Comfortably Numb - Horter Investment Management, LLC · Comfortably Numb John McClure: President &...

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Comfortably Numb John McClure: President & CIO December, 2017 ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc. 7761 W Riverside Drive, Suite 210 Boise, ID 83714

Transcript of Comfortably Numb - Horter Investment Management, LLC · Comfortably Numb John McClure: President &...

Page 1: Comfortably Numb - Horter Investment Management, LLC · Comfortably Numb John McClure: President & CIO December, 2017 ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc. 7761 W Riverside Drive,

Comfortably NumbJohn McClure: President & CIO

December, 2017

ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc.7761 W Riverside Drive, Suite 210Boise, ID 83714

Page 2: Comfortably Numb - Horter Investment Management, LLC · Comfortably Numb John McClure: President & CIO December, 2017 ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc. 7761 W Riverside Drive,

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Look closely at the table. Try to find another year without a red month.

Page 3: Comfortably Numb - Horter Investment Management, LLC · Comfortably Numb John McClure: President & CIO December, 2017 ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc. 7761 W Riverside Drive,

Parabolic Growth In Worldwide Market Capitalization100 Trillion

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Based on history, how do you think this will end?

Real estate has never had a loosing year.

ALL TIME LOW Equity Market

Volatility.

Market coming off Long-term volatility lows

Page 4: Comfortably Numb - Horter Investment Management, LLC · Comfortably Numb John McClure: President & CIO December, 2017 ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc. 7761 W Riverside Drive,

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2017 Average VIX – 11.39 (Lowest Ever Recorded)

Page 5: Comfortably Numb - Horter Investment Management, LLC · Comfortably Numb John McClure: President & CIO December, 2017 ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc. 7761 W Riverside Drive,

Tightest Range Since 1965

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Page 6: Comfortably Numb - Horter Investment Management, LLC · Comfortably Numb John McClure: President & CIO December, 2017 ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc. 7761 W Riverside Drive,

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High Yield Bonds Are No Longer High Yield

No Risk Premium in “High Yield” Bonds

Page 7: Comfortably Numb - Horter Investment Management, LLC · Comfortably Numb John McClure: President & CIO December, 2017 ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc. 7761 W Riverside Drive,

Asset Flows To Corporate Bonds

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All Grades Last 4 years - 2017 through

November

Page 8: Comfortably Numb - Horter Investment Management, LLC · Comfortably Numb John McClure: President & CIO December, 2017 ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc. 7761 W Riverside Drive,

Low Interest Rates Support Parabolic Market & Investor Quest For Yield

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Pay a Penalty to

Save

Chase Yield

Central Banks Buying

Government Debt at All Time High

Page 9: Comfortably Numb - Horter Investment Management, LLC · Comfortably Numb John McClure: President & CIO December, 2017 ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc. 7761 W Riverside Drive,

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Art As An Investment?

Page 10: Comfortably Numb - Horter Investment Management, LLC · Comfortably Numb John McClure: President & CIO December, 2017 ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc. 7761 W Riverside Drive,

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I Am Not Sure What To Say?

Page 11: Comfortably Numb - Horter Investment Management, LLC · Comfortably Numb John McClure: President & CIO December, 2017 ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc. 7761 W Riverside Drive,

ProfitScore’s Historical Performance During Low Volatility

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0.24%

0.92%

1.97%

0.00% 0.50% 1.00% 1.50% 2.00% 2.50%

Vix<=14

Vix>14, Vix<17

Vix>=17

ProfitScore Long/Short US Treasury Avg Monthly Return During Average VIX Monthly Range

Page 12: Comfortably Numb - Horter Investment Management, LLC · Comfortably Numb John McClure: President & CIO December, 2017 ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc. 7761 W Riverside Drive,

Real Estate Getting Up

There

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Price Extremes Are Everywhere You Look!

Classic Paintings at All Time High

Tweets at All Time High

Opiate Sales at All Time

High

Stocks at All Time High

Bitcoin at All Time High

HY Bonds at All Time High

History Would Tell You To Invest

Carefully

VIX at All Time Low

Equity Volatility at All

Time Low

Page 13: Comfortably Numb - Horter Investment Management, LLC · Comfortably Numb John McClure: President & CIO December, 2017 ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc. 7761 W Riverside Drive,

Comfortably NumbJohn McClure: President & CIO

December, 2017

ProfitScore Capital Management, Inc.7761 W Riverside Drive, Suite 210Boise, ID 83714