Contribution of the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty ... · Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban...
Transcript of Contribution of the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty ... · Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban...
Contribution of the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization (CTBTO) to IACRNE
Presented at the International Conference
on Global Emergency Preparedness and Response
19-23 October 2015 at the IAEA’s Headquarter in Vienna
Martin Kalinowski
Head, Scientific Methods Unit, International Data Centre Division
Provisional Technical Secretariat of the Preparatory Commission for the
Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization (CTBTO)
Vienna International Centre, P.O. Box 1200, A-1400 Vienna, Austria
I. Introduction to the CTBT
II.Observations of atmospheric radioactivity
from the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power
plant accident in March 2011
III. Role of the CTBTO in IACRNE
Overview
I. Introduction to the CTBT
CTBT today183 signatures, 164 ratifications
8 ratifications missing for Entry into Force
Elements of the CTBT Verification Regime
International
Monitoring
System
321 stations:
seismic,
hydro-acoustic,
infrasound,
radionuclide
IDC&GCI
Consultation
and
Clarification
Right to clarify
matters indicating
possible
non-compliance
On-Site
Inspection
Conduct of
on-site
verification
activities
Confidence
Building
Measures
Large chemical
Explosions:
Prevent
misinterpretations
and calibrate seismic
IMS component
IFE = Integrated
Field Experiment
3 November -
9 December 2014
The complete International Monitoring System: 337Incl. 80 Radionuclide Stations and 16 Radionuclide Labs
Seismic Primary Array
Seismic Primary 3-comp Station
Seismic Auxiliary Array
Seismic Auxiliary 3-comp Station
Hydroacoustic (hydrophone) Station
Hydroacoustic (T-phase) Station
Infrasound Station
Radionuclide
Station
Radionuclide Lab
Seismic Primary Array
Seismic Primary 3-comp Station
Seismic Auxiliary Array
Seismic Auxiliary 3-comp Station
Hydroacoustic (hydrophone) Station
Hydroacoustic (T-phase) Station
Infrasound Station
Radionuclide
Station
Radionuclide Lab
Seismic Primary Array
Seismic Primary 3-comp Station
Seismic Auxiliary Array
Seismic Auxiliary 3-comp Station
Hydroacoustic (hydrophone) Station
Hydroacoustic (T-phase) Station
Infrasound Station
Radionuclide
Station
Radionuclide Lab
Demonstrated effectiveness of the
International Monitoring System
• Xenon-131m and xenon-133
• Detected at Takasaki, Japan, and
Ussuriysk, Russia
• Estimated date of fission coincides
with 12 February 2013
• DPRK site identified as possible
source using ATM
Error Ellipses for 2006, 2009 and
2013 DPRK Announced Nuclear
Tests
Page 6
The purpose of the CTBT verification regime is to verify
compliance with the Treaty effectively.
The data of the International Monitoring System (IMS) and the
products generated by the International Data Centre (IDC) are
confidential. Access is given to authorized users either designated
by the State Signatories or covered under special arrangements
for civil and scientific applications.
In addition to the primary Treaty monitoring purpose, a range of
useful civil and scientific applications can contribute to
sustainable development and human welfare.
In return, experts using IMS data contribute to scientific advances
of analysis methodologies that will be of benefit for nuclear
explosion monitoring.
Data purpose and confidentiality
Civil and Scientific Applications
International Monitoring System data can be applied for
Tsunami warning
Sumatra
December
2004
Aviation hazards
Eyjafjallajokul
March 2010
Urals
February 2013
MeteoritesFukushima
March 2011
Radiation releases
Earthquake
monitoring
IMS Data / IDC Products
• 10 GB Daily
• ~40 TB Archived
International Monitoring System Network
Usersin State Signatories
Page 8
Scientists with zero-
cost contract
Tsunami warning centers
with agreements
Authorized users
Test ban monitoring
Civil applications Scientific use
Data archiving and distribution
Radiolog. and nuclear
emergencies (IACRNE)
II. Observations of atmospheric
radioactivity from the Fukushima
Daiichi nuclear power plant
accident in March 2011
Stations detected radioactivityoriginating from Fukushima
Network availability 85-90%.
All these stations detected at least radioactive Xe-133
end of March to the middle of April 2011.
Page 10
Noble gas network detections
Situation at the end of May, more than 40 stations have detected the event and
all but closest station (Takasaki, Japan) are back to normal background radiation.
More than 1600 samples contained radiation originating from Fukushima NPP.
Network availability 90-95%.
All these stations detected at least radioactive
iodine end of March to the middle of April 2011.
Particulate network detections
Detections at stationJPP38, Takasaki, Japan
The station is 200 km SW from Fukushima. The radiation levels detected are low in the global scale.
Provisional Technical Secretariat Page 11
Cs-134 to Cs-137 is behaving
smoothly: predominantly
same type of source material.
Cs-136 to Cs-137 ratio has
some variation, this may
indicate that source material
has a mixture of different
irradiated batches of fuel.
Isotope activity concentrations Isotopic activity ratios
Public Website
www.ctbto.org
High-level
information
http://www.ctbto.org/verification-regime/the-11-march-japan-disaster/
http://www.ctbto.org/?id=3234/
III. Role of the CTBTO in IACRNE
• On 13 March 2011, first traces of radionuclides had been detected by the IMS
and shared with all Member States.
• On 15 March 2011, first briefing to Member States including atmospheric
transport simulations.
• Since 17 March 2011, the PTS shares atmospheric radionuclide observations
with the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) and the World
Meteorological Organization (WMO).
International Cooperation:
CTBTO role in IACRNE
Page 13
• Since 11 April 2011, CTBTO
participated in meetings of IACRNE
(Inter-Agency Committee on
Radiological and Nuclear
Emergencies) and in March 2012
became a formal member among 16
participating organizations (members)
plus few corresponding (observers)
organizations.
Page 14
• IACRNE (Inter-Agency Committee on
Radiological and Nuclear Emergencies)
• IAEA provides the secretariat for IACRNE
• Joint Radiation Emergency Management Plan
(JPlan)
• Standard Operating Procedures (SOPs),
including sharing of information and public
communication
International Cooperation:
CTBTO role in IACRNE
CTBTO key elements for emergency preparedness
and response according to the JPlan:
• Continuously gathers real-time particulate and
noble gas monitoring data at 80/40 sites of the
International Monitoring System.
• The critical response tasks during an emergency
phase is to provide real-time particulate and
noble gas monitoring data including
confirmation of no detection. In the post-
emergency phase to provide results on
radionuclide air concentrations from global
monitoring network.
• Provides global monitoring results (radionuclide
air concentrations) and related expertise.
• Advice on atmospheric transport and dispersion
predictions.
Summary
• CTBTO operates a unique global network of highly-
sensitive detectors of atmospheric radioactivity.
• Purpose: Nuclear explosion monitoring.
• Confidentiality: Access restricted to authorized users of
State Signatories.
• High-level information available on public web site.
• Participation in the Inter-Agency Committee on
Radiological and Nuclear Emergencies (IACRNE) to
monitor the effects of nuclear accidents.
Page 15
THANK YOU