Concentrating Solar Power fileSolar for Science > Hamburg > 19./20.5.2011 Slide 2 > Solar Research>...
Transcript of Concentrating Solar Power fileSolar for Science > Hamburg > 19./20.5.2011 Slide 2 > Solar Research>...
Solar for Science > Hamburg > 19./20.5.2011
Slide 2 > Solar Research> Pitz-Paal
Overview
Concentrating Solar Power
How does it work?
What is the difference to PV?
What are the essential parts?
How much land do they need?
Do we have enough material to produce many of them?
What is the difference between the different technologies?
What is today’s markt size?
How much does solar electricity cost today?
How to reduce the costs?
How can Europe and Mena benefit from a cooperation?
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Conventional power plants
How does it work ?
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Solar thermal power plants
How does it work ?
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Concentrating Solar Systems
Thermal Storage = More operating hours = Cost reduction
2000 h
+2000 h
75
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105
0 5 10 15
Storage capacity [full-load hours]
Rela
tive
ele
ctr
icit
y c
osts
[%
]
no storage,
electricity costs = 100%
* assuming specific investment costs for the storage of 10 Euro/kWh
Tageszeit
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Solar Anteil100%
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Solar Anteil100%
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Solar Anteil100%
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Use Direct and diffuse sunlight
Size from Watt to MW
Installation: everywhere (roof etc.)
Capacity: 700 – 2000 full load hours
Reserve capacity: External
Proofed life time: > 20 years
Annual production (2004) >25 000 GWh
LEC (today) 0,20 – 0,35 €/kWh
Direct sunlight
10 MW to a few hundred MW
flat unused land
2000 – 7000 full load hours
Internal (fossil operation)
> 20 years
> 2 500 GWh
0,15 – 0,25 €/kWh
Characteristics PV CSP
What is the difference to PV?
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What are their essential parts?
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How much land do they need?
1 km² of desert land yields up to 200 - 300 GWhe/year
1 km² of desert land equals 50 MW coal or gas plant
1 km² of desert land saves 500,000 bbl of oil / year
1 km² of desert land avoids 200,000 tons CO2 / year
1 km² of desert land can produce 165,000 m³ freshwater/day by desalination
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Do we have enough materials for solar collectors to
provide 10% of the worlds electricity demand in 2050?
Example: Eurotrough Parabolictrough Collector Field
*2,500 TWh
3 m² Kollektor <-> 1 MWh/y
Material Material per
mirror
surface
Material per
GWh produced
Material for
10% solar
electricity
supply*
Annual
production
(in year)
Steel 25 kg/m² 75 t/(GWh/y) 375 Mio. t 1100 Mio. t
(2005)
Glass 1 m²/m² 3000 m²/(GWh/y) 15 Billion m² 6,1 Billion m²
(2010)
Cement 10 kg/m² 30 t/ (GWh/y) 150 Mio t 1,6 Billion t
(1997)
Cooper 100 g/m² 300 kg/(GWh/y) 1,5 Mio t 12,6 Mio t/y
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What is the difference between the different technologies?
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What is today’s market size?
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How much does solar electricity cost today?
Depends on many things..
Solar Ressource, Market condition, duration of contract, radiation, financing conditions, power size…
Example Spain
up to 27 €-cent/kWh in Spain
Revenues ensured over the life-time of the power plant (25 years )
Units up to 50MW
Hybrid operation allowed to buffer or cloud transients (12-15%)
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How much does solar electricity cost today?
Comparison based on “Levelized Cost of Electricity”
Calculation based on Data form US Department of Energy 2010,
(Currency conversion 2010 $/€ = 0.755)
Technology LCoE Capacity EPC cost Cap factor Fuel costs O&M fix O&M var
€c/kWh MW €/kW_e (-) €c/kWh_e €/kW/y €c/kWh_e CSP: 100 MW
w/o storage (Arizona) 17,9 100 3542 0,28 0 48 0 Pulverized coal:
650 MW: base-
load 6,9 650 2391 0,90 2,9 27 0,3 Pulverized coal:
650 MW: mid-
load 9,0 650 2391 0,57 2,9 27 0,3 Gas combined
cycle mid-load 6,1 540 738 0,40 3,2 11 0,3 Wind onshore:
100MW 8,5 100 1841 0,30 0 21 0 Wind offshore:
400 MW 15,3 400 4511 0,40 0 40 0 Photovoltaic: 150
MW (Arizona): 21,2 150 3590 0,22 0 13 0
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How to reduce costs of CSP systems ?
Reduce component cost by better design and better
manufacturing process (mass production)
Increase system efficiency
Increase number of operating hours by adding thermal energy
storage
Use larger power block units
Reduce O&M cost by automated operation, better component
lifetime, larger units
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How to reduce cost?
Calculation based on a learning rate of 15%,
(CSP high) o 30% growth rate per year / CSP low 15% growth rate per year
Fuel price increase of 3% per year
0,0
20,0
40,0
60,0
80,0
100,0
120,0
140,0
160,0
180,0
200,0
2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040
Year
LCo
E (E
UR
/MW
h)
Exponentiell (CSPhigh)
Linear (Coal base)
Linear (Coal mid)
Linear (Gas)
Exponentiell (CSPlow)
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Development of MENA electricity demand, and its coverage by power
plants already existing in 2000
significant increase due
to economic and
population growth
significant investments
required for new plants
window of opportunity
for sustainable local electricity and water
supply
potential of future
electricity exports
unique opportunity for
closer economic,
political and social links with Europe
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Renewable energy resources in Europe and MENA in brackets: (max. yield in GWhel / km² /y)
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Morocco, Algeria, Tunisia, Libya, Egypt, Iran, Iraq, Jordan, Israel, Lebanon, Syria, Saudi Arabia, Yemen, Oman, United
Arab Emirates, Kuwait, Qatar, Bahrain
Middle East & North Africa
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500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Year
Ele
ctr
icity [
TW
h/y
]
Desalination
Export Solar
Photovoltaics
Wind
Geothermal
Hydropower
Biomass
Wave / Tidal
CSP Plants
Oil / Gas
Coal
Nuclear
Electricity Supply in the Middle East & North Africa
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www.desertec.org
Hydrogen electrolysis and fuel
cells: very high costs and 75%
energy losses
AC / HVAC lines: high cost and
45% / 25% energy losses
800 kV HVDC lines: lowest
costs and 10% energy losses
Vision on electricity transfer from MENA to EU
over a distance of 3000 km
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TRANS-CSP: Electricity Generation in Europe Electricity Production and Import All Countries
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Year
Ele
ctr
icity [T
Wh
/y]
Import Solar
Import Other
Photovoltaics
Wind
Geothermal
Hydropower
Biomass
Wave / Tidal
CSP Plants
Oil
Gas
Coal
Nuclear
5 resources,
mostly imported and limited
10 resources,
mostly domestic and unlimited
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