Content II. Environment Analysis & Internal resources to seek the PCS ’ s strategy.
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Transcript of Content II. Environment Analysis & Internal resources to seek the PCS ’ s strategy.
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Content
II. Environment Analysis & Internal resources to seek the PCS’s strategy
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I.Case Overview•Coffee culture emerged in China•Coffee consumption growth in China >10%•Potential
↑¥15,000by 2%
↓¥46,010by 142%
Year 2008
Shanghai Pudong —— China’s financial and commercial hub
Li Wang —— has limited business experience
Beverages and Food
•Low sales growth Rate•At a loss in prior year
•Many competitors: Starbucks Coffee, U.B.C. Coffee
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II-1. External environment
AMacro Environment (PES
T) Economical factors Social factors
BIndustry Environment Five forces model
CBusiness environmentSWOT
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Economical factors
Social factors
Rapid economic growth
Shanghai Pudong —China’s financial and commercial hub
Huge population
Changes in the concept of drinking
Coffee culture has emerged in China
More foreigners and culture blending
☆ As we can see the economic and social environment is favorable
A. Macro environment (PEST)
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B. Five forces model
· similar products · Similar prices
Not mentioned in the case
☆Competition situation is serious
· Low switching costs · Low capital investment· Lack of marketingchannel controlBarriers to entry the market -Comparatively high customer loyalty -The technology needed
· Many competitors · High growth rate of industry· Low conversion cost· Barrier to exit is not so high
· Low switching costs· Alternative suppliers· High demands in the
market
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C.SWOT AnalysisStrength Superior geographical position Steady source of customers
WeaknessLimited business experienceSimilar productsUnskilled staffTake-away salesOnline salesHigh cost of sales
OpportunityCoffee consumption in China is growing fast market share is potentialnew market segmentationPotential customers
Threat Newcomersprice war
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II-2. Internal resources Tangible resourcesTangible resources
Intangible assetsIntangible assets
•Fixed assets: Furniture and fittings
•A very good reputation •The manager has a deep understanding of the European culture
Financial status —Year 2009
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Summary: Through the above analysis we suggest that the shop take the following strategy
In the next page we use Balanced Scorecard to expatiate it
Intensive growth strategy
Overall strategy
Competitive strategy
focused-differentiation strategy
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III. Balanced Scorecard A strategic planning and management system
Learning and Growth
-Can we continue to improve and create value?
Vision and strategy
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i. Learning and Growth Perspective
• Hold training programs regularly and set the least training hours per year
Most of the coffee sh
ops have staff trainin
g programs such as S
tarbucks etc
It’s glad that
Li Wang has
already take this action.
• Manager/executive attend to executive education course irregularly
• Hold group activities regularly
• Decision made by one person should be replaced with Brain Storm
Suggestions
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ii.Internal Business Processes Perspective
• Replace some PTE with FTE
Less than the Average by 6%
About 35% of other coffee shops provide wider product range to improve their business.
• Refurbish the outlets to create a more comfortable environment
• Introduce new products with Chinese Feature
Suggestions
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iii. Customer Perspective
• Develop membership programs - discounts. Vouchers.little gifts for special days…
• Set a suggestion box for customers’ complaints and encourage the adviser by coupon
• Attract the office workers nearby by developing “take-away” & network business, which fulfill their needs
• Carry through questionnaire survey
• Attract new customers by advertising and promotion such as distributing booklet and providing coupon
Suggestions
Besides, about 30% of other coffee shops
increase advertising to improve their business.
Nearly half of the customers are between
21-30 years old, which is consistent with the age
of office workers
While, the customer base of the PCS —— local professionals andexpats
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iv. Financial Perspective
• Categorize the cost of sales by kind
The revenue structure of the Pudong Coffee Shop is quite different from others. To verify the specific reason for low GM, suggest to categorize the cost of sales by kind.
• Enhance the bargain capacity with suppliers
• Make investment in facilities and innovations etc. which can create future value
• Consider the rationality of the assets depreciation policy
Suggestions
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Strategy map— A tool for BSCA logical, step-by-step connection between strategic objectives
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IV-1. Financial statements &Value evaluation
Price ↑3%Volume ↑5%
Volume ↑5%General inflation ↑4%
General inflation ↑4%
Fixed
Fixed
Under the assumptions, the PCS will have a
profit.
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IV-1. Financial statements - continued
Assumptions:Inventory turnover rate Trade credit terms Same as Year 2009
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IV-1. Financial statements - continued
Assumptions:No investing or additional financing activities
Loss ↓
Cash flow???
As the depreciation cost is prepaid when fixed assets were purchased.
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IV-2. Break-even point AnalysisCost of sales Depreciation of tangible assets Wages and remuneration Rental
Utilities (lighting and heating etc.)
Garbage collection
Advertising and promotions
Cost
Analysis
Variable cost
Mixed cost
Assumptions:( 1) Average spend per person is 50.
( 2) consider the mixed cost as fixed cost
Fixed cost
2009 BEP=(420,000+500,000+23,710)/50=18,875
2010 BEP=(458,640+508,720+20,066)/50=17,715
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IV-3. The overall valuation of the coffee shop
Assumptions:• As the consumption market in China was expanding at a rate excess of 10 percent per annum, we assume that the sales growth rate is 10%.• Because the growth rate is 10% which is really high for a business, we divide the life span of the coffee shop into two related periods, within which, one is of high growth rate and the other is called the follow-up.• In the follow-up period, according to the competitive equilibrium theory, the growth rate of sales roughly equal to the nominal growth rate of macroeconomic, which is between 2%~6%. As China is highly developing, we assume that rate is 6%. •We assume that Li be able to borrow the loan with the same interest rate .• We assume that the growth of sales is smooth.• Then we use the EVA method to value the shop.• Let the cost of equity equals the rate of net profit to equity.
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equityr =net operation profit after tax/ Equity =38,435 /438,656=8.76%
V
Er
V
Drr equitydebtwacc
=7%×180,779 /( 180,779 +438,656)+ 8.76% ×438,656/( 180,779 +438,656 )=8.25%
EVA (Economic Value Added )=net operation profit after tax-total capital cost =38,435-438,656×8.25%=2,245.88
The value of the coffee shop
=Investment Capital +The Present Value of EVA=681,000+ 2,245.88 /(1+8.25%)+ 2,245.88 ×1.1/(1+8.25%) ^2+ 2,245.88 ×1.1^2/(1+8.25%)^3+ 2,245.88 ×1.1 ^3/(1+8.25%)^4+ 2,245.88 ×1.1^4/(1+8.25%)^5+ 2,245.88 × 1.1^5/[(8.25%-6%) ×(1+8.25%)^5] = 799,864.8
IV-3. The overall valuation of the coffee shop
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V. Overall Summary
Urgent Task
Survival
Action NOW!
Take the suggestions to obtain a profit & look forward to the future!
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