Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse · Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse Steven T. Knick USGS...

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Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse Steven T. Knick USGS Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center Boise, ID Central Nevada Greater Sage-Grouse Approaches for Prioritizing Management

Transcript of Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse · Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse Steven T. Knick USGS...

Page 1: Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse · Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse Steven T. Knick USGS Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center Boise, ID ... Coalbed Natural Gas Development,

Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse

Steven T. KnickUSGS Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center

Boise, ID

Central Nevada

Greater Sage-Grouse

Approaches for Prioritizing Management

Page 2: Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse · Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse Steven T. Knick USGS Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center Boise, ID ... Coalbed Natural Gas Development,

Greater Sage-GrouseWhy is conservation so challenging?

Broad range-wide distribution

Diversity of sagebrush environments

Complex dynamics

Wide variety of system stressors

Multiple land ownerships

Public lands managed for multiple use

Not all lands are equal

Eastern Nevada

Page 3: Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse · Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse Steven T. Knick USGS Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center Boise, ID ... Coalbed Natural Gas Development,

Coalbed Natural Gas Development, Wyoming

“The future ain’t what it used to be”Yogi Berra

Page 4: Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse · Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse Steven T. Knick USGS Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center Boise, ID ... Coalbed Natural Gas Development,

Coalbed Natural Gas Development, Wyoming

Naugle et al. 2011

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Coalbed Natural Gas Development, Wyoming

Page 6: Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse · Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse Steven T. Knick USGS Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center Boise, ID ... Coalbed Natural Gas Development,

±

0 250 500125Kilometers

Sage Grouse Leks

Sagebrush Habitat

Urban Areas

Agricultural Land

Power Lines

Major Roads

Fires

Oil and Gas Wells

0% - 15%

16% - 36%

37% - 62%

63% - 99%

Page 7: Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse · Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse Steven T. Knick USGS Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center Boise, ID ... Coalbed Natural Gas Development,
Page 8: Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse · Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse Steven T. Knick USGS Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center Boise, ID ... Coalbed Natural Gas Development,

Presentation Objectives

Illustrate the need to prioritize regions

Describe organization of sagebrush systems

Develop a strategy for conservation actions

Spatial modeling to delineate sage-grouse

distributions and focus restoration

“Conserve what we have, and improve or

restore what has been lost.”

Greater Sage-Grouse

Page 9: Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse · Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse Steven T. Knick USGS Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center Boise, ID ... Coalbed Natural Gas Development,

Healthy Lands InitiativeOregon-Idaho-Nevada Shrub-Steppe Landscape

The highest priority is to maintain sagebrush steppe

habitat followed by strategically restoring fragmented habitat. This action will conserve habitat for at-risk

wildlife species, such as sage-grouse, that are

dependent on large sagebrush communities.

Greater Sage-grouse

Northcentral Nevada

Page 10: Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse · Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse Steven T. Knick USGS Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center Boise, ID ... Coalbed Natural Gas Development,

The ChallengeGreat Basin Ecoregion (ha)

Area 29,304,818

Sources:

Knick et al. 2003

Wisdom et al. 2005

Meinke et al. 2009

Page 11: Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse · Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse Steven T. Knick USGS Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center Boise, ID ... Coalbed Natural Gas Development,

The ChallengeGreat Basin Ecoregion (ha)

Area 29,304,818

BLM Management 18,168,987

Central Nevada

Sources:

Knick et al. 2003

Wisdom et al. 2005

Meinke et al. 2009

Page 12: Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse · Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse Steven T. Knick USGS Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center Boise, ID ... Coalbed Natural Gas Development,

The ChallengeGreat Basin Ecoregion (ha)

Area 29,304,818

BLM Management 18,168,987

Sagebrush area 8,844,892

Southwestern Idaho

Steve Hanser

Sources:

Knick et al. 2003

Wisdom et al. 2005

Meinke et al. 2009

Page 13: Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse · Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse Steven T. Knick USGS Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center Boise, ID ... Coalbed Natural Gas Development,

The ChallengeGreat Basin Ecoregion (ha)

Area 29,304,818

BLM Management 18,168,987

Sagebrush area 8,844,892

Cheatgrass risk 4,787,161

Southern Idaho

Sources:

Knick et al. 2003

Wisdom et al. 2005

Meinke et al. 2009

Page 14: Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse · Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse Steven T. Knick USGS Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center Boise, ID ... Coalbed Natural Gas Development,

The ChallengeGreat Basin Ecoregion (ha)

Area 29,304,818

BLM Management 18,168,987

Sagebrush area 8,844,892

Cheatgrass risk 4,787,161

Area burned 506,279

Sources:

Knick et al. 2003

Wisdom et al. 2005

Meinke et al. 2009

Page 15: Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse · Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse Steven T. Knick USGS Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center Boise, ID ... Coalbed Natural Gas Development,

The ChallengeGreat Basin Ecoregion (ha)

Area 29,304,818

BLM Management 18,168,987

Sagebrush area 8,844,892

Cheatgrass risk 4,787,161

Area burned 506,279

Treatment area 9,308

Sources:

Knick et al. 2003

Wisdom et al. 2005

Meinke et al. 2009

Page 16: Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse · Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse Steven T. Knick USGS Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center Boise, ID ... Coalbed Natural Gas Development,

±

0 300 600150Kilometers

Large-Scale (18km) Fragmentation

State/Province

Boundaries

< 30

30 - 60

60 - 80

80 - 100

146 - 290

291 - 434

435 - 579

580 - 723

724 - 868

869 - 1,012

Sagebrush (%)

Page 17: Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse · Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse Steven T. Knick USGS Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center Boise, ID ... Coalbed Natural Gas Development,

Time

Space

Climate

Weather

Individuals

Populations

Species

Sites

Shrubs

Landscapes

Ecoregions

Hierarchical Organization

Biome

So, Nat'ralists observe, a Flea

Hath smaller Fleas that on him prey,

And these have smaller Fleas to bit 'em,

And so proceed ad infinitum.

Jonathan Swift 1733

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Shrubs Individuals

Populations

Sage-Grouse

range

Management Zone

Landscapes

Sites

Spatial scale (km2)

Tem

po

ral scale

(yr)

Leks

Core areas

0.1 1,000,0001,0001

100

10

1

Stands Management concepts

Sage-Grouse

Habitat

Disturbance space

Sage-GrouseSpace-time dimensions

Page 19: Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse · Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse Steven T. Knick USGS Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center Boise, ID ... Coalbed Natural Gas Development,

Conservation Goals

Delineate sage-grouse distributions

Identify optimal areas for sagebrush

conservation and restoration

Increase/maintain connectivity of sage-

grouse populations “The highest priority is to maintain

sagebrush steppe habitat followed by

strategically restoring fragmented

habitat. This action will conserve habitat for

at-risk wildlife species, such as sage-

grouse, that are dependent on large

sagebrush communities.”

“Conserve what we have, and improve or

restore what has been lost.”

Page 20: Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse · Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse Steven T. Knick USGS Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center Boise, ID ... Coalbed Natural Gas Development,

±

0 300 600150Kilometers

NGreater Sage-Grouse

Historical Range

Current Range

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Greater Sage-Grouse Populations

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Page 24: Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse · Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse Steven T. Knick USGS Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center Boise, ID ... Coalbed Natural Gas Development,
Page 25: Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse · Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse Steven T. Knick USGS Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center Boise, ID ... Coalbed Natural Gas Development,
Page 26: Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse · Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse Steven T. Knick USGS Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center Boise, ID ... Coalbed Natural Gas Development,
Page 27: Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse · Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse Steven T. Knick USGS Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center Boise, ID ... Coalbed Natural Gas Development,

Probability of Connectivity

Connectivity varies with:

(1) distance between leks

(2) differences in lek size

PCa a p

A

i

n

i j ijj

n

L

1 1

2

*

Number of leksSize of leks i and j

Total number of sage-grouse

Product of all probable

steps (dispersal distance)

between i and j

Page 28: Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse · Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse Steven T. Knick USGS Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center Boise, ID ... Coalbed Natural Gas Development,

Linkages: Active Sage-Grouse Leks

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Component Importance

State/Province

Boundaries

± 0 200 400100 km

0 - 0.1

0.1 - 0.25

0.25 - 0.5

0.5 - 0.75

0.75 - 1

1 - 2.5

2.5 - 5

5 - 7.5

7.5 - 10

10 - 30

Sage-Grouse: Breeding Components

Knick and Hanser 2011

Page 30: Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse · Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse Steven T. Knick USGS Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center Boise, ID ... Coalbed Natural Gas Development,

Sage-Grouse Components: Size and Area

Area (km2)

0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

Leks (N)

0 20 40 60 80 100

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

Cumulative Number of Components

Knick and Hanser 2011

Page 31: Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse · Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse Steven T. Knick USGS Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center Boise, ID ... Coalbed Natural Gas Development,

Conservation Goals

Delineate sage-grouse distributions

Identify optimal areas for sagebrush

conservation and restoration

Page 32: Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse · Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse Steven T. Knick USGS Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center Boise, ID ... Coalbed Natural Gas Development,

18km5km

50km 100km

1% - 25%

26% - 50%

51% - 75%

76% - 100%

Sagebrush (%)

State/Province

Boundaries

Sage-Grouse

Conservation

Area

±

0 300 600150Kilometers

±

0 300 600150Kilometers

±

0 300 600150Kilometers

±

0 300 600150Kilometers

Page 33: Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse · Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse Steven T. Knick USGS Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center Boise, ID ... Coalbed Natural Gas Development,

Sagebrush: Model Steps

Delineate:

(1) large-scale Wyoming or basin big

sagebrush distribution

(2) small-scale patterns of fragmentation

Southeastern Idaho

Page 34: Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse · Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse Steven T. Knick USGS Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center Boise, ID ... Coalbed Natural Gas Development,

Large-scale Patterns of Sagebrush Distribution

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Small-scale Patterns of Sagebrush Fragmentation

Page 36: Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse · Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse Steven T. Knick USGS Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center Boise, ID ... Coalbed Natural Gas Development,

Sagebrush: Model Steps

Delineate:

(1) large-scale Wyoming or basin big

sagebrush distribution

(2) small-scale patterns of fragmentation

Model optimal locations for sagebrush

Southeastern Idaho

Page 37: Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse · Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse Steven T. Knick USGS Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center Boise, ID ... Coalbed Natural Gas Development,

±0 1000 2,000500Kilometers

Elevation Precipitation

Depth to Rock Soil Salinity Soil pH

Average Water Capacity

Elevation (meters)

Precipitation (inches)

Average Water

Capacity

Depth to Rock (inches)

Soil Salinity

Soil pH

Low : 0

High : 25

Low : 0

High : 60

Low : 0

High : 21

Low : 3

High : 135

Low : -3

High : 4362

4 - 5

5 - 6

6 - 7

7 - 8

8 - 9

0 - 3

Page 38: Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse · Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse Steven T. Knick USGS Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center Boise, ID ... Coalbed Natural Gas Development,

Sagebrush: Model Steps

Delineate:

(1) large-scale Wyoming or basin big

sagebrush distribution

(2) small-scale patterns of fragmentation

Model optimal locations for sagebrush

Model risk of cheatgrass displacement

Southeastern Idaho

Page 39: Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse · Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse Steven T. Knick USGS Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center Boise, ID ... Coalbed Natural Gas Development,

4

2

3

State / Province

Boundaries

Geographic

Subdivisions

Probability of

Cheatgrass

Occurrence

Low

High

1. Columbia Basin

2. Snake River Plain

3. Northern Great

Basin

4. Southern Great

Basin

0 100 20050

Kilometers

Miller et al. 2011

Page 40: Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse · Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse Steven T. Knick USGS Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center Boise, ID ... Coalbed Natural Gas Development,

Predictive Model

Sage-grouse distribution

Optimal sagebrush environment

Cheatgrass

Landscape Components

Priority Region

4

2

3

1

Page 41: Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse · Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse Steven T. Knick USGS Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center Boise, ID ... Coalbed Natural Gas Development,

Restoration Priority

Medium

High

Cheatgrass Risk

High

Medium

Low

Meinke et al. 2009

Page 42: Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse · Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse Steven T. Knick USGS Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center Boise, ID ... Coalbed Natural Gas Development,

Conservation Goals

Delineate sage-grouse distributions

Identify optimal areas for sagebrush

conservation and restoration

Increase/maintain connectivity of sage-

grouse populations

Page 43: Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse · Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse Steven T. Knick USGS Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center Boise, ID ... Coalbed Natural Gas Development,

Component Importance

State/Province

Boundaries

± 0 200 400100 km

0 - 0.1

0.1 - 0.25

0.25 - 0.5

0.5 - 0.75

0.75 - 1

1 - 2.5

2.5 - 5

5 - 7.5

7.5 - 10

10 - 30

Sage-Grouse: Breeding Components

Knick and Hanser 2011

Page 44: Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse · Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse Steven T. Knick USGS Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center Boise, ID ... Coalbed Natural Gas Development,

Restoration Priority

High

Sage-Grouse

Breeding Component

Page 45: Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse · Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse Steven T. Knick USGS Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center Boise, ID ... Coalbed Natural Gas Development,

Conclusions

Available resources require prioritizing regions for sagebrush and sage-grouse conservation

Spatial modeling is an important tool to delineate sagebrush and sage-grouse

Conservation strategy based on conserving what we have and restoring what has been lost

“History and our current use of the vast landscapes dominated by

sagebrush can tell us much about land use, priorities, values, and

resource management. The future will tell others about the

effectiveness of conservation actions we implement today.”

(Knick and Connelly 2011)

Page 46: Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse · Conservation for Greater Sage-Grouse Steven T. Knick USGS Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center Boise, ID ... Coalbed Natural Gas Development,

U.S. Geological Survey

Idaho Department of Fish and Game

U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service

U.S. Bureau of Land Management

Western Association Fish and Wildlife Agencies

Nevada CAD Project; Wilburforce Foundation

Acknowledgments

Southcentral Utah

Jack Connelly