Company Initiation - StocksBNB · 11/7/2016 · presentation are based on such information and are...
Transcript of Company Initiation - StocksBNB · 11/7/2016 · presentation are based on such information and are...
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Company Initiation
Old Chang Kee
Company Results
China Aviation Oil
DBS Group Holdings
iFAST Corporation
SIA Engineering Company
7 Nov 16, 8.15am/11.15am Morning Call/Webinar
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2
Disclaimer
The information contained in this presentation has been obtained from public sources which Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (“PSPL”) has no reason to
believe are unreliable and any analysis, forecasts, projections, expectations and opinions (collectively the “Research”) contained in this
presentation are based on such information and are expressions of belief only. PSPL has not verified this information and no representation or
warranty, express or implied, is made that such information or Research is accurate, complete or verified or should be relied upon as such. Any
such information or Research contained in this presentation is subject to change, and PSPL shall not have any responsibility to maintain the
information or Research made available or to supply any corrections, updates or releases in connection therewith. In no event will PSPL be
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particular needs of any particular person.
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objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to invest in such products.
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Old Chang Kee Ltd.
(SGX: 5ML)
Puffing up capacity and margins
Soh Lin SIn
Phillip Securities Research Pte Ltd
7 November 2016
Sub-Brands:
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4
Previous Close (4th Nov 2016) : $0.715
Target Price : $0.98 (“Buy”)
Forecasted Dividend (FY17) : 3.0 Cents (Dividend yield 4.2%)
52-week range : $0.61 – $0.74
Market Capitalisation : $86.78 billion
OCK Snapshot
Source: Bloomberg
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5
Completion of factory redevelopment targeted for 1QFY18F
Additional product lines at better margins to drive earnings
Expect earnings to grow 8.9% CAGR over the next three years, i.e.
FY19F PATMI to surge 29% from FY16
Inorganic and organic growth through new stores and higher same store
sales
Improved free cash flow profile post-consolidation could lead to higher
dividends
Competitive advantage are difficult for competitors to replicate
Perceived product differentiation through a trusted brand; and
Operating scale and technical skills
Old Chang Kee (BUY, TP: S$0.98, Last: S$0.715)
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6
Principally engaged in the manufacture and sale of Halal-
certified food products of consistent quality under the
brand name “Old Chang Kee”
Signature product is the well-known Old Chang Kee
curry puff
Currently has more than 30 food products
Offers breakfast items and local delights meals at
selected retail outlets
Also owns other subsidiary brands such as Take 5, Curry
Times, Bun Times, Mushroom Cafe, and Dip ‘n’ Go
Listed on the SGX Catalist board on 16 Jan 2008, with an
IPO of 25mn new shares at S$0.20
Company Background
Source: Company website
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7
Ramping up production capacity and
margins
With only its original factory facility at 2
Woodlands Terrace, SSSG has been
stagnating at 1-2% due to resources
constraint
Acquired 2 factory facilities in 2011/12
(i) Iskandar Malaysia
(ii) 4 Woodlands Terrace (“New Factory”)
Construction works for both new factory
facilities have been fully completed in
FY16 and have commenced operations
Old brand, New strategy
Calendar Year Example of new flavours/ products
2014
2015
2016
Source: Company
Same Store Sales
Source: Company, PSR est.
0.6%
1.3%
2.2%
0%
1%
2%
3%
820
830
840
850
860
870
880
FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16
(S$'000)Same store sales Growth (%)
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8
NOW, reconstructing its original factory facility at 2 Woodlands Terrace to
be fully integrated with the adjacent New Factory
Expected to complete in June 2017 (1QFY18)
Expected to increase capacity by 60%, from 50,000 puffs/day to 80,000
puffs/day
Additional production space (almost double) to provide additional
capacity for its product innovations
Expect higher SSSG, driven by (i) new flavours, and (ii) new products
Expect margins improvement, benefitting from (i) economies of scale
and higher productivity from the new machines, and (ii) more higher
margin products to be rolled out
Integrated factory to drive SSSG and margins
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9
Factory facilities at Woodlands Terrace (as of Jul-16)
The enlarged food facilities both in Singapore and Iskandar Malaysia should
bode well with its strategy to expand operations, introduce new lines of food
products, and to grow its business both locally and regionally
Source: www.google.com.sg/maps
4 Woodlands Terrace (New Factory) Original 2 Woodlands Terrace (under reconstruction)
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10
Higher SSSG driven by more product offerings
New flavours of puffs (core product, >30%
of total sales)
Expect to boost sales volume 3-10% higher
New products and Ready Meals with
higher price point and higher margins
Could increase per-ticket averages and fetch
higher margins compared the other OCK
products
With new flavours and products inducing higher
SSSG, coupled with improved margins from
realisation of manufacturing efficiencies, we
expect earnings to grow 8.9% CAGR over the
next three years, i.e. FY19F PATMI to surge
29% from FY16
Target a new product/flavour every 2-3 months
Source: Company website
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Growing demand for takeaway and convenience foods
According to the latest Household Expenditure Survey 2012/13 by the Ministry
of Trade & Industry, between 2002/03 and 2012/13:
OCK offers wide range of affordable food products which cost around S$1
to S$2 each; and the “grab-and-go” ready foods fit well in the bustling
city lifestyle
Favourable trend underpins OCK’s new strategy
918 1,1691,734
798949
1,188615
700
811
449
383
399
195
235
310
171
218
261
172
210
217
127
143
156
353
426
695
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
2002/03 2007/08 2012/13
Housing and Related Expenditure FoodTransport Recreation and CultureEducational Services HealthCommunication Clothing and FootwearOthers
3.5% p.a.4.6% p.a.
Source: SingStat
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
2002/03 2007/08 2012/13
Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages Food Serving Services
Source: SingStat
Average Monthly Household Expenditure (S$) Average Monthly Household Expenditure on Food
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Yet to reach market saturation with a total of 77 OCK retail outlets
No targeted store count
Provide more access points for impulsive buying; even at the same mall
or area where it already has presence in
Increasing store count to capture growing demand
OCK retail outlets
Source: www.streetdirectory.com
Two adjacent OCK retail outlets at Choa Chu Kang
Source: www.google.com.sg/maps
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13
Current retail scene of more conversion of retail shops into F&B outlets
and suburban mall makeovers, offer opportunities for OCK to expand
store count as well as store space
More than 50% of OCK retail outlets in Singapore are based in shopping
malls
Could draw higher footfall post-renovations, thus potentially translate to
higher sales
Present opportunities to move to bigger store space to accommodate a
seating area for dine-in customers, or convert into a 2-in-1 concept store
2-in-1 concept combines an OCK store with one of its sub-brands
Optimises manpower and resources (store space and kitchen area)
Enhances OCK’s visibility and also opens up more avenues for OCK to
open new stores
Favourable macro trend offers opportunities
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14
Increasing free cash flows can sustain dividend payout above 60%, which
could translate to 5.6% dividend yield from FY19F onwards
No fixed dividend policy, but has track record of paying dividends every
year since listing
Currently has c.S$6 mn outstanding CapEx to be funded via bank loan,
net cash position of S$11.1 mn as at end-FY16; expect no big ticket
CapEx after the completion of its new integrated factory by 1QFY18
Potentially higher dividend from FY19F onwards
Dividend Per Share (SGD Cents) and Payout Ratio (%)
Source: Company, PSR est.
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
160%
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
Ordinary Special
Payout ratio (%) Payout ratio, ordinary (%)
Free Cash Flow
Source: Company, PSR est.
(2,000)
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
FY14: Commenced construction works for
new factory facilities
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Strong brand name recognition, which also allows OCK to charge a
premium for its products
One of the Best Fast-Food Chains in the World by Travel+Leisure in 2012
Influential Brands Awards as the Top Brand under the F&B Kiosk category
for 2013, 2014, 2015
No. 2 Best Curry Puff in Singapore in The Sunday Times on 5 July 2015
Economies of scale and technical skills
Central kitchen to processes raw materials and produces a range of pastes,
powder, pastry dough and filling, as well as packaged food
Pervasive market penetration through its network of 77 conveniently-
located retail outlets
Enviable distribution network also further fortifies its brand recognition
Diversified customer base
Halal-certification
Economic moats
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SSSG +2.5% in FY17-18F and +3.0% in FY19F onwards
New integrated factory (targeted to complete by 1QFY18) will provide the
necessary capacity for new product offerings and improve margins
One net store opening for each year from FY18F onwards
Assumptions
Same Store Sales
Source: Company, PSR est.
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
780
800
820
840
860
880
900
920
940
960
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17F FY18F FY19F
(S$'000)Same store sales Growth (%)
Retail store outlets: Revenue and store count
Source: Company, PSR est.
70
75
80
85
90
95
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17F FY18F FY19F
Revenue No. of outlets
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17
Margins improvement from:
Productivity and operating efficiency; and
Change of product mix: Introduction of more high-value products (e.g.
Ready Meals)
Assumptions
Gross Margin
Source: Company, PSR est.
62.2%62.4%
63.1% 63.1%
63.5%
64.0%
61%
62%
63%
64%
65%
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17F FY18F FY19F
EBITDA and Net Margins
Source: Company, PSR est.
17.4%16.6%
15.8% 15.9% 15.9%16.9%
8.7%7.4% 6.7% 6.6% 6.7%
7.7%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17F FY18F FY19F
EBITDA Net
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18
Operating expenses to normalise to c.54% of revenue on easier property
and labour markets
Improved margins to lift FY19 earnings growth back to near FY14’s level at
c.20%
Assumptions
Costs % Revenue
Source: Company, PSR est.
36.8%38.9%
40.9% 41.0% 41.0% 40.0%
14.7% 14.3% 14.6% 14.6% 14.6% 14.3%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17F FY18F FY19F
Selling and distribution expenses
Administrative expenses
Revenue, EBITDA and PATMI Growth (%)
Source: Company, PSR est.
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17F FY18F FY19F
Revenue EBITDA Net
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19
Maintaining negative cash conversion cycle (5-yr historical avg. at -68 days)
Increasing cash flow and normalised CapEx, dividends to increase from 3.0
cents in FY18F to 4.0 cents in FY19F, translating to a 5.6% yield
Assumptions
15M2012 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17F FY18F FY19F
Days Inventory Outstanding 10 13 10 8 8 8 8 8
Days Sales Outstanding 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Days Payable Outstanding 64 75 79 78 84 85 80 80
Cash Conversion Cycle (52) (60) (69) (70) (75) (76) (71) (71)
Source: Company, PSR est.
Cash Conversion Cycle
Dividend Per Share (SGD Cents) and Payout Ratio (%)
Source: Company, PSR est.
30%
69%
146%
71% 68%
76%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
160%
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0Ordinary Special Payout ratio (%)
Dividend Yield (%)
Source: Company, PSR est.
1.7%
3.8%
7.5%
4.5% 4.2%
5.6%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
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20
DCF valuation of S$0.98
New production facilities increases
capacity and would improve productivity as
well as operating efficiencies
New product offerings would improve its
product mix
Growing store count underpinned by
favourable macro environment
Potentially higher dividend payout, which
could translate to c.5.6% yield from FY19F
onwards
Item WACC Target
A Share price (as of 4-Nov-16) 0.71
B No. of shares ('000) 121,375
A x B = C Market capitalisation (S$ '000) 86,176
D Total debt (S$ '000) 13,121
C + D = E Total market value (S$ '000) 99,297
C / E Equity ratio 87%
D / E Debt ratio 13%
Cost of debt
Interest rate 1.3%
Tax rate 17.0%
After-tax interest 1.1%
Cost of equity
Risk free rate 2.0%
Market risk premium 6.5%
Beta 0.8
Cost of equity 7.2%
WACC 6.4%
Terminal growth rate 1.0%
Item Financials (S$'000)
Year FY17e FY18e FY19e FY20e FY21e
OCF 9,538 10,017 11,513 12,056 12,537
Capex (7,770) (5,243) (5,461) (5,686) (5,920)
Interest expense * (1-t) 257 200 208 145 75
FCFF 2,026 4,973 6,260 6,514 6,692
Terminal value 125,362
PV 1,904 4,394 5,199 5,084 96,877
F Firm value 113,457
G Add: Net Cash/ (Debt) 5,314
H Less: Minority Interest 0
F + G - H = I Equity value 118,772
J No. of shares ('000) 121,375
I / J Fair value/share (S$) 0.98
Cash Flow
DCF Sensitivity
0.5% 1.0% 1.5%
5.40% 1.10$ 1.20$ 1.33$
6.40% 0.91$ 0.98$ 1.06$
7.40% 0.78$ 0.82$ 0.88$
WACC%
Assumed Perpetual Growth %
Scenario analysis
FY17e FY18e FY19e FY20e FY21e TP (DCF)
2.5% 3.5% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 1.05$
2.5% 2.5% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 0.98$
2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 0.96$ Bear case scenario
SSSG (%)
Bull case scenario
Base case scenario
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21
Valuation
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
Nov-15 Feb-16 May-16 Aug-16
Source: Bloomberg, PSR est.OCK
STI (Rebased)
Catalist Index (Rebased)
5
7
9
11
13
15
17
19
21
23
25
Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16
Source: Bloomberg, PSR est.
-1 std. dev.
+1 std. dev.
5-yr avg.
Market rerated OCK when it
commenced its construction
projects for the two newly
acquired factories in FY14
Realisation of the manufacturing
productivity and efficiency could
lead to a further rerating catalyst
for the stock
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22
Despite its smaller operating scale, OCK has higher than peers average’s
margins, dividend yield and return on equity (ROE)
OCK currently trades at a 17.3x FY16 PER, which is c.30% discount to its
Singapore packaged food peers’ 24.8x
Peer Comparison
ComparablesBloomberg
Ticker Company FYE
Mkt Cap
(SGD mn)
EV
(SGD mn)
Gorss
Margin
Operating
Margin
Net
Margin
P/E
TTM
P/E
FY1 P/B
Div Yield
(%)
Div Yield
FY1 (%)
Net D/E
(%) ROE (%)
OCK SP Old Chang Kee Ltd 03/2016 86 74 63 10.1 6.7 17.3 N/A 2.5 8.5 N/A Net Cash 14.6
Simple Average (Excl. OCK) 39 4.1 -1.0 24.8 18.1 2.1 4.3 3.6 38.3 -7.3
ABR SP ABR Holdings Ltd 12/2015 139 59 46 9.3 7.6 18.3 N/A 1.4 3.6 N/A Net Cash 7.8
QAF SP QAF Ltd 12/2015 744 736 47 7.0 5.3 10.3 10.2 1.6 3.8 N/A Net Cash 16.7
BREAD SP BreadTalk Group Ltd 12/2015 281 392 53 5.6 1.2 34.5 22.2 2.2 2.9 1.8 68.0 5.6
AP SP Auric Pacific Group Ltd 12/2015 146 77 42 2.0 -9.4 N/A 9.7 0.9 N/A N/A Net Cash -20.5
DELFI SP Delfi Ltd 12/2015 1,387 1,400 30 6.9 -1.2 N/A 30.3 4.9 6.9 5.5 Net Cash -1.4
FEH SP Food Empire Holdings Ltd 12/2015 162 192 N/A 6.8 0.1 36.1 N/A 0.8 N/A N/A 8.7 2.3
CSFG SP China Star Food Group Ltd 03/2016 60 25 44 24.1 3.4 N/A N/A 0.9 N/A N/A Net Cash -25.8
SMOON SP Sunmoon Food Co Ltd 12/2015 36 33 7 -29.2 -14.9 N/A N/A 4.3 N/A N/A Net Cash -43.0
Source: Bloomberg
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23
Investment Risks
1. Intensifying competition due to low barrier to entry.
2. Rising operating expenses, particularly rental and labour costs, which could
compress margins. OCK is also subjected to risk of foreign worker levy
increase as 40-50% of its direct labours are foreigners.
3. Execution risks: (a) Unable to renew leases on favourable terms and
conditions, or unable to secure new strategic locations; and (b) regulatory
and licensing risks
4. Outsourcing risks: OCK has two major suppliers and contract
manufacturers
5. Others: (a) Change in consumers’ taste and preferences; (b) Food scare; (c)
Outbreak of food-related diseases; (d) FX risks (no hedging policy), mainly in
THB and MYR; (e) Change of tenant mix, revamp or closure of shopping
malls in which its retail outlets are located.
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24
[Recap] OCK(Buy, TP: S$0.98, Last: S$0.715)
Completion of factory redevelopment targeted for 1QFY18F
Additional product lines at better margins to drive earnings
Expect earnings to grow 8.9% CAGR over the next three years, i.e.
FY19F PATMI to surge 29% from FY16
Inorganic and organic growth through new stores and higher same store
sales
Improved free cash flow profile post-consolidation could lead to higher
dividends
Competitive advantage are difficult for competitors to replicate
Perceived product differentiation through a trusted brand; and
Operating scale and technical skills
Disclaimer: The information contained in this document is intended only for use during the presentation and should not be disseminated or distributed to parties outside the presentation. Phillip Securities accepts no liability whatsoever with respect to the use of this document or its contents.
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China Aviation (Singapore) Oil
Maintain outperformance
Chen Guangzhi
Phillip Securities Research Pte Ltd
7 November 2016
Disclaimer: The information contained in this document is intended only for use during the presentation and should not be disseminated or distributed to parties outside the presentation. Phillip Securities accepts no liability whatsoever with respect to the use of this document or its contents.
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Revenue YTD breakdown
Middle distillates: down 1.8% to US$5.5bn
Other oil products: up 110.2% to US$2.9bn
Total trading volume grew by 67.2% y-o-y YTD
Jet fuel supply and trading: up 19.4% to 10.88mn tonnes
Other oil products supply and trading: 128% up to 12.36mn tonnes
Net profit YTD is higher than US$61.3mn of full year profit in FY15
Cash hoard: US$232.8mn as of Sep-16
China Aviation (Singapore) Oil(Buy, TP:$1.92 (prev. S$1.92), Last:S$1.40)
Results at a glance
(US$ mn) 9M16 9M15 y-y (%) Comments
Revenue 8,427.5 7,004.4 20.3 Due mainly to the increase in total trading volume of jet fuel and other oil
products. (9M16: 24.29mn tonnes vs 9M15:14.53mn tonnes)
Gross profit 33.5 27.4 21.9 Due mainly to the increase in jet fuel volume imported to China and higher gains
from trading and optimisation activities
Operating profit 20.5 19.2 6.7 Due mainly to higher administrative costs and higher other operating expenses
Associates and JVs 53.0 32.5 62.9 Due mainly to higher profit contributions from Pudong (US$47.0mn in 9M16 vs
US$30.8mn in 9M15) and OKYC (US$3.9mn in 1H16 vs loss of US$0.1mn in
9M15)
Net profit 71.0 49.9 42.4 Due to higher deferred tax liabilities and provision of income tax
Source: Company , Phillip Securities Research (Singapore)
Disclaimer: The information contained in this document is intended only for use during the presentation and should not be disseminated or distributed to parties outside the presentation. Phillip Securities accepts no liability whatsoever with respect to the use of this document or its contents.
Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (A member of PhillipCapital) Co. Reg. No. 197501035Z © PhillipCapital 2016. All Rights Reserved. For internal circulation only.
DBS Group Holdings Ltd
Asset Quality is the Red Herring
Jeremy Teong
Phillip Securities Research Pte Ltd
07 November 2016
Disclaimer: The information contained in this document is intended only for use during the presentation and should not be disseminated or distributed to parties outside the presentation. Phillip Securities accepts no liability whatsoever with respect to the use of this document or its contents.
Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (A member of PhillipCapital) Co. Reg. No. 197501035Z © PhillipCapital 2016. All Rights Reserved. For internal circulation only.
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Vulnerable to NIM weakness in low interest rate envionment
Avg. Rates on interest earning assets fell 11bps. Avg. Rates on interest bearing liabilities fell 1bps.
DBS’ Loan-to-Deposit ratio is pushing to a high of c.90%
Ask how to grow income to deal with deteriorating asset quality. Not ask why asset quality is poorer than peers.
Strong fee and commission income supports performance
Wealth Management, up 47% y-o-y from higher bancassurance contributions.
Investment Banking, up 74% y-o-y from higher equity market, fixed income fees and increased advisory activities.
Cards, up 15% y-o-y from growth in credit and debit card transactions.
Boost from ANZ acquisition wealth and retail business in five markets
Access to S$11bn worth of customer loans, representing 3.74% of DBS’ customer loans and S$17bn worth of
customer deposits, representing 5.24% of DBS’ customer deposits.
Grow its Cards and Wealth Management franchise across this customer base.
DBS Group Holdings Ltd(Maintain Accumulate. Lower TP:S$15.71, previously S$16.09. Last:S$14.93)
Results at a glance
(SGD mn) 3Q16 3Q15 y-o-y (%) 2Q16 q-o-q (%) Comments
Net interest income 1,815 1,813 0.1% 1,833 -1.0% NIMs -1bps y-o-y, loans +1.8% yoy
Net Fees & Comm income 614 517 18.8% 628 -2.2% Higher WM, Investment Banking fees
and Cards
Other Non-interest income 500 382 30.9% 458 9.2% Higher Net income from investment
securities and Net trading Income
Total Income 2,929 2,712 8.0% 2,919 0.3%
Expenses 1,199 1,259 -4.8% 1,285 -6.7%
Credit Allowance 436 178 144.9% 366 19.1%S$169mn charged to general
allowance for prudent measure
Net Profit 1,102 1,093 0.8% 1,079 2.1%
Source: Company, PSR
Disclaimer: The information contained in this document is intended only for use during the presentation and should not be disseminated or distributed to parties outside the presentation. Phillip Securities accepts no liability whatsoever with respect to the use of this document or its contents.
Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (A member of PhillipCapital) Co. Reg. No. 197501035Z © PhillipCapital 2016. All Rights Reserved. For internal circulation only.
iFAST Corporation Ltd
Expansion plans gaining traction
Jeremy Teong
Phillip Securities Research Pte Ltd
07 November 2016
Disclaimer: The information contained in this document is intended only for use during the presentation and should not be disseminated or distributed to parties outside the presentation. Phillip Securities accepts no liability whatsoever with respect to the use of this document or its contents.
Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (A member of PhillipCapital) Co. Reg. No. 197501035Z © PhillipCapital 2016. All Rights Reserved. For internal circulation only.
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Current Strategies
The Singapore business is targeting to launch the stockbroking business at the end of 2016/early 2017
Hong Kong business has launched its stock broking capabilities for the B2B platform.
Malaysia business introduced insurance products distribution on its B2C platform in 3Q16
In 3Q16, the Chinese business has signed up 35 Fund Houses with over 1,400 funds on the platform, a strong
improvement from 20 Fund Houses with over 1,000 funds in 2Q16.
Near term catalyst
RMB initiatives to engage corporates and equity investment funds from Chongqing, Suzhou and Tianjin
iFAST Corporation Ltd(Maintain Buy. Maintain TP:S$1.275. Last:S$0.84)
Results at a glance
(SGD mn) 3Q16 3Q15 y-o-y (%) 2Q16 q-o-q (%) Comments
Recurring net revenue 9.13 8.45 8% 8.42 8%Higher AUA and recovery of global fin. mkt.
after Brexi t
Non-recurring net revenue 1.55 1.69 -8% 1.26 23%Decrease in comm. income as a result of weak
investment appeti te
Total Net Revenue 10.7 10.1 5% 9.7 10%
Other operating income 0.31 0.29 7% 0.30 5% Higher investment income
Staff costs 4.75 4.52 5% 4.76 0%Annual sa lary increment in Jan. More s taff for
China ops
Other operating expenses 3.58 2.67 34% 3.37 6%IT maintenance & services . Advertis ing and
promotion costs
Operating profit 1.86 2.85 -35% 1.11 67%
Net Finance Income 0.18 0.25 -26% 0.20 -10%Lower interest rates . Redemption of bond
investments
PATMI 1.91 2.95 -35% 1.14 67%
Source: Company, Phill ip Securities Research (Singapore)
Disclaimer: The information contained in this document is intended only for use during the presentation and should not be disseminated or distributed to parties outside the presentation. Phillip Securities accepts no liability whatsoever with respect to the use of this document or its contents.
Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (A member of PhillipCapital) Co. Reg. No. 197501035Z © PhillipCapital 2016. All Rights Reserved. For internal circulation only.
SIA Engineering Company Ltd
Not cleared for take-off
Richard Leow
Phillip Securities Research Pte Ltd
7 November 2016
Disclaimer: The information contained in this document is intended only for use during the presentation and should not be disseminated or distributed to parties outside the presentation. Phillip Securities accepts no liability whatsoever with respect to the use of this document or its contents.
Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (A member of PhillipCapital) Co. Reg. No. 197501035Z © PhillipCapital 2016. All Rights Reserved. For internal circulation only.
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Restructuring of services and partnering with OEM
Amalgamation of Rolls-Royce JVs: SAESL & IECO
Heavy Maintenance JV with Airbus: HMS Services
Integration of Pratt & Whitney JVs: CAS & IAT-A
Lower interim dividend declared; lowered our full year forecast by 0.5 cent
Interim dividend 4.0 cents, lower than previous year's 6.0 cents
Divestment gains not likely to translate fully to a special dividend
Reinvest in technology and build up capabilities
SIA Engineering Company Ltd(Reduce, TP:S$3.28, FY17e DPS: 13.5 cents (3.7%), Last:S$3.64)Results at a glance
(SGD mn) 2Q17 2Q16 yoy (%) Comments
Revenue 264.8 266.0 (0.5) Lower fleet management, mitigated by higher line maintenance
EBIT 24.5 27.0 (9.3) Higher materia l and staff costs , offset by lower subcontract costs
Associates & JVs 17.2 18.7 (8.0) Contributions from engine repair and overhaul centres was 18.8% lower
PATMI, reported 35.5 44.5 (20.2) 2Q16 included S$2.8mn one-off gain from partial disposal of associate, and a S$1.5mn
dividend from HAESL which ceased upon its divestment
PATMI, adjusted 35.5 40.2 (11.7) Adjusted for one-off and non-recurring
Source: Company, Phi l l ip Securi ties Research (Singapore)
Disclaimer: The information contained in this document is intended only for use during the presentation and should not be disseminated or distributed to parties outside the presentation. Phillip Securities accepts no liability whatsoever with respect to the use of this document or its contents.
Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (A member of PhillipCapital) Co. Reg. No. 197501035Z © PhillipCapital 2016. All Rights Reserved. For internal circulation only.
33
SIA Engineering Company Ltd(Reduce, TP:S$3.28, FY17e DPS: 13.5 cents (3.7%), Last:S$3.64)
Disclaimer: The information contained in this document is intended only for use during the presentation and should not be disseminated or distributed to parties outside the presentation. Phillip Securities accepts no liability whatsoever with respect to the use of this document or its contents.
Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (A member of PhillipCapital) Co. Reg. No. 197501035Z © PhillipCapital 2016. All Rights Reserved. For internal circulation only.
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Disclaimer: The information contained in this document is intended only for use during the presentation and should not be disseminated or distributed to parties outside the presentation. Phillip Securities accepts no liability whatsoever with respect to the use of this document or its contents.
Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (A member of PhillipCapital) Co. Reg. No. 197501035Z © PhillipCapital 2016. All Rights Reserved. For internal circulation only.
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Analysts Pei Sai Teng, Macro
Jeremy Ng, Technical Analysis
Jeremy Teong, Banking & Finance
Soh Lin Sin, Consumer | Healthcare
Richard Leow, Transport | REITs (Industrial)
Dehong Tan, REITs (Commercial, Retail, Healthcare) | Property
Peter Ng, Property | Infrastructure
Ho Kang Wei, US Equity
Chen Guangzhi, Oil and Gas | Energy
By Phillip Securities ResearchMohamed Amiruddin, Operations Exec
Ask Questions!
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