Corporate Presentation - November 2017 · 2020-05-20 · Corporate Snapshot • Stock Symbol –...
Transcript of Corporate Presentation - November 2017 · 2020-05-20 · Corporate Snapshot • Stock Symbol –...
Corporate Presentation
November 2017
All forward looking statements in this Corporate Presentation are qualified in their entirety by the "Forward Looking Information" on slide 25.
1
Why Invest in Corridor
• Excellent balance sheet with a working capital balance of approximately $50.0 million
• Long life reserves with minimal future development capital and predictable, low decline natural gas production (~10% annually)
• Superior field operating cash flow netback per boe due to industry leading natural gas pricing at Boston Algonquin City Gates (AGT)
• Solid fundamental core value with exposure to two high impact prospects in Eastern Canada
• Flexibility to take advantage of its balance sheet strength to act on counter-cyclical opportunities in Western Canada
2
Board of Directors
• J. Douglas Foster, LL.B., Chairman President, Fostco Holdings (private
investments) Former Partner, Bennett Jones LLP
• Phil Knoll President, Knoll Energy Inc. (private
consulting company) Former CEO, Corridor Resources from
2010 to 2015
• Norm Miller Former CEO, Corridor Resources from
1995 to 2010
• Robert Penner, CPA, CA Independent Consultant Formerly Senior Tax Partner, KPMG LLP
3
• Steve Moran President and CEO, Corridor Resources Formerly President and CEO of Bellamont
Exploration Ltd.
• Jim McKee, CPA, CA Independent Businessman Formerly Senior Vice President, Corporate
Development, Trican Well Service Ltd. and Managing Director, Investment Banking, RBC Dominion Securities
• Martin Fräss-Ehrfeld Chairman, AVE Capital Limited, provider of
advisory services to the Children's Investment Fund (UK) LLP
Corporate Snapshot
• Stock Symbol – TSX CDH
• Shares Outstanding (2017/09/30) Basic 88,655,299 Diluted (Avg. exercise price $0.78) 92,053,467
• Tax Pools (2017/09/30) CEE $94.0 MM CDE $55.2 MM Other $23.3 MMTotal $172.5 MM
• Forecast from April 1, 2017 to March 31, 2018
Cash Flow From Operations* $4.1 MM
Field Operating Netback ($/boe) $51.71* Cash flow from operations is a non-IFRS financial measure. Cash flow from operations represents net earnings adjusted for non-cash items
including depletion, depreciation and amortization, deferred income taxes, share-based compensation and other non-cash expenses.
4
Land and Reserves
• Undeveloped Land (net acres) 446,000 New Brunswick 195,000 Old Harry - Quebec & NL 251,000
• December 31, 2016 Reserves* MM boe PV@BT10% Proved Developed Producing 2.67 $43.3 million Total Proved 2.75 $45.8 million Total Proved plus Probable 3.45 $54.1 million
• Reserve Life* Years Proved Developed Producing 21 Total Proved 21 Total Proved plus Probable 26
5
**Reserve Report dated March 1, 2017 prepared by GLJ Petroleum Consultants effective December 31, 2016.
Net Asset Value Per Basic Share
Reserves valued @ BT10% effective December 31, 2016*
Proved Developed Producing $0.49 Proved Undeveloped $0.03 Probable Developed Producing $0.09 Total Reserve Value $0.61
Working Capital (2017/09/30) $0.56
Total Net Asset value per basic share $1.17
6
* Reserve Report dated March 1, 2017 prepared by GLJ Petroleum effective December 31, 2016.
80% of Corridor’s reserve value is in the Proved Developed Producing Category
McCully Field Production Optimization Strategy
• To take advantage of the premium winter pricing at AGT, over the past two years Corridor has strategically shut-in production during the summer/fall months. The resulting build-up in reservoir pressure yielded flush production (see next slide) during winter months when natural gas prices at AGT are typically higher
• Corridor’s production optimization objectives are threefold: • Generate a similar field operating income with less produced volume
than a continuous production scenario;• Extend reserve life; and • Preserve higher field deliverability rates
• Corridor employs hedges to protect its winter pricing premium as a component of this strategy (see slide 9).
• Corridor has implemented its optimization strategy again in 2017/18 by shutting-in the vast majority of its production on April 1, 2017. Corridor expects to partially recommence production in November 2017, with a significant ramp-up in production expected in December 2017.
7
1
10
Dec
-06
Dec
-07
Dec
-08
Dec
-09
Dec
-10
Dec
-11
Dec
-12
Dec
-13
Dec
-14
Dec
-15
Dec
-16
Dec
-17
Dec
-18
Dec
-19
Dec
-20
MM
SCF/
D
Corridor Net Gas Production
Gas Rate Original 2015 Forecast
Production Optimization Strategy
8
Strategic shut-in periods
Flush production periods
Higher production rates preserved
Note: 2015 historical production forecast included for flush reference and does not represent future plans.
Winter 2017/2018 Hedging Program
PeriodAverage Volume
(mmbtu/d) Price ($US/mmbtu)Dec. 2017 – Mar. 2018 2,500 $7.400
Dec. 2017 – Feb. 2018 2,500 $7.826
9
These hedges represent approximately 48% of Corridor’s estimated production from December 1, 2017 to March 31, 2018 and secure $4.8 million out of an estimated $9.8 million of total revenue during this period.*
* Estimated total revenue is based on unhedged production volumes being sold at an average strip pricing at AGT of $US7.40/mmbtu
Press Release (Oct. 11, 2017)
AGT average natural gas price $4.24US/mmbtu
USD/CAD exchange rate 1.24 USD/CAD
Average natural gas price realized $9.50/mscf
Average daily natural gas production* 2.9 mmscfpd
Field operating netback $ 7.1 million
Cash flow from operations** $ 4.1 million
Field operating netback per mscf $ 6.8/mscf
Cash flow from operations** per mscf $ 3.9/mscf
Working capital (as of March 31, 2018) $ 53.5 million
Capital Expenditures (for the year 2017) $ 3.7 million
10
Market Guidance(April 1, 2017 to March 31, 2018)
* Average daily natural gas production for the 12 month period is inclusive of a shut-in of the vast majority of production from April 1, 2017 to November 30, 2017.**Cash flow from operations is a non-IFRS financial measure. Cash flow from operations represents net earnings adjusted for non-cash items including depletion, depreciation and amortization, deferred income taxes, share-based compensation and other non-cash expenses.
11
Q1 2018 Netback ForecastWinter Pricing Premiums offer Superior Netbacks
Three months ended March 31
thousands of dollars except $/boe (2)
2018 Forecast
2017
Natural gas sales $ 7,245 $ 4,166Realized financial derivatives gain - 1,094Other revenues 257 301Royalties (224) (92)Transportation expense (322) (428)Production expense (573) (789)Field operating netback $ 6,383 $ 4,252Natural gas production per day (mmscfpd) 8.2 7.2Barrels of oil equivalent per day (boepd) 1,196Average natural gas price ($/mscf) $ 9.78 $ 6.45Natural gas revenues ($/boe) $ 58.69 $ 38.69Realized financial derivatives gain ($/boe) - 10.16Other revenues ($/boe) 2.09 2.80Royalties ($/boe) (1.82) (0.86)Transportation expense ($/boe) (2.61) (3.97)Production expense ($/boe) (4.64) (7.33)Field operating netback ($/boe) $ 51.71 $ 39.49General and administrative expenses ($/boe) (5.47) (6.05)Interest, foreign exchange gains and other ($/boe) 0.88 0.76Cash flow from operations * ($/boe) $ 47.12 $ 34.20
•Cash flow from operations is a non-IFRS measure. Cash flow from operations represents net earnings adjusted for non-cash items including depletion,depreciation and amortization, deferred income taxes, share-based compensation and other non-cash expenses.
Understanding Corridor’sPremium Natural Gas Market
• Corridor’s production connected to Maritimes and Northeast Pipeline (MN&P)
• Corridor's gas is priced at Algonquin City-gates (“AGT”)
• There is typically a shortage of natural gas supply capacity for the winter months
• No new major pipeline expansions are anticipated
• Futures market expecting the premium AGT winter pricing to continue to at least 2023
• Sable Island is reaching economic limit rapidly, this will exacerbate the shortfall
12
Shifting Maritime Province’s Natural Gas Market
• The Maritimes’ primary gas supply has historically been sourced from Sable Island and, since 2013, Deep Panuke
• Sable Island nearing end of life, decommissioning is expected to begin in 2018 and take 2 years to complete*
• Deep Panuke experiencing production issues and may not last much longer
• Gas will eventually need to be sourced from USA or Canaport LNG to fulfill demand
• Prices in the Maritimes are already trading at a premium to AGT and expected to go higher once offshore production ends
• Corridor’s assets are uniquely situated to capture this market opportunity
13* Source: Brett Bundale, The Canada Press, April 26, 2017
AGT Futures Pricing Strong for the Foreseeable Future
14
• AGT futures pricing* is expected to remain robust to 2023
• Significant premiums over Nymex in the winter months
• Winter peaks still expected to exceed $8.50 US/mmbtu
• Annual average price to 2023 is $4.33 USD/mmbtu
*Nymex and Algonquin Basis (i.e. AGT) prices are daily settlement for October 20, 2017 as provided by Intercontinental Exchange (ICE)NG LD1 Futures and NG Basis LD1 for IF Futures.
-$2
$0
$2
$4
$6
$8
$10
Oct
-17
Jan-
18
Apr-
18
Jul-1
8
Oct
-18
Jan-
19
Apr-
19
Jul-1
9
Oct
-19
Jan-
20
Apr-
20
Jul-2
0
Oct
-20
Jan-
21
Apr-
21
Jul-2
1
Oct
-21
Jan-
22
Apr-
22
Jul-2
2
Oct
-22
Jan-
23
Apr-
23
Jul-2
3
Oct
-23
Gas
Pri
ce (
US$
/mm
btu)
Nymex Strip Pricing (USD$/mmbtu)October 20, 2017
Nymex Henry Hub AGT Differential AGT Yearly Average Price
Two High Impact Prospects
15
New Brunswick
• Frederick Brook Shale
• Unconventional gas prospect
• Regulatory hurdles exist, currently under a hydraulic fracturing moratorium
Old Harry • One of the
largest Canadian East Coast offshore geological structures
• 43,000 Acre potential oil prospect
New Brunswick195,000 Net Acres
Old Harry251,000Net Acres
Focused on de-risking two high-impact prospects with tremendous upside potential while demonstrating prudent financial management
Old Harry Offshore Potential
• One of the largest undrilled geological structures in Eastern Canada (43,000 acres/67 sq miles) under simple four-way closure
• Several direct hydrocarbon indicators identified: satellite seepage slicks, frequency anomalies, amplitude anomalies, and AVO anomalies
• Over 1,000 km of modern 2-D seismic
• Basin modeling indicates light oil (~55 API) was initially generated and could be filling the structure
16
Controlled Source Electro-Magnetic (CSEM) Survey
• Corridor is purchasing a multi-client CSEM survey over the Newfoundland side of Old Harry. Data acquisition is expected to be completed by mid-November 2017
• Recording instruments are placed on the sea bottom and an electro-magnetic (EM) source is towed behind a vessel (see right).
• Signals from the EM source travel through the rock formations to the receivers. Anomalously resistive layers (hydrocarbons) will stand-out against a non-resistive background (see figure upper right).
• Modelling shows Old Harry to be an ideal candidate for CSEM imaging.
• A positive CSEM anomaly in a sand/shale sequence provides confidence of hydrocarbon bearing sands.
• Final processing and analysis of the CSEM data expected in Q1, 2018
17
CSEM Survey:Newfoundland Side of Old Harry
Old Harry Go Forward Plan
• If the CSEM results are positive, Corridor intends to increase efforts to secure a joint venture partner to drill an exploratory well (as of April 2017, estimated at ~$US45 MM)
• Corridor’s Exploration License term in effect until January 2021
• Strategic Environmental Assessment published by Canada-Newfoundland and Labrador Offshore Petroleum Board in May 2014 concluded that exploration and development activities can be safely undertaken
• Quebec and Canada expected to proceed with mirror legislation to provide for a joint management mechanism that would allow for operations in Quebec waters to begin in a timely matter
18
New Brunswick Assets
19
• Approximately 195,000 net acres• McCully natural gas production:
Hiram Brook formation produces from conventional tight sandstone reservoirs
54.4 BCF produced to date up to y/e 2016
• Current productive capacity up to ~10 mmcf/d net (flush volumes)
• Frederick Brook has substantial unconventional shale resource potential: Black, hydrocarbon rich shale
that is up to 1100 m thick• Regulatory hurdles exist, currently
under a hydraulic fracturing moratorium
NB
NS
PEI
Corridor’s New Brunswick Facilities at McCully
• Natural Gas Facilities (100% WI) include:
Gas Plant - processing capacity of 35 mmcf/d
50 km of 8” transmission line to Maritimes and Northeast Pipeline
15 kilometers of gathering system
32 producing wells from 11 well pads
20
NB
NS
PEI
Frederick Brook Shale
21
• 13 wells drilled into the Frederick Brook shale to date
• Frederick Brook shale mapped over wide area – in excess of 20 kilometers laterally
• Depth to top Frederick Brook ranges from 1,600 to 4,000 m
• Potential for vertical or horizontal development
100
1000
2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018Mon
thly
Pro
duct
ion
Rate
(m
cf/d
)
F-58 Shale Production
Frederick Brook Shale Production History
22
• F-58 production at ~180 mcf/d for past 9 years (1.65 Bcf 2P EUR, GLJ)
• Very flat production curve with annual decline <2% annually
• 2014 wells have proved productivity and reserves
• All producing Frederick Brook wells have small single fracs to date
• G-41 well in Elgin tested up to 12 mmcf/d (1200psi WHP)
• Encountered interbedded sands with high deliverability
• Potential to occur elsewhere in field
~180 mcf/d
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
1
10
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Wel
lhea
d P
ress
ure
(psi
)
Gas
Rat
e (m
msc
f/d)
Flow Time (days)
G-41 Upper Zone TestsTest 1 - Gas RateTest 2 - Gas RateTest 1 - WHPTest 2 - WHP
12mmscf/d
4mmscf/d
Frederick Brook Shale Development Potential Next Steps – Pilot Project
23
• Pursue a termination of the hydraulic fracturing moratorium
• Secure joint venture capital funding to undertake a pilot program as follows: Drill 5 vertical evaluation wells
Recomplete 3 existing wells
Complete with high volume water fracture stimulations
Identify “sweet spots” and drill a second round of horizontal wells – up to 5 wells
Establish production and reserves for type curves for vertical versus horizontal wells
Optimize completion techniques
Potential Delineation Wells Potential Pipeline
Strategic Priorities
• Maximize cash flow and value of McCully assets by implementing optimization strategies unique to the Northeast U.S. and Maritimes gas markets
• Continue to advance government and stakeholder relations, social responsibility and regulatory agendas in our plays
• Seek opportunities for joint ventures for Old Harry and the Frederick Brook Shale
• Take advantage of Corridor’s balance sheet strength to act on counter-cyclical opportunities in Western Canada
Corridor has sustainability combined with tremendous upside potential
24
Forward Looking Information
• This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements and forward-looking information (collectively referred to herein as "forward-looking statements") within the meaning of Canadian securities laws. All statements other than statements of historical fact are forward-looking statements. Forward-looking information typically contains statements with words such as "anticipate", "believe", "plan", "continuous", "estimate", "expect", "may", "will", "project", "should", “assume” or similar words suggesting future outcomes. In particular, this presentation contains forward-looking statements pertaining to the following: Corridor's business plans and strategies, including efforts to obtain joint venture partners and next steps in respect of the Old Harry and Frederick Brook properties; characteristics of Corridor’s properties, the value of McCully assets by implementing optimization strategies; continuing to advance government and stakeholder relations; seeking opportunities for joint ventures for Old Harry and the Frederick Brook Shale; taking advantage of Corridor’s balance sheet strength to act on counter-cyclical opportunities in Western Canada; exploration and development plans (including the acquisition of the CSEM and drilling or recompleting wells at Old Harry and the Frederick Brook shale) including timing of such plans; the benefits of the CSEM data; pipeline development projects and capacity; benefits and timing of pipeline development, potential regional supply basins; expectations of natural gas prices and premiums at AGT and the Maritimes market; field operating netbacks; production; expected revenues from hedging agreements; royalties; expenses; cash flow from operations; capital expenditures and estimates; working capital estimates; and the U.S. Canada exchange rate.
• Statements relating to “reserves” are forward-looking statements, as they involve the implied assessment, based on certain estimates and assumptions that the reserves described exist in the quantities predicted or estimated and can profitably be produced in the future.
• Undue reliance should not be placed on forward-looking statements, which are inherently uncertain, are based on estimates and assumptions, and are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties (both general and specific) that contribute to the possibility that the future events or circumstances contemplated by the forward-looking statements will not occur. There can be no assurance that the plans, intentions or expectations upon which forward-looking statements are based will in fact be realized. Actual results will differ, and the difference may be material and adverse to Corridor and its shareholders. Forward-looking statements are based on Corridor’s current beliefs, forward sale agreements, expiration of the terms of leases and exploration licences; as well as assumptions made by, and information currently available to Corridor, including information concerning anticipated financial performance, capital cost; business prospects, strategies, regulatory developments, natural gas and oil commodity prices, exchange rates, future natural gas production levels, the ability to obtain equipment in a timely manner to carry out development activities, the ability to market natural gas successfully to current and new customers, the impact of increasing competition, the ability to obtain financing on acceptable terms, the ability to add production and reserves through development and exploration activities and the terms of agreements with third parties. Although management considers these assumptions to be reasonable based on information currently available to it, they may prove to be incorrect. Unknown risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to: risks associated with oil and gas exploration, substantial capital requirements and financing, prices, markets and marketing, government regulation, third party risk, environmental, hydraulic fracturing, dependence on key personnel, co-existence with mining operations, availability of drilling equipment and access, risks may not be insurable, variations in exchange rates, expiration of licenses and leases, reserves and resources estimates, development and/or acquisition of oil and natural gas properties, trading of common shares, seasonality, competition, management of growth, conflicts of interest, issuance of debt, title to properties and hedging. Further information regarding these factors and additional factors may be found under the heading "Risk Factors" in the Annual Information Form for the year ended December 31, 2016. Readers are cautioned that the foregoing list of factors that may affect future results is not exhaustive.
• The forward-looking statements contained in this presentation are made as of the date hereof and the Company does not undertake any obligation to update publicly or to revise any of the included forward-looking statements, except as required by applicable law. The forward-looking statements contained herein are expressly qualified by this cautionary statement.
Oil and Gas Disclosure
• The term "boe" refers to barrels of oil equivalent. All calculations converting natural gas to crude oil equivalent have been made using a ratio of six mscf of natural gas to one barrel of crude equivalent. Boes may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A boe conversion ratio of six mscf of natural gas to one barrel of crude oil equivalent is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead.
25