cost of capital

39
  Kevin Campbell, University o f Stirling, November 2005 1 Overview of the Cost of Capital The cost of capital represents the firms cost of financing, and is the minimum rate of return that a project must earn to increase firm value. Financial managers are ethically bound to only invest in projects that they expect to exceed the cost of capital. The cost of capital reflects the entirety of the firms financing activities. Most firms attempt to maintain an optimal mix of debt and equity financing. To capture all of the relevant financing costs, assuming some desired mix of financing, e need to loo! at the overall cost of capital rather than just the cost of any single source of financing.

description

cost of different sources of capital & over all cost

Transcript of cost of capital

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 Kevin Campbell, University o f Stirling, November 2005 11

Overview of the Cost of

Capital The cost of capital represents the firm’s cost of financing, and

is the minimum rate of return that a project must earn to

increase firm value.

• Financial managers are ethically bound to only invest in projects thatthey expect to exceed the cost of capital.

• The cost of capital reflects the entirety of the firm’s financing activities.

Most firms attempt to maintain an optimal mix of debt and

equity financing.

• To capture all of the relevant financing costs, assuming some desired

mix of financing, e need to loo! at the overall cost of capital rather

than just the cost of any single source of financing.

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 Kevin Campbell, University o f Stirling, November 2005 ""

Overview of the Cost of

Capital The overall cost of capital is a weighted average of

the various sources:

• WACC = Weighted Average Cost of Capital

The cost of capital is normally the relevant discountrate to use in analyzing an investment

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 Kevin Campbell, University o f Stirling, November 2005 ##

Overview of the Cost of Capital

(cont.)$ firm is currently faced ith an investmentopportunity. $ssume the folloing%

•&est project available today

• 'ost ( )1**,***

• +ife ( "* years

• xpected -eturn ( /

• +east costly financing source available

• 0ebt ( /

• &ecause it can earn / on the investment of fundscosting only /, the firm underta!es the opportunity.

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 Kevin Campbell, University o f Stirling, November 2005 22

Overview of the Cost of Capital

(cont.)3magine that 1 ee! later a ne investmentopportunity is available%

• &est project available 1 ee! later 

• 'ost ( )1**,***

• +ife ( "* years

• xpected -eturn ( 1"/

• +east costly financing source available

• quity ( 12/• 3n this instance, the firm rejects the opportunity, because

the 12/ financing cost is greater than the 1"/ expectedreturn.

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 Kevin Campbell, University o f Stirling, November 2005 44

Overview of the Cost of Capital

(cont.)5hat if instead the firm used a combined cost of

financing6

• $ssuming that a 4* –4* mix of debt and equity istargeted, the eighted average cost here ould be%

7*.4* × / debt8 9 7*.4* × 12/ equity8 ( 1*/

• 5ith this average cost of financing, the first

opportunity ould have been rejected 7/ expected

return : 1*/ eighted average cost8, and the second

ould have been accepted

71"/ expected return ; 1*/ eighted average cost8.

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 Kevin Campbell, University o f Stirling, November 2005

Specific Sources of Capital

&asic sources of long<term funds for the business

firm%

• +ong<term debt• =referred stoc! 

• 'ommon stoc! 

• -etained earnings

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 Kevin Campbell, University o f Stirling, November 2005

Factors Affecting the Cost of

Capital

>eneral conomic 'onditions

• $ffect interest rates Mar!et 'onditions

• $ffect ris! premiums ?perating 0ecisions

• $ffect business ris!   Financial 0ecisions

• $ffect financial ris!  $mount of Financing

• $ffect flotation costs and mar!et price ofsecurity

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 Kevin Campbell, University o f Stirling, November 2005 @@

Cost of Debt The cost of de!t to the firm is the effective yield to

maturity "or interest rate# paid to its !ondholders

$ince interest is ta% deducti!le to the firm& theactual cost of de!t is less than the yield tomaturity:

• After'ta% cost of de!t = yield % "( ' ta% rate#

The cost of de!t should also !e ad)usted forflotation costs "associated with issuing new!onds#

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 Kevin Campbell, University o f Stirling, November 2005 AA

  with stock with debt

EBIT 400,000 400,000

- interest expense 0 (50,000)

EBT 400,000 350,000

- taxes (34) (!3",000) (!!#,000)E$T %"4,000 %3!,000

Example: Tax effects ofExample: Tax effects of

financing with debtfinancing with debt

*ow& suppose the firm pays +,-&--- in dividendsto the shareholders

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 Kevin Campbell, University o f Stirling, November 2005 1*1*

  with stock with debt

EBIT 400,000 400,000

- interest expense 0 (50,000)EBT 400,000 350,000

- taxes (34) (!3",000) (!!#,000)

E$T %"4,000 %3!,000

- di&idends (50,000) 0

'etained earnins %!4,000 %3!,000

Example: Tax effects ofExample: Tax effects of

financing with debtfinancing with debt

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 Kevin Campbell, University o f Stirling, November 2005 1111

  $fter-tax cost Before-tax cost Tax

  of ebt of ebt *a&ins

  33,000 + 50,000 - !,000

  ' 

  33,000 + 50,000 ( ! - .34)

  Or, if we want to look at percentage costs:

-+Cost of Debt

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 Kevin Campbell, University o f Stirling, November 2005 1"1"

  $fter-tax Before-tax /arinal

cost of cost of x tax

ebt ebt rate 

d + kd (! - T) 

.0"" + .!0 (! - .34)

 

-

+ !!

Cost of Debt

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 Kevin Campbell, University o f Stirling, November 2005 1#1#

Prescott Corporation issues a $1, par,! "ear  bond pa"ing the market rate of

1#  Coupons are annual The bond willsell for par since it pa"s the market rate,but flotation costs amount to $% perbond

&hat is the pre'tax and after'tax cost ofdebt for Prescott Corporation(

EXAMPLE Cost of Debt

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 Kevin Campbell, University o f Stirling, November 2005 1212

Pre'tax cost of debt:)% * 1+P-./ !, 0d 2 1+P-. !, 0d

  using a financial calculator:  0d * 131#

/fter'tax cost of debt:

  0d  * 0d +1 ' T

  0d  * 131 +1 ' 45

  0d  * 6 * 6#

EXAMPLE Cost of Debt

$o a (-. !ondcosts the firmonly .

"with flotation costs#!ecause interestis ta% deducti!le

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 Kevin Campbell, University o f Stirling, November 2005 1414

Cost of !ew Preferre"

#toc$ /referred stoc0:

• has a fi%ed dividend "similar to de!t#

• has no maturity date• dividends are not ta% deducti!le and are

e%pected to !e perpetual or infinite

Cost of preferred stoc0 = dividendprice ' flotation cost

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 Kevin Campbell, University o f Stirling, November 2005 11

Cost of Preferre" stoc$

E%a&ple&a!er 'orporation has preferred stoc! that sells for )1** per share and pays an annualdividend of )1*.4*. 3f the flotation costs are )2 per share, hat is the cost of ne preferred stoc!6

1*.A2/.1*A22<)1**

)1*.4* B 

=  ===  

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 Kevin Campbell, University o f Stirling, November 2005 11

Cost of E'it*etaine" EarningsWhy is there a cost for retained earnings1

2arnings can !e reinvested or paid out as

dividends 3nvestors could !uy other securities& and

earn a return4

Thus& there is an opportunity cost ifearnings are retained

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 Kevin Campbell, University o f Stirling, November 2005 1@1@

Cost of E'it*etaine" Earnings Common stoc0 e5uity is availa!le throughretained earnings "672# or !y issuing new

common stoc0:• Common e5uity = 672 8 *ew common stoc0

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 Kevin Campbell, University o f Stirling, November 2005 1A1A

Cost of E'it

!ew Co&&on #toc$The cost of new common stoc0 is higher

than the cost of retained earnings

!ecause of flotation costs• selling and distri!ution costs "such as

sales commissions# for the new

securities

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 Kevin Campbell, University o f Stirling, November 2005 "*"*

Cost of E'it

There are a num!er of methods used todetermine the cost of e5uity

We will focus on two

9ividend growth odel

CA/

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 Kevin Campbell, University o f Stirling, November 2005 "1"1

+he Divi"en" ,rowth Mo"el

Approach

2stimating the cost of e5uity: the dividend growth modelapproach

 According to the constant growth (Gordon) model& D( P - =  R E   - g 

6earranging D(

  R E   =  + g 

  P -

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 Kevin Campbell, University o f Stirling, November 2005 """"

E%a&ple Esti&ating the

Divi"en" ,rowth *ate /ercentage;ear 9ividend 9ollar Change Change

(<<- +4-- ''

(<<( 4- +-4- (-4--.

(<<> 4, -4?, 4<,

(<<? ,4>, -4,- (-4,?

(<< ,4@, -4- 4@>

 Average rowth 6ate

"(-4-- 8 4<, 8 (-4,? 8 4@>#7 = <4->,.

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 Kevin Campbell, University o f Stirling, November 2005 "#"#

Divi"en" ,rowth Mo"el

This model has draw!ac0s:

$ome firms concentrate on growth and do notpay dividends at all& or only irregularly

rowth rates may also !e hard to estimate Also this model doesn’t ad)ust for mar0et ris0

Therefore many financial managers prefer thecapital asset pricing model "CA/# ' or securitymar0et line "$B# ' approach for estimating thecost of e5uity

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 Kevin Campbell, University o f Stirling, November 2005 "2"2

Capital /sset Pricing 7odel +C/P7

87   f  m f     R R β  Rkj   −+=

Cost of 

capital 8isk'freereturn

/9erage rate of return

on common stocks+&-

Co'9ariance

of returns againstthe portfolio

+departure from the a9erage; < 1, securit" is safer than &- a9erage

; = 1, securit" is riskier than &- a9erage

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 Kevin Campbell, University o f Stirling, November 2005 "4"4

+he #ecrit Mar$et Line (#ML)

 

'e12ired rateof ret2rn

  ercent

0.5 !.0 !.5 %.0

*/ + ' f ( 6 7 ' f )

Beta (risk)

/arket risk pre6i26

%0.0

!8.0

!".0

!4.0

!%.0

!0.0

8.0

5.5

' f 

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 Kevin Campbell, University o f Stirling, November 2005 ""

Fin"ing the *e'ire" *etrn on

Co&&on #toc$ sing the Capital

Asset Pricing Mo"elThe 'apital $sset =ricing Model 7'$=M8 can be used to estimate therequired return on individual stoc!s. The formula%

( ) - B - B  f m jf  j  −+=   β   

here jB ( -equired return on stoc! j

  f -    ( -is!<free rate of return 7usually current rate on Treasury &ill8.

   jβ    ( &eta coefficient for stoc! j represents ris! of the stoc! 

  mB    ( -eturn in mar!et as measured by some proxy portfolio 7index8

 Cuppose that &a!er has the folloing values%

f -    ( 4.4/

 jβ    ( 1.*

mB    ( 1"/

.

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 Kevin Campbell, University o f Stirling, November 2005 ""

Fin"ing the *e'ire" *etrn on

Co&&on #toc$ sing the Capital

Asset Pricing Mo"el Then, using the '$=M e ould get a required return of

( ) 1"/4.4<1"1.*4.4B  j   =+=

.

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 Kevin Campbell, University o f Stirling, November 2005 "@"@

CAPM-#ML approach

/d9antage: 2valuates ris0& applica!leto firms that don’t pay dividends

>isad9antage: *eed to estimate

• eta

• the ris0 premium "usually !ased on past data&not future pro)ections#

• use an appropriate ris0 free rate of interest

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 Kevin Campbell, University o f Stirling, November 2005 "A"A

Esti&ation of eta MeasringMar$et *is$

ar0et /ortfolio ' /ortfolio of all assets inthe economy

3n practice a !road stoc0 mar0et inde%&such as the W3& is used to represent  themar0et

eta ' sensitivity of a stoc0’s return to thereturn on the mar0et portfolio

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 Kevin Campbell, University o f Stirling, November 2005 #*#*

Esti&ation of eta

Theoretically& the calculation of !eta isstraightforward:

/ro!lems

(4etas may vary over time4

>4The sample size may !e inade5uate4

?4etas are influenced !y changing financial leverage and !usiness ris04

$olutions

• /ro!lems ( and > "a!ove# can !e moderated !y more sophisticated statisticaltechni5ues4

• /ro!lem ? can !e lessened !y ad)usting for changes in !usiness and financialris04

• Boo0 at average !eta estimates of compara!le firms in the industry4

"87

8,7

 M 

iM 

 M 

 M i

 

 

 R!ar 

 R RCov β    ==

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 Kevin Campbell, University o f Stirling, November 2005 #1#1

#tabilit of eta

ost analysts argue that !etas are generallysta!le for firms remaining in the same industry

That’s not to say that a firm’s !eta can’tchange

• Changes in product line

• Changes in technology

• 9eregulation

• Changes in financial leverage

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 Kevin Campbell, University o f Stirling, November 2005 #"#"

What is the appropriate risk-free rate?

Use the yield on a long-term bond if you areanalyzing cash ows from a long-term investment

For short-term investments, it is entirelyappropriate to use the yield on short-termgovernment securities

Use the nominal risk-free rate if you discountnominal cash ows and real risk-free rate if youdiscount real cash ows

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 Kevin Campbell, University o f Stirling, November 2005 ####

Survey evidence: What do youuse for the risk-free rate?

 Corporations Financial Advisors

90-day -bill !"#$ 90-day -bill !%0#$

&-' year reasuries !'#$ (-%0 year reasuries !%0#$%0-year reasuries !&&#$ %0-&0 year reasuries !&0#$

)0-year reasuries !"#$ &0-year reasuries !"0#$

%0-&0 year reasuries !&&#$ *+ !%0#$

%0-years or 90-day depends!"#$

*+ !%(#$.ource/ runer et1 al1 !%992$

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 Kevin Campbell, University o f Stirling, November 2005 #2#2

/eighte" Average Cost of Capital

(/ACC)

WACC weights the cost of e5uity and the costof de!t !y the percentage of each used in afirm’s capital structure

WACC="27 D# % 62 8 "97 D# % 69 % "('TC#

• "27D#= 25uity . of total value

• "97D#=9e!t . of total value

• "('Tc#=After'ta% . or reciprocal of corp ta% rate Tc4The after'ta% rate must !e considered !ecauseinterest on corporate de!t is deducti!le

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 Kevin Campbell, University o f Stirling, November 2005 #4#4

/ACC 0llstration

$&' 'orp has 1.2 million shares common valued at )"* per

share ()"@ million. 0ebt has face value of )4 million and trades

at A#/ of face 7)2.4 million8 in the mar!et. Total mar!et value

of both equity 9 debt thus ()#".4 million. quity / ( .@4and 0ebt / ( .12"2

-is! free rate is 2/, ris! premium(/ and $&'Ds E(.2

-eturn on equity per CM+ % -  ( 2/ 9 7/ x .28(A.1@/

Tax rate is 2*/

'urrent yield on mar!et debt is 11/

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 Kevin Campbell, University o f Stirling, November 2005 ##

/ACC 0llstration

5$'' ( 7G8 x -  9 70G8 x - 0 x 71<Tc8

( .@4 x .*A1@ 9 7.12"2 x .11 x .*8

( .*@@1" or @.@1/

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 Kevin Campbell, University o f Stirling, November 2005 ##

Final notes on /ACC

WACC should !e !ased on mar0et rates andvaluation& not on !oo0 values of de!t or e5uity

oo0 values may not reflect the current

mar0etplace WACC will reflect what a firm needs to earn on

a new investment4 ut the new investmentshould also reflect a ris0 level similar to the

firm’s eta used to calculate the firm’s 624• 3n the case of AC Co4& the relatively low WACC of

E4E(. reflects AC’s F=44 A ris0ier investmentshould reflect a higher interest rate4

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 Kevin Campbell, University o f Stirling, November 2005 #@#@

Final notes on /ACC

The WACC is not constant

3t changes in accordance with the ris0

of the company and with the floatationcosts of new capital

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Marginal cost of capital an"invest&ent pro1ects!".0

!4.0

!%.0

!0.0

8.0

".0

4.0

 %.0

0.0

ercent

!0 !5 !# 503#$6o2nt of capital (9 6illions)

!!.%3

0 85 #5

/arinal

cost ofcapital

 6c

$

B:

E

;<

=

!0.

!0.4!

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-