bar
ajas
Am
ste
rdam
Par
is/O
rly
Fran
kfu
rt
War
saw
/Oke
cie
Pal
ma
De
Mal
lorc
a
Osl
o/G
ard
erm
oen
Hel
sin
ki-V
anta
a
Tel A
viv/
Ben
Gu
rio
n
Lon
do
n/H
eath
row
Ge
nev
a
Vie
nn
a
Lon
do
n/S
tan
sted
Ro
me
/Fiu
mic
ino
Bar
celo
na
Sto
ckh
olm
/Arl
and
a
Du
blin
Zuri
ch
Co
pen
hag
en/K
astr
up
Lisb
on
Mu
nic
h
Man
ches
ter
Du
ssel
do
rf
Lon
do
n/G
atw
ick
Airports in EUROCONTROL Network(compared with equivalent days in 2019)
Daily Variation (IFR Dep/Arr Flights) - Wed 10 Feb 2021
-
COVID 19 Impact on European Aviation
News from European and worldwide airports:
Ankara Airport reports passenger numbers down 70.3% y-o-y in January (international -84.6%, domestic -67.4%).
Antalya Airport reports passenger numbers down 68.5% y-o-y in January (international -73.1%, domestic -65.1%).
Cape Town Airport passenger numbers down 57.4% in December and down 63.5% for 2020. Johannesburg Airport passenger numbers down 59.5% in December and down 68.4% for 2020.
Manchester Airport reports passenger numbers down 92.8% y-o-y in January (scheduled international -93.1%, domestic -88.4%, charter -96.1%).
Oslo Airport reports passenger numbers down 85.2% y-o-y in January (international -92.5%, domestic -76.4%).
Schiphol Group launching a project (with KLM) to develop a commercial plant for the production of synthetic aviation fuel.
Stockholm Arlanda Airport reports passenger numbers down 86.4% y-o-y in January (international -87.5%, domestic -82.1%)
Tel Aviv Airport reports passenger numbers down 60.6% in 2020 (domestic -55.2%, international -81.5%) and 94.4% down in January.
5. Other facts and factors:
Cargo-in-pax: with the COVID-19 outbreak, aircraft operators have been using their passenger5 aircraft fleet to supplement the continued cargo operations (“Passenger Cargo” below). This extra share increased approximately up to more than 7% in May 2020, remained around 1-2% during Q3 2020 and increased up to 3% at the end 2020. Early February 2021, passenger cargo flights share has stabilised around 2.5%.
5 These “passenger cargo” flights have been detected from field 18 of the flight plans where aircraft operator stipulated “CARGO” explicitly.
-
COVID 19 Impact on European Aviation
Vaccination: inoculations against COVID-19 have started at the end of 2020 as shown with the daily number of COVID-19 vaccination doses administered per 100 people graph below. Except for Israel and UK, most of the States reported fewer than 10% of people have received even one dose.
Notes: rolling seven-day average shown for EUROCONTROL Member States. This is counted as a single dose, and may not equal the total number of people vaccinated, depending on the specific dose regime (e.g. people receive multiple doses).
Ticket prices: Since the start of the COVID-19 outbreak, airlines tended to compensate for the strong decline in travel demand and offered steep discounts during the summer resulting in ticket prices6 in Europe to decrease by 10.2% in December 2020 (compared with the same period in 2019). These were well below the trend (12-month trailing average) which stands at -5% at the end of 2020.
6 Explanatory note
https://www.eurocontrol.int/sites/default/files/2019-11/explanation-im-deflateds.pdf
-
COVID 19 Impact on European Aviation
Fuel Price: Jet fuel prices have recorded a recent increase early February 2021, reaching 152 cts/gal on 5 February.
To further assist you in your analysis, EUROCONTROL provides the following additional information on a
daily basis (daily updates at approximately 7:00 CET for the first item and 12:00 CET for the second) and
every Friday for the last item:
1. EUROCONTROL Daily Traffic Variation dashboard: www.eurocontrol.int/Economics/DailyTrafficVariation (or via the COVID-19 button on the top of our homepage www.eurocontrol.int)
This dashboard provides traffic for Day+1 for all European States; for the largest airports; for each Area Control Centre (ACC); and for the largest airline operators.
2. COVID Related-NOTAMS with Network Impact (i.e. summary of airspace restrictions): https://www.public.nm.eurocontrol.int/PUBPORTAL/gateway/spec/index.html
The Network Operations Portal (NOP) under “Latest News” is updated daily with a summary table of the most significant COVID-19 NOTAMs applicable at 12.00 UTC.
3. NOP Recovery Plan: https://www.public.nm.eurocontrol.int/PUBPORTAL/gateway/spec/index.html
This report, updated every Friday, is a special version of the Network operation Plan supporting aviation response to the COVID-19 Crisis. It is developed in cooperation with the operational stakeholders ensuring a rolling outlook.
http://www.eurocontrol.int/Economics/DailyTrafficVariationhttp://www.eurocontrol.int/https://www.public.nm.eurocontrol.int/PUBPORTAL/gateway/spec/index.htmlhttps://www.public.nm.eurocontrol.int/PUBPORTAL/gateway/spec/index.html