Combining DNA Evidence for Greater Match Information American Academy of Forensic Sciences February,...

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Combining DNA Evidence for Greater Match Information American Academy of Forensic Sciences American Academy of Forensic Sciences February, 2012 February, 2012 Atlanta, GA Atlanta, GA Mark W Perlin, PhD, MD, PhD Mark W Perlin, PhD, MD, PhD Cybergenetics, Pittsburgh, PA Cybergenetics, Pittsburgh, PA Cybergenetics © 2003-2012 Cybergenetics © 2003-2012

Transcript of Combining DNA Evidence for Greater Match Information American Academy of Forensic Sciences February,...

Page 1: Combining DNA Evidence for Greater Match Information American Academy of Forensic Sciences February, 2012 Atlanta, GA Mark W Perlin, PhD, MD, PhD Cybergenetics,

Combining DNA Evidence for Greater Match Information

American Academy of Forensic SciencesAmerican Academy of Forensic SciencesFebruary, 2012February, 2012

Atlanta, GAAtlanta, GA

Mark W Perlin, PhD, MD, PhDMark W Perlin, PhD, MD, PhDCybergenetics, Pittsburgh, PACybergenetics, Pittsburgh, PA

Cybergenetics © 2003-2012Cybergenetics © 2003-2012

Page 2: Combining DNA Evidence for Greater Match Information American Academy of Forensic Sciences February, 2012 Atlanta, GA Mark W Perlin, PhD, MD, PhD Cybergenetics,

Two DNA Mixture SamplesCSF locus in PowerPlex 16 kit

Sample 1

Sample 2

Page 3: Combining DNA Evidence for Greater Match Information American Academy of Forensic Sciences February, 2012 Atlanta, GA Mark W Perlin, PhD, MD, PhD Cybergenetics,

DNA Mixture SeparationDetermine mixture weights of each sample

10% contributor

50% contributor

Sample 1

Sample 2

Page 4: Combining DNA Evidence for Greater Match Information American Academy of Forensic Sciences February, 2012 Atlanta, GA Mark W Perlin, PhD, MD, PhD Cybergenetics,

Joint Likelihood FunctionJointly explain data of multiple experiments

90%:10%

50%:50%

Sample 1

Sample 2One contributor

genotype10, 11

Another contributorgenotype

12, 12

MW Perlin, MM Legler, CE Spencer, JL Smith, WP Allan, JL Belrose, BW Duceman. Validating TrueAllele® DNA mixture interpretation. Journal of Forensic Sciences, 2011.

Page 5: Combining DNA Evidence for Greater Match Information American Academy of Forensic Sciences February, 2012 Atlanta, GA Mark W Perlin, PhD, MD, PhD Cybergenetics,

Probabilistic GenotypeThoroughly examine all genotype explanations of the data,

assessing the likelihood of each one

Sample 1

Sample 2

Samples 1 & 2

objective

Page 6: Combining DNA Evidence for Greater Match Information American Academy of Forensic Sciences February, 2012 Atlanta, GA Mark W Perlin, PhD, MD, PhD Cybergenetics,

DNAMatch

Information

Sample 1 - 109.9

Sample 2 - 109.0

Samples 1 & 2

1018.9

1 10 100

Page 7: Combining DNA Evidence for Greater Match Information American Academy of Forensic Sciences February, 2012 Atlanta, GA Mark W Perlin, PhD, MD, PhD Cybergenetics,

Massereene Barracks Attack

PatrickAzimkar

MarkQuinsey

Real Irish Republican Army claimed responsibility

Homicide victims

March 7, 2009 in Antrim, Northern Ireland

Page 8: Combining DNA Evidence for Greater Match Information American Academy of Forensic Sciences February, 2012 Atlanta, GA Mark W Perlin, PhD, MD, PhD Cybergenetics,

Abandoned Burned Car

Page 9: Combining DNA Evidence for Greater Match Information American Academy of Forensic Sciences February, 2012 Atlanta, GA Mark W Perlin, PhD, MD, PhD Cybergenetics,

Touch DNA Evidence

passenger sidesafety belt buckle

cell phone incenter console

match stickat side of road

Page 10: Combining DNA Evidence for Greater Match Information American Academy of Forensic Sciences February, 2012 Atlanta, GA Mark W Perlin, PhD, MD, PhD Cybergenetics,

Data Ambiguity

DNAmixture

low DNAquantity

alleledrop out

D21 D18D8

vWAD3 D18 D2

FGATH01D18no DNAvisible

Page 11: Combining DNA Evidence for Greater Match Information American Academy of Forensic Sciences February, 2012 Atlanta, GA Mark W Perlin, PhD, MD, PhD Cybergenetics,

Much Data,Little Consensus

No Match Statistic

a b c

0 2 1

BrianShivers

Page 12: Combining DNA Evidence for Greater Match Information American Academy of Forensic Sciences February, 2012 Atlanta, GA Mark W Perlin, PhD, MD, PhD Cybergenetics,

Joint Likelihood Function

TH01 locus3 amplifications

a

b

c

Page 13: Combining DNA Evidence for Greater Match Information American Academy of Forensic Sciences February, 2012 Atlanta, GA Mark W Perlin, PhD, MD, PhD Cybergenetics,

Combining DNA Evidence

a

b

c

a

b

c

a b

a

c

singles pairs all threedata

10 20 30

b

c a b c

1.1 million

6.04

STR tests

40,000

4.60

26,000

4.42

560

2.75

25

1.40

27

1.43

6

0.75

Page 14: Combining DNA Evidence for Greater Match Information American Academy of Forensic Sciences February, 2012 Atlanta, GA Mark W Perlin, PhD, MD, PhD Cybergenetics,

Computer's Match Statistics

5.91 trillion

6.01 billion

1.1 million

ColinDuffy

BrianShivers

Page 15: Combining DNA Evidence for Greater Match Information American Academy of Forensic Sciences February, 2012 Atlanta, GA Mark W Perlin, PhD, MD, PhD Cybergenetics,

Admissibility Ruling

I am satisfied that the stage has now been reached in the case of this system where it can be regarded as being reliable and accepted, and I am satisfied that Dr Perlin has given his evidence in a credible and reliable fashion. In the light of these conclusions I can see no basis on which I could properly exercise my discretion … to exclude this evidence, and I therefore admit it in evidence.

December 1, 2011The Honorable Mr. Justice Hart

18 page ruling on TrueAllele, concluding:

Page 16: Combining DNA Evidence for Greater Match Information American Academy of Forensic Sciences February, 2012 Atlanta, GA Mark W Perlin, PhD, MD, PhD Cybergenetics,
Page 17: Combining DNA Evidence for Greater Match Information American Academy of Forensic Sciences February, 2012 Atlanta, GA Mark W Perlin, PhD, MD, PhD Cybergenetics,

E Pluribus Unum

[email protected]

www.cybgen.com/information

Out of many experiments, one informative solution