CONFLICT AND COMPROMISE and Public Opinion Public Protest on Health Care.
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Transcript of CONFLICT AND COMPROMISE and Public Opinion Public Protest on Health Care.
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CONFLICT AND COMPROMISE
and Public Opinion
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Public Protest on Health Care
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Obama on Health Care
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Political Messages Fuel the Debate
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The Tea Party Influence
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Doctors Weigh In
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Signing the Reform Bill
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What is Public Opinion?
• Citizens’ opinions about politics and government actions
• Why does public opinion matter?– Explains the behavior of citizens and public
officials– Motivates both citizens and public officials– Helps explain policy outcomes
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Early Theories of Public Opinion
– Original studies showed individual opinions as inconsistent, non-ideological, and uninformed.
– Some modern studies still confirm many of these initial findings.
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The New Theory of Public Opinion
• 3 Criticisms of Early Studies1. It isn’t surprising that many people don’t think
much about politics.
2. Opinions have been more consistent since the original studies in the 1950s.
3. Most importantly, the original studies were looking for the wrong thing.
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What Is Public Opinion?
• Some opinions are formed early and remain stable throughout a lifetime
• Others are more fluid and vary with events (latent opinions)
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What Is Public Opinion?
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Surveying Political Principles
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Liberal–Conservative Ideology in America
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Approval Ratings for President Barack Obama, 2009–2010
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Fears of Terrorist Attack
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Where Do Opinions Come From?
• Political Socialization: A process whereby political opinions are shaped by one’s parents, family, community, and culture
• Events
• Group Identity
• Political Realignment
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Where Do Opinions Come From?
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Where Do Opinions Come From?
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Politicians and Public Opinion
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Sampling Error in Mass Surveys
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Measuring Public Opinion
• Problems Measuring Public Opinion– Face-to-face interviewing is best, but it is
difficult to generate a random sample.– Random digit dialing is useful, but the inability
to call cell phone numbers may be a problem.– Robo-polls face criticism and doubts about
sample selection.
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The Impact of Question Wording: Attitudes on Abortion
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The Impact of Question Wording: Attitudes on Abortion
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Measuring Public Opinion
• The Accuracy of Public Opinion– Some of the claims that the public are
exceptionally ill-informed assume that people take surveys very seriously when, in fact, they may not.
– The more relevant the survey question is to one’s everyday life, the more seriously the respondent tends to treat the question.
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Measuring Public Opinion
• Survey results are most believable when:– The many problems with surveys are taken
seriously by the survey developer.
– The questions are simple to understand.
– The topic is familiar.
– Multiple surveys confirm the same result.
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Liberal–Conservative Ideology in America, 1970–2006
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Party Identification in America, 1970–2006
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Measuring American Public Opinion: Examples of Principles
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Measuring American Public Opinion: Examples of Principles
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Measuring American Public Opinion: Beliefs about Government
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Trust in Government
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Trust in Government
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Approval of Presidents, Senators, Governors, Congress, and Trust In Government
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Generic Approval and Consumer Sentiment
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Policy Mood
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Perceptions of The Wars in Iraq and Afghanistan
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Characteristics of American Public Opinion
• Economic Conditions• Americans are almost always worried about the economy.• But what is “the economy”?
– Gas prices– Unemployment– Grocery prices– Stock market– Home prices (the home is the most valuable asset most
people possess)
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Americans’ Diagnoses of The Most Important Economic Problems
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Americans’ Diagnoses of The Most Important Economic Problems
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Public Opinion on Health Care Reform, 2009–2010
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The Partisan Split Over Global Warming
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Generational and Partisan Differences on Gay Rights
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Does Public Opinion Matter?
• If not, then politicians, journalists, and political scientists spend a lot of time worrying about it for nothing.
• Some argue that the political process often ignores broad swaths of people, and this means that public opinion does not matter.
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Public Opinion Poll
Do you agree or disagree that the policies of the U.S. government represent the preferences and opinions of the American people?
a) Strongly agree
b) Agree
c) Disagree
d) Strongly disagree
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Public Opinion Poll
Americans vary enormously in their knowledge about government and politics, yet we treat all opinions as having equal weight. Should everyone’s political opinions be treated equally?
a) Yesb) No
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Public Opinion Poll
Do you believe the majority of your political opinions are based on a full understanding of the issues?
a) Yes
b) No
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Public Opinion Poll
Which of the following political values do you believe is most important?
a) Equality of opportunity
b) Liberty
c) Democracy
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Public Opinion Poll
Which of the following do you feel has had the greatest influence on your political values?
a) Family
b) Social groups (racial, religious, national)
c) Education
d) Political conditions/experiences
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Public Opinion Poll
Some commentators have pointed out that much of America is “purple,” rather than “red” or “blue.” To what extent do you agree or disagree that the red state/blue state stereotypes apply to your state?
a) Strongly agreeb) Agreec) Disagreed) Strongly Disagree
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Chapter 5: Public Opinion
• Practice quizzes
• Flashcards
• Outlines
wwnorton.com/studyspace
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Following this slide, you will find additional slides with photos, figures, and captions from the textbook.
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Tracking Events and Public Opinion, 2004–2010
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Early Theories of Public Opinion
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The New Theory of Public Opinion
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Where Do Opinions Come From?
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Measuring Public Opinion