Consumer Adoption of Social Media & the Evolution of the Social … · 2019-05-14 · Social...

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Transcript of Consumer Adoption of Social Media & the Evolution of the Social … · 2019-05-14 · Social...

Page 1: Consumer Adoption of Social Media & the Evolution of the Social … · 2019-05-14 · Social networks emerging as social media hubs, potential entertainment aggregators 30% 35% 41%
Page 2: Consumer Adoption of Social Media & the Evolution of the Social … · 2019-05-14 · Social networks emerging as social media hubs, potential entertainment aggregators 30% 35% 41%

Consumer Adoption of Social Media & the Evolution of the Social Network

David CardVP, Principal Analyst

Forrester Research

April 17, 2009

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Agenda

•How are consumers adopting social media?

•What’s going on in social media marketing?

•Can social networks be a real business?

3 Entire contents © 2009 Forrester Research, Inc. All rights reserved.

Page 4: Consumer Adoption of Social Media & the Evolution of the Social … · 2019-05-14 · Social networks emerging as social media hubs, potential entertainment aggregators 30% 35% 41%

Agenda

•How are consumers adopting social media?

•What’s going on in social media marketing?

•Can social networks be a real business?

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Ratings, UG-video approaching mass media status

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Social networking becoming ubiquitous

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Creators less widespread

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Net: More audience than authors, but ratio explodes traditional media norm

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Watching videos, doing

ratings drives decline in

“Inactives”

Page 9: Consumer Adoption of Social Media & the Evolution of the Social … · 2019-05-14 · Social networks emerging as social media hubs, potential entertainment aggregators 30% 35% 41%

Agenda

•How are consumers adopting social media?

•What’s going on in social media marketing?

•Can social networks be a real business?

9 Entire contents © 2009 Forrester Research, Inc. All rights reserved.

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US marketers increase social budgets even in downturn

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Social media leads interactive budget increases

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But budgets for social media marketing remain minuscule

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Last year, social media marketing was deemed valuable but unproven1

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Page 14: Consumer Adoption of Social Media & the Evolution of the Social … · 2019-05-14 · Social networks emerging as social media hubs, potential entertainment aggregators 30% 35% 41%

Agenda

•How are consumers adopting social media?

•What’s going on in social media marketing?

•Can social networks be a real business?

14 Entire contents © 2009 Forrester Research, Inc. All rights reserved.

Page 15: Consumer Adoption of Social Media & the Evolution of the Social … · 2019-05-14 · Social networks emerging as social media hubs, potential entertainment aggregators 30% 35% 41%

Social network business models

“Air”

Portal

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“Air”

Walled Garden

Page 16: Consumer Adoption of Social Media & the Evolution of the Social … · 2019-05-14 · Social networks emerging as social media hubs, potential entertainment aggregators 30% 35% 41%

Portal model faces threats from Google, social nets

37%

17%

22%

31%

53%

17%

17%

18%

23%

36%

51%

eBay

YouTube

Amazon

Microsoft, MSN, or Hotmail

Yahoo!

Google

Online Users

18-24

“Thinking about how you regularly use the Internet, which of the following do you consider indispensable? (Select all that apply)”

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21%

4%

25%

13%

28%

19%

24%

5%

8%

12%

13%

17%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

None

Other

Facebook

AOL

MySpace

eBay

Source:JupiterResearch/NPD Group Individual User Survey (6/08), n = 3,730 (US only)

Percentage of Segment

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Social networks emerging as social media hubs, potential entertainment aggregators

30%

35%

41%

48%

59%

Listen to music

Post photos or video

Update my status

Keep up with friends

View friends’ photos or videos

“Which of the following activities do you conduct on social networks monthly or more frequently? (Select all that apply)”

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8%

12%

15%

17%

18%

20%

23%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Become a fan of brands

Watch a professional video

Play games (e.g. Scrabulous)

Use as primary e-mail

Use as a search engine

Entertainment info

View strangers' photos or videos

Source:JupiterResearch/NPD Group Individual User Survey (6/08), n = 1,624 (US only)

Percentage of Social Network Users

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Two key social network audiences emerge

29%

19%

Entertainment UsersProfile Posters

Primary Motivation:

Primary Motivation:

Entertainment

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13%39%

Source: JupiterResearch/Ipsos Insight Individual User Survey (6/08), n = 1,623 (social network users) (US only)

Friend FollowersPassive Users

Primary Motivation:

Communication

Percentage of Social Network Users

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Share Consume(media, information)

(post, broadcast, share 1:1)

Marketers can tap entertainment media, then build out social marketing promise

“Easy money”

19 Entire contents © 2009 Forrester Research, Inc. All rights reserved.

Source: JupiterResearch (07/08)

Communicate

Join/Connect

(find or meet people with

common interests)

Follow(track friends, news, bands,

etc.)

(with known friends, colleagues)

Social marketing future

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Key takeaways

•Money likely from audience before authors

•Real social marketing still untapped

•Social networks can emulate portal model, should

build out marketing services

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Page 21: Consumer Adoption of Social Media & the Evolution of the Social … · 2019-05-14 · Social networks emerging as social media hubs, potential entertainment aggregators 30% 35% 41%

Thank you

David Card

+1 212/857-0788

[email protected]

Blog: http://blogs.forrester.com/agencies/david_card/

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Follow me @davidcard on Twitter

www.forrester.com